CREDIT INSIGHT September 6, 2021 - Principal Mutual Fund
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Monthly Credit Update Fixed Income: Investment Process • Monthly Asset Allocation Matrix • Benchmark & Peer Group Analysis • Daily Performance Attribution • Rates: Access to best • Portfolio Laddering • Limit monitoring/ ofInternal/External & compliance Proprietary • Monthly Review of Risk • Credit: Exhaustive top Fund Areas down process combined Management • Global Supervision of with "bottom up" Risk Processes issuer selection Risk Research Management Highlights of the Credit Research Process Board approved Internal Credit Risk Assessment Policy “Credit Tracker” list of approved Credits: LT & ST: Bottom Up Approach Inclusion and sustainability of a credit in the record/list is determined by the established credit process, which includes two broad areas : • Approval for new credits (through credit note) • Review and monitoring of existing credits “Early in- Early Exit” Identify new promising credits early on, take shorter exposures Access to in house Equity Team expertise on sector/stock coverage where we take exposure
KEY CREDIT NOTES LIC Housing Finance Ltd Reliance Housing Industries Ltd Development Finance Corporation Ltd Larsen And Toubro Astec Lifesciences Limited Ltd HDB Financial Grasim Industries Services Limited
RELIANCE INDUSTRIES LTD Rating: CRISIL AAA (stable)/A1+, ICRA AAA (stable)/A1+, India Ratings AAA (stable)/A1+, CARE AAA (stable)/A1+ Rating change in last month: No change Sector: ENERGY About: Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) is one of India's largest private sector companies (maket cap > 14lakh crores as on 31st Jul 2020), with diverse interests, including petrochemicals, oil refining, and upstream oil and gas E and P.. In the recent past, RIL has diversified into newer businesses which includes organized retail and digital services. RIL operates one of the most complex refineries globally which improves its flexibility in terms of crude sourcing resulting in relatively high Gross Refining Margins (GRMs). RIL’s strength in the petrochemicals business has also grown following large-scale capacity expansions, including the refinery off-gas cracker, in the previous fiscal and healthy ramp up of operations. The company’s digital services venture, where it has made sizeable investments, has been gaining subscribers at a healthy pace since inception. RIL has recently raised a record amount of equity capital from marquee investors globally which shows the immense strength in its newer businesses which includes telecom, retail and digital services. Parameter (`Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Net Sales 245,667 334,933 369,988 289,283 240,363 Operating Income 245,667 334,933 369,988 289,283 240,363 Operating Margin (%) 13.6 15.6 15.8 18.0 18.1 Profit After Tax 31,944 30,903 35,163 33,612 31,425 Net Profit Margin (%) 13.0 9.2 9.5 11.6 13.1 Net Worth 447,672 403,633 390,627 298,660 266,159 Total Debt 193,750 262,345 161,720 122,946 114,970 Debt-Equity ratio (x) 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 HOUSING DEVELOPMENT FINANCE CORPORATION LTD Rating: CRISIL AAA (stable)/A1+ , ICRA AAA (stable)/A1+, CARE AAA (stable)/A1+ Rating change in last month: No change Sector: FINANCIAL SERVICES About: Housing Development Finance Corporation Limited (HDFC), India's premier housing finance entity, is in existence for over 40 years. With a presence in banking, insurance and asset management, the HDFC Group is an important part of the Indian financial services sector. HDFC's has a strong franchise and has demonstrated ability to grow in the competitive mortgage finance market, its focus on prime salaried customers within the home loan segment and its good asset quality indicators over credit cycles. HDFC has a strong capitalization, moderate gearing and good profitability indicators. During FY2020, HDFC reported an asset base of Rs. 5,16,800 compared to an asset base of Rs. 4,58,776 crore in FY2019. HDFC reported Profit After Tax (PAT) of Rs. 17,769 crore during the year ended March 31, 2020 compared to Rs. 9,632 crore during the year ended March 31, 2019. For FY21, core PBT / core operating profit grew a healthy 15%/17% YoY to INR126b/INR146b, despite an additional ESOP charge of INR3.4b. Strong disbursement growth (on a low base) of 60% YoY, stable QoQ spreads at 2.3%, GNPA at 1.98%, and a reduction of 74bp QoQ in stage 2 assets were the key positives for the quarter. In Mar'21, for the Individual Lending business, collection efficiency (CE) stood at 98.0% on an overall basis (97.6% in Dec'20) – similar to pre-COVID levels.
Parameter (` Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Equity Share Capital 361 346 344 335 318 Reported Networth 108,783 86,158 77,355 65,265 39,817 AUM 488,006 442,262 402,257 358,721 296,388 Total assets 569,046 525,341 458,770 398,905 336,354 Total borrowing 441,365 419,102 365,266 319,716 279,732 Interest Income 42,812 42,683 38,194 32,542 30,378 Interest expenses 28,686 31,076 27,897 23,544 20,934 Operating expenses (incl. depreciation) _ _ _ _ _ Total income 47,208 49,636 42,827 40,598 33,662 PAT 12,027 17,770 9,632 10,959 6,869 Gross NPA 2.38 2 1.18 1.12 0.8 Net NPA 1.15 1.49 0.84 0.8 0.54 Overall CAR 22.17 17.59 19.08 19.16 15.79 Note: No Reported Financials Available Source: CRISIL Research. Financials are displayed as per the standard adjustments done by CRISIL. LIC HOUSING FINANCE LTD Rating: CRISIL AAA (stable)/A1+ , ICRA A1+, CARE AAA (stable) Rating change in last month: No change Sector: FINANCIAL SERVICES About: LIC is the single-largest shareholder in LIC Housing with a stake of 40.31% as on Mar 30, 2020. It is India's second-largest housing finance company, with 9 regional offices, 23 back offices, and 273 marketing units in India, and 2 overseas representative offices (1 each in Dubai and Kuwait), as on March 31, 2020. LIC Housing benefits from LIC's strong brand equity, access to its agency network for origination of loans, and funding support. LICHF recently announced further support from its parent LIC which is likely to increase equity stake in the company. Preferential allotment of 45.4m shares to LIC will increase the promoter stake to 48.5% from 40.3% currently. This will mitigate leverage risk hovering over the company for the past several years. For FY 21, NII was 5244cr vs 4821cr and PAT was Rs 2734cr vs 2401cr in FY20 Parameter (` Crore) Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Mar-2016 Equity Share Capital 10,099 10,099 10,099 10,099 10,100 Reported Networth 2,052,131 1,819,309 1,625,927 1,270,000 1,107,703 Total assets 23,562,740 21,690,000 20,060,000 17,185,000 15,090,000 Total borrowing 20,760,000 19,120,000 17,060,000 14,534,000 11,130,000 Interest Income 1,969,711 1,960,594 1,725,612 1,472,971 1,391,769 Interest expenses 1,445,258 1,481,722 1,289,155 1,114,385 1,023,149 PAT 273,434 240,184 243,097 200,250 193,105 Overall CAR 15.28 13.89 15.49 15.49 15.64
ASTEC LIFESCIENCES LTD Rating: ICRA A1+/AA-(stable) Rating change in last month: No change Sector: FERTILISERS & PESTICIDES About: Astec is engaged in the manufacturing and sale of intermediates, active ingredients and formulations, with a focus on the agro-chemical sector. The manufacturing is undertaken at four facilities in Maharashtra. In FY2012, the company also forayed into the CRAMS segment by bagging contracts from reputed global players Post Godrej Agrovet ltd’s (rated [ICRA]AA (Stable) / [ICRA]A1+) majority stake purchase in the company in late FY2016, Astec has benefitted in terms of managerial support as well as improved financial flexibility, resulting in an improved financial performance since FY2017. Astec is expected to continue to benefit from strong linkages to the Godrej Group, which may aid in its future expansion plans and may enable it to attract high-quality talent for strengthening its R&D function. The company reported sales of Rs. 555cr and PAT of Rs. 65cr in FY 21 vs sales of Rs. 522cr and PAT of Rs. 47cr in FY 20. D/E ratio remained at manageable level of 0.6. Parameter (` Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Net Sales 555 522 431 357 288 Operating Income 555 529 438 387 298 Operating Margin (%) 20.1 19.5 19.5 24.0 21.1 Profit After Tax 65 47 36 35 19 Net Profit Margin (%) 11.7 9.0 8.1 9.0 6.4 Net Worth 304 243 200 167 134 Total Debt 187 99 176 125 127 Debt-Equity ratio (x) 0.6 0.4 0.9 0.7 0.9 Note: No Reported Financials Available Source: CRISIL Research. Financials are displayed as per the standard adjustments done by CRISIL.
LARSEN AND TOUBRO LIMITED Rating: CRISIL A1+/AAA (Stable) ICRA A1+/AAA (stable) India Ratings A1+/AAA (stable) Rating change in last month: No change Sector: CONSTRUCTION About: L&T is the largest company in the engineering and construction sector in India, with interest in projects, infrastructure, real estate development, manufacturing, IT and financial services. It provides EPC services in all major segments such as buildings & factories, transportation and civil infrastructure, power (generation – thermal, hydro and nuclear, transmission and distribution), water and related, oil & gas and material handling. The company also undertakes infrastructure development project (roads, metro rail, power and transmission lines) through special purpose vehicles L&T IDPL, L&T Power Development and LTMRHL. We factor in the strong financial risk profile characterized by healthy cash accruals supported by its diversified revenue profile, stable operating profitability, and strong balance sheet marked by low net-gearing, strong liquidity position, and healthy financial flexibility arising from its exchange-listed subsidiaries. The liquidity position, thus, remains strong with cash and cash balances of ~Rs. 20,000 crore and unutilized working capital limits of ~Rs. 4,500 crore as on May 31, 2020. The capital structure of the company remains comfortable with gearing (Total Debt / Tangible Net-worth) of 0.4 times as on March 31, 2021 at a standalone level. L&T reported total operating income of Rs. 73,316 in FY21 vs 81,550cr in FY20 and PAT of Rs. 11,337cr vs 6,678cr in the previous year Parameter (`Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Net Sales 73,316 81,520 80,936 73,235 64,661 Operating Income 73,316 83,026 82,559 75,068 66,274 Operating Margin (%) 9.9 8.5 8.8 9.6 10.2 Profit After Tax 11,337 6,679 7,491 5,387 5,454 Net Profit Margin (%) 15.5 8.0 9.1 7.2 8.2 Net Worth 60,310 52,091 49,648 48,780 45,687 Total Debt 23,809 25,785 11,990 10,561 10,558 Debt-Equity ratio (x) 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2
GRASIM INDUSTRIES LIMITED Rating: CRISIL AAA (stable)/A1+, ICRA AAA(stable),India Ratings ltd AAA(stable),A1+ Rating change in last month: No change Sector: CEMENT & CEMENT PRODUCTS About: Incorporated in 1947, Grasim is the flagship company of the Aditya Birla group. It commenced operations in 1948 as a textile manufacturer and is the sole producer of VSF in the domestic market. The viscose segment also comprises the viscose filament yarn business of merged ABNL and acquired rights to manage and operate Century Textiles and Industries Ltd's ('CRISIL AA/stable/CRISIL A1+') rayon division with effect from February 1, 2018. The chemical segment comprises caustic soda, allied chemicals, and epoxy. Also, the company has presence in fertilisers, textile and insulators. UltraTech, Grasim's 57% subsidiary, is the largest cement producer in India. On August 11, 2016, Grasim announced a composite scheme of merger of ABNL with itself, followed by demerger of the financial services business into a separate listed entity, ABCL. Following the merger, effective July 1, 2017, ABCL was listed in September 2017. Grasim holds 54.24% of equity in ABCL as on 31st March, 2021. Parameter (`Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Net Sales 12,386 18,387 20,370 15,651 10,208 Operating Income 12,386 18,661 20,624 15,835 10,345 Operating Margin (%) 12.6 12.8 20.1 19.6 20.8 Profit After Tax 905 1,270 515 1,769 1,560 Net Profit Margin (%) 7.3 6.8 2.5 11.2 15.1 Net Worth 41,745 36,580 40,780 43,513 16,202 Total Debt 4,011 5,068 3,311 2,969 701 Debt-Equity ratio (x) 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0
HDB FINANCIAL SERVICES Rating: CRISIL AAA (stable)/A1+, CARE AAA(stable) Rating change in last month: No change Sector: FINANCIAL SERVICES About: HDB Financial Services Limited (HDBFS) was set up as a non bank financing company, by HDFC bank in June 2007. The company began operations in fiscal 2008. The bank owned 95.9 percent of HDBFS equity shares. The company had 1350 branches across 961 cities in India. Apart from the lending business, HDBFS also distributes general and life insurance products for HDFC Ergo General Insurance Company and HDFC Standard Life Insurance Company, respectively. The company also runs business process outsourcing (BPO) services that undertakes collection services, back office and sales support functions under a contract with HDFC Bank. For FY21 HDB's recorded a modest 5% increase in its loan book to Rs 58,947 cr from Rs 55,930 cr a year ago. Net interest income grew 15% to Rs 1,252 cr from Rs 1,084.5 cr a year ago. Net profit for the fiscal ended March 2021 halved to Rs 503 cr from Rs 1,037 cr a year earlier. However, HDB could arrest the deterioration in asset quality during the quarter as gross NPA at the end of March 2021 was 3.9% down from the reported proforma NPA of 5.9% as of December 2020. HDB has a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 265% and capital adequacy of 19% higher than the 15% required by regulations Parameter (`Crore) Mar-2021 Mar-2020 Mar-2019 Mar-2018 Mar-2017 Equity Share Capital 789 788 786 783 780 Reported Networth 8,446 8,018 7,178 6,202 5,363 AUM 58,811 57,210 53,922 43,159 31,996 Total assets 63,097 60,705 55,698 44,749 33,470 Total borrowing 50,935 49,916 46,308 36,132 26,301 Interest Income 8,488 8,233 6,712 5,146 4,089 Interest expenses 3,917 4,133 3,380 2,409 2,102 Operating expenses (incl. depreciation) _ _ _ _ _ Total income 10,903 10,755 8,655 7,062 5,714 PAT 391 1,005 1,153 952 699 Gross NPA 4.69 4.02 1.86 1.58 1.45 Net NPA 3.22 3.24 1.26 0.98 0.84 Overall CAR 18.89 19.36 17.91 17.94 20.79 Note: No Reported Financials Available Source: CRISIL Research. Financials are displayed as per the standard adjustments done by CRISIL.
Issuer wise Holding as on August 31, 2021 Principal Principal Principal Principal Cash Ultra Issuer Low Duration Short Term Management Short Term Fund Debt Fund Fund Fund Astec Lifesciences Ltd. 0.040256735 0.041693935 Axis Bank Ltd. 0.06835794 0.05003423 Export-Import Bank of India 0.028828527 Grasim Industries Ltd. 0.025674098 HDB Financial Services Ltd. 0.045280362 0.022425081 0.032827837 HDFC Bank Ltd. 0.040119015 Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd. 0.038327506 Housing Development Finance Corp Ltd. 0.057652953 0.086448029 0.053886232 0.033438279 ICICI Bank Ltd. 0.039126345 Indian Oil Corporation Ltd. 0.052110232 0.045034578 Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. 0.017296157 0.028054829 0.067503343 IndusInd Bank Ltd. 0.033729919 0.065835825 Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 0.017578946 0.025733632 LIC Housing Finance Ltd. 0.038531685 0.008465444 National Bank for Agri & Rural Develop 0.088326564 0.045067974 0.04305219 National Housing Bank 0.053141273 0.039335272 NTPC Ltd. 0.045725552 0.0449874 Power Finance Corporation Ltd. 0.028933672 0.038807262 REC Ltd. 0.017369373 0.030771642 0.05927054 Reliance Industries Ltd. 0.038846688 0.042834142 Small Industries Development Bank Of India 0.035292481 0.043053572
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