Housing New Zealand Investor Update - May 2018
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Housing New Zealand Investor Update May 2018 Matthew Needham CFO Matthew.needham@hnzc.co.nz Sam Direen Treasury Manager Sam.direen@hnzc.co.nz
Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Housing New Zealand Limited guaranteed. HNZ makes no representation or warranty as to the (HNZ). This presentation does not constitute or form part of, and should accuracy or completeness of the information in this presentation and not be construed as, an offer to sell or issue or the solicitation of an offer does not undertake to update it. to buy or acquire any securities (Securities) of HNZ or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates in any jurisdiction or an inducement to enter into HNZ has not prepared or registered an investment statement, investment activity. prospectus, product disclosure statement or other regulated offer document in relation to any offer of Securities. No action has been taken The information in this presentation is in summary form and must be or is proposed to be taken by HNZ to register any Securities under the considered in conjunction with and subject to publicly available laws of any jurisdiction (including New Zealand) for which such information of HNZ. It is of a general nature and does not constitute registration is required or otherwise to enable the Notes to be offered to financial product advice, investment advice or any recommendation by the public or under a regulated offer. This presentation may not be HNZ or any other person to subscribe for, or purchase, any Securities. distributed or published in or from any jurisdiction except under Nothing in this presentation constitutes legal, financial, tax or other circumstances that will result in compliance with all applicable laws of advice. any such jurisdiction. The information in this presentation does not take into account the None of the Arrangers, Joint Lead Managers nor any of their respective particular investment objectives, financial situation, taxation position or directors, officers, employees and agents: (a) accept any responsibility needs of any person. You should not rely on this presentation in relation or liability whatsoever for any loss arising from this presentation or its to any investment assessment. You should conduct your own research contents or otherwise arising in connection with the offer of Securities; on HNZ and analysis of its financial condition, assets and liabilities, (b) authorised or caused the issue of, or made any statement in, any part financial position and performance, profits and losses, prospects and of this presentation; and (c) make any representation, recommendation business affairs of HNZ, and the contents of this presentation. or warranty, express or implied regarding the origin, validity, accuracy, adequacy, reasonableness or completeness of, or any errors or This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with omissions in, any information, statement or opinion contained in this respect to HNZ. All of these forward-looking statements are based on presentation and accept no liability (except to the extent such liability is estimates, projections and assumptions made by HNZ about found by a court to arise under the Financial Markets Conduct Act 2013 circumstances and events that have not yet occurred. Although HNZ or cannot be disclaimed as a matter of law). believes these estimates, projections and assumptions to be reasonable, they are inherently uncertain. Therefore, reliance should not be placed A credit rating is not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any upon these estimates or forward-looking statements and they should not Securities and may be subject to suspension, change or withdrawal at be regarded as a representation or warranty by HNZ, the directors of any time by the assigning rating agency. HNZ or any other person that those forward-looking statements will be achieved or that the assumptions underlying the forwarding-looking By attending this presentation or otherwise accessing this document, you statements will in fact be correct. It is likely that actual results will vary agree to be bound by the terms and restrictions set out above. from those contemplated by these forward-looking statements and such No person may offer or sell Notes, or distribute or publish any offering variations may be material. material or advertisement in relation to any offer of Notes, to any person The information in this document is given in good faith and has been in New Zealand other than to wholesale investors within the meaning of obtained from sources believed to be reliable and accurate at the date of clause 3(2)(a), (c) or (d) of Schedule 1 to the FMCA. preparation, but its accuracy, correctness and completeness cannot be 2
OUR VISION: BUILDING LIVES AND COMMUNITIES BY HOUSING NEW ZEALANDERS New Zealand’s largest residential landlord We own or manage approximately More than 63,000 properties 180,000 people who live in our houses Value of our assets $26 billion Over More than 98% occupancy rates 8,000 new families housed last year 5
LEGAL STRUCTURE HNZC is a Statutory Corporation set up under the Housing Corporation Act (1974) and a Crown Agency under the Crown Entities Act (2004) • Total HNZL Assets $25 billion • Manages Crown land (97% of Group assets) at Hobsonville • Total HNZL Debt $1.5 billion • Master plans large-scale (79% Group debt) developments in Auckland 6
WHAT WE ARE BUILDING New Zealand’s largest residential builder Target 1,524 new and replacement properties 1,460 new properties delivered this year delivered nationally last year Target 2,507 new properties delivered in 18/19 7,000 new homes in the next three years 7
OUR PLAN Working to ensure we have the right kind of homes, in the right places, to meet demand New and renewed houses across the country • 75% of our stock across New Zealand needs to be renewed over the next 20 years Auckland • The Government has signalled the need for more public housing Free-up land in Auckland • The new Auckland Unitary Plan frees-up HNZ land for 30,000 homes • High occupancy rates => additional public housing capacity required to release land for affordable and market homes 9
AUCKLAND - OVERVIEW New Zealand’s largest and fastest growing city 1.6 million 9th people (34% of NZ’s population) least affordable housing globally (Demographia, 2018) 28,200 24,300 houses (state, affordable, market) built by 2026 state houses (44% of total stock) 10
AUCKLAND HOUSING PROGRAMME Utilises land capacity in Auckland to accelerate the supply of housing The Auckland Housing Programme (AHP) • HNZ’s overarching initiative in Auckland to renew stock and increase housing supply using land capacity • Has government approval, and has been in planning since 2016 Phase 1 Phase 2 Total (2016/17 (2020/21 # houses (gross) to 2020) to 2026/27) (P1 & P2) Additional new and renewed state houses 4,305 7,200 11,505 New affordable/market houses 2,383 10,446 12,829 Total houses 6,688 17,646 24,334 $million Total gross capital investment 2,231 Less sales of land / land and buildings (625) Less budgeted capacity to invest in Auckland (530) Net investment required 1,076 11
BUSINESS STRATEGY Details of new Government’s housing strategy will inform overall financing requirements Auckland • $1.1b financing required in Phase One of Auckland Housing Programme to create capacity and free-up land for affordable and market homes All of New Zealand • Details around the additional build are currently being finalised through the Government’s Budget discussions • Once finalised, HNZ will be coming to market with a long-term financial strategy 12
KIWIBUILD KiwiBuild programme is a separate Government initiative • Government initiative to build 100,000 affordable houses across New Zealand over 10 years • Aimed at first home buyers • Details, including financing approach, currently being finalised by Government • HNZ will contribute to affordable housing developments as part of KiwiBuild 100,000 2018 10 years Affordable houses 13
INDUSTRY SHAPING Use scale to deliver new housing at lower cost Innovative construction methods • Offsite manufacturing • Use of cross-laminated timber Leveraging the build programme to lower costs • Scaled-up procurement practices • Supplier panels • Standardised designs to speed up consent process 14
3. Financing approach 15
FINANCING SUMMARY All debt currently sourced from the Crown HNZC group debt totalling $1,953m currently sourced exclusively from the Crown • HNZL (issuer) $1,545m • HNZC (parent) $408m • Crown debt is refinanced upon maturity Borrowing Protocol • Approved additional debt can be sourced from avenues other than the Crown • Approved by Minister of Finance, Minister for Housing and Urban Development • As agreed between HNZC Board and Ministers 16
CREDIT RATINGS - OVERVIEW “HNZC is essentially an arm of the Government” S&P Global Ratings, Dec-17 S&P Global Ratings’ assessment of HNZL and HNZC • AA+ (stable) long-term local currency credit ratings • Ratings equalised with the New Zealand sovereign • Benefit from an “almost certain” likelihood of receiving government support in the event of financial distress • ‘aa’ stand-alone credit profiles • No explicit government guarantee AA+ Issuer credit rating 17
CREDIT RATINGS – OVERVIEW HNZ is the only issuer assessed to have an “almost certain” level of support from the New Zealand government * GRE = Government-related entity 18
DEBT MATURITY PROFILE Debt refinanced with the Crown via annual appropriation HNZ’s Crown debt 19
DEBT CAPITAL MARKET FINANCING Commercial paper issuance underway, notes to follow in due course Commercial paper programme • Fortnightly tenders of $25m (3-month paper) since Feb-18 • $500m programme limit Medium term note programme • Established for use following 17 May 2018 Budget • Notes offered will be: — unsecured and unsubordinated — subject to negative pledge provisions — repo eligible — offered to domestic and offshore (in certain jurisdictions) institutional investors • Approved Issuer Levy paid by HNZL 20
TREASURY POLICIES Conservative treasury policies Liquidity policies • Maintain committed bank standby facility • No more than 25% of term debt maturing in any one year • Cash required four months prior to need • Maintain rolling 36 month forecasts Other policies and procedures • Maintain current strong credit rating • Controls around taking on new debt • Reinvest net surpluses into housing 21
4. Financial overview 22
KEY FINANCIAL STATISTICS (HNZC GROUP) Strong, stable and consistent financial performance Financial Performance Financial Position Year ended June June Year ended June June ($m) 2017 2016 ($m) 2017 2016 Revenue 1,318 1,284 Total assets 25,907 23,400 Expenses 864 774 Total liabilities 4,309 4,233 EBITDA 454 510 Total equity 21,598 19,167 Depreciation and amortization 246 231 Total debt 1,953 1,859 EBIT 208 279 Interest expense 87 93 Tax 16 44 Gains/(losses) (40) (8) Net profit after tax 65 134 Cash Flow Credit Metrics Year ended June June Year ended June June ($m) 2017 2016 ($m) 2017 2016 Operating cash flow 284 321 Liabilities / Assets 16.6% 18.1% Investing cash flow (346) (280) Debt / (Debt + Equity) 8.3% 8.8% Financing cash flow 89 (27) Total Debt / EBITDA 4.3 3.6 EBITDA / Interest expense 5.2 5.5 23
FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE 85 percent of rental income received from the Crown Revenue Expenses Year ended June 2017 $m % total Year ended June 2017 $m % total Rental revenue – income-related rent subsidy Repairs and maintenance 315 26% (IRRS) 758 58% Depreciation on rental properties 224 19% Rental revenue – tenants receiving IRRS 338 26% Rates on properties 113 9% Crown appropriation revenue 88 7% Personnel 104 9% Other 134 10% Interest expenses 87 7% Total 1,318 100% Grants 77 6% Third-party rental leases 59 5% Water rates 33 3% Depreciation and amortization on infrastructure assets 22 2% Other expenses 163 14% Total 1,197 100% 24
KEY CREDIT SUMMARY Strong and stable credit • AA+ credit rating equalised with the Crown • Critical to the delivery of the Government’s public housing programme • Largest residential property owner in New Zealand • 85 percent of rental income received from the Crown • Conservative treasury policies 25
OTHER INFORMATION Wholesale investor information https://hnzc.co.nz/about-us/ wholesale-investor-information Credit ratings, borrowing programmes, publications, additional information Direct contacts Matthew Needham CFO Matthew.needham@hnzc.co.nz Sam Direen Treasury Manager Sam.direen@hnzc.co.nz 26
QUESTIONS AND ANSWERS A chance for a discussion OUR VISION Building lives and communities by housing New Zealanders 27
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