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Investment Themes Capital Markets Strategy Group Not FDIC Insured May Lose Value No Bank Guarantee For Investors
Mature U.S. and Global Business Cycles Note: The diagram above is a hypothetical illustration of the business cycle. There is not always a chronological, linear progression among the phases of the business cycle, and there have been cycles when the economy has skipped a phase or retraced an earlier one. * A growth recession is a significant decline in activity relative to a country’s long-term economic potential. We use the “growth cycle” definition for most developing economies, such as China, because they tend to exhibit strong trend performance driven by rapid factor accumulation and increases in productivity, and the deviation from the trend tends to matter most for asset returns. We use the classic definition of recession, involving an outright contraction in economic activity, for developed economies. Source: Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 9/30/19. 2 For Investors
How these trade uncertainties could play out could be critical to what is next S&P 500 Performance Trade truce (1/1/17 – 11/07/19) (growth reacceleration) Trump Davos Trade Uncertainty continues Speech S&P 500 (Economies muddle through) Trade war (More tariffs & possible recession) US Govt 10 Yr Yield Synchronized Global Trade Uncertainties Recovery (Negotiations continue) Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Index performance is not meant to represent that of any Fidelity mutual fund. Source: Factset, as of 11/07/2019 3 For Investors
What does late cycle imply from a Macro & Asset market perspective? Fed cuts rates/ Yield curve flattens Source: Fidelity Investments (AART) 4 For Investors
Late Cycle: Less Favorable Risk-Return Profile but still potentially positive! Asset Class Performance in Mid- and Late-Cycle Phases (1950–2010) Stocks High Yield Commodities Investment-Grade Bonds 20% 10% 0% Mid Late Mid Cycle: Strong Asset Class Performance Late Cycle: Mixed Asset Class Performance • Consider economically sensitive assets • Consider inflation-resistant assets • Broad-based gains • Gains more muted TIPS: Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Asset class total returns are represented by indexes from the following sources: Fidelity Investments, Morningstar, and Bloomberg Barclays. Fidelity Investments source: a proprietary analysis of historical asset class performance, which is not indicative of future performance. 5 For Investors
Normal volatility means….. Equity market corrections occurring at a normal frequency: • Three corrections per year greater than 5%. • One correction per year greater than 10%. • One correction every three years greater than 20%. Fixed income returns may likely be modest and potentially positive. Fixed income securities may provide diversification benefits and act as a cushion against equity market volatility. Diversification does not ensure a profit or guarantee against a loss 6 For Investors
But for now, to fit both dynamics into your portfolio construction a "Barbell" approach may be worth considering Risk –Off – A full blown Risk On - A resolution of trade war or prolonged the uncertainties uncertainties could lead to regarding future trade an economic slowdown or policy could lead to a even a recession (other resumption of global issues to worry: Fed economic expansion. Policy, China slowdown) 7 For Investors
ASSET MARKETS Stocks’ Return Profile Less Favorable During Late Cycle Historically, this phase of the business cycle has had implications for asset market forward returns. When the U.S. economy has been in the mid-cycle phase, forward 12-month real returns have been generally positive, displaying a favorable distribution skewed to above-average returns. But as expansion matures into late cycle, the forward distribution of real equity returns has typically displayed a less favorable, more negative skew. Subsequent Stock Market Returns Given Business Cycle Phase (1952–2018) Late Mid Frequency 4 3 2 1 0 -48% -43% -38% -33% -29% -24% -19% -14% -10% -5% 0% 5% 9% 14% 19% 24% 28% 33% 38% 43% Total Return over the Next 12 Months Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The above charts are density plots generated from the 12-month forward returns of a U.S. Equity 8 Index sourced from Fidelity Investments. Source: Standard & Poor’s, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 9/30/19.
With trade truce (our base case), business cycle could elongate as the U.S. consumer trends are still in very good shape Unemployment is historically low… …U.S. Consumers will likely benefit from lower oil prices and… Source: Factset , as of 11/07/19 Source: Strategas, 08/01/2019 …housing is improving due to a reprieve in interest rates Personal savings has improved Personal saving as % of disposable personal income 12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 2000Q1 2000Q4 2001Q3 2002Q2 2003Q1 2003Q4 2004Q3 2005Q2 2006Q1 2006Q4 2007Q3 2008Q2 2009Q1 2009Q4 2010Q3 2011Q2 2012Q1 2012Q4 2013Q3 2014Q2 2015Q1 2015Q4 2016Q3 2017Q2 2018Q1 2018Q4 Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (2000 Q1 – 2019 Q2) Source: Strategas,11/04/2019 9 For Investors
But if trade uncertainties linger, the weakness currently seen on the business side could spill over to the consumer Manufacturing remains under pressure... …while Business sentiment softened… Source: Strategas, 11/01/2019 Source: Strategas, 11/04/2019 …Capex plummeted… …& Non-residential construction restrained Source: Strategas, 11/04/2019 Source: Strategas, 07/26/2019 10 For Investors
Yield Curve Inversion Typical During Late Cycle ECONOMY Ten-year Treasury bond yields remained below 3-month Treasuries, keeping the yield curve inverted. Curve inversions have preceded the past seven recessions and may be interpreted as the market signaling weaker expectations relative to current conditions. The time between inversion and recession has varied considerably, however, and the curve also has flashed two “head fakes” in which expansion lasted for at least two more years. U.S. Treasury Yield Curve 10-Year Minus 3-Month Yield Yield Spread 6% 5% Yield Curve Inversions 4% • Occurred before the last 7 recessions 3% • Occurred twice without a 2% recession (1966,1998) 1% • Recessions started 4 to 21 months after inversion 0% • Un-inversions often occurred -1% prior to recession -2% -3% -4% 0.1 1965 1968 1971 1974 1977 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 Shading represents U.S. economic recession as defined by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Source: Bloomberg 11 Financial L.P., NBER, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 9/30/19.
Equities and Sector Opportunities 12 For Investors
Corporate Earnings Source: Factset 13 For Investors
Valuations CURRENT P/E VS. 20-YEAR AVERAGE P/E (Below 100% Undervalued Relative To Long Term Average) Value Blend Growth Large-Cap 108% 114% 123% Mid-Cap 104% 108% 125% Small-Cap 95% 111% 152% Source: Current - FactSet Market Aggregates, Russell Investments. 20yr- FactSet Market Aggregates historical data, P/E ratios are calculated based on FMA consensus estimates of earnings over the next twelve months (NTM). P/E (price/earning) Ratio: A valuation ratio of a company’s current share price compared to its per-share earnings. As of 10/31/19. 14 For Investors
Long term we are still in a secular bull market that started in 2013 DJ Industrial Average Peak to Next 100,000 Secular Bull 2001–2013? 10,000 Peak to Next Secular Bull 1969–1982 Peak to Next 1,000 Secular Bull 1929–1942 100 10 1900 1905 1910 1916 1921 1927 1932 1937 1943 1948 1953 1959 1964 1970 1975 1980 1986 1991 1996 2002 2007 2012 2018 Source: Factset as of 12/31/2018 Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.. 15 For Investors
ASSET MARKETS Business-Cycle Approach to Equity Sectors A disciplined business-cycle approach to sector allocation can generate active returns by favoring industries that may benefit from cyclical trends. Economically sensitive sectors historically have performed better in the early and mid-cycle phases of an economic expansion. Meanwhile, companies in defensive sectors that have more stable earnings have tended to outperform late in the cycle and particularly during recessions. Business-Cycle Approach to Sectors EARLY CYCLE MID CYCLE LATE CYCLE RECESSION Sector Rebounds Peaks Moderates Contracts Financials + Real Estate ++ -- Consumer Discretionary ++ - -- Information Technology + + -- -- Industrials ++ -- Materials + -- ++ Consumer Staples ++ ++ Health Care -- ++ ++ Energy -- ++ Communication Services + - Utilities -- - + ++ Economically sensitive sectors Making marginal portfolio Defensive and inflation- Since performance is generally may tend to outperform, while allocation changes to manage resistance sectors tend to negative in recessions, more defensive sectors have drawdown risk with sectors perform better, while more investors should focus on the tended to underperform. may enhance risk-adjusted cyclical sectors most defensive, historically returns during this cycle. underperform. stable sectors. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Sectors as defined by GICS. White line is a theoretical representation of the business cycle as it moves through early, mid, late, and recession phases. Green and red shaded portions above respectively represent over- or underperformance relative to the broader market; unshaded (white) portions suggest no clear pattern of over- or underperformance. Double +/– signs indicate that the sector is showing a consistent signal across all three metrics: full-phase average performance, median monthly difference, and cycle hit rate. A single +/– indicates a mixed or less consistent signal. Returns data from 1962 to 2016. Source: Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 6/30/19. 16 For Investors
Healthcare – Favorable Demographics Aging demographics is a global phenomenon…in the U.S., approximately 10,000 people turn 65 every day Source: Top & Bottom left: JP Morgan, Center for Medicare and Medicaid Services, Census Bureau as of 11/30/17; Right chart: World Bank as of 12/31/15. 17 For Investors
A trade resolution could be much more beneficial to the rest of the world EXPORTS AS A SHARE OF GDP GOODS & SERVICES EXPORTS, 2017 Canada Exports to U.S. Exports to EU UK Exports to EM ex. China Euro Area Exports to China Exports to Other Japan U.S. Taiwan South Africa Korea Mexico Russia China India Brazil 0% 20% 40% 60% Source: Strategas / International Monetary Fund (IMF) DOTS As of 09/30/2018 18 For Investors
China’s Policies Could Be Supportive of Global Growth for 2019 KEY: ⚫ U.S. ⚫ China Cycle Phases EARLY MID LATE RECESSION Inflationary Pressures China Stimulus % GDP Red = High Q1 Q3 Q4 Q1 2019: 3.0% e Q2 3.5 March 2019 More Than 2016! Q4–Q3 Tax Spending 3.0 + Economic Growth 2.5 – Relative Performance of 2.0 Economically Sensitive Assets Green = Strong 2016-2017 2018 2019 1.5 Cycle Phases EARLY MID LATE RECESSION 1.0 Inflationary Pressures Q3–Q4 2017 Red = High Q1 2018 Q2 2017 0.5 Q1 Q2–Q3 2018 0.0 Q4 2018 CONTRACTION + -0.5 Economic Growth 15 16 18 19 Q4 Q1 2019 17 – Relative Performance of Q1–Q2 2016 March 2019 Economically Sensitive Assets Green = Strong 2017 2018 2019 2016 Note: The diagram above is a hypothetical illustration of the business cycle. There is not always a chronological, linear progression among the phases of the business cycle, and there have been cycles when the economy has skipped a phase or retraced an earlier one. * A growth recession is a significant decline in activity relative to a country’s long-term economic potential. We use the “growth cycle” definition for most developing economies, such as China, because they tend to exhibit strong trend performance driven by rapid factor accumulation and increases in productivity, and the deviation from the trend tends to matter most for asset returns. W e use the classic definition of recession, involving an outright contraction in economic activity, for developed economies. The diagram above is a hypothetical illustration of the business cycle. There is not always a chronological, linear progression among the phases of the business cycle, and there have been cycles when the economy has skipped a phase or retraced an earlier one. Source: Fidelity Investments (AART) using quarter business cycles from Q1 2016 – Q1 2019. Source for right Chart: Factset, National Bureau of Statistics of China, Caixin, Cornerstone Macro as of 12/31/18. For Investors 19
International Equities – Valuations look attractive U.S. Equities open unprecedented gap with Non-U.S. $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $800,000 $600,000 $400,000 $200,000 $- 12/1972 02/1974 04/1975 06/1976 08/1977 10/1978 12/1979 02/1981 04/1982 06/1983 08/1984 10/1985 12/1986 02/1988 04/1989 06/1990 08/1991 10/1992 12/1993 02/1995 04/1996 06/1997 08/1998 10/1999 12/2000 02/2002 04/2003 06/2004 08/2005 10/2006 12/2007 02/2009 04/2010 06/2011 08/2012 10/2013 12/2014 02/2016 04/2017 06/2018 08/2019 S&P 500 MSCI World ex US Source: Morningstar as of 10/31/19. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. Index performance is not meant to represent that of any Fidelity mutual fund. US equities are represented by the S&P500. Global equities ex-US is a custom Global Financial Data World Index. 20 For Investors
ASSET MARKETS Equity Valuations Mixed Relative to History Continued rising stock prices in the U.S. moved equity valuations higher during Q3, pushing them further above their long-term historical average. Price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for Non-U.S. developed and emerging markets remained below their long-term averages. Global Market P/E Ratios DM Trailing P/E EM Trailing P/E U.S. Trailing P/E Forward P/E Ratio 30 25 Forward P/E 20 DM Long-Term Average U.S. Long-Term Average U.S. EM Long-Term Average 15 DM EM 10 5 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 DM: Developed Markets. EM: Emerging Markets. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All indexes are unmanaged. See Appendix for important index information. Price-to-earnings ratio (P/E): stock price divided by earnings per share. Also known as the multiple, P/E gives investors an idea of how much they are paying for a company’s earnings power. Long-term average P/E for Emerging Markets includes data for 1988–2017. Long-term average P/E for Developed Markets includes data for 1973–2016, U.S. 1926–2017. Foreign 21 Developed—MSCI EAFE Index, Emerging Markets—MSCI EM Index. Source: Bloomberg Financial L.P., Fidelity Investments (AART) as of 9/30/19.
Secular Forecast: Slower Global Growth, EMs to Lead Slowing labor force growth and aging demographics are expected to tamp down global growth over the next two decades. We expect GDP growth of emerging countries to outpace that of developed markets over the long term, providing a relatively favorable secular backdrop for emerging-market equity returns. Real GDP 20-Year Growth Forecasts vs. History Developed Markets Emerging Markets Last 20 Years Annualized Rate 10% Global Real GDP Growth 9% Last 20 years 20-year forecast 8% 2.7% 2.1% 7% 6% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0% Spain Japan Canada Mexico Sweden Colombia U.S. Peru Brazil Germany Netherlands Turkey South Africa Australia UK South Korea Italy France China Indonesia Russia Thailand Malaysia India Philippines EM: Emerging Markets. GDP: Gross Domestic Product. Source: OECD, Fidelity Investments (AART), as of 5/31/18. 22 For Investors
Growth in “Middle Class” Households NUMBER OF MIDDLE CLASS GROWTH OF MIDDLE CLASS 450 HOUSEHOLDS HOUSEHOLDS USA India China 1991-2030E 400 Japan Brazil Indonesia 16% 14.2% 350 14% 300 12% No. of Households in Millions 11.4% 10.4% 250 10% 200 8% 150 6% 4.7% 100 4% 50 2% 1.1% 0 0.4% 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018E 2021E 2024E 2027E 2030E 0% Japan USA Brazil Indonesia India China Source: Used with permission, Morgan Stanley Asia/GEMs Equity Strategy Team, 12/31/15. 23 For Investors
Chinese and India’s Middle Income Household Growth Provides Multiple Opportunities CHINA IS THE WORLD’S LARGEST AUTO MARKET AND INDIA IS SMALL TODAY, BUT HAS THE BEST LONG- IS STILL GROWING TERM GROWTH POTENTIAL R² = 0.79 25 23.6 900 USA Iceland 800 Italy Australia 20 700 Canada 2016 PV Sales Volume (mn) Units) Poland Vehicles per 1000 people Estonia Finland Spain Japan 16.0 Germany 600 Greece Sweden Bulgaria Czech Slovenia France Belgium 15 Portugal Netherlands 500 S Korea Denmark RomaniaArgentinaSlovakia 10 400 Latvia Russia Hungary Brazil 300 Serbia Croatia Malaysia Uruguay Mexico Iran Chile 5 4.1 3.4 2.8 2.7 200 Venezuela 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.5 1.5 Morocco Ecuador Turkey 1.3 1.2 1.1 Ukraine China 100 Indonesia 0 India Iran Japan Russia India France Mexico USA Germany UK Brazil Italy China Canada Spain Korea 0 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 GDP per Capita (USD) Source: Euromonitor as of 12/31/ 2016. 24 For Investors
Long-Term Opportunity in Emerging Markets FOOD SPENDING VS. GDP PER CAPITA $7,000 Food & Bevg Spend per capita (US$) $6,000 $5,000 Japan U.S.A. $4,000 Germany $3,000 Russia Brazil $2,000 China $1,000 India $0 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 GDP per capita (US$) Source: World Bank, USDA, Global Social Change Research Project, 2013 25 For Investors
Fixed Income 26 For Investors
Interest rate increase has been gradual Interest rates are high in the U.S. The rise in rates is self regulating in itself. Source: Top: Factset as of 11/26/19. Bottom: Factset as of 11/26/19. 27 For Investors
Unintended Consequences of Extraordinary Monetary Policy LONG-TERM Starting in 2014, five major central banks, including the BOJ and ECB, enacted negative policy rates in an effort to boost inflation, bank lending, and economic growth. In fact, the impact of negative rates in Europe and Japan has run counter to the intended goals. Aging consumers raised savings rates amid lower interest income, bank lending stayed weak as low loan rates pressured banks’ profit margins, and inflation remained well below target. Negative Policy Rate Considerations Global Bank Stocks Intended Central Unintended U.S. Japan Europe Bank Goals Consequences Price Index: June 30, 2014 = 100 170 Stimulates savings 160 Stimulates consumption (German consumers increased savings rate) 150 140 Hurts bank margins, Incentivizes reduces loan supply 130 bank lending (European/Japan banks in doldrums) 120 110 Reduces debt Keeping weak firms alive, 100 service burden low productivity 90 80 Weakens Limited impact in a world of 70 currency low policy rates Mar-15 Mar-18 Dec-15 Dec-18 Jun-14 Sep-16 Jun-17 Sep-19 Bank stocks represented by MSCI Financials Index at regional level in local currency. Source: Bloomberg Finance L.P., Fidelity Investments 28 (AART), as of 9/30/19.
Nominal GDP and 10- Year U.S. Treasury Highly Correlated 10-Year U.S. Treasury GDP 16 14 12 10-Year U.S. Treasury 10 (%) 8 GDP 6 4 2 0 6/68 6/73 6/78 6/83 6/88 6/93 6/98 6/03 6/08 6/13 6/18 Source: Bloomberg as of 6/30/2018. GDP as of 03/31/2018. GDP data represents annualized 20-quarter percent change. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 29 For Investors
Consider maintaining a core holding in investment grade bonds When Stocks Fall, Bonds Tend to Stabilize Portfolio Returns Bond Returns in Years when Stocks Were Down, 1926–2018 Stocks Investment-Grade Bonds CALENDAR YEAR TOTAL RETURN (%) 20 10 0 -10 -20 -30 -40 -50 1929 1930 1931 1932 1934 1937 1939 1940 1941 1946 1953 1957 1962 1966 1969 1973 1974 1977 1981 1990 2000 2001 2002 2008 2018 Source: Morningstar EnCorr and Fidelity Asset Allocation Research Team (AART), as of 12/31/18. Investment-grade bond returns are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays (BBgBarc) U.S. Aggregate Bond Index from January 1976 and by a composite of the IA SBBI U.S. Intermediate-Term Government Bond Index (67%) and the IA SBBI U.S. Long-Term Corporate Bond Index (33%) from January 1926 through December 1975. Stock returns are represented by the performance of the S&P 500® Index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Not intended to represent the performance of any Fidelity fund. 30 For Investors
Why Bonds Now? The Durability of Bond Returns Incepted in 1976, the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (AGG) has had only 3 years of negative returns—all during a falling rate environment. Fidelity created a synthetic AGG back to 1940 that covers the 40-year period of rising rates from the 1940s to the 1980s. During the entire period, the worst loss was 3.2%. AVERAGE ANNUAL RETURN: 5.3% Annual Positive Annual Return Return 10-Year Treasury Yield Negative Annual Return 35% 30% 25% Average Annual Return (%) 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -0.2% -0.6%-0.3% -1.6% -0.6% -1.0% -0.8% -2.6% -3.2% -2.9% -2.0% -5% 1940 1944 1948 1952 1956 1960 1964 1968 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 2008 2012 2016 Source: Bloomberg, as of 12/31/18. Bond returns from 1940 to 1975 are based on Fidelity Investments’ “Synthetic Aggregate” represented by 67% intermediate government bonds and 33% long-term corporate bonds. Investment-grade bond returns are represented by the Bloomberg Barclays (BBgBarc) U.S. Aggregate Bond Index from January 1976 and by a composite of the IA SBBI U.S. Intermediate-Term Government Bond Index (67%) and the IA SBBI U.S. Long-Term Corporate Bond Index (33%) from January 1926 through December 1975. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. All market indices are unmanaged. Not intended to represent the performance of any Fidelity fund. 31 For Investors
Appendix - 32 For Investors
China growth dynamics over the last 40 years Source: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/looking-back-last-40-years-reforms-china-ray-dalio/ Past performance is no guarantee of future results. 33 For Investors
Important Information Information provided in this document is for informational and educational purposes only. To the extent any investment information in this material is deemed to be a recommendation, it is not meant to be impartial investment advice or advice in a fiduciary capacity and is not intended to be used as a primary basis for you or your client’s investment decisions. Fidelity and its representatives may have a conflict of interest in the products or services mentioned in this material because they have a financial interest in them, and receive compensation, directly or indirectly, in connection with the management, distribution, and/or servicing of these products or services, including Fidelity funds, certain third-party funds and products, and certain investment services. Views expressed are as of the date indicated, based on the information available at that time, and may change based on market and other conditions. Unless otherwise noted, the opinions provided are those of the authors and not necessarily those of Fidelity Investments or its affiliates. Fidelity does not assume any duty to update any of the information. Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. These materials are provided for informational purposes only and should not be used or construed as a recommendation of any security, sector, or investment strategy. In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed income securities also carry inflation, credit, and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. (Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so holding them until maturity to avoid losses caused by price volatility is not possible.) Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments. Foreign securities are subject to interest rate, currency exchange rate, economic, and political risks. Lower-quality bonds can be more volatile and have greater risk of default than higher-quality bonds. 34 For Investors
Important Information All indices are unmanaged and performance of the indices include reinvestment of dividends and interest income, unless otherwise noted, are not illustrative of any particular investment and an investment cannot be made in any index. S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely held U.S. stocks and includes reinvestment of dividends. S&P 500 is a registered service mark of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC. Dow Jones Industrial Average, published by Dow Jones & Company, is a price–weighted index that serves as a measure of the entire U.S. market. The index comprises 30 actively traded stocks, covering such diverse industries as financial services, retail, entertainment, and consumer goods. MSCI EAFE Index is a market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the investable equity market performance for global investors in developed markets, excluding the U.S. & Canada. MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a market capitalization-weighted index that is designed to measure the investable equity market performance for global investors in emerging markets. MSCI ACWI (All Country World Index) ex USA Index is a market capitalization-weighted index designed to measure the investable equity market performance for global investors of large and mid-cap stocks in developed and emerging markets, excluding the United States. Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond is a broad-based, market-value-weighted benchmark that measures the performance of the investment grade, U.S. dollar- denominated, fixed-rate taxable bond market; sectors in the index include Treasuries, government-related and corporate securities, MBS (agency fixed-rate and hybrid ARM pass-throughs), ABS, and CMBS. IA SBBI U.S. Intermediate-Term Government Bond Index is an unweighted index that measures the performance of five-year maturity U.S. Treasury bonds. Each year, a one-bond portfolio containing the shortest non-callable bond having a maturity of not less than five years is constructed. IA SBBI U.S. Long-Term Corporate Bond Index is a custom index designed to measure the performance of long-term U.S. corporate bonds. The health care industries are subject to government regulation and reimbursement rates, as well as government approval of products and services, which could have a significant effect on price and availability, and can be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations. © Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. The information contained herein: (1) is proprietary to Morningstar and/or its affiliates; (2) may not be copied or distributed; (3) is not warranted to be accurate, complete, or timely. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are responsible for any damages or losses arising from any use of this information. Fidelity does not review the Morningstar data. For mutual fund performance information, you should check the fund’s current prospectus for the most up-to-date information concerning applicable loads, fees, and expenses. 35 For Investors
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