Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT

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Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
Competitive
Composite
Highlights
May 2020 CHLT

CONSUMER HEALTH
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
Executive Summary: Q1 Competitive Composite Performance
Overall:
• Competitive Composite is driven primarily by top 3 players (P&G, Unilever, and L'Oréal) accounting for 80% of the composite sales.
• Historically, Competitors have focused on operating profit improvement and have pivoted to focus on growth.
• Each competitor has a unique portfolio with large segments in which Consumer Health does not play; therefore category weighted composite creates a better
  benchmark for performance.
Q1:
• Q1-2020 showcased clear winners and losers based on strength of diversified portfolio and ability to respond to COVID crisis. J&J outperformed 5 out 6 competitors
  (only RB Q1 +12% outplaced J&J at +11%)
• Players with strong self care, vitamins/supplements portfolios, and hygiene focused home care offerings faired well; however, those with strong premium beauty, travel
  retail, perishable food portfolios experienced declines given lockdown restrictions.
           o   P&G (+6%), Reckitt (+12%), Colgate (+8%) have benefitted from pantry loading with health and hygiene focused segments
           o   L'Oréal (-4.8%) saw steep declines driven by Luxe business (-9%) impacted greatly by Travel Retail but maintained strength in our most direct competitor,
               the Active Segment (+13%) with brands like Kiehls, Cerave
           o   Despite a heavy Homecare portfolio Unilever remained flat driven by declines in Food, primarily ice cream sales impacted by global lockdowns
           o   Outside of CC, other Self Care players like GSK (+11%) and Bayer (+6%) grew double digits driven by cough/cold, pain, and vitamins/supplements
               solutions
           •   Consistent with prior quarters, grew e-commerce sales between 35-50% in response to changes in consumer behavior
Outlook:
• Looking at FY guidance, there are varied outlooks - RB signaled an increase in guidance. P&G* and GSK have held 2020 guidance, while L'Oréal, Unilever, &
  Colgate have withdrawn FY2020 guidance
• While uncertainty remains for Q2 and 2H2020, we anticipate increased focus/investment behind health & hygiene platforms, more distortion towards e-commerce, and a
  more balanced approach to pricing to meet economic downturn ahead.
• Based on FBP, we expect to meet Ops Profit** and exceed IBT & NI vs. composite setting the foundation to grow faster than market while holding ​competitive margins
                                                                                                                                                                      2
  in 2021 and over the long term​.
                                                                                                                                                          CONSUMER HEALTH

                                                                                                      *Note P&G fiscal year ends June 30, 2020. ** vs. Category Weighted Composite
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
A complex competitive set with no true like-for-like competitor
Varied portfolios with segments comparable to our CH franchises but large proportions of their business in non-comparable segments; thus
category weighted composite provides more relevant comparison. Competitors focused on op margin improvement starting to drive growth

  Composite                        2020                2020 Ops 2020 Ops CAGR         Comps to J&J Franchises(3)                                                            Non-Comp(3)                       Commentary
  Competitors(1)                   Sales (2)           Growth % Profit % 2019-2024(2) (% of Total Competitor Business)                                                      Home, Food, Pet, Lux
                                                                                                                                                                            (% of Total Business)
                                   (USD B)

                                    $14B                2.2%              20.1%                 2.7%                     32%               29%               38%
                                                                                                                                                                                              P&G’s Essential Health “comparable”
                                    $72B                3.3%              23.1%                  3.7%                    12%               19%                26%               42%           portfolio include Baby Diaper, Toilet Paper;
                                                                                                                                                                                              therefore, not Like-for-like. Non-com
                                                                                                                                                                                              includes Homecare and Grooming
                                                                                                                                                                                              Skin Health and Personal Care
                                    $64B                2.8%              20.1%                  4.8%                        -                   --- 42%---                     58%
                                                                                                                                                                                              reported together. Non-comp
                                                                                                                                                                                              includes Home Care and Food.

                                                                                                                                                                                              Non-comp include Luxe and
                                    $36B                3.5%              19.0%                  5.6%                        -             52%                  -               48%           Professional segments

                                                                                                                                                                                              Non-comp includes Home Hygiene,
                                    $17B                1.6%              22.7%                  3.0%                     15%                -                   -              85%
                                                                                                                                                                                              infant formula, and Other (foot and
                                                                                                                                                                                              sexual health).
                                                                                                                                                                                              Colgate’s “Essential Health” comparable
                                    $16B                3.9%              24.0%                  2.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                              includes Personal Care and Oral Care
                                                                                                                             -              -                 66%               34%           combined, including some non-for-like
                                                                                                                                                                                              categories soaps, toothpaste & toothbrushes

                                      $9B               4.0%              14.5%                  4.5%                                                                                         Non-comp include Tesa tape
                                                                                                                             -             82%                  -               18%           business
   CH Composite                                         3.1%                21.2%                4.2%                                                                                          Note: Click on Competitor Logos
   CH Composite - Category Weighted                                         20.0%                                                                                                              for Overview of Portfolio and
                                                                                                                                                                                               FY2019 Performance
                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CONSUMER HEALTH
     Notes: (1) Top 3 players account for 80% of competitive Composite; (2) Sales, Growth, Ops Profit, and CAGR outlook from 2020 Competitive Composite BP; (3) Comparable and Non-Comparable segment proportions
     based on FY2019 actuals
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
CH to hit Operating Profit* and exceed IBT & NI vs. Composite based on
BP2020; Models to be updated with JU and Q1-20 Comp performance
             *CH to meet Ops Profit (20.1%) vs. Category
            Weighted benchmark (20.0 %) & exceed IBT & NI
                                                    P&L Margin Performance
                                                      Margins Summary – BP 2020                                                                 CH expecting to fall below Composite
P&L Margin -                                                                 CONSUMER Competitors
2020 BP
                        J&J        Composite*
                                                    P&G*         UNLV*       L'OREAL*   RECKITT     COLGATE   BEIERSDORF*                       in Ops Growth (2.2% vs. 3.1%) setting
 NTS                   13,951        240,900        71,747       63,532        36,985      16,939    16,418      9,042                              foundation for growth in 2021
 GP%*                  58.3%          57.9%         54.9%         48.5%        76.5%       60.9%     59.8%       61.4%                                    Ops Sales Performance
                                                                                                                                                            Growth Summary – BP 2020
 SG&A %*               34.1%          34.2%         29.0%         26.6%        54.1%       36.5%     34.0%       43.9%
                                                                                                                            Company                                              Ops. Sales Growth
 R&D %                 3.4%           2.5%           2.9%         1.8%         3.4%         1.8%      1.8%       3.1%                                  2020 NTS    2015   2016   2017      2018      2019     2020 BP
 OP PROFIT %
               *       20.1%          21.2%         23.1%         20.1%        19.0%       22.7%     24.0%       14.5%      Beiersdorf
                                                                                                                            Colgate Palmolive
                                                                                                                                                           9,042
                                                                                                                                                          16,418
                                                                                                                                                                   3.0%
                                                                                                                                                                   4.7%
                                                                                                                                                                          3.2%
                                                                                                                                                                          4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                 5.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                 1.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                          5.4%
                                                                                                                                                                                          0.5%
                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.1%
                                                                                                                                                                                                     4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 4.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 3.9%
 IBT %                 21.8%          20.5%         23.3%         18.3%        19.9%       20.7%     21.0%       13.5%
                                                                                                                            L'Oreal                       36,985   3.9%   4.7%   4.8%     7.1%       8.0%        3.5%
 NI %                  17.2%          15.8%         19.2%         13.4%        14.9%       16.0%     15.7%       9.6%
                                                                                                                            Procter & Gamble              71,747   0.5%   2.0%   1.5%     2.5%       6.0%        3.3%
 TAX rate              20.9%          22.7%         17.8%         26.9%        25.1%       22.6%     25.0%       29.0%      Unilever                      63,532   4.0%   3.8%   3.1%     2.9%       2.9%        2.8%
                                                                                                                            Reckitt Benckiser             16,939   6.0%   3.0%   0.0%     3.0%       0.8%        1.6%
                   Note : (1) J&J color coding (green & red) reflects performance vs. Composite
                                                                                                                            Consumer Composite                     2.9%   3.2%   2.5%     3.4%       4.8%        3.1%
                          (2) Competitors color coding (blue) reflects Best-In-Class
                                                                                                                                                          13,951   4.1%   3.2%   -0.5%    3.2%       1.4%        2.2%
                   * Shifts distribution expense from COGS to SG&A for PG, UNLV, L'Oréal and Beiersdorf                     J&J Consumer
                                                                                                                                                                                                            **
                   *Consumer Composite Category-Weighted Op Profit Analysis
                   currently benchmarking 20.0% for Competitor Composite.
                                                                                                                            **CH Ops Growth excluding SKU rat: 2.8%

                                                                                                                                                                                            CONSUMER HEALTH
         Note: Competitive Composite performance to be recast with JU.
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
Q1 2020 Performance
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
Q1 Winners and Losers, Broader Trends and Implications

                              Key Q1 Trends                                    Implications for J&J Consumer Health

    Increased focus on health & personal hygiene solutions                     Greater competitive battleground across self and
    - High growth in Pain, VMS, Other OTC, Oral Care, Cleansing                personal care categories

    Steep declines in Prestige Beauty                                          Competitors may shift media/support models from travel
    - SKII, L'Oréal Luxe, premium brands challenged by dips in Travel Retail   retail to in-country support in Asia. In US, may create opt to
                                                                               downstream consumers from premium to Neutrogena.
    Strong performance by steadfast heritage brands
                                                                               Increased competitive messaging behind efficacy & trust
    - As consumers look for quality, efficacy that still delivers value
                                                                               with a balanced pricing approach mindful of new economics
    Continued eCommerce Acceleration
    - Growth of 35-50% in response to changes in consumer behavior
                                                                               More aggressive e-commerce focus and spend as
                                                                               consumer shift buying behavior
    Targeted Geographical Wins                                                 Competitors will take varied approaches to compensate
    - Pockets of geographical growth including NA, LATAM, and East Europe      for AP declines. Preparedness to meet pent up
    while AP drove steep declines after quarters of consistent growth          demands as restrictions lift in key categories (beauty/sun)
    Variability on outlook and levels of investment                            is critical
    - Varied outlook on market uncertainty for 2020 with some increasing        Flexible spend models required to adapt to changing
    investment and some retracting (Colgate, P&G, Reckitt, GSK, Bayer to        competitive pressures
    invest; while Unilever & L’Oreal may retract)
                                                                                                                         CONSUMER HEALTH
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
P&G sees uptick, while Unilever and L'Oréal sink in Q1
Top 3 players in Composite had varied performance: P&G strength in Health and Homecare while Unilever
and L’Oreal declined
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             13.2%
                                                       9.0%                                          10.0%
                                                                        7.0%                                                                             2.4%
                               6.0%
                                          1.0%                                                                                      0.3%
Sales                                                                                 -1.0%                         0.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                           Total        Professional     Consumer       L'Oréal              Active
                               Total     Beauty     Health Care          Baby        Grooming       Home Care        Total        Beauty & PC          Home Care          Foods & R                      Products        Products        Luxe               Cosmetics
Performance                                                              Fem                                     Below analyst
                                                                                                                                                                           -1.7%
                                                                                                                                                                                          -4.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          -3.6%
                                                                        Family                                    consensus                                                                               -10.5%                        -9.3%
                                                  14.0%                                 15.0%
Q1 2020 vs PY                          10.0%                                                          11.0%                                     4.8%               4.9%
J&J Q1 Performance            6.0%                                          6.0%                                                                                                                                                     0.8%
                                                                                                                                                                               1.4%
Self Care +25%                                                                                                      0.0%                                                                 Total      Western     North      Asia      Latin        Eastern       Africa
                                                                                                                                 -3.7%                                                              Europe     America    Pacific   America       Europe     Middle East
                              Total     US        Canada      Greater       Europe      Europe        LATAM
Skin health +3.5%                                              China       Focused     Enterprise
                                                                                                                    Total         Asia      North America       LATAM          Europe    -4.8%                  -4.8%
                                                                                                                                 AMET                                                                                     -3.7%                   -1.4%         -5.6%
Essentials (ex Baby) ~10%                                     -8.0%                                                               RUB                                                                -7.7%

                                                                                                                                                                                        +52.6%         | ~20% of company sales
eCommerce                      +35% | Remained 10% of company sales
                                                                                                                    +36% | Driven by US, doubled sales vs Q4
                                                                                                                    +37% | Growth in China                                               +67%          | Growth in China
Q1 2020 vs PY
                                       Signaled continued brand investment while                                      • Advertisement production stopped                                           Advertising expenses will be cut while markets are
 BME                                   scaling back on trade/pricing promotion                                        • Relocate investment to areas of highest ROI                                locked down; But investment could follow

                             Pantry loading has shifted about 2 points of sales                                 Despite growth in homecare (Cif, Domestos bleach,                       Luxe declines driven by low travel retail. Strength in
Highlights                   growth on a global basis from Q2 into Q1.                                          Botanical Hygiene and 7th Gen), Food Segment                            active cosmetics mainly in pharmacies and drug stores
                                                                                                                representing 37% of portfolio dragged driven by low ice                 (Kiehls and Cerave)
& Outlook                    GP increased 130 bps by productivity and 2% price                                  cream consumption.
                             increase in Beauty, partially offset by product mix                                                                                                        No changes to full year guidance, but expects a ‘more
                                                                                                                                                                                        difficult market’ in Q2 vs Q1. Also anticipates less
                             Q2 estimate is close to 0% to 4%. No changes to                                     Withdrew Initial guidance of 3-5% and operating Margin
                                                                                                                                                                                        competition from cash-strapped smaller players.
                             guidance as Q2 will be final Fiscal quarter for P&G                                 outlook of 20%.

                            SK-II consumption started to rebound late Q1 in China                                Expected Q2 to be a difficult quarter                                  China expected to grow double digits in Q2. Mainland
                                                                                                                                                                                        showing signs of recovery in March

Implication                  P&G likely to focus spend behind healthcare                                                                                                                L’Oreal bullish on year ahead, likely to increase  7
                                                                                                                Unilever likely to pull back investment and recalibrate
                             segment, particularly OTC (Vicks) and turning around                                                                                                       investment, doubling down on e-comm and efforts to
                                                                                                                portfolio and focus on high growth regions NA,                                                      CONSUMER    HEALTH to
                             growth on SKII . Anticipate shifts towards e-comm                                                                                                          bounce back in Lux, Consumer     and continue
                                                                                                                LATAM
                             and dialing up comms in efficacy and brand trust.                                                                                                          invest behind Active segment.
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
RB, Colgate up driven by health & hygiene; Beiersdorf down
Growth driven by pantry loading of health essentials; Beiersdorf skin portfolio drive declines; Mixed views
on 2020 outlook

                                                                                                                                                                          22%
                                                                     32%

                                                                                   17%                         8%
                                    12%            11%                                                                                  7%
 Sales                                                                                                                       4%                   2%                                         -4%             -3%                  -5%

 Performance                        Total         Hygiene            OTC        Other Health       IFCN
                                                                                                    -2%        Total         NA        Latam     Europe      AP           Africa          Total            Consumer               Tesa
                                                                                                                                                            -15%
 Q1 2020 vs PY                   Total Health
                                                                                                                                                                                                              19%
J&J Q1 Performance                                       40%                                                                                                                         Consumer
Self Care +25%                        13%                                    14%
                                                                                                                                                                                       -3%         1%
                                                                                                  1%
Skin health +3.5%                                                                                                                                                                    Consumer      NA         Latam      Europe    Africa, Asia, Aus
                                   Total Health      North America         Europe/ANZ          Developing                                                                                                                                -5%
Essentials (ex Baby) ~10% Note weak 2019 Comparator across                                                                                                                                                                -7%

                               +50% | Driven by growth in both health and hygiene                             +55% | Driven by North America                                        +23% | Driven by Consumer
 eCommerce
 Q1 2020 vs PY

                                       Anticipate greater BME investment and higher                                    Q1 Advertising up +13%. Increased investment in                  Q1 Digital advertising spend up +43%
   BME                                 operating costs.                                                                NA, Europe and Africa as well as Hills division.

                                2020 Performance now expected to be better than                             The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance                 The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance.
                                original guidance, although the outlook for the balance of                  due to the uncertainty surrounding the business impacts
  Highlights &                  2020 remains uncertain. Expect to incur higher operating                    from COVID-19 and related macroeconomic volatility.
                                costs, particularly in supply chain.
                                                                                                            Expect additional volume in Q1 to impact future quarters.
  Outlook                       2B£ Investment behind Multi-year Productivity program to                    Expect government actions and economic uncertainty to
                                rebuild earnings model, drive organic revenue growth, mid-                  reduce category growth in many markets.
                                20s margin and 7-9% EPS growth.

                                                                                                             Based on guidance withdrawal, anticipate a more
   Implication                  Anticipate more aggressive investment behind OTC
                                                                                                             cautious Colgate, as they may have to evaluate their
                                                                                                                                                                                    Anticipate a cautious Beiersdorf to approach balance
                                – Mucinex, VMS and e-commerce particularly in                                                                                                       of 2020 with moderate intensity behind struggling 8
                                                                                                             pricing strategy and approach recent M&A plans with                    Nivea and LaPraire.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                CONSUMER HEALTH
                                developed markets to capitalize on trial/growth.
                                                                                                             more vigilance
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
GSK, Bayer and KC showing growth & profit improvement
Growth across categories with higher levels of consumer spend in health & wellness

                                                                                                                                                 14%

                                                                                                25%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   13%
                                                                                19%                                                                                                                 8%
                                                                14%                                                            6%                                                  6%                              6%
                                 11%             11%                                                                                                            4%                                                                                   4%
Sales                                                                                                           0%
Performance                    Total CHC         Oral            Pain           VMS          Respiratory     Digestive         Total             CHC           Pharma          Crop Science        Total         Personal        C. Tissue         KC Prof.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Care
Q1 2020 vs PY
                                Total CHC (Proforma growth)                                                                 Total CHC                                               22.3%        Total PC
                                                            23%                                                                                                                                                    10%
J&J Q1 Performance                                                                                                          13.5%        14.3%         13.7%
                                     11%                                                                                                                                6.1%                        6%                                                5%
Self Care +25%                                                                      6%                      8%                                                                                                                      3%
Skin health +3.5%
                                  Total CHC                 US**                  Europe**             International**     Total CHC     EMEA          NAM              APAC        LATAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                  Total PC         NAM        Emerging Markets   Australia, SK,
Essentials (ex Baby) ~10%   **Proforma growth assumption based on CER growth contribution by country                                                                                                                                              WC Europe

                            US, UK, Australia among other markets, benefited from
 eCommerce                  pantry loading in retail and e-commerce.                                                           Bayer didn’t disclose e-commerce results.                            KC didn’t disclose e-commerce results.
 Q1 2020 vs PY              GSK didn’t disclose e-commerce results.

                                      Savings are intended to be re-invested in R&D and                                          Higher marketing expenses during Q1 2020, no                        Continue to invest in brands, however some activities
  BME                                 commercial support of new products.                                                        guidance for 2020.                                                  will be temporarily pushed back.

                            Maintained guidance and outlook for 2020 and EPS                                             No revised guidance was provided on outlook. Impact of               KC is withdrawing its previous 2020 guidance of Organic
                            guidance of -1% to -4%                                                                       COVID-19 on cannot be reliably assessed at this time and will        sales +2% and temporarily suspending forward-looking
  Highlights &              Attributes 2/3 of Q1 growth to increased COVID-19 buying                                     update guidance throughout the year                                  guidance due to lack of visibility and uncertainty.
                            patterns and demand primarily for OTC & wellbeing products
  Outlook
                            Operating profit increased in CHC 26.8%, strong                                              Operating profit increased in CHC by 10.3%                            Operating Profit up by 24%, driven by organic sales
                            operating leverage partially offset by increased promotional                                                                                                       growth and cost savings from the company's FORCE
                            investment                                                                                    Note: All figures above are Fx & portfolio adjusted .                program (Focused On Reducing Costs)

  Implication               GSK likely to increase spend behind new Pain                                                 Bayer to continue to invest heavily behind Nutritionals              KC likely to continue focus on profitability and
                            launches, Allergy, Oral Care, VMS to capitalize on                                           (Berocca, One-a-day), Pain (Aleve, Aspirin) and                      lowering trade promotion.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             CONSUMER HEALTH                  9
                            momentum, particularly behind Advil, Panadol, Voltaren                                       Allergy (Claritin).
                            and EmergeC. Comms to drive up efficacy/trust
Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
Home Care & OTC categories driving nearly all growth for key
competitors, aside from L'Oréal where Cosmetics grew.
   Drivers
                       • Home Care (+51%)           •   Americas (+83%)        •   US (+52%)               •   Cosmetics (+27%)        • Oral, Personal, Home                     •   US (82%)
                       • Baby, Feminine, & Family   •   Home Care (+80%)       •   Pain Relief (+33%)      •   Latin America (+1%)       Care (+56%)                              •   OTC (+75%)
Overall                  Care (+29%)                •   eCommerce (+36%)*      •   International (+31%)    •   Luxe (-69%)             • Pet Nutrition (+44%)                     •   International (+18%)
(share of growth)      • eCommerce (+35%)*          •   LATAM (+3.1% price)    •   Vitamin, Mineral &      •   Western Europe (-46%)   • Latin America (+30%)**                   •   Skin Health (+10%)
                       • US (+10%)*                                                Supplements (+24%)                                  • eCommerce (+55%)*
                                                                                                                                       **Only Oral, Personal, Home Care growth
                       *% Growth YOY
                       • Home Care (+51%)           • Home Care (+80%)         • Pain Relief (+33%)        • Cosmetics (+27%)         • Oral, Personal, Home                      • OTC (+75%)
Category               • Baby, Feminine, & Family   • Beauty (+20%)            • Vitamin, Mineral &        • Luxe (-69%)                Care (+56%)                               • Beauty (+10%)
(share of growth)        Care (+29%)                                             Supplement (+24%)         • Consumer Product      (- • Pet Nutrition (+44%)                      • Oral Care (+10%)
                       • Health Care (+18%)                                    • Respiratory Health +20%     32%)
                       • US (+10%)*                 • Americas (+83%)          • US (+52%)                 • Latin America (+1%)      • Latin America (+30%)**                    • US (82%)
                       • China (-8%)*               • Europe (+17%)            • International (+31%)      • Western Europe (-46%)    • North America (+24%)**                    • International (18%)
Region                                              • Asia/AMET/RUB            • Europe (+17%)             • North America (-26%)     • Asia Pacific (-18%)**
                         *% Growth YOY
(share of growth)                                     contributed negatively                               • Asia Pacific (-25%)
                                                                                                                                        **Only Oral, Personal, Home Care growth

                       • Price (+1%) Overall    • Overall Price (-0.2%)        • N/A                       • Premium/Luxe drove - • Overall Price (+2%)           • N/A
Price/Mix              • Beauty & Grooming each • LATAM (+3.1% price)                                        69% of the growth, after • LATAM price (+6.5%)
(% growth)               took (+2%) price                                                                    +60% of the growth in Q4 • Pet Nutrition price (+4%)
                       • Health Care & Family &                                                                                       • APAC price (+1.0%)
                         Home Care (+1%) Mix

                       • eCommerce (+35%)           • eCommerce (+36%)         • N/A                       • eCommerce (+52.6%)        • Overall eCommerce                        • N/A
Channel                  (~10% of total sales)                                                                 (~20% of total sales)     (+55%)
(% growth)                                                                                                 • Travel Retail (-12%)      • Pet Nutrition eCom
                                                                                                                                         (+57%)
                    *% FY Growth YOY                                                                                                                                                  CONSUMER HEALTH        10
P&G, Reckitt, GSK have held 2020 guidance, while L'Oréal, Unilever,
& Colgate have withdrawn FY2020 guidance
             •   Colgate (5/1): Colgate reported Q1 organic sales increased 7.5% (+5% growth in Q4), but withdrew its 2020 financial
                 guidance due to uncertainty surrounding the business impacts from COVID-19 and macroeconomic volatility. Colgate
                 expects some of the strong Q1 volume growth to come out of future quarters, as consumers work through pantry
                 inventory in certain categories
             •   GSK (4/29): Based on their current assessment of the impact of COVID-19, GSK is maintaining their full year 2020
                 guidance at this time. They will update guidance as more information becomes available to inform financial
                 performance for the full year, if needed. GSK sales on a pro-forma basis increased +11% compared to last year.
             •   Unilever (4/23): Unilever withdrew prior FY 2020 guidance of 3-5%, and also withdrew their Operating Margin
                 outlook of 20% due to COVID-19 uncertainties, & expects Q2 to also be difficult. Unilever Q1 sales were flat compared
                 to last year.
             •   P&G (4/17): Grew +6% in Q1 (up from +5% in Q4), & has maintained its guidance for organic sales growth in the
                 range of 4-5% for fiscal 2020 (ending Q2). For Q2, they expect sales to fall in the minus 2% to plus 2% range as pantry
                 loading has shifted about 2 points of sales growth on a global basis from Q2 into Q1.
             •   L'Oréal (4/16): “The lack of visibility on the timing of an end to this health crisis leads L'Oréal to suspend its guidance.”
                 The Group reports Q1 sales declined -4.8% compared to last year. The company expects the global market to be
                 more difficult in Q2 compared to Q1. Goldman Sachs estimates -3.1% growth FY 2020.

             •   Reckitt (4/30): “2020 Performance now expected to be better than original guidance, although the outlook for the
                 balance of 2020 remains uncertain”

             •   Beiersdorf (5/5): “The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance.”
         Source: Company Press Releases                                                                                       CONSUMER HEALTH    11
Competitive Composite Central: New TEAMS site available
housing competitor performance, profiles and new news!
                                                                             Includes:

                                                                             ✓   Summary of Quarterly
                                                                                 Performance

                                                                             ✓   One-pager Competitive
                                                                                 Profiles

                                                                             ✓   Recent news across top
                                                                                 competitors

For team access please contact: Laura Bueno de Greco (lbuenod@its.jnj.com)
                                                                                              CONSUMER HEALTH   12
Appendix:
Competitor Profiles
L'Oréal Overview
Strongest growth driven by Luxury, Asia Pacific, Travel Retail and e-Commerce

             2019 Summary of Performance                                         Financial Performance                                    2019 Portfolio Overview
 o L'Oréal has delivered steady growth with 2019 delivering       2015-2019 CAGR: 5.7%
                                                                                                                                J&J Comparable segments account for 52% of the
   a strong +8%;                                                                                                                    business and grew 5.4% vs total at 8.0%
                                                                                      Financial Metrics
 o Since 2016, L'Oréal has made several bolt on acquisitions,                       2016    2017     2018   2019    2020        +15.5%
   while divesting The Body Shop.                                 Net Trade Sales ($
                                                                        MM)          $28,601 $29,388 $31,825 $35,295 $36,985
                                                                   Organic Growth     4.7%    4.8%    7.1%    8.0%    3.5% +3.2%                                   +3.3%
1o Premiumizing the Portfolio: Luxe, (Lancome, Kiehls,                  GP %          75.4%   75.7%   76.6%   76.8% 76.5%
   Armani) accounting for ~40% of the portfolio, grew +14%            SG&A %        54.2%   53.9%   54.7%   54.6%   54.1%
   and drove 60% of Loreal’s growth with a high GP portfolio.        Op Prof %      17.9%   18.5%   18.5%   18.8%   19.0%
   This a segment where J&J does not have strong presence.                                                                                                                  +2.0%             +2.6%
                                                                                                                                                                                               EMEA
 o When comparing like for like segments, our share is flat vs.                                                             +13.8%                                                              total

   Loreal Consumer -.1 pts.

2o Emerging Markets: Asia, specifically China Luxe and the                             P&L Trends
   Travel Retail Channel, has delivered explosive growth,
   +25.5% in 2019. Highlighting the importance of China as a                                                                                           +25.5%
   growth platform for our Skin Health Stronghold                                                                                                                                             -0.8%

                                                                                                                              Comparable                Top Categories/Brands
3o Channel Expansion: Ecommerce grew 52% and represents                                                                       Segments
   16% of total sales – this was also heavily weighted to China
   with ecommerce accounting for 50% of the China                                                                             Consumer                  Skincare – L'Oréal Paris, Garnier,
                                                                                                                                                        Maybelline
   Business.
                                                                                                                              Active Products           Vichy, La Roche-Posay,
                                                                                                                                                                CONSUMER HEALTHCeraVe

                                                                                                                              Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
P&G Overview
Pricing, Beauty expansion, and recent acquisitions step-changing growth across portfolio

              2019 Summary of Performance                                            Financial Performance                                       2019 Portfolio Overview
 o P&Gs step-change growth in 2019 of 6% driven by pricing,           2015-2019 CAGR: 2.5%
                                                                                                                                      J&J Comparable segments account for 58% of the
   beauty expansion (SKII), core Fabric/Home Care growth and                                                                                business and grew 6.1% vs. total 6%
   recent acquisitions.
                                                                                          Financial Metrics                        +3.3%
 o From 2014-16, P&G pruned portfolio to focus on brands                                2016    2017     2018    2019     2020
                                                                                                                                                                  +8.8%
   that are structurally attractive and play to P&G’s strengths.      Net Trade Sales ($
   Significant productivity program implemented and extended                MM)          $65,231 $65,732 $66,912 $69,594 $71,747
                                                                       Organic Growth    2.0%    1.5%    2.5%     6.0%    3.3%                                              +2.0%
   to 2022. Gains are expected to be reinvested to grow
                                                                           GP %         55.0%   54.5%   53.0%    54.3%   54.9%
   brands.
                                                                          SG&A %        29.9%   29.1%   28.8%    28.8%   29.0%
1o Premiumizing the Portfolio: SKII continues to thrive as               Op Prof %      22.2%   22.5%   21.3%    22.7%   23.1%                                  +7.8%
    prestige expansion grows, particularly in AP. SKII is estimated                                                                +7.5%
    to have contributed 19% of total P&G growth. Health Care
    growth driven by premiumization in Oral Care (e.g.,
    Toothpastes and Devices in Crest and Oral B)
                                                                                            P&L Trends
2o Pricing and Mix: Price action (+1%) was taken across the
   portfolio; No further price action anticipated in 2020.                                                                                   Regional sales not disclosed
   Channel Expansion: Global e-commerce up 30%, representing
3                                                                                                                                   Relevant        Top Categories/Brands
   now 10% of total sales                                                                                                           Segments

4
 o Acquisitions Strategy: Assets acquired over the past 2 years                                                                     Beauty &        Hair – Pantene, Head & Shoulders, Skin –
                                                                                                                                    Groom           Olay, SKII; Grooming – Braun, Gillette, Bilie
   (This is L, Walker & Co, First Aid Beauty, Native, Snowberry,
   and most recently Billie ) starting to pay off. Leveraging new                                                                   Health          Oral Care – Crest, Oral B, Personal health –
                                                                                                                                    care            Prilosec, Vicks, vitamins
   audiences, new technologies, new business models, new
                                                                                                                                    Baby, Fem       Fem Care – Always, Tampax
   channels to elevate base (e.g., naturals in antiperspirants).
                                                                                                                                                                            CONSUMER HEALTH

                                                                                                                                    Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Unilever Overview
Emerging markets supporting growth; Portfolio recalibration and sustainability positioning

             2019 Summary of Performance                                         Financial Performance                                        2019 Portfolio Overview
o Unilever’s moderate growth within composite, driven by                                                                            J&J Comparable segments account for 42% of the
                                                                      2015-2019 CAGR: 3.3%                                              business and grew 2.6% vs total at 2.9%
  Home Care division and Pricing particularly across Emerging
                                                                                        Financial Metrics
  Markets
                                                                                      2016   2017     2018     2019    2020
                                                                      Net Trade Sales
                                                                                                                                +1.5%
                                                                          ($ MM)      $58,352 $60,660 $60,234 $61,413 $63,532
1o Portfolio: Home care accounting for 21% of the portfolio           Organic Growth    3.8%   3.1%    2.9%    2.9%    2.8%                                          +2.6%
   drove 52% of total growth.                                              GP %        46.7% 47.2% 47.9% 48.1% 48.5%
                                                                         SG&A %        28.0% 27.2% 27.1% 26.5% 26.6%
                                                                        Op Prof %      16.9% 18.1% 19.1% 19.8% 20.1%
2o Emerging Markets: EM representing 60% of total sales
   delivered 100% of growth in 2019, with the largest                                                                           +6.1%
   proportion coming from Asia Pacific.
                                                                                                                                                           -0.6%                                  +5.0%

3o Pricing: LATAM saw price increases of +5% and AP saw                                  P&L Trends
   increases between 2-3%. This was offset by price decreases
   in Developed markets.                                                                                                                               +2.7%
                                                                                                                                                       NA +0.3%
                                                                                                                                                       LATAM +5.1%

4o Channel Expansion: Ecommerce grew 30% and represents
   6% of total sales. Digital hubs for content creation and digital
                                                                                                                                   Relevant        Top Categories/Brands
   engagement expanded to 38 locations.                                                                                            Segment
                                                                                                                                   Beauty/         Skin Care – Dove, Lux, Sunsilk, Simple,
                                                                                                                                   Personal        Vaseline, Demalogica, Living Proof, Murad
                                                                                                                                                                     CONSUMER HEALTH

                                                                                                                                  Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Colgate Overview
Pricing action, Emerging Market focus and Acquisitive mode pushing into premium skincare and naturals

              2019 Summary of Performance                                           Financial Performance                                                      2019 Portfolio Overview
o Colgate’s 4% growth demonstrates an improvement from                  2015-2019 CAGR: 2.8%
                                                                                                                                                    J&J Comparable segments account for 66% of the
  historical trajectory and was driven primarily by pricing                                                                                             business and grew 3.5% vs total at 4.0%
  action (with Total line upgrade) as well as growth in Emerging                             Financial Metrics
  Markets.                                                                                  2016 2017 2018                2019      2020
                                                                                                                                             +7.5%
                                                                         Net Trade Sales
                                                                             ($ MM)        $15,195   $15,454   $15,544   $15,693   $16,418
                                                                         Organic Growth     4.0%      1.0%      0.5%      4.0%      3.9%
1o Acquisition Strategy: Recent acquisitions with Filorga,                   GP %           60.3%     60.5%     59.6%     59.5%     59.8%
   Prestige Skin Care, and Hello, premium natural oral care,                SG&A %          32.5%     33.1%     32.7%     33.4%     34.0%
   illustrate that Colgate is looking to diversify its portfolio into      Op Prof %        26.3%     25.5%     25.1%     24.3%     24.0%                                                                     +2.3%
   high growth, premium categories and expand consumer base
   into naturals
                                                                                                                                                        +3.5%
                                                                                                                                             Across Oral, Personal, Home Care
2o Pricing: Overall pricing was up +1.5% across portfolio with
   10% price increase on Total Line since relaunch.
                                                                                              P&L Trends                                                                    -1.0%
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  -0.03%

3o Emerging Markets: Emerging Markets accounting for 46% of
                                                                                                                                                                                            -1.1%
   sales, drove 50% of the total growth.                                                                                                           Relevant         Top Categories/Brands
                                                                                                                                                   Segments
                                                                                                                                                   Oral Care        Toothpaste, manual and automatic
4o Channel Expansion: e-Commerce up +30% and with Filorga
                                                                                                                                                                    toothbrushes, Mouthwash. Colgate/ Hello.
   acquisition expanding opportunities in pharmacy and                                                                                             Personal         Liquid handsoap/ Deodorants; Professional
   specialty channels.                                                                                                                             Care             Skincare products. Palmolive, Softsoap, Irish
                                                                                                                                                                    spring, Speed stick.
                                                                                                                                                                                    CONSUMER HEALTH

                                                                                                                                                  Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Beiersdorf Overview
Strong European presence; acquisition to broaden geographic footprint in NA

         2019 Summary of Performance                                  Financial Performance                                        2019 Portfolio Overview
o Beiersdorf delivered 4.1% growth with all growth      2015-2019 CAGR: 4.3%
                                                                                                                        J&J Comparable segments account for 82% of the
  delivered by Consumer segment, focused primarily                                                                          business and grew 4.8% vs total at 4.1%
  on Skin Health.                                                          Financial Metrics
                                                                        2016    2017     2018       2019     2020
o Q3-2019 Coppertone acquisition to round out Skin      Net Trade Sales                                               +0.8%
  health portfolio and create opportunities to expand       ($ MM)      $7,474    $7,968   $8,546   $9,104   $9,104
  footprint in the America                              Organic Growth 3.2%        5.7%     5.4%     4.1%     4.0%
                                                             GP %       62.4%     62.3%    61.1%    61.5%    61.4%                                        +4.8%
                                                           SG&A %       44.5%     44.1%    42.8%    43.9%    43.9%
                                                          Op Prof %     15.1%     15.4%    15.4%    14.4%    14.5%

                                                                                P&L Trends

                                                                                                                        Relevant        Top Categories/Brands
                                                                                                                        Segments

                                                                                                                        Consumer        Body Care - Nivea, Eucerin, La
                                                                                                                                        Prairie, Hansaplast, Acquaphor,
                                                                                                                                        Florena, Coopertone
                                                                                                                                                       CONSUMER HEALTH

                                                                                                                        Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Reckitt Benckiser
Mild growth due to dragging OTC and Vitamin business. Restructuring ahead to yield
productivity savings by 2023 but short term losses to P&L.
             Summary of Performance                                    Financial Performance                                            Portfolio Overview
  o Reckitt’s low growth of 0.8% driven by declines                                                                        J&J Comparable segments account for 15% of the
    in OTC (-4.4%) and Other/Multivitamins (-2.2%)       2015-2019 CAGR: 2.6%                                                  business declined -3.1% vs total at 0.8%

    offset by Home and Hygiene (up +3.6%) and                               Financial Metrics
    Infant nutrition (+2.6%).                                            2016    2017     2018     2019    2020
                                                         Net Trade Sales                                            -2.2%
                                                             ($ MM)      $13,416 $14,830 $16,827 $17,160 $16,939
                                                                                                                                                         +3.6%
  o Restructuring: Reckitt to invest ~ £ 2BN over the    Organic Growth 3.0%      0.0%    3.0%    0.8%    1.6%
    next 3 years, funded in part by a 3 year ~ £ 1.3BN       GP %        61.3%     61.1%   60.6%   60.5%   60.9%
    productivity savings program, to achieve ~3% LFL        SG&A %       31.3%     32.3%   32.2%   32.6%   36.5%
                                                           Op Prof %     28.4%     27.1%   26.7%   26.2%   22.7%
    sales growth and 7-9% EPS growth by 2023. The
    remaining investment will be a direct hit to the                                                               -4.4%
    P&L resulting in a loss of 350 bps in 2020
    operating profit margin.                                                                                                      +2.6%

                                                                                 P&L Trends

                                                                                                                       Relevant           Top Categories/Brands
                                                                                                                       Segments

                                                                                                                       OTC                Nurofen, Gaviscon, Mucinex

                                                                                                                       Notes: Excludes IFCN (infant formula and child nutrition,
                                                                                                                       and Other (Multivitamins and other)
                                                                                                                           Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
GSK Overview
Consistent historical growth driven by Oral Care; New Pfizer JV positioning for incremental growth
in wellness and expansion in Emerging Markets
               2019 Summary of Performance                                       Financial Performance                                                2019 Portfolio Overview
    o GSK has historically delivered consistent organic growth                                                                          J&J Comparable segments account for 87% of the
                                                                  2015-2019 CAGR: 3.4% on an adjusted basis
                                                                                     GSK                                                    business and grew 2.0% vs total at 2.0%
      of 2% driven primarily by Oral Health with brands like
                                                                                           Financial Metrics
      Sensodyne, Paradontax, Pro-namel.
                                                                                            2016      2017     2018     2019                 -5%**
    o However growth trajectory likely to change given GSK        Net Trade Sales ($ MM)   9,756      9,984    10,229   12,015   0%
      Pfizer Merger Joint Venture on August 1, 2019.                 Organic Growth         5.0%      2.0%     2.0%     2.0%
                                                                         R&D %              3.4%      3.0%     3.1%     3.0%
1o Restructuring: GSK announced start of a new 2-year                   Op Prof %          15.5%      17.7%    19.8%    20.8%
                                                                                                                                                                                    0%
   program called “Future Ready” to prepare GSK for the
   separation into 2 new leading company – one in
   biopharma and one in consumer healthcare. Intention
   remains to separate company in 3 years.
                                                                                                                                 +7.0%                                      +15%                   +36%
2o Net proceeds: GSK/Pfizer targeting 500MM GBP in                                    Brands & Assets                                                                 APAC & LATAM
                                                                                                                                                                      grouped
      synergies and will reinvest up to 25% in capabilities and
      portfolios. JV is expected to generate about $1B in net
      proceeds from disposal of tail brands.                                                                                          **Pro-Forma growth rates given GSK Pfizer
                                                                                                                                      Merger Joint Venture on August 1,

3o Portfolio: Newly acquired brands through JV could better                                                                           2019. CER growth rates: Wellness (14%),
                                                                                                                                      Oral Health (7%), Nutrition (81%), Skin
      position GSK to pursue opportunities vs. our Self Care                                                                          health (7%). Skin health up due to addition
                                                                                                                                      of Chapstick but pro-forma declines due to
      business: Advil, Robitussin, Centrum, Emergenc-C                                                                                divesture of small tail brands in US/UK.​
                                                                                                                                      CAGR (on an adjusted basis) 3.4%                              +6.0%

4
    o Geography: North America was key driver of pro-forma                                                                            Relevant
                                                                                                                                                              Top Categories/Brands
      growth (36% of growth); followed by LATAM/AP (14%                                                                               Segments
      growth). New operating structure will give them greater                                                                         Oral Health             Parodontax, Sensodyne, Pro-namel
      latitude for growth in EM.                                                                                                      Self Care               Panadol, Excedrin, Advil, Flonase, Advil,
                                                                                                                                                              Centrum, Robitussin, Emergen-C
                                                                                                                                  Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
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