Competitive Composite Highlights - CONSUMER HEALTH May 2020 CHLT
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Executive Summary: Q1 Competitive Composite Performance Overall: • Competitive Composite is driven primarily by top 3 players (P&G, Unilever, and L'Oréal) accounting for 80% of the composite sales. • Historically, Competitors have focused on operating profit improvement and have pivoted to focus on growth. • Each competitor has a unique portfolio with large segments in which Consumer Health does not play; therefore category weighted composite creates a better benchmark for performance. Q1: • Q1-2020 showcased clear winners and losers based on strength of diversified portfolio and ability to respond to COVID crisis. J&J outperformed 5 out 6 competitors (only RB Q1 +12% outplaced J&J at +11%) • Players with strong self care, vitamins/supplements portfolios, and hygiene focused home care offerings faired well; however, those with strong premium beauty, travel retail, perishable food portfolios experienced declines given lockdown restrictions. o P&G (+6%), Reckitt (+12%), Colgate (+8%) have benefitted from pantry loading with health and hygiene focused segments o L'Oréal (-4.8%) saw steep declines driven by Luxe business (-9%) impacted greatly by Travel Retail but maintained strength in our most direct competitor, the Active Segment (+13%) with brands like Kiehls, Cerave o Despite a heavy Homecare portfolio Unilever remained flat driven by declines in Food, primarily ice cream sales impacted by global lockdowns o Outside of CC, other Self Care players like GSK (+11%) and Bayer (+6%) grew double digits driven by cough/cold, pain, and vitamins/supplements solutions • Consistent with prior quarters, grew e-commerce sales between 35-50% in response to changes in consumer behavior Outlook: • Looking at FY guidance, there are varied outlooks - RB signaled an increase in guidance. P&G* and GSK have held 2020 guidance, while L'Oréal, Unilever, & Colgate have withdrawn FY2020 guidance • While uncertainty remains for Q2 and 2H2020, we anticipate increased focus/investment behind health & hygiene platforms, more distortion towards e-commerce, and a more balanced approach to pricing to meet economic downturn ahead. • Based on FBP, we expect to meet Ops Profit** and exceed IBT & NI vs. composite setting the foundation to grow faster than market while holding competitive margins 2 in 2021 and over the long term. CONSUMER HEALTH *Note P&G fiscal year ends June 30, 2020. ** vs. Category Weighted Composite
A complex competitive set with no true like-for-like competitor Varied portfolios with segments comparable to our CH franchises but large proportions of their business in non-comparable segments; thus category weighted composite provides more relevant comparison. Competitors focused on op margin improvement starting to drive growth Composite 2020 2020 Ops 2020 Ops CAGR Comps to J&J Franchises(3) Non-Comp(3) Commentary Competitors(1) Sales (2) Growth % Profit % 2019-2024(2) (% of Total Competitor Business) Home, Food, Pet, Lux (% of Total Business) (USD B) $14B 2.2% 20.1% 2.7% 32% 29% 38% P&G’s Essential Health “comparable” $72B 3.3% 23.1% 3.7% 12% 19% 26% 42% portfolio include Baby Diaper, Toilet Paper; therefore, not Like-for-like. Non-com includes Homecare and Grooming Skin Health and Personal Care $64B 2.8% 20.1% 4.8% - --- 42%--- 58% reported together. Non-comp includes Home Care and Food. Non-comp include Luxe and $36B 3.5% 19.0% 5.6% - 52% - 48% Professional segments Non-comp includes Home Hygiene, $17B 1.6% 22.7% 3.0% 15% - - 85% infant formula, and Other (foot and sexual health). Colgate’s “Essential Health” comparable $16B 3.9% 24.0% 2.0% includes Personal Care and Oral Care - - 66% 34% combined, including some non-for-like categories soaps, toothpaste & toothbrushes $9B 4.0% 14.5% 4.5% Non-comp include Tesa tape - 82% - 18% business CH Composite 3.1% 21.2% 4.2% Note: Click on Competitor Logos CH Composite - Category Weighted 20.0% for Overview of Portfolio and FY2019 Performance CONSUMER HEALTH Notes: (1) Top 3 players account for 80% of competitive Composite; (2) Sales, Growth, Ops Profit, and CAGR outlook from 2020 Competitive Composite BP; (3) Comparable and Non-Comparable segment proportions based on FY2019 actuals
CH to hit Operating Profit* and exceed IBT & NI vs. Composite based on BP2020; Models to be updated with JU and Q1-20 Comp performance *CH to meet Ops Profit (20.1%) vs. Category Weighted benchmark (20.0 %) & exceed IBT & NI P&L Margin Performance Margins Summary – BP 2020 CH expecting to fall below Composite P&L Margin - CONSUMER Competitors 2020 BP J&J Composite* P&G* UNLV* L'OREAL* RECKITT COLGATE BEIERSDORF* in Ops Growth (2.2% vs. 3.1%) setting NTS 13,951 240,900 71,747 63,532 36,985 16,939 16,418 9,042 foundation for growth in 2021 GP%* 58.3% 57.9% 54.9% 48.5% 76.5% 60.9% 59.8% 61.4% Ops Sales Performance Growth Summary – BP 2020 SG&A %* 34.1% 34.2% 29.0% 26.6% 54.1% 36.5% 34.0% 43.9% Company Ops. Sales Growth R&D % 3.4% 2.5% 2.9% 1.8% 3.4% 1.8% 1.8% 3.1% 2020 NTS 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 BP OP PROFIT % * 20.1% 21.2% 23.1% 20.1% 19.0% 22.7% 24.0% 14.5% Beiersdorf Colgate Palmolive 9,042 16,418 3.0% 4.7% 3.2% 4.0% 5.7% 1.0% 5.4% 0.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.0% 3.9% IBT % 21.8% 20.5% 23.3% 18.3% 19.9% 20.7% 21.0% 13.5% L'Oreal 36,985 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 8.0% 3.5% NI % 17.2% 15.8% 19.2% 13.4% 14.9% 16.0% 15.7% 9.6% Procter & Gamble 71,747 0.5% 2.0% 1.5% 2.5% 6.0% 3.3% TAX rate 20.9% 22.7% 17.8% 26.9% 25.1% 22.6% 25.0% 29.0% Unilever 63,532 4.0% 3.8% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% Reckitt Benckiser 16,939 6.0% 3.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.8% 1.6% Note : (1) J&J color coding (green & red) reflects performance vs. Composite Consumer Composite 2.9% 3.2% 2.5% 3.4% 4.8% 3.1% (2) Competitors color coding (blue) reflects Best-In-Class 13,951 4.1% 3.2% -0.5% 3.2% 1.4% 2.2% * Shifts distribution expense from COGS to SG&A for PG, UNLV, L'Oréal and Beiersdorf J&J Consumer ** *Consumer Composite Category-Weighted Op Profit Analysis currently benchmarking 20.0% for Competitor Composite. **CH Ops Growth excluding SKU rat: 2.8% CONSUMER HEALTH Note: Competitive Composite performance to be recast with JU.
Q1 Winners and Losers, Broader Trends and Implications Key Q1 Trends Implications for J&J Consumer Health Increased focus on health & personal hygiene solutions Greater competitive battleground across self and - High growth in Pain, VMS, Other OTC, Oral Care, Cleansing personal care categories Steep declines in Prestige Beauty Competitors may shift media/support models from travel - SKII, L'Oréal Luxe, premium brands challenged by dips in Travel Retail retail to in-country support in Asia. In US, may create opt to downstream consumers from premium to Neutrogena. Strong performance by steadfast heritage brands Increased competitive messaging behind efficacy & trust - As consumers look for quality, efficacy that still delivers value with a balanced pricing approach mindful of new economics Continued eCommerce Acceleration - Growth of 35-50% in response to changes in consumer behavior More aggressive e-commerce focus and spend as consumer shift buying behavior Targeted Geographical Wins Competitors will take varied approaches to compensate - Pockets of geographical growth including NA, LATAM, and East Europe for AP declines. Preparedness to meet pent up while AP drove steep declines after quarters of consistent growth demands as restrictions lift in key categories (beauty/sun) Variability on outlook and levels of investment is critical - Varied outlook on market uncertainty for 2020 with some increasing Flexible spend models required to adapt to changing investment and some retracting (Colgate, P&G, Reckitt, GSK, Bayer to competitive pressures invest; while Unilever & L’Oreal may retract) CONSUMER HEALTH
P&G sees uptick, while Unilever and L'Oréal sink in Q1 Top 3 players in Composite had varied performance: P&G strength in Health and Homecare while Unilever and L’Oreal declined 13.2% 9.0% 10.0% 7.0% 2.4% 6.0% 1.0% 0.3% Sales -1.0% 0.0% Total Professional Consumer L'Oréal Active Total Beauty Health Care Baby Grooming Home Care Total Beauty & PC Home Care Foods & R Products Products Luxe Cosmetics Performance Fem Below analyst -1.7% -4.8% -3.6% Family consensus -10.5% -9.3% 14.0% 15.0% Q1 2020 vs PY 10.0% 11.0% 4.8% 4.9% J&J Q1 Performance 6.0% 6.0% 0.8% 1.4% Self Care +25% 0.0% Total Western North Asia Latin Eastern Africa -3.7% Europe America Pacific America Europe Middle East Total US Canada Greater Europe Europe LATAM Skin health +3.5% China Focused Enterprise Total Asia North America LATAM Europe -4.8% -4.8% AMET -3.7% -1.4% -5.6% Essentials (ex Baby) ~10% -8.0% RUB -7.7% +52.6% | ~20% of company sales eCommerce +35% | Remained 10% of company sales +36% | Driven by US, doubled sales vs Q4 +37% | Growth in China +67% | Growth in China Q1 2020 vs PY Signaled continued brand investment while • Advertisement production stopped Advertising expenses will be cut while markets are BME scaling back on trade/pricing promotion • Relocate investment to areas of highest ROI locked down; But investment could follow Pantry loading has shifted about 2 points of sales Despite growth in homecare (Cif, Domestos bleach, Luxe declines driven by low travel retail. Strength in Highlights growth on a global basis from Q2 into Q1. Botanical Hygiene and 7th Gen), Food Segment active cosmetics mainly in pharmacies and drug stores representing 37% of portfolio dragged driven by low ice (Kiehls and Cerave) & Outlook GP increased 130 bps by productivity and 2% price cream consumption. increase in Beauty, partially offset by product mix No changes to full year guidance, but expects a ‘more difficult market’ in Q2 vs Q1. Also anticipates less Q2 estimate is close to 0% to 4%. No changes to Withdrew Initial guidance of 3-5% and operating Margin competition from cash-strapped smaller players. guidance as Q2 will be final Fiscal quarter for P&G outlook of 20%. SK-II consumption started to rebound late Q1 in China Expected Q2 to be a difficult quarter China expected to grow double digits in Q2. Mainland showing signs of recovery in March Implication P&G likely to focus spend behind healthcare L’Oreal bullish on year ahead, likely to increase 7 Unilever likely to pull back investment and recalibrate segment, particularly OTC (Vicks) and turning around investment, doubling down on e-comm and efforts to portfolio and focus on high growth regions NA, CONSUMER HEALTH to growth on SKII . Anticipate shifts towards e-comm bounce back in Lux, Consumer and continue LATAM and dialing up comms in efficacy and brand trust. invest behind Active segment.
RB, Colgate up driven by health & hygiene; Beiersdorf down Growth driven by pantry loading of health essentials; Beiersdorf skin portfolio drive declines; Mixed views on 2020 outlook 22% 32% 17% 8% 12% 11% 7% Sales 4% 2% -4% -3% -5% Performance Total Hygiene OTC Other Health IFCN -2% Total NA Latam Europe AP Africa Total Consumer Tesa -15% Q1 2020 vs PY Total Health 19% J&J Q1 Performance 40% Consumer Self Care +25% 13% 14% -3% 1% 1% Skin health +3.5% Consumer NA Latam Europe Africa, Asia, Aus Total Health North America Europe/ANZ Developing -5% Essentials (ex Baby) ~10% Note weak 2019 Comparator across -7% +50% | Driven by growth in both health and hygiene +55% | Driven by North America +23% | Driven by Consumer eCommerce Q1 2020 vs PY Anticipate greater BME investment and higher Q1 Advertising up +13%. Increased investment in Q1 Digital advertising spend up +43% BME operating costs. NA, Europe and Africa as well as Hills division. 2020 Performance now expected to be better than The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance. original guidance, although the outlook for the balance of due to the uncertainty surrounding the business impacts Highlights & 2020 remains uncertain. Expect to incur higher operating from COVID-19 and related macroeconomic volatility. costs, particularly in supply chain. Expect additional volume in Q1 to impact future quarters. Outlook 2B£ Investment behind Multi-year Productivity program to Expect government actions and economic uncertainty to rebuild earnings model, drive organic revenue growth, mid- reduce category growth in many markets. 20s margin and 7-9% EPS growth. Based on guidance withdrawal, anticipate a more Implication Anticipate more aggressive investment behind OTC cautious Colgate, as they may have to evaluate their Anticipate a cautious Beiersdorf to approach balance – Mucinex, VMS and e-commerce particularly in of 2020 with moderate intensity behind struggling 8 pricing strategy and approach recent M&A plans with Nivea and LaPraire. CONSUMER HEALTH developed markets to capitalize on trial/growth. more vigilance
GSK, Bayer and KC showing growth & profit improvement Growth across categories with higher levels of consumer spend in health & wellness 14% 25% 13% 19% 8% 14% 6% 6% 6% 11% 11% 4% 4% Sales 0% Performance Total CHC Oral Pain VMS Respiratory Digestive Total CHC Pharma Crop Science Total Personal C. Tissue KC Prof. Care Q1 2020 vs PY Total CHC (Proforma growth) Total CHC 22.3% Total PC 23% 10% J&J Q1 Performance 13.5% 14.3% 13.7% 11% 6.1% 6% 5% Self Care +25% 6% 8% 3% Skin health +3.5% Total CHC US** Europe** International** Total CHC EMEA NAM APAC LATAM Total PC NAM Emerging Markets Australia, SK, Essentials (ex Baby) ~10% **Proforma growth assumption based on CER growth contribution by country WC Europe US, UK, Australia among other markets, benefited from eCommerce pantry loading in retail and e-commerce. Bayer didn’t disclose e-commerce results. KC didn’t disclose e-commerce results. Q1 2020 vs PY GSK didn’t disclose e-commerce results. Savings are intended to be re-invested in R&D and Higher marketing expenses during Q1 2020, no Continue to invest in brands, however some activities BME commercial support of new products. guidance for 2020. will be temporarily pushed back. Maintained guidance and outlook for 2020 and EPS No revised guidance was provided on outlook. Impact of KC is withdrawing its previous 2020 guidance of Organic guidance of -1% to -4% COVID-19 on cannot be reliably assessed at this time and will sales +2% and temporarily suspending forward-looking Highlights & Attributes 2/3 of Q1 growth to increased COVID-19 buying update guidance throughout the year guidance due to lack of visibility and uncertainty. patterns and demand primarily for OTC & wellbeing products Outlook Operating profit increased in CHC 26.8%, strong Operating profit increased in CHC by 10.3% Operating Profit up by 24%, driven by organic sales operating leverage partially offset by increased promotional growth and cost savings from the company's FORCE investment Note: All figures above are Fx & portfolio adjusted . program (Focused On Reducing Costs) Implication GSK likely to increase spend behind new Pain Bayer to continue to invest heavily behind Nutritionals KC likely to continue focus on profitability and launches, Allergy, Oral Care, VMS to capitalize on (Berocca, One-a-day), Pain (Aleve, Aspirin) and lowering trade promotion. CONSUMER HEALTH 9 momentum, particularly behind Advil, Panadol, Voltaren Allergy (Claritin). and EmergeC. Comms to drive up efficacy/trust
Home Care & OTC categories driving nearly all growth for key competitors, aside from L'Oréal where Cosmetics grew. Drivers • Home Care (+51%) • Americas (+83%) • US (+52%) • Cosmetics (+27%) • Oral, Personal, Home • US (82%) • Baby, Feminine, & Family • Home Care (+80%) • Pain Relief (+33%) • Latin America (+1%) Care (+56%) • OTC (+75%) Overall Care (+29%) • eCommerce (+36%)* • International (+31%) • Luxe (-69%) • Pet Nutrition (+44%) • International (+18%) (share of growth) • eCommerce (+35%)* • LATAM (+3.1% price) • Vitamin, Mineral & • Western Europe (-46%) • Latin America (+30%)** • Skin Health (+10%) • US (+10%)* Supplements (+24%) • eCommerce (+55%)* **Only Oral, Personal, Home Care growth *% Growth YOY • Home Care (+51%) • Home Care (+80%) • Pain Relief (+33%) • Cosmetics (+27%) • Oral, Personal, Home • OTC (+75%) Category • Baby, Feminine, & Family • Beauty (+20%) • Vitamin, Mineral & • Luxe (-69%) Care (+56%) • Beauty (+10%) (share of growth) Care (+29%) Supplement (+24%) • Consumer Product (- • Pet Nutrition (+44%) • Oral Care (+10%) • Health Care (+18%) • Respiratory Health +20% 32%) • US (+10%)* • Americas (+83%) • US (+52%) • Latin America (+1%) • Latin America (+30%)** • US (82%) • China (-8%)* • Europe (+17%) • International (+31%) • Western Europe (-46%) • North America (+24%)** • International (18%) Region • Asia/AMET/RUB • Europe (+17%) • North America (-26%) • Asia Pacific (-18%)** *% Growth YOY (share of growth) contributed negatively • Asia Pacific (-25%) **Only Oral, Personal, Home Care growth • Price (+1%) Overall • Overall Price (-0.2%) • N/A • Premium/Luxe drove - • Overall Price (+2%) • N/A Price/Mix • Beauty & Grooming each • LATAM (+3.1% price) 69% of the growth, after • LATAM price (+6.5%) (% growth) took (+2%) price +60% of the growth in Q4 • Pet Nutrition price (+4%) • Health Care & Family & • APAC price (+1.0%) Home Care (+1%) Mix • eCommerce (+35%) • eCommerce (+36%) • N/A • eCommerce (+52.6%) • Overall eCommerce • N/A Channel (~10% of total sales) (~20% of total sales) (+55%) (% growth) • Travel Retail (-12%) • Pet Nutrition eCom (+57%) *% FY Growth YOY CONSUMER HEALTH 10
P&G, Reckitt, GSK have held 2020 guidance, while L'Oréal, Unilever, & Colgate have withdrawn FY2020 guidance • Colgate (5/1): Colgate reported Q1 organic sales increased 7.5% (+5% growth in Q4), but withdrew its 2020 financial guidance due to uncertainty surrounding the business impacts from COVID-19 and macroeconomic volatility. Colgate expects some of the strong Q1 volume growth to come out of future quarters, as consumers work through pantry inventory in certain categories • GSK (4/29): Based on their current assessment of the impact of COVID-19, GSK is maintaining their full year 2020 guidance at this time. They will update guidance as more information becomes available to inform financial performance for the full year, if needed. GSK sales on a pro-forma basis increased +11% compared to last year. • Unilever (4/23): Unilever withdrew prior FY 2020 guidance of 3-5%, and also withdrew their Operating Margin outlook of 20% due to COVID-19 uncertainties, & expects Q2 to also be difficult. Unilever Q1 sales were flat compared to last year. • P&G (4/17): Grew +6% in Q1 (up from +5% in Q4), & has maintained its guidance for organic sales growth in the range of 4-5% for fiscal 2020 (ending Q2). For Q2, they expect sales to fall in the minus 2% to plus 2% range as pantry loading has shifted about 2 points of sales growth on a global basis from Q2 into Q1. • L'Oréal (4/16): “The lack of visibility on the timing of an end to this health crisis leads L'Oréal to suspend its guidance.” The Group reports Q1 sales declined -4.8% compared to last year. The company expects the global market to be more difficult in Q2 compared to Q1. Goldman Sachs estimates -3.1% growth FY 2020. • Reckitt (4/30): “2020 Performance now expected to be better than original guidance, although the outlook for the balance of 2020 remains uncertain” • Beiersdorf (5/5): “The Company is withdrawing its 2020 financial guidance.” Source: Company Press Releases CONSUMER HEALTH 11
Competitive Composite Central: New TEAMS site available housing competitor performance, profiles and new news! Includes: ✓ Summary of Quarterly Performance ✓ One-pager Competitive Profiles ✓ Recent news across top competitors For team access please contact: Laura Bueno de Greco (lbuenod@its.jnj.com) CONSUMER HEALTH 12
Appendix: Competitor Profiles
L'Oréal Overview Strongest growth driven by Luxury, Asia Pacific, Travel Retail and e-Commerce 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o L'Oréal has delivered steady growth with 2019 delivering 2015-2019 CAGR: 5.7% J&J Comparable segments account for 52% of the a strong +8%; business and grew 5.4% vs total at 8.0% Financial Metrics o Since 2016, L'Oréal has made several bolt on acquisitions, 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 +15.5% while divesting The Body Shop. Net Trade Sales ($ MM) $28,601 $29,388 $31,825 $35,295 $36,985 Organic Growth 4.7% 4.8% 7.1% 8.0% 3.5% +3.2% +3.3% 1o Premiumizing the Portfolio: Luxe, (Lancome, Kiehls, GP % 75.4% 75.7% 76.6% 76.8% 76.5% Armani) accounting for ~40% of the portfolio, grew +14% SG&A % 54.2% 53.9% 54.7% 54.6% 54.1% and drove 60% of Loreal’s growth with a high GP portfolio. Op Prof % 17.9% 18.5% 18.5% 18.8% 19.0% This a segment where J&J does not have strong presence. +2.0% +2.6% EMEA o When comparing like for like segments, our share is flat vs. +13.8% total Loreal Consumer -.1 pts. 2o Emerging Markets: Asia, specifically China Luxe and the P&L Trends Travel Retail Channel, has delivered explosive growth, +25.5% in 2019. Highlighting the importance of China as a +25.5% growth platform for our Skin Health Stronghold -0.8% Comparable Top Categories/Brands 3o Channel Expansion: Ecommerce grew 52% and represents Segments 16% of total sales – this was also heavily weighted to China with ecommerce accounting for 50% of the China Consumer Skincare – L'Oréal Paris, Garnier, Maybelline Business. Active Products Vichy, La Roche-Posay, CONSUMER HEALTHCeraVe Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
P&G Overview Pricing, Beauty expansion, and recent acquisitions step-changing growth across portfolio 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o P&Gs step-change growth in 2019 of 6% driven by pricing, 2015-2019 CAGR: 2.5% J&J Comparable segments account for 58% of the beauty expansion (SKII), core Fabric/Home Care growth and business and grew 6.1% vs. total 6% recent acquisitions. Financial Metrics +3.3% o From 2014-16, P&G pruned portfolio to focus on brands 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 +8.8% that are structurally attractive and play to P&G’s strengths. Net Trade Sales ($ Significant productivity program implemented and extended MM) $65,231 $65,732 $66,912 $69,594 $71,747 Organic Growth 2.0% 1.5% 2.5% 6.0% 3.3% +2.0% to 2022. Gains are expected to be reinvested to grow GP % 55.0% 54.5% 53.0% 54.3% 54.9% brands. SG&A % 29.9% 29.1% 28.8% 28.8% 29.0% 1o Premiumizing the Portfolio: SKII continues to thrive as Op Prof % 22.2% 22.5% 21.3% 22.7% 23.1% +7.8% prestige expansion grows, particularly in AP. SKII is estimated +7.5% to have contributed 19% of total P&G growth. Health Care growth driven by premiumization in Oral Care (e.g., Toothpastes and Devices in Crest and Oral B) P&L Trends 2o Pricing and Mix: Price action (+1%) was taken across the portfolio; No further price action anticipated in 2020. Regional sales not disclosed Channel Expansion: Global e-commerce up 30%, representing 3 Relevant Top Categories/Brands now 10% of total sales Segments 4 o Acquisitions Strategy: Assets acquired over the past 2 years Beauty & Hair – Pantene, Head & Shoulders, Skin – Groom Olay, SKII; Grooming – Braun, Gillette, Bilie (This is L, Walker & Co, First Aid Beauty, Native, Snowberry, and most recently Billie ) starting to pay off. Leveraging new Health Oral Care – Crest, Oral B, Personal health – care Prilosec, Vicks, vitamins audiences, new technologies, new business models, new Baby, Fem Fem Care – Always, Tampax channels to elevate base (e.g., naturals in antiperspirants). CONSUMER HEALTH Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Unilever Overview Emerging markets supporting growth; Portfolio recalibration and sustainability positioning 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o Unilever’s moderate growth within composite, driven by J&J Comparable segments account for 42% of the 2015-2019 CAGR: 3.3% business and grew 2.6% vs total at 2.9% Home Care division and Pricing particularly across Emerging Financial Metrics Markets 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net Trade Sales +1.5% ($ MM) $58,352 $60,660 $60,234 $61,413 $63,532 1o Portfolio: Home care accounting for 21% of the portfolio Organic Growth 3.8% 3.1% 2.9% 2.9% 2.8% +2.6% drove 52% of total growth. GP % 46.7% 47.2% 47.9% 48.1% 48.5% SG&A % 28.0% 27.2% 27.1% 26.5% 26.6% Op Prof % 16.9% 18.1% 19.1% 19.8% 20.1% 2o Emerging Markets: EM representing 60% of total sales delivered 100% of growth in 2019, with the largest +6.1% proportion coming from Asia Pacific. -0.6% +5.0% 3o Pricing: LATAM saw price increases of +5% and AP saw P&L Trends increases between 2-3%. This was offset by price decreases in Developed markets. +2.7% NA +0.3% LATAM +5.1% 4o Channel Expansion: Ecommerce grew 30% and represents 6% of total sales. Digital hubs for content creation and digital Relevant Top Categories/Brands engagement expanded to 38 locations. Segment Beauty/ Skin Care – Dove, Lux, Sunsilk, Simple, Personal Vaseline, Demalogica, Living Proof, Murad CONSUMER HEALTH Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Colgate Overview Pricing action, Emerging Market focus and Acquisitive mode pushing into premium skincare and naturals 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o Colgate’s 4% growth demonstrates an improvement from 2015-2019 CAGR: 2.8% J&J Comparable segments account for 66% of the historical trajectory and was driven primarily by pricing business and grew 3.5% vs total at 4.0% action (with Total line upgrade) as well as growth in Emerging Financial Metrics Markets. 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 +7.5% Net Trade Sales ($ MM) $15,195 $15,454 $15,544 $15,693 $16,418 Organic Growth 4.0% 1.0% 0.5% 4.0% 3.9% 1o Acquisition Strategy: Recent acquisitions with Filorga, GP % 60.3% 60.5% 59.6% 59.5% 59.8% Prestige Skin Care, and Hello, premium natural oral care, SG&A % 32.5% 33.1% 32.7% 33.4% 34.0% illustrate that Colgate is looking to diversify its portfolio into Op Prof % 26.3% 25.5% 25.1% 24.3% 24.0% +2.3% high growth, premium categories and expand consumer base into naturals +3.5% Across Oral, Personal, Home Care 2o Pricing: Overall pricing was up +1.5% across portfolio with 10% price increase on Total Line since relaunch. P&L Trends -1.0% -0.03% 3o Emerging Markets: Emerging Markets accounting for 46% of -1.1% sales, drove 50% of the total growth. Relevant Top Categories/Brands Segments Oral Care Toothpaste, manual and automatic 4o Channel Expansion: e-Commerce up +30% and with Filorga toothbrushes, Mouthwash. Colgate/ Hello. acquisition expanding opportunities in pharmacy and Personal Liquid handsoap/ Deodorants; Professional specialty channels. Care Skincare products. Palmolive, Softsoap, Irish spring, Speed stick. CONSUMER HEALTH Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Beiersdorf Overview Strong European presence; acquisition to broaden geographic footprint in NA 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o Beiersdorf delivered 4.1% growth with all growth 2015-2019 CAGR: 4.3% J&J Comparable segments account for 82% of the delivered by Consumer segment, focused primarily business and grew 4.8% vs total at 4.1% on Skin Health. Financial Metrics 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 o Q3-2019 Coppertone acquisition to round out Skin Net Trade Sales +0.8% health portfolio and create opportunities to expand ($ MM) $7,474 $7,968 $8,546 $9,104 $9,104 footprint in the America Organic Growth 3.2% 5.7% 5.4% 4.1% 4.0% GP % 62.4% 62.3% 61.1% 61.5% 61.4% +4.8% SG&A % 44.5% 44.1% 42.8% 43.9% 43.9% Op Prof % 15.1% 15.4% 15.4% 14.4% 14.5% P&L Trends Relevant Top Categories/Brands Segments Consumer Body Care - Nivea, Eucerin, La Prairie, Hansaplast, Acquaphor, Florena, Coopertone CONSUMER HEALTH Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
Reckitt Benckiser Mild growth due to dragging OTC and Vitamin business. Restructuring ahead to yield productivity savings by 2023 but short term losses to P&L. Summary of Performance Financial Performance Portfolio Overview o Reckitt’s low growth of 0.8% driven by declines J&J Comparable segments account for 15% of the in OTC (-4.4%) and Other/Multivitamins (-2.2%) 2015-2019 CAGR: 2.6% business declined -3.1% vs total at 0.8% offset by Home and Hygiene (up +3.6%) and Financial Metrics Infant nutrition (+2.6%). 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Net Trade Sales -2.2% ($ MM) $13,416 $14,830 $16,827 $17,160 $16,939 +3.6% o Restructuring: Reckitt to invest ~ £ 2BN over the Organic Growth 3.0% 0.0% 3.0% 0.8% 1.6% next 3 years, funded in part by a 3 year ~ £ 1.3BN GP % 61.3% 61.1% 60.6% 60.5% 60.9% productivity savings program, to achieve ~3% LFL SG&A % 31.3% 32.3% 32.2% 32.6% 36.5% Op Prof % 28.4% 27.1% 26.7% 26.2% 22.7% sales growth and 7-9% EPS growth by 2023. The remaining investment will be a direct hit to the -4.4% P&L resulting in a loss of 350 bps in 2020 operating profit margin. +2.6% P&L Trends Relevant Top Categories/Brands Segments OTC Nurofen, Gaviscon, Mucinex Notes: Excludes IFCN (infant formula and child nutrition, and Other (Multivitamins and other) Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
GSK Overview Consistent historical growth driven by Oral Care; New Pfizer JV positioning for incremental growth in wellness and expansion in Emerging Markets 2019 Summary of Performance Financial Performance 2019 Portfolio Overview o GSK has historically delivered consistent organic growth J&J Comparable segments account for 87% of the 2015-2019 CAGR: 3.4% on an adjusted basis GSK business and grew 2.0% vs total at 2.0% of 2% driven primarily by Oral Health with brands like Financial Metrics Sensodyne, Paradontax, Pro-namel. 2016 2017 2018 2019 -5%** o However growth trajectory likely to change given GSK Net Trade Sales ($ MM) 9,756 9,984 10,229 12,015 0% Pfizer Merger Joint Venture on August 1, 2019. Organic Growth 5.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% R&D % 3.4% 3.0% 3.1% 3.0% 1o Restructuring: GSK announced start of a new 2-year Op Prof % 15.5% 17.7% 19.8% 20.8% 0% program called “Future Ready” to prepare GSK for the separation into 2 new leading company – one in biopharma and one in consumer healthcare. Intention remains to separate company in 3 years. +7.0% +15% +36% 2o Net proceeds: GSK/Pfizer targeting 500MM GBP in Brands & Assets APAC & LATAM grouped synergies and will reinvest up to 25% in capabilities and portfolios. JV is expected to generate about $1B in net proceeds from disposal of tail brands. **Pro-Forma growth rates given GSK Pfizer Merger Joint Venture on August 1, 3o Portfolio: Newly acquired brands through JV could better 2019. CER growth rates: Wellness (14%), Oral Health (7%), Nutrition (81%), Skin position GSK to pursue opportunities vs. our Self Care health (7%). Skin health up due to addition of Chapstick but pro-forma declines due to business: Advil, Robitussin, Centrum, Emergenc-C divesture of small tail brands in US/UK. CAGR (on an adjusted basis) 3.4% +6.0% 4 o Geography: North America was key driver of pro-forma Relevant Top Categories/Brands growth (36% of growth); followed by LATAM/AP (14% Segments growth). New operating structure will give them greater Oral Health Parodontax, Sensodyne, Pro-namel latitude for growth in EM. Self Care Panadol, Excedrin, Advil, Flonase, Advil, Centrum, Robitussin, Emergen-C Source: Global Finance 2020 BP Competitive Composite Analysis
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