IMPACT ON EUROPEAN AVIATION - COVID 19 EUROCONTROL Comprehensive Assessment
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8 July 2021
COVID 19
IMPACT ON EUROCONTROL
Comprehensive Assessment
EUROPEAN AVIATION
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1
Headlines Traffic Situation
Daily flights (including overflights)
21,567 flights (62% of 2019 levels) on Wed 7 July 2021, increase (+19%) over 2 weeks.
Renewed traffic increase (2-digit) since early July—after the first jump early June. Record number on 2 July with Traffic over the last 7 days is
23,772 (since March 2020).
Ryanair, busiest operator, with about 1,000 additional flights per day since start of June. easyJet added extra
capacity over the last two weeks. Low cost airlines are now operating 54% of 2019 flight volumes.
High increase for many States over the last two weeks, flows between North-West Europe and Southern Europe
intensify: France (+27%), Spain (+26%), Turkey (+29%), Germany (+21%), Italy (+29%) and Greece (+35%).
Domestic flows are still dominating in terms of traffic volumes (France, Italy), noticeable increases on flows
38% Compared to
equivalent days
in 2019
between Germany and Turkey as well as Russian Federation and Turkey.
Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-47%), US (-19%), China (-7%) (situation easing after lockdown in the
Guanghzou area), Middle-East (-31%)
2
2
Top 10 Busiest Airports
7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 1-7 July, compared to 2019
Market Segments
Average flights per day Average flights per day
Top 10 Airports
(week 1-7/7) (week 1-7/7) vs 2019
Amsterdam 900 -40% On 7 July, compared to 2019
IGA Istanbul Airport 891 -29%
Frankfurt
Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle
854
816
-44%
-46%
46%
Low cost
47%
Traditional
9%
Business
Madrid/Barajas 736 -42% Aviation
Antalya 695 -26%
Palma De Mallorca
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen
659
637
-29%
-5% 16%
Non-Scheduled/
5%
All Cargo
Athens 636 -23%
Charter
Barcelona 605 -44%
Economics Passengers
Traffic Flow (02 July 2021) (17 June 2021)
On 7 July, the intra-European traffic flow was Fuel price 2.4 million pax
17,232 + 20%
flights over past
-38%
Compared
191
Cents/gallon
-5.4 million
vs. 2019
2 weeks to 2019 compared to 189 cents/gallon
on 25 June 2021 (-69%)
Source: ACI
Source: IATA/Platts
3
Overall traffic situation at network level
21,567 flights on Wednesday
7 July.
+19% with +3,469 flights
over 2 weeks (from Wednesday
23 June).
+10% with +1,909 flights
over 1 week (from Wednesday
30 June).
60% of 2019 traffic levels.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 4
Current traffic evolution
The traffic has clearly
been increasing over the
last 8 weeks with
significant accelerations
on 1st June and 1st July (2
digit increases).
After having been stable
since January at around
-64% compared to 2019,
the traffic has now
reached -38% over the
last week.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5
Current situation compared to the latest EUROCONTROL traffic
scenarios
Flights at 62% on 1-7
July 2021 compared
to 1-7 July 2019.
This is in line with the
latest EUROCONTROL
traffic scenarios
published on 1 June
2021.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6
Market Segments
On 7 July 2021, compared to 2019:
All-cargo and Business Aviation
are the only segment above
2019 levels with +5% and +9%
respectively.
Charter decreased to -16% and
catching up since early June.
Traditional and Low-Cost have
consistently increased over the
last month to reach respectively
-47% and -46% vs 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 10
Positive change in the ranking
Rank over 2 weeks for easyJet,
evolution
Top 10 Aircraft Operators on Wed 07-07-2021
Wizzair and SAS.
over 2 D over 2 % over 2
Aircraft Operator Flights % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks 2-digit increase for all the top
Ryanair 1655 +323 +24% -36% 10 airlines, 3-digit for easyJet.
Turkish Airlines 1144 +197 +21% -20%
Air France 804 +148 +23% -41% Highest increase over 2 weeks
Lufthansa 682 +157 +30% -58% for easyJet (+158%), 1/3 due
KLM 637 +188 +42% -32% to domestic French flows
easyJet 628 +385 +158% -65% followed by domestic flows in
Wizz Air 523 +179 +52% -22% UK and Italy.
Pegasus 493 +80 +19% -0%
Ryanair is the 2nd airline
Vueling 425 +78 +22% -41%
SAS 366 +111 +44% -54%
adding the highest number of
flights to the network (+323)
after easyJet (+385).
Pegasus reached equivalent
flight volumes as in 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 40 – Latest operations
Highest increase for easyJet (+158%), Norwegian (+134%), Swiss (+103%) and Sun
Express (+71%).
Ryanair 1st, easyJet 6th, British Airways 18th, Air France 3rd, Lufthansa 4th.
Traffic levels ranging from -80% (Aer Lingus) to +7% (Loganair) compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9
Aircraft operators
Latest news
European airlines
Worldwide airlines
Air France-KLM issues €800 million of senior notes with coupons of
3%/3.875%.
Air Canada resuming/increasing services to a number of European
Air Malta operates first service to Libya since 2014. destinations.
Austrian Airlines to convert a Boeing 777 back into passenger Aeroflot Group added 6 aircraft (net) in May to its fleet, reaching 340
operations; reports booking of 96,000 passengers on flights to Greece aircraft; to resume operations to Bulgaria in July.
in July/August.
ANA plans to operate 19% of its planned international schedules in
Austrian Airlines expands digital COVID-10 document verification August and 20% in September & October; plans to operate 8 more A380
service to cover 13 countries. sightseeing flights in August.
Eurowings plans to operate this summer services to over 70 Emirates resuming A380 operations on services to Washington, LA,
destinations from Düsseldorf and around 60 destination from Cologne. Toronto, Munich & Zurich.
Lufthansa to resume temporarily the deployment of five A340s from Federal Express exercises options to buy 20 Boeing 767-300F aircraft in
summer 2022, prior to their replacement with A350s. FY2024 & FY2025.
Ryanair returning to Helsinki Airport from where it will operate 29 JAL Group reports May passenger numbers down 93.5% (international)
departing flights per week to 9 destinations. and 72.3% (domestic) compared to 2019.
Ryanair reports June passenger numbers down 60.7% on 2019 (load United Airlines places orders for 200 Boeing 737 MAX and 70 A321neo
factor at 72%); responds to Malta, Ibiza and Palma being put on the UK aircraft; sees a ‘huge acceleration’ in business travel in the past few
green list by adding 200,000 extra seats in July/August/September weeks.
(easyJet adding >50,000 seats).
Wizz Air adding fifth aircraft to Tirana base, launching new routes to
Barcelona & Cologne and increasing other Tirana frequencies; reports
June passenger numbers down 56.9% on 2019 (load factor at 64%);
opens new base at Rome Fiumicino with 4 A321s and 32 new routes.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10
2-digit increase for all of top 10
States over 2 weeks.
Increase in the ranking over 2
weeks for the Netherlands.
Highest increase for Greece
(+35%) mainly driven by Ryanair
and easyJet especially on flows
from/to Germany, Italy and on
domestic flows .
High increases for Turkey (+29%)
and Italy (+29%).
France is the State where most
flights have been added (+710)
over 2 weeks, closely followed by
Spain (+683).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
Strong increases for Croatia (+59% over 2 weeks), Denmark (+40%), Greece (+35%)
and Switzerland (+34%) as well as for Moldova (+62%) and North Macedonia (+55%),
both owing to Wizz Air.
Traffic levels ranging from -70% (Ireland) to -9% (Albania), compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12Associations, Authorities and States
IATA and ACI Europe make recommendations to EU states on the practicalities of implementing the EU Digital
COVID Certificate.
European Council approves ‘neighbourhood’ aviation agreements with Armenia, Tunisia and Ukraine.
European Commission opens an in-depth investigation into the proposed acquisition of Air Europa by IAG; reported to
be proposing a tax on aviation fuel on intra-EU flights.
DGAC reports that May passenger numbers in France were 80.6% down on 2019 (within Metropolitan France: -56.9%).
Skyguide reports that it has developed a drone to replace half of the calibration flights that were previously performed
by a specially equipped, manned, aircraft.
Portugal introduces €2 carbon tax on airline tickets.
USA to propose new rules requiring carriers to refund fees for significantly delayed bags; US airports handled over 2.1
million passengers on 5 July (Monday after the Independence Day weekend), 21% down on 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 17,232 flights
on Wednesday 7 July, which is increasing (+20%) over 2 weeks.
Intra-Europe flights are at -38% compared to 2019 while
intercontinental flows are at -47%.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10
8 of the top 10 flows are
domestic.
Highest increases for
Germany-Turkey (+77%),
owing to Sun Express,
Corendon and Turkish
Airlines,
Germany-Spain (+38%)
mainly due to Ryanair,
Eurowings and Lufthansa
Domestic Italy (+19%)
owing to easyJet, Alitalia,
Ryanair and Volotea.
Domestic France saw the
biggest change over two
weeks (+140 flights).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
Flows recording the biggest
increases over two weeks:
• Greece-Italy (+118%)
owing to Ryanair, easyJet.
• Russia-Turkey (+98%)
mainly thanks to Azur Air,
Ural Airlines, Norwind
Airlines, Rossiya Airlines.
• France-Greece (+89%)
thanks to easyJet and Air
France for the main
operators.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16Outside Europe
USA
Bookings are improving but demand for
corporate and long-haul international air
travel are lagging.
On 6 July, US passenger airline departures
were 21% below 2019 levels with
domestic down 19% and international
down 37%.
The domestic US load factor is closing in
on pre-pandemic levels to around 89%.
In June 2021, airfares were around 16%
below pre-pandemic levels and remain
depressed owing partly to lack of business
and long-haul international travel.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17Outside Europe
Middle East China
On 6 July Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded 1,912 flights On 5 July, domestic traffic recorded 11,087 flights (-7%
(-31% compared to Feb 2020). compared to January 2020 levels).
International traffic from and to Middle-East recorded 1,564 International flights and overflights remain suppressed, they
flights (-48% compared to Feb 2020). were stable on previous weeks with 1,264 and 357 flights
respectively (-69% and -78% vs 1 Jan 2020).
Overflights recorded 308 flights (-28% compared to Feb 2020).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 18Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10 and latest news Positive change for 4 of the
top 10 airports over last 2
weeks.
Highest increases in flights for:
• Antalya (+46%): mainly Sun
Express, Turkish Airlines and
Pegasus.
• Palma De Mallorca (+38%):
mainly Ryanair and Jet2.com,
mostly flights from/to
Germany and UK as well as
domestic flights.
• Amsterdam (+35%): mainly
KLM and Transavia. Flows
from to UK, Spain, Germany
and France.
• Barcelona (+28%) owing to
Vueling and Ryanair.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 19Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest operations
Largest increase for Copenhagen over 2 weeks (+61%), Dusseldorf (+59%), Antalya
(+46%), Nice (+46%) and Zurich (+44%).
Traffic levels ranging from -90% (Gatwick) to -26% (Athens) compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20Airports
Latest news
Atlanta Airport expecting to handle 80% of pre-pandemic passenger traffic in July.
Berlin Brandenburg June passenger numbers 80% down on those at Schoenefeld and Tegel in June 2019.
Brussels Airport expecting up to 40k passengers a day in July.
Frankfurt Airport reopens check-in area for Lufthansa Express Rail passengers.
11 German airports receive €400 million as compensation for maintaining operational service during 2020
lockdown.
German Airports Association reports May passenger numbers down 85.3% to 3.3 million compared to May
2019.
Leipzig/Halle Airport reports May cargo up 25.4% on 2019, to 134,080 tonnes.
London Heathrow begins phased re-opening of Terminal 3.
Milan Malpensa Airport May passenger numbers down 81.9% in May, compared to 2019.
Munich Airport commits to achieving carbon neutrality by 2030 with an investment of €150 million.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATIONPassengers
ACI recorded just below 2.4
million passengers on 17 June
2021*, a loss of 5.5 million
passengers compared to the
equivalent day in 2019 (i.e. -
69%).
* Latest available data from ACI
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22Vaccination updates
By 5 July, most of the Member States of EUROCONTROL
have reported that more than 30 people (per 100
people) were fully vaccinated with Malta, Israel, UK,
Hungary, Monaco, Cyprus, Spain and Lithuania having
at least 40 people (per 100 people) fully vaccinated (i.e.
have received 2 doses of the main vaccines).
Six Member States of EUROCONTROL have fully
vaccinated less than 10 people (per 100 people).
The graph is showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States
of EUROCONTROL.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23Economics
Jet fuel prices have started to rise
since last Autumn, from around
100 cts/gal in October 2020 to
191 cts/gal on 2 July 2021.
The jet fuel prices have now
reached pre-COVID levels.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 24To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional
information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and
12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:
1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:
www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the
top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int)
• This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports;
for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.
2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions):
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a
summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.
3. NOP Recovery Plan.
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan
supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with
the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - July 2021
This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole
or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial
purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without
For more information please contact aviation.intelligence@eurocontrol.int prior written permission from EUROCONTROL.
www.eurocontrol.int
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