IMPACT ON EUROPEAN AVIATION - COVID 19 EUROCONTROL Comprehensive Assessment
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8 April 2021
COVID 19
IMPACT ON EUROCONTROL
Comprehensive Assessment
EUROPEAN AVIATION
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1
Traffic Situation
Headlines Daily flights (including overflights)
10,954 flights (35% of 2019 levels) on Wednesday 7 April 2021, dropping 8% (-975 Traffic over the last 7 days is
65%
flights since 31 March 2021).
Traffic for flows to/from Southern Europe still very active (Italy +32% over 2 weeks, Compared to
Spain +17%, Portugal +74%, Turkey +10%). High increase in the UK (+20%). equivalent days
in 2019
Significant increase for Ryanair (+327%) and TAP/Air Portugal (+277%) over 2 weeks.
Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-67%), US (-31%), China (+10%), Mid-East (-40%). [Note: Easter this year (4 April 2021) is almost 3 weeks earlier than in
2019 (21 April 2019)]
Market segments: decrease for cargo, biz and charter vs 2019. Increase for Low Cost
2
2
Top 10 Busiest Airports
7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 1-7 April, compared to 2019
Average flights per day (week Average flights per day (week
Top 10 Airports
1-7/4) 1-7/4) vs 2019
IGA Istanbul Airport 651 Not yet in operation in early 2019
Frankfurt 532 -64%
Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 485 -65%
Amsterdam 469 -67%
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 422 -33%
Madrid/Barajas 396 -66%
London/Heathrow 345 -75%
Palma De Mallorca 261 -55%
Munich 220 -81%
Athens 219 -60% Economics
(01 April 2021)
Traffic Flow Fuel price
156
On 7 April, the intra-European traffic flow was
8,076 + 4% -67% Cents/gallon
flights over past 2 weeks compared to 2019 compared to 160 cents/gallon
on 26 Mar 21
Source: IATA/Platts Source: ACI
3
Overall traffic situation at network level
10,954 flights on Wednesday
7 April.
+4% with +387 flights over 2
weeks (from Wednesday 24
March).
-8% with -975 flights over 1
week (from Wednesday 31
March).
35% of 2019 traffic levels.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 4
Current situation and scenarios
Traffic at -65% on 1-7 April 2021 vs 1-7 April 2019, slightly
After having reached a maximum at network level at the
above the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios published on end of March (around Easter), the traffic is now clearly
28 January 2021 mainly due to: decreasing over the last week.
• Very active cargo traffic.
• Higher number of operations for top airlines than anticipated. A large part of the increase vs 2019 is due to the fact that
• Easter holidays started in March compared to April in 2019. Easter this year (4 April 2021) is almost 3 weeks earlier
than in 2019 (21 April 2019).
Note that a significant proportion of flight operations for some of the largest airlines are
actually non-commercial, i.e. training flights and circular flights to maintain pilot ratings.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 5
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 10
Positive change in the ranking
Rank over 2 weeks for Lufthansa,
evolution
Top 10 Aircraft Operators on Wed 07-04-2021 Ryanair and Alitalia.
over 2 D over 2 % over 2 2-digit increase for most
Aircraft Operator Flights % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks
airlines. 3-digit increase for
TURKISH AIRLINES 728 +63 +9% -34%
Ryanair.
AIR FRANCE 398 +41 +11% -66%
WIDEROE 329 +26 +9% -19% Highest increase over 2 weeks
DEUTSCHE LUFTHANSA 300 +76 +34% -81% for Ryanair (+327%), 1/3 due
PEGASUS HAVA TASI. 289 +33 +13% -31% to domestic Italian flows
DHL EXPRESS 279 +5 +2% +6% followed by domestic flows in
KLM ROYAL DUTCH AIRL 271 +42 +18% -63% Spain and UK.
RYANAIR 265 +203 +327% -89%
ALITALIA 199 +89 +81% -64% High increase for Alitalia
SCANDINAVIAN AIRLINES SYSTEM 166 +15 +10% -84% (+81%) mainly driven by
domestic flows within Italy.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 6
Aircraft operators (Daily flights)
Top 40 – Latest operations
Highest increase for Ryanair (+327%), TAP/Air Portugal (+277%), Vueling (+133%) and
Wizz Air (+104%).
Ryanair 8th, British Airways 14th, Wizz Air 16th and easyJet 23rd.
Traffic levels ranging from -99% (Brussels Airlines) to -19% (Wideroe) compared to 2019
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 7
Aircraft operators
Latest news
European airlines
airBaltic starting Tallin-Munich service in May.
Air France recapitalisation of up to €4 billion approved by
Worldwide airlines
European Commission.
KLM welcomes the Air France capital strengthening and Alaska Airlines to purchase an additional 23 Boeing 737
notes that it is in talks with the Dutch State as it will also MAX aircraft between 2023 and 2024.
need capital “in time”. American Airlines introduces Quarantine-free travel on
Ryanair to operate Lisbon-Cologne twice a week and flights from New York to Milan and Rome.
Belfast-Faro daily from summer 2021; launching 3 services Emirates to resume Dubai-Milan-JFK service on 1 June;
from Zagreb; passenger numbers in March were 91% down delivers 50 million vaccine doses to more than 50
year-on-year to 500,000. destinations.
TAP plans to operate 100 routes with 879 flights a week by Southwest Airlines recalls 209 pilots from voluntary
August; adding 8 new routes to Europe and Africa. extended leave ahead of busier summer schedule.
Wizz Air reports March passenger numbers down 72.6%
year-on-year; operated just below 20% of its capacity with
a load factor of 63%.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 8
States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10
2-digit increase for half of top 10
States over 2 weeks.
Rank
evolution
Top 10 States on Wed 07-04-2021 Increase in the ranking over 2
over 2 D over 2 % over 2 weeks for Belgium.
State Flights (Dep/Arr) % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks
Germany 1749 -140 -7% -72% Highest increase for Italy (+32%)
France 1612 -52 -3% -65% mainly driven by domestic flows
Turkey 1401 +127 +10% -38% and traffic from Ryanair and
Spain 1309 +187 +17% -71% Alitalia.
United Kingdom 1179 +199 +20% -81%
Italy 1013 +247 +32% -72% High increase for UK (+20%) half
Norway 815 +67 +9% -52% of it being driven by domestic
Netherlands 583 +45 +8% -67% traffic.
Belgium 367 -18 -5% -66%
Switzerland 336 -92 -21% -75%
High increase for Spain (+17%)
and Turkey (+10%).
Highest decrease for Germany
(-7%) mainly due to light aircraft
following increase before Easter.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 9
States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
Strong increase for Portugal (+74% over 2 weeks), 1/3 due to domestic traffic, the rest
due to flows from/to Northern Europe and Spain. Half of it by Tap/Air Portugal.
Traffic levels ranging from -89% (Albania) to -34% (Armenia), compared to 2019.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 10Associations and Institutions
IATA: Willie Walsh succeeds Alexandre de Juniac as Director General; releases
its safety report showing fewer accidents in 2020 but a higher accident rate of
1.71 accidents per million flights.
French DGAC reports that passenger numbers for France in February were
93.9% lower than in 2020 (domestic -63.6%, international -89.1%).
US CDC lifts domestic travel restrictions (testing/quarantines) for fully
vaccinated citizens.
Singapore to enable use of IATA Travel Pass from May.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 11Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 8,076 flights on
Wednesday 7 April, which is increasing (+4%) over 2 weeks.
Intra-Europe flights are at -67% compared to 2019 while
intercontinental flows are at -58%. REGION 24-03-2021 07-04-2021 % vs. 2019
Intra-Europe 7 765 8 076 +4% -67%
EuropeAsia/Pacific 414 446 +8% -42%
EuropeMid-Atlantic 68 64 -6% -60%
EuropeMiddle-East 584 574 -2% -57%
EuropeNorth Atlantic 427 458 +7% -60%
EuropeNorth-Africa 306 258 -16% -72%
EuropeOther Europe 301 351 +17% -60%
EuropeSouth-Atlantic 58 59 +2% -66%
EuropeSouthern Africa 159 175 +10% -44%
Non Intra-Europe 2 317 2 385 +3% -58%
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 12Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10
9 of the top 10 flows are
domestic.
Rank Highest increase for
evolution
Top 10 Country-Pair on Wed 07-04-2021 domestic flows in Italy
over 2 ∆ over 2 % over 2 (+52%) mainly Ryanair,
Country-Pair Dep/Arr Flights % vs 2019
weeks week week Alitalia and Wizz Air.
France France 763 -56 -7% -42%
Highest decrease for
Norway Norway 662 +47 +8% -32%
domestic flows in Germany
Spain Spain 584 +21 +4% -53% (-53%) mainly due to light
Turkey Turkey 577 -8 -1% -31% aircraft and Eurowings.
Italy Italy 436 +149 +52% -47%
United Kingdom United Kingdom361 +54 +18% -69%
High increase for the flow
Germany-Spain (+68%)
Germany Germany 262 -290 -53% -79%
mainly due to Lufthansa,
Greece Greece 187 +32 +21% -38%
Condor, TUI and Eurowings.
Germany Spain 175 +71 +68% -66%
Sweden Sweden 153 -5 -3% -69%
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 13Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Latest traffic situation
The busiest non-domestic
flows were:
• Germany-Spain (175 flights,
+68% over 2 weeks).
• Russia-Turkey (127, +35%).
• Germany-UK (115, +25%).
• UK-US (110, +16%).
• France-Germany (103, -4%)
• Germany-Italy (96, +16%).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 14Outside Europe
USA
Bookings are gradually improving on rising
vaccination rates and easing travel
restrictions.
US domestic recorded a decline of 31% (vs
2019) and international traffic recorded a
decline of 42% (vs 2019) on 6 April.
On 6 April, US airline passenger volumes
were 41% below 2019 levels with domestic
down 38% and international down 56%.
The domestic US load factor has improved
recently, averaging at 76% on 6 April vs 84%
in same week of 2019.
In March 2021, U.S. International air travel*
fell 76% below 2019 levels
* Gateway-to-gateway passengers on U.S. and foreign
scheduled and charter airlines and general aviation
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 15Outside Europe
Middle East China
Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded around 1,662 daily flights on On 5 April, domestic traffic recorded just below 13,100 flights
6 April (-40% compared to Feb 2020). (+10% compared to January 2020 levels).
On 6 April, international traffic from and to Middle-East International flights and overflights are still suppressed, they
recorded 1,507 flights (-50% compared to Feb 2020). were stable on previous weeks with 1,355 and 569 flights
respectively (-67% and -64% vs 1 Jan 2020).
Overflights have remained stable around 377 flights (-12%
compared to Feb 2019) over the recent weeks. China domestic trips during the Qing Ming Festival holiday
recovered to 94.5% of 2019 level.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 16Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)
Top 10 and latest news Increase in the ranking for
Amsterdam, Rome and Milan.
Rank
evolution
Top 10 Airports on Wed 07-04-2021 6 of top 10 airports showed a
over 2 D over 2 % over 2
2-digit increase over 2 weeks.
Airport Dep/Arr Flights % vs 2019
weeks weeks weeks Highest increase for Rome
IGA Istanbul Airport 630 +64 +11% -34% (+54%) mainly due to Alitalia
Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 497 +34 +7% -65% and domestic flows.
Amsterdam 484 +76 +19% -67%
High increase for Amsterdam
Frankfurt 477 +57 +14% -69%
(+19%) mainly due to KLM,
Madrid/Barajas 407 +12 +3% -66%
Transavia and various flows.
Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 388 +24 +7% -36%
London/Heathrow 340 +47 +16% -75% Increase for Frankfurt (+14%)
Leipzig/Halle 236 -3 -1% -8% mainly due to Lufthansa and
Rome/Fiumicino 227 +80 +54% -74% many flows, in particular to
Milan/Malpensa 226 +28 +14% -61% Spain, France and Italy.
Increase for Heathrow (+16%)
mainly due to BA and flows to
US, Germany and domestic.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 17Airports
Latest news
New international airport in Belgrade planned – next steps are a public consultation and
then parliamentary debate.
Riga Airport becomes the first airport in the Baltic States to adopt Airport Collaborative
Decision Making (A-CDM).
Manchester Airport reports March passenger numbers down 89.8% year-on-year (domestic
-69.4%, international -91.3%).
Finavia reports March passenger numbers down 82.6% year-on-year (domestic -69.5%,
international -88.6%).
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATIONAirports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights) Latest operations Increase for Palma over 2 weeks (+55%) due to flows to/from Germany and Spain. Large increase for Lisbon (+96%) due to many flows, mainly from TAP/Air Portugal. Large increase for Munich (+44%) mainly due to Lufthansa and flows to/from Spain. Traffic levels ranging from -97% (Gatwick) to -61% (Milan) compared to 2019. SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 19
Passengers
ACI recorded just below
918,000 passengers on 11
March 2021*, a loss of 4.8
million passengers compared
to the equivalent day in 2019
(i.e. -84%).
In 2020, ACI Europe reported
passenger traffic fell by 70.4%
while freight traffic decreased
by 11.8% at European**
airports.
* Latest available data from ACI
**Russia included.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 20Market Segments
The situation has evolved
significantly around Easter. On 7
April 2021:
Low-Cost increased the most,
reaching -82% vs 2019.
Traditional recorded a very
slight increase reaching -67%.
All three other segments
decreased compared to 2019:
All-cargo decreased to -6%.
Charter decreased to -14%.
Business Aviation decreased
to -30%.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 21Vaccination updates
Inoculations against COVID-19 have started at the end of 2020 as shown with the daily number of COVID-19 vaccination
doses administered per 100 people on the left hand-side graph.
On the right hand-side one: Israel, UK, Monaco, Malta, Serbia and Hungary have reported that more than 25 doses per
hundred people had been administered by 6 April 2021.
Graphs are showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States of EUROCONTROL.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 22Economics
Jet fuel prices have started to rise
since last Autumn, from around
100 cts/gal in October 2021 to
170 cts/gal early March. They
stabilised at 156 cts/gal on 1 April
2021.
Underlying reason for the rise in
oil prices were related to
constraints in supply (OPEC+
extended the existing oil
production cuts through April
2021), combined with supply
disruptions in the United States,
and an attack of an oil terminal in
Saudi Arabia.
SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 23To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional
information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and
12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:
1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:
www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the
top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int)
• This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports;
for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.
2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions):
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a
summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.
3. NOP Recovery Plan.
https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html
• This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan
supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with
the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook. © EUROCONTROL - March 2021
This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in whole
or in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercial
purposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified without
For more information please contact aviation.intelligence@eurocontrol.int prior written permission from EUROCONTROL.
www.eurocontrol.int
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