IMAPINSIGHTS FEBRUARY 2021 - OUR M&A PERSPECTIVE ON THE GLOBAL
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IMAP INSIGHTS FEBRUARY 2021 OUR M&A PERSPECTIVE ON THE GLOBAL FINTECH SECTOR Contents Themes Driving Fintech Disruption 4 North American Fintech 6 African Fintech 8 Fintech Road Ahead 10 Fintech and Financial Services Intersection 12 IMAP Financial Services Transactions 14 About IMAP 16 IMAP International M&A Partners
2 3 INTRODUCTION IMAP Fintech Sector Leaders: Andrew Kemper, David Francione, and Edmund Higenbottam share insights into the global Fintech sector. They look at the short- and long-term effects of the COVID pandemic and which subsectors stand to lose and who ultimately stands to benefit. Sharing their thoughts on key themes disrupting the sector, including payments, digitalization, lending and mobile, they examine how these have been impacting M&A activity and valuations. They provide an overview of the most active players, as well as expectations for this key sector moving forward. Fintech is a large growing vertical in the TMT Software market. In the first half of 2020 we saw a decline in activity compared to the same time period in 2019, but in Q3 there was a pick-up and Q4 deal volumes returned to pre-COVID levels. While cross-border transactions have been limited due to the pandemic, we expect this to increase moving forward as companies look to access new markets, internationally as ANDREW KEMPER well as domestically. Companies acquiring complementary solutions to increase platform capabilities will also drive activity. Likewise, global companies are accelerating the strategic shift to automating the movement of money. In terms of buyer mix, we are seeing active buyers across the board, from early and later stage VCs, growth, public companies, and growth equity, to later stage buyout OUR M&A PERSPECTIVE and public companies, as well as SPACs DAVID FRANCIONE who play a significant role in the Fintech sector. During the last 5-7 years, more PE dollars have been invested and we are also ON THE GLOBAL seeing more Corporate VCs. Traditionally in the Fintech sector, these are companies and organizations without inhouse capacity to develop the more advanced technology required quickly enough, and need to acquire FINTECH SECTOR it, who have created their own investment departments to accelerate time to market. Insurance companies and banks who are also unable to develop technologies quickly enough, have been forced to step up their EDMUND HIGENBOTTAM M&A activity and investment plans. IMAP
4 THEMES DRIVING FINTECH DISRUPTION THEMES DRIVING FINTECH DISRUPTION 5 FINTECH M&A THEMES DRIVING FINTECH DISRUPTION Typically, Fintech, including at a staggering USD 120 trillion. B2C Payments are somewhat payments, is divided into B2B Interestingly, in the US, there are a large harder to gauge, due to the B2B2C and B2C, as well as secondary number of legacy banks, antiquated convergence, but these are estimated convergence between the two; B2B2C. technology, different processes and to have an annual global revenue of regulations than the rest of the world, USD 30 trillion, less than 10% of which If we look at the peer B2B payments resulting in countless payments in B2B are digital payments. annual global revenue, it stands still made in paper/manual checks. Payment, Digitalization, Lending & Mobile B2B Payments – USD 120 trillion Global/Yr B2C Payments – USD 30 trillion Global/Yr US Market – USD 25 trillion (50% checks)
6 NORTH AMERICAN FINTECH NORTH AMERICAN FINTECH 7 NORTH AMERICAN FINTECH M&A NORTH AMERICAN FINTECH VALUATIONS M&A LANDSCAPE M&A Activity: Fintech VALUATIONS ARE BACK TO Bank Technology – Valuation Multiples Fintech is a large growing vertical PRE-COVID LEVELS in the TMT, Software market. Compared Leading activity in terms of volume and value are bank 35x 32.9x to 2019, we saw a decline in Fintech M&A 300 technology and payment technology providers, with 30.9x Number of Transactions activity in the first half of 2020. In Q3, we predominately recurring values – be it subscription-based 30x 250 saw this pick-up due to pent up demand 196 190 194 189 191 format or payment processing volume. 200 25x 23.5x 165 152 and Q4 returned to pre-COVID levels. 137 136 150 Revenue multiples are trading relatively high and whilst 20x The Payments segment levelled off, yet 100 bank technology has been consistent, there has been a 14.9x 50 15x remained robust throughout the COVID slight uptick in payment technology providers. This growth pandemic seeing an uptick, as less and has been accelerated by the events of the COVID pandemic 8.4x 9.2x 0 10x 7.8x 7.0x less people are inclined to use cash, and 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 and subsequent increase in the number of electronic less companies accept cash payments. payments driving higher YOY growth rate and gross profit 5x This trend has benefited electronic margins, which has driven up multiples. 0x payment companies. Another global trend 2015 2017 2019 2020 in B2C is the use of mobile applications, Fintech IPOs are also trading at extremely high multiples, as people increasingly use their mobile M&A Activity: Payments Segment Breakdown consistent with the Software sector. EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA devices for everyday activities, especially payments for goods and services. Should 200 the pandemic continue to worsen, brick Payment Technology Providers – Valuation Multiples Recent FinTech IPOs Number of Transactions 160 147 and mortar type customers of payment processing businesses will likely experience 35x 30x 27.4x 120 96 96 30.3x a significant decline in payment volume, 75 30x 25x whereas e-commerce payment businesses 80 63 60 49 24.1x will thrive. 31 26 25x 40 21 21 19 15 21.0x 20x 13 11 9 Leading the way in terms of number of 20x 15.6x 15x 13.8x 0 12.0x transactions, are card-related payments, 15x 11.5x 9.2x Ga ate nts ay s W S Ec ym t Pa ent m t H e lth Cr d to Ch /R ura B k- eiv e As C ted s t M s- cs em r e bank-related services and gateway/POS. pa le om en 8.4x 8.4x ag de w vc le c ec ec nc bl ou 10x O B2 yp se ros sv er E- al ea /P re ab ya e an or te d s 8.0x Cl 7.9x 7.7x -re m 10x B nk ay n s la Ba ed p 3.6x I l BUYER MIX 5x 5x at e ic Across the board, we are seeing active l 0.0x -re vo rd In buyers, from early and later stage VCs, 0x 0x Ca growth, public companies, and growth 2015 2017 2019 2020 2015 2017 2019 LTM equity, to later stage buyout and public EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA EV / Revenue EV / EBITDA companies, as well as SPACs who play a significant role in the Fintech sector. M&A Activity: Payments Segment Source: Capital IQ, PitchBook, and Capstone Research In the last 5-7 years, more PE dollars have been invested and we are also seeing 100 more Corporate VCs. Traditionally in the Fintech sector, these are companies and 80 Number of Transactions organizations without inhouse capacity to 62 61 55 55 55 57 develop the more advanced technology 60 54 50 required quickly enough, and need to 45 acquire it, who have created their own 40 investment departments to accelerate time to market. Insurance companies and banks 20 who are also unable to develop quickly technologies quickly enough, have been 0 forced to step up their M&A activity and 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 investment plans. Source: Capital IQ, PitchBook, and Capstone Research IMAP
8 AFRICAN FINTECH AFRICAN FINTECH 9 FINTECH IN AFRICA & EMERGING MARKET AFRICA & EMERGING MARKET KEY FINTECH TRANSACTIONS & THEMES Key Themes Transaction Dynamics Financial Inclusion 4 66% of adults in sub-Saharan Africa are unbanked 4 Growth of companies using technology to expand or underbanked access to financial services, payments (e.g., mobile money, app solutions, agency) or credit (scoring 4 25% of adults in the US are unbanked or algorithms) underbanked 4 Growth of “Impact Investing” into a “mainstream” asset class Technology Adoption vs Disruption 4 Incumbents benefiting from regulatory status, brand, 4 Acquisition of tech savviest by incumbents (e.g., and reputation in the funding market Network International buying DPO) 4 Disruptors benefiting from tech savvy DNA and lack 4 Capital hungry disruptors M&A LANDSCAPE In Africa and the emerging seeing a large number of traditional PE competing with VC. In some of these Africa is the Fintech of legacy systems market, Fintech is more broadly defined, to include technology transactions, we are seeing a variety of quasi-VC within banks. fulcrum between driven businesses that are disrupting traditional Financial Services, i.e., the In terms of regional parties East and West Digital Termination of Remittances disruptors, as well as the technology participating in transactions, this providers to banks, or enablers. stands at around 2/3 global players, Furthermore, the bulk of M&A activity compared to 1/3 regional and is fairly 4 Global remittance volumes expected to reach USD 1 4 Leverage DTR to build broader mobile financial and capital raising is undertaken by consistent across the subsectors. We trillion in 2026 services businesses the disruptors, as opposed to the are seeing that the larger transactions also in terms of geopolitics, business 4 Disruption by digital models, reducing transaction costs 4 Payment channel for cross-border commerce with enablers. are disproportionately global investors and natural resources is a fulcrum (average 7% of value) and enhancing convenience regions – a small deal may have only a regional geography between China and the US, 4 Additional axe for global interest in EM assets There has been a relatively strong investor, but large transactions and similarly to LATAM and other parts bounce back in terms of deal volumes, are likely to have an international of the world. Therefore, we expect to with some shift towards M&A, though component. see an increase in activity in Africa there has been less activity on the from China over the next 2-3 years. financing side due to a more select VALUATIONS market over the last 12 months. There isn’t the same conveyor belt KEY GROWTH AREAS West vs East of funding available in Africa so In Africa, some synergy can be found Excitement in Fintech in Africa having companies find themselves forced between Fintech activity focused begun some 4/5 years ago, we are to be profitable and mature sooner. on fraud avoidance and customer 4 Mastercard invests in Network International 4 Competition - East vs West for “strategic assets” now seeing the best companies ready Luckily, with lower operating costs, it’s payment method convenience, with 4 Stripe acquires Paystack (YC-alumni) for USD 200 4 Exit optionality holds up valuations of VC rounds to exit, whereas the weaker companies easier for companies to break even new technologies being developed million are no longer able to continue capital earlier. that encompass both. There is 4 Pine Labs sold to Mastercard raising. however, one space in Africa where GEOGRAPHY the interest in transactions is as 4 Ant targets IPO (USD 35 billion) larger than Aramco! BUYER MIX We see some level of competition much around enabling incumbents, As in the North American market, from East to West in terms of strategic as opposed to disruption, which is there is a broad mix of players. We are assets. Africa, not just in Fintech, but prevention in KYC technologies. IMAP
10 FINTECH – THE ROAD AHEAD FINTECH – THE ROAD AHEAD 11 FINTECH – THE ROAD AHEAD There has certainly been a global to-face meetings which are still very ▪ Online insurance, especially in increase in Fintech activity, with important due to cultural differences the US, has seen an increase some key trends driving growth. are challenging. As such, many in activity and this market is companies are currently unable to expected to continue to grow ▪ Companies look to start building travel overseas, essentially having to – both personal and business their businesses and go to market push the pause button. insurance. strategies overseas, in the hopes that the regulatory environment may ▪ Countries such as South America ▪ Online brokerage is a growing be more flexible. and Western Europe are increasingly market. Due to the COVID interested in the US market. pandemic, many 18–30-year-olds ▪ Borders are becoming increasingly are now trading stocks from home less important in the Fintech market, ▪ Due to a high level of Venture and digital brokers have captured so we expect an increase in the level Funds around the world and a good segment of the market. The of cross-border activity – both for strategics looking to buy, buyout market is large and has become M&A and capital raising – though or buy into Fintech, there are many less touchy-feely and more tech the COVID pandemic means face- opportunities for global deals. driven. Fintech M&A Landscape Recap M&A Drivers for Buyers Expectations and Sellers 4 Global companies accelerating strategic shift to 4 Access to new markets, domestically and automating the movement of money; strong YOY internationally revenue growth and ahead of projections 4 S. America (LATAM), W. Europe, India in focus 4 Weak spots: end users negatively affected by COVID – airlines, hospitality, restaurants, brick & 4 Complementary solutions that increase platform mortar retail capabilities Transactions, Valuations Due Diligence, Transaction & Trends Structure & Risk Sharing 4 Number of deals declined 4 Expected/on going use of earn-outs based on the achievement of forecast results in order to match 4 Size of deals impacted - less USD billion the bid/ask gap & manage downside risk due to transactions, more tuck ins and smaller deal sizes unknown COVID impact going forward 4 Cross-border transactions soft – due to cultural 4 Still able to sell off next years earnings projections differences related to deal dynamics; stay at home & often based on multiple of recurring revenue IMAP
12 FINTECH & FINANCIAL SERVICES INTERSECTION FINTECH & FINANCIAL SERVICES INTERSECTION 13 FINTECH & FINANCIAL SERVICES INTERSECTION Fintech is becoming a part of financial services companies, such of a digital entity, adopting more and consumers daily lives. As such, as banks, investment firms and more technology driven systems and during the last few years, we have seen brokerage companies, who through applications in order to stay relevant in convergence between the traditional a paradigm shift are becoming more the marketplace. C Blo 2 ck /B Risk ch B Management Loan Management ai B2 n Trading Analytics Digital / Mobile Banking Secutities Trading PayFac Capital Banks Markets Gateway Risc aaS Assessment POS Payments Insurance / Analytics S Processor b il e Asset d / Acquiror / Issuer Mgt Predictive u Mo Analytics o Payment Cl Platform Fraud Credit Detection Monitoring Risk Management AI IMAP
14 IMAP FINTECH TRANSACTIONS IMAP FINTECH TRANSACTIONS 15 IMAP TRANSACTIONS – FINTECH Selected IMAP Transactions has been acquired by has been acquired by has been acquired by has divested its subsidiary has been acquired by Buy side advisory a portfolio co. of ADVISOR TO LANTERN ADVISOR TO MHC ADVISOR TO CR SOFTWARE ADVISOR TO WEX ADVISOR TO BANKTEL ADVISOR TO RDM USD 16 M USD 13 M USD 6 M USD 4 M has been acquired by has been acquired by Debt Series A Series A and Debt Pre-Series A and Debt ADVISOR TO SIB ADVISOR TO APS ADVISOR TO TUGENDE ADVISOR TO PLANT42 ADVISOR TO RETAIL CAPITAL ADVISOR TO ZEEPAY IMAP
16 ABOUT IMAP ABOUT IMAP 17 ABOUT IMAP INTERNATIONAL MERGERS & ACQUISITION PARTNERS GLOBAL REACH Consistently ranked among the Top 10 middle market M&A advisors worldwide Our cross-border experience extends across Europe, the Americas, Asia and Africa 450+ 47 60+ $12.5bn 450+ 43 60+ TEAM OF IMAP YEARS OF M&A OFFICES IN 43 CLOSED DEAL PROFESSIONALS COUNTRIES OFFICES PROFESSIONALS EXPERIENCE IN THE COUNTRIES VALUE 2020 WORLDWIDE WORLDWIDE MIDDLE MARKET ENTREPRENEURIAL SPIRIT MIDDLE MARKET FOCUS GLOBAL REACH EXECUTION EXPERIENCE • IMAP is a partner-driven, client- • Sell-side advisory for primarily • Proven cross-border advisory • IMAP has closed over 2,100 focused and independent M&A privately held companies and practice. transactions valued at $90 advisory. spin-offs from large groups. • Global sector & project teams billion in the last 10 years. • Senior experience and hands • Strategic acquisitions for across 15 sector groups. on involvement in deals – international corporates. • Leveraging local knowledge 230 Senior Transaction/ • “Sweet –spot” Transaction and corporate access in all Transaction Advisors. Values $20 – 250 million. relevant international markets. • Worldwide IMAP team • Strong PE and Family Office comprising 450+ Coverage. professionals. GLOBAL PERFORMANCE 2020 218 $12.5bn 30% 6th M&A TRANSACTIONS TRANSACTION VALUE CROSS-BORDER DEALS IN THE WORLD Automotive Transport Building Products & Services & Logistics GLOBAL PERFORMANCE Technology 6% 4% 5% Business Services 1 PwC North America New York Latin America Ivory Coast Europe Portugal 14% 9% 2 KPMG U.S.A. Philadelphia Argentina Mauritius Belgium Russia 3 Deloitte Consumer Boston Richmond Brazil Morocco Bosnia & Herzegovina Serbia 4 Houlihan Lokey & Retail Chicago San Diego Chile Nigeria Croatia Slovakia Real Estate 5% DEAL 9% 5 Rothschild Dallas San Francisco Colombia Senegal Czech Republic Slovenia DISTRIBUTION 6 IMAP Denver St Louis Mexico South Africa Finland Spain BY SECTOR Education 7 EY Materials, 6% 4% 8 Oaklins Detroit Tampa Peru France Sweden Chemicals & Training Greenville Washington DC Panama Asia Germany Turkey & Mining 5% 9 Goldman Sachs Greenwich Canada China Hungary United Kingdom Energy 10 Lazard 12% 7% & Utilities Houston Toronto Africa India Ireland Ranking based on number of transactions Los Angeles Vancouver Congo Japan Italy 7% 7% closed in 2020. Undisclosed values and Naples Egypt Thailand Netherlands Industrials Financial Services values up to $500 million. Ghana Poland Source: Refinitiv and IMAP internal data. Food & Beverage Healthcare IMAP
18 GLOBAL IMAP FINTECH & FINANCIAL TEAM GLOBAL IMAP FINTECH & FINANCIAL TEAM 19 IMAP GLOBAL SECTOR COVERAGE FINTECH & FINANCIAL SERVICES CANADA CANADA PORTUGAL IRELAND FRANCE GERMANY ITALY POLAND ANDREW KEMPER BRENT WALKER GONCALO VAZ BOTELHO JONATHAN DALTON FRANCK CEDDAHA PETER A. KOCH DANIELE SOTTILE PIOTR CHUDZIK Partner Managing Director Managing Partner & CEO Head of Corporate Finance Managing Partner Managing Director Managing Partner Managing Partner Capital West Partners Morrison Park Advisors Invest Corporate Finance Key Capital Degroof Petercam France IMAP M&A Consultants AG Vitale & Co. Trigon, Vancouver, Canada Toronto, Canada Lisbon, Portugal Dublin, Ireland Paris, France Mannheim, Germany Milan, Italy Warsaw, Poland andrew.kemper@imap.com brent.walker@imap.com goncalo.botelho@imap.com jonathan.dalton@imap.com franck.ceddaha@imap.com peter.koch@imap.com daniele.sottile@imap.com piotr.chudzik@imap.com USA USA HUNGARY CROATIA & SEE DAVID FRANCIONE KHELAN DATTANI MARTON MICHALETZKY GORAN POPOVIC Managing Director Managing Director Managing Partner Partner Capstone Headwaters Capstone Headwaters Concorde MB Partners IMAP Southeast Europe Boston, USA Washington DC, USA Budapest, Hungary Zagreb, Croatia david.francione@imap.com khelan.dattani@imap.com marton.michaeltzky@imap.com goran.popovic@imap.com MEXICO BRAZIL COLOMBIA INDIA GILBERTO ESCOBEDO TOM WASLANDER MAURICIO SALDARRIAGA ASHUTOSH MAHESHVARI Partner Managing Partner Partner Managing Director Serficor Partners Brasilpar Inverlink SAS IMAP India, Mexico City, Mexico Sao Paulo, Brazil Bogota, Colombia Mumbai, India gilberto.escobedo@imap.com tom.waslander@imap.com mauricio.saldarriaga@imap.com ashutosh.maheshvari@imap.com PERU ARGENTINA MOROCCO EGYPT SOUTH AFRICA CARLOS A. GARCIA MARIO HUGO AZULAY ABDELLATIF IMANI KHALED EL GHANNAM EDMUND HIGENBOTTAM Founder & Managing Partner Partner Partner Chairman Managing Director SUMMA Asesores Financieros Mario Hugo/FS Partners Ascent Capital Partners Intelligent Way Capital Partners Verdant Capital Lima, Peru Buenos Aires, Argentina Casablanca, Morocco Cairo, Egypt Johannesburg, South Africa carlos.garcia@imap.com mario.azulay@imap.com abdellatif.imani@imap.com khaled.elghannam@imap.com edmund.higenbottam@imap.com IMAP
Report Contributors ANDREW KEMPER Partner Capital West Partners – IMAP Canada andrew.kemper@imap.com DAVID FRANCIONE Managing Director Capstone Headwaters – IMAP USA david.francione@imap.com EDMUND HIGENBOTTAM Managing Director Verdant Capital – IMAP South Africa edmund.higenbottam@imap.com Contact: IMAP, Inc. Balmes 151, 1st floor 08008 Barcelona - Spain T. +34 936 026 710 www.imap.com © IMAP, Inc. 2020 IMAP International M&A Partners
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