Hungary external relations briefing: Hungary' Eastern European Relations - China-CEE Institute
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
ISSN: 2560-1601 Vol. 39, No. 4 (HU) April 2021 Hungary external relations briefing: Hungary’ Eastern European Relations Csaba Moldicz 1052 Budapest Petőfi Sándor utca 11. +36 1 5858 690 Kiadó: Kína-KKE Intézet Nonprofit Kft. office@china-cee.eu Szerkesztésért felelős személy: Chen Xin Kiadásért felelős személy: Huang Ping china-cee.eu 2017/01
Hungary’ Eastern European Relations Summary In recent years, Hungarian and Ukrainian relations have been severely strained. The debate has focused on the rights of the Hungarian ethnic minority; in particular, their rights to use the Hungarian language in education, public administration, the media, and culture have been constantly violated. The Hungarian government repeatedly called on the Ukrainian government to correct these policy failures and to adhere to internationally accepted standards. In addition, according to the Ministry of Foreign Trade and Affairs,1 leaders of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine and Ukrainian citizens with dual citizenship (with Hungarian passports) have been threatened. Despite this imminent need to act for the Hungarian side, there is much more at stake in this debate, as Hungary seems to realize the geopolitical implications of Ukraine's membership in the NATO. And so, the entire Eastern European region is in turmoil right now, which also affects Hungary's relations with Russia. Introduction The broader theme of this briefing is the recent political uncertainties in neighboring Eastern European countries, but the analysis focuses explicitly on Ukraine and the debate between Hungary and Ukraine that began just a few years ago when Ukraine changed its laws regarding language use. The most recent element of this saga was the amendment to the law in early 2021, which mandated the use of Ukrainian even in the service industry. In 2017, Ukrainian lawmakers passed a law ordering middle schools that teach in minority languages to switch to Ukrainian. The basic tension is not between Hungary and Ukraine, but between Russia and Ukraine. This amended law seeks to cement the Ukrainian language as the main language of the country, and thus the identity of Ukrainians, which is linguistically more complex than in other European countries. Since Hungarians in Transcarpathia are also affected by the new regulations, Hungarian foreign diplomacy has used all available means to change this situation 1 Hungarian Government (2021). Szijjártó: Magyarország elvárja, hogy ukrajna tiszteletben tartsa a magyar közösség jogait. Retrieved from: https://kormany.hu/hirek/szijjarto-magyarorszag-elvarja-hogy-ukrajna- tiszteletben-tartsa-a-magyar-kozosseg-jogait 1
created by Ukrainian identity politics. This briefing focuses on these efforts of Hungarian foreign policy. Historical background – not “one inch to the east” As we saw in the introduction, the story is much broader than the rights of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine, therefore it is worth looking at the international context and examining the Hungarian strand of the story embedded into the broader context. This briefing does not intend to delve into history, however, the historical background of the political debate on Ukraine's membership NATO needs to be mentioned here. The debate revolves around the alleged promise of the United States not to extend NATO to the former Warsaw Pact countries after 1990. On the Russian side, the NATO expansion is often cited as a broken promise, while the Americans vehemently argue that this promise was never written down in a binding document, even though the words - not "one inch to the east" - were actually said by the US Secretary Backer during the negotiations with the Russian leader, Gorbachev.2 Which side is right in this debate is basically irrelevant, but the geopolitical consequences of NATO enlargement are. Hungary alone, of course, is not strong enough to prevent Ukraine's accession if the US were to commit to NATO enlargement, but it can raise its voice to alert the other member states of the alliance that Ukraine is not abiding by the ground rules of the alliance. Hungarian foreign diplomacy seems to be aware of the uncertainty that Ukraine's membership in the NATO would cause in the Central and Eastern European region. This political dilemma arises from the right of nations to freely choose their preferred integration or alliance and from Russia's need to create a Moscow-friendly neighborhood. This dilemma will not be resolved until relations between Russia and the West are settled. The language debate is only one part of this larger dispute. János Seremet, an analyst at IFAT, calls the pillar of Ukrainian politics "the holy trinity of army, religion, and language." Using this concept of “trinity”, one can grasp that the debate is about more than language use. Hungary’s dispute with Ukraine The last time Hungary warned about the violation of the Hungarian minority in Ukraine was on April 19, 2021, when EU foreign ministers held an informal online meeting. The 2 Jim Goldgeier (2019). Promises made, promises broken? What Yeltsin was told about NATO in 1993 and why it matters. Retrieved from: https://warontherocks.com/2019/11/promises-made-promises-broken-what-yeltsi 2
Ukrainian foreign minister took part in the online meeting, where he was urged by Hungary to respect the rights of ethnic Hungarians living in Transcarpathia. At the same time, it was also underlined by the Hungarian Foreign Minister that the Hungarian minority does not threaten the territorial integrity of Ukraine and it misrepresents the situation if the current situation is presented this way by Ukraine. The Hungarian side stressed several Hungarian steps showing Hungary's good intentions and called for the protection of minority rights in Ukraine: - Medical treatment for Ukrainian soldiers, - gas supplies for Ukraine, - $10 million in economic aid to the Ukrainian hospital in the fight against the Covid-19 virus. In late 2020, tensions between Hungary and Ukraine increased significantly when a series of raids were carried out by Ukrainian authorities on the premises of ethnic Hungarian institutions. The Hungarian Foreign Minister said in December “Ukraine, a country not a member of NATO, has launched an attack against a minority group originating from a NATO member country.”3 Balancing As we have already indicated, Hungary pursued a consistent foreign policy based on pragmatism and the pursuit of its own interests. For this reason, Hungary maintained relatively good relations with Russia even after the annexation of Crimean Peninsula and the imposition of economic sanctions by the EU against Russia. Because of this balanced position, Hungary has often been criticized by the West and accused of having special relations with Russia and dividing the EU in this way. Just think of the last incident when Hungary announced its intention to join Eurasian Development Bank when the country was accused of acting to protect Russia's interests. The Hungarian foreign minister justified the move as follows: "This ( joininng the EDB) aims to open up new financing sources for Hungarian firms to help them be even more successful in Eurasian markets." It's a move that can be explained more by economic factors than anything else. But Hungary's willingness to buy Russia's Covid-19 vaccine was 3 Hungary Today (2021). Gov’t Protests Ukrainian Authorities’ Raid of Ethnic Hungarian Institutions. Retrieved from: https://hungarytoday.hu/ukraine-hungarians-raid-intimidation-transcarpathia-hungary-relations/ 3
also under fire for several months until the vaccine's efficiency became clear, and most importantly, other Western European countries (Austria, Germany) have recently shown interest in buying Sputnik V. That Hungary is not Trojan Horse in the EU is shown by many moves of Hungarian diplomacy. To name just a few from the last few weeks: Hungarian diplomacy expressed solidarity with Poland when the leaders of Polish National Community were arrested in Belarus. Hungarian diplomacy expressed solidarity with Czech Republic in its dispute with Russia when the two countries expelled each other's diplomats. The Hungarian Foreign Minister added: "Hungary knows exactly how it feels when the rights of a national community are violated, because Hungarians in Transcarpathia face the same approach." 4 By this statement he was referring to the arrest of Polish minority leaders in Belarus. Similarly, we can also see that Hungary is not only ready to cooperate within the framework of European integration, but also to take the initiative. The Hungarian Prime Minister had a meeting last Friday with Ursula von der Leyden, the European Commission President. They discussed several issues, such as Hungarian plans regarding European Union's recovery and Resilience Facility or the rule of law procedure. During these talks, the Hungarian Prime Minister suggested that the EU should have a strategy regarding Russia (also China). But he added that this strategy must also take into account the aspects of economic cooperation with Russia. In other words, Hungary is committed to sensible EU cooperation with Russia, and Hungary is not going its own way for its own sake, but because of its close economic interests. Summary Hungary "dances" between European Union and Russia, constantly shifting between the two depending on power shifts and Hungary's narrow economic interests. Relations with Ukraine are shaped more by Hungary's political than economic interests, as the country fights vehemently for the rights of ethnic Hungarians living in Transcarpathia. Already two years ago, Hungary's foreign minister clearly stated that Hungary would block Ukraine's membership in 4 Krisztina Than (2021). Hungary plans to join Eurasian Development Bank in eastward diplomatic push. Retrieved from: https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/hungary-plans-to-join-eurasian-development-bank-in- eastward-diplomatic-push-2021-04-06 4
NATO until rights for the Hungarian minority were restored. Since then, the Hungarian position on this issue has not changed, only the situation in Transcarpathia has worsened. At the same time, we must add that the pressure to make Ukraine a member of NATO has increased in recent months. Although there is no commitment from the American side for Ukraine's membership, the attitude may change soon. In that case, the pressure on Hungary to change its position towards Ukraine would increase. 5
You can also read