Half year results presentation - Bupa
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Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities 2017 half year results presentation Agenda 1. Overview Section 2 Section 3 2. Market Unit performance 3. Financial review Market unit 4. Outlook and operating priorities Financial performance 5. Questions and Answers review Evelyn Bourke, Group CEO Joy Linton, CFO Martin Potkins, Corporate Controller Gareth Evans, Group Treasurer 2
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Section 1 Overview Evelyn Bourke, Group CEO 3
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Group highlights Embedding Bupa’s strategic framework • Using Net Promoter System to improve customer experience • Focusing on digital transformation and continuous improvement • Investing in strength and depth in key markets, and in risk management and compliance 4
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Group highlights Investing in strength and depth for future growth Operating highlights: Operating environment characterised by: Growth in revenue, underlying profit and Challenging and volatile political and economic cashflow in H1 environments Australian health insurance business remains No.1 provider in highly competitive market Affordability pressures for customers In the UK, completed Oasis Dental Care acquisition; integration on track Intense competition Bupa Arabia stake increased from 26.25% to 34.25% Bupa Thailand assets held for sale, with divestment announced on 25 July 2017. New CPO; Appointment of CEO International Markets announced. 5
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Group highlights Revenue +4% CER Net cash flow from operations +8% AER £6.1bn £554.4m Underlying profit before tax +11% CER Solvency coverage ratio (1) -44% pts £330.9m 160% Statutory profit before tax +66% AER £231.3m (1) The Solvency II capital coverage ratio is an estimated value. 6
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Section 2 Market Unit performance Joy Linton, Chief Financial Officer 7
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Australia and New Zealand Australian health insurance drives growth, albeit in an increasingly testing market Revenue +5% CER Operating Environment £2,439.3m +23% AER • Continuing pressure on customer affordability in a highly competitive health and care environment (HY 2016: £2,331.9m CER) • Ongoing public policy initiatives impacting growth; Bupa in active Underlying profit +3% CER discussions with Government +22% AER £163.1m Performance (HY 2016: £159.1m CER) • Revenue and profit growth for Bupa Health Insurance, despite slower overall health insurance market growth Revenue by business • Australian Aged Care business negatively impacted by altered Aged Care Funding instrument; occupancy rates at 96.5% • New Zealand Aged Care business performed well; occupancy at 90.4% • Growth in Health Services business, driven by dental • Bupa Medical Visa Services partnership extended by two years • Digital enhancements improving customer experience 8
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities United Kingdom Good performance despite macro challenges Operating Environment Revenue -7% • IPT continues to impact affordability £1,369.6m • Unpredictable political and economic environment; Brexit (HY 2016: £1,479.3m) causing uncertainty Underlying profit +17% Performance £84.6m • Revenue is down 7% reflecting the sale of Bupa Home (HY 2016: £72.1m) Healthcare (BHH), however up 11% when excluding the BHH sale to Celesio Revenue by business • Underlying profit has grown by 17%, mainly due to the acquisition of Oasis Dental Care and improved fee rates in Care Services • Health Insurance revenues remain steady, driven by SME and corporate segments; Individual segment in decline • Acquisition of Oasis was completed in February; Integration on track and new brand to be announced shortly • Care Services performing well with improved fee rates positively impacting business 9
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Europe and Latin America Strong performance across all businesses, particularly insurance Operating Environment Revenue +8% CER • Improved, stabilised political environment in Spain £1,407.4m +22% AER • Challenging market conditions in Chile and Poland (HY 2016: £1,306.1m CER) Underlying profit +28% CER Performance +45% AER £92.3m • In Spain, Sanitas Seguros delivered good growth, driven by partnerships and improvements to customer experience (HY 2016: £71.9m CER) • Sanitas Hospitales enhanced digital capability through Revenue by business acquisition of Healthia sports medicine business • Sanitas Mayores acquired five care homes; Occupancy rates at 95% • Profit growth in Bupa Chile despite challenging market conditions, driven by higher premiums and activity; Clínica Bupa Santiago hospital expected to open 2018 • LUX MED in Poland delivered significant growth in revenues due to good performance in ambulatory business 10
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities International Markets Growth in revenues but Bupa Global challenges continue to impact profitability Operating Environment Revenue(1) +15% CER • Less favourable economic conditions in Saudi Arabia £862.8m +27% AER • Intense competition for IPMI (HY 2016: £751.4m CER) Underlying profit(1) Performance -25% CER -18% AER • Bupa Global customer mix changes and higher loss ratios £25.7m • Increased stake in Bupa Arabia to 34.25%; continues to deliver (HY 2016: £34.4m CER) good customer and revenue growth Revenue by business(2) • Acquisition of Care Plus in Brazil had positive impact on performance; integration on track • Bupa Hong Kong performance on target benefitting from strong renewals and pricing improvements; Continued expansion of Quality HealthCare clinics business with three new facilities • Divestment of Bupa Thailand to Aetna announced 25 July (1) Revenue of £862.8m does not include the revenues of our equity accounted associates (Max Bupa, India, Bupa Arabia and Highway to Health, part of Bupa Global North America). Our appropriate share of profit from these businesses is included in underlying profit. (2) Chart includes 100% of Bupa revenues from all businesses to give a sense of scale 11
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Section 3 Financial review Martin Potkins, Corporate Controller Gareth Evans, Group Treasurer 12
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Financial overview Financial highlights Completion of transactions impacts solvency and funding metrics at the half year as expected Solvency capital coverage 160% (1) Short-term funding refinanced via £300m senior bond Continued strong cash generation (1) The Solvency II capital coverage ratio is an estimated value. 13
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Financial overview Group grew revenues by 4% and underlying profit 11% – a good result given local market conditions Revenues +4% at CER • Deepened and strengthened our market positions HY 2017 £6.1bn +15% at AER aided through a number of key transactions HY 2016 (CER) £5.9bn Underlying profit before tax(1) +11% at CER • Growth in underlying profit is underpinned by good HY 2017 £330.9m performances from ELA and the UK, driven by +26% at AER growth in Sanitas Seguros and the acquisition of HY 2016 (CER) £298.5m Oasis Dental Care, respectively (1) In order to reflect trading performance in a consistent manner year on year, a number of non-trading items that limit comparability are removed from our statutory profit before tax to arrive at underlying profit. This distinguishes underlying profit from other constituents of the statutory profit before tax, excluding items relating to business combinations and disposals, fluctuations in foreign exchange, property revaluations and investment returns on return-seeking assets, along with other one-off items. 14
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Statutory profit Statutory profit up 66% Revenues Statutory profit before tax +4% at CER HY 2017 £6.1bn +15% at AER HY 2017 £231.3m +66% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £5.9bn HY 2016 (AER) £139.6m Underlying profit before tax +11% at CER HY 2017 £330.9m +26% at AER • Reflects good trading performance in the first six months of 2017. 2016 was negatively impacted by HY 2016 (CER) £298.5m decision to redeem a securitisation HY 2017 HY 2016 £m £m Underlying profit before tax 330.9 261.7 Amortisation of intangible assets arising on business combinations (32.7) (22.9) Net losses on disposal of businesses and transaction costs on business combinations (9.1) (2.6) Net property revaluation (losses)/gains (42.4) 3.6 Realised and unrealised foreign exchange losses (26.8) (1.0) Other Market Unit and central non-underlying items 0.5 (4.6) Early termination of secured loan notes - (112.3) Gains on return seeking assets, net of hedging 10.9 17.7 Total non-underlying items (99.6) (122.1) Statutory profit before tax 231.3 139.6 15
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Solvency Acquisitions have reduced solvency coverage to 160% as expected Revenues Statutory profit before tax +4% at CER HY 2017 £6.1bn HY 2017 £231.3m +15% at AER +66% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £5.9bn HY 2016 (AER) £139.6m Underlying profit before tax Net cash generated from operating activities +11% at CER HY 2017 £330.9m HY 2017 +26% at AER £554.4m +8% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £298.5m £513.4m HY 2016 (AER) Solvency II coverage ratio HY 2017 (1) 160% -44% pts v FY16 HY 2017 HY 2017 (1) 160% FY 2016 204% Own funds FY 2016 Own funds FY 2016 204% HY 2016 180% HY 2016 180% HY 2016 180% HY 2016 Own funds Own funds £3.4bn £3.4bn SCR SCR £1.9bn £1.9bn (1) The Solvency II Capital Position (Own Funds and Solvency Capital Requirement) and related disclosures are estimated values 16
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Solvency Risk sensitivities (1) Note: while this table only shows the impact of individual stresses, it is a helpful illustration of the relatively low risk inherent in our capital base. 17
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Solvency Bridge from IFRS Net Assets to Solvency II Eligible Own Funds 30 June 2017 IFRS to SII Eligible Own Funds (£m) 8000 7000 6,802 6000 5000 4,266 4000 341 3000 1,310 14 3,378 367 241 13 2000 2,423 1000 0 IFRS Goodwill & Technical Participations Other SII EBS Sub debt Non-available Non-controlling Total SII Intangibles Provisions recognised as Own Funds interest Net Own Funds Capital Assets • Goodwill & Intangibles are valued at nil for Solvency II purposes and therefore results in the biggest impact on own funds • Participations include the removal of implied goodwill within IFRS associate investments as this is not recognised in the SII fair value calculation • Total subordinated debt has remained unchanged since December 2016 18
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Solvency Movement in Solvency II capital surplus from 31 December 2016 to 30 June 2017 Jun-18 3000 £m 2500 291 2000 1,091 1500 16 63 1000 2,142 1,263 500 0 (1) (2) Solvency surplus Adjusted IFRS Net Assets Acquisitions in the period SCR Other Solvency surplus 31 December 2016 30 June 2017 (1) Note: Adjusted IFRS Net Assets include profit after tax of £169m adjusted to remove amortisation and impairment of goodwill and intangibles, deferred tax on intangible additions and other movements in reserves. (2) Note: “Other” includes movements in Technical Provisions, Foreign Exchange and Non-available funds 19
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Solvency Breakdown of SCR HY 2017 FY 2016 HY 2016 Insurance risk 19% 19% 23% Market risk 57% 60% 56% Spread risk 3% 2% 2% Equity risk 3% 2% 2% Property risk 34% 34% 32% Currency risk 11% 16% 12% Pension scheme 6% 6% 8% Counterparty risk 4% 4% 3% Operational risk 11% 11% 11% Participations (Associates and JVs) 8% 6% 7% Total 100% 100% 100% • There is no significant change to the profile of risk capital • Property risk remains Bupa’s single largest risk component which relates primarily to our care home portfolio in the UK, Australia, New Zealand and Spain (1) The Solvency II Capital Position is our current estimate. Own Funds have been recalculated based on actual YTD performance while SCR represents our latest estimate. 20
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Cashflow Cashflow remains strong Revenues +4% at CER HY 2017 £6.1bn +15% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £5.9bn Underlying profit before tax +11% at CER HY 2017 £330.9m +26% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £298.5m Statutory profit before tax HY 2017 £231.3m +66% at AER HY 2016 (AER) £139.6m Net cash generated from operating activities HY 2017 £554.4m +8% at AER HY 2016 (AER) £513.4m 21
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities HY 2017 Financial overview Increased leverage following acquisitions Revenues Net cash generated from operating activities +4% at CER HY 2017 £6.1bn HY 2017 £554.4m +8% at AER +15% at AER HY 2016 (CER) £5.9bn HY 2016 (AER) £513.4m Underlying profit before tax Solvency II coverage ratio +11% at CER HY 2017 £330.9m +26% at AER HY 2017 160% -44% pts v FY16 HY 2016 (CER) £298.5m FY 2016 204% HY 2016 180% Statutory profit before tax HY 2017 £231.3m +66% at AER Leverage(1) HY 2016 (AER) £139.6m HY 2017 30.2% +7.6% pts v FY16 FY 2016 22.6% HY 2016 24.3% (1) Gross debt (including hybrid debt) / gross debt plus equity 22
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Funding H1 funding activity to support M&A Leverage (1) • Leverage increased to 30.2% (FY16: 22.6%) • Good cash repatriations Jun-17 • £300m senior bond was issued in April to Dec-16 refinance some short term acquisition financing • £395m drawn on the RCF at HY17 Jun-16 • Stable Senior debt ratings A- (Fitch) and Baa1 Dec-15 (Moody’s) Jun-15 Jun-18 Bank facility drawings (£m) (2) 23 (1) Gross debt (including hybrid debt) / gross debt plus equity (2) Amount reflects £6.4m of outstanding letters of credit on the RCF
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Cash and Financial Investments Cash remains conservatively managed • £3.9bn cash and financial investments CASH AND INVESTMENT PORTFOLIO • Approximately 85% of portfolio held in investments rated HY17 £3.9bn at least A-/A3 • £400m return-seeking assets (externally-managed bond FY 16 £3.6bn and loan funds) held in UK and Australian regulated entities HY 16 £3.6bn • Good returns in HY17 from bond and loan portfolio Cash (e.g. deposits, liquidity funds) Return seeking assets £10.5m (HY16 £17.5m) • Low yield environment continues to provide a challenging investment backdrop Jun-18 CASH AND INVESTMENTS BY LEGAL ENTITY (%) HY17 CASH AND INVESTMENTS BY CREDIT RATING (%) 24
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Section 4 Outlook and operating priorities Evelyn Bourke, Group CEO 25
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Outlook and operating priorities Market conditions to remain testing in 2017; we are focused on continuously improving the customer experience Outlook: • Demand for high quality, value-for-money healthcare expected to remain strong • Conditions in key markets expected to remain testing for remainder of 2017 • Continuing to navigate volatile political and economic environments, including UK withdrawal from EU • Changing customer standards of personalisation, ease and choice; high expectations of quality, safety, privacy and transparency Operating priorities: • Continuously improving the customer experience • Empowering our people to deliver for our customers • Investing in the strength and depth of our market leading businesses • Disciplined capital management • Focus on management of risk and compliance, upholding the high standards our customers and regulators expect 26
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Questions and answers 27
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Further information • For further information or to request a follow-up call or meeting, email ir@bupa.com • All financial results and 2016 SFCRs for Bupa Group and Bupa Insurance Limited available on www.bupa.com/Corporate/our-performance 28
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Appendices 29
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Appendix Organisation structure Market Units Australia and UK Europe & International New Zealand Latin America Markets • Bupa Health Insurance • Bupa UK Insurance • Sanitas Seguros • Bupa Global • Bupa Health Services • Bupa Care Services • Sanitas Hospitales and • Bupa Arabia • Bupa Aged Care Australia New Services • Bupa Health Services • Bupa Hong Kong • Bupa New Zealand • Sanitas Dental • Bupa Cromwell Hospital • Quality HealthCare • Sanitas Mayores (Hong Kong) • Bupa Dental UK (1) • LUX MED • Max Bupa (India) • Bupa Chile • Bupa China • Bupa Thailand (2) (1) Bupa completed the purchase of Oasis Dental Care on 09 February 2017 (2) Bupa Thailand sold 25 July 2017 30
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Appendix Bupa’s footprint and participation Australia and Europe and Latin UK International Markets New Zealand America New Bupa Hong Saudi Thailand (1) Australia UK Spain Chile Poland India Zealand Global Kong Arabia (1) (2) (3) Private medical insurance Pay-as-you-go Funding Dental insurance Travel insurance (4) (5) Clinics Hospitals Healthcare provision Dental clinics Optical (6) Care homes Aged care provision (7) Retirement villages (1) Bupa Arabia in Saudi Arabia and Max Bupa in India are associate businesses (2) Bupa Thailand sold July 2017 (3) Global international insurance available in most countries. Includes 49% stake in Highway to Health (GeoBlue) in the US (4) Domestic insurance and clinics in Brazil 31 (5) In addition to Quality HealthCare Hong Kong, two clinics in development in Guangzhou, China (6) Home healthcare rather than care homes (7) In addition to care homes, New Zealand also has brain rehabilitation and home alarm businesses
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Appendix Breakdown of borrowings HY 2017 FY 2016 HY 2016 £m £m £m Borrowings under £800m bank facility 395 - 90 Acquisition facility 353 - - £350m senior bond due 2016 - - 363 £330m perpetual hybrid bond (g’teed by Bupa Insurance Ltd) 389 387 407 £350m senior bond due 2021 348 348 348 £500m subordinated bond due 2023 501 501 500 £300m senior bond due 2024 295 - - £400m subordinated bond due 2026 395 395 - Bupa Chile borrowings 185 207 197 Other 87 83 83 Total borrowings 2,948 1,921 1,988 32
Overview Market unit performance Financial review Outlook & operating priorities Disclaimer Cautionary statement concerning forward-looking statements This document may contain certain “forward-looking statements”. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about the beliefs and expectations of the British United Provident Association Limited Group (“Bupa”) and Bupa’s directors or management, are forward-looking statements. In particular, but not exclusively, these may relate to Bupa’s plans, current goals and expectations relating to future financial condition, performance and results. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend upon future circumstances that may or may not occur, many of which are beyond Bupa’s control and all of which are solely based on Bupa’s current beliefs and expectations about future events. These circumstances include, among others, global economic and business conditions, market related risks such as fluctuations in interest rates and exchange rates, the policies and actions of governmental and regulatory authorities, the impact of competition, the timing, impact and other uncertainties of future mergers or combinations within relevant industries. Such forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the actual future condition, results, performance or achievements of Bupa or its industry to be materially different to those expressed or implied by such forward looking statements. Other than as required by law, Bupa expressly disclaims any obligations or undertakings to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements to reflect any change in the expectations of Bupa with regard thereto or any change in events, conditions or circumstances on which any such statement is based. The information contained in this presentation is intended to be read in conjunction with, and not as a substitute for, Bupa’s half year statement for the six months ended 30 June 2017 (the “HY17 Report”). In the event of any inconsistency, the HY17 Report should be considered to prevail. 33
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