2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook - Exclusive insights on global executive-level career trends.
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2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Exclusive insights on global executive-level career trends Overall, optimism levels for executives about the market than the prior year’s market, twenty-three executive job market dropped considerably after a percent less than last year. strong year in 2018. While this year’s optimism level is significantly Based on a global survey of 1436 senior-level lower than survey respondents’ optimism level in management professionals, surveyed throughout 2018 for the senior-management level job market, November and December 2018 by BlueSteps, the it is in line with the optimism levels of executives in career management service of the Association of 2016 and 2017. This indicates that while the decrease Executive Search and Leadership Consultants (AESC), in optimism does reflect an overall concern in the forty-two percent of leaders across the globe are marketplace, the change may be more of a reflection more optimistic about this year’s executive job of how strong last year’s market was instead. Global Executive Job Outlook Forecast Chart 1: Outlook of leaders globally about the senior-management level job market for 2019. 2 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
“Despite trepidation and some uncertainty, the economy overall is still very strong, and the job market is quite robust. It is still very much a candidate’s market.” “Digital Transformation is bringing new responsibilities, job roles and skill sets that have either been largely missing or current roles are Despite unstable hard economic conditions in leaders. The next most common reason given is inadequate for.” several countries across the globe, the economy technology, with fourteen percent of respondents is still the top reason for why leaders are more feeling that the adoption of new technologies will optimistic about this year’s job market. require new leaders who can leverage new tools “Economic crisis brings more Of the thirty-three percent of leaders who cite to grow the business. The other top reasons given and better opportunities to the economy as their reason for optimism, many for increased optimism were the political climate, grow.” specifically cite a strong economy or business business climate, and changes in the job market. environment in their region. Others believe that These three reasons are all causing shifts in the “Because we have a new even though their economy may be weak, the way that businesses operate and a need for new government with great challenges will create a need for experienced leadership that can navigate that change. expectations of economic and social development.” Reasons for More Job Market Optimism “Times of change, such as Industry 4.0 currently, require more highly competent managers in the right positions.“ “More movement, more confidence of the professionals to move to new projects that will cause more activity in the market.” “Mainly, 2019 could be a year with more job opportunities, because lot of industries are looking in Chart 2: Global executives share why they are feeling more optimistic about the executive job Latin America at new ways market. to develop business.” 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 3
“Slowdown in the growth of both developed and emerging markets.” “The economy next year is foreseen as being not quite as good, and consequently some firms may wind down or merge.” “In my region there has The reason that executive-level leaders are the political climate or fiscal policy. The two been huge uncertainty due less optimistic is much more definitive. most common political and fiscal issues cited to Brexit and investments Over forty-five percent of respondents were the trade war between the US and China have been delayed.” who believe the job market will be poorer in and Brexit. The business climate and a lack of “There are signals of 2019 believe it is because of the economy, executive roles on the market rounded out recession in EU and the either at the macro or micro level. Another the top five answers for why leaders are less crisis in relations between combined thirty-one percent of respondents optimistic at ten percent and seven percent US and China makes the attribute their lack of optimism due to either respectively. financial markets volatile.” Reasons for Less Job Market Optimism “Companies are struggling to generate organic growth due to several macro forces and they will need to take drastic measures to drive profitability.” “Due to cost cutting, companies are looking to reduce their headcount and they are pushing their team to do more than less.” “Impact of new technology and new competition will significantly decrease size of the traditional financial Chart 3: Global executives share why they are feeling less optimistic about the executive job industry.” market. 4 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Not only have executives become less feel that the number of executive-level optimistic about the job market, there are also opportunities will increase in 2019. This is a fewer executives globally who believe there sixteen percent decrease in the number of will be an increase in executive roles in 2019 leaders who responded they expected the according to BlueSteps survey results. number of roles to grow last year. Only thirty-seven percent of respondents Global Executive Job Volume Forecast Chart 4: Senior management-level leaders share how they expect the number of senior management- level executives to change in 2019. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 5
1. ECONOMIC OUTLOOK OF EXECUTIVES BlueSteps also surveyed executives on the economy ahead. Less than thirty percent of respondents are and their outlook on it for 2019. With all of the changes more optimistic about the 2019 global economy when in the economy, due to a tense political climate, shifts in comparing it to the 2018 economy’s performance. Over the business landscape and early economic indicators, forty-eight percent of respondents are less optimistic respondents are generally unoptimistic for the year about this year’s economy. Global Economy Forecast Chart 5: Respondents’ outlook on the global economy for 2019 compared to last year’s global economy. Leaders in the US & Canada and Europe are the of the countries in those regions, but regional and most concerned about the global economy, with well global turmoil between their countries and others over half of respondents in both markets saying they that may be leading them to more pessimistic are less optimistic about this year’s global economy views about the economy overall. Those that are than 2018’s global economy. These regions are both more optimistic are in regions with more emerging experiencing not only political turmoil within many markets. Global Economy Forecast, by Region Chart 6: Respondents’ outlook on the global economy compaed to last year’s, by region. 6 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
When asked how they would rate their optimism amount of respondents falling in the seventy-one to on a scale of one to 100, with one being the lowest eighty range. This highlights that while their feelings and 100 being the highest, the average rating of their overall are negative about the future of the economy optimism level was fifty-nine. Most survey respondents for 2019, when asked to quantify their outlook, business fell into the range of forty-one to eighty and the greatest leaders may be more hopeful than they initially stated. Rating of Optimism About the Global Economy Chart 7: The ranking senior management-level respondents gave the global economy when asked to rank it on a scale on one to 100, with one being the lowest and 100 being the highest. There is also a disparity in the optimism levels job market than the economy. This indicates, that while Comparison leaders have for the economy versus the job market. they believe the economy may be less robust in 2019, When compared, forty-three percent more executive- leaders still expect the job market to remain at healthy of Optimism level leaders worldwide are more optimistic about the levels like in 2018. Additionally some respondents About executive job market than they are about the economy. noted uncertainty in the business landscape and Economy and There is also a significant decrease in the number of economy may cause a need for strong leaders who can executives who are less optimistic about the executive help lead organizations through change. Job Market Chart 8: A comparison of the outlook leaders globally have for the global economy versus the global senior management-level job market. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 7
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2. TECHNOLOGY AND INNOVATION IN THE WORKPLACE This year’s BlueSteps Career Outlook survey However, leaders are not as confident about their had a focus on technology and innovation in industries or their organizations. Survey respondents the workplace. Executive-level professionals globally felt that their organizations and industries are globally were asked to rank where they and their not in line with their competition. Forty-six percent industry, function and organization were in their of senior-level management professionals surveyed digital journeys. Executives are confident in their believe their organizations are moderately or very own digital knowledge. Almost fifty percent of behind the marketplace, and only twenty-seven respondents feel they are moderately or very ahead percent believe their organizations are moderately of the market and only two percent feel they are or very ahead. Similar numbers were reported for very behind. their outlook on their industries compared to others. Innovation in the Business Landscape Chart 9: Global executives rate where they and their industry, function, and organization are in their digital transformation relative to the marketplace. 8 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
“Encourage innovation through continuous learning, including learning by doing.” Our global senior management leaders were commonly recommended that leaders start “Ensure innovation by asked to give advice on how to create a culture experimenting with new ideas, even if that hiring of the proper of innovation. The most common advice was means failing occasionally, and that leaders staff with an orientation to create an environment where you and your listen and be open to ideas from employees. toward innovation and employees are always learning and growing, with The top responses from CEOs we surveyed entrepreneurship. Then thirteen percent of respondents recommending across the globe were to encourage employees provide the time, structure this strategy. The next most common answers to action their ideas and to hire a strong team and cultural interactions were to empower employees and to create that believes in innovation, neither of which to promulgate the a forward thinking culture. Respondents also made the top five for leaders overall. concepts.” “By empowering team Advice on Developing an Innovative Culture members to think beyond what has been done before, and enabling their decisions to lead projects.” “You can never stop and have to constantly rethink, change and innovate for your organization to be one step ahead.” “Encourage risk taking and allow for small failures in order to get the big innovation successes.” “Encourage the team to be as inventive and imaginative as possible Chart 10: Global senior management-level professionals share their advice on how to create a to produce the results we culture of innovation. need.” 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 9
3. INNOVATION & THE JOB SEARCH Innovation’s Impact on the Job Search Innovation not only matters to the a corporate culture which focuses on leaders globally looking to excel in their innovation strongly impacts their interest current roles, but also as an aspect of their in a role during the job search and only job search. Of those we surveyed, over three percent of respondent said it does sixty percent of respondents said having not have an impact on their decision. Chart 11: Respondents’ thoughts on how an organization’s commitment to innovation impact their interest in a role. 10 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Innovation’s Impact on the Job Search, by Age As senior-management level executives age, age bracket with only forty-eight saying it strongly they generally place more importance on an impacts their decision. Those who say that a organization’s commitment to innovation. The age commitment to innovation does not impact their brackets with the highest response rate for “An decision or slightly impacts their decision generally organization’s commitment to innovation strongly decreases with age as well. Twenty-four percent impacts my decision,” were the forty-five to fifty- of those thirty-four or younger say an innovative four and fifty-five to sixty-four ranges, at sixty-two culture only slightly or does not impact their percent. The lowest was the thirty-four or younger decision. Chart 12: Respondents’ thoughts on how an organization’s commitment to innovation impact their interest in a role, by age. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 11
Conversely, as people move up in their career, percent of respondents in the segment at that they are less likely to have an organization’s level say it moderately impacts their decision. commitment to innovation impact their decision in CEOs and Presidents report the lowest level of the job search. Sixty-four percent of respondents at impact on their job search decision, with only fifty- the Vice President level say that an organization’s six percent of CEOs and Presidents citing it strongly commitment to an innovative culture strongly impact their career decision, fifteen percent fewer impacts their career decision; another thirty-one than those at the Vice President level. Innovation’s Impact on the Job Search, by Level Chart 13: Respondents thoughts on how an organization’s commitment to innovation impact their interest in a role, by career level. 12 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
4. JOB SEARCH PROCESS Sixty-four percent of senior management- executives surveyed for BlueSteps 2018 level executives surveyed seeking new roles Career Outlook Report, when only fifty believe that their job search will take less percent of executives believed it would than six months and only seven percent take less than six months, reflective of how believe it will take more than one year. This strong the job market currently is for those is much faster than what was expected by seeking new positions. Expected Length of a Job Search, 2019 Survey Chart 14: Global executives forecast how long it will take to secure a new executive job in 2019. Expected Length of a Job Search, 2018 Survey Chart 15: Global executives forecast how long it will take to secure a new executive job in 2018. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 13
There is a variance between those who receive a reporting they had a formal onboarding process. formal onboarding from their organization both by By career level, Board Directors are most likely career-level and by location. Those in the Middle East to go through a formal onboarding process after and Africa are most likely to go through one, with starting a board role, with fifty-nine percent of fifty-eight percent of executive leaders surveyed in those responding that they were onboarded. the region reporting they had a formal onboarding CEOs and Presidents are the least likely to be process at the start of their most current role. Those onboarded, with only forty-three percent saying least likely to have a formal onboarding are those they had a formal onboarding at the start of their in the US and Canada, with only thirty-six percent last position. Executives Who Had an Onboarding Process, by Region Chart 16: Respondents on whether at the start of their most recent role, they had a formal onboarding process, by region. 14 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Executive Who Had an Onboarding Processes, by Title Chart 17: Respondents on whether at the start of their most recent role, they had a formal onboarding process, by career level. Various elements are included in an onboarding including information on how the organization functions process, depending upon a role’s level, industry, function is important, with fourteen percent recommending and region. The senior management-level professionals an overview of internal processes and ten percent we surveyed were asked what they thought was recommending an overview of the corporate culture. IT important to include in an onboarding process. Twenty Training and an introductory meeting with other teams percent of respondents would like information on the and offices were the fourth and fifth most common company’s goals and vision. Respondents also thought answers. What Executives Want in an Onboarding Experience Chart 18: Senior management-level professionals share what they would like to be included in the onboarding process. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 15
5. OUTLOOK BY FUNCTION Amount of Opportunities Leaders Expected in Their Function When looking at their function specifically, thirty- at least a moderate amount of growth in the number of four percent of senior-management level leaders opportunities. surveyed said they expect significant or a lot of career Those that are the least expectant to see a large opportunities within their function. amount of opportunities are those in the CFO role. Only Only two percent said they expect no opportunities seven percent think there will be a significant amount and fifteen percent expect only few opportunities. This of growth in the number of financial roles and twenty- is a strong signal that while there are emerging concerns two percent believe there will be few opportunities for the economy, that sentiment may not shift over to or none at all in 2019. This could indicate a slimming the job market. in the number of financial roles due to technological When narrowed down to functions in the C-Suite, adoptions. those in the CHRO role are the most optimistic about CMOs and Board Directors expect the fewest the number of roles in their function. Twenty-three opportunities for their respective functions in percent of respondents believe that there will be a 2019. Twenty-three percent of all CMOs and Board significant amount of growth in the Human Resources Directors surveyed expect there to be few or no career space and over eighty-five percent believe there will be opportunities for their functions. Amount of Opportunities Leaders Expected in Their Function, by Function Chart 19: Global executives on what amount of career growth they expect for their function in 2019, by function. 16 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Similar patterns are found for the overall percent decrease in the percentage of CMOs who optimism level in the job market by function. are more optimistic year over year. The CMO segment has the fewest number of Board Directors are the most optimistic about respondents who are more optimistic about the executive-level job market. Sixty-three percent the job market, with only twenty three percent of board leaders are more optimistic about the job expecting a stronger executive-level job market market and only eleven percent of Board Directors in 2019 compared to the previous year. The CMO are less optimistic about the job market in 2019. segment also has the largest decrease in the This is significantly higher than the segment with number of respondents who are more optimistic the second highest percentage of more optimistic about the job market in 2019, with a fifty-four respondents, CHROs at forty-seven percent. Global Executive Job Outlook Forecast, by Function Chart 20: Outlook of leaders globally on the senior-management level job market for 2019, by function. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 17
6. GROWTH BY SECTOR The Technology sector is expected to have the strongest Healthcare/Life Sciences at fifty-three percent. There was a tie growth at the executive level in 2019 with seventy percent of for the third most common response, with both Professional all survey respondents believing there will be robust growth Services and Consumer/Retail chosen by thirty-one percent in the industry. This is a slight decrease from the percentage of of leaders surveyed believing it they will experience the most executives who selected the Technology sector in 2018, but still growth. Professional Services and Consumer/Retail were the well ahead of the next most common sector. The second most only two sectors to have an increase in the percentage of leaders common sector selected to have the most growth in 2019 was who believe they will receive the most growth in 2019. Industries Expected to Have the Strongest Growth Chart 21: Global executives forecast top sectors for strongest growth in 2019; respondents were allowed to select up to three. 18 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Technology leaders are the most optimistic of respondents saying they are more optimistic about the 2019 job market overall, with fifty- about 2019 and thirty-one percent saying they one percent of respondents saying they are are less optimistic. Professional Services also more optimistic about the 2019 job market had the most significant drop in the percentage compared to the 2018 job market. Those in the of those more optimistic year over year with a Professional Services sector have the lowest forty-eight percent decrease from 2018’s survey level of optimism with only thirty-two percent results. Global Executive Job Outlook Forecast, by Sector Chart 22: Outlook of leaders globally about the senior-management level job market for 2019, by sector. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 19
7. OUTLOOK BY COUNTRY Leaders in Brazil are the most optimistic about the 2019 Only twenty percent of leaders are more optimistic about the executive job market, with ninety-three percent of respondents 2019 job market and forty percent say they are less optimistic stating that their outlook for 2019 is more optimistic compared about the 2019 executive job market. to 2018. The most common reason for their optimism is political Many of the European regions have a low percentage of shifts. Most respondents who are more optimistic are seeing shifts executives who are more optimistic about the 2019 job market. in the political leaders at the local or national government levels In Europe, most of the lack of optimism is attributed to either and believe these changes will create new growth opportunities the economy (forty-eight percent of respondents) or the political for the economy and job market. climate (thirty percent of respondents). Twenty-four percent Senior-management level professionals in the United Kingdom cited Brexit as their reason for a lack of optimism about the are the least likely to be more optimistic about the year ahead. economy specifically. Global Executive Job Outlook Forecast, by Region Chart 23: Outlook of leaders globally about the senior-management level job market for 2019, by country or region. 20 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Brazilian senior-management level leaders are also the most to expect an increase in the number of roles; only fourteen per- optimistic about the number of senior-management level roles cent expect an increase in the number of Director-level to C-Suite for 2019. Seventy-two percent of Brazilian respondents expect roles in 2019 and fifty-seven percent expect a decrease. there to be an increase in the number of roles in 2019. Leaders The Nordic region has the largest number of leaders who ex- in India are also expecting growth in the job market, with fifty- pect a decrease in the number of roles, with almost sixty percent seven percent of Indian senior-management level professionals expecting fewer roles for senior-management level professionals expecting more roles. Those in Japan & Korea are the least likely in 2019. Global Executive Job Volume Forecast, by Market Chart 24: Senior management-level leaders share how they expect the number of senior management-level jobs to change in 2019, by market. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 21
Looking at the economy for 2019, Japan and Korea are the only Markets with the highest and lowest levels of optimism for the region with no respondents that feel more optimistic about this year’s economy generally are the same as those with the highest and economy than 2018’s economy. Japan and Korea also have the largest lowest levels of optimism for the job market, with the exception of contingency of respondents who are less optimistic for this year’s the Middle East. The Middle East had the third highest percentage economy at seventy-one percent. India has the most leaders who are of leaders who are more optimistic about the economy, but the fifth more optimistic at fifty-seven percent, followed by Brazilian leaders at lowest percentage of leaders who are more optimistic about the job fifty-six percent. market. Global Economy Forecast, by Region Chart 25: Outlook of leaders globally about the senior-management level job market for 2019, by market. 22 - 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report
Regions Expected to Have the Strongest Growth When global leaders overall were asked to select which markets they expect to see the most growth in 2019, the top answer was a tie between India and Greater China at forty-three percent. The next highest was the United States at thirty-one percent. Southeast Asia and Africa rounded out the top five responses at twenty-six and twenty-four percent of responses respectively. These align with UN estimates. According to the UN’s World Economic Situation and Prospects (WESP) 2019 report recently released, India is expected to the have the highest growth in GDP with an anticipated increase of 7.6 percent for 2019-2020. China is also expected to have a strong Chart 26: Global executives predict which markets will have the most growth in growth in their GDP by the WESP report with an 2019; respondents are allowed to select up to three markets. expected 6.6 percent for 2019-2020. Regions Expected to Have the Strongest Growth, by Year Out of the top eight markets that received the most responses for expected economic growth by our BlueSteps senior management- level survey respondents, the United States had the sharpest decrease in expected growth. Thirty-seven percent less respondents selected the United States as one of the markets they are expecting the most growth in. Alternatively, Africa and India had a large increase in the number of leaders who expect growth in the region. The percentage of senior management-level respondents who expect growth increased sixty-six percent for Africa and thirty-five percent for India. Chart 27: Global executives predict which country will have the most growth in 2019 compared to 2018; respondents are allowed to select up to three markets both years. 2019 BlueSteps Executive Career Outlook Report - 23
BlueSteps.com is a global career management service for senior executives. As an exclusive service of the Association of Executive Search and Leadership Consultants (AESC), BlueSteps enables senior executives to manage their careers, track their goals and stay visible to the more than 9,000 AESC member executive search professionals who use BlueSteps as a tool to identify candidates who match their executive search assignments. For more information, visit bluesteps.com. Since 1959, AESC has set the quality standard for the executive search and leadership advisory profession. AESC Members, ranging in size from large global executive search and leadership advisory firms and networks to regional and boutique firms, represent 9,000+ trusted professionals in 1200+ offices, spanning 70+ countries. AESC Members are recognized leaders of global executive search and leadership advisory solutions. They leverage their access and expertise to place, find and develop more than 80,000 executives each year in board of directors and C-level positions for the world’s leading organizations of all types and sizes. Dedicated to strengthening leadership worldwide, AESC and its members share a deep commitment to the highest quality standards in executive search and leadership consulting—for the benefit of clients and the profession. We Shape. Connect. Educate. Learn more about AESC at aesc.org. www.aesc.org Copyright © 2019 AESC. All Rights Reserved.
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