Green Infrastructure Investment Opportunities - AUSTRALIA 2019
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The 2020s green infrastructure pipeline Wind: 6.9MW Solar: 8.3MW with a total with a total investment of investment of over AUD10.6bn over AUD 14.5bn1 2 projects NORTHERN 81 projects TERRITORY QUEENSLAND WESTERN AUSTRALIA SOUTH AUSTRALIA NEW SOUTH WALES 112 projects ACT VICTORIA 42 projects 6 projects TASMANIA 34 projects 194 Energy 16 projects projects 89 78 Buildings Transport projects projects 29 91 projects Water 2 projects Waste projects NATIONAL/ MULTI-STATE 5 projects Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 2
Green infrastructure: Opportunity & Growth Introduction Methodology Contents Green infrastructure presents a huge The report considers five key sectors: investment opportunity across the world, renewable energy, low carbon transport, 3 Introduction with an estimated USD100tn worth of sustainable water management, sustainable climate/compatible infrastructure required waste management and green buildings. 4 Australia infrastructure overview globally by 2030 in order to meet Paris We use the Climate Bonds Taxonomy 7 Renewable energy Agreement emissions reduction targets. (see back cover) to identify which projects and assets are green. 10 Low carbon transport The effects of climate change and the risks associated with a greater than 2°C The objective of this report is to identify 12 Sustainable water management rise in global temperatures by the end large infrastructure projects, the following 14 Sustainable waste management of the century are significant: rising sea filters were also applied: levels, increased frequency and severity of 16 Green buildings weather events, droughts, wildfires, loss Renewable energy: of biodiversity and changes in agricultural generation facilities patterns and yields. above 50 MW The majority of transport and water projects have been drawn from the Australia New Investment in low carbon solutions will Low carbon transport: projects Zealand Infrastructure Pipeline (ANZIP) be essential for meeting global emissions valued above AUD100m and Infrastructure Australia’s Priority Project reduction pathways under the Paris Climate List. The majority of energy projects were Change Agreement. Sustainable water identified from a number of sources Over the past few years, there has been an management: projects including the Clean Energy Regulator and increasing demand from institutional investors, valued above AUD50m Australian Renewable Energy Agency (ARENA). particularly from OECD nations, for investment The Green Buildings projects were chosen opportunities that address environmental Sustainable waste from the Green Buildings Council of Australia challenges and support sustainable management: projects Green Star database. While buildings were development. Institutional investors and banks valued above AUD50m included in the initial report and we have have over USD120tn assets under management included commentary on the sector in this that can potentially be used in part to support Green buildings: 6-star rated update, future reports will focus only on more infrastructure investment and upgrades. Green Star properties under ‘traditional’ infrastructure sectors. Building the Green Buildings council of The growing level of interest from investors rating schemes are well-established in Australia in both environmental and social projects Australia, making low carbon buildings easy to has resulted in the development and growth There are various ways for an investor to identify. Australian property owners are already of innovative financial products. gain exposure to a specific project, asset or financing such buildings, increasingly in the portfolio. The possible investment pathways green bond market, mostly under the Climate The global green bond market in particular will vary depending on the asset ownership Bonds Buildings Criteria.2 Climate Bonds will has grown rapidly, with issuance in 2018 structure, the stage in the asset’s financing continue to cover buildings, including country surpassing USD165bn. However, green finance lifecycle, and the investor’s mandate. This level information in its sector coverages, e.g. needs to scale up much further to achieve can vary between projects with public and through dedicated briefings.3 global climate targets and infrastructure needs. private funding. This report builds on the inaugural Green Accordingly, further metrics were used to Infrastructure Investment Opportunities classify the green infrastructure investment Acknowledgements Australia and Zealand (GIIO) report released opportunities by status: This report has been made possible by in August 2018. It provides updated content the support of: specifically for Australia to help meet the • Completed projects: high profile, recently growing demand for green & ESG investment completed projects; • Australia and New Zealand Bank opportunities, including green bonds, as (ANZ), • Projects under construction: major well as to support the country’s transition to • Commonwealth Bank of Australia, projects that are under construction; and a low carbon economy. It aims to facilitate • National Australia Bank (NAB), greater engagement between project • Planned projects: major projects that • Westpac. owners, governments and institutional have not yet begun construction but have In developing this report, the Climate investors. A similar report for New Zealand been announced and/or have undergone Bonds Initiative also consulted with has been produced separately. business case planning and/or have been key Government bodies, industry, the allocated budget. The report is intended for a wide range financial sector, peak bodies, NGOs and of stakeholders in Australia, including The 2019 list of green projects from public think tanks. We would like to thank Cbus, domestic superannuation funds and asset pipelines is available as a supplement on CEFC, HESTA, IFM Investors, the Green managers and their global counterparts, the report webpage on the Climate Bonds Building Council of Australia, GRESB potential issuers, infrastructure owners website. Case studies have been developed and Responsible Investment Association and developers, as well as relevant state in this report to show the different types of Australasia for their comments and and federal ministries including Finance, of opportunities available in the short- and content support. Planning, Energy, Transport and Environment. medium-term future in Australia. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 3
Australia infrastructure overview Australia stands at a crossroads on national development. Financial regulators Australian Prudential An increasing range of voices, including the Reserve Bank Regulation Authority (APRA), Australian of Australia (RBA), are calling for expanded infrastructure Securities and Investment Commission investment.4, 5 Meanwhile, emissions continue to rise and issues (ASIC) and the Reserve Bank of around the nation’s climate stance remain unresolved as pressures Australia (RBA) have all endorsed the on energy, transport, urban congestion, water and service delivery recommendations of the Task Force on continue to grow. Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and warned of systemic climate risks. This is The Australian Infrastructure Plan (2016) existing and new climate targets, spur part of a global trend for financial regulators emphasises that sustainability and resilience innovation, address congestion, broaden such as the Bank of England and others.11 should not be seen as fringe concepts.6 In the economic base, improve productivity The formation of the Australian 2019, despite some progress,7 it is clear and promote a more sustainable national Sustainable Finance Initiative (ASFI) will that sustained emissions reduction has not economic and social development model. also provide further impetus to green and yet been effectively integrated into national sustainable investment. infrastructure priorities, let alone adaptation Green finance trends and resilience measures for assets to withstand Green bonds continue to be the primary increasingly volatile climactic conditions.8 means of gaining exposure to green finance in Australian Sustainable Finance Initiative While overall progress has been slow, the fixed income market. Cumulative issuance The Australian Sustainable Finance there has been an increase in some green from Australian entities as of H1 2019 reached Initiative was established in 2019 to set out infrastructure including a boom in small- to AUD15.6bn, placing Australia 11th in global a roadmap for ‘realigning the finance sector large-scale solar capacity. Sustainability in rankings and 3rd in Asia-Pacific.10 Issuance to support greater social, environmental commercial and public sector building design was almost AUD6bn in 2018 and has already and economic outcomes’ for Australia. has also become mainstream. passed AUD4bn in August 2019. It brings together leaders from banks, However, traditional high-carbon Australia’s major banks have pioneered superannuation funds, insurance infrastructure investments remain central green finance, adopting and promoting companies, financial sector peak to the economy including coal-fired power international best practice in green issuance bodies, NGOs and academia with generation, LNG and rail and ports expansion and supporting new issuers. Innovative the aim of developing a Sustainable to facilitate fossil-fuel industries. structures have emerged, including the Finance Roadmap. creation of new green investment products Australia’s per capita CO2 emissions are designed to appeal to investors with different The roadmap will be launched in 2020 one of the highest in the world. Further, risk appetites. This includes green and and will recommend pathways, policies infrastructure-related emissions account sustainability-linked loans and green retail and frameworks to enable the financial for more than half of the country’s total deposit products. services sector to contribute more greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions: 35% systematically to the transition to a from the electricity sector and 18% from the Green bond issuers – particularly the large more resilient and sustainable economy. transport sector.9 banks and State Treasury Corporations – have It is intended to be consistent with used green bonds both as a market signal Australia ratified the 2015 Paris Agreement, global goals such as the UN Sustainable around green policy and to meet increasing committing to making finance flows consistent Development Goals and the Paris investor demand, tapping the market to with a pathway towards low carbon and Agreement on climate change. refinance pools of existing eligible assets. climate resilient development. Australia’s Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) under the Paris Agreement is a reduction in Solar and wind projects dominate energy capacity addition pipeline annual national greenhouse gas emissions of 26–28% below 2005 levels by 2030. 30 To reduce emissions, with the ultimate goal Proposed Committed Upgrade of reaching zero carbon, state and federal 25 governments, the financial sector and industry all need to increase their emphasis 20 on the provision of low carbon, sustainable and resilient infrastructure. A greater share of private sector investment is considered 15 crucial in doing so. There is now a growing opportunity for 10 new partnerships between government Data Source: :AEMO18 and investors to participate jointly in green 5 infrastructure investment, through expanded green finance mechanisms. GW 0 Simultaneously, investing in green infrastructure will help Australia to reach All coal Solar Wind Water Biomass Battery Other and gas Storage Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 4
Why green infrastructure? 2020s Asia-Pacific Tokyo Green Finance Centres The Climate Action Tracker has rated Australia’s commitment under the Paris Shanghai Agreement as insufficient, highlighting the infeasibility of meeting the target Hong Kong due to a lack of climate policies and an ongoing reliance on fossil fuels. The energy sector has the highest carbon intensity of any country in the G20. Australia is also singularly under-prepared for a future Singapore tightening of global targets. Despite some state-based commitments, a transition to a zero-carbon economy is not yet under active consideration or implementation by many domestic policy makers and corporations. Delayed action increases the cost of change as well as the Sydney volatility and structural risks to the finance sector and underlying asset values. In this national environment, major stakeholders in banking, finance and superannuation have a responsibility to act. Integration with Asia’s green Adaptive and resilient infrastructure provision When a central bank, a finance future on an accelerated basis should become a core prudential regulator and a part of the national response to the coming Tokyo, Hong Kong, Shanghai and Singapore conduct regulator, with barely climate emergency. Australia has all the are positioning themselves to become necessary building blocks and expertise in the a hipster beard or hemp shirt green finance hubs as Asian nations look finance sector and capital in its retirement between them, start warning towards green finance to help meet their pool for this acceleration to take place. that climate change is a financial infrastructure, sustainable development, risk, it’s clear that this position energy and climate goals.14 The ADB A bigger role for superannuation is now orthodox economic estimates regional infrastructure investment Major infrastructure projects have been thinking... Companies that requirements of USD1.7tn per annum.15 The delay or avoid adjusting to new 2018 Indonesia GIIO report reflects the scale and many will likely continue to be of opportunities in a near neighbour.16 financed through bank finance (particularly economic realities, no matter energy and transport sectors) or through how famous or successful, can Australia has both the capacity and government budgets (particularly water and quickly find themselves on the opportunity to anchor the southern tip of this waste sectors). verge of a Kodak moment. arc of green finance centres that will emerge in the early 2020s. While such finance will continue to Geoff Summerhayes, Executive play a major role in funding, Australia’s Australia’s banks and superannuation funds superannuation sector, already a global Board Member of APRA19 have the combination of green finance and presence in alternative investment, is infrastructure expertise, regional experience, increasingly looking for opportunities to size and long-term investment horizons despite widespread support the transition to expand its role in the domestic economy. required to support increased investment in clean energy generation has been delayed by green infrastructure across the Asia-Pacific. This includes the long-term funding and political inertia, is an obvious initial target. operation of large-scale infrastructure assets Other sectors for increased investment An expanding green domestic market helps in partnership with both government and the include transport, housing, waste and water. build the platform for Australia to become a private sector to achieve more productive significant exporter of both green expertise Australia has the foundations to expand capital allocation, driving sustainable growth.12 and infrastructure capital into the region. green infrastructure provision throughout Improved integration with Australia’s The largest superannuation funds, with the 2020s and beyond. Few nations enjoy regional foreign policy engagement could several decades of infrastructure experience this confluence of positive circumstances: provide a further pillar.17 and a permanent ownership presence in the a robust banking sector with green finance ASX are also seeking wider partnership roles expertise, a superannuation sector with proven Programmes to assess investability of with both government and the private sector. infrastructure capability and willingness national climate project pipelines or to explore new investment models, and initial co-investment with regional Multi- This patient and growing pool of retirement widespread community support for increased lateral Development Banks (MDBs) and capital is yet to be effectively harnessed government borrowing combined with new Development Finance Institutions (DFIs) for large-scale domestic infrastructure infrastructure investment partnerships may also offer potential for new engagement investments.13 The energy sector, where involving domestic institutional investors. and cooperative partnerships in the region. 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Brown to green transition in Australia Global green investment opportunities are growing and yet In the resources sector, Rio has divested its coal assets,22 there remains a scarcity of offerings, pointing to a lack of supply while Glencore has restricted new coal investment. BHP has of green issuance particularly from non-financial corporates, announced a new program of emissions reduction across Scope i.e. the real economy.20 1, 2 and, significantly for a high-carbon exporting nation, Scope 3 emissions.23 It has also flagged a zero-carbon by 2050 ambition.24 Furthermore, segments of the real economy, that offer significant emissions reductions potential - such as cement and concrete, A BtG strategy will require ‘brown’ organisations to commit to mining and metals, oil and gas (including biofuels), transport and strategic change, undertaking tangible and verifiably climate- manufacturing – are yet to be activated towards a brown-to-green relevant measures that relate to companies’ core business (BtG) transition. When such industry sectors start to align with a activities. They will need to progress from broad statements of 2-degree emissions trajectory, new green financing opportunities strategy or intent to disclosure of climate risk as envisioned by could be created for assets and projects with ambitious climate compliance with the TCFD and, ultimately, to a visible reflection of targets and an increased focus on low carbon production modes. climate-friendly investment on balance sheets, in capex plans and borrowing programmes. The Climate Bonds Initiative has been active in promoting a BtG transition strategy in GHG-emissions intensive industries around Credible green bonds are a highly visible means to support this the world. transition from brown into green. Even a small initial share of green capital expenditure could be a credible indicator of more to come, BtG reflects the fact that, in the short- to medium-term, large if it is combined with a re-orientation and acknowledgment to companies in many sectors will inevitably straddle both brown and investors that achieving low carbon targets and then zero-carbon green assets, progressively reducing exposure to brown assets and operating models are inevitable business destinations between practices as they increase capex towards, and adoption of, greener now and 2050. modes of operation. Notwithstanding statements from financial regulators, many ASX- It also embodies a recognition that, both globally and locally, the listed companies are yet to give climate risks and opportunities expectation of institutional investors is that progress towards due weight, let alone develop low carbon or net zero-carbon low or zero-carbon business models, is increasingly indicative of business models.25 One option to reverse this lack of urgency corporate performance, hedging of climate risks and long-term would be a BtG transition strategy developed through long-term value accretion.21 engagement projects with major institutional shareholders. If progress on lowering sector emissions continues to be minimal, The emerging concentration of ownership between Australia’s for Australia to reach its current Paris targets (or the coming superannuation sector and ASX companies may provide an ratchet to 1.5OC degrees), faster progress will be required from all additional joint incentive for a series of such structural engagements. major sectors of the economy. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 6
Renewable energy Energy generation, transmission 2018 was a record-breaking year with Investment by large oil and gas companies or storage technology that has investment in large-scale renewable energy in renewable energy development is an low or zero carbon emissions. projects – mainly wind and solar – doubling emerging trend and an important part of This can include solar energy, from AUD10bn in 2017 to AUD20bn in the brown to green transition. This includes wind energy, bioenergy, 2018.26 By year end, 14.5 GW of new Shell (Delga Solar Farm), BP (Lightsource) hydropower, geothermal energy, generation was under construction or and Total (Total Eren). marine energy or any other financially committed. This is equivalent The corporate PPA market is growing with renewable energy source. to four times the energy output of the 20 contracts signed in 2018, accounting for a much-debated Liddell Power Station (one total of 932MW. Corporates are attracted to Sector overview of Australia’s oldest and largest coal-fired improving price certainty within a volatile market. power plants).27 In 2018, 21% of Australia’s energy was The corporate PPA market is still in its early supplied by renewable energy resources. Rising power prices are spurring stages and while promising, can involve high While this lags behind other OECD investment in small-scale renewable transaction costs for project developers in finding member countries, the percentage is energy both by businesses and and negotiating with buyers. Notwithstanding up from 17% in 2017 with South Australia homeowners. Commercial solar the slight uptick in corporate PPAs, offtake (53%) and Tasmania (95%) leading installations have grown 45% and issues continue to temper enthusiasm in the the way. residential by 43%.28 sector with an overall slow-down in PPAs. The Australian and New Cumulative installed large -scale solar capacity Zealand sustainable finance market is accelerating with 2000 the emergence of loans in both green and sustainability-linked formats. This follows the growth 1500 of green bonds over the last three to four years. The Australian market has 1000 developed in line with global best practice, showing diversity of product, transparency Installed capacity MW for investors and lenders, 500 innovation in the use of proceeds and commitment to uphold market standards 0 Christina Tonkin, Managing 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Director, Loans & Specialised Finance, ANZ Source: :Clean Energy Council32 State governments are playing a strong NT: 50% renewable supportive role providing some certainty energy by 2030 QLD: 50% clean in the absence of a national climate and energy by 2030 energy policy. State-led action to support grid stability SA: Net zero and clean energy integration includes emissions by 2050 system strategies and related roadmaps. State government investment is also supporting renewable energy project NSW: Net zero trials, making solar more accessible for all emissions by 2050, households and supporting the roll out of ACT: 100% clean energy large-scale battery storage VIC: 50% clean energy by 2030, by 2020, Net zero Net zero emissions by 2050 States with clean energy and/or 2050 emissions by 2040, emissions targets include:31 TAS: Net zero emissions by 2050 Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 7
Renewable energy generation is on the rise while non-renewable generation remains flat Non-renewable Renewable 25 20 15 10 5 GW 0 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Source: Department of Environment and Energy33 Renewables are also a jobs story with the Battery storage and pumped hydro Investment pathways sector employing over 13,000 people. In projects will be the likely winners of Renewable energy project developers and 2018 alone, over 10,000 jobs were created the increasing focus on storage. Large asset owners in Australia have access to a in renewable energy facilities’ construction. storage projects have made headline news, wide variety of funding options from banks, This is underplayed in the political including the much-discussed Snowy 2.0 specialised project financiers, debt clubs, narrative but it is a strong positive for the (a 2018 report case study) which will add investment funds, direct investors and the industry and one that may help to drive the 2,000 megawatts of energy generation capital markets. transition to a low carbon economy. and provide 175 hours of storage for the National Electricity Market.29 Green bonds are best suited to large projects However, issues with the grid and changes or portfolios of assets and can be structured to marginal loss factor calculations have Other storage projects include the 24-month in a number of ways, including ABS, use dampened the outlook, particularly for remote PowerBank trial in Western Australia, of proceeds bonds, and project bonds. projects in Northern Queensland, Northern which went live in November 2018. The Aggregation of smaller projects such as Victoria and Southern New South Wales. project connects a 105kW Tesla battery to rooftop solar loans or leases can be done the electricity grid, allowing participating The lack of replacement policies for the through green securitisation (e.g. FlexiGroup households with rooftop solar panels to National Energy Guarantee (NEG) and green bond) or through banks originating virtually store up to 8kWh of excess power Renewable Energy Target (RET) has green loans and refinancing in the green generated during the day from their solar resulted in continued policy uncertainty and bond market (e.g. ANZ, CBA, NAB and photovoltaic (PV) systems in the battery.30 there are concerns that the industry may Westpac). Renewable energy funds are also lose the recent momentum it has built. The The Australian Renewable Energy Agency being used to support greenfield renewable NEG was officially abandoned in late 2018 (ARENA) has announced up to AUD40 energy projects and stimulate innovation. despite broad industry support. The RET million in funding towards the deployment Publicly-backed funding support for has been a major driver behind the growth of a pumped hydro energy storage (PHES) renewable energy projects can be accessed in renewables over the past few years, but project in South Australia. through ARENA, Clean Energy Finance ends in 2020. Meanwhile, Tasmania is making a bid to Corp and Clean Energy Innovation Fund. We expect solar and wind energy use its hydro resources to become the There are also private sector funds like generation to continue to have the greatest Battery of the Nation, providing flexible, the Powering Australian Renewables Fund, potential for investment. While growth will dispatchable energy in the state and on the which is an AUD2-3bn fund created by AGL continue into 2020, the negative drivers mainland. HydroTasmania has short-listed to develop and own approximately 1,000 noted will likely result in muted growth 14 high potential pumped hydro sites with a MW of large-scale renewable energy power compared to the dizzying heights of 2018. combined storage capacity of 4.8 GW. generation projects. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 8
Darlington Point Solar Farm Proponent: Octopus Investments and Edify Energy Location: Murrumbidgee, New South Wales Status: Under construction, with power generation expected at the end of 2020 Classification: Solar, Generation facilities Description: The Darlington Point Solar Farm is a 333 MW DC Source: Edify Energy36 single-axis tracking project and currently the largest farm under construction in Australia, on 1,993 acres of former grazing land adjacent to TransGrid’s Darlington Point substation. Output: The project will produce 333 MW of renewable energy, initially through a recently awarded PPA of 150 MW.35 Cost: $450m Financial structure: The project is co-owned by Edify Energy and Octopus Investments (the UKs largest solar investor) with two Australian banks jointly providing debt. A PPA has been entered into with Delta Energy. Asian Renewable Energy Hub Proponent: CWP Renewables Location: Pilbara, Western Australia Source: Asian Renewable Energy Hub, 201938 Status: Planned with financial decision expected in 2022 and first generation in 2025/6. Classification: Solar and wind generation facilities Description: The project is proposing to deliver 15 GW of wind and solar to power local industry and international customers. The anticipated renewables split will be 2/3 wind and 1/3 solar. The project will generate very large volumes of cheap, clean renewable energy, which is ideal for the large-scale production of green hydrogen for markets both in Australia and overseas. It has recently signed a land use agreement with indigenous Output: Solar, wind, hydrogen generation facilities, up to 3,000 landowners, making it the first project of this type to be built construction jobs and 400 maintenance jobs exclusively on native title. Proponents are in current negotiations Cost: AUD22-30bn with the Western Australian Government to support necessary grid upgrades. Recently, project proponents have announced a new Financial structure: Development capital will be provided by focus on upscaling green hydrogen and derivative products. Macquarie Group and other partners.37 Update on 2018 featured case studies Kidston Solar Project Snowy 2.0 SA-NSW Interconnector Stage 1: Complete, Genex reported Feb 2019: Planning permission given for explor- July 2018: Project assessment complete, the first revenue in December 2018. It is atory works. Early works are now underway. preferred option identified as a 330kV ramping up to producing 145GWh of connector running from Robertson (SA) to EIS for Main Works expected to be electricity per year. Wagga Wagga (NSW) via Buronga. submitted in late 2019 with commencement Stage 2: In April 2018 environmental of main works to begin in 2020. Feb 2019: Project assessment conclusions approvals were secured for the pumped report published. April 2019: Salini Impregilo awarded the hydro project. In July 2019 an AUD610m AUD5.1bn contract for the civil works and July 2019: South Australian Government federal concessional loan was approved.34 electromechanical component of the project. grants project with Major Project Status. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 9
Low carbon transport Transportation modes and ancillary Australian cities have lower populations and longer commute infrastructure that produce low or times compared to global peers zero direct carbon emissions. This can include national and urban Brisbane Average commuting trip duration (minutes) Sydney passenger rail and freight rail 35 networks; Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Melbourne Toronto systems; electric vehicles; and, Atlanta Chicago New York bicycle transport systems. It does not Perth Philadelphia Los Angeles include the building of road networks. 25 Capital mobilisation for low carbon transport continues to target the use of energy-efficient transportation 15 and the development of projects that reduce carbon emissions. Alice Springs 5 Sector overview 0 500 10000 15000 20000 The transport sector accounts for 18% of Population Australia’s GHG emissions, up 22% in absolute Source: Department of Infrastructure and Regional Development43 terms from 2005.39 Without significant changes to the transport and energy system which is the main large-scale infrastructure As private sector appetite increases, funding in Australia, emissions from transport are network proposed by government. This sources will continue to diversify, and investment projected to be over 80% higher by 2030 than currently has 17 charging stations with will accelerate. Investors seeking exposure to in 1990.40 Changing this emissions trajectory a proposal to expand by adding 50 new low carbon transport projects and assets have will require a massive increase in public stations. There is also an opportunity for the a range of investment pathways to consider. transport and rail systems, stronger vehicle growth of private charging networks. Some emissions standards and increased EV take-up. Government-owned low carbon transport private providers have received government assets are often identified in their green bond Public transport and freight rail networks are subsidies in Europe and the US. offerings. This pathway provides indirect already seeing some increases in investment exposure for investors to specific projects - the primary drivers are population growth Investment pathways and provides attractive credit and liquidity (with resultant increase in consumer A variety of funding structures are available credentials for institutional investors. demand), increased urbanisation and to encourage private sector involvement in worsening congestion in major cities. This More direct investment pathways the long-term financing required including is reflected in the emphasis on transport include participation in consortium debt green bonds, outright asset acquisitions, in ANZIP’s list of projects across Australia. arrangements and/or equity stakes in public private partnerships (PPP) and the By value, over 75% of the projects listed individual projects via PPPs or other public- securitisation of green assets. on ANZIP relate to transport, over 50% private ownership and financing structures. of which could be considered low carbon In addition to public funding, the private transport projects (mostly rail projects). sector has a strong pipeline of transport projects including PPPs, operating franchises Large rail projects are being developed More and more investors are and rolling stock leases. 42 across the country with the largest talking to us about climate including Sydney Metro (case study A key principle in the Australian resilience and how NAB can right), Melbourne metro and Brisbane Infrastructure Plan is that more diverse support the capacity of the metro. These large multi-billion-dollar sources of funding are required to deliver financial sector to better projects have a number of expansion infrastructure priorities. This includes value stages under construction, in planning or capture where the recommendation is that, support investments in proposed (Melbourne Suburban Rail Loop “all governments should routinely consider climate resilient and green and Melbourne Airport Rail). The drivers land value capture in public infrastructure infrastructure. The 2019 GIIO behind urban rail expansion remain clear investments”. This model is used in Hong report is an essential tool for our and we expect such projects to dominate Kong but not widely in Australia. industry because it provides a infrastructure spending for years to come. From 2019/2020, the government has stated snapshot of the many projects Electric vehicles (EVs) have also received that it will invest AUD13bn in transport that governments, policy increasing attention over the past year with infrastructure through innovative financing makers and investors can direct sales reaching new highs, albeit from a very options, which include concessional loans, capital towards. low base in comparison with other developed guarantees, phased grants and availability countries. Australia’s EV market share payments, equity injections and value David Jenkins, Head of is 0.1% compared to China (2.2%), New capture. Government-backed concessional Sustainable Finance, Corporate Zealand (1.1%) and Sweden (6.3%).41 One loans are a new structure which provides & Institutional Banking, EV opportunity was identified in the pipeline greater leverage against the revenue streams National Australia Bank - the Queensland Electric Super Highway of transport (i.e. fares). 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Sydney Metro Proponent: NSW Government 2018ANZIP Location: Sydney Source: Status: Part complete, part under construction, to be fully Source: Auckland Transport, operational by 2025. Classification: Public Passenger Transport, Rail, Infrastructure Description: Sydney Metro is Australia’s largest public transport project and is split into four sections. • Northwest was opened on 26 May 2019. • The City and Southwest: Planning approval was received in 2017, and construction has begun. Services are expected to start in 2024. • West project will connect the City to Parramatta doubling rail Cost: capacity between the 2 areas. Construction is expected in 2020. • Northwest: AUD8.3bn • The Greater West project will be a rail link to Western • City and South West: AUD11.5 to AUD12.5bn Sydney Airport and the planned Badgerys Creek Aerotropolis. • West: AUD10bn Construction is due to commence in 2021 with completion in • Greater West: AUD15-AUD20bn 2026 along with the airport. Financial structure: A range of financing structures have been used, Output: 31 metro stations and more than 66 kilometres of new including State government funding with traditional procurement metro rail, in Sydney, over four stages. and PPPs. Not all financing structures are confirmed.44 Geelong Fast Rail Proponent: Australian Government with funding match from Victorian Government Source: ABC 2018 Location: Geelong Region, specifically Sunshine to Wyndham Vale Status: Planned Classification: Public Passenger Transport, Rail, Infrastructure Description: The project will include the construction of new electrified track pairs, track and signalling upgrades and new station platforms. Investigations are also being carried out to determine how it can integrate with the planned Melbourne Airport Rail Link. A Geelong Fast Rail Reference Group has been established, chaired by MP Christine Couzens (seat of Geelong). Cost: An initial AUD2bn (Federal Government), with an Output: New rail tracks, stations, including a new super hub at anticipated funding match from the Victorian Government. Sunshine to facilitate better integration of rail services. This will increase the capacity of current services, in line with regional Financial structure: Funding from Federal Government and population growth forecasts, while decreasing commuting times. Victorian Government, plus PPP arrangements.45 Update on 2018 featured case studies Canberra Light Rail – Stage 1 Melbourne Metro Rail Brisbane Metro Inland Rail Operations for Stage 1 Work is underway to build 9 kms Early works including The Inland Rail Programme commenced in April 2019. of rail tunnels that will service intersection upgrades have Business Case is now The final cost of Stage 1 was 5 new underground stations. commenced. Council is working completed, with formal AUD675m Construction is estimated to be to prepare for construction by planning approvals in process 12 months ahead of scheduled relocating some public utility for 5 projects in NSW and QLD. completion (2025). The cost services. Offices are now established in estimate is expected to be 165% Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane of the original budget. and Toowoomba. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 11
Sustainable water management Assets that do not increase Better water recycling is being looked Investment pathways greenhouse gas emissions or to as a cheaper and more efficient Most water assets in Australia are publicly- that aim at emission reductions alternative to increasing water supply than owned, and this is unlikely to change in over the operational lifetime of desalination. The primary barriers are cost the medium-term. The urban and rural the asset, address adaptation, and perceptions. Recycled water is not used water corporations are owned by the State and increase the resilience of for drinking water supply in Australia, but Government and funded by the respective surrounding environments. This there are opportunities and initiatives to State treasuries. covers built as well as nature- increase its use in industrial, agricultural based water infrastructure. and other applications. In Sydney, the Similar to the investment pathways for low Central Park Recycled Water Scheme was carbon transport, the primary investment Water management projects the largest recycled water scheme in the pathway for sustainable water infrastructure could include water capture world when it was launched in 2014. is using taxpayer funds through government and collection, water storage, The scheme collects wastewater from budgets. Thus, for green bonds in this sector, water treatment (with methane residential, commercial and retail precinct the main opportunity is for green bonds to be emissions treatment), flood buildings, treats it and distributes it within issued by State Governments. defence, drought defence, the precinct to supply water for cooling stormwater management, towers, irrigation, toilet flushing and A few privately-operated initiatives do exist and ecological restoration/ washing machines.49 – these include the Central Park Recycled management. Water Scheme, operated by a private Other initiatives include Australia’s first utility. Investment in the construction, Sector overview Groundwater Replenishment Scheme that ownership and refinancing of new types of re-injects recycled water into climate- infrastructure such as water desalination Climate change has already led to significant independent groundwater aquifers for later assets, commercial and industrial water changes in rainfall distribution and water use, in line with global best practice (see infrastructure may provide further options availability across Australia. Bureau of case study below). for investors. Meteorology data shows that April–October rainfall is decreasing across South West Meanwhile, the demand for water from The Australian Water Association (AWA) Australia with a 20% decrease in May-July industrial applications and agricultural has undertaken research showing there rainfall in the same region. This has been supply chains also continues to grow, are a range of alternative financing options accompanied by a long-term increase in impacting aquifer recharge and surface water available for water infrastructure projects extreme fire weather and a longer fire season flows. Downstream license holders relying from a variety of investment sources. These across large parts of Australia.46 on variable offtakes remain highly exposed, include green bonds, PPPs, value capture, bolstering calls for a new national water plan long-term leases and Regulated Asset Base The regulation of water assets varies in 2020 to spur technological innovation Model (RAB).51 The RAB model is where between the jurisdictions as does the through PPP arrangements underwritten by publicly-owned entities and/or private urgency to upgrade and replace aging the National Water Infrastructure (NWI) companies own, invest in and operate infra- infrastructure and respond to the needs of Development Fund and NWI Loan Facility.50 structure assets. In exchange for the delivery a growing population and the challenge of of services, an economic regulator will agree climate change. to ‘fund’ the costs of the infrastructure Enhanced planning processes and through the provision of regulated revenue. increased upfront investment will be Westpac recognises the This is particularly relevant for industries required for water infrastructure to meet the transition to a net zero emissions where there is a high risk of monopoly dual challenges of climate change and rapid economy cannot be achieved pricing (e.g. water supply). urbanisation particularly as Australia’s major without the active support of cities are forecast to need 73% more than major financial system actors. the current water supply by 2050.47 Banks, insurance companies The drought across Eastern states and superannuation funds all has continued to dominate the have a vital role in ensuring headlines in 2019 and is a major driver investment flows towards the in infrastructure discussions and planning green infrastructure that will for the sector. In NSW, the Sydney help reach this goal. Accelerating Desalination Plant, much debated over green finance, including green the past decade given its inactivity was, in January 2019, restarted after a seven- bonds, green loans and green year hiatus.48 The increasing severity and underwriting is increasingly the frequency of droughts means that it, and market mechanism to support other desalination projects around the this transition country, may soon be expanded. Sydney’s was built to allow for a doubling of capacity. Lyn Cobley, Chief Executive, It can provide 15% of the city’s water needs, Westpac Institutional Bank while in Perth, 50% can already be provided through desalination. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 12
Groundwater replenishment scheme Proponent: Water Corporation Source: Water Corporation Location: Craigie, Western Australia Status: Under construction Classification: Water, Nature-based solutions Description: The is the first full Groundwater Replenishment Scheme of its kind in Australia. It will provide a new climate- independent water source to boost potable supplies in Perth by pumping 28bn litres of water into aquifers for reuse. Stage 2 of the Scheme has recently commenced, involving constructing a second Advance Water Recycling Plant at the Beenyup facility, drilling four new bores for discharge and monitoring and a new 13km pipeline. The pipeline will be finished in mid-2019, with full construction complete in late 2019 before testing and commissioning. Output: The project will pump 28 billion litres of potable water into Perth aquifers for use when needed. Cost: AUD262m Financial structure: Government plus PPP arrangements52 Annual rainfall totals in the Murry-Darling Basin, July 1911 to June 2018 Mean for 1997-98 to 2008-09 Mean for 2012-13 to 2017-18 800 Long-term mean Peak of the Millennium Drought 600 400 Annual rainfall total (mm) 200 0 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 19 8 19 3 20 98 20 03 20 8 20 3 8 -9 -5 -6 -1 -2 -3 -4 -7 -8 -1 -7 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -8 -0 -1 - - 12 12 17 17 77 72 22 27 32 52 37 57 92 62 67 97 82 87 42 47 02 07 19 19 Source: Bureau of Meteorology Update on 2018 featured case studies Shoalhaven Reclaimed Water Management Wyaralong Water Treatment REMS 1B Scheme has commenced construction, with completion Stage 3: Remains in planning stages, with completion date expected in 2019. estimated to be in late 2022. Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 13
Sustainable waste management The efficient use of resources to While the ban has spurred much debate and A common theme in the industry is re- cut down on waste production, some political momentum, the complexity of envisioning waste as a resource where coupled with collection and negotiations between states and the federal recycled materials produce jobs and revenue disposal systems that promote government have hampered attempts to streams. If policy and waste streams are reuse and recycle, thereby resolve the problem. In August 2019, the more certain, there may be greater impetus minimising residual waste going federal government committed AUD20m to to invest in EfW or plastics recycling plants. into energy from waste (EfW) grow Australia’s recycling industry. A number EfW facilities are in various stages facilities. Where waste must go This is a strong signal and comes on top of of development and procurement across to landfill, there are gas capture state commitments including AUD47m by Australia. These include the two case studies systems installed to minimise NSW and AUD13m by Victoria. as well as the Australian Paper Project, East emissions as well as measures Rockingham Project and Ballarat Waste to to minimise run-off and other The 2019 Australian Infrastructure Audit Energy Project. negative impacts on surrounding notes that waste management is poorly environments planned with generation increasing but New Climate Bonds Criteria covering infrastructure declining. It highlights a lack waste management has been open for Sector overview of mature markets for private investment in public consultation and is now undergoing recycling and waste disposal. final review. The criteria is scheduled for Globally, the waste sector has the potential publication in Q4 2019. EfW projects have to contribute a 10-15% reduction in global The National Waste Policy, originally been the source of much debate around the GHG emissions. Opportunities in prevention, put forward in 2009 and updated in late world. Climate Bonds Initiative views them reuse, recycling, and energy recovery can 2018, provides a national framework for as necessary transition assets to deal with achieve significant mitigation by reducing waste and resource recovery in Australia residual waste. Specific criteria for EfW are landfill emissions, reducing emissions linked and outlines roles and responsibilities under discussion.56 to resource extraction and production using for collective action by businesses, virgin materials, and providing an alternative governments, communities and individuals. energy source that substitutes fossil fuels. The 2018 update focuses on waste Investment pathways avoidance, improved material recovery and Most of the major waste management assets In Australia, waste is responsible for use of recovered material. A key proposal is and projects in Australia are publicly owned, approximately 2% of GHG emissions. a common approach across states.55 with public financing used primarily for Waste recovery was increased to 57% waste treatment facilities, waste to energy in 2018 (20% in 2007) and the average Policy certainty is vital, as investment in processing and sanitary refill infrastructure. waste production per capita has decreased large facilities for EfW or plastics recycling is 10% since 2007. However, overall waste expensive and therefore not possible without Waste treatment facilities usually demand generation continues to increase as the regulatory certainty. One issue is the lack of significant capital. Currently, the majority population grows.53 standardisation of recycling regulations and of funding comes from State government standards across states and territories. budgets. The primary green bond The pipeline review revealed few waste opportunity is through green bonds issued by projects that met the minimum project State governments. size requirement (AUD50m). This is a feature of the sector, particularly in We are committed to playing our Environmental levies have also been used recycling where small projects dominate. role in limiting climate change historically to finance waste treatment The exception to this is EfW projects (also and supporting Australia’s projects. In July 2019, Queensland’s waste referred to as Waste-to-Energy). The 10 levy commenced for 39 out of 77 local transition to a low-carbon largest recycling projects identified are listed government areas. The levy aims to reduce in the pipeline even through they did not economy, but we can only do waste going to landfill and provides funding meet the size hurdle. this by working closely with our for better waste recovery practices.57 customers, communities and Prevention projects in particular were There are also new facilities proposed for industry partners. The Green difficult to identify. While prevention is development via PPPs. Investment pathways desirable, it is challenging to convert into Infrastructure Investment include participation in consortium debt fundable infrastructure projects. Prevention Opportunities (GIIO) report arrangements and/or equity stakes in is arguably not part of the waste sector itself will help us pursue our goals, individual projects via PPPs or other public- but cuts across all sectors (much like energy by outlining the projects that private ownership and financing structures. efficiency) which will require a different will make a direct contribution Privately owned asset and projects, which model to address. to international climate targets include recycling facilities and some waste The industry faces numerous challenges and long-term environmental to energy facilities, also offer other means of ahead- posed by population growth, lack of sustainability debt and equity investment. investment and, more immediately, import bans. China’s ban on the importation of Andrew Hinchliff – Group many recyclable materials in 2018 has Executive, Institutional Banking resulted in materials being stockpiled and and Markets, Commonwealth saw thousands of tonnes of recyclables sent Bank of Australia. to landfill.54 Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 14
Kwinana Thermal Waste to Energy Proponent: Macquarie Capital, Phoenix Energy and Dutch Infrastructure Fund Source: SEQ Water, 2018 Location: Kwinana, Western Australia Status: Under construction Classification: Waste, Energy from Waste Description: The project will develop a waste processing facility that will use moving grate technology to process approximately 400,000 tonnes of municipal solid waste, commercial and industrial waste and/or pre-sorted construction and demolition Source: Acciona waste per annum, to produce approximately 36 MW of baseload power for export to the grid. Output: 36 MW of baseload power. This will be among the first utility scale waste to energy facilities constructed in Australia, diverting approximately 25% of Perth’s post recycling rubbish (400,00 tonnes) from landfill sites. Cost: AUD696m Financial structure: Private investment, co-developed by Macquarie Capital and Phoenix Energy Australia, with co-investment by the Dutch Infrastructure Fund and funds from CEFC.58 Exports of waste materials for recycling by category from Australia to all destinations 2007-18 Other Plastics 5 4 Paper and cardboard 3 2 Tonnes (millions) 1 Metals 0 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Source: Department of Environment and Energy59 Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 15
Swanbank Thermal Waste to Energy Proponent: REMONDIS Location: Southeast Queensland SEQ Water, 2018 Status: Planned, construction expected in 2020 Classification: Waste, Energy from Waste Remondis Description: A Green Energy and Recycling Park in southeast Source: Source: Queensland to generate up to 50 MW of baseload electricity and around 200 construction and 50 operations jobs. REMONDIS operates more than 50 WtE projects in Europe, and also owns landfill sites. The Queensland Government is currently assessing the project proposal. Approval will secure progress towards a pipeline of similar projects. The construction period is estimated at four to five years. Output: 50 MW baseload power generated via conversion of between 300,000 and 500,000 tonnes of waste per year.diverting approximately 25% of Perth’s post recycling rubbish (400,00 tonnes) from landfill sites. Cost: AUD400m61 Financial structure: TBA Resource recovery and recycling rates of core waste by jurisdiction, 2016-17 100 Recycling Energy recovery 80 60 40 20 0 % ACT NSW NT QLD SA TAS VIC WA Australia Source: Department of Environment and Energy60 Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 16
Green buildings Commercial and residential Green Star rated buildings in Australia Investment pathways buildings, new or upgraded, have been shown to produce 62% less Low carbon residential and commercial operating with low carbon GHG emissions than the domestic building buildings in Australia are attractive to emissions. Credentials and average buildings and consume 51% less private-sector investors. Consequently, emissions performance are potable water than if they had been built to the vast majority of the capital required for demonstrated through an meet minimum industry requirements.65 construction, ownership and refinancing of accepted rating or ‘green’ The 2018 GRESB Real Estate results also green buildings is provided by the private assessment process. showed that Australian real estate sectors sector without government support. Sector overview are leading the world in sustainability The private sector uses a wide variety of performance. While the global average Globally, the greening of buildings has equity, debt and project finance structures for GRESB score was 68 points, Australia and the largest potential to significantly reduce green building development, including funds, New Zealand achieved an average GRESB GHG emissions compared to other major green loans and green bonds. Government- Score of 76 (73 in 2017). This compares to emitting sectors.62 owned green buildings have also been 70 for North America and 66 for Europe.66 financed with sub-sovereign green bond. In Australia net zero goals are becoming In early 2019, Energy Ministers released mainstream in property. Building industry the Trajectory for Low Energy Buildings, a superannuation fund Cbus has committed Australia has the foundations to national plan that sets a trajectory towards to net zero emissions by 2030 across its expand green infrastructure provision zero energy (and carbon) ready buildings listed and unlisted property portfolio63 while throughout the 2020s and beyond. for Australia.67 The Trajectory outlines Investa Office Management is pursuing a net Few nations enjoy this confluence of opportunities for the building sector while zero emissions target by 2040.64 positive circumstances: a robust banking proposing to strengthen energy efficiency sector with green finance expertise, Green building certification programmes are provisions in the National Construction a superannuation sector with proven now institutionalised. As at July 2019 there Code (NCC) for residential and commercial infrastructure capability and willingness are 2429 Green Star-rated projects up from buildings from 2022. It also considers to explore new investment models. 1986 in 2018. options for improving existing buildings. One Melbourne Quarter Proponent: Lendlease Location: Victoria Source: Melbourne Quarter71 Status: Completed in 2019 (first building) Two Melbourne Quarter is currently under construction Classification: Low carbon buildings, Commercial Description: One Melbourne Quarter is the first building which will be part of a 2.5 hectare precinct development. One Melbourne Quarter achieved 6-Star Green Star certification in April 2019 while Two Melbourne Quarter has been registered for certification. Output: A 12 story 6-Star Green Star commercial building in Melbourne. It is the first building in a planned precinct Financial structure: Capital model used was ‘fund through’ - a development.68 funding model structured through a forward sale to a capital Cost: One Melbourne – AUD175m partner resulting in staged payments prior to building completion. Two Melbourne (25 storey, yet to be completed) was sold The precinct is owned by the Lendlease-managed Australian Prime to Australian Prime Property Fund and First State Super for Property Fund Commercial. AUD550m.69 Precinct cost estimated to be > AUD2bn70 Australia GIIO Report Climate Bonds Initiative 17
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