Glory Buys Majority Stake in Virtual ATM Company - Orell Füssli Security Printing
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VOLUME 17 – NO 10 / OCTOBER 2019 Glory Buys Majority Stake WW1 Coin Heads Winners in Virtual ATM Company at IACA Awards A new coin issued to mark the 100th anniversary of the end of the 1st World War has won top awards at the IACA (International Association of Currency Affairs) Excellence in Currency Awards for Coins, which were announced at the Coin Conference in Rome earlier this month. Berlin-based Cash Payment Solutions, The completion of this transaction is subject which operates under the brands to clearance from the relevant regulatory Barzahlen in Germany and Austria authorities in accordance with applicable and Viacash in Switzerland, is selling laws and regulations. 53% of its shares to Japanese cash According to Glory, it has been investing management specialist Glory. actively in a business model to realise Cash Payment Solutions is a bank- the ‘new management system of cash independent cash settlement platform circulation’ in line with our ‘Long-term that turns retailers into ‘virtual ATMs’ (see Vision 2028’. CN October 2017). It enables users to Issued by the Reserve Bank of New Behind this is its view that one of the factors deposit and withdraw cash and make cash Zealand, the Armistice Day coin won for the global trend towards cashless, or payments for e-commerce and utility bills at both the ‘Best New Commemorative less-cash, payments has been the high nearby supermarkets, drugstores and other or Test Circulating Coin Issued at Face costs of handling cash, even though retail outlets by just showing a barcode, Value’ and ‘Best New Circulating Coin- cash still remains an important means without the need to visit an ATM or a shop related Public Education Campaign, of payment. Hence it is intensifying the of the service provider. CPS has more Website, or App’ categories at provision of solutions for industries to make than 16,000 partners offering the service, the event. their operations more efficient, stating: mainly retailers. ‘we believe that, by realising efficient cash The coin commemorates the history, The retailers enjoy benefits such as circulation across society beyond the service, and sacrifice made by service reducing cash collection costs, attracting border between bank branches and retail personnel and their families to bring more shoppers, receiving commissions, shops, we can make the cost of cash peace to New Zealand and the world. etc. The associated banks can provide handling even lower.’ Judges highlighted the coin’s striking cash deposit and withdrawal services use of colour and praised its strong CPS's business model will contribute to more cost effectively than via ATMs or educational role in an Armistice Day that realisation. bank branches. E-commerce providers public awareness campaign, which The same rationale was behind a $6 million invited people to ‘SPEND IT. KEEP IT. can attract consumers who prefer round of funding for Singapore-based REMEMBER’. It was produced by the cash settlement. SoCash, which Glory led in July. It provides Royal Canadian Mint. CPS was founded in 2011. Its management s similar service to CPS, and is now being will continue to manage the company, Continued on page 11 > rolled out to neighbouring Indonesia, focusing on expanding the business and Malaysia and Hong Kong. network in Europe. www.currency-news.com
Coins v Banknotes, or Coins and Banknotes? It sometimes appears that coins and There are significant differences – the denomination coins are not needed was banknotes are troubled siblings, with products themselves, the issuers (in some discussed, particularly by the ECB and the all the friction that implies. Conflict is countries the central bank produces US, both of which face significant negative normally sparked around the coin-note banknotes and coins whereas in others seigniorage on these coins. In the Euro boundary and, despite sharing so many the treasury is responsible for the latter), area research shows public demand in of the same challenges, sometimes they and the seigniorage system that generates favour of this, but ultimately such decisions appear to operate in parallel but almost value for the central bank and/or state (not have big implications for mints and are entirely separate universes. least because coins last around 20-25 politically sensitive. years and are not recirculated to any great Similar to ‘payment’ and ‘market’ notes Inside this Issue extent). The cost, value, lifecycle, handling for banknotes, the concept of transaction systems and recirculation models are also and settlement coins was introduced by very different. Jon Cameron, latterly Associate Director 1 Glory Buys Majority Stake The Coin Conference has just taken place of the US Mint, with the differentiator ‘can in Virtual ATM Company in Rome and, while highlighting these you buy a cup of coffee with two coins?’ 1 WW1 Coin Heads Winners differences, it also highlighted what coins The National Bank of Moldova explained at IACA Awards and banknotes have in common. This the D-Metric analysis they had done when started with the results of a number of planning their new series, the National 2 Coins v Banknotes, research projects into public attitudes to Bank of Kyrgyzstan explained why their or Coins and Banknotes? coins. As with banknotes, coins represent new series included a 3 som coin and something more to the public than just the Bankgo Sentral ng Pilipina why they 3 Bank of England Unveils being a payment token. had changed seven coins for six in their New £20 Banknote Beyond that, both coins and banknote new series, dropping the 10 sentimo. 3 Rising Costs of face some shared challenges. Declining Science and public research lay behind these changes. Currency in Nigeria usage driven by new alternative payments and changing public behaviour, currency There were some common themes 3 Successful Conclusion to that ‘disappears’ and does not circulate when presenters spoke about increasing Kenya’s New Currency (albeit for different reasons) and how to recirculation. The initiatives included get currency to recirculate efficiently, mechanisms for commercial organisations 4 News in Brief forecasting but with poor data and to work directly together to move surpluses 5 Banknote Survival changing payment landscapes. Despite to match deficits, new central bank hubs to Analysis this, both are investing in their products and facilitate coin issue and deposits organised cash cycles. on more commercial lines and commercial 6 People in the News Perhaps there is something to learn from and government measures to make coin machines accessible for the public to 7 More than a Printer, a each other? deposit coins. Spain, for example, had Partner for the Future As with banknotes, the volume of coins in run a very successful trial in Madrid with a circulation continues to rise at an apparently 8 Historic Highs for healthy rate. However, the Dutch National public coin deposit machine. Australian Banknotes Bank (DNB) demonstrated the difference The environment – shared goals 9 When Micro is Nano between the number of coins in circulation and challenges and issue rates with the number of coins Notes and coins also share an imperative to 10 Nanotech Launches issued in the Netherlands in 2019 – down ensure that their products and processes KolourDepth™ to 45 million compared with 104 million in are as environmentally-friendly as possible, 2016. India, Mexico, Spain and the US also and one of the sessions focused on 11 FNMT: Investment Leads reported on a significant build-up of coin this topic. With the ‘green agenda’ ever to Flesure stocks due to declining usage. more important – be this related to raw 11 HSP Asia – All Eyes on Forecasting coins was reckoned to be materials, energy consumption and emissions, or reducing pollution – both Yokohama! harder than for banknotes primarily due to poor data and the impact of structural sides of the industry share the same goals 12 Chatboxes Add a changes and fast moving innovation and challenges. New Dimension to WBS in payments. Mexico has put in place Lessons to learn? The power of research measures to collect data from commercial along with the application of science, the 12 MEA Cash Cycle (ICCOS) importance of data and a willingness to banks in response to their experience with Seminar over-stocking. ‘Passive’ coins (or even experiment and change in all areas. 12 Banknote Horizons 2020 ‘sleepy’ coins, as they are referred to in The Coin Conference happens every Germany), as with store of value notes, two years and took place in Rome 15-16 13 Orell Füssli Celebrates clearly create major challenges. October. A record number of countries, 500 Years Appropriate structures for 45, and organisations, 103, attended. A 14 Note and Coin news efficient usage full review of the event is enclosed in the The importance of having in place special supplement this month. The next 15 The Asia Cash Cycle appropriate denominational structures to Coin Conference will be in 2021 and the Seminar 2019 allow efficient coin usage was discussed. Mint Director Conference, where some of the issues will be explored in further depth, 15 Cash & Payment News The DNB’s research suggests that 60% is 26-29 April 2020 in Cape Town. of coins are only used once. Little wonder 16 Counterfeiters Defeated that rounding up prices so that the lowest by Technology 2 CURRENCY NEWS | COMMENT
Bank of England Unveils Successful New £20 Banknote Conclusion The Bank of England has revealed the The artist JMW Turner replaces the to Kenya’s New new polymer £20 banknote design, economist Adam Smith. In addition to a which will go into circulation on 20 self-portrait of Turner, the design includes Currency February 2020. It will co-circulate the image of The Fighting Temeraire, with the paper £20 during a transition voted Britain’s greatest painting in a BBC period. The £20 represents 53% of poll in 2005. The painting, according to the number of notes in circulation, the Bank, ‘exemplifies Turner’s innovative 2.1 billion notes. As a result, the use of light, shade, colour and tone’ and The Central Bank of Kenya (CBK) has change-over period is likely to be the note includes Turner’s quote ‘light is won a court case on the design of its considerably longer than that of the therefore colour’. new banknotes, after the design was previous denominations. The security features on the note have accused of violating the constitution been upgraded compared with the £5 (which states that notes and coins and £10. The two main differences are a cannot carry images of past presidents). second window with a blind emboss and The controversy stemmed from an image a new two colour hologram in the main of a statue of Jomo Kenyatta, the first window. The hologram is blue and gold president of Kenya, in front of the Kenyatta on the front and silver on the back. The International Convention Centre (KICC), £20 is the most counterfeited note with which some (notably the activist Okiya 426,000 counterfeits in 2018, 90% of Omtatah, who has conducted a long- the total. running campaign of ‘lawfare’ against the The notes are printed at the Bank of new notes) argued constituted a ‘portrait’. England’s site by De La Rue. 75% of the The High Court, however, ruled that polymer substrate has been supplied by Kenyatta’s image portrait in the new CCL Secure and 25% by De La Rue. generation currency notes is part of the The Bank has already announced that KICC. The judges further ruled that the the £50 will be produced on polymer CBK reasonably involved the public in featuring the mathematician Alan Turing, the process. The new note is smaller than its but the design and issue date are yet to The ruling came shortly before the 30 predecessor but follows the same design be revealed. September deadline for the highest layout as the polymer £5 and £10. denomination in the older series, the Ks 1,000, to be demonetised and old notes to be returned. The demonetisation was designed as a crackdown on corruption Rising Costs of Currency in Nigeria and money laundering by flushing out illegally-acquired cash, and a number of measures were put in place by the CBK to According to the latest Central Bank 2017, indicating an increase of 33.83%. prevent their exchange by criminals (see CN of Nigeria (CBN) annual report, it The volume of the higher denomination June 2019). spent N 64 billion ($177 million) on notes in circulation increased from 42% Out of 217 million old 1,000 notes in the production of banknotes in 2018, to 44.3%. circulation, the CBK estimated that around compared with N 49.2 billion in 2017 119,663 counterfeit notes with a nominal 80% would be returned. In the event, nearly – an increase of 29%. The cumulative value of N 98.82 million was recorded, 210 million (just under 97%) were returned, increase between 2013 and 2018 an increase of 1.3% over the previous leading the Bank to call the exercise is 105%. year. The N 500 and N 1,000 notes a success. A total of 1.8 billion notes were destroyed were the most commonly counterfeited, Moreover, keen to avoid a repeat of the in 2018 by the Currency Operations accounting for 65.2% and 34.5% Indian demonetisation fiasco, which took Department at a cost of N 662.2 million, respectively of the total. The counterfeit place virtually overnight and caused compared with 2.5 billion notes in 2017. ratio was 18 ppm, compared with 16 significant hardship, riots and damage to Furthermore, a total of N 5.63 billion ppm the previous year. the Indian economy, the CBK believes was expended on air charter, compared According to the CBN’s Currency that it it has avoided any major disruption. with N 4 billion during the corresponding Department, it was confronted with a In particular, fears of a spike in inflation period in 2017. number of operational challenges in caused by people rushing to spend their old In total, the CBN spent N 73 billion on 2018, including the sale of newly-printed Ks 1,000 did not materialise either - in fact, currency operations, up by 29% over the naira notes, poor handling habits by inflation fell in the changeover period. previous year. the public, hoarding and the high cost Cash in circulation grew by 0.8% to N 2.3 of currency management. It also cited trillion. The total stock of currency in the rising incidents of counterfeiting of the CBN vaults as at the end of December higher denomination notes, public apathy 2018 stood at 1.71 trillion pieces, towards coins, and the disposal of compared with 1.28 trillion pieces in banknotes in eco-unfriendly manner. VOLUME 17 – NO 9 | SEPTEMBER 2019 3
News in Brief Crypto ‘Banknotes’ Due to the confidential nature of the project, By contrast, it costs less than J$3 to make no details of the project status, timing, or each J$5 and J$10 coin, and less than Bitcoin Suisse, a Swiss-based financial financial terms are forthcoming. J$10 to make the J$20 coin. The cost of intermediary and pioneer in crypto-financial ‘We consider this award a significant project the J$1 coin, meanwhile, is $J2.30, but the services, has introduced crypto banknotes, milestone in designing a security feature for Bank does not intend withdrawing it due to namely transferable paper wallets that offer our customer’s future banknotes,’ said Troy its heavy usage. It is, however, reviewing an offline medium of storage for blockchain- Bullock, President and CEO. ‘This project is the design with a view to using less based assets. They consist of an exposed progressing well overall and we appreciate expensive materials. public address and the corresponding the confidence this customer has shown in private key, which is hidden by physical security measures and can only be our technology.’ Royal Mint Strikes Gold accessed by damaging the wallet. The notes The Royal Mint has launched Raris, a are of a similar quality to banknotes, says the South African Mint Engages somewhat curious combination of a digital company, and represent direct ownership of the Public payment tool and a piece of ‘bling’, made tokens like BTC, ETH, and XTZ. of solid 18K gold and issued in association The South African Mint is holding a with Mastercard and Accomplish Financial. competition for the design of a new R2 circulation coin which will be issued in The popularity, even before its official 2020. Following the success of the SA25 release date, of the physical titanium card coin series commemorating ‘25 Years of that Apple introduced this summer in South Africa’s Constitutional Democracy’, it partnership with Golden Sachs, is perhaps has invited designs for the reverse of a new an indication that some card users wish to R2 coin, depicting a right from the South have a real and tactile object in their wallet Africa’s Bill of Rights. in addition to the digital payment utility the card provides. Designers are free to choose a right from the remaining 22 Bill of Rights – which did The Raris card is the world’s first hallmarked Secure generation and printing of key precious metals payment card, and the first not form part of the 2019 SA25 coin range. pairs is in a secure offline environment payment card to be manufactured by the under the supervision of two Swiss-based The SA25 coin series was the culmination Royal Mint. Each card will be personalised notaries. With the private key only existing of extensive public engagement sessions for its owner, with their name and signature physically on the certificate, the assets are with South Africans. Young people born directly engraved into the precious metal. effectively stored 100% offline. The ‘notes’ in 1994 and after, colloquially referred includes several security features, among to as ‘born-frees’, were invited to give The card comes with a range of them a secure hologram with nano-optical their perspectives on the concepts of cardholders’ benefits, including a dedicated structures and microtext, guilloche and democracy, freedom and culture in South concierge service, an app to manage the spectral line patterns. Africa, many of which influenced the coin account and zero foreign exchange and themes, which in turn informed the designs transaction fees. It is almost superfluous to According to Bitcoin Suisse CEO mention that the Raris account comes with of the five 2019 R2 circulation coins. Nikolajsen, ‘the new series of Bitcoin a limitless spending threshold. Suisse Crypto Certificates have the look All submissions received will be shortlisted and feel of traditional paper banknotes and and tested against a range of criteria to ensure the winning design can be DLR Issues Profit Warning is, I dare say, a quite revolutionary paper reproduced on metal. As Currency News™ went to press, wallet design. While it may seem counter De La Rue issued what amounts to a intuitive and almost a step back in time to make physical representations of crypto- Redeem Your Reds, profit warning for both its first half and currencies, they do serve a niche and have Jamaicans Are Urged current year. various solid use cases, and if one wants The Bank of Jamaica has launched a The company, which has very recently physical crypto assets, this is in my view, campaign to retrieve up to J$100 million replaced its Chairman and CEO (see the best product available on the market.’ of 1, 20 and 25 cent coins (so-called ‘red page 6), stated that it expects its first half money’) which are still in circulation, despite adjusted operating profits to the end of $5 Million Contract being demonetised in February 2018. It September to be low-to-mid single digit for Nanotech has partnered with GK Money Services millions and that its full year 2019/20 in a recovery drive, urging Jamaicans in adjusted operating profit will be significantly Nanotech Security Corp, which has an advertising campaign to ‘Change Your lower than market expectations. just launched its new banknote feature KolourDepth™ (see page 10), has also Coins to Cash – for Free’. The statement also noted that the announced that it has been awarded a The coins can be exchanged at the Bank, company’s management, led by the new $5 million purchase order to advance a or via coin sorting and counting machines CEO, is conducting a detailed review of the confidential development contract to the at 11 GK Money Services locations island- business and will update the market further next stage. wide. Under the deal with GK, the Bank has when it reports its first half 2019/20 results waived the 8% user fee for the transactions. on 26 November. Over the past four years, Nanotech has generated revenue from the contract to The coins were demonetised because their The market reaction was immediate with design a unique security feature for a costs had exceeded their face value. It was the share price falling around to 20% to future banknote based on the company’s costing J$1.73 to make the 1 cent, J$1.54 149p in early trading. At the beginning of KolourOptik® technology. With this new $5 to make the 10 cent and nearly J$2 to the company’s financial year the share price million order, Nanotech says it has secured make the 25 cent. was around 400p and this time last year it its contract services revenue for fiscal 2020 was around 500p, a fall of around 62.5% at levels similar to fiscal 2019. and 70% respectively. 4 CURRENCY NEWS | NEWS IN BRIEF
distribution of banknote life and is still sensitive to until the new NGB series are issued in late 2019. This various idiosyncratic factors, albeit less so.[7] doubled the estimates of banknote life using the Survival Analysis and the These turnover-based methods estimate banknote simple turnover-based measure, but had almost no life using a cross-section of data taken at a particular effect on the model-based survival estimates which use all of the available data. Life of Australian Banknotes point in time. In doing so, they implicitly assume that whatever was happening at the time will continue to happen into the future. That is, the Conclusion prevailing conditions, or the state, are assumed to In late 2016, 2017 and 2018 respectively, the Bank The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) An additional remain unchanged,challenge formethods and so these using survival are released The study upgraded also looked $5, $10at anda $50simple NGBsteady banknotes, is nearing the end of its programme analysis referred to as is that polymer steady-state banknote life methods. and the state existing model, thestock numberof old NNS series polymer of outstanding S to replace its ‘New Note Series’, after is determined Graph 7 compares some primarily steady-stateby mechanical estimates of notes banknotes divided wereby the number deemed unfit; thedestroyed, new $20 NGB is 25 years in circulation, with its ‘Next damage, S U R V I VA L which A N A LY S I S Ais average banknote life with those from N Drandom; therefore T H E L I F E O F AU S T R A L I A N B A Nthe the model. K N OT E S and due what is known to be released as 2019. in late the Feige model, This banknote or a policy change Generation from the series. Banknote’ Bank thatIn tends its to chance of ‘death’ is the same whatever the the average upgrade program, number of outstanding after roughly 25 years using the As can be seen, one issue with steady-state e September Bulletin, increase banknote life. Forthe RBA’s example, Shane demand for age,though. or inkBanknotewear, quality whichprograms, accumulates for example, and so notes candivided previous bias bepolymer explained bybanknote the whenaverage we series, recognise of old provides notes that the a good methods is that they can be highly volatile. 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Overall, state whereas models I find the sample that aredata over easy their are to for of period are generally estimated based on a window of a e with used a Survival less Analysis and so higher to see banknote how well life, despite an of wear means ones, initially slow that banknotes the destruction ratedo as new not age calculate banknotes use, the average butin have still life ofshortcomings. circulation which would old-series They are: otherwise polymer single year o they overallestimated the performance increase in transaction demand. of the asofadata. and,banknotes areThe result, issued effects the inconceptfrom temporary preparation offor‘activity the have lived longer before they were returned to the Based on banknotes averages. increases as theNeither denomination approach gets New Note Series. factors time’ arerather program.magnifiedThethan because effect ageis thenhas they toare reversedbeassumed once used. Lost to Bank. It is less clear why the models appear to be d The fit of the survival model improves with time, shows higher: the over a little distribution 5 years forofthe note life;$10; a little $5 and remain in place commercial for the banks entire start and hoarded notes, of course, complicate life returning of the their series. stock Such of old slightly biased in regards to fit banknotes – either The RBA conducts particularly a Commercial post 2006 when Cash there were fewer banknotes for processing. over the S U R V I VA L A N A LY S I S A N D T H E L I F E O F AU S T R A L I A N B A N K N OT E S 10 Neither, models years for although are the $20; somewhat and around tomisspecified differing 15 years are extents, or the for factors usually the modelling. have little to do with the structural Sampling (CCS) programme, banknote cleansing programs and whereby other such the $50. Thisused sensitive assumptions is consistent to to calculatewith demand shocks;lower-denomination the age of banknotes integrity of the While thebanknote, overall fit is but are morethe encouraging, often model the 10,000 notes distortions. are removed The model performsfrom circulation particularly well on Apart changes from ensuringprocessing in capture banknote the model did not policies. A to slightly banknotes from CCSincurring the assume banknote datalifeare at higher somewhat the time,wear through inaccurate. and then Mostgreater reverse result ofneeds the currency to issuer’s the entire own policies. distribution ifFor it is They that the past predicts thethis once from retail deposits and tested for fitness the $50 denomination. Australian $50 banknotes allow more time to run ‘backwards’ sophisticated method, again and tracking based on use for likely, transactions. both the are true to some contingency event extent. had passed. In contrast, the provide valid information example, in 1999 the Bank ceased destroying unfit beyond just simple future; relative to their are thought to bedate of manufacture. primarily This used as a store of value, the measures age of issuance,of central this study considered turnover, banknotes to isbuild detailed athat intendency. contingencyFeige (1989) One stock way andtoY2K. check calculated Graph 6 shows policy the average change had survival little curve effect on for oureach estimates dataof provided a check against which the different while lower denominations are used more for twowhether variables this is the affect case is to the ratefor compare the ofmodel’s wear The Usually denomination, they are taken based from the on single time they were year first as was effect the average to increase number the of outstanding steady-state estimates banknotesof where a change that year is assumed to its banknote life. More recently, the Bank limited models could [3] be assessed. – the prevailing predictions economic observed byconditions and transactions. High levels of hoarding will tend to divided by thetoaverage data of old banknotesthe Bank in the destroyed issued until the end of 2018. The dashed line at processing extend into theof the remaining future. Thestock result of is $20high NNS Survival analysis hasof its roots in predicting changes course of toitsthe RBA’sGraphs operations. policies. 4 and 5 compare 50 per cent intersects with the median life for all smooth out the effect economic events on and new banknotes issued each year (hereafter the banknotes. levels of This was volatility in an the operational resulting decision graph. to the life of life, organisms. Therelatively paper describes predictions Inflation, for of the example, average Graph can age 6 nothingof fit banknotes in increase banknotes in that denomination. Given that our banknote given that the low share of data are largely silent onGraph 7 of $20s ‘Feige’ method). circulationvelocity, Again, and unfit banknotes it says returned about for the ensure that the current stock the destruction date of would last how survival banknotes thatanalysis is circulating are actively usually used,are the only circulation Estimated Survival at least until supply Curves* distribution of banknote processing to information lifetaken from the Bank’s to and is still sensitive until Average the long-living, new NGB high-value series Life Banknote are issued denominations, inoflate 2019. This Estimates the tail along with the underlying ones affected. The accumulated formula used effects of to transitory catches % up, causing by Denomination greater wear. A quality $10 less so.[7]% Model vs Simple Turnover and Feige Steady State Methods various commercialidiosyncratic $5 cash sampling factors,(CCS) albeitprogram. the doubled $50 Years the distribution $5 estimates in of particular, banknote should $10 life using probably the Years calculate the time of destruction, the lifetime programme 75 that leads to more notes 75 These turnover-based simple[6]turnover-based measure, but had almost no be ignored. distribution, the event density and the being 50 In particular, withdrawn asmethods the Bank records theestimate unfit will year of banknote initially slow 50 10 10 life manufacture of around using a cross-section 10,000 banknotes of data taken atthat are in abeing particular effect on the model-based survival estimates which hazard rate. destruction due to more new notes Comparison withavailable Alternative Graph 3 25 deposited by retailers each year and then sent25on to circulation, point in time.although In doing so, this will they reverse. implicitly High assume use 5 all of the data. 5 the Bank$20 for analysis. It is important to note, Model Estimates Expected Quantity of Surviving Banknotes stocks of fit, used that whatever notes also was happening tend at$50the timetowill slow $20 There are alternative $50 Generalised Gamma with Activity Time $5 NNS 75 however, that the year of manufacture says little circulation continue to velocity. happen into the future. That is, 75 the Conclusion ways to estimate banknote life. f about when a banknote was actually issued to the The20most common method is based purely on the 40 NNS Recolour Y2K FED/VCH GFC Quality1 50 prevailing The survival public, conditions, and analysis so to use these orshowed thedata state, are assumed a note to estimate life to how 50 In late turnover 2016, 2017and of banknotes, and 2018 respectively, is simply the number ofthe Bank remain of about 25 unchanged, five years long a particular andfor the banknote so these has A$5 methods been in and are A$10 25 circulation I releasedbanknotes 10 outstanding upgraded $5, $10 divided andnumber by the $50 NGB of banknotes, 20 referred and 0 need 10-15 to to as make 5 10 15 20 25 steady-state years for assumptions the methods. A$20 around 5 10 15 20 25 and the A$50. timing 0of and the banknotes existinginstock destroyed a year.ofThis oldmethod NNS series polymer 0 0 [5] provides an estimate banknotes 1997 wereofdeemed 2007 central 2017 tendency butnew unfit; the 1997 2007 says2017 $20 NGB is The life7 of issuances. Graph the A$100 Years compares some was not Years measured steady-state estimates of nothing Model Simple Turnover Feige dueabout to bethe distribution of 2019. banknoteThislife. The * Average survival curves, from first issuance to November 2018 $10 NNS because Overall, it is Graphs used 4 and predominantly 5 suggest that as model. the the a store banknote released in late banknote s NNS Y2K VCH Quality1 GFC average banknote life with those from method is also sensitive to various idiosyncratic Quality2 ofAsvalue note. life estimates, while close, are slightly upwardly can be seen, one issue with steady-state upgrade program, after roughly 25 years using the factors such as banknote demand shocks and biased overall. For unfit banknotes, the apparent Withoutprevious the polymer full historybanknote series, provides of a banknote, thea good The CCSisprogram methods that they cansuggested be highly that theThis volatile. BULLETIN – SEPTEMBER 2019 survival analysis application opportunity of survival to evaluate analysis how banknotes have 6 1 ourcomplements stems from the factslightly that theoverstated note life. steady-state methods are generally estimated Graph based4on a window of a steady wornstate in use.modelling Overall, 5to give GraphI find a credible that over their period of $20 NNS Age of Fit banknotes in Circulation pictureuse, of thenote average Age of lifeUnfit and life of an understanding old-series banknotes polymer NNS Y2K VCH Quality1 GFC single year ofEstimated data. The effects and CCS samples,from 2011 totemporary 2018 Estimated and CCS Samples, 2011 to 2018 Years $5 $10 Years ofYears key variables. banknotes Although $5 increases as thepolymer denomination $10 notes Years gets factors are magnified because they are assumed to degrade 10higher:differently a little overfrom 5 yearspaper-based for the $5 and10 notes, $10; a little remain in place for the entire life of the series.10Such 10 this over methodology 10 years for would the $20; transfer and across around 15 years for factors5usually have little to do with the structural 5 5 5 withthe soiling replacing $50. This ink wear. is consistent with lower-denomination $50 NNS integrity of the banknote, but are more often the NNS Y2K VCH GFC $20 $50 A sampling banknotes program, $20 such $50 incurring higher as wearthe RBA’sgreater through result of the currency issuer’s own policies. For 10 10 CSS program, 10use is clearly a valuable tool for transactions. 10 example, in 1999 the Bank ceased destroying unfit to give confidence in the end result. It will banknotes 5 to build a contingency stock for Y2K. 5 The 5 5 be interesting to see whether the Next effect was 0 to increase the steady-state estimates 0 of 0 0 1993 1998 2003 2008 2013 2018 2014 2018 2014 2018 Generation 2014Banknote 2018 series 2014 performs 2018 Actual Estimate Estimates CCS Sample as well as the New Note Series in year Estimates CCS Sample Graph 6 to come. * NNS represents the introduction of NNS banknotes; Recolour is a Graph 7 Achange key inelement colour to theof a normal $5 banknotes; FEDsurvival analysis represents the issuance of a Estimated Survival Curves* Average Banknote Life Estimates 60 R E S E R V E B A N K O F AU S by T R ADenomination LIA isspecial knowing when $5’ edition ’Federation the organism banknote; was VCH relates born in to a change % $5 $10 % Model vs Simple Turnover and Feige Steady State Methods distribution policy; Quality 1 and Quality 2 are various banknote Years $5 $10 Years / and when it died to estimate the survival cleansing programs. See Appendix A for more detail. 75 75 function for the population. Central banks 50 50 10 10 who track serial numbers have this data. 25 25 5 5 Without it this study used aggregated issue and destruction data. The total quantity $20 $50 $20 $50 75 75 of the surviving banknotes in existence 20 40 is modelled as the sum of the surviving 50 50 banknotes from each issuance. Because all 25 25 10 20 banknotes are regarded as being identical, 0 5 10 15 20 25 5 10 15 20 25 0 0 0 it was assumed that the survival function Years Years 1997 2007 2017 1997 2007 2017 was identical for all. * Average survival curves, from first issuance to November 2018 Model Simple Turnover Feige SPECIAL REPORT | VOLUME 17 – NO 10 |B UOCTOBER L L E T I N – S E P2019 5 TEMBER 2019 61
People in the News Christine Lagarde, former Managing Clive Vacher has been appointed Chief Jean-Pierre Savare Director of the IMF, has been appointed as Executive Officer, replacing Martin Sutherland. He has more than 16 years’ President of the European Central Bank. Jean-Pierre Savare, the founder of She succeeds Mario Draghi, who is experience running global industrial modern-day Oberthur Fiduciaire, has stepping down after eight years in the post. companies in both the commercial and died at the age of 82. government/defence sectors, and in Although the history of the company particular has significant experience of dates back more than 175 years, it Ahmed Obaid Al-Fadhli is the new international business transformation and was its acquisition by Jean-Pierre in Governor of the Central Bank of Yemen, operational performance improvement. He 1984 for the token sum of one franc one of two in the country, currently in a was previously CEO and President of the that began its transformation into state of civil war. He replaces Mohammed Canadian listed company Dynex Power, the world’s second largest banknote Zammam. where he led a privatisation sale earlier this printer, and secured his reputation year. He has also held senior positions with as one of the industry’s key leaders Ali Hashim, a former Maldivian finance Pratt and Whitney, Rolls-Royce, General and entrepreneurs. minister, has been appointed the Governor Dynamics Corporation and B/E Aerospace. Under his leadership, the company of the Maldives Monetary Authority, Shortly before his appointment, Kevin expanded from banknote and security replacing Ahmed Naseer who resigned Loosemore took up the position of non- printing through scratch cards, in July. executive director and Chairman, replacing lotteries and cheques into ID and Philip Rogerson. He was formerly smart cards in the 1990s, as well as Chairman of Micro Focus International plc, a Susan Woods has been appointed by cash protection. It was listed in 2000, FTSE 100 multinational software business, the Reserve Bank of Australia as the but then delisted eight years later, and and has also held senior executive positions new Chair of the Board of Note Printing in 2010 sold its ID and card activities with Cable & Wireless, Motorola and IBM. Australia (NPA), replacing Chris Aylmer to the venture capital firm, Advent He was Managing Director of one of De La who will retire at the end of 2019 after a for just over €1 billion, in order to Rue’s businesses between 1997 and 1999. career spanning 40 years with the Bank. focus on currency. Since then, it has To complete the changes to the Board, Susan joined the RBA in March last year as more than doubled its capacity to five Andy Stevens, Senior Independent Assistant Governor (Corporate Services), billion banknotes a year. It has also Director, has stepped down. He is replaced overseeing the Bank’s Information expanded into threads and security by Sabri Challah. Technology and Workplace (Facilities features and, through the acquisition Management) departments. De La Rue is also continuing apace with of the Dutch paper mill VHP, into paper production as well. the reorganisation of the business into two divisions. The Currency Division will As the founder and President he be led by Ruth Euling as its Managing was the driving force behind the Directory (previously Global Sales Director company’s rapid development and for Currency), while Andrew Clint has remained closely involved up until his been appointed Managing Director for the death, even as he formally stepped Authentication Division (he was previously down from operational duties several Global Business Development Director for years ago. Product Authentication and Traceability). A lover and investor in Bordeaux wine The reorganisation is designed to enhance (Franc Mayne, a leading Bordeaux strategic focus and generate greater chateau, was the latest investment in efficiencies for the company. this area), Jean-Pierre Savare was also Susan Woods (second from left) together with the NPA Board team (L-R) Ross Pilling, Robert a keen rugby enthusiast, to the extent Middleton-Jones, retiring Chair Chris Aylmer, Greg that he and the family saved the Stade Further to the recent Board election at the Johnston, and Michelle McPhee. Francais, Paris’ professional rugby International Association of Currency Affairs club, from bankruptcy and brought it (IACA), four new members have joined its last French Championship title. the Board – Ron Arends (Canadian Bank Samson Yuen has been appointed Head Not Company), Ruth Euling (De La Rue), According to someone who worked of the Currency and Settlement Division at Stefan Hardt (Deutsche Bundesbank) and closely with him over many years, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), Neil Sanders (CCL Secure). They replace Jean-Pierre Savare was a truly replacing Lydia Chan who has retired. Richard Hird (De La Rue), Bernhard legendary figure – a visionary, an He joined the HKMA in 1998 and was Imbach (CCL Secure), Doug Mennie entrepreneur, a man who was so seconded to Hong Kong Note Printing in (Cummins Allison) and Michelle Bullock driven and so tough but also one of 2011 as its Director and General Manager (Reserve Bank of Australia). Antti Heinonen extraordinary sensitivity and kindness in 2011. (BnEI), Maureen Carroll (Bank of Canada) to his family and employees – a quite and Richard Wall (IACA Chairman) were all brilliant, charismatic man and a huge re-elected. De La Rue has made a number of key loss to our industry. appointments and provided further details His legacy is to leave a strong and of its reorganisation into two business units. growing company whose culture he developed and nurtured. The company is now owned by his three children and will continue to be run by his son Thomas. 6 CURRENCY NEWS | PEOPLE IN THE NEWS
Bundesdruckerei – More than a Printer, a Partner for the Future Dieter Sauter rejoined the German state printer Bundesdruckerei (BDR) in April as Senior Vice President and General Manager of Value Printing, after a 17 year absence, with a mandate to take forward the business unit, which produces banknotes as well as postage stamps. He is also Chairman of Intergraf’s Committee of Experts, responsible for developing the programme for the SecurityPrinters Banknote+Identity conference. Currency News spoke to him about his new role at Bundesdruckerei and what he thinks the company has to offer to central banks and the industry. Q: Can you give a few details about your career prior to joining BDR. A: I trained and have a doctorate as a physicist at the Max Planck Institute for Metal Research in Stuttgart. I started my career in the security printing industry at Bundesdruckerei in Berlin within the Q: Apart from an interlude from 2000-2009 So just because we are owned by the R&D division, and then spent several under private ownership, BDR always been German government doesn’t mean that we years in R&D and sales with Giesecke + state-owned. Presumably you used to print can sit there and expect to receive orders. Devrient before joining Orell Füssli in 2011 the deutschmark, and now the euro? We have to go out and get them. as Head of Technology. In 2014 I took over the role of Chief Technology Officer A: Yes, we are euro qualified for the ECB Q: What determines whether you get those with responsibility for sales, marketing and have been ever since the beginning. orders or not? and technology and subsequently was We have invested in what has been A: It’s down to price. All euro suppliers appointed joint Managing Director. After a required to produce the new euro series, have to be qualified, and the accreditation 17 year absence, I joined Bundesdruckerei and we have also upgraded our security criteria, standards and specifications are all again this April. in line with new ECB requirements. So we set. So all things being equal, the difference continue to be capable of mastering all the comes down to price. Q: What is your role within BDR? needs for euro production. A: I am head of the business unit for value Q: What is your capacity? But that doesn’t give us an automatic printing, meaning I have full profit and loss A: We have one line, which equates to just right to print euros. There are basically two responsibility for banknote production and over one billion banknotes per year. options for the supply – the opt-in and stamps. That includes features, pigments, Q: In addition to euro work, how successful opt-out models. Some printers are owned security systems such as sensors – in other have you been on the international market by their central banks and get their orders words, anything around banknotes. in recent years? direct. But then they are only allowed a Q: How many business units are there and small involvement in the international market A: As I said, there is no guarantee for what is their business? – something like 80% of their revenues euro work, but we are also free to seek A: Six. Basically all of them develop have to come from euro production. international work. digital solutions and products for secure We are not in that model. We are state In recent years, however, BDR has been digitalisation `Made in Germany'. The owned, but are one of two banknote undergoing a digital transformation – maybe product portfolio of the other units includes printers in Germany and aren’t automatically only half of the business units are actually topics like ID cards, ID management, digital awarded any contracts for Germany, or still making physical products. The rest data management, trust service products, any other euro contracts for that matter. of the business is focused on high tech, for example certificates and signature We have to tender – and the available work digital solutions and systems – for example services, and secure digital infrastructures. is from either the Bundesbank or JET (the security of servers, or data transfer and Q: How long has BDR been Joint Euro Tender), a joint purchasing group storage – whatever is needed by the state printing banknotes? in which a number of smaller countries or private companies. A: For a long time. We printed the first without their own printworks combine their Continued on page 8 > banknotes in 1879. And even before that, requirements, with the Dutch central bank we were printing other value documents. taking care of organising the tenders. We are more than 250 years old. Of course, in those days, it was the Kingdom of Prussia and not Germany as it is today. ON THE RECORD | VOLUME 17 – NO 10 | OCTOBER 2019 7
Historic Highs Bundesdruckerei (Continued) for Australian The point is that, during this transformation So – in addition to our ownership, security Banknotes process, the focus wasn’t on banknotes. and infrastructure – that is perhaps another My main task now, therefore, is to build of our USPs. up a team and make BDR more visible in In addition to the 450 researchers, we also In its 2018-19 Annual Report, the the international market, and in particular have an innovation department of around Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) looking not just a banknote printing 30-40 people which is trend screening demonstrated progress against itself, but offering a complete service to around the globe for all kinds of industries. all of its core responsibilities and central banks. Their focus includes all the activities that we key projects. and the other business units are involved in, Q: As you begin your quest for international The value of notes in circulation rose business, are there any particular parts of with so many opportunities where we can 6%, a slight fall to 4% as a proportion the world that you're going to focus on. learn from one another. of GDP, although still a historical high. Q: So if you've got all the bases covered A: We are flexible. It entirely depends on the At the end of June, there were 1.6 for actual banknote production, what more customers – who is tendering, who is giving billion banknotes in circulation, worth can you be doing? Data management and orders, launching a new family, doing a A$80 billion. The proportion of notes analytics is a current hot topic in currency – commemorative note etc. used as a store of value is believed to it sounds like this is an area and a strength be falling but is estimated to be 62.5% We are also very flexible in terms of our for BDR. of the total stock, with 25% used for partners in the banknote supply chain. We source what is needed by the customer as A: Certainly. If you look at one of the big legitimate transactions and 5% used in we are not bound to any particular supplier. demands from central banks and their the shadow economy. The balance is issuing departments, it’s big data. This, too, regarded as ‘lost’. Q: What sets you apart from other is a big topic at BDR – not necessarily in the There were 18,000 counterfeits, a rate banknote suppliers? value printing unit yet, but the technology of 11 parts per million, down 38% on A: As a future product and solution service and know-how can be transferred from 2017-18. The A$50 accounted for 59% to the central banks, we have some other business units that area already and the A$100 37% of the counterfeits. distinct USPs that will enable us to position dealing with this. A public perception survey showed that ourselves in this way. Again, that is key to BDR – we don’t work 60% of respondents did not think there For example, BDR belongs to the state. in silos. We stay focused on our respective was a counterfeiting problem. Also, Germany has a very robust economy areas but we work together to come up In October 2018 the A$50 New and is represented around the world. with common solutions. Generation Banknote Series (NGB) was This means that people have trust and Q: Another big topic at the moment in the released. It accounted for 8% of A$50 confidence in us and, in terms of security, industry is corporate social responsibility. Is notes by the end of June 2019, a slower are keen to buy products made in Germany. BDR taking the necessary steps to ensure take up than the A$5s and A$10s. The I would also say that, when customers you are good corporate citizens? A$50 makes up the highest volume visit BDR, they can look around and see of notes in circulation and is the main A: Very much so. Because we belong to what BDR offers additionally, particularly in ATM note. the state, we are very visible and there is terms of technology and our other business a really high risk of reputational damage if The new National Banknote Site (NBS) units. When you see the transformation the we don’t do things right. So there is really became fully operational in August company has undertaken, it shows we are a high level of responsibility and focus in 2018, allowing the closure of the much more than just a printer. We are really this area. Melbourne city centre storage facility into secure digital transformation, and this and the planned closure of storage at impacts banknotes because it shows what We are not yet accredited to BnEI, but we the Sydney Head Office at the end of kind of support and service we can offer will be. And we are also ISO-certified. So 2019. The NBS is a state-of-the-art beyond just banknote production. we already have many obligations to fulfil to purpose-built facility to store, process be ethical, correct and to act from a strong Q: But if we focus for the time being on and distribute notes. A$6.8 billion new moral perspective. This is very important for production, what level of vertical integration and A$1.7 billion recycled notes were the BDR management. and in-house capability do you have? issued and A$2.9 billion unfit notes The same can be said for the environment. returned to it. 100% of note orders were A: We don't have vertical integration when As a state-owned company, environmental delivered on the day requested. it comes to inks, substrates or foils. But laws affect us immediately and I would say we have our own patented pigment-based Note Printing Australia (NPA) that Germany is one of the countries in features for second or third level security Europe that is keen to be at the forefront NPA delivered 428 million notes to the for which we offer the whole package – the of this green movement. We are already RBA, up from 228 million in 2017-18, pigments, sensors, maintenance of these undergoing refurbishment to adapt to the earning it A$108 million compared with and data management. We produce these latest laws, and this could be a USP in A$82 million the previous year. ourselves. So whilst we have cooperation itself, although not necessarily a particularly In addition, NPA delivered 46 million partners, we aren’t just buying everything visible one. banknotes under contract to Papua in – we develop a lot ourselves. New Guinea, Singapore and the Q: How is your R&D organised? Solomon Islands in 2018/19, dealing A: We have a huge R&D department of directly with the respective central almost 450 people, which are in a support banks in those countries. function called Technology. BDR is very much a technology-driven company and that's a key advantage – particularly as what they have in mind or are developing can be adapted from other business units towards what we need. 8 CURRENCY NEWS | ON THE RECORD
MOTION SURFACE – When Micro is Nano The subject of the Banknote of the Month in the September issue of Currency News was the new Aruban florin series, the first circulating notes to feature Crane Currency’s MOTION® SURFACE® technology. It was 15 years ago that MOTION® first burst onto the scene, at the Optical Document Security conference in 2004, prompting the development of a whole new range of authentication features based on micro-optics. To mark this milestone, we take a closer look at this latest incarnation of the technology. When MOTION was first released in a circulating banknote, the Swedish 1000 kroner in 2006, its unique three- dimensional, motion effects both surprised and fascinated central bankers, banknote designers and the public at large. It also attracted the attention of physicists, not least because while the scientific principle (Moiré magnification) was not new, the application, material science and Creating this unique artwork takes hours At such a scale, the production tolerance engineering most certainly were. of computation using state-of-the-art between the lens and icon are critical; Today there are a number of banknote computer processing, which represents a the smallest misalignment will destroy the security features that use micro-optics, major improvement over Crane’s production effect and distortions must be limited to but in different ways from the MOTION of the first MOTION features. within nanometers. technology. And MOTION itself has not The addition of skilled software engineers In fact, the only technology currently remained a one effect, one product to Crane’s micro-optic technical design capable of accurately measuring distortion technology – we had the MOTION® team has produced proprietary software is the micro-optics themselves. Inside the RAPID® thread in 2014. And now MOTION that has speeded up the process by well Crane facility, measurement schemes using SURFACE, a stripe. over 100,000 times, allowing for more micro-optics have been developed that An important visual effect of MOTION intricate designs and effects and accurate allow artifacts smaller than 25 nanometers SURFACE is Topo, which produces a very renderings of the final product. Were Crane and distortions less than 10 nanometers to strong three dimensional effect. The name to use the same computational software be visible to the naked eye. Topo derives from the word topography, now to render MOTION SURFACE designs, These tight tolerances drove Crane to ie. the practice of describing relative the computer processing time would be develop customised production equipment position, elevation and contour of surface measured in months. capable of producing multiple layers of features. Producing its visual effects on a Today, by virtue of these advancements millions of individual micro-optic structures, security feature thin enough to be applied in algorithms and computing power, the while keeping everything precisely aligned to the surface of a banknote requires process is so controlled that it allows the and in specification to the original digital very specialized materials, equipment creator to fine tune every characteristic of rendering. This equipment is required to and know-how. an effect. It is possible to revise specific keep the angular alignment between the On a typical 10mm wide MOTION dimensions, shape, and magnification of lens and icon layers extremely tight (to SURFACE stripe, an array of over 3 the moving images. The strong 3D effect one sixtieth of a degree) while producing million lenses is aligned horizontally over and the curved images one sees in the hundreds of thousands of kilometres of 3 million icons, each of them subtly and final feature is a result of the combination material, and billions of precise optical uniquely altered to achieve the desired of expertise and equipment which enables microstructures per second. effect. The changes in the position of each every icon to be unique in its size and The results justify the investment because it icon are so small as to be unmeasurable shape from those around it, and to position enables visual effects that are bold and very by conventional means, but the three each precisely under each lens. easy to use despite their invisible complexity dimensional effect of Topo could not be Once the design of micro-optic icons produced without this tightly-managed are created and arrayed into position, array of iconography. this master artwork must be delivered to production. In a similar way that digital print files are delivered through the modern process of pre-press in security printing, the artwork for the MOTION icon and lens array is created using proprietary technology that ensures no distortions or inaccuracies are introduced into the process. TECHNOLOGY PROFILE | VOLUME 17 – NO 10 | OCTOBER 2019 9
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