Global Microscope 2020 - The role of financial inclusion in the Covid-19 response - IDB Invest
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GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 1 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response About this report The Global Microscope assesses the enabling • Mitul Thapliyal, Head of Digital Financial environment for financial inclusion across five Services – Government Social Impact, categories and 55 countries. Microsave This year, regulators and policymakers have • Gerardo Uña, Senior Economist, International faced a number of challenges as a result of Monetary Fund the economic crisis caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. In recognition of this, the Global The Microscope was originally developed for Microscope report focuses on the role that countries in the Latin America and Caribbean financial inclusion has played in the crisis region in 2007 and was expanded into a global response, and on the policies that have made study in 2009. Most of the research for this financial systems in 55 mid- and low-income report—which included interviews and desk countries more resilient and inclusive. analysis—was conducted between June and September 2020. We conducted a series of expert interviews to help shape the research and inform our findings This work was supported by funding from the and would like to thank the following individuals Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Center for for their time and insights: Financial Inclusion at Accion, IDB Invest and IDB • Sajib Azad, Digital Finance Knowledge and LAB. Research, Better Than Cash Alliance The complete index, as well as detailed country • Greta Bull, CEO, Consultative Group to Assist analysis, can be viewed on these websites: the Poor https://www.eiu.com/n/campaigns/ • Ghiyazuddin Mohammad, Senior Policy microscope2020 Manager – Digital Financial Services, Alliance www.eiu.com/microscope for Financial Inclusion https://idbinvest.org/en/publications • Anit Mukherjee, Policy Fellow, Center for https://www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org/ Global Development series/global-microscope • Pascual O’Dogherty, General Secretary, Please use the following when citing this report: Association of Banking Supervisors of the EIU (Economist Intelligence Unit), 2020; Global Americas Microscope 2020: The role of financial inclusion • Mikaela Rabb, Senior Policy Associate, The in the COVID-19 response; New York, NY. Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab For further information, please contact: • Manoj Kumar Sharma, Director, Microsave Microscope@eiu.com © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 2 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response About the Economist Intelligence Unit About IDB Lab The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) is IDB Lab is the innovation laboratory of the the research arm of The Economist Group, IDB Group, the leading source of development publisher of The Economist. As the world’s finance and know-how for improving lives in leading provider of country intelligence, it Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The helps governments, institutions and businesses purpose of IDB Lab is to drive innovation for by providing timely, reliable and impartial inclusion in the region, by mobilizing financing, analysis of economic and development knowledge, and connections to co-create strategies. Through its public policy practice, solutions capable of transforming the lives of The EIU provides evidence-based research vulnerable populations affected by economic, for policymakers and stakeholders seeking social or environmental factors. Since 1993 IDB measurable outcomes, in fields ranging from Lab has approved more than US$ 2 billion in gender and finance to energy and technology. projects deployed across 26 LAC countries, It conducts research through interviews, including over US$ 300 million to develop the regulatory analysis, quantitative modelling Venture Capital industry in the region. and forecasting, and displays the results via www.idblab.org interactive data visualisation tools. Through a About the Center for Financial Inclusion global network of more than 650 analysts and contributors, The EIU continuously assesses The Center for Financial Inclusion (CFI) works and forecasts political, economic and business to advance inclusive financial services for conditions in more than 200 countries. For more the billions of people who currently lack the information, visit www.eiu.com. financial tools needed to improve their lives and prosper. We leverage partnerships to conduct About IDB Invest rigorous research and test promising solutions, IDB Invest, a member of the IDB Group, is a and then advocate for evidence-based change. multilateral development bank committed CFI was founded by Accion in 2008; together to promoting the economic development of we are working to create a financially inclusive its member countries in Latin America and world. www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org the Caribbean through the private sector. @CFI_Accion IDB Invest finances sustainable companies About Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and projects to achieve financial results and maximize economic, social and environmental Guided by the belief that every life has equal development in the region. With a portfolio of value, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation works $13.1 billion in asset management and 385 clients to help all people lead healthy, productive lives. in 25 countries, IDB Invest provides innovative In developing countries, it focuses on improving financial solutions and advisory services that people’s health and giving them the chance meet the needs of its clients in a variety of to lift themselves out of hunger and extreme industries. poverty. In the United States, it seeks to ensure that all people—especially those with the fewest resources—have access to the opportunities they need to succeed in school and life. www.gatesfoundation.org. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 3 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Project teams Acknowledgements The following researchers, country analysts and The Economist Intelligence Unit specialists contributed to this report. We thank Monica Ballesteros, Project Manager: them for their contributions: monicaballesteros@eiu.com Shubha Bharadwaj, Research Analyst: Country analysis: Ayesha Khan, Research Analyst Diane Alarcon, Stephen Allen, Amila Desaram, Jennifer Wells, Marketing Executive: Waqas Rana, Jamie Hitchen, Meryem Kabbaj, jenniferwells@eiu.com; Bernard Kennedy, MANAUS Consulting (Tamar +44(2)7 576 8224 Benzaken Koosed, Bryn Philibert, Ana Philibert, Joel Levesque), Susana Martinez, MicroCredit Ratings International Ltd. (M-CRIL) (Sanjay Sinha, Sana Zehra, Gaurav Prateek, Shayandeep Chakraborty, Abhinav Soni, Paritosh Singh, Sahib Sharma and Krishna Raj Pandey), Andras Radnoti, David Ramirez, Nick Wolf. We also thank Maria Jose Baqueiro from the Association of Supervisors of Banks of the Americas (ASBA) for facilitating the questionnaire to regulators in Latin America and the Caribbean. Model and report production: Mike Kenny, Emma Ruckley, William Shallcross, Nick Wolf. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 4 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Contents About this report 1 Executive summary 5 Digital infrastructure investments pay off 5 Digital IDs can facilitate verification for cash transfers, but better data integration is 5 needed to target beneficiary populations Digital channels are here to stay 6 Non-banks face major disruptions, affecting financial service availability for the poor 6 Financial authorities should adapt to protect consumers from emerging risks 6 Introduction 7 Key findings 10 Digital infrastructure investments pay off 10 Digital IDs can facilitate verification for cash transfers, but better data integration is 13 needed to target beneficiary populations Digital channels are here to stay 16 Non-banks are facing disruptions that could decrease the availability of financial services 17 for the poor Financial authorities should adapt to protect consumers from emerging risks 20 Regional findings and country summaries 22 Asia and Eastern Europe 22 Latin America and the Caribbean 37 Middle East and Africa 59 Methodology and overall rankings 80 Appendix 1: Detailed scoring guidelines 83 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 5 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Executive summary The global health crisis provoked by the transfers, 28 leveraged digital infrastructures COVID-19 pandemic shuttered large parts of to distribute payments via financial or mobile the global economy as governments around money accounts. Of the 20 countries with the the world imposed lockdowns to mitigate the highest scores in the Microscope’s Infrastructure spread of the virus. The economic consequences domain, all but one implemented an emergency of the lockdowns have affected the poor cash programme. These include low-income disproportionately. Early in the crisis, central countries such as Kenya that have invested bankers recognised the need to establish in building payments, identification and and strengthen inclusive financial channels connectivity infrastructure prior to the pandemic. in order to let liquidity flow quickly down the These interventions will likely have positive and “last mile” and ease the suffering of the most long-lasting effects on financial inclusion. vulnerable. The crisis put financial inclusion at the centre of governments’ priorities as they Digital IDs can facilitate verification tried to reach those who were most affected for cash transfers, but better data by the lockdowns. Rebuilding economies will integration is needed to target require more than preserving powerful global beneficiary populations and national players; small businesses will need Fifty of the 55 countries in the 2020 Global to be saved, and employment will need to be Microscope have a national ID system that is at ensured for workers in both the informal and least partially digitised. Digital identification can formal sector. Recovery needs to reach the most help to facilitate the delivery of social assistance vulnerable and proceed from there. cash transfers, but it cannot ensure that such The 2020 Global Microscope explores the role that benefits reach all who are eligible. Social financial inclusion has played in policymakers’ protection programmes rely on the ability to crisis response, providing data on how the 55 target specific populations based on income and countries included in the index have leveraged other characteristics. In a number of countries, their financial infrastructures to support cash transfer programmes have targeted vulnerable individuals, small businesses and the workers from the informal sector who were not financial providers that serve poor households. registered in tax and social security databases or government protection programmes. Digital infrastructure investments Governments have used a variety of methods pay off to find and target beneficiaries, including using digital tools to allow eligible households to Of the 55 countries included in the 2020 Global self-register for benefits. However, by relying Microscope, 44 implemented cash transfers to on digital channels, governments risk excluding support vulnerable segments of the population. millions of women, who have lower levels of In countries where the financial sector had access to mobile phones and digital IDs and are already invested in digital financial infrastructure, among the most vulnerable segments of the policymakers were able to use digital distribution population. channels to pay funds to beneficiaries in need. Of the 44 countries that implemented cash © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 6 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Digital channels are here to stay that support provided by those regulators does not reach some of the institutions that serve Proportional customer due diligence and the the most vulnerable communities. Regulatory approval of electronic Know Your Customer frameworks and supervisory authorities (e-KYC) methods are essential for creating an differ based on the level of risk that financial inclusive digital financial system. While the 2020 institutions pose to the financial system. Global Microscope shows that more than half However, during this crisis it has become clear of the countries included in the index have not that the collapse of microfinance and non- formally implemented e-KYC methods, some bank financial institutions represents a social countries have made changes in response to the risk that financial authorities should take into COVID-19 pandemic. For example, 11 countries consideration. In order to provide effective in the Microscope relaxed due diligence support to microfinance institutions and other requirements or allowed remote account institutions that promote financial inclusion, opening during the pandemic. An analysis by regulators must be in close contact with the Glenbrook attributes the opening of 60m new sector, must possess and analyse the necessary accounts globally to countries with pre-existing data to understand these institutions’ portfolios, enabling environments and those that quickly and must then act accordingly. adapted their rules.1 Financial authorities should adapt to Non-banks face major disruptions, protect consumers from emerging affecting financial service availability risks for the poor Cases of financial fraud have increased as bad Economic shutdowns have upended business actors seek to take advantage of pandemic- models for many financial institutions that related uncertainty, as well as changes in target the poor. Their primary clients are consumer behaviour, such as the shift to digital among the most affected by the health and banking.2 Governments and financial institutions economic crises, and their high-touch business will have to work together to address these methods have had to either halt or adapt challenges and foster a sense of trust among to increased physical distancing and stay- new entrants to the financial system. The at-home requirements. Non-deposit-taking introduction of comprehensive data privacy and institutions, especially small and medium-sized cybercrime protections should remain a priority institutions, are usually not supervised by the for governments that promote the increased use same regulators as banks, which may mean of digital financial services. 2 https://www.globenewswire.com/news- 1 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/ release/2020/06/24/2052648/0/en/As-More-Transactions-Shift- submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20 Online-During-Pandemic-the-Financial-Services-Industry- COVID-19_20200718.pdf Experiences-a-Surge-in-Fraudulent-Activity.html © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 7 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Introduction The global health crisis provoked by the other financial tools to even out the shocks COVID-19 pandemic shuttered large parts of and persevere down the path to a new normal. the global economy as governments around For those who are disconnected from the the world imposed lockdowns to mitigate the financial system and lack access to such tools, spread of the virus. The economic consequences the way forward could be decidedly bleak. The of these lockdowns have affected the poor 2020 Global Microscope explores the role that disproportionately. According to the World financial inclusion has played in policymakers’ Bank, the COVID-19 pandemic could push up crisis response, providing data on how the 55 to 100m people into extreme poverty. Almost countries included in the index have leveraged half of the projected new poor will be in South their financial infrastructures to support Asia, and more than one-third will be in Sub- vulnerable individuals, small businesses and the Saharan Africa. Unemployment has spiked, and financial providers that serve poor households. billions of workers in the informal economy are The Global Microscope data assesses the struggling to earn a living.3 Estimates from the enabling environment for financial inclusion first month of the crisis showed incomes for across five dimensions 1) Government and Policy informal workers dropping by an average of 81% support, 2) Stability and integrity regulation, 3) in Africa and the Americas.4 Products and outlets regulation, 4) Consumer As businesses around the world found protection, and 5) Infrastructure. themselves unable to trade and individuals This year, many of the efforts made by found themselves unable to work, they sought regulators and policymakers to contain the savings, credit, government assistance and Government Stability and Products and Consumer Infrastructure and Policy Integrity Outlets Protection 1. Market entry 1. E-money and 1. Financial services 1. Payments 1. National strategies requirements simplified accounts users infrastructure 2. Financial and 2. Operational 2. Credit 2. Insurance users 2. Connectivity digital literacy requirements 3. Government 3. Customer due 3. Emerging services 3. Data protection 3. Digital IDs digitisation diligence 4. Supervisory 4. Inclusive insurance 4. Credit information capacity 5. Cybersecurity 5. Financial outlets 3 https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/ WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm 4 https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/ WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 8 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response COVID-19 crisis were not necessarily captured from funders.6 While survey data from the by laws and regulations. For this reason, Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP) the Microscope team conducted additional allayed some of the early concerns about interviews with key experts and analysed a liquidity crisis among institutions in the secondary sources to understand how financial sector, there may be a solvency challenge on authorities were responding to the crisis. the horizon as repayment freezes expire and Our findings are summarized in the country institutions determine which loans will be repaid summaries below. The rest of the report and which could end up in default.7 In markets highlights some of the policy responses and with different regulations for microfinance, existing regulations and infrastructures that regulators may need to acknowledge the role facilitated the financial authorities’ response to of these providers in aiding the recovery of low- the current crisis. income clients and provide support to ensure that they can fulfil this responsibility.8 Early in the crisis, central bankers recognised the need to establish and strengthen inclusive Mobile money providers and particularly financial channels in order to let liquidity flow the cash-in cash-out (CICO) agent networks quickly down the “last mile” and ease the that support them also saw dramatic drops suffering of the most vulnerable.5 The crisis put in revenue as a result of lockdown measures. financial inclusion at the centre of governments’ In several countries CICO agents were not priorities as they tried to reach those who were considered essential services despite their most affected by the lockdowns. Rebuilding crucial role in distributing government economies will require more than preserving payments and providing financial services to powerful global and national players; small the most vulnerable populations. Furthermore, businesses will need to be saved, and the reduction of transactions fees and decline employment will need to be ensured for workers in transaction amounts threaten the long term in both the informal and formal sector. Recovery viability of agent networks’ business model. needs to reach the most vulnerable and proceed Financial inclusion strengthens resilience from there. and enables low-income individuals to take An important component of this effort is advantage of productive opportunities; these ensuring that institutions that serve the benefits are in jeopardy if financial services poor have the tools to survive the crisis. As providers (FSPs) that target these communities we conducted research for the 2020 Global collapse. FSPs have supported their clients Microscope, microfinance institutions (MFIs), during the COVID-19 pandemic with loan mobile payment services and agent networks forbearance and fee readuction both voluntary were all facing an extremely challenging and imposed by regulators. These institutions business environment. Economic lockdowns, are in need of government support. falling income among clients and moratoria To remain in business, FSPs need access to on payments have halted MFIs’ income liquidity facilities similar to those provided from loan repayments. At the same time, economic uncertainty and questions about the 6 https://www.coronavirusandtheeconomy.com/question/how- future viability of their business model have will-coronavirus-change-global-microfinance-industry limited MFIs’ access to capital and liquidity 7 https://www.cgap.org/blog/there-liquidity-crisis-among-mfis- and-if-so-where 8 https://www.cgap.org/research/publication/microfinance-and- 5 https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp200330.htm covid-19-framework-regulatory-response © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 9 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response by central banks to much larger institutions, which are generally under distinct regulatory regimes. Governments and regulators should provide such support to institutions that are well managed but find themselves in trouble as a result of the pandemic. After all, these institutions provide essential financial channels that governments can use to support vulnerable populations during this crisis. Even in economies where digital payment services reach large portions of the population, agent networks and institutions can play a significant role in providing cash-in/cash-out points so that individuals can convert digital funds and use them however they need. © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 10 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Key findings Digital infrastructure investments digital financial infrastructure, policymakers pay off were able to use digital distribution channels to pay funds to beneficiaries in need. During the As economies slowed under lockdowns COVID-19 pandemic, these channels provide the and individuals experienced a sudden loss added benefit of supporting physical distancing of income, those without savings quickly requirements by removing the need for large found themselves in need of support. Of groups to gather to receive cash distributions. the 55 countries included in the 2020 Global Of the 44 countries that implemented cash Microscope, 44 had implemented cash transfers, 28 leveraged digital infrastructures transfers to support vulnerable segments of to distribute payments via financial or mobile the population by the time of publication (see money accounts. Figure 1).9 While the amounts, durations and eligibility requirements of these cash transfers In Chile, for example, the government channelled varied widely among countries, the need to funds through a basic ID-linked account respond quickly did not. In countries where (CuentaRUT), which covers most low-income the financial sector had already invested in people in the country.10 In Russia, benefits were Figure 1 Emergency cash transfers in response to the COVID-19 pandemic Cash transfers delivered primarily in cash Cash transfers delivered primarily to an account Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit 10 https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/responding-crisis-digital- payments-social-protection-short-term-measures-long-term- 9 https://www.ugogentilini.net/?p=1004 benefits © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 11 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response transferred through the government’s national In Colombia, a new cash transfer programme for payment system, Mir, established by the Central households that were not previously covered by Bank of Russia. In Madagascar, funds were social protection cash transfers reached 2.6m distributed through Paositra Money, the post households and opened 1m new digital wallet office’s mobile money service. and mobile phone payment service accounts in order to distribute the funds.16 In addition, the Digital transfers ensure that social assistance government notified 3m individuals via SMS can be distributed quickly, securely and without that assistance funds were available while the leakage. While conditions vary from country to country was locked down.17 Pakistan leveraged country, the Centre for Global Development previous investments in digital infrastructure for (CGD) noted that digital infrastructure—which social protection payments to implement a fully includes high levels of access to identification, digital system of COVID-19 assistance payments, mobile phones and financial accounts—enabled delivered to 16.9m households in just ten days.18 governments to deliver COVID-19 cash transfers Jordan combined an existing social protection efficiently and quickly.11 beneficiary database with tools to remotely Digital infrastructures have allowed contact and enrol individuals in COVID-19 governments to identify, register and cash transfer programmes, quickly reaching mobilise funds on a massive scale. In Brazil, out to 200,000 individuals to confirm if they the government’s aid for informal workers, had a mobile wallet, and provided extensive microentrepreneurs, the self-employed and the communications to deliver information on unemployed reached around 67m individuals, creating one if they did not.19, 20 starting in April 2020. A public bank opened In countries where digital payment digital savings accounts for individuals who did infrastructure is still at an early stage, not already have one so that they could receive governments can support its development the benefit, creating 25m new financial accounts in three ways.21 First, they can invest in digital as part of the programme. Beneficiaries have infrastructure such as connectivity for citizens, used around 40% of the funds to make digital digital identification, and interoperable financial payments to utilities and businesses, and for management systems. Second, governments Internet purchases, demonstrating increased can facilitate enabling policies, such as ensuring adoption of digital finance among a previously a robust data privacy regime, enforcing unbanked population.12 Thailand’s government cybersecurity protections, and providing fair and targeted around 24m individuals via digital non-discriminatory access to payment systems. cash transfers, leveraging its payment platform, The 2020 Global Microscope demonstrates that PromptPay.13, 14 PromptPay enables recipients to easily receive and transfer funds using their 16 https://www.cgdev.org/publication/covid-19-colombia-impact- citizen ID or mobile phone number instead of a and-policy-responses bank account number, via electronic channels.15 17 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/ submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20 COVID-19_20200718.pdf 11 https://www.cgdev.org/blog/covid-19-how-countries-can-use- 18 https://www.app.com.pk/global/ehsaas-emergency-cash- digital-payments-better-quicker-cash-transfers programme-covering-around-109-million-people-sania-nishtar/ 12 Central Bank of Brazil 19 https://blogs.unicef.org/evidence-for-action/how-responding- 13 https://thepattayanews.com/2020/03/25/thai-government-set- to-the-syrian-humanitarian-crisis-helped-jordan-support-its- to-hand-out-5000-baht-a-month-to-informal-workers-to-help- population-during-covid-19/ them-after-the-covid-19-coronavirus-crisis/ 20 https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2020/06/25/ 14 https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30385559?utm_ us374-million-to-provide-cash-assistance-to-poor-and- source=homepage&utm_medium=internal_referral vulnerable-households-in-jordan 15 bangkokbank.com/en/personal/digital-banking/promptpay 21 Interview Ghiyazuddin Mohammad © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 12 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response such investments are necessary: only 22 of the Many countries lack sufficient connectivity to 55 countries in this year’s index comprehensively rely exclusively on digital solutions for social protect individuals’ financial data, even fewer assistance payments. Increasing their applicability (18 of 55) have an entity with strong capacity will require solutions for feature phones and to enforce data protection, and 24 countries smartphones, as well as the provision of training still need to open up at least one category of to beneficiaries, especially populations such payment system to fair and non-discriminatory as older adults and/or women who may have commercial access for all market participants. previously lacked access to these technologies. Lastly, governments can create demand by Regulators and institutions should avoid prioritising these channels in their cash transfer unnecessarily limiting the functionality of these programmes. digital payment accounts in order to improve the value proposition for users. For example, the Figure 2 . Top performers in 2020 in the Infrastructure domain Rank / 55 Δ Country 2018 2019 2020 Δ =1 ←→ Argentina 82 83 82 -1 =1 ←→ Peru 77 83 82 -1 3 ←→ Uruguay 78 81 81 0 4 ▲ 13 Thailand 71 69 80 +11 5 ▲3 Brazil 67 72 78 +6 6 ▼2 Colombia 74 78 76 -2 7 ▼2 Mexico 74 75 75 0 =8 ▼1 Chile 80 74 74 0 =8 ▲4 China 65 71 74 +3 =8 ▼3 Costa Rica 63 75 74 -1 =8 ▲ 14 Russia 66 65 74 +9 =8 ←→ South Africa 72 72 74 +2 13 ▼1 Indonesia 71 71 73 +2 =14 ▼6 El Salvador 64 72 72 0 =14 ▼6 Panama 67 72 72 0 16 ▲3 Ecuador 59 67 71 +4 17 ▼5 Kenya 62 71 70 -1 18 ▼3 Bolivia 70 70 69 -1 =19 ▼1 Dominican Republic 66 68 68 0 =19 ▲6 India 61 63 68 +5 =19 ▲6 Rwanda 62 63 68 +5 Score is the weighted average of the following indicator scores: 5.1 Payments infrastructure; 5.2 Digital IDs; 5.3 Connectivity; 5.4 Credit information and other data-sharing systems © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 13 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Figure 3 Correlation between Microscope’s Infrastructure score and Findex’s Account (% Age 15+) Correlation Co-efficient (r) All countries 0.42 100 90 80 70 60 50 Accounts (% Age 15+) 40 30 20 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Infrastructure Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit accounts could link to savings and credit products Digital IDs can facilitate verification and provide a means of paying utility bills. for cash transfers, but better data Of the 20 countries with the highest scores integration is needed to target in the Microscope’s Infrastructure domain, beneficiary populations all but one implemented an emergency cash As governments have rolled out financial programme, and 14 of these countries leveraged support programmes in response to the their digital infrastructures to distribute COVID-19 pandemic, some have found it payments via financial and mobile money challenging to properly identify beneficiary accounts. These include low- income countries populations. Providing identification for all such as Kenya that have invested in building individuals is a vital support for increasing payments prior to the pandemic. (See Figure 2) financial inclusion and improving access These interventions will likely have positive to financial services. Foundational identity and long-lasting effects on financial inclusion. programmes can also foster social inclusion, The scores in the Infrastructure domain are enabling individuals to use a unique ID for the inputs with the strongest correlation to multiple purposes including enrolling in school, account ownership data from the World Bank’s accessing healthcare and voting. 2017 Global Financial Inclusion (Global Findex) Fifty of the 55 countries in the 2020 Global Database.(See Figure 3) Microscope already have a national ID system © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 14 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response that is at least partially digitised (see Figure 2). banks. Sierra Leone’s new e-KYC system should However, access to identification is not universal be fully implemented by the end of 2020 and in many Microscope countries, and more uses blockchain technology to reach the 20% than half of the countries have not approved of adults who are financially excluded based electronic Know Your Customer (e-KYC) on a lack of proper identification. The country schemes that facilitate remote and digital has built on lessons learned during its Ebola account opening. virus epidemic in 2015 and is working towards universal identification, which facilitates The 2020 Microscope found that eight countries financial inclusion but also assists with contact have started offering e-KYC options since 2019. tracing, providing and tracking healthcare, and Brazil’s central bank has developed an open targeting payments to healthcare workers and data portal to simplify KYC for remotely opening patients.22 digital accounts, even in the absence of a national e-ID system. In Russia, a private firm is In addition to facilitating alternative channels authorised to provide e-KYC services to banks, for financial inclusion and account opening, and the government is developing its own universal digital identification is important for solution that categorises customers into three ensuring that social protection programmes levels of risk. In 2020 Thailand approved the use are secure and properly targeted and can avoid of facial recognition technology for opening payment errors. Digital identification can help online deposit accounts at six commercial to facilitate the delivery of social assistance Figure 4 National ID systems with digital applications Infrastructure → Digital IDs Scored 0-100 where 100+best environment for financial inclusion Score 75+ Score 50-74 Score 25-49 Score 0-24 100 80 60 40 20 0 ARGENTINA BANGLADESH BOLIVIA BRAZIL CAMBODIA CAMEROON CHILE CHINA COLOMBIA COSTA RICA CÔTE D'IVOIRE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC ECUADOR EGYPT EL SALVADOR GHANA GUATEMALA HAITI HONDURAS INDIA INDONESIA JAMAICA JORDAN KENYA LEBANON MEXICO MOROCCO MOZAMBIQUE NEPAL NICARAGUA NIGERIA PAKISTAN PANAMA PARAGUAY PERU RUSSIA RWANDA SENEGAL SIERRA LEONE SOUTH AFRICA SRI LANKA TANZANIA THAILAND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO TUNISIA TURKEY UGANDA URUGUAY VENEZUELA VIETNAM ETHIOPIA MADAGASCAR MYANMAR DRC PHILIPPINES 22 https://blogs.worldbank.org/digital-development/tracking-down- ebola-biometrics-and-digital-identity © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 15 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response cash transfers, especially in the context of WhatsApp or websites.23 According to a CGD physically distanced interactions during the report, South Africa received 13m applications, COVID-19 pandemic. However, it cannot ensure of which around 6m were deemed to be valid. In that such benefits reach all who are eligible. Pakistan, the Ehsaas programme received 146m Social protection programmes rely on the SMS requests for assistance, of which 48m were ability to target specific populations based on unique claimants.24 income and other characteristics. This can be One of the main risks of relying on digital an intensive process at the best of times and is channels to register and identify participants particularly complex when numerous individuals for cash transfer programmes is the pervasive and families need social assistance for the gender gap in access to mobile phones (see first time. Digital ID systems can facilitate this Figure 3) and IDs. On average, the gender gap process when it is integrated with other systems, in access to mobile phones in Microscope including social registries, SIM registration, and countries is 7 percentage points. The gender gap utility and tax databases. in access to identification in these countries is In many cases, individuals who became newly also 7 percentage points. These gaps threaten to unemployed during the COVID-19 pandemic exclude some of the most vulnerable segments were workers in the informal sector who of the population from emergency relief were not registered in tax and social security transfers. Low-income populations face severe databases, and potentially not even in social risks as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, protection programmes. In a number of and these risks are exacerbated for women. countries, cash transfer programmes targeted Women’s employment is disproportionately workers from the informal sector, reaching 79% in the informal sector, and the lack of social of the entire population in the Philippines, 75% protection for workers in this sector has in El Salvador, 38% in Chile and 31% in Tunisia. already affected women’s ability to support Governments have used a variety of methods to their families. Some countries have adopted find and target these beneficiaries. In Morocco, strategies to ensure that emergency relief is cash transfers reached 3m informal-sector reaching women. Peru, for example, delivers workers by using the health-sector database for stimulus checks to the woman in the household targeting purposes. In Guatemala, authorities by default.25 have targeted individuals using public utility bills that document low levels of consumption. Colombia used a tax database to identify vulnerable workers in the informal sector; its cash transfers have reached 10.5m informal- sector workers, or 21% of the population. Some countries took advantage of the strong incentives for individuals to self-register for 23 https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/digital-technology- benefits. South Africa, Pakistan and Brazil, for social-assistance-transfers-covid-19-relief-lessons-selected-cases. pdf example, launched multimedia campaigns 24 https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/digital-technology- inviting digital applications for emergency social-assistance-transfers-covid-19-relief-lessons-selected-cases. pdf relief, to be made through mobile phones, 25 http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/ en/378931596643390083/pdf/Digital-Cash-Transfers-in-Times- of-COVID-19-Opportunities-and-Considerations-for-Womens- Inclusion-and-Empowerment.pdf © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 16 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Digital channels are here to stay States, which includes Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal and six other countries, enabled remote account As physical distancing becomes the norm, onboarding in 2020 for first- and second-tier fuelling a desire to avoid crowds, long lines and e-money accounts under special COVID-19 rules, enclosed indoor spaces, financial institutions facilitating the opening of 5.8m accounts in April, have increased their efforts to promote digital compared with 1.8m in March.29 channels and remote banking. Expanding service channels and moving them closer to excluded Being able to open a new account is an customers, whether physically or virtually, important step towards increasing financial has long been a strategy to increase financial inclusion, but real inclusion can only be inclusion. However, even in countries where achieved when users find value in using the digital channels had been established prior to the accounts in the long term. Governments and pandemic, some activities still required a visit to a financial service have worked together to branch. That is now changing. encourage digital transactions and increase the use cases for their accounts. During Proportional KYC requirements and approval the COVID-19 pandemic, 11 countries in for e-KYC methods are essential for creating an the Microscope reduced transaction fees inclusive digital financial system. While the 2020 for accounts and five countries increased Global Microscope shows that more than half transaction limits, potentially enhancing the of the countries included in the index have not value proposition for clients. In Kenya, for formally implemented e-KYC methods, some example, M-PESA (the country’s most popular countries have made changes in response to the mobile money system) waived transaction fees COVID-19 pandemic. For example, 11 countries in for 90 days and increased transaction limits the Microscope have relaxed KYC requirements in co-ordination with authorities.30 Banking or allowed remote account opening during regulators also waived fees for transfers the pandemic (see Figure 4). One analysis between bank accounts and mobile wallets.31 attributes the opening of 60m new accounts After this measure was adopted, the central globally to countries with pre-existing enabling bank reported a 10% increase in the number of environments and those that quickly adapted daily transactions.32 In Rwanda, the government their rules.26 Colombia’s Specialised Deposit eliminated charges on all mobile money and Payment Companies were authorised in transfers, as well as merchant fees on payments 2015, and in early 2020 regulators allowed the for all contactless point-of-sale (via mobile) lowest tier account that can be used to receive transactions. By late April users were making social benefits to be opened remotely.27 In 3m transactions a week—five times the pre- Brazil and Chile, where assistance payments pandemic norm.33 In the Philippines, e-money are made via state-owned banks, beneficiaries transfer services waived their user fees for the can open accounts with just a national ID number.28 The Central Bank of West African 29 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/ submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20 COVID-19_20200718.pdf 26 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/ submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20 30 https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/35475/covid-19-m-pesa- COVID-19_20200718.pdf waives-fees-to-discourage-cash-usage 27 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/ 31 https://home.kpmg/xx/en/home/insights/2020/04/kenya- submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20 government-and-institution-measures-in-response-to-covid.html COVID-19_20200718.pdf 32 https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/05/28/ 28 https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/covid19-special- the-covid-19-crisis-is-boosting-mobile-money notes/en-special-series-on-covid-19-digital-solutions-for-direct- 33 https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/05/28/ cash-transfers-in-emergencies.ashx the-covid-19-crisis-is-boosting-mobile-money © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 17 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Figure 5 Gender gap in mobile subscribers Map shows 2020 country scores classified by score Score 75+ Score 50-74 Score 25-49 Score 0-24 Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit duration of the quarantine, and the central bank models for many financial institutions that suspended licencing and registration fees for serve the poor. Their primary clients are such services “to encourage financial institutions among the most affected by the health and to actively offer safe, efficient and reliable digital economic crises, and their high-touch business channels”.34 methods have had to either halt or adapt to increased physical distancing and stay-at-home Non-banks face major disruptions, requirements. affecting financial service availability Twenty-three Microscope countries created for the poor liquidity facilities that provide support to large Governments around the world have provided financial institutions to contain systemic risks in support to individuals, prioritising low-income the financial sector. However, efforts to protect households and individuals in the informal financial institutions that serve the poor (agents, economy who are most affected by the drop MFIs, mobile money providers and others) have in economic activity caused by the COVID-19 varied, highlighting differences in regulatory pandemic. However, the financial institutions regimes for non-bank financial institutions, as that serve these populations also need support. well as a lack of visibility into their portfolios. As in other sectors throughout the economy, While bank branches and ATMs were economic shutdowns have upended business considered essential services during lockdowns, 34 https://business.inquirer.net/295959/bsp-waives-fees-for-new-e- several cash-in, cash-out (CICO) agents were payment-services-as-people-shift-to-digital-transactions © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 18 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Figure 6 Remote account opening by banks, non-banks, e-money issuers and agents Products and Outlets → Accounts at financial institutions and e-money 3.1.3) Remote account opening, 2020 scores by country Score 75+ Score 50-74 Score 25-49 Score 0-24 Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion 100 80 60 40 20 0 ARGENTINA BOLIVIA BRAZIL CAMBODIA CHINA CÔTE D'IVOIRE ECUADOR EL SALVADOR GHANA KENYA MEXICO PARAGUAY PERU PHILIPPINES RWANDA TANZANIA THAILAND TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO URUGUAY CAMEROON CHILE COLOMBIA COSTA RICA GUATEMALA HAITI HONDURAS INDIA INDONESIA JAMAICA LEBANON MOROCCO NIGERIA PAKISTAN PANAMA TUNISIA TURKEY UGANDA BANGLADESH DOMINICAN REPUBLIC DRC EGYPT ETHIOPIA JORDAN MADAGASCAR MOZAMBIQUE MYANMAR NEPAL NICARAGUA RUSSIA SENEGAL SIERRA LEONE SOUTH AFRICA SRI LANKA VENEZUELA VIETNAM considered non-essential businesses. This viable during the crisis. In India, the government created confusion in countries like Colombia is offering temporary subsidies to rural agents and Kenya, where non-dedicated CICO agents to offset some of these loses. In Kenya, agents were not allowed to operate during lockdowns.35 have a tiered fee structure that offers higher Even in countries where CICO agents were incentives to rural agents for distributing allowed to operate, many saw their revenues government payments.38 In Nigeria, the central fall due to the economic slowdown. In Uganda bank established the Shared Agent Network and Kenya, agents witnessed a 40% drop in the Expansion Facility, which provides financing number of clients and the value of transactions to licence super agents and mobile money in the first months of the pandemic.36 operators to expand their networks.39 Mobile money providers had to bear the costs MFIs are also facing challenges. Governments of operating agent networks with below-normal in 21 Microscope countries have imposed activity while also waiving cash-out fees, which moratoria on repayments, and 27 countries have represent 70% of their revenue.37 Agents were encouraged financial providers to restructure also asked to disburse COVID-19 government payments. To help institutions through this payments using fee levels that were no longer period, 23 countries created liquidity facilities for banks, but only 11 included MFIs in these 35 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19- response-need-support 38 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19- 36 https://www.microsave.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/200710- response-need-support Uganda-CICO-report-Final-edited-version.pdf 39 https://www.afi-global.org/publications/3496/Regional-Policy- 37 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19- Framework-To-Strengthen-Agent-Networks-For-Digital- response-need-support Financial-Services-DFS © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 19 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Figure 7 Market monitoring for market providers that are not regulated as financial institutions Stability and integrity → Supervisory capacity 2.4.6) Market monitoring, 2020 scores by country Score 75+ Score 50-74 Score 25-49 Score 0-24 Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion 100 80 60 40 20 0 ARGENTINA COLOMBIA INDONESIA MYANMAR PERU PHILIPPINES RUSSIA SENEGAL SOUTH AFRICA TANZANIA THAILAND URUGUAY BOLIVIA CAMBODIA CHILE CHINA ECUADOR EGYPT EL SALVADOR ETHIOPIA GHANA GUATEMALA HONDURAS INDIA JAMAICA JORDAN KENYA LEBANON MADAGASCAR MEXICO NICARAGUA PANAMA RWANDA TURKEY UGANDA VIETNAM BANGLADESH BRAZIL CAMEROON COSTA RICA CÔTE D'IVOIRE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC DRC HAITI MOROCCO MOZAMBIQUE NEPAL NIGERIA PAKISTAN PARAGUAY SIERRA LEONE SRI LANKA TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO TUNISIA VENEZUELA facilities or mandated banks to extend liquidity for the eventual economic reopening and to MFIs. In many cases, MFIs—especially recovery. small and medium-sized institutions—are not Regulatory frameworks and supervisory supervised by the same regulators as banks, authorities differ based on the level of risk which may mean that the support provided that financial institutions pose to the financial by regulators does not reach some of the system. However, during this crisis it has institutions that serve the most vulnerable become clear that the collapse of microfinance communities. and non-bank financial institutions represents According to survey data from CGAP, 75% of a social risk, given that they serve over 140m MFIs reduced the amount of money they loaned low-income customers worldwide.41 A survey out as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, on responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in and for two-thirds this reduction represented Pakistan revealed that banks, non-banks, MFIs more than half of what they would normally be and larger institutions all want a more uniform lending.40 This reduced the amount of credit regulatory environment; one side wants access available to the poorest in the economy, as well to the support facilities provided to larger, more as the income that small and medium-sized regulated institutions, and the other side is institutions rely on to sustain their operations. concerned about the more lenient regulation of Governments need these institutions to remain smaller, non-bank financial institutions.42 operational in order to direct financial firepower 41 https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/08/15/covid-19-is- causing-a-microcredit-crunch 40 https://www.cgap.org/blog/there-liquidity-crisis-among-mfis- 42 https://www.financialaccess.org/assets/publications/2020/ and-if-so-where Covid19-MFIs.pdf © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 20 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response Figure 8 Cybercrime legal protection Consumer protection → Data privacy and cymercrime protection 4.3.2) Cybercrime legal protection, 2020 scores by country Score 75+ Score 50-74 Score 25-49 Score 0-24 Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion 100 80 60 40 20 0 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC KENYA TANZANIA TURKEY RUSSIA PHILIPPINES INDONESIA EGYPT NIGERIA THAILAND SENEGAL BRAZIL CAMEROON MEXICO PARAGUAY JAMAICA CÔTE D'IVOIRE PAKISTAN TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO COLOMBIA CHILE ARGENTINA PANAMA MOROCCO CHINA INDIA SOUTH AFRICA SRI LANKA UGANDA PERU RWANDA GHANA BOLIVIA VIETNAM TUNISIA BANGLADESH ECUADOR JORDAN EL SALVADOR VENEZUELA MADAGASCAR NICARAGUA COSTA RICA GUATEMALA NEPAL HONDURAS CAMBODIA ETHIOPIA MYANMAR MOZAMBIQUE URUGUAY SIERRA LEONE DRC HAITI LEBANON In order to provide effective support to MFIs to implement such assistance is often lacking. and other institutions that promote financial Just 12 of the 55 countries in the Microscope inclusion, regulators must be in close contact have dedicated technical experts with advanced with the sector, must possess and analyse the capacity to supervise non-bank financial necessary data to understand these institutions’ institutions, and most countries could do portfolios, and must then act accordingly. In more to understand and support the sector. Peru, regulators’ knowledge of the sector and Furthermore, 43 of the 55 countries in the 2020 access to extensive data enabled them to act, Microscope do not regularly monitor providers providing liquidity to MFIs and reducing their that are not regulated as financial institutions supervisory burden during the pandemic, but provide financial services that could affect while also ensuring that clients received debt the broader financial system (see Figure 5). relief.43 In India, the government’s relief package channelled support for MFIs and non-bank Financial authorities should adapt to financial institutions through banks and protect consumers from emerging provided incentives to push banks to on-lend risks the funds received.44 The growth of digital financial services and Unfortunately, the 2020 Global Microscope mounting economic pressures have created new shows that the regulatory experience necessary risks for financial service users. Cases of financial fraud have risen as bad actors seek to take 43 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/users/user331/ Peru.pdf advantage of pandemic-related uncertainty, 44 https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/smaller-nbfcs-may- as well as changes in consumer behaviour, see-limited-relief-from-rbis-tltro-20 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020 21 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response such as the shift to digital banking.45 Scams emerged as the leader in the Sub-Saharan Africa have proliferated around the world, including region after passing new regulations, prohibiting phishing attacks seeking personal information aggressive selling and misrepresentation in exchange for cash or “free” services, offers of and requiring lenders to disclose current and emergency funds, and even fraudulent recalls of potential conflicts of interest to consumers. cash said to be contaminated with coronavirus. However fourteen countries in the 2020 Global These scams have the potential to undermine Microscope do not have consumer protection trust in governments, financial institutions, and standards for digital financial services similar to the digital channels that are vital to supporting those set for banks and other financial service clients during the pandemic.46 The introduction institutions. In Argentina, regulated digital of comprehensive data privacy and cybercrime financial service providers are not classified protections should remain a priority for as financial institutions, which means that the governments that are promoting the increased financial consumer protection framework does use of digital financial services. Governments not apply to them. In Peru, they are subject and financial institutions will also need to to a simplified consumer protection regime work together to address these challenges and because they are presumed to present lower foster a sense of trust among new entrants to risks to consumers. If individuals are to adopt the financial system. The Dominican Republic, digital channels as a true alternative to in- Kenya, Tanzania and Turkey have the most person banking, they must be assured that they comprehensive legal frameworks to investigate will benefit from the same protections as via and prosecute cybercrime (see Figure 6). physical channels. Furthermore, in the coming years it will be important to assess, as well as Consumer protection regulations also need additional measures needed to that address to keep pace with the risks posed by digital specific risks emerging in digital channels such financial services. The Global Microscope as algorithmic bias and privacy issues. Less assesses the comprehensiveness of regulation than half the countries in our sample (22 out across four key areas: 1) Disclosure of relevant of 55) have comprehensive legal frameworks product information, 2) Aggressive sales and governing data privacy that applies to financial debt collection practices, 3) Non-discrimination services providers. in financial services provision and 4) Standards for complaints resolutions. This year, Tanzania 45 https://www.globenewswire.com/news- release/2020/06/24/2052648/0/en/As-More-Transactions-Shift- Online-During-Pandemic-the-Financial-Services-Industry- Experiences-a-Surge-in-Fraudulent-Activity.html 46 https://www.cgap.org/blog/financial-scams-rise-coronavirus-hits- developing-countries © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
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