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Global Microscope 2020
The role of financial inclusion
in the Covid-19 response
Supported by
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                           1
                                                                          The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

About this report

The Global Microscope assesses the enabling         • Mitul Thapliyal, Head of Digital Financial
environment for financial inclusion across five       Services – Government Social Impact,
categories and 55 countries.                          Microsave

This year, regulators and policymakers have         • Gerardo Uña, Senior Economist, International
faced a number of challenges as a result of           Monetary Fund
the economic crisis caused by the COVID-19
pandemic. In recognition of this, the Global        The Microscope was originally developed for
Microscope report focuses on the role that          countries in the Latin America and Caribbean
financial inclusion has played in the crisis        region in 2007 and was expanded into a global
response, and on the policies that have made        study in 2009. Most of the research for this
financial systems in 55 mid- and low-income         report—which included interviews and desk
countries more resilient and inclusive.             analysis—was conducted between June and
                                                    September 2020.
We conducted a series of expert interviews to
help shape the research and inform our findings     This work was supported by funding from the
and would like to thank the following individuals   Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Center for
for their time and insights:                        Financial Inclusion at Accion, IDB Invest and IDB
• Sajib Azad, Digital Finance Knowledge and         LAB.
  Research, Better Than Cash Alliance
                                                    The complete index, as well as detailed country
• Greta Bull, CEO, Consultative Group to Assist     analysis, can be viewed on these websites:
  the Poor                                          https://www.eiu.com/n/campaigns/
• Ghiyazuddin Mohammad, Senior Policy               microscope2020
  Manager – Digital Financial Services, Alliance    www.eiu.com/microscope
  for Financial Inclusion                           https://idbinvest.org/en/publications
• Anit Mukherjee, Policy Fellow, Center for         https://www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org/
  Global Development                                series/global-microscope
• Pascual O’Dogherty, General Secretary,            Please use the following when citing this report:
  Association of Banking Supervisors of the         EIU (Economist Intelligence Unit), 2020; Global
  Americas                                          Microscope 2020: The role of financial inclusion
• Mikaela Rabb, Senior Policy Associate, The        in the COVID-19 response; New York, NY.
  Abdul Latif Jameel Poverty Action Lab
                                                    For further information, please contact:
• Manoj Kumar Sharma, Director, Microsave           Microscope@eiu.com

                                                                                          © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
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                                                                          The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

About the Economist Intelligence Unit               About IDB Lab

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) is            IDB Lab is the innovation laboratory of the
the research arm of The Economist Group,            IDB Group, the leading source of development
publisher of The Economist. As the world’s          finance and know-how for improving lives in
leading provider of country intelligence, it        Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). The
helps governments, institutions and businesses      purpose of IDB Lab is to drive innovation for
by providing timely, reliable and impartial         inclusion in the region, by mobilizing financing,
analysis of economic and development                knowledge, and connections to co-create
strategies. Through its public policy practice,     solutions capable of transforming the lives of
The EIU provides evidence-based research            vulnerable populations affected by economic,
for policymakers and stakeholders seeking           social or environmental factors. Since 1993 IDB
measurable outcomes, in fields ranging from         Lab has approved more than US$ 2 billion in
gender and finance to energy and technology.        projects deployed across 26 LAC countries,
It conducts research through interviews,            including over US$ 300 million to develop the
regulatory analysis, quantitative modelling         Venture Capital industry in the region.
and forecasting, and displays the results via       www.idblab.org
interactive data visualisation tools. Through a
                                                    About the Center for Financial Inclusion
global network of more than 650 analysts and
contributors, The EIU continuously assesses         The Center for Financial Inclusion (CFI) works
and forecasts political, economic and business      to advance inclusive financial services for
conditions in more than 200 countries. For more     the billions of people who currently lack the
information, visit www.eiu.com.                     financial tools needed to improve their lives and
                                                    prosper. We leverage partnerships to conduct
About IDB Invest
                                                    rigorous research and test promising solutions,
IDB Invest, a member of the IDB Group, is a         and then advocate for evidence-based change.
multilateral development bank committed             CFI was founded by Accion in 2008; together
to promoting the economic development of            we are working to create a financially inclusive
its member countries in Latin America and           world. www.centerforfinancialinclusion.org
the Caribbean through the private sector.           @CFI_Accion
IDB Invest finances sustainable companies
                                                    About Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
and projects to achieve financial results and
maximize economic, social and environmental         Guided by the belief that every life has equal
development in the region. With a portfolio of      value, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation works
$13.1 billion in asset management and 385 clients   to help all people lead healthy, productive lives.
in 25 countries, IDB Invest provides innovative     In developing countries, it focuses on improving
financial solutions and advisory services that      people’s health and giving them the chance
meet the needs of its clients in a variety of       to lift themselves out of hunger and extreme
industries.                                         poverty. In the United States, it seeks to ensure
                                                    that all people—especially those with the fewest
                                                    resources—have access to the opportunities they
                                                    need to succeed in school and life.
                                                    www.gatesfoundation.org.

                                                                                          © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
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                                                            The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Project teams                          Acknowledgements
                                       The following researchers, country analysts and
The Economist Intelligence Unit
                                       specialists contributed to this report. We thank
Monica Ballesteros, Project Manager:
                                       them for their contributions:
monicaballesteros@eiu.com
Shubha Bharadwaj, Research Analyst:    Country analysis:

Ayesha Khan, Research Analyst          Diane Alarcon, Stephen Allen, Amila Desaram,
Jennifer Wells, Marketing Executive:   Waqas Rana, Jamie Hitchen, Meryem Kabbaj,
jenniferwells@eiu.com;                 Bernard Kennedy, MANAUS Consulting (Tamar
+44(2)7 576 8224                       Benzaken Koosed, Bryn Philibert, Ana Philibert,
                                       Joel Levesque), Susana Martinez, MicroCredit
                                       Ratings International Ltd. (M-CRIL) (Sanjay
                                       Sinha, Sana Zehra, Gaurav Prateek, Shayandeep
                                       Chakraborty, Abhinav Soni, Paritosh Singh,
                                       Sahib Sharma and Krishna Raj Pandey), Andras
                                       Radnoti, David Ramirez, Nick Wolf.

                                       We also thank Maria Jose Baqueiro from
                                       the Association of Supervisors of Banks
                                       of the Americas (ASBA) for facilitating the
                                       questionnaire to regulators in Latin America and
                                       the Caribbean.

                                       Model and report production:

                                       Mike Kenny, Emma Ruckley, William Shallcross,
                                       Nick Wolf.

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                                                                               The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Contents

About this report                                                                                           1

Executive summary                                                                                           5

Digital infrastructure investments pay off                                                                  5

Digital IDs can facilitate verification for cash transfers, but better data integration is                  5
needed to target beneficiary populations

Digital channels are here to stay                                                                           6

Non-banks face major disruptions, affecting financial service availability for the poor                     6

Financial authorities should adapt to protect consumers from emerging risks                                 6

Introduction                                                                                                7

Key findings                                                                                               10

Digital infrastructure investments pay off                                                                 10

Digital IDs can facilitate verification for cash transfers, but better data integration is                 13
needed to target beneficiary populations

Digital channels are here to stay                                                                          16

Non-banks are facing disruptions that could decrease the availability of financial services                17
for the poor

Financial authorities should adapt to protect consumers from emerging risks                               20

Regional findings and country summaries                                                                   22

Asia and Eastern Europe                                                                                   22

Latin America and the Caribbean                                                                           37

Middle East and Africa                                                                                    59

Methodology and overall rankings                                                                          80

Appendix 1: Detailed scoring guidelines                                                                   83

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                                                                               The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Executive summary

The global health crisis provoked by the                transfers, 28 leveraged digital infrastructures
COVID-19 pandemic shuttered large parts of              to distribute payments via financial or mobile
the global economy as governments around                money accounts. Of the 20 countries with the
the world imposed lockdowns to mitigate the             highest scores in the Microscope’s Infrastructure
spread of the virus. The economic consequences          domain, all but one implemented an emergency
of the lockdowns have affected the poor                 cash programme. These include low-income
disproportionately. Early in the crisis, central        countries such as Kenya that have invested
bankers recognised the need to establish                in building payments, identification and
and strengthen inclusive financial channels             connectivity infrastructure prior to the pandemic.
in order to let liquidity flow quickly down the         These interventions will likely have positive and
“last mile” and ease the suffering of the most          long-lasting effects on financial inclusion.
vulnerable. The crisis put financial inclusion at
the centre of governments’ priorities as they           Digital IDs can facilitate verification
tried to reach those who were most affected             for cash transfers, but better data
by the lockdowns. Rebuilding economies will             integration is needed to target
require more than preserving powerful global            beneficiary populations
and national players; small businesses will need
                                                        Fifty of the 55 countries in the 2020 Global
to be saved, and employment will need to be
                                                        Microscope have a national ID system that is at
ensured for workers in both the informal and
                                                        least partially digitised. Digital identification can
formal sector. Recovery needs to reach the most
                                                        help to facilitate the delivery of social assistance
vulnerable and proceed from there.
                                                        cash transfers, but it cannot ensure that such
The 2020 Global Microscope explores the role that       benefits reach all who are eligible. Social
financial inclusion has played in policymakers’         protection programmes rely on the ability to
crisis response, providing data on how the 55           target specific populations based on income and
countries included in the index have leveraged          other characteristics. In a number of countries,
their financial infrastructures to support              cash transfer programmes have targeted
vulnerable individuals, small businesses and the        workers from the informal sector who were not
financial providers that serve poor households.         registered in tax and social security databases
                                                        or government protection programmes.
Digital infrastructure investments                      Governments have used a variety of methods
pay off                                                 to find and target beneficiaries, including using
                                                        digital tools to allow eligible households to
Of the 55 countries included in the 2020 Global
                                                        self-register for benefits. However, by relying
Microscope, 44 implemented cash transfers to
                                                        on digital channels, governments risk excluding
support vulnerable segments of the population.
                                                        millions of women, who have lower levels of
In countries where the financial sector had
                                                        access to mobile phones and digital IDs and are
already invested in digital financial infrastructure,
                                                        among the most vulnerable segments of the
policymakers were able to use digital distribution
                                                        population.
channels to pay funds to beneficiaries in need.
Of the 44 countries that implemented cash
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                                                                                                  The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Digital channels are here to stay                                     that support provided by those regulators does
                                                                      not reach some of the institutions that serve
Proportional customer due diligence and the
                                                                      the most vulnerable communities. Regulatory
approval of electronic Know Your Customer
                                                                      frameworks and supervisory authorities
(e-KYC) methods are essential for creating an
                                                                      differ based on the level of risk that financial
inclusive digital financial system. While the 2020
                                                                      institutions pose to the financial system.
Global Microscope shows that more than half
                                                                      However, during this crisis it has become clear
of the countries included in the index have not
                                                                      that the collapse of microfinance and non-
formally implemented e-KYC methods, some
                                                                      bank financial institutions represents a social
countries have made changes in response to the
                                                                      risk that financial authorities should take into
COVID-19 pandemic. For example, 11 countries
                                                                      consideration. In order to provide effective
in the Microscope relaxed due diligence
                                                                      support to microfinance institutions and other
requirements or allowed remote account
                                                                      institutions that promote financial inclusion,
opening during the pandemic. An analysis by
                                                                      regulators must be in close contact with the
Glenbrook attributes the opening of 60m new
                                                                      sector, must possess and analyse the necessary
accounts globally to countries with pre-existing
                                                                      data to understand these institutions’ portfolios,
enabling environments and those that quickly
                                                                      and must then act accordingly.
adapted their rules.1
                                                                      Financial authorities should adapt to
Non-banks face major disruptions,
                                                                      protect consumers from emerging
affecting financial service availability
                                                                      risks
for the poor
                                                                      Cases of financial fraud have increased as bad
Economic shutdowns have upended business
                                                                      actors seek to take advantage of pandemic-
models for many financial institutions that
                                                                      related uncertainty, as well as changes in
target the poor. Their primary clients are
                                                                      consumer behaviour, such as the shift to digital
among the most affected by the health and
                                                                      banking.2 Governments and financial institutions
economic crises, and their high-touch business
                                                                      will have to work together to address these
methods have had to either halt or adapt
                                                                      challenges and foster a sense of trust among
to increased physical distancing and stay-
                                                                      new entrants to the financial system. The
at-home requirements. Non-deposit-taking
                                                                      introduction of comprehensive data privacy and
institutions, especially small and medium-sized
                                                                      cybercrime protections should remain a priority
institutions, are usually not supervised by the
                                                                      for governments that promote the increased use
same regulators as banks, which may mean
                                                                      of digital financial services.

                                                                      2 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-
1   https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/     release/2020/06/24/2052648/0/en/As-More-Transactions-Shift-
    submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20             Online-During-Pandemic-the-Financial-Services-Industry-
    COVID-19_20200718.pdf                                               Experiences-a-Surge-in-Fraudulent-Activity.html

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                                                                                              The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Introduction

The global health crisis provoked by the                           other financial tools to even out the shocks
COVID-19 pandemic shuttered large parts of                         and persevere down the path to a new normal.
the global economy as governments around                           For those who are disconnected from the
the world imposed lockdowns to mitigate the                        financial system and lack access to such tools,
spread of the virus. The economic consequences                     the way forward could be decidedly bleak. The
of these lockdowns have affected the poor                          2020 Global Microscope explores the role that
disproportionately. According to the World                         financial inclusion has played in policymakers’
Bank, the COVID-19 pandemic could push up                          crisis response, providing data on how the 55
to 100m people into extreme poverty. Almost                        countries included in the index have leveraged
half of the projected new poor will be in South                    their financial infrastructures to support
Asia, and more than one-third will be in Sub-                      vulnerable individuals, small businesses and the
Saharan Africa. Unemployment has spiked, and                       financial providers that serve poor households.
billions of workers in the informal economy are
                                                                   The Global Microscope data assesses the
struggling to earn a living.3 Estimates from the
                                                                   enabling environment for financial inclusion
first month of the crisis showed incomes for
                                                                   across five dimensions 1) Government and Policy
informal workers dropping by an average of 81%
                                                                   support, 2) Stability and integrity regulation, 3)
in Africa and the Americas.4
                                                                   Products and outlets regulation, 4) Consumer
As businesses around the world found                               protection, and 5) Infrastructure.
themselves unable to trade and individuals
                                                                   This year, many of the efforts made by
found themselves unable to work, they sought
                                                                   regulators and policymakers to contain the
savings, credit, government assistance and

 Government                  Stability and              Products and            Consumer                Infrastructure
 and Policy                  Integrity                  Outlets                 Protection

                           1. Market entry            1. E-money and           1. Financial services   1. Payments
 1. National strategies
                              requirements               simplified accounts      users                   infrastructure

 2. Financial and          2. Operational
                                                      2. Credit                2. Insurance users      2. Connectivity
    digital literacy          requirements

 3. Government             3. Customer due
                                                      3. Emerging services     3. Data protection      3. Digital IDs
    digitisation              diligence

                           4. Supervisory
                                                      4. Inclusive insurance                           4. Credit information
                              capacity

                           5. Cybersecurity           5. Financial outlets

3 https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/
  WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm
4 https://www.ilo.org/global/about-the-ilo/newsroom/news/
  WCMS_743036/lang--en/index.htm

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                                                                                  The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

COVID-19 crisis were not necessarily captured        from funders.6 While survey data from the
by laws and regulations. For this reason,            Consultative Group to Assist the Poor (CGAP)
the Microscope team conducted additional             allayed some of the early concerns about
interviews with key experts and analysed             a liquidity crisis among institutions in the
secondary sources to understand how financial        sector, there may be a solvency challenge on
authorities were responding to the crisis.           the horizon as repayment freezes expire and
Our findings are summarized in the country           institutions determine which loans will be repaid
summaries below. The rest of the report              and which could end up in default.7 In markets
highlights some of the policy responses and          with different regulations for microfinance,
existing regulations and infrastructures that        regulators may need to acknowledge the role
facilitated the financial authorities’ response to   of these providers in aiding the recovery of low-
the current crisis.                                  income clients and provide support to ensure
                                                     that they can fulfil this responsibility.8
Early in the crisis, central bankers recognised
the need to establish and strengthen inclusive       Mobile money providers and particularly
financial channels in order to let liquidity flow    the cash-in cash-out (CICO) agent networks
quickly down the “last mile” and ease the            that support them also saw dramatic drops
suffering of the most vulnerable.5 The crisis put    in revenue as a result of lockdown measures.
financial inclusion at the centre of governments’    In several countries CICO agents were not
priorities as they tried to reach those who were     considered essential services despite their
most affected by the lockdowns. Rebuilding           crucial role in distributing government
economies will require more than preserving          payments and providing financial services to
powerful global and national players; small          the most vulnerable populations. Furthermore,
businesses will need to be saved, and                the reduction of transactions fees and decline
employment will need to be ensured for workers       in transaction amounts threaten the long term
in both the informal and formal sector. Recovery     viability of agent networks’ business model.
needs to reach the most vulnerable and proceed
                                                     Financial inclusion strengthens resilience
from there.
                                                     and enables low-income individuals to take
An important component of this effort is             advantage of productive opportunities; these
ensuring that institutions that serve the            benefits are in jeopardy if financial services
poor have the tools to survive the crisis. As        providers (FSPs) that target these communities
we conducted research for the 2020 Global            collapse. FSPs have supported their clients
Microscope, microfinance institutions (MFIs),        during the COVID-19 pandemic with loan
mobile payment services and agent networks           forbearance and fee readuction both voluntary
were all facing an extremely challenging             and imposed by regulators. These institutions
business environment. Economic lockdowns,            are in need of government support.
falling income among clients and moratoria
                                                     To remain in business, FSPs need access to
on payments have halted MFIs’ income
                                                     liquidity facilities similar to those provided
from loan repayments. At the same time,
economic uncertainty and questions about the
                                                     6 https://www.coronavirusandtheeconomy.com/question/how-
future viability of their business model have          will-coronavirus-change-global-microfinance-industry
limited MFIs’ access to capital and liquidity        7 https://www.cgap.org/blog/there-liquidity-crisis-among-mfis-
                                                       and-if-so-where
                                                     8 https://www.cgap.org/research/publication/microfinance-and-
5 https://www.bis.org/speeches/sp200330.htm            covid-19-framework-regulatory-response

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                                                    The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

by central banks to much larger institutions,
which are generally under distinct regulatory
regimes. Governments and regulators should
provide such support to institutions that
are well managed but find themselves in
trouble as a result of the pandemic. After all,
these institutions provide essential financial
channels that governments can use to support
vulnerable populations during this crisis. Even
in economies where digital payment services
reach large portions of the population, agent
networks and institutions can play a significant
role in providing cash-in/cash-out points so that
individuals can convert digital funds and use
them however they need.

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                                                                                 The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Key findings

Digital infrastructure investments                 digital financial infrastructure, policymakers
pay off                                            were able to use digital distribution channels to
                                                   pay funds to beneficiaries in need. During the
As economies slowed under lockdowns                COVID-19 pandemic, these channels provide the
and individuals experienced a sudden loss          added benefit of supporting physical distancing
of income, those without savings quickly           requirements by removing the need for large
found themselves in need of support. Of            groups to gather to receive cash distributions.
the 55 countries included in the 2020 Global       Of the 44 countries that implemented cash
Microscope, 44 had implemented cash                transfers, 28 leveraged digital infrastructures
transfers to support vulnerable segments of        to distribute payments via financial or mobile
the population by the time of publication (see     money accounts.
Figure 1).9 While the amounts, durations and
eligibility requirements of these cash transfers   In Chile, for example, the government channelled
varied widely among countries, the need to         funds through a basic ID-linked account
respond quickly did not. In countries where        (CuentaRUT), which covers most low-income
the financial sector had already invested in       people in the country.10 In Russia, benefits were

Figure 1
Emergency cash transfers in response to the COVID-19 pandemic
                                                                  Cash transfers delivered primarily in cash
                                                                  Cash transfers delivered primarily to an account

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit

                                                   10 https://blogs.worldbank.org/voices/responding-crisis-digital-
                                                      payments-social-protection-short-term-measures-long-term-
9 https://www.ugogentilini.net/?p=1004                benefits

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                                                                                             The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

transferred through the government’s national                   In Colombia, a new cash transfer programme for
payment system, Mir, established by the Central                 households that were not previously covered by
Bank of Russia. In Madagascar, funds were                       social protection cash transfers reached 2.6m
distributed through Paositra Money, the post                    households and opened 1m new digital wallet
office’s mobile money service.                                  and mobile phone payment service accounts in
                                                                order to distribute the funds.16 In addition, the
Digital transfers ensure that social assistance
                                                                government notified 3m individuals via SMS
can be distributed quickly, securely and without
                                                                that assistance funds were available while the
leakage. While conditions vary from country to
                                                                country was locked down.17 Pakistan leveraged
country, the Centre for Global Development
                                                                previous investments in digital infrastructure for
(CGD) noted that digital infrastructure—which
                                                                social protection payments to implement a fully
includes high levels of access to identification,
                                                                digital system of COVID-19 assistance payments,
mobile phones and financial accounts—enabled
                                                                delivered to 16.9m households in just ten days.18
governments to deliver COVID-19 cash transfers
                                                                Jordan combined an existing social protection
efficiently and quickly.11
                                                                beneficiary database with tools to remotely
Digital infrastructures have allowed                            contact and enrol individuals in COVID-19
governments to identify, register and                           cash transfer programmes, quickly reaching
mobilise funds on a massive scale. In Brazil,                   out to 200,000 individuals to confirm if they
the government’s aid for informal workers,                      had a mobile wallet, and provided extensive
microentrepreneurs, the self-employed and the                   communications to deliver information on
unemployed reached around 67m individuals,                      creating one if they did not.19, 20
starting in April 2020. A public bank opened
                                                                In countries where digital payment
digital savings accounts for individuals who did
                                                                infrastructure is still at an early stage,
not already have one so that they could receive
                                                                governments can support its development
the benefit, creating 25m new financial accounts
                                                                in three ways.21 First, they can invest in digital
as part of the programme. Beneficiaries have
                                                                infrastructure such as connectivity for citizens,
used around 40% of the funds to make digital
                                                                digital identification, and interoperable financial
payments to utilities and businesses, and for
                                                                management systems. Second, governments
Internet purchases, demonstrating increased
                                                                can facilitate enabling policies, such as ensuring
adoption of digital finance among a previously
                                                                a robust data privacy regime, enforcing
unbanked population.12 Thailand’s government
                                                                cybersecurity protections, and providing fair and
targeted around 24m individuals via digital
                                                                non-discriminatory access to payment systems.
cash transfers, leveraging its payment platform,
                                                                The 2020 Global Microscope demonstrates that
PromptPay.13, 14 PromptPay enables recipients
to easily receive and transfer funds using their
                                                                16 https://www.cgdev.org/publication/covid-19-colombia-impact-
citizen ID or mobile phone number instead of a                     and-policy-responses

bank account number, via electronic channels.15                 17 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/
                                                                   submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20
                                                                   COVID-19_20200718.pdf
11 https://www.cgdev.org/blog/covid-19-how-countries-can-use-   18 https://www.app.com.pk/global/ehsaas-emergency-cash-
   digital-payments-better-quicker-cash-transfers                  programme-covering-around-109-million-people-sania-nishtar/
12 Central Bank of Brazil                                       19 https://blogs.unicef.org/evidence-for-action/how-responding-
13 https://thepattayanews.com/2020/03/25/thai-government-set-      to-the-syrian-humanitarian-crisis-helped-jordan-support-its-
   to-hand-out-5000-baht-a-month-to-informal-workers-to-help-      population-during-covid-19/
   them-after-the-covid-19-coronavirus-crisis/                  20 https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/press-release/2020/06/25/
14 https://www.nationthailand.com/business/30385559?utm_           us374-million-to-provide-cash-assistance-to-poor-and-
   source=homepage&utm_medium=internal_referral                    vulnerable-households-in-jordan
15 bangkokbank.com/en/personal/digital-banking/promptpay        21 Interview Ghiyazuddin Mohammad

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                                                                                                The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

such investments are necessary: only 22 of the                     Many countries lack sufficient connectivity to
55 countries in this year’s index comprehensively                  rely exclusively on digital solutions for social
protect individuals’ financial data, even fewer                    assistance payments. Increasing their applicability
(18 of 55) have an entity with strong capacity                     will require solutions for feature phones and
to enforce data protection, and 24 countries                       smartphones, as well as the provision of training
still need to open up at least one category of                     to beneficiaries, especially populations such
payment system to fair and non-discriminatory                      as older adults and/or women who may have
commercial access for all market participants.                     previously lacked access to these technologies.
Lastly, governments can create demand by                           Regulators and institutions should avoid
prioritising these channels in their cash transfer                 unnecessarily limiting the functionality of these
programmes.                                                        digital payment accounts in order to improve
                                                                   the value proposition for users. For example, the

Figure 2 . Top performers in 2020 in the Infrastructure domain

 Rank / 55             Δ            Country                                    2018          2019          2020            Δ
     =1                ←→           Argentina                                   82            83            82             -1
     =1                ←→           Peru                                        77            83            82             -1
      3                ←→           Uruguay                                     78            81            81             0
      4               ▲ 13          Thailand                                    71            69            80            +11

      5               ▲3            Brazil                                      67            72            78            +6

      6               ▼2            Colombia                                    74            78            76             -2

      7               ▼2            Mexico                                      74            75            75             0

    =8                ▼1            Chile                                       80            74            74             0

    =8                ▲4            China                                       65            71            74            +3

    =8                ▼3            Costa Rica                                  63            75            74             -1

    =8                ▲ 14          Russia                                      66            65            74            +9

    =8                 ←→           South Africa                                72            72            74            +2
     13               ▼1            Indonesia                                   71            71            73            +2

    =14               ▼6            El Salvador                                 64            72            72             0

    =14               ▼6            Panama                                      67            72            72             0

     16               ▲3            Ecuador                                     59            67            71            +4

     17               ▼5            Kenya                                       62            71            70             -1

     18               ▼3            Bolivia                                     70            70            69             -1

    =19               ▼1            Dominican Republic                          66            68            68             0

    =19               ▲6            India                                       61            63            68            +5

    =19               ▲6            Rwanda                                      62            63            68            +5

Score is the weighted average of the following indicator scores: 5.1 Payments infrastructure; 5.2 Digital IDs; 5.3 Connectivity;
5.4 Credit information and other data-sharing systems

                                                                                                                   © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                           13
                                                                                          The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Figure 3
Correlation between Microscope’s Infrastructure score and Findex’s Account (% Age 15+)
Correlation Co-efficient (r) All countries 0.42

                           100

                           90

                           80

                           70

                           60

                           50
    Accounts (% Age 15+)

                           40

                           30

                           20

                            10

                            0
                                 0       10       20   30   40     50       60       70          80       90        100

                                 Infrastructure
Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit

accounts could link to savings and credit products               Digital IDs can facilitate verification
and provide a means of paying utility bills.                     for cash transfers, but better data
Of the 20 countries with the highest scores                      integration is needed to target
in the Microscope’s Infrastructure domain,                       beneficiary populations
all but one implemented an emergency cash                        As governments have rolled out financial
programme, and 14 of these countries leveraged                   support programmes in response to the
their digital infrastructures to distribute                      COVID-19 pandemic, some have found it
payments via financial and mobile money                          challenging to properly identify beneficiary
accounts. These include low- income countries                    populations. Providing identification for all
such as Kenya that have invested in building                     individuals is a vital support for increasing
payments prior to the pandemic. (See Figure 2)                   financial inclusion and improving access
These interventions will likely have positive                    to financial services. Foundational identity
and long-lasting effects on financial inclusion.                 programmes can also foster social inclusion,
The scores in the Infrastructure domain are                      enabling individuals to use a unique ID for
the inputs with the strongest correlation to                     multiple purposes including enrolling in school,
account ownership data from the World Bank’s                     accessing healthcare and voting.
2017 Global Financial Inclusion (Global Findex)                  Fifty of the 55 countries in the 2020 Global
Database.(See Figure 3)                                          Microscope already have a national ID system

                                                                                                          © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              14
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

that is at least partially digitised (see Figure 2).                                                                                                                                                                                                  banks. Sierra Leone’s new e-KYC system should
However, access to identification is not universal                                                                                                                                                                                                    be fully implemented by the end of 2020 and
in many Microscope countries, and more                                                                                                                                                                                                                uses blockchain technology to reach the 20%
than half of the countries have not approved                                                                                                                                                                                                          of adults who are financially excluded based
electronic Know Your Customer (e-KYC)                                                                                                                                                                                                                 on a lack of proper identification. The country
schemes that facilitate remote and digital                                                                                                                                                                                                            has built on lessons learned during its Ebola
account opening.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      virus epidemic in 2015 and is working towards
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      universal identification, which facilitates
The 2020 Microscope found that eight countries
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      financial inclusion but also assists with contact
have started offering e-KYC options since 2019.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      tracing, providing and tracking healthcare, and
Brazil’s central bank has developed an open
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      targeting payments to healthcare workers and
data portal to simplify KYC for remotely opening
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      patients.22
digital accounts, even in the absence of a
national e-ID system. In Russia, a private firm is                                                                                                                                                                                                    In addition to facilitating alternative channels
authorised to provide e-KYC services to banks,                                                                                                                                                                                                        for financial inclusion and account opening,
and the government is developing its own                                                                                                                                                                                                              universal digital identification is important for
solution that categorises customers into three                                                                                                                                                                                                        ensuring that social protection programmes
levels of risk. In 2020 Thailand approved the use                                                                                                                                                                                                     are secure and properly targeted and can avoid
of facial recognition technology for opening                                                                                                                                                                                                          payment errors. Digital identification can help
online deposit accounts at six commercial                                                                                                                                                                                                             to facilitate the delivery of social assistance

Figure 4
National ID systems with digital applications
Infrastructure → Digital IDs
Scored 0-100 where 100+best environment for financial inclusion                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Score 75+                                                        Score 50-74                                                                                     Score 25-49                                                                Score 0-24

 100

  80

 60

  40

  20

   0
       ARGENTINA
                   BANGLADESH
                                BOLIVIA
                                          BRAZIL
                                                   CAMBODIA
                                                              CAMEROON
                                                                         CHILE
                                                                                 CHINA
                                                                                         COLOMBIA
                                                                                                    COSTA RICA
                                                                                                                 CÔTE D'IVOIRE
                                                                                                                                 DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
                                                                                                                                                      ECUADOR
                                                                                                                                                                EGYPT
                                                                                                                                                                        EL SALVADOR
                                                                                                                                                                                      GHANA
                                                                                                                                                                                              GUATEMALA
                                                                                                                                                                                                          HAITI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                  HONDURAS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                             INDIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     INDONESIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 JAMAICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           JORDAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    KENYA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            LEBANON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      MEXICO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               MOROCCO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         MOZAMBIQUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      NEPAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              NICARAGUA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          NIGERIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               PANAMA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        PARAGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   PERU
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          RUSSIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   RWANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            SENEGAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SIERRA LEONE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    SRI LANKA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                TANZANIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           THAILAND
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            TUNISIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      TURKEY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               UGANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        URUGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  VENEZUELA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              VIETNAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ETHIOPIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   MADAGASCAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MYANMAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          DRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                PHILIPPINES

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      22 https://blogs.worldbank.org/digital-development/tracking-down-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         ebola-biometrics-and-digital-identity

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                          15
                                                                                    The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

cash transfers, especially in the context of         WhatsApp or websites.23 According to a CGD
physically distanced interactions during the         report, South Africa received 13m applications,
COVID-19 pandemic. However, it cannot ensure         of which around 6m were deemed to be valid. In
that such benefits reach all who are eligible.       Pakistan, the Ehsaas programme received 146m
Social protection programmes rely on the             SMS requests for assistance, of which 48m were
ability to target specific populations based on      unique claimants.24
income and other characteristics. This can be
                                                     One of the main risks of relying on digital
an intensive process at the best of times and is
                                                     channels to register and identify participants
particularly complex when numerous individuals
                                                     for cash transfer programmes is the pervasive
and families need social assistance for the
                                                     gender gap in access to mobile phones (see
first time. Digital ID systems can facilitate this
                                                     Figure 3) and IDs. On average, the gender gap
process when it is integrated with other systems,
                                                     in access to mobile phones in Microscope
including social registries, SIM registration, and
                                                     countries is 7 percentage points. The gender gap
utility and tax databases.
                                                     in access to identification in these countries is
In many cases, individuals who became newly          also 7 percentage points. These gaps threaten to
unemployed during the COVID-19 pandemic              exclude some of the most vulnerable segments
were workers in the informal sector who              of the population from emergency relief
were not registered in tax and social security       transfers. Low-income populations face severe
databases, and potentially not even in social        risks as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic,
protection programmes. In a number of                and these risks are exacerbated for women.
countries, cash transfer programmes targeted         Women’s employment is disproportionately
workers from the informal sector, reaching 79%       in the informal sector, and the lack of social
of the entire population in the Philippines, 75%     protection for workers in this sector has
in El Salvador, 38% in Chile and 31% in Tunisia.     already affected women’s ability to support
Governments have used a variety of methods to        their families. Some countries have adopted
find and target these beneficiaries. In Morocco,     strategies to ensure that emergency relief is
cash transfers reached 3m informal-sector            reaching women. Peru, for example, delivers
workers by using the health-sector database for      stimulus checks to the woman in the household
targeting purposes. In Guatemala, authorities        by default.25
have targeted individuals using public utility
bills that document low levels of consumption.
Colombia used a tax database to identify
vulnerable workers in the informal sector; its
cash transfers have reached 10.5m informal-
sector workers, or 21% of the population.

Some countries took advantage of the strong
incentives for individuals to self-register for      23 https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/digital-technology-
benefits. South Africa, Pakistan and Brazil, for        social-assistance-transfers-covid-19-relief-lessons-selected-cases.
                                                        pdf
example, launched multimedia campaigns               24 https://www.cgdev.org/sites/default/files/digital-technology-
inviting digital applications for emergency             social-assistance-transfers-covid-19-relief-lessons-selected-cases.
                                                        pdf
relief, to be made through mobile phones,            25 http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/
                                                        en/378931596643390083/pdf/Digital-Cash-Transfers-in-Times-
                                                        of-COVID-19-Opportunities-and-Considerations-for-Womens-
                                                        Inclusion-and-Empowerment.pdf

                                                                                                         © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
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                                                                                                                                                                          16
                                                                                                    The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Digital channels are here to stay                                      States, which includes Côte d’Ivoire, Senegal
                                                                       and six other countries, enabled remote account
As physical distancing becomes the norm,
                                                                       onboarding in 2020 for first- and second-tier
fuelling a desire to avoid crowds, long lines and
                                                                       e-money accounts under special COVID-19 rules,
enclosed indoor spaces, financial institutions
                                                                       facilitating the opening of 5.8m accounts in April,
have increased their efforts to promote digital
                                                                       compared with 1.8m in March.29
channels and remote banking. Expanding service
channels and moving them closer to excluded                            Being able to open a new account is an
customers, whether physically or virtually,                            important step towards increasing financial
has long been a strategy to increase financial                         inclusion, but real inclusion can only be
inclusion. However, even in countries where                            achieved when users find value in using the
digital channels had been established prior to the                     accounts in the long term. Governments and
pandemic, some activities still required a visit to a                  financial service have worked together to
branch. That is now changing.                                          encourage digital transactions and increase
                                                                       the use cases for their accounts. During
Proportional KYC requirements and approval
                                                                       the COVID-19 pandemic, 11 countries in
for e-KYC methods are essential for creating an
                                                                       the Microscope reduced transaction fees
inclusive digital financial system. While the 2020
                                                                       for accounts and five countries increased
Global Microscope shows that more than half
                                                                       transaction limits, potentially enhancing the
of the countries included in the index have not
                                                                       value proposition for clients. In Kenya, for
formally implemented e-KYC methods, some
                                                                       example, M-PESA (the country’s most popular
countries have made changes in response to the
                                                                       mobile money system) waived transaction fees
COVID-19 pandemic. For example, 11 countries in
                                                                       for 90 days and increased transaction limits
the Microscope have relaxed KYC requirements
                                                                       in co-ordination with authorities.30 Banking
or allowed remote account opening during
                                                                       regulators also waived fees for transfers
the pandemic (see Figure 4). One analysis
                                                                       between bank accounts and mobile wallets.31
attributes the opening of 60m new accounts
                                                                       After this measure was adopted, the central
globally to countries with pre-existing enabling
                                                                       bank reported a 10% increase in the number of
environments and those that quickly adapted
                                                                       daily transactions.32 In Rwanda, the government
their rules.26 Colombia’s Specialised Deposit
                                                                       eliminated charges on all mobile money
and Payment Companies were authorised in
                                                                       transfers, as well as merchant fees on payments
2015, and in early 2020 regulators allowed the
                                                                       for all contactless point-of-sale (via mobile)
lowest tier account that can be used to receive
                                                                       transactions. By late April users were making
social benefits to be opened remotely.27 In
                                                                       3m transactions a week—five times the pre-
Brazil and Chile, where assistance payments
                                                                       pandemic norm.33 In the Philippines, e-money
are made via state-owned banks, beneficiaries
                                                                       transfer services waived their user fees for the
can open accounts with just a national ID
number.28 The Central Bank of West African                             29 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/
                                                                          submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20
                                                                          COVID-19_20200718.pdf
26 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/
   submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20             30 https://www.finextra.com/newsarticle/35475/covid-19-m-pesa-
   COVID-19_20200718.pdf                                                  waives-fees-to-discourage-cash-usage
27 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/publications/     31 https://home.kpmg/xx/en/home/insights/2020/04/kenya-
   submissions/72016/Emergency%20Disbursements%20during%20                government-and-institution-measures-in-response-to-covid.html
   COVID-19_20200718.pdf                                               32 https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/05/28/
28 https://www.imf.org/~/media/Files/Publications/covid19-special-        the-covid-19-crisis-is-boosting-mobile-money
   notes/en-special-series-on-covid-19-digital-solutions-for-direct-   33 https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2020/05/28/
   cash-transfers-in-emergencies.ashx                                     the-covid-19-crisis-is-boosting-mobile-money

                                                                                                                         © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                                17
                                                                                               The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Figure 5
Gender gap in mobile subscribers
Map shows 2020 country scores classified by score

                                                             Score 75+          Score 50-74      Score 25-49      Score 0-24

Source: The Economist Intelligence Unit

duration of the quarantine, and the central bank                         models for many financial institutions that
suspended licencing and registration fees for                            serve the poor. Their primary clients are
such services “to encourage financial institutions                       among the most affected by the health and
to actively offer safe, efficient and reliable digital                   economic crises, and their high-touch business
channels”.34                                                             methods have had to either halt or adapt to
                                                                         increased physical distancing and stay-at-home
Non-banks face major disruptions,                                        requirements.
affecting financial service availability
                                                                         Twenty-three Microscope countries created
for the poor
                                                                         liquidity facilities that provide support to large
Governments around the world have provided                               financial institutions to contain systemic risks in
support to individuals, prioritising low-income                          the financial sector. However, efforts to protect
households and individuals in the informal                               financial institutions that serve the poor (agents,
economy who are most affected by the drop                                MFIs, mobile money providers and others) have
in economic activity caused by the COVID-19                              varied, highlighting differences in regulatory
pandemic. However, the financial institutions                            regimes for non-bank financial institutions, as
that serve these populations also need support.                          well as a lack of visibility into their portfolios.
As in other sectors throughout the economy,
                                                                         While bank branches and ATMs were
economic shutdowns have upended business
                                                                         considered essential services during lockdowns,
34 https://business.inquirer.net/295959/bsp-waives-fees-for-new-e-       several cash-in, cash-out (CICO) agents were
   payment-services-as-people-shift-to-digital-transactions

                                                                                                               © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Figure 6
Remote account opening by banks, non-banks, e-money issuers and agents
Products and Outlets → Accounts at financial institutions and e-money
3.1.3) Remote account opening, 2020 scores by country                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Score 75+                                                          Score 50-74                                                                      Score 25-49                                                                       Score 0-24
Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion

100

 80

 60

 40

 20

  0
      ARGENTINA
                  BOLIVIA
                            BRAZIL
                                     CAMBODIA
                                                CHINA
                                                        CÔTE D'IVOIRE
                                                                        ECUADOR
                                                                                  EL SALVADOR
                                                                                                GHANA
                                                                                                        KENYA
                                                                                                                MEXICO
                                                                                                                         PARAGUAY
                                                                                                                                    PERU
                                                                                                                                           PHILIPPINES
                                                                                                                                                         RWANDA
                                                                                                                                                                  TANZANIA
                                                                                                                                                                             THAILAND
                                                                                                                                                                                        TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
                                                                                                                                                                                                              URUGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                        CAMEROON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   CHILE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           COLOMBIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      COSTA RICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   GUATEMALA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               HAITI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       HONDURAS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  INDIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          INDONESIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      JAMAICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                LEBANON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          MOROCCO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    NIGERIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         PANAMA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  TUNISIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            TURKEY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     UGANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              BANGLADESH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                DRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      EGYPT
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ETHIOPIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         JORDAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  MADAGASCAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               MOZAMBIQUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            MYANMAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      NEPAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              NICARAGUA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          RUSSIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   SENEGAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             SIERRA LEONE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           SRI LANKA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       VENEZUELA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   VIETNAM
considered non-essential businesses. This                                                                                                                                                                                                       viable during the crisis. In India, the government
created confusion in countries like Colombia                                                                                                                                                                                                    is offering temporary subsidies to rural agents
and Kenya, where non-dedicated CICO agents                                                                                                                                                                                                      to offset some of these loses. In Kenya, agents
were not allowed to operate during lockdowns.35                                                                                                                                                                                                 have a tiered fee structure that offers higher
Even in countries where CICO agents were                                                                                                                                                                                                        incentives to rural agents for distributing
allowed to operate, many saw their revenues                                                                                                                                                                                                     government payments.38 In Nigeria, the central
fall due to the economic slowdown. In Uganda                                                                                                                                                                                                    bank established the Shared Agent Network
and Kenya, agents witnessed a 40% drop in the                                                                                                                                                                                                   Expansion Facility, which provides financing
number of clients and the value of transactions                                                                                                                                                                                                 to licence super agents and mobile money
in the first months of the pandemic.36                                                                                                                                                                                                          operators to expand their networks.39

Mobile money providers had to bear the costs                                                                                                                                                                                                    MFIs are also facing challenges. Governments
of operating agent networks with below-normal                                                                                                                                                                                                   in 21 Microscope countries have imposed
activity while also waiving cash-out fees, which                                                                                                                                                                                                moratoria on repayments, and 27 countries have
represent 70% of their revenue.37 Agents were                                                                                                                                                                                                   encouraged financial providers to restructure
also asked to disburse COVID-19 government                                                                                                                                                                                                      payments. To help institutions through this
payments using fee levels that were no longer                                                                                                                                                                                                   period, 23 countries created liquidity facilities
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                for banks, but only 11 included MFIs in these
35 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19-
   response-need-support                                                                                                                                                                                                                        38 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19-
36 https://www.microsave.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/07/200710-                                                                                                                                                                                    response-need-support
   Uganda-CICO-report-Final-edited-version.pdf                                                                                                                                                                                                  39 https://www.afi-global.org/publications/3496/Regional-Policy-
37 https://www.cgap.org/blog/agent-networks-vital-covid-19-                                                                                                                                                                                        Framework-To-Strengthen-Agent-Networks-For-Digital-
   response-need-support                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Financial-Services-DFS

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GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

Figure 7
Market monitoring for market providers that are not regulated as financial institutions
Stability and integrity → Supervisory capacity
2.4.6) Market monitoring, 2020 scores by country                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Score 75+                                                            Score 50-74                                                                         Score 25-49                                                                      Score 0-24
Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion

100

 80

 60

 40

 20

  0
      ARGENTINA
                  COLOMBIA
                             INDONESIA
                                         MYANMAR
                                                   PERU
                                                          PHILIPPINES
                                                                        RUSSIA
                                                                                 SENEGAL
                                                                                           SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                                          TANZANIA
                                                                                                                     THAILAND
                                                                                                                                URUGUAY
                                                                                                                                          BOLIVIA
                                                                                                                                                    CAMBODIA
                                                                                                                                                               CHILE
                                                                                                                                                                       CHINA
                                                                                                                                                                               ECUADOR
                                                                                                                                                                                         EGYPT
                                                                                                                                                                                                 EL SALVADOR
                                                                                                                                                                                                               ETHIOPIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                          GHANA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  GUATEMALA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              HONDURAS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         INDIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 JAMAICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           JORDAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    KENYA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            LEBANON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      MADAGASCAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   MEXICO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            NICARAGUA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        PANAMA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 RWANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          TURKEY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   UGANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            VIETNAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      BANGLADESH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   BRAZIL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            CAMEROON
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       COSTA RICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    CÔTE D'IVOIRE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         DRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               HAITI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       MOROCCO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 MOZAMBIQUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              NEPAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      NIGERIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           PARAGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SIERRA LEONE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     SRI LANKA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TUNISIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 VENEZUELA
facilities or mandated banks to extend liquidity                                                                                                                                                                                       for the eventual economic reopening and
to MFIs. In many cases, MFIs—especially                                                                                                                                                                                                recovery.
small and medium-sized institutions—are not
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Regulatory frameworks and supervisory
supervised by the same regulators as banks,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       authorities differ based on the level of risk
which may mean that the support provided
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       that financial institutions pose to the financial
by regulators does not reach some of the
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       system. However, during this crisis it has
institutions that serve the most vulnerable
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       become clear that the collapse of microfinance
communities.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       and non-bank financial institutions represents
According to survey data from CGAP, 75% of                                                                                                                                                                                             a social risk, given that they serve over 140m
MFIs reduced the amount of money they loaned                                                                                                                                                                                           low-income customers worldwide.41 A survey
out as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic,                                                                                                                                                                                              on responses to the COVID-19 pandemic in
and for two-thirds this reduction represented                                                                                                                                                                                          Pakistan revealed that banks, non-banks, MFIs
more than half of what they would normally be                                                                                                                                                                                          and larger institutions all want a more uniform
lending.40 This reduced the amount of credit                                                                                                                                                                                           regulatory environment; one side wants access
available to the poorest in the economy, as well                                                                                                                                                                                       to the support facilities provided to larger, more
as the income that small and medium-sized                                                                                                                                                                                              regulated institutions, and the other side is
institutions rely on to sustain their operations.                                                                                                                                                                                      concerned about the more lenient regulation of
Governments need these institutions to remain                                                                                                                                                                                          smaller, non-bank financial institutions.42
operational in order to direct financial firepower
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       41 https://www.economist.com/leaders/2020/08/15/covid-19-is-
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          causing-a-microcredit-crunch
40 https://www.cgap.org/blog/there-liquidity-crisis-among-mfis-                                                                                                                                                                        42 https://www.financialaccess.org/assets/publications/2020/
   and-if-so-where                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Covid19-MFIs.pdf

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              20
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

 Figure 8
 Cybercrime legal protection
 Consumer protection → Data privacy and cymercrime protection
 4.3.2) Cybercrime legal protection, 2020 scores by country                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Score 75+                                                            Score 50-74                                                                          Score 25-49                                                                    Score 0-24
 Sored 0-100 where 100=best environment for financial inclusion

 100

 80

 60

 40

  20

   0
       DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
                            KENYA
                                    TANZANIA
                                               TURKEY
                                                        RUSSIA
                                                                 PHILIPPINES
                                                                               INDONESIA
                                                                                           EGYPT
                                                                                                   NIGERIA
                                                                                                             THAILAND
                                                                                                                        SENEGAL
                                                                                                                                  BRAZIL
                                                                                                                                           CAMEROON
                                                                                                                                                      MEXICO
                                                                                                                                                               PARAGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                          JAMAICA
                                                                                                                                                                                    CÔTE D'IVOIRE
                                                                                                                                                                                                    PAKISTAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                               TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     COLOMBIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CHILE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        ARGENTINA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    PANAMA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             MOROCCO
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       CHINA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               INDIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       SOUTH AFRICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      SRI LANKA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  UGANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           PERU
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  RWANDA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           GHANA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   BOLIVIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             VIETNAM
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       TUNISIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 BANGLADESH
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              ECUADOR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        JORDAN
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 EL SALVADOR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               VENEZUELA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           MADAGASCAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        NICARAGUA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    COSTA RICA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 GUATEMALA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             NEPAL
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     HONDURAS
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                CAMBODIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           ETHIOPIA
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      MYANMAR
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                MOZAMBIQUE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             URUGUAY
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       SIERRA LEONE
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      DRC
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            HAITI
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    LEBANON
In order to provide effective support to MFIs                                                                                                                                                                                                              to implement such assistance is often lacking.
and other institutions that promote financial                                                                                                                                                                                                              Just 12 of the 55 countries in the Microscope
inclusion, regulators must be in close contact                                                                                                                                                                                                             have dedicated technical experts with advanced
with the sector, must possess and analyse the                                                                                                                                                                                                              capacity to supervise non-bank financial
necessary data to understand these institutions’                                                                                                                                                                                                           institutions, and most countries could do
portfolios, and must then act accordingly. In                                                                                                                                                                                                              more to understand and support the sector.
Peru, regulators’ knowledge of the sector and                                                                                                                                                                                                              Furthermore, 43 of the 55 countries in the 2020
access to extensive data enabled them to act,                                                                                                                                                                                                              Microscope do not regularly monitor providers
providing liquidity to MFIs and reducing their                                                                                                                                                                                                             that are not regulated as financial institutions
supervisory burden during the pandemic,                                                                                                                                                                                                                    but provide financial services that could affect
while also ensuring that clients received debt                                                                                                                                                                                                             the broader financial system (see Figure 5).
relief.43 In India, the government’s relief package
channelled support for MFIs and non-bank                                                                                                                                                                                                                   Financial authorities should adapt to
financial institutions through banks and                                                                                                                                                                                                                   protect consumers from emerging
provided incentives to push banks to on-lend                                                                                                                                                                                                               risks
the funds received.44
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           The growth of digital financial services and
Unfortunately, the 2020 Global Microscope                                                                                                                                                                                                                  mounting economic pressures have created new
shows that the regulatory experience necessary                                                                                                                                                                                                             risks for financial service users. Cases of financial
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           fraud have risen as bad actors seek to take
43 https://www.findevgateway.org/sites/default/files/users/user331/
   Peru.pdf                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                advantage of pandemic-related uncertainty,
44 https://www.bloombergquint.com/business/smaller-nbfcs-may-                                                                                                                                                                                              as well as changes in consumer behaviour,
   see-limited-relief-from-rbis-tltro-20

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
GLOBAL MICROSCOPE 2020
                                                                                                                                                             21
                                                                                            The role of financial inclusion in the COVID-19 response

such as the shift to digital banking.45 Scams                         emerged as the leader in the Sub-Saharan Africa
have proliferated around the world, including                         region after passing new regulations, prohibiting
phishing attacks seeking personal information                         aggressive selling and misrepresentation
in exchange for cash or “free” services, offers of                    and requiring lenders to disclose current and
emergency funds, and even fraudulent recalls of                       potential conflicts of interest to consumers.
cash said to be contaminated with coronavirus.                        However fourteen countries in the 2020 Global
These scams have the potential to undermine                           Microscope do not have consumer protection
trust in governments, financial institutions, and                     standards for digital financial services similar to
the digital channels that are vital to supporting                     those set for banks and other financial service
clients during the pandemic.46 The introduction                       institutions. In Argentina, regulated digital
of comprehensive data privacy and cybercrime                          financial service providers are not classified
protections should remain a priority for                              as financial institutions, which means that the
governments that are promoting the increased                          financial consumer protection framework does
use of digital financial services. Governments                        not apply to them. In Peru, they are subject
and financial institutions will also need to                          to a simplified consumer protection regime
work together to address these challenges and                         because they are presumed to present lower
foster a sense of trust among new entrants to                         risks to consumers. If individuals are to adopt
the financial system. The Dominican Republic,                         digital channels as a true alternative to in-
Kenya, Tanzania and Turkey have the most                              person banking, they must be assured that they
comprehensive legal frameworks to investigate                         will benefit from the same protections as via
and prosecute cybercrime (see Figure 6).                              physical channels. Furthermore, in the coming
                                                                      years it will be important to assess, as well as
Consumer protection regulations also need
                                                                      additional measures needed to that address
to keep pace with the risks posed by digital
                                                                      specific risks emerging in digital channels such
financial services. The Global Microscope
                                                                      as algorithmic bias and privacy issues. Less
assesses the comprehensiveness of regulation
                                                                      than half the countries in our sample (22 out
across four key areas: 1) Disclosure of relevant
                                                                      of 55) have comprehensive legal frameworks
product information, 2) Aggressive sales and
                                                                      governing data privacy that applies to financial
debt collection practices, 3) Non-discrimination
                                                                      services providers.
in financial services provision and 4) Standards
for complaints resolutions. This year, Tanzania

45 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-
   release/2020/06/24/2052648/0/en/As-More-Transactions-Shift-
   Online-During-Pandemic-the-Financial-Services-Industry-
   Experiences-a-Surge-in-Fraudulent-Activity.html
46 https://www.cgap.org/blog/financial-scams-rise-coronavirus-hits-
   developing-countries

                                                                                                            © The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited 2020
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