FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...

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FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING
     23 August 2018
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Disclaimer
    Important Notice and Disclaimer                                            generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as,               warranty or guarantee as to the past, present or the future
    This document is a presentation of general background information          ‘expect’, ‘anticipate’, ‘likely’, ‘intend’, ‘should’, ‘could’, ‘may’, ‘predict’,   performance of NEC.
    about the activities of Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited            ‘plan’, ‘propose’, ‘will’, ‘believe’, ‘forecast’, ‘estimate’, ‘target’ and
    (“NEC”) current at the date of the presentation, (23 August 2018).         other similar expressions within the meaning of securities laws of                 Pro Forma Financial Information
    The information contained in this presentation is of general               applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future
                                                                                                                                                                  The Company has set out in this presentation certain non-IFRS
    background and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended         earnings or financial position or performance are also forward
                                                                                                                                                                  financial information, in addition to information regarding its IFRS
    to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and        looking statements.
                                                                                                                                                                  statutory information.
    does not take into account the investment objectives, financial            Forward looking statements involve inherent risks and
                                                                                                                                                                  The Company considers that this non-IFRS financial information is
    situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be             uncertainties, both general and specific, and there is a risk that
                                                                                                                                                                  important to assist in evaluating the Company’s performance. The
    considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an       such predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward looking
                                                                                                                                                                  information is presented to assist in making appropriate
    investment is appropriate.                                                 statements will not be achieved. Forward looking statements are
                                                                                                                                                                  comparisons with prior periods and to assess the operating
    NEC, its related bodies corporate and any of their respective              provided as a general guide only, and should not be relied on as an
                                                                                                                                                                  performance of the business.
    officers, directors and employees (“NEC Parties”), do not warrant          indication or guarantee of future performance. Forward looking
                                                                                                                                                                  For a reconciliation of the non-IFRS financial information contained
    the accuracy or reliability of this information, and disclaim any          statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainty and other
                                                                                                                                                                  in this presentation to IFRS-compliant comparative information,
    responsibility and liability flowing from the use of this information by   factors which can cause NEC’s actual results to differ materially
                                                                                                                                                                  refer to the Appendices of this presentation.
    any party. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the NEC                 from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions
                                                                               expressed in such forward looking statements and many of these                     All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless otherwise
    Parties do not accept any liability to any person, organisation or
                                                                               factors are outside the control of NEC. As such, undue reliance                    stated.
    entity for any loss or damage suffered as a result of reliance on this
    document.                                                                  should not be placed on any forward looking statement. Past
                                                                               performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and
                                                                               no representation or warranty is made by any person as to the
    Forward Looking Statements
                                                                               likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forward looking
    This document contains certain forward looking statements and
                                                                               statements, forecast financial information or other forecast. Nothing
    comments about future events, including NEC’s expectations about
                                                                               contained in this presentation nor any information made available to
    the performance of its businesses. Forward looking statements can
                                                                               you is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise, representation,

2                                                                                       CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                                                                                                 2
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Hugh Marks
            Chief Executive Officer

CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                  3
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
POSITIVE FTA         6.5M+ REGISTERED USERS ON      STRONG SECOND HALF
    HIGHLIG HTS    RATINGS & REVENUE          9NOW, REPORTING 90%        SUBSCRIBER GROWTH AT
                   SHARE MOMENTUM               REVENUE GROWTH         STAN TO 1.1M-PLUS ACTIVES
       FY18

                  46% GROWTH IN DIGITAL     ROLL-OUT OF AUTOMATED         BUILD OUT OF FIRST
                   PUBLISHING EBITDA, EX        SALES PLATFORM             PARTY DATA BASE
                       BING & 9NOW
4                                                                                 Full Year Results Aug 2018
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Greg Barnes
            Chief Financial Officer

CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                  5
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Momentum Across All Businesses

                                                         GROUP
              GROUP                                      EBITDA                                            DPS                    NET DEBT
             REVENUE                                      +25%                                           10.0 CPS                  $121M
               +6%                                      TO $257M

     $M                                                                                     FY18                         FY17          VARIANCE

     REVENUE 1                                                                         1,318.2                          1,237.8            +6%

     GROUP EBIT DA1                                                                     257.2                           205.6              +25%

     EBIT 1                                                                             220.5                           170.3              +29%

     NPAT 1                                                                             156.7                           123.6              +27%

     STATUTORY NET PROFIT/(LOS S)                                                       209.7                           (203.4)             NM

     BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE 1                                                             18.0                         14.2              +27%

     EARNINGS PER SHARE, STATUTORY -
                                                                                            24.1                        (23.4)               NM
     CENTS

     DIVIDEND PER SHARE – CENTS                                                             10.0                          9.5             +0.5C

6                            CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                           1
                                                                                                                                                  6
                                                                                                                                     Full Year Results Aug 2018
    Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.       Before Specific Items
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Television Results Underpinned by Improved Market and Share

            METRO                                    NINE’S                                       23%                              FTA
              FTA                                SHARE 38.6%1                                 GROWTH IN                         COSTS +2%^
            MARKET                                (+2.9% PTS)                                  PREMIUM
             +2.5%1                                                                              REVS                            ^1% EX LICENCE

                                                                                                                                FEE/EXTRA WEEK
                                                                                                                                     IMPACT

     $M                                                                                              FY18             FY17              VARIANCE

     REVENUE                                  PREMIUM AD REVENUE                                    175.5             143.0                 +23%

                                              OTHER2                                                976.9             937.4                 +4%

     TOTAL REV                                                                                     1,152.4            1,080.4                +7%

     TOTAL COSTS                                                                                    914.2             892.1                  +2%

     EBITDA                                   TELEVISION                                            238.2             188.3                 +26%

7                   Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.                             Full Year Results Aug 2018
      1 T hink T V, 12 months to June 2018 2 Includes traded ad revenue, affiliates, sub -licence and other revenue
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Digital Growth Driven by 9Now

                                                               9NOW
                                                              REVENUE                                       DIGITAL
                    9NOW                                                                                                                             TOTAL
                                                               +89%1                                      PUBLISHING
                  STREAMS                                                                                                                            DIGITAL
                                                                                                           REVENUE
                    +93%                                                                                                                             COSTS
                                                                EBITDA                                        +5%
                                                                                                                                                       +5%
                                                                 ~3X1

         $M                                                                                                          FY18                    FY17          VARIANCE

          REVENUE                             9NOW                                                                   40.8                    21.6             +89%

                                              DIGITAL PUBLISHING                                                     125.0                   119.0             +5%

                                              OTHER2                                                                  0                      14.1                -

          TOTAL REV                                                                                                  165.8                   154.7             +7%

          TOTAL COSTS                                                                                                131.7                   125.8             +5%

          EBITDA                              9NOW                                                                   19.4                     5.3            +266%

                                              DIGITAL PUBLISHING                                                     14.7                    10.1             +46%

                                              OTHER2                                                                  0                      13.6                -

          TOTAL EBITDA                                                                                               34.1                    28.9             +18%

8   Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.   1   F Y18 cf F Y17   2   Bing-related revenues              Full Year Results Aug 2018
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Subscribers Race Through One Million

    ACTIVE              SUBSCRIPTION                                       OPERATING       EBITDA LOSS
     SUBS                 REVENUE                                            COSTS          DOWN 50%
     1.1M+                  +72%                                              +23%
                                                                                              Q4 VS Q1
    AUGUST 2018                 FY18 VS FY17                                FY18 VS FY17

    •   More than 1.1m active subscribers after record May-June-July adds
    •   Clear local leader in market, with engaged and growing audiences
    •   Losses consistently declining with Q4 less than 50% of Q1 EBITDA loss
    •   Strong content line-up to come in H2 CY18 including Better Call Saul, Who Is America,
        Escape From Dannemora and Bloom
    •   Subscriber base offers content creators/owners an attractive path to market

9                       Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions.                            Full Year Results Aug 2018
FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
Strong Cashflow on Improved Working Capital
     $M                                                                                                H1 FY18              H2 FY18               FY18                FY17

     EBITDA                                                                                                  180.9           75.2                 256.1               205.4

     WORKING CAPITAL                                                                                          0.6            (19.7)               (19.1)              (62.6)

     LICENCE/SPECTRUM FEE TIMING                                                                             (1.3)            5.9                  4.6                (34.8)

     ASSOCIATES                                                                                               0.5             0.5                  1.0                 1.2

     OPERATING CASH FLOW, PRE SPECIFIC ITEMS, TAX AND
                                                                                                             180.7           61.9                 242.6               109.2
     INTEREST

     CASH IMPACT OF WARNER ONEROUS PROVISION                                                             (33.0)              (10.0)               (43.0)              (47.5)

     OTHER SPECIFIC ITEMS                                                                                    (5.3)           (0.7)                (6.0)               (7.1)

     INTEREST & TAX                                                                                      (13.1)              (19.4)               (32.5)              (58.8)

     STATUTORY CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES                                                           129.3           31.8                 161.1               (4.2)

                                                                         Net Debt – June 2018

           224.5                    242.6
                                                                                        87.1                         78.5              98.3                   121.3
                                                             32.5
     Opening Net Debt at 1   Underlying Operating        Tax and Interest             Dividends          Other including sale of Long term investment Net Debt at 30 Jun 2018
           July 2017                 cash                                                                 properties ($135m), incl. CapEx ($32m), Stan
                                                                                                                Warners           ($27m), Pedestrian

10                   Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.                                            Full Year Results Aug 2018
Michael Stephenson
            Chief Sales Officer

CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT              11
Premium Integrated Partnerships Driving Revenue Growth

         200+                             +23%1                                              +15%1         +53%1
        MAJOR                            REVENUE                                           GROWTH IN     GROWTH IN
     ADVERTISERS                         GROWTH                                              SPORT     ENTERTAINMENT

        •   Premium revenue now accounts for 15% of total revenue
        •   Over 100 new premium relationships up year on year
        •   Premium digital and IP revenue growing

12                 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definition s.   1   Year to June 2018                  Full Year Results Aug 2018
Focussed on Delivering Full Funnel Marketing Solutions

                                                                Television

            Brand
                                                                Print
          Awareness

                                                                Radio

                                                                             Advanced Audience Targeting
                                                                                     (Virtual OZ)
           Brand
        Consideration                                           BVOD

         Conversion
          & Sales
                                                                Digital

                                                                                Addressable Advertising
                                                                               (6.5 million declared IDs)

13                Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definition s                          Full Year Results Aug 2018
Advanced Audience Targeting Delivering New Revenue Growth

                   Advanced Audience Targeting                             Addressable Advertising
       Delivery of more targeted and more effective advertising    Delivery of addressable advertising across
       against audience segments across television and 9Now       device using 6.5 million declared 9Now users
                           using Virtual OZ

14                                                                                                     Full Year Results Aug 2018
9Galaxy – The Most Advanced Buying Experience

                                              Nine’s proprietary sales & traffic technology sits at the
                                                                 centre of 9Galaxy

        Genesis is used to on-board client briefs and                                               GamePlan dynamically optimises the delivery
     optimise schedules against forecast OzTAM ratings                                              of all campaigns maximising the utilisation of
                                                                                                                    our inventory

                                              9Predict accurately predicts our audiences every day
                                                   for 12 months using 65 million data points

                                                         Development Roadmap

                      9Galaxy 2.0                                     9Galaxy 3.0                                      9Galaxy 4.0
                   BVOD integrated into                  Virtual OZ plus Nine IDs to be added               New technology to enable trading
                        9Galaxy                            to enable audience based buying                  across all Nine inventory sources
15
Hugh Marks
               Chief Executive Officer

CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                     16
Primary Drivers of Value Creation

     Premium advertising solutions at scale
     •   Ability to trade integrated solutions across key platforms
     •   Underpinned by a significant shared first party data proposal

     Domain
     •   Significant opportunity given market share and share discount to market leader
     •   Enhanced by Nine’s proven brand-building capabilities
     •   Continue to drive growth of transactional businesses

     News
     •   Distinct brands utilising the resources of the leading video-led news room in Australia
     •   With distribution capabilities across TV, digital, print and radio enabling incremental
         investment in content

     Stan
     •   Enables optimisation of content acquisition and distribution across FTA, BVOD, SVOD and
         digital

     Cost synergies
     •   Annualised, pro forma estimate of at least $50m, implemented over two years

     Changing mix of earnings with an increasing contribution
     from high growth assets
17                                                                                                 Full Year Results Aug 2018
Time line to Nine-Fairfax merger completion

            Early                  17                                                   14                Early
                                                             November
           October               October                                             November           December

         Scheme Booklet    Payment of Final Dividend         Scheme Meeting    Annual General Meeting   Completion

     •   To be sent to       •   5.0c fully franked to   •   Fairfax           •   11am in Sydney
         Fairfax                 NEC shareholders            shareholders to
         shareholders                                        vote
         following court
         approvals

18                                                                                                        Full Year Results Aug 2018
Current Trading

     Metro September Qtr FTA revenues are trading ~1% ahead of same time last year
     Core Sept Qtr digital revenues 1 are pacing ~15% ahead for the same period

     Outlook for FY19

           FTA Television                             9Now                                Digital Publishing            Group EBITDA

       •   Metro market                  •    Positive                                •    Growth in Digital        •   Between $280m-
           forecast ~1%                       momentum at                                  Publishing across            $300m
           growth in FY19                     both industry and                            all verticals
                                              share level
       •   Share growth on
           FY18                          •    Introduction of
                                              targeting
       •   Costs down 2-3%                    capabilities in
                                              August 2018
19                   Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions.   1   excludes CarAdvice and Pedestrian T V            Full Year Results Aug 2018
Appendix

CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT         20
Appendix 1. Specific Items

     $M                                                                                     H1 FY18                                 H2 FY18    FY18

     PROFIT ON DISPOSAL OF PROPERTIES                                                          78.2                                  (1.3)      76.9

     RESTRUCTURING COSTS                                                                       (3.2)                                 (2.6)      (5.8)

     DERIVATIVE REVALUATION                                                                   (12.9)                                 (1.8)     (14.7)

     OTHER                                                                                        -                                   0.3        0.3

     TOTAL SPECIFIC ITEMS BEFORE TAX                                                           62.1                                  (5.4)      56.7

     TOTAL TAX RELATING TO SPECIFIC ITEMS                                                      (4.2)                                  0.4       (3.8)

     NET SPECIFIC ITEMS AFTER TAX                                                              57.9                                  (5.0)      52.9

21                                                   CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                                                               21
                                                                                                                                              Full Year Results Aug 2018
                                            Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.
Appendix 2. Sports Contracted Rights Costs

     $M                                        FY18       FY19                          FY20                    FY21      FY22            FY23

     NRL

     CASH COSTS                                (66.8)     (96.3)                      (111.2)                   (107.5)   (116.2)         (30.0)

     P&L COSTS                                 (94.8)     (102.5)                     (117.5)                   (120.0)   (122.5)         (65.0)

     FOXTEL SIMULCAST REVENUE                   9.0

     TENNIS (PRE ANY SALE OF INCREMENTAL
     RIGHTS)

     CASH COSTS                                (10.0)     (38.5)                       (60.0)                   (60.0)    (60.0)          (60.0)

     P & L COSTS                                          (48.5)                       (60.0)                   (60.0)    (60.0)          (60.0)

     CRICKET

     CASH COSTS                                (80.0)

     P & L COSTS                               (91.0)

22                                                      CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                                                  22
                                                                                                                                    Full Year Results Aug 2018
                                                             Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions.
Appendix 3. Debt and Leverage Calculations

     $M                                                                    30 JUN 2018                                         31 DEC 2017    30 JUN 2017

     INTEREST BEARING LOANS AND BORROWINGS                                     (157.6)                                               144.1       291.2

     LESS: CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS                                             36.4                                                 97.8       66.7

     NET DEBT/(CASH)                                                            121.3                                                 46.2       224.5

     NET LEVERAGE                                                               0.5X                                                 0.2X        1.1X

23                                                             CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                                                          23
                                                                                                                                                   Full Year Results Aug 2018
                                                      Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.
Appendix 4. Glossary
     ARPU – Average Revenue Per User                                       SF – Short form
     BVOD – Broadcast Video on Demand                                      Specific Items – Amounts as set out in Note 1.4 of the 30 June
     EBITDA – Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and              2018 Statutory Accounts
     amortisation , before Specific Items                                  Statutory Accounts – Audited or auditor reviewed, consolidated
     Encore – Any broadcast on any Nine channel, post the initial run      financial statements
     FTA – Free-to-air                                                     Statutory Net Profit/(Loss) – Net Profit/(Loss) for the period
     FY – Full year                                                        before other comprehensive income/loss
     Group EBITDA – EBITDA plus share of Associates’ net profit            Statutory Reported – Extracted from the Statutory Accounts
     H1 – 6 months to December                                             SVOD – Subscription Video On Demand
     LF – Long form                                                        VPM – Video Player Measurement. Captures minute by minute
                                                                           data relating to online TV content played on demand or live
     Metro – Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth
                                                                           streamed
     Net Cash – Cash less interest bearing loans and borrowings
     Net Debt – Gross debt per the balance sheet less available cash
     Net Leverage – Net Debt divided by Group EBITDA (last 12
     months)
     NM – Not meaningful
     Net Profit after Tax (NPAT) – Net profit after tax, before Specific
     Items
     Network – Combination of Channels 9, 9Go!, 9Gem and 9Life
     Operating Cash Flow – EBITDA adjusted for changes in working
     capital and other non-cash items plus dividends received from
     Associates. Excludes cash relating to the Specific Items and the
     cash impact of the Warners onerous provision
     Premium Revenue – premium revenue includes branded content,
     product and brand integration, the use of IP,
     talent and social, primarily linked to key entertainment franchises
     and sport
     Revenue – Operating revenue, excluding interest income and
     Specific Items, and after the elimination of inter-segment revenue

24                                                                                CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT                                                24
                                                                                                                                            Full Year Results Aug 2018
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