FY18 RESULTS BRIEFING - 23 August 2018 - Nine ...
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Disclaimer Important Notice and Disclaimer generally be identified by the use of forward looking words such as, warranty or guarantee as to the past, present or the future This document is a presentation of general background information ‘expect’, ‘anticipate’, ‘likely’, ‘intend’, ‘should’, ‘could’, ‘may’, ‘predict’, performance of NEC. about the activities of Nine Entertainment Co. Holdings Limited ‘plan’, ‘propose’, ‘will’, ‘believe’, ‘forecast’, ‘estimate’, ‘target’ and (“NEC”) current at the date of the presentation, (23 August 2018). other similar expressions within the meaning of securities laws of Pro Forma Financial Information The information contained in this presentation is of general applicable jurisdictions. Indications of, and guidance on, future The Company has set out in this presentation certain non-IFRS background and does not purport to be complete. It is not intended earnings or financial position or performance are also forward financial information, in addition to information regarding its IFRS to be relied upon as advice to investors or potential investors and looking statements. statutory information. does not take into account the investment objectives, financial Forward looking statements involve inherent risks and The Company considers that this non-IFRS financial information is situation or needs of any particular investor. These should be uncertainties, both general and specific, and there is a risk that important to assist in evaluating the Company’s performance. The considered, with or without professional advice, when deciding if an such predictions, forecasts, projections and other forward looking information is presented to assist in making appropriate investment is appropriate. statements will not be achieved. Forward looking statements are comparisons with prior periods and to assess the operating NEC, its related bodies corporate and any of their respective provided as a general guide only, and should not be relied on as an performance of the business. officers, directors and employees (“NEC Parties”), do not warrant indication or guarantee of future performance. Forward looking For a reconciliation of the non-IFRS financial information contained the accuracy or reliability of this information, and disclaim any statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainty and other in this presentation to IFRS-compliant comparative information, responsibility and liability flowing from the use of this information by factors which can cause NEC’s actual results to differ materially refer to the Appendices of this presentation. any party. To the maximum extent permitted by law, the NEC from the plans, objectives, expectations, estimates and intentions expressed in such forward looking statements and many of these All dollar values are in Australian dollars (A$) unless otherwise Parties do not accept any liability to any person, organisation or factors are outside the control of NEC. As such, undue reliance stated. entity for any loss or damage suffered as a result of reliance on this document. should not be placed on any forward looking statement. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance and no representation or warranty is made by any person as to the Forward Looking Statements likelihood of achievement or reasonableness of any forward looking This document contains certain forward looking statements and statements, forecast financial information or other forecast. Nothing comments about future events, including NEC’s expectations about contained in this presentation nor any information made available to the performance of its businesses. Forward looking statements can you is, or shall be relied upon as, a promise, representation, 2 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 2
POSITIVE FTA 6.5M+ REGISTERED USERS ON STRONG SECOND HALF HIGHLIG HTS RATINGS & REVENUE 9NOW, REPORTING 90% SUBSCRIBER GROWTH AT SHARE MOMENTUM REVENUE GROWTH STAN TO 1.1M-PLUS ACTIVES FY18 46% GROWTH IN DIGITAL ROLL-OUT OF AUTOMATED BUILD OUT OF FIRST PUBLISHING EBITDA, EX SALES PLATFORM PARTY DATA BASE BING & 9NOW 4 Full Year Results Aug 2018
Momentum Across All Businesses GROUP GROUP EBITDA DPS NET DEBT REVENUE +25% 10.0 CPS $121M +6% TO $257M $M FY18 FY17 VARIANCE REVENUE 1 1,318.2 1,237.8 +6% GROUP EBIT DA1 257.2 205.6 +25% EBIT 1 220.5 170.3 +29% NPAT 1 156.7 123.6 +27% STATUTORY NET PROFIT/(LOS S) 209.7 (203.4) NM BASIC EARNINGS PER SHARE 1 18.0 14.2 +27% EARNINGS PER SHARE, STATUTORY - 24.1 (23.4) NM CENTS DIVIDEND PER SHARE – CENTS 10.0 9.5 +0.5C 6 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 1 6 Full Year Results Aug 2018 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding. Before Specific Items
Television Results Underpinned by Improved Market and Share METRO NINE’S 23% FTA FTA SHARE 38.6%1 GROWTH IN COSTS +2%^ MARKET (+2.9% PTS) PREMIUM +2.5%1 REVS ^1% EX LICENCE FEE/EXTRA WEEK IMPACT $M FY18 FY17 VARIANCE REVENUE PREMIUM AD REVENUE 175.5 143.0 +23% OTHER2 976.9 937.4 +4% TOTAL REV 1,152.4 1,080.4 +7% TOTAL COSTS 914.2 892.1 +2% EBITDA TELEVISION 238.2 188.3 +26% 7 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding. Full Year Results Aug 2018 1 T hink T V, 12 months to June 2018 2 Includes traded ad revenue, affiliates, sub -licence and other revenue
Digital Growth Driven by 9Now 9NOW REVENUE DIGITAL 9NOW TOTAL +89%1 PUBLISHING STREAMS DIGITAL REVENUE +93% COSTS EBITDA +5% +5% ~3X1 $M FY18 FY17 VARIANCE REVENUE 9NOW 40.8 21.6 +89% DIGITAL PUBLISHING 125.0 119.0 +5% OTHER2 0 14.1 - TOTAL REV 165.8 154.7 +7% TOTAL COSTS 131.7 125.8 +5% EBITDA 9NOW 19.4 5.3 +266% DIGITAL PUBLISHING 14.7 10.1 +46% OTHER2 0 13.6 - TOTAL EBITDA 34.1 28.9 +18% 8 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding. 1 F Y18 cf F Y17 2 Bing-related revenues Full Year Results Aug 2018
Subscribers Race Through One Million ACTIVE SUBSCRIPTION OPERATING EBITDA LOSS SUBS REVENUE COSTS DOWN 50% 1.1M+ +72% +23% Q4 VS Q1 AUGUST 2018 FY18 VS FY17 FY18 VS FY17 • More than 1.1m active subscribers after record May-June-July adds • Clear local leader in market, with engaged and growing audiences • Losses consistently declining with Q4 less than 50% of Q1 EBITDA loss • Strong content line-up to come in H2 CY18 including Better Call Saul, Who Is America, Escape From Dannemora and Bloom • Subscriber base offers content creators/owners an attractive path to market 9 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. Full Year Results Aug 2018
Strong Cashflow on Improved Working Capital $M H1 FY18 H2 FY18 FY18 FY17 EBITDA 180.9 75.2 256.1 205.4 WORKING CAPITAL 0.6 (19.7) (19.1) (62.6) LICENCE/SPECTRUM FEE TIMING (1.3) 5.9 4.6 (34.8) ASSOCIATES 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.2 OPERATING CASH FLOW, PRE SPECIFIC ITEMS, TAX AND 180.7 61.9 242.6 109.2 INTEREST CASH IMPACT OF WARNER ONEROUS PROVISION (33.0) (10.0) (43.0) (47.5) OTHER SPECIFIC ITEMS (5.3) (0.7) (6.0) (7.1) INTEREST & TAX (13.1) (19.4) (32.5) (58.8) STATUTORY CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES 129.3 31.8 161.1 (4.2) Net Debt – June 2018 224.5 242.6 87.1 78.5 98.3 121.3 32.5 Opening Net Debt at 1 Underlying Operating Tax and Interest Dividends Other including sale of Long term investment Net Debt at 30 Jun 2018 July 2017 cash properties ($135m), incl. CapEx ($32m), Stan Warners ($27m), Pedestrian 10 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding. Full Year Results Aug 2018
Michael Stephenson Chief Sales Officer CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 11
Premium Integrated Partnerships Driving Revenue Growth 200+ +23%1 +15%1 +53%1 MAJOR REVENUE GROWTH IN GROWTH IN ADVERTISERS GROWTH SPORT ENTERTAINMENT • Premium revenue now accounts for 15% of total revenue • Over 100 new premium relationships up year on year • Premium digital and IP revenue growing 12 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definition s. 1 Year to June 2018 Full Year Results Aug 2018
Focussed on Delivering Full Funnel Marketing Solutions Television Brand Print Awareness Radio Advanced Audience Targeting (Virtual OZ) Brand Consideration BVOD Conversion & Sales Digital Addressable Advertising (6.5 million declared IDs) 13 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definition s Full Year Results Aug 2018
Advanced Audience Targeting Delivering New Revenue Growth Advanced Audience Targeting Addressable Advertising Delivery of more targeted and more effective advertising Delivery of addressable advertising across against audience segments across television and 9Now device using 6.5 million declared 9Now users using Virtual OZ 14 Full Year Results Aug 2018
9Galaxy – The Most Advanced Buying Experience Nine’s proprietary sales & traffic technology sits at the centre of 9Galaxy Genesis is used to on-board client briefs and GamePlan dynamically optimises the delivery optimise schedules against forecast OzTAM ratings of all campaigns maximising the utilisation of our inventory 9Predict accurately predicts our audiences every day for 12 months using 65 million data points Development Roadmap 9Galaxy 2.0 9Galaxy 3.0 9Galaxy 4.0 BVOD integrated into Virtual OZ plus Nine IDs to be added New technology to enable trading 9Galaxy to enable audience based buying across all Nine inventory sources 15
Hugh Marks Chief Executive Officer CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 16
Primary Drivers of Value Creation Premium advertising solutions at scale • Ability to trade integrated solutions across key platforms • Underpinned by a significant shared first party data proposal Domain • Significant opportunity given market share and share discount to market leader • Enhanced by Nine’s proven brand-building capabilities • Continue to drive growth of transactional businesses News • Distinct brands utilising the resources of the leading video-led news room in Australia • With distribution capabilities across TV, digital, print and radio enabling incremental investment in content Stan • Enables optimisation of content acquisition and distribution across FTA, BVOD, SVOD and digital Cost synergies • Annualised, pro forma estimate of at least $50m, implemented over two years Changing mix of earnings with an increasing contribution from high growth assets 17 Full Year Results Aug 2018
Time line to Nine-Fairfax merger completion Early 17 14 Early November October October November December Scheme Booklet Payment of Final Dividend Scheme Meeting Annual General Meeting Completion • To be sent to • 5.0c fully franked to • Fairfax • 11am in Sydney Fairfax NEC shareholders shareholders to shareholders vote following court approvals 18 Full Year Results Aug 2018
Current Trading Metro September Qtr FTA revenues are trading ~1% ahead of same time last year Core Sept Qtr digital revenues 1 are pacing ~15% ahead for the same period Outlook for FY19 FTA Television 9Now Digital Publishing Group EBITDA • Metro market • Positive • Growth in Digital • Between $280m- forecast ~1% momentum at Publishing across $300m growth in FY19 both industry and all verticals share level • Share growth on FY18 • Introduction of targeting • Costs down 2-3% capabilities in August 2018 19 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. 1 excludes CarAdvice and Pedestrian T V Full Year Results Aug 2018
Appendix CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 20
Appendix 1. Specific Items $M H1 FY18 H2 FY18 FY18 PROFIT ON DISPOSAL OF PROPERTIES 78.2 (1.3) 76.9 RESTRUCTURING COSTS (3.2) (2.6) (5.8) DERIVATIVE REVALUATION (12.9) (1.8) (14.7) OTHER - 0.3 0.3 TOTAL SPECIFIC ITEMS BEFORE TAX 62.1 (5.4) 56.7 TOTAL TAX RELATING TO SPECIFIC ITEMS (4.2) 0.4 (3.8) NET SPECIFIC ITEMS AFTER TAX 57.9 (5.0) 52.9 21 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 21 Full Year Results Aug 2018 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.
Appendix 2. Sports Contracted Rights Costs $M FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21 FY22 FY23 NRL CASH COSTS (66.8) (96.3) (111.2) (107.5) (116.2) (30.0) P&L COSTS (94.8) (102.5) (117.5) (120.0) (122.5) (65.0) FOXTEL SIMULCAST REVENUE 9.0 TENNIS (PRE ANY SALE OF INCREMENTAL RIGHTS) CASH COSTS (10.0) (38.5) (60.0) (60.0) (60.0) (60.0) P & L COSTS (48.5) (60.0) (60.0) (60.0) (60.0) CRICKET CASH COSTS (80.0) P & L COSTS (91.0) 22 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 22 Full Year Results Aug 2018 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions.
Appendix 3. Debt and Leverage Calculations $M 30 JUN 2018 31 DEC 2017 30 JUN 2017 INTEREST BEARING LOANS AND BORROWINGS (157.6) 144.1 291.2 LESS: CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENTS 36.4 97.8 66.7 NET DEBT/(CASH) 121.3 46.2 224.5 NET LEVERAGE 0.5X 0.2X 1.1X 23 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 23 Full Year Results Aug 2018 Refer to glossary in Appendix 4 for definitions. T otals may not add due to rounding.
Appendix 4. Glossary ARPU – Average Revenue Per User SF – Short form BVOD – Broadcast Video on Demand Specific Items – Amounts as set out in Note 1.4 of the 30 June EBITDA – Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and 2018 Statutory Accounts amortisation , before Specific Items Statutory Accounts – Audited or auditor reviewed, consolidated Encore – Any broadcast on any Nine channel, post the initial run financial statements FTA – Free-to-air Statutory Net Profit/(Loss) – Net Profit/(Loss) for the period FY – Full year before other comprehensive income/loss Group EBITDA – EBITDA plus share of Associates’ net profit Statutory Reported – Extracted from the Statutory Accounts H1 – 6 months to December SVOD – Subscription Video On Demand LF – Long form VPM – Video Player Measurement. Captures minute by minute data relating to online TV content played on demand or live Metro – Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth streamed Net Cash – Cash less interest bearing loans and borrowings Net Debt – Gross debt per the balance sheet less available cash Net Leverage – Net Debt divided by Group EBITDA (last 12 months) NM – Not meaningful Net Profit after Tax (NPAT) – Net profit after tax, before Specific Items Network – Combination of Channels 9, 9Go!, 9Gem and 9Life Operating Cash Flow – EBITDA adjusted for changes in working capital and other non-cash items plus dividends received from Associates. Excludes cash relating to the Specific Items and the cash impact of the Warners onerous provision Premium Revenue – premium revenue includes branded content, product and brand integration, the use of IP, talent and social, primarily linked to key entertainment franchises and sport Revenue – Operating revenue, excluding interest income and Specific Items, and after the elimination of inter-segment revenue 24 CONFIDENTIAL - DRAFT 24 Full Year Results Aug 2018
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