Fresno County Employees' Retirement Association (FCERA) - May 2021 - County of ...
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Aksia Presenting Team Jim Vos Partner, CEO Patrick Adelsbach Partner, Head of Credit Strategies Tim Nest, CFA Managing Director, Head of Private Credit Research Lynn O’Connell, CAIA Portfolio Advisor 2
Aksia – At A Glance $240bn+ 316 of AUA1 Professionals2 Client Centric Business Model 90+ >3,000 Institutional Clients1 Integrated Due Diligence Reports3 Founded in 2006 Front-to-Back Approach $10bn+ 3.1 of AUM1 Staff to Client Ratio1 100% Employee 7 Offices Owned Globally All references to Aksia herein refer to Aksia LLC, together with its wholly owned subsidiaries (collectively, “Aksia”) 1As February 28, 2021. Total AUA (inclusive of AUM) is defined as NAV plus unfunded commitments. Represents investments currently tracked and monitored by Aksia’s Client Operations team. AUM includes fully discretionary accounts or accounts where the client retains veto authority 2As of March 31, 2021 3As of December 31, 2020 3
Our Professionals Team Size Aksia Professionals' Average Industry Experience (Years) ODD & Risk 35 Investment 76 Research, Investment Research1 Senior, 17.5 professionals Total, 7.3 Operational Due 55 23 Advisory & Operations Diligence1 Portfolio Senior, 20.2 Client professionals Total, 8.1 Risk Management 26 Legal, IT, & Senior, 15.0 12 Admin professionals Total, 10.1 Portfolio Advisory 43 0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 Client Operations 64 Headcount by Function Type Legal & Compliance 10 Information Technology 19 34% 16% 50% Administration 23 Legal, IT, Investment Research, Portfolio Advisory & Client Operations & Admin ODD & Risk 316 As of March 31, 2021 1Of the 76 Investment Research professionals, 23 spend some or all of their time covering Private Credit strategies as well as 3 members of the relevant investment committee or the investment research team specialized in niche strategies that can be expressed through Private Credit vehicles. Operational Due Diligence professionals are generalists and cover all asset classes 4
Private Credit Team Resources 26 Investment Research Professionals Patrick Adelsbach, Partner Tim Nest, Managing Director Head of Credit Strategies Head of Private Credit Research 23+ years of experience 21+ years of experience Supporting Resources Mike Krems, Partner Simon Fludgate, Partner Dan Krivinskas, Partner1 Head of Co-Investments Head of Operational Due Diligence Head of Real Estate Research 18+ years of experience 18+ years of experience Kara King, Partner Head of Client Operations & Risk Management Joshua Hemley, Managing Director Maiko Nanao, Managing Director Co-Investments Investment Research, Asia Steve Beckett 12+ years of experience 21+ years of experience Head of Private Markets Risk + Brian Goldberg, Managing Director1 Leo Fletcher-Smith, Senior Vice President Event Driven & Multi-Strategy European Private Credit Strategy Head ▪ 54 Operational Due Diligence 14+ years of experience 14+ years of experience ▪ 14 Risk Management ▪ 57 Client Operations Kevin Hitchen, Senior Vice President1 Antonis Antypas, Global Head of Analytics Head of Large Cap Buyouts 12+ years of experience 12+ years of experience Ping Xu, Head of Hong Kong Office Filip Malaric, Vice President 17+ years of experience 7+ years of experience Ilya Riskin, Vice President 15+ years of experience 5 Senior Associates | 4 Associates | 4 Analysts As of March 31, 2021. Includes Investment Research, Risk Management and Client Operations professionals that spend some or all of their time covering Private Credit strategies as well as members of the relevant investment committee or the investment research team specialized in niche strategies that can be expressed through Private Credit vehicles (noted with “1”). Operational Due Diligence professionals are generalists and cover all 5 asset classes.
Aksia Private Credit Key Aksia Private Credit Statistics $59bn in Total AUA Due Diligence on >600 PC 26 Investment Research 85+ PC $5bn AUM1 Opportunities2 Professionals Sub-strategies Client Investments in >55% Fund Size 200 Unique GPs1 >50% Global or Outside US2 Professionals Sourced LTM3 ▪ Active in the Private Credit asset class since 2010 Seasoned Credit Team ▪ Deep credit research coverage and local presence across the global markets ▪ Synergies across public and private markets activities ▪ Proactive opportunistic idea generation Thematic Approach ▪ Market and deal insights enhanced through broader platform relationships ▪ Global network of LPs, GPs, intermediaries Deep Sourcing Channels ▪ Activities in PE, RA, RE and HF further complement credit sourcing efforts and market insights ▪ Proprietary tech platform houses information on over 2,900 private credit opportunities ▪ Anchor/seed deals, primaries, SMAs, dislocation vehicles, co-investments and secondaries Flexible Capital Base ▪ Increasingly active managing credit-focused customized separate account mandates 1As of February 28, 2021 2As of December 31, 2020 3As of March 31, 2021. Based on initial communications with Managers. Includes deal flow from Aksia LLC and Aksia TorreyCove Capital Partners prior to the combination of the businesses on March 31, 2020. Approximately $58mm has been invested in the last twelve months preceding September 30, 2020 6
Private Credit Coverage DISTRESSED DIRECT LENDING SPECIALTY FINANCE STRUCTURED CREDIT REAL ESTATE CREDIT REAL ASSETS CREDIT & SPECIAL SITUATIONS U.S. Direct Lending Corporate Distressed Consumer & SME Lending CLO U.S. CRE Core Lending Infrastructure Lending Senior Stress / Distressed Trading Marketplace Finance CLO Debt U.S. CRE Core Lending Senior Focus Opportunistic Influence / Control Lender/Platform Finance CLO Multi Sub-IG Focus LMM (sponsored) Diversified Distressed Captive CLO Equity U.S. CRE Transitional Mezz Focus LMM (non-sponsored) Factoring & Receivables 3rd Party CLO Equity Lending Private BDCs Real Estate Distressed Factoring & Receivables Large Loan Energy Credit Industry Focused Real Estate Distressed CRE Middle Market Energy Lending Regulatory Capital Relief Non-Agency CRE B-Piece Small Balance Energy Mezzanine Lending Revolvers NPLs Regulatory Capital Relief Agency CRE B-Piece Opportunistic Opportunistic European Direct Lending NPLs CMBS/CRE Healthcare Royalties U.S. CRE Bridge Lending Trade Finance Senior Opportunistic Capital Solutions Healthcare Royalties RMBS Large Loan Trade Finance Capital Solutions RMBS Middle Market Lower Middle Market Music/Film/Media Country-Specific Funds Small Balance Metals & Mining Finance PC Special Situations Royalties Consumer ABS Metals & Mining Finance Emerging Markets Lending PC Special Situations Music/Film/Media Consumer ABS European CRE Lending Royalties Bridge Agricultural Credit Asian PE Special Situations Esoteric ABS Transitional Agricultural Credit African PE Special Situations Oil & Gas Minerals Esoteric ABS Core CEE/Middle East Transportation Latin American Royalties Distressed-for-Control Oil & Gas Minerals Europe Structured Credit EM CRE Lending Aviation Lending Pan-EM European Structured Credit Maritime Lending Distressed-for-Control Royalties EM CRE Lending Road & Rail Lending Global Direct Lending Structured Credit Multi- Global Metals Royalties Residential Mortgages Transportation Lending Metals Royalties Sector Residential NPLs (Multi) Structured Credit Multi- Single Family Rental Healthcare Lending Sector Mortgage Servicing Rights MEZZANINE Healthcare Lending Residential Origination Venture Lending U.S. Mezzanine Venture Lending Upper Middle Market Middle Market Insurance Linked Credit Lower Middle Market Diversified Life Insurance European Mezzanine Non-Life Insurance European Mezzanine Litigation Finance Structured Equity Litigation Finance Structured Equity Merger Appraisal Rights Merger Appraisal Rights PE Portfolio Finance PE Portfolio Finance 7
Private Credit Coverage – Three Main Areas DISTRESSED DIRECT LENDING SPECIALTY FINANCE STRUCTURED CREDIT REAL ESTATE CREDIT REAL ASSETS CREDIT & SPECIAL SITUATIONS U.S. Direct Lending Corporate Distressed Consumer & SME Lending CLO U.S. CRE Core Lending Infrastructure Lending Senior Stress / Distressed Trading Marketplace Finance CLO Debt U.S. CRE Core Lending Senior Focus Opportunistic Influence / Control Lender/Platform Finance CLO Multi Sub-IG Focus LMM (sponsored) Diversified Distressed Captive CLO Equity U.S. CRE Transitional Mezz Focus LMM (non-sponsored) Factoring & Receivables 3rd Party CLO Equity Lending Private BDCs Real Estate Distressed Factoring & Receivables Large Loan Energy Credit Industry Focused Real Estate Distressed Regulatory Capital Relief Cash Flow CRE Non-Agency CRE B-Piece Middle Market Small Balance Energy Lending Energy Mezzanine Lending Revolvers NPLs Regulatory Capital Relief Agency CRE B-Piece Opportunistic Opportunistic European Direct Lending NPLs CMBS/CRE Healthcare Royalties Senior Distressed Healthcare Royalties RMBS U.S. CRE Bridge Lending Trade Finance Cash Flow Opportunistic Lower Middle Market Capital Solutions Capital Solutions Music/Film/Media RMBS Large Loan Asset- Middle Market Trade Finance Asset-Based Country-Specific Funds Small Balance Metals & Mining Finance PC Special Situations Royalties Consumer ABS Based Metals & Mining Finance Emerging Markets Lending PC Special Situations Music/Film/Media Consumer ABS European CRE Lending Royalties Bridge Agricultural Credit Asian PE Special Situations Esoteric ABS Transitional Agricultural Credit African PE Special Situations Oil & Gas Minerals Esoteric ABS Core CEE/Middle East Latin American Distressed-for-Control Royalties Asset-Based Europe Structured Credit EM CRE Lending Transportation Aviation Lending Pan-EM Oil & Gas Minerals Distressed-for-Control Royalties European Structured Credit EM CRE Lending Maritime Lending Global Direct Lending Cash Flow Metals Royalties Structured Credit Multi- Residential Mortgages Road & Rail Lending Transportation Lending Global Metals Royalties Sector Residential NPLs (Multi) Structured Credit Multi- Single Family Rental Healthcare Lending Sector Mortgage Servicing Rights MEZZANINE Healthcare Lending Residential Origination Venture Lending U.S. Mezzanine Venture Lending ▪ Cash Flow – lending strategies that primarily rely on cash generation from Upper Middle Market Middle Market Insurance Linked Credit ongoing company operations as collateral Lower Middle Market Diversified ▪ Asset-Based – lending strategies that primarily target hard assets as collateral Cash Flow European Mezzanine Life Insurance Non-Life Insurance ▪ Distressed – strategies focused on buying in the secondary markets at a discount European Mezzanine Litigation Finance to intrinsic value (i.e., investor returns driven by capital gains rather than yield) Structured Equity Litigation Finance Structured Equity Merger Appraisal Rights Merger Appraisal Rights PE Portfolio Finance PE Portfolio Finance 8
FCERA Private Credit Exposure DISTRESSED DIRECT LENDING SPECIALTY FINANCE STRUCTURED CREDIT REAL ESTATE CREDIT REAL ASSETS CREDIT & SPECIAL SITUATIONS U.S. Direct Lending Corporate Distressed Consumer & SME Lending CLO U.S. CRE Core Lending Infrastructure Lending Senior Stress / Distressed Trading Marketplace Finance CLO Debt U.S. CRE Core Lending Senior Focus Opportunistic Influence / Control Lender/Platform Finance CLO Multi Sub-IG Focus LMM (sponsored) Diversified Distressed Captive CLO Equity U.S. CRE Transitional Mezz Focus LMM (non-sponsored) Factoring & Receivables 3rd Party CLO Equity Lending Private BDCs Real Estate Distressed Factoring & Receivables Large Loan Energy Credit Industry Focused Real Estate Distressed CRE Middle Market Energy Lending Regulatory Capital Relief Non-Agency CRE B-Piece Small Balance Energy Mezzanine Lending Revolvers NPLs Regulatory Capital Relief Agency CRE B-Piece Opportunistic Opportunistic European Direct Lending NPLs CMBS/CRE Healthcare Royalties U.S. CRE Bridge Lending Trade Finance Senior Opportunistic Capital Solutions Healthcare Royalties RMBS Large Loan Trade Finance Capital Solutions RMBS Middle Market Lower Middle Market Music/Film/Media Country-Specific Funds Small Balance Metals & Mining Finance PC Special Situations Royalties Consumer ABS Metals & Mining Finance Emerging Markets Lending PC Special Situations Music/Film/Media Consumer ABS European CRE Lending Royalties Bridge Agricultural Credit Asian PE Special Situations Esoteric ABS Transitional Agricultural Credit African PE Special Situations Oil & Gas Minerals Esoteric ABS Core CEE/Middle East Transportation Latin American Royalties Distressed-for-Control Oil & Gas Minerals Europe Structured Credit EM CRE Lending Aviation Lending Pan-EM European Structured Credit Maritime Lending Distressed-for-Control Royalties EM CRE Lending Road & Rail Lending Global Direct Lending Structured Credit Multi- Global Metals Royalties Residential Mortgages Transportation Lending Metals Royalties Sector Residential NPLs (Multi) Structured Credit Multi- Single Family Rental Healthcare Lending Sector Mortgage Servicing Rights MEZZANINE Healthcare Lending Residential Origination Venture Lending U.S. Mezzanine Venture Lending Upper Middle Market Middle Market Insurance Linked Credit Lower Middle Market Diversified Life Insurance European Mezzanine Non-Life Insurance European Mezzanine Litigation Finance [Black] Carlyle Accounts Structured Equity Litigation Finance [Blue] Legacy Portfolio Structured Equity Merger Appraisal Rights Merger Appraisal Rights PE Portfolio Finance PE Portfolio Finance 9
Target Returns Vary Considerably By Strategy Sector Median Net Target Returns* Low Medium High Real Estate Direct Real Mezzanine Specialty Structured Distressed & Credit Lending Assets Finance Credit Special Sits Credit Strategy Median Net Target Returns* Median Target Net IRR Metal & Mining Finance Structured Credit Multi-Sector Energy Credit CLO European Mezzanine Factoring & Receivables Emerging Markets Lending US CRE Transitional Lending Residential Mortgages Corporate Distressed Infrastructure Lending US Mezzanine Regulatory Capital Relief Royalties US CRE Core Lending Venture Lending CRE Structured Equity European Direct Lending Special Situations US CRE Bridge Lending RMBS European CRE Lending Insurance Linked US Direct Lending Litigation Finance Global Direct Lending Real Estate Distressed Consumer ABS PE Portfolio Finance Transportation Healthcare Lending Consumer & SME Lending Low Medium High *Data is sourced from Aksia’s internal database, as of December 31, 2020. Target Sector and Strategy returns are representative of information provided by the managers of funds that are in Aksia’s database. Not all funds are included in the analysis due to insufficient amount of data. Target returns are not indicative of future performance. 10
Private Credit Manager Sourcing Manager Selection Comprehensive Coverage Real Estate Credit 11% Real Assets Credit Direct Lending 28% Preliminary Review 7% By Sector > 2,910 programs Specialty Finance 12% Mezzanine 2% Further Review Structured Credit 8% > 1,780 programs Distressed & Special Situations 32% Due Diligence > 640 programs Americas EMEA By Geography 49% 17% Asia Pacific 6% 8,000 60 7,000 50 Global 28% 6,000 40 5,000 $mm Mega Micro 4,000 30 9% 6% Small By Fund Size 3,000 19% Micro: ≤ 200mm 20 Small: 200-500mm 2,000 Large Mid: 500mm-1bn 34% 10 Large: 1-3bn 1,000 Mega: > 3bn 0 0 Mid 2019 2020 32% Client Commitments ($mm) Unique Programs *Data is sourced from Aksia’s internal database, as of December 31, 2020, excluding legacy Aksia TorreyCove and Aksia Chicago’s private credit coverage. Client commitments represent Aksia (Private Credit). Coverage by geography and fund size is representative of the universe of investment programs (onshore & offshore count as one) on which Aksia has conducted due diligence (IDD, ODD, or Insights Report). 11
Aksia Proposal FCERA could consolidate the entire PC program, including legacy portfolio investments, within a Fund-of-One FCERA Fund-of-One Proposal (sole investor) • Customized to FCERA’s objectives • Access niche strategies & unique “Yosemite” Aksia exposures more efficiently Fund-of-One (appointed GP) • Full back-office operations & accounting support on new & legacy investments • Aksia leverages our scale when negotiating fund terms on behalf of Legacy Legacy New New New New FCERA Funds Funds Fund Fund Fund Fund • Fee transparency: Aksia does not earn any fees from the underlying funds & we have no products to place clients in Simplicity: Fund-of-One would be one line item for performance & reporting purposes 12
Benefits of Aksia Proposal Aksia Investment Management Expertise Actively manage $5bn in discretionary Private Credit portfolios Flexible Direct Fund Simplify Operations Legal & Structuring Governance Ownership & Reporting Support Client chooses desired Fo1 owns underlying Consolidate legacy & Experienced legal team level of involvement in positions and capacity future PC investments that negotiates on the investment process into one portfolio and FCERA’s behalf overall line item Customization Transparency Fee Discounts High Conviction Co-investments Managers Sole investor in Fo1; Transparency into Leverage the size of Leverage Aksia’s Invest selectively in portfolio tailored to underlying Aksia’s broader client extensive research no/low fee co- specific objectives investments & base to negotiate and advisory investment and constraints position-level lower fees resources opportunities exposures* *Subject to GP cooperation 13
Aksia’s Private Credit Performance As of September 30, 2020 (USD Billions) Total Gains Total Invested Total Distributions (realized and unrealized) $15.6 billion $4.9 billion $2.1 billion Initial Gross Net Gross Net Asset Class Invested Distributed Unrealized Total Value Investment TVPI TVPI IRR IRR Private Credit Jun-10 $15.6 $4.9 $12.7 $17.7 1.13x 1.13x 8.9% 8.5% Please refer to page 25 for a description of methodology and the end of these materials for important information. These pro-forma performance returns are being presented to illustrate the performance as if all investments were in a single portfolio and are not necessarily indicative of future results. Investors may lose all or part of their invested capital. 14
Private Credit Fee Discounts • Aksia has a structured program for actively negotiating fee discounts generally based on aggregating advisory clients’ investments • All fee discounts flow 100% to clients • Fee discounts are generally made available to eligible clients to view via Aksia’s investor portal Currently negotiated deals by: Sector AUM Micro Mega 2% 9% 16% Small 4% 11% 30% 11% Mid 22% 9% Large 49% 37% Direct Lending & Mezzanine Distressed & Special Situations Micro: ≤ 200 million Small: 200-500 million Mid: 500-1 billion Large: 1-3 billion Real Estate Credit Specialty Finance Mega: > 3 billion Real Assets Credit Structured Credit *Aksia’s active negotiated private credit fee deals as of December 31, 2020. Fee deals are only available to advisory clients who subscribe to our client operations and accounting support services. Sector and AUM breakout is by program. “Program” = onshore and offshore count as one program. 15
Questions? Thank you! 16
Appendix 17
Private Credit Co-Investment Sourcing Last 12 months as of March 31, 2021 • Approximately $3.1 billion in total private credit co-investment deal flow shown to Aksia • 101 unique private credit co-investments sourced over this same time period • 71 distinct managers showed Aksia private credit co-investment opportunities Private Credit Co-Investment Sourcing by Sector Co-Investment Sourcing by Geography 2% 1% 9% 13% 16% 6% 44% 20% 74% 12% 3% North America Europe Global Not Defined Credit - Corporate Credit - Real Assets Credit - Real Estate Specialty Finance Structured Credit Distressed & Special Situations Not Defined Based on initial communications with Managers. Includes deal flow from Aksia LLC and Aksia TorreyCove Capital Partners prior to the combination of the businesses on March 31, 2020. There is no guarantee that an investor can participate in any identified co-investment. 18
Private Markets Client Operations The Client Operations Team serves as an extension of client’s staff allowing clients to focus on investments rather than administrative functions • Investment Activity PORTFOLIO ACCOUNTING IN MAX • Workflows • Checks and Balances • Analytics • Attribution • Sector/Structure • Strategy • Vintage Year • Geography • Cash Flows • Valuation • Performance • Exposures • Documents • Benchmarks PERFORMANCE REPORTING • Onboarding1 TRANSACTIONS SUMMARY *For Illustrative purposes only 1May be at an additional cost if clean data is unavailable and Aksia is required to reconstruct the portfolio’s history 19
Risk Analytics Private Market Alternatives Risk exposures in Company- the context of Investment- specific risk the portfolio specific risk Risk Profile Return Attribution, Outlier and Trend Analysis1 Contexts Financials Vintage Industry Revenue Leverage Holding Period Asset Class EBITDA Valuation Bridges Geography Deal-type Capital Structure Covenants Aggregated Portfolio Risk Reporting ▪ Position Level Exposures ▪ Asset Class / Region / Industry ▪ Net / Gross Exposure Available to Advisory clients and subject to the GP’s cooperation and provision of such data to Aksia. 1Analysis is tailored to the asset class. The metrics listed are a subset of the metrics we request, and they are relevant in a variety of the asset classes covered under this process. 20
“MAX” – Investor Portal • View performance and various statistics at the aggregated portfolio level Holdings Shadow Accounting • Dissect performance and exposure by sector/strategy sleeves or vintage • Portfolio pacing by investment/harvest period Aggregated Portfolio Analysis Fund Profiles Due Diligence Risk Analysis Reports Fund & Portfolio Fund Screener Customizable Reports *Provided for illustration purposes only 21
Short-Term Private Credit Capital Markets Assumptions Expected Sector N ormalized N et R etu rn Volatility Direct Lending 8.9% 7.5% Mezzanine 8.1% 12.3% Distressed & 12.5% 15.1% Private Credit Special Sits Specialty Finance 10.9% 13.1% Structured Credit 8.8% 12.1% Real Estate Credit 14.2% 13.8% Real Assets Credit 8.6% 7.6% Investment Grade 1.4% 5.3% Public Credit Hig h Yield 2.4% 11.6% Syndicated Bank 2.6% 4.1% Loans Emerg ing Markets 4.6% 11.6% Debt Distressed & Event 3.6% 5.7% Credit Hedge Driven Fund Long /Short Credit 5.6% 7.1% Please see page 26 for a description of methodologies. NO RELIANCE ON FORECASTS: Any projections, forecasts or market outlooks provided herein should not be relied upon as events which will occur and no assurances can be given that a particular strategy will perform in a manner consistent with its historical characteristics, or that forecasts, expected volatility or market impact projections will be accurate. Use of this reference material does not assure any level of performance or guarantee against loss of capital. Neither Aksia nor any of its representatives make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided herein. Neither Aksia nor any of its representatives shall have any liability relating to or resulting from the use of this reference material or any errors therein. 22
Aksia Presenting Team Biographies Jim Vos is CEO of Aksia and has over 35 years of alternative investments, research and derivatives experience. He is responsible for the overall management of Aksia as well as the design of the firm’s research and advisory processes. Prior to joining Aksia, Jim was a Managing Director and headed Credit Suisse’s Hedge Fund Investment Group from its inception through December 2005, which grew to over $8 billion AUM. His 20-year career at Credit Suisse also included working in the Portfolio Strategies group, running a research desk in Tokyo, managing the firm’s FLP trading desk and working within the Credit Suisse Financial Products derivatives trading boutique. Jim graduated from the University of Pennsylvania with a BS in Economics. In 2009 and 2010, he was recognized as Hedge Fund Consultant of the Year by Institutional Investor. In 2016, he was recognized as Consultant of The Year by Chief Investment Officer. Patrick Adelsbach is Head of Credit Strategies and has over 23 years of financial markets experience including 20 years focused on research and investment management. He oversees private and public credit strategies, and works with clients to integrate credit strategies within their portfolios. Patrick led the creation of Aksia’s private credit business and has worked with the institutional investor community to help transition private credit as an institutional asset class. Prior to joining Aksia, he was a Director and Head of the Event Driven and Fixed Income Emerging Markets sector team at Credit Suisse and began his career in 1997 at Capital One Financial Corporation. Patrick graduated cum laude from the Jerome Fisher Program in Management and Technology at the University of Pennsylvania, contemporaneously earning a BS in Economics from the Wharton School and a BAS in Systems Engineering from the School of Engineering and Applied Science. 23
Aksia Presenting Team Biographies Tim Nest is a Managing Director on the Investment Research team and has over 21 years of experience in alternative investments with a primary focus in private markets. He manages the global private credit investment research professionals responsible for sourcing, conducting due diligence, evaluating and monitoring of these strategies. Prior to joining Aksia in 2015, Tim spent several years as a Vice President at Frontier Capital Advisors, a secondary investment firm. Before that, Tim worked for GSC Group, focusing on two credit-based funds including the firm's distressed corporate credit and structured credit strategies. Tim began his career as an Analyst in PwC's Corporate Finance practice. Tim graduated from Boston College with a BS in Finance and Information Systems (dual degree). He holds an MBA in Corporate Finance and Law and Business from the Leonard N. Stern School of Business at New York University with specializations in Corporate Finance and Law and Business. He is a CFA charterholder. Lynn O’Connell is a Portfolio Advisor primarily responsible for supporting clients based in North America in the management of their alternative investment programs. She also supports the Portfolio Advisory team in various client and business development projects. Prior to her current role, Lynn was a Senior Analyst on the Operational Due Diligence team focusing on assessing the operational, business, regulatory and fraud risks of alternative investment funds. While on the Operational Due Diligence team she worked with clients during the due diligence process, educating and advising them on operational risk considerations. Prior to joining Aksia in 2012, Lynn was as an Operations Associate at ICON Investments, an alternative investment manager, where she supported the legal, accounting, technology and investment departments. Lynn graduated from Binghamton University with a BS in Financial Economics. She has earned the CAIA designation. She is a member of 100 Women in Finance and was recognized as a Rising Star of Hedge Funds by Institutional Investor Magazine in 2017. 24
Aksia Private Credit Performance Methodology METHODOLOGY: Includes the performance of Aksia LLC’s, together with its wholly owned subsidiaries’ (collectively, “Aksia”) recommended private credit investments made by some discretionary and predominantly advisory clients as of September 30, 2020. Performance statistics are calculated through pooled cash flows of qualifying client investments; foreign-denominated investments are converted to USD using a constant FX rate defined at the commitment date of each individual investment. Cash flows and valuations for terminated relationships are included through the termination date and, if available, thereafter for so long as cash flow and valuation data are received by Aksia. The track record includes 294 client investments, representing 219 unique programs (where onshore and offshore count as one). Of the 294 investments, Aksia does not have any cash flow information for 15 investments or 5% of commitments, which have not been included. Upon request, Aksia can provide, the performance results of Aksia’s complete track record covering all alternative asset classes. PERFORMANCE NOTES: “Invested” includes the gross capital invested plus fees and expenses. “Distributed” represents total cash proceeds received. “Unrealized” equals the fair value of each respective Asset. There can be no assurance that the investments will be realized at these fair values and actual results may differ significantly. “Total Value” equals the sum of Distributed and Unrealized. “TVPI” is the quotient of Total Value over Invested. “Gross IRR” and “Gross TVPI” are presented net of expenses, management fees and carried interest charged by the underlying managers but does not include Aksia’s fees or performance compensation. “Net IRR” and “Net TVPI” are net of management fees, expenses and carried interest charged by the underlying managers, and net of an assumed Aksia management fee of 40 bps. PAST PERFORMANCE: Past performance is not indicative of future results and should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of any future performance or prediction. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown herein, which are being shown for illustrative purposes and have not been experienced by any specific individual client account. The performance of a specific individual client account may vary substantially from the track record performance. In addition, certain assumptions have been made by Aksia in presenting the performance results herein. Therefore, no prospective client should assume that future performance will be profitable or equal either to the track record performance results. 25
Short-term Private Credit Capital Markets Assumptions Methodologies • The credit universe: We divide the credit universe into three groups (private, public and hedge fund credit). For the purposes of this analysis we concentrate on a subset of strategies within each sector as a proxy for the broader sector. • Net return calculation: There are five components that comprise the net return values for the private and public sectors, as detailed below. Although the Distressed and Special Situations sector typically does not invest in performing loans, we still approximate its returns using the same methodology as other credit strategies; we assume a riskier mix of component indices to reflect the sector’s risk relative to performing credit sectors. Returns for hedge fund credit sectors use an alternative methodology based on a trailing 120-month average total return on a representative HFRI index. • Risk free rate: Wherever floating rate instruments are most prevalent, a 5-year average of the forward 3-month LIBOR curve is used. For fixed rate instruments, a 5-year treasury rate is used. Risk free rates are as of July 29th, 2020. • Spread: For private credit sectors, we use a hierarchy of sources (Aksia’s proprietary databases, managers-reported returns and indices) to represent the current market spread (where applicable, upfront fees and OID are amortized and included in the spread). We use a public market index or a custom index based on credit rating, issuer size and geography in cases where they offer a better representation of the underlying asset class. • Losses: Calculated as an expected default rate multiplied by 1 minus the recovery rate. • Defaults: We typically stress a historical default rate for each sector to reflect our subjective outlook on the credit market during the projected period. For some sectors where default data is not readily available or we believe is not an accurate representation of default risk, we use public market data and adjust based on our view of the relative risk profile of the underlying assets. • Recovery: We typically stress a historical recovery rate to reflect our subjective outlook on the credit market during the projected period. For some sectors where recovery data is not readily available or we believe is not an accurate representation of the recovery risk, we use public market data and adjust based on our view of the relative risk profile of the underlying assets. • Fees: Private credit fees are calculated using Aksia’s proprietary databases of representative funds’ fee structures from recent vintages and account for the investment period management fee, hurdle and carry. Fees for managing public credit portfolios are estimated based on expected implementation costs. • Leverage: Applied where we believe fund-level leverage is usually employed and at typical market rates. • Normalized volatility calculation: Normalized to approximate the volatility of a liquid investment with similar credit risk and adjusted to account for Aksia’s outlook for the credit markets during the projected period. There are three components that comprise normalized volatility, as detailed below. • Proxy index: The historical annualized standard deviation over a lookback period of 9 to 12 years of a public market index that we believe most closely approximates the risk of each relevant credit sector. • Factor: A multiplier to adjust for our view of (1) the relative risk between the proxy index and the sector, (2) illiquidity, (3) lookback periods that do not include a market cycle and (4) our outlook of how risk will differ between the lookback and projected period. • Leverage: Wherever leverage is used the volatility is increased (i.e., 1:1 D/E doubles volatility). 26
Disclaimers THIS PRESENTATION IS PROVIDED PURSUANT TO FCERA’S REQUEST. CERTAIN INFORMATION IN THIS PRESENTATION REQUIRES FURTHER EXPLANATION AND SHOULD BE DISCUSSED WITH AKSIA. ACCORDINGLY, SUCH INFORMATION SHOULD NOT BE RELIED ON ABSENT SUCH DISCUSSIONS NO OFFERING: These materials do not in any way constitute an offer or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell funds, private investments or other securities mentioned herein. These materials are provided only in contemplation of Aksia’s research and/or advisory services. These materials shall not constitute advice or an obligation to provide such services. RELIANCE ON TOOLS AND THIRD-PARTY DATA: Certain materials utilized within this presentation reflect and rely upon information provided by fund managers and other third parties which Aksia reasonably believes to be accurate and reliable. Such information may be used by Aksia without independent verification of accuracy or completeness, and Aksia makes no representations as to its accuracy and completeness. Any use of the tools included herein for analyzing funds is at your sole risk. In addition, there is no assurance that any fund identified or analyzed using these tools will perform in a manner consistent with its historical characteristics, or that forecasts, expected volatility or market impact projections will be accurate. NOT TAX, LEGAL OR REGULATORY ADVICE: The Intended Recipient is responsible for performing his, her or its own reviews of any private investment fund it may invest in including, but not limited to, a thorough review and understanding of each fund’s offering materials. The Intended Recipient is advised to consult his, her or its tax, legal and compliance professionals to assist in such reviews. Aksia does not provide tax advice or advice concerning the tax treatments of a private investment fund’s holdings of assets or an investor’s allocations to such private investment fund. Tax treatment depends on the individual circumstances of each client and may be subject to change in the future. PRIVATE INVESTMENT FUND DISCLOSURE: Investments in private investment funds involve a high degree of risk and investors could lose all or substantially all of their investment. Any person or institution investing in private investment funds must fully understand and be willing to assume the risks involved. Some private investment funds may not be suitable for all investors. Private investment funds may use leverage, hold illiquid positions, suspend redemptions indefinitely, modify investment strategy and documentation without notice, short sell securities, incur high fees and contain conflicts of interests. Private investment funds may also have limited operating history, lack transparency, manage concentrated portfolios, exhibit high volatility, depend on a concentrated group or individual for investment management or portfolio management and lack any regulatory oversight. Past performance is not indicative of future results. RECOMMENDATIONS: Any Aksia recommendation or opinion contained in these materials is a statement of opinion provided in good faith by Aksia and based upon information which Aksia reasonably believes to be true. Recommendations or opinions expressed in these materials reflect Aksia’s judgment as of the date shown and are subject to change without notice. Except as otherwise agreed between Aksia and the Intended Recipient, Aksia is under no future obligation to review, revise or update its recommendations or opinions. 27
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