France : towards a universal pension system - Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades ...
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France : towards a universal pension system Berlin 22 June 2018 Fiscal sustainability and social systems Challenges and policy options for the next decades
SINCE 1993, MAJOR PENSION REFORMS HAVE BEEN CARRIED OUT. SIGNIFICANT EFFORT HAS BEEN MADE TO IMPROVE THE FINANCIAL SITUATION • 1993 (the « Balladur » reform) : review of the pension calculation formula (25/40 years) and price indexation • 2001 : creation of a Pensions Reserve Fund (FRR - Fonds de Réserve pour les Retraites) • 2003 (the « Fillon » reform) : extension of period of insurance required for a full-rate pension; long-career-based early retirement scheme • 2008 (special regimes’ reform) : gradual convergence with existing general regime (retirement age, period of insurance, contribution rates, indexation, bonuses and penalties, etc.) • 2010 (the « Woerth » reform) : increase of minimum retirement age from 60 to 62 years, full-rate retirement age from 65 to 67 years • 2014 (the « Touraine » reform) : extension of period of insurance required for a full-rate pension (period of insurance required : 43 years for those born from 1973) ; retirement from arduous work scheme (« arduous work risk prevention account”, now called “job risk prevention account”, includes an opportunity for workers to retire up to two years before the minimum retirement age or individual training 3
A FINANCIAL POSITION THAT IS CLOSE TO BALANCE RELATIVELY POSITIVE PROSPECTS Pension system’s financial balance (% of GDP) Pension system’s financial balance (→) 2017 : 0 % of GDP 2022 : - 0,2 % of GDP 2040 : +0,3 to -1% of GDP (1,8 to 1,0 % productivity) 2070 : +1,1 to -1,5 % of GDP (c.a.) Public pension spending (% of GDP) Public pension spending (↘) 2017 : 13,8 % of GDP 2022 : 13,5 % of GDP 2040 : 12,8 to 14,1 % of GDP (c.a.) 2070 : 11,6 to 14,4% of GDP (c.a.) 4
THE AVERAGE EFFECTIVE RETIREMENT AGE HAS INCREASED OVER RECENT YEARS (STARTED FROM A LOW BASE) Impact on labour market due to the effect of past Average effective age of retirement pension reforms : (by gender) • Increase in older workers employment rate • Continued increase even post-crisis • Marked increase in the 55- 59 group • Generations born between 1951 and 1955 : percentage of retirees at 61 years has decreased from 73 % to 34 %. Average effective age of retirement in 2016 : 61 y and 10 m • Women : 62 y and 1 m • Men : 61 y and 6 m Average effective age of retirement (projection)5
PENSIONERS’ HIGH STANDARD OF LIVING Standard of living of 65 years + One of the lowest elderly % average income of the population poverty rates in the OECD Total 65 à 74 ans 75 ans et plus 25,0 20,0 15,0 10,0 5,0 0,0 66 ans et plu s ( ↗) 6 6-75 ans 76 an s et plus Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance, indicator Source : Eurostat (2016) 6.1. Note : poverty threshold at 60 % of median household income 6
42 RÉGIMES EXPECTED DE RETRAITES YEARS EN 2018 IN RETIREMENT ARE RECORD HIGH Life expectancy France is indeed the OECD country and effective age of labour market with the longest average retirement exit (2016) espérance Eséprance de viede Expected vie résiduelle years after résiduelle à la sortie labour à la sortie du marché market du marché du period, mainly due 27 du travail travailexit 75 to early labour market exit (2016) âge deAge ofdu sortie labour marchémarket exit du travail (échelle de droite) Average Expecte Expecte effective d years d years Normal age of after at pensiona labour labour normal ble age market market pensiona 22 70 exit exit ble age France 61,6 60,2 25,6 24,2 OCDE 63,9 64,4 20,3 20,8 Differen - 2,3 - 4,2 + 5,3 + 3,4 tial 17 65 German 65 63,2 21,1 19,3 y Belgium 65 60,5 21,7 17,2 Italy 65 61,7 21,7 18,4 Swede 65 65,2 20,3 20,5 12 60 n Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance Source : OECD (2017), Pensions at a Glance Note : Normal pensionable age is shown for individuals retiring in 2016 and assuming labour market entry at age 20 7
A HIGH LEVEL OF INTRA-GENERATIONAL SOLIDARITY • A mixed system : both a contributory system and a non-contributory system • Redistribution aspects of the french pension system – Early retirement is possible for those with a disability, a long career, or a history of arduous work – Basic scheme and contributory minimum pensions – Periods credited as periods of insurance (periods of cessation of work in the case of sickness, maternity, disability, unemployment…) – Pensions increase for raising children, reversion for surviving spouses and ex- spouses – 20% of pensions rights (employees and public employees) provided through non-contributory schemes • Significant redistributive effects The minimum pension scheme and non-contributory benefits help achieve one of the lowest elderly poverty rates in the OECD. First-tier pensions and instruments for periods of unemployment and childcare generate substantial redistribution – Income earning : a one-to-six ratio – Retirement pensions : a one-to-four ratio (due to non-contributory benefits) 8
THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEEPLY FRAGMENTED : 42 PENSION SCHEMES (I) Legacy of history and professional status rationale : 42 mandatory retirement schemes Source : HCRR 9
THE SYSTEM REMAINS DEEPLY FRAGMENTED : 42 PENSION SCHEMES (II) • Unusually, in the private sector, the pension system has two public mandatory tiers: a general defined benefit scheme managed by Social Security (régime général) and a point system managed by social partners (régimes complémentaires, notably AGIRC-ARRCO), together representing about 70% of benefits paid (financed on a pay-as-you go basis) • The other 30% come from special regimes including those covering civil servants • Voluntary pensions play a limited role as many saving instruments benefit from tax incentives and target long-term savings • The complexity of the pension system comes from the duality of the mandatory system in the private sector and also from the substantial differences in the treatment of private-, public-sector workers and those covered by special regimes • Rules to compute contributory retirement pension and non-contributory benefits differ across schemes 10
A SYSTEM THAT CAN DISCOURAGE OCCUPATIONAL MOBILITY A typical case: a nurse could A single belong to five schemes during occupation her career Five different pension schemes Nurse in a Nurse in a Self-employed Working in a private clinic nurse medical humanita Régime général public hospital rian association Régime de base de la CARPIMKO Régime Régime général de Régime de général de la la sécurité base de la sécurité Caisse CARPIMKO sociale sociale ARRCO Nationale de Retraite des Agents des Régime Collectivités Régime complémentaire de Locales ARRCO complément ARRCO la CARPIMKO aire de la CARPIMKO CNRACL Source : HCRR 11
A FUNDAMENTAL NEED FOR THE PENSION SYSTEM TO ADAPT TO THE LABOUR MARKET Information on people's pension entitlements has improved recently, but a complexity issue Generations born between 1949 et 1992, all mandatory schemes combined (2017) : o In average, individuals belong to 3,1 pension schemes o 1/3 of individuals belong to 4 pension schemes o 250 000 people belong to 7 or more pension Source : GIP Union Retraite (inter- schemes institutional information agency on people's pension entitlements) 12
COMPLEXITY IS DETRIMENTAL TO THE TRUST IN THE SYSTEM • The French pension system faced various challenges : o The overall complexity feeds the impression that other groups might be treated favourably. o Risk of loss of confidence in the system and doubts about the sustainability of the pension system • A paradox : o Reforms over the last decades have improved the viability and continuity of the retirement pension system o Pensioners’ standard of living has never been higher o Distrust remains regarding the financial sustainability and the level of pensions in the future 13
Prospects MOVING TOWARDS A UNIVERSAL PENSION SYSTEM 14 14
THE REFORM PROPOSAL • Strong campaign commitment of the President of the French Republic • The reform proposal : “Our project is not to change this or that parameter of our pension system. It is to restore trust, (...) It is to clarify rules once for all, by installing a universal system, fair, transparent and sustainable (...) We will create a universal pension system where one euro contributed offers the same pension rights, whatever the period it was contributed, whatever the occupation or status of the person who contributed.” Emmanuel Macron, En Marche platform 15
THE UNIVERSAL PENSION SYSTEM : CLARITY, FAIRNESS AND SUSTAINABILITY The principles of the systemic reform : • From a professional status-based system to a universal system (common to active people) • All 42 mandatory pension schemes concerned • Renewed contributory principle: pension will be calculated on the basis of work-related earnings adjusted over the person's entire career (compared to earnings reference based on the average of the 25 best years in private sector or on the last six months preceding retirement in public sector today) • Renewed non-contributory principle: while preserving a high level of intra-generational solidarity, the universal pension system provides opportunities to review, update and align the non-contributory instruments • A common unit of account (points or notional accounts) • « For every euro contributed to the pension system, the same pension rights » • A balanced pension system from the date of its coming into force; 16
BEHIND THE UNIVERSAL PENSION SYSTEM, A COHESIVE AND INTEGRATED VISION OF SOCIETY A realistic but ambitious political project : • Solidarity between active people, whatever their status, so that trust is restored • Common non contributory benefits, so that fairness is guaranteed • Modernisation of the social protection system so that it encourages professional mobility A political project with fiscal and technical implications : • A balanced system from the date of its coming into force, • A review of contributory efforts • A reform which will improve transparency and facilitate management of the pension system (monitoring, correction of deviations), • An organisational transformation in the coming years 17
Prospects THE METHOD : REFORM EXPERIENCE, REFORM EXPERIMENT 18 18
HIGH COMMISSIONER FOR PENSION REFORM’S MANDATE • Appointment of a High Commissioner for Pension Reform, Mr Jean-Paul Delevoye (September 2017) High Commissioner in charge of the reform (with a team of special advisers) : o organise the dialogue with the main actors in the field of pensions (including social partners) o coordinate at the inter-ministerial level the preparation of the pension reform and the drafting of legislative and regulatory projects o monitor their implementation • Universal pension system under preparation in 2018 • Universal pension system Act expected to be voted on in 2019 • Gradual introduction of the universal pension system 19
Une méthode à confirmer – Un dialogue constructif, transparent et permanent AN OPEN METHOD : A TRANSPARENT, CONTINUOUS AND CONSTRUCTIVE DIALOGUE WITH SOCIAL PARTNERS AND CIVIL SOCIETY Communication of the results of the public participation HCRR CONCERTATION PARTICIPATION SOCIAL PARTNERS FINDINGS CITIZENS EXPECTATIONS Results of the public PROPOSALS participation used to inform parliamentarians Parliamentarians involved in citizens' workshops INFORMATION JOURNALISTS INFORMATION PARLIAMENTARIANS 20
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