FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY

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FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
2017
PREDICTIONS
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY
    ADAPT TO SUCCEED

        POSITIVE LUXURY
          BRANDS TO TRUST

       IN PARTNERSHIP WITH
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
P R E FAC E

                                With the global luxury market set to reach $326 billion by 2020,
                                Positive Luxury delves into the factors that companies must consider
                                to capture the hearts and minds of tomorrow’s consumers. Positive
                                Luxury’s research highlights the challenges and opportunities faced by
                                CEOs and industry leaders in the luxury lifestyle sector, serving as a
                                bellwether for the future of the retail industry as a whole.

                                Are luxury businesses adapting fast enough to match changing
                                consumer expectations? Do they need to? As predicting the future
                                based on past trends becomes harder and harder, how can the luxury
POSITIVE LUXURY

                                industry stay one step ahead?

                                          ABOUT POSITIVE LUXURY

                                Positive Luxury connects brands and consumers that care. Our mission
                                is to inspire people to buy better and influence brands to do better.
                                Positive Luxury awards the Butterfly Mark to brands demonstrating
                                positive efforts towards the craftsmanship, service and design of their
                                businesses.

                                Positive Luxury was founded in 2011 by Karen Hanton, MBE, founder
                                of toptable.com, and Diana Verde Nieto, pioneering sustainability
                                expert and named Luxury Women to Watch 2016.

                                         81 Leonard Street | London | EC2A 4QS
                                                 Te l : + 4 4 2 0 3 5 8 2 3 2 1 2
                                               hello@positiveluxury.com
                                                www.positiveluxury.com

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FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION : DIANA VERDE NIETO                                         |    4

FOREWORD : FOREVERMARK                                 |       5

1./ 2016 RECAP              |        6
      Case Study: Climate change and the green economy                                         |   10

2./ BUSINESS AS USUAL IS NOT AN OPTION :
    The changing face of luxury | 12
      Case Study: LSWOP - Luxury Sneakers to Rent                                   |     15

3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD :
    Uncertainty is the norm | 16

                                                                                                                                   POSITIVE LUXURY
      Ca s e St u d y : Fo reve r m a r k Di a m o n d s , a D e Be e r s Gro u p Co m p a ny                       |    20

4 . / FA S T LU X U RY
      The ‘Buy Now’ Revolution                         |       24
      Case Study: Reliance Brands                          |   28

5 . / W H O I A M , N O T W H AT I H AV E :
      The quest for status and the new consumer landscape                                                   |           30
      Case Study: Executive pay and big business                                |    33
      Case Study: Millennials in China | 34

6 . / A N AT I O N O F R O B O T S :
      Artificial intelligence & its impact on economic growth                                                   |        36
      Case Study: Sephora Chat | 40
      Case Study: Robots and GDP | 41
      C a s e S t u d y : A N e w M a r k e r o f We a l t h - U N S u s t a i n a b l e D e v e l o p m e n t G o a l s |    42

CONCLUSION             |        46

SOURCES        |     49

IMAGE REFERENCES                         |   50

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS                             |    51

                                                                                          2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t           3
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
INTRODUCTION
                        The past year saw political, economic and social shifts on a global scale, many of which
                        will have a longstanding impact on the way consumers behave and spend. How, then,
                        should the luxury industry respond?

                        Positive Luxury’s 2017 Predictions for the Luxury Industry report draws on our own
                        knowledge and that of the brands we work with. In compiling this report, Positive
                        Luxury also spoke to business leaders, academics and the banking sector to discern
                        and decode the 2017 trends that are most likely to influence the luxury sector.

                        We have found that businesses must be brave and willing to adapt if they are to succeed.
                        For 2017, this is set to manifest in a willingness to engage on a more personal level with
                        customers, to capitalise on social media data, and to collaborate with incoming content
                        and delivery models, amongst other actions. We highlight the companies which have
                        already started to do this, and identify pockets of opportunity for others to seize.

                        Quick pivots and new approaches can seem counter intuitive to luxury brands, many of
                        whom have spent decades – if not centuries – growing and establishing their hard-won
                        reputations. And so adaptation and evolution must, of course, be matched with careful
                        husbandry of brand history and heritage. Our research shows today’s consumers are as
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                        mindful as ever of the central pillars of luxury products – quality, craftsmanship, and
                        effective storytelling.

                        Yet we live in a world where information, likes and dislikes, ratings and reviews are
                        spread with growing speed. The luxury brands that succeed will be the ones that
                        demonstrate their value using innovative methods and platforms that appeal to today’s
                        technologically adept, social media-fluent consumers.

                        This is not the first time businesses have had to learn how to adapt quickly amidst
                        uncertainty. What can businesses do to drive positive change and build the best possible
                        results for themselves?

                        The very best brands consciously use themselves and their products as agents of positive
                        change and growth in society: they have purpose.

                        Our research identified the rise of a return to purpose for many traditional luxury
                        brands, and charts the growth of newcomers to the market who are succeeding by
                        sticking to their principles and providing solutions to pressing problems of societies.

                        As this report demonstrates, what makes a successful luxury brand today is different
                        to what it was even a year ago. This report sets out the very behaviours, attitudes and
                        understandings that are necessary to survive and thrive as a luxury retailer in 2017.

                                                                  Diana Verde Nieto
                                                                CEO, Positive Luxury

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FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
FOREWORD
To successfully manage a luxury business in 2017 requires the ability to navigate a
dizzying array of factors influencing the sector.

From changing perceptions of what luxury means, to communicating with a new
generation of consumer, the industry is changing at speed.

In the diamond market, which is home to Forevermark, attitudes towards consumption
are changing. Whilst the generation – the millennials - still value deeper relationships
and the traditions of marriage, with diamonds as a symbol of their belief in love and
forever, consumers are increasingly self-purchasing diamond jewellery to celebrate
personal milestones and to express their own individuality.

Globally, another trend is clear; consumers care more than ever about the story behind
their diamond. They are looking for a guarantee of superb quality, expert craftsmanship
and a sense of responsibility from the brand. At Forevermark we are intensely aware
of this, making long-term investments in communities around our mines through
educational, medical, conservation and social initiatives.

Luxury is no longer just about exquisite materials, perfect production quality and

                                                                                                    POSITIVE LUXURY
superb creativity. Luxury is the reassurance that the brand behaves consciously, lives
up to its values, and offers a deeper and more meaningful experience for consumers.
Purchasing patterns are changing and consumers are now “looking under the hood
and kicking the tyres” of luxury brands.

As this report demonstrates, the definition of luxury is evolving with time and across
geographies. At the start of 2017, it is up to the industry to help shape this meaning
and work towards a positive, dynamic future, for our consumers, our businesses, and
for societies at large.

                                  Costantino Papadimitriou
       Senior Vice President, Brand Strategy and Innovation,
                        Forevermark, a diamond brand from
                           The De Beers Group of Companies

                                                                 2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t     5
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
1./ RECAP

                    1/
 POSITIVE LUXURY

                        2016 RECAP

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FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
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2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t     7
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
2016 was a year marked by global       tourism hotspots. The effect            added to a volatile global
1./ RECAP

                   political changes that many saw        of the UK’s decision to leave           political climate, as the world
                   as a surprise: what the UK’s           the European Union (EU) on              navigates the transition from the
                   Financial Times editor Lionel          23 June, for example, created           Republican’s often inflammatory
                   Barber called “a thundering            Sterling depreciation which made        rhetoric to actual leadership
                   repudiation of the status quo.” [1]    the UK a temporary haven for            and policymaking. In business
                   The consequences of these shifts       foreign shoppers in Q3 2016. As         terms, this has translated into
                   in the luxury industry are already     prices in dollar terms fell, relative   a continued struggle for U.S.
                   being felt.                            spending power in UK stores             luxury brands, as they battled
                                                          increased, boosting tourism by          with a strong dollar and weak
                   The threat of terrorist attacks, the   8% in H2 2016 compared to the           local spending. In contrast,
                   slowdown of China’s economic           first half of the year. [3]             Latin Americans chose to focus
                   activity, geopolitical instability                                             on local spending, maintaining
                   and the exit of at least one           PwC projects UK economic                an upwards economic trend for
                   country from the Eurozone have         growth will slow to around 1.2%         Mexico and helping to improve
                   all grown as boardroom concerns        in 2017, down from 2% in 2016,          Brazil’s economic prospects [8].
                   over the past year, according to       [5] with regulatory and economic
                   consultant McKinsey’s survey           uncertainty dulling appetite for        Wherever they were spending in
                   of more than 1600 global chief         spending and investment.                2016, shoppers wanted discounts,
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                   executives [2].                                                                with cut-price products making
                                                          Outside Europe, China’s economic        for 75% of apparel purchase
                   Terrorism alone cast a long            slowdown in 2016 was significant        across all channels [9]. Outlet
                   shadow on global trade in 2016.        for the luxury sector, as a market      malls in China are set to double
                   Key sourcing regions, such as          that provided solid returns for         in number by 2020 [10], with
                   Turkey, suffered from attacks, and     many luxury houses after the            the EU also demonstrating
                   at the other end of the shopping       2008 financial crisis. Chinese          strong appetite for non-full price
                   chain, fears of further terrorist      GDP growth contracted to 6.7%           shopping.
                   activity dissuaded shoppers            in 2016, down from 7.3% in 2014
                   from visiting cities reliant upon      and 10.6% in 2010 [6]. Goldman
                   tourism spending for growth.           Sachs predicts a further fall to
                                                          6.5% in 2017, amidst what it calls
                   Longstanding     luxury     retail     a trend of “bumpy deceleration”
                   hub Paris suffered in 2016 as          for the country [7].
                   the city saw a 16.6% drop in
                   foreign tourists year-on-year.         Chinese citizens’ spending has
                   [3] Shoppers’ responses to             decreased in line with these
                   French unrest were particularly        figures. In 2016, China’s share of
                   pronounced from Japan, with            the global luxury goods market
                   a 39% drop, and a 23% drop in          total spend fell for the first time
                   Chinese tourists compared to           since records began, decreasing
                   2015. [4] Elsewhere, despite           from 31% in 2015 to 30% last
                   multiple attacks, Germany’s            year [8].
                   tourism grew slightly at 1.5% [3].
                                                          In the United States, Donald
                   Fluctuating currencies meant           Trump’s rise from television
                   some countries became unexpected       personality to President-elect

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FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
POSITIVE LUXURY
     OPINION : HELEN BRAND, UBS
    EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR, EUROPEAN
            LUXURY GOODS

“
I think the biggest shift in 2016
was probably the move away
from spending in Europe and
internationally by the Chinese
                                    The brands that are doing well
                                    are those that have constantly
                                    innovated.
                                                                     without denting your brand
                                                                     equity, which is difficult. It’s a
                                                                     question of how to capture that
                                                                     middle-class consumer.

                                                                                          ”
consumer and more towards           The biggest question mark for
spending in China, as the brands    next year is whether we see
brought down the relative           pricing return to the sector,
pricing between mainland            because we’ve had no price
China and Europe.                   increases for two years.
                                    We think growth when we look
A second shift is consumer          forward will probably come
behaviour. We are seeing an         from middle-class consumers,
increased focus on a desire         particularly out of China, so
for newness, and entry-level        it’s about making sure you’re
product, in a move away from        adapting your brand and your
some of the evergreen product.      offer towards that consumer

                                                                        2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t     9
FOR THE LUXURY INDUSTRY - ADAPT TO SUCCEED POSITIVE LUXURY
CASE STUDY

                  Climate change and the green economy
POSITIVE LUXURY

                  2015’s COP21 agreement in           sound alarming, they may be            American competitiveness. But
                  Paris was a landmark for the        difficult for the President-elect to   many U.S. multinationals have
                  green agenda. But while Donald      sustain in the long run.               already made their decision:
                  Trump’s anti-climate change                                                Amazon,       Facebook,    Wal-
                  views – he posted in a 2012         Trump is facing a global wall          Mart and Google are among
                  tweet that “The concept of global   of an opposing sentiment, as           the corporations which have
                  warming was created by and for      lenders, shoppers and politicians      invested in their own renewable
                  the Chinese in order to make U.S.   choose to invest in low-carbon         energy projects and committed
                  manufacturing non-competitive”,     technologies, products and             to reducing or eradicating their
                  told Fox News in January 2016       policies.                              carbon emissions.
                  “I think that climate change is
                  just a very, very expensive form    Trump told the New York Times          In Europe, coal consumption is
                  of tax”, and threats throughout     in November 2016 he will               at its lowest level since 1990 [11].
                  his presidential campaign to        consider “how much it will cost        Since then, EU renewable power
                  withdraw the U.S. from the Paris    our companies” and the effect          generation has tripled. It is also
                  climate change agreement – may      of accepting climate change on         the only power source whose use

10                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
continued to grow after the 2008
financial crisis. Bank of America,

                                                                                            1./ RECAP
JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup,
Morgan Stanley, Credit Suisse
and Wells Fargo are among the
banks that will no longer lend to
coal-based projects.

The migration of the investment
community, businesses, and
political    leaders     towards
carbon reduction, coupled with
an upcoming generation of
consumers educated in climate
change, is indicative of a global
low-carbon agenda, despite
Trump’s personal views.

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   A b ov e : A s o f A p r i l 2 0 1 5 ,
   a p p rox i m a t e l y 2 5 % o f p o w e r
   c o n s u m e d b y A m a zo n We b S e r v i c e s
   c o m e s f ro m re n e w a b l e e n e rg y
   s o u rc e s . T h e y h o p e t o b e p o w e re d
   b y 5 0 % re n e w a b l e e n e rg y by t h e
   e n d o f 2 0 1 7 . ( S o u rc e : A m a z o n)

                                                         2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   11
2./ BUSINESS AS USUAL IS NOT AN OPTION

                                            2/
        POSITIVE LUXURY

                                              BUSINESS
                                              AS USUAL
                                              IS NOT
                                              AN OPTION
                                              The Changing
                                              Face of Luxury
       12                                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
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2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   13
Luxury retailers must be prepared     reordering (using sensors to          The trend for convenient, on-
2./ BUSINESS AS USUAL IS NOT AN OPTION

                                         for and expect rapid change to        gauge when a product or supply        demand product will impact
                                         shopping models in 2017. High-        needs to be reordered to the          the luxury sector. Opportunities
                                         spend shoppers can increasingly       customer), guaranteed model           could arise through developing
                                         discern between brands that           upgrades (upgrades to new cars,       new ways to market and deliver
                                         are creating and delivering top       technology or luxury goods            product. Crucially, the old guard
                                         quality service and product and       for an annual fee or trade-in),       must learn how to collaborate,
                                         those which are not, aided by         renting rather than purchasing        rather than compete, with
                                         constantly improving technology       goods, and ‘do it for me’ – paying    innovative, young delivery and
                                         and access to always-available        for services like healthy cooking     subscription businesses.
                                         online browsing and comparison.       and laundry.

                                         As a generation of digital natives    Beauty is a vertical which
                                         emerges, these consumers have         continues to see strong growth,
                                         markedly different expectations       and the subscription model
                                         to the consumers which have           has worked particularly well
                                         come before them. Time and            in this sector. Prestige beauty

                                                                                                                                6
                                         ease are at a premium, and new        products doubled in growth
                                         business models are emerging to       post-Brexit, with sales up 6%
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                                         both please and meet the needs of     in the three months following
                                         time-poor, cash-rich consumers.       the UK referendum to leave the
                                                                               European Union, compared to
                                         Subscriptions, reordering, and        3% growth from January to June
                                         services that carry out or deliver    2016.
                                         activities or products seen as
                                         chores for young professionals        The strongest post-Brexit beauty
                                         – grocery shopping, cooking,          performers have been in the
                                         laundry – are growing. Rental         sale of niche fragrances (£125+)
                                                                                                                             EMERGING
                                         services giving subscribers access    and super premium skincare                  RETAIL MODELS
                                         to a wide range of premium            (£200+), both of which reported
                                         products are proliferating across     double digit growth. Luxury              1/ REPLENISHMENT
                                         sectors – the success of Netflix      subscription boxes, like the UK’s          SUBSCRIPTIONS
                                         and Amazon’s investment in            Cohorted, have seen success
                                         original content in 2016 being        offering customers miniature               2/ ‘SURPRISE ME’
                                         one example.                          versions of high-end beauty                 SUBSCRIPTIONS
                                                                               products [13].
                                         The World Economic Forum                                                    3/ SMART REORDERING
                                         has identified six retail models      The global luxury market grew
                                         it predicts will gain traction over   4% year-on-year to €1.08 trillion          4/ GUARANTEED
                                                                                                                         MODEL UPGRADES
                                         the next decade [12], and several     in 2016. E-commerce was the
                                         focus on subscription models.         strongest growth sector, and
                                                                                                                              5/ RENTING
                                         It names them ‘replenishment          there was evidence that luxury
                                         subscriptions’ (steady deliveries     consumers are directing their             6/ ‘DO IT FOR ME’
                                         of regularly bought products),        spending towards personal luxury
                                         ‘surprise me’ subscriptions (such     experiences, such as luxury travel,
                                         as Birchbox or Glossybox), smart      food, wine and fine art [8].               T h e Wo r l d Ec o n o m i c
                                                                                                                               Fo r u m , 2 0 1 6

    14                                   2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
CASE STUDY

LSWOP:

                                                                         2./ BUSINESS AS USUAL IS NOT AN OPTION
Luxury Sneakers
to Rent
Fittingly for a generation used
to renting, online luxe sneaker
rental brand LSWOP – a
portmanteau of ‘luxury swop’ –
rents out high-end trainers to its
millennial clients. In return for
a $150 monthly fee, members
can temporarily wear shoes by
designers including Pierre Hardy,
Rick Owens and Valentino.

U.S. founders Jinette Cordero and
Jonathan Escoffery say the model

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“provides members access to a
remarkable luxury experience,
changing the meaning of
ownership.” [14]

The service allows traditional
fashion houses to become
associated with an emerging
consumption        model       and
delivery service. It also caters to
a consumer that wants reliable,
predictable access to a rapidly
changing flow of luxury product:
one of the new tenets of customer
service in 2017.

                                      2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   15
3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD

                                         3/
       POSITIVE LUXURY

                                           WELCOME TO
                                           THE
                                           MILLENNIAL
                                           WORLD
                                           Uncertainty is the Norm
     16                               2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
POSITIVE LUXURY

2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   17
millennials – today’s 17 to 34 year   such as marriage and a home           that was marked in 2016 in
3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD

                                      olds – are mercurial consumers,       still prove to be major life goals    Asian markets. Agility Research
                                      characterised by increasing           for millennials. One of the most      and Strategy predict a decline
                                      scepticism, an acceptance of          interesting characteristics of the    in luxury retail in Singapore in
                                      constant flux, and a willingness      bridal jewellery category, for        2017, after it recorded a 15% drop
                                      to travel.                            example, is its ability to weather    in millennial interest in spending
                                                                            economic recessions better            more with luxury goods in the
                                      The lives of this age group in 2017   than other diamond jewellery          country.
                                      look and feel markedly different      categories. In the U.S., millennial
                                      to those of the generations           bridal diamond jewellery has          A thirst for luxury travel, however,
                                      that came before them. Solid          maintained growth since the late      is emerging in Asia, with the
                                      institutions and markers of           1990s, irrespective of economic       wealthy millennials surveyed
                                      adulthood – from marriage to          crises. The De Beers Group            from China, India, Singapore,
                                      mortgages – are still desirable,      attribute this to the increasing      Malaysia, Hong Kong, South
                                      but are being embraced at a later     affluence of newlyweds, as more       Korea and Taiwan all registering
                                      age. In the UK, owning a home         marriages now occur later in          above 71% as being interested in
                                      has become a financial difficulty     life when people are better           foreign travel in 2017. [16]
                                      for many. The millennial age          established and have higher
                                      bracket spends £53,000 on rent        incomes.                              Luxury which is immediate and
     POSITIVE LUXURY

                                      by the time they reach the age                                              ephemeral, such as fine wine,
                                      of 30 - £44,000 more than their       Yet in a culture of impermanence,     luxury groceries, travel and
                                      parents’ generation. In contrast,     a generation accustomed to            beauty is set to enjoy growth, as
                                      50 to 70-year-olds spent £9,000,      uncertainty, whether it be            consumers favour experiences.
                                      in today’s money. [15]                political, personal or economic
                                                                            has emerged. A desire for travel,     Social media is emerging as
                                      According to The De Beers             experiences, and authenticity from    a deeply valuable source of
                                      Group’s 2016 Diamond Insight          brands characterises millennial       millennial consumers’ intent.
                                      Report, traditional institutions      attitudes to consumption, a trend     Social image aggregator Pinterest,

    18                                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
for example, identified its top      decision, considering Pinterest       existing and emerging customers.

                                                                                                                                          3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD
consumer trends for 2017 by          posted a +300% increase in            Yet data analysts Brandwatch
analysing saved images and           searches related to snow, rather      discovered that 99.63% of
searches that had a considerable     than beach-based vacations            Twitter conversation on the 32
year-on-year increase in interest    for the last half of 2016. Agility    luxury fashion brands it analysed
(25% and higher), critical mass      Research and Strategy also noted      came from actual and potential
(more than 500k saves on a topic)    a growing interest from affluent      customers, rather than the
and a strong upward trend during     Asian millennials in skiing in late   brands themselves [18]. Savvy
the final three to six months of     2016.                                 companies will need to increase
2016.                                                                      their share of the current 0.37%
                                     A further opportunity for the         of conversation in the future.
Based on this data, the company      luxury industry lies in the fact
made predictions for 2017            that in the past year, Pinterest
trends. A 333% spike in charcoal     said 75% of its content came from
face masks in beauty, a +500%        businesses. Some 55% of its 100
increase in sew-on patches in        million users use the social image
women’s fashion, and a +1450%        aggregator to look and shop for
surge in images of cultural          products, saving businesses’
events saved as travel images        images and eventually clicking

                                                                                                                                                 POSITIVE LUXURY
were all recorded as indicators of   through to purchase them.              B o t to m , l e f t to r i g h t : Fo re ve r m a r k
millennial appetite in the coming                                           diamonds campaign; fashion editor

year. [17]                           But to date, luxury houses have        a n d I n s t a g ra m i n f l u e n c e r Lu c y
                                                                            W i l l i a m s a t S o n g S a a Re s o r t ( S o u rc e :
                                     lagged behind when it comes to         Lu c y W i l l i a m s a n d Dre a S o b i e s k i ) ;
This can help inform business        creating a relationship between        m i l l e n n i a l s h a ve a t h i r s t fo r t ra ve l
decisions. Luxury watchmakers        themselves and millennials on          a n d e x p e r i e n c e s ; c h a rc o a l m a s k s
                                                                            h a ve b e c o m e p o p u l a r i n t h e b e a u t y
IWC, for example, opened a           social media. Engaging with            i n d u s t r y ; I W C ’s n e w b o u t i q u e i n s k i
store in ski destination St Moritz   social media allows luxury             d e s t i n a t i o n St . Mo r i t z i n t h e Up p e r
in December 2016 – a timely          brands to learn about their            En g a d i n e ( S o u rc e : P P R / I W C ) .

                                                                               2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t                           19
CASE STUDY

                  Forevermark, a De Beers Group Company
POSITIVE LUXURY

                  Nearly seventy years after The       the livelihoods of the people and    particularly want to know where
                  De Beers Group of Companies          the land that produced it – a true   that product came from, and
                  coined the tagline “A Diamond        lifetime investment.                 want a lot more assurance that it
                  Is Forever,” diamonds still                                               has ‘done good’ on its way.”
                  hold their appeal as a symbol        When Forevermark first launched in
                  of permanence, strength and          2008, the brand was determined       Each Forevermark diamond is
                  beauty. But consumers are asking     to set new industry standards in     sourced from carefully selected
                  more questions and have higher       responsible sourcing practices       mines, and is cut, polished and
                  standards for their diamond          from rough to polished.              manufactured in a responsible
                  purchases than ever before.                                               way by approved partners
                                                       Going above and beyond the           that can comply with its strict
                  Forevermark, part of The De          Kimberley Process standards,         environmental,      social  and
                  Beers Group is a brand very          each Forevermark diamond             financial standards.
                  much focussed on engaging            is inscribed with a unique
                  with millennials who still crave     inscription number guaranteeing      At the start of the supply chain,
                  the romantic symbolism of a          its traceability and integrity.      Forevermark as part of The
                  diamond, but want to invest not      Stephen Lussier, Forevermark         De Beers Group invests in the
                  only in the diamond itself, but in   CEO, says: “Younger consumers        environment. For every hectare

20                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
B e l o w : Fo re ve r m a r k t ra c k s a n d m o n i t o r s e ve r y o n e o f i t s d i a m o n d s

                                                                                                                          3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD
t h ro u g h o u t i t s j o u r n e y f ro m t h e m o m e n t i t i s u n e a r t h e d . T h i s e n s u re s
t h a t e ve r y d i a m o n d i s c o n f l i c t - f re e , u n t re a t e d a n d c o m p l e t e l y n a t u ra l .
A s a c o m m i t m e n t t o i n t e g r i t y, a u n i q u e i d e n t i f i c a t i o n n u m b e r a l o n g
w i t h t h e Fo re ve r m a r k l o g o i s i n s c r i b e d o n e a c h d i a m o n d , a n d c a n o n l y
b e s e e n t h ro u g h a Fo re ve r m a r k V i e w e r.

                                                                                                                                POSITIVE LUXURY

                                                                2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t                          21
3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD

                                      R i g h t : Fo re v e r m a r k p o s i t i v e l y c o n t r i b u t e s t o
                                      t h e p ro t e c t i o n o f t h e n a t u ra l w o r l d t h ro u g h
                                      t h e Di a m o n d Ro u t e , a s e t o f 1 0 p ro p e r t i e s
                                      s p re a d a c ro s s S o u t h Af r i c a , B o t s w a n a a n d
                                      Na m i b i a . ( S o u rc e : A n n i e G r i f f i t h s)
      POSITIVE LUXURY

                                                                                                                      Le f t : Fo re ve r m a r k s u p p o r t s b u s i n e s s
                                                                                                                      i n i t i a t i ve s i n d i a m o n d p ro d u c i n g c o u n t r i e s .
                                                                                                                      L a u n c h e d i n 2 0 0 9 i n S o u t h Af r i c a , t h e
                                                                                                                      Z i m e l e Pro g ra m h e l p s p e o p l e t o s t a r t
                                                                                                                      o r g ro w t h e i r o w n b u s i n e s s e s . S o p h i a
                                                                                                                      M p h u t h i , a b e n e f i c i a r y o f t h e p ro g ra m m e ,
                                                                                                                      runs her own driving school.

                                      R i g h t : T h e Di a m o n d Ro u t e i s a b o u t m o re
                                      t h a n c o n s e r v a t i o n a l o n e . It s u p p o r t s l o c a l
                                      c o m m u n i t i e s a n d e c o n o m i c d e ve l o p m e n t
                                      t h ro u g h t o u r i s m a n d e d u c a t i o n . Ed u c a t i o n
                                      a n d h e a l t h c a re a re p r i o r i t i e s fo r a l l l o c a l
                                      c o m m u n i t i e s s u r ro u n d i n g t h e m i n i n g a re a s .
                                      They can access services such as schools
                                      and hospitals.

     22                               2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
of land used for mining, five

                                                                                                               3./ WELCOME TO THE MILLENNIAL WORLD
hectares is set aside for nature
conservation. An example of
this is a game park near a mine
in Botswana, home to over a
thousand animals and a cheetah
conservation field unit.

Support is also given to a series
of enterprise development funds,
which create jobs in industries
such as farming, jewellery,
design, food distribution and
other sectors in countries such
as South Africa and Botswana. In
2014, over a third of the people
who benefited directly from that
funding were women.                                          OPINION:
At the other end of the process,
                                                           HELEN BRAND,

                                                                                                                      POSITIVE LUXURY
as the final product, responsibly                          UBS EXECUTIVE
sourced diamonds are growing
in importance to millennial                                  DIRECTOR,

                                     “
celebrities and the stylists that
dress them with red carpet
                                                             EUROPEAN
fashion increasingly needing                               LUXURY GOODS
to reflect positive lifestyle and
luxury values. For example,
Forevermark’s diamonds were
worn to the 2016 Oscars by actress   We     conduct      surveys    of   entice them in in the first place,
Margot Robbie and models Lily        the Chinese and US luxury           or whether they want to spend
Donaldson and Martha Hunt.           consumer, and when we’ve cut        more time on experiences and
                                     the data for millennials vs. non-   e.g. posting them on social
                                     millennials, there hasn’t been as   media. I think brands probably
                                     much difference as you might        need to do a little more work to
                                     perceive between their different    target millennials.
                                     consumption patterns.
                                                                         Within online and digital,
                                     The general theory is that          brands need to do more work to
                                     millennials care more about         make that a luxury experience
                                     experiences and less about          and adapt to how the millennial
                                     luxury consumption. Once            consumer is shopping. This area
                                     they’re a luxury consumer           is driving much more activity in
                                     however, there doesn’t seem         terms of how people research
                                     to be a huge difference in how      but also purchase products.
                                     they spend, but in 2017 it is a
                                     question of whether you can

                                                                            2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   23
4./ FAST LUXURY
  POSITIVE LUXURY

                        4/
                        FA S T L U X U R Y
                         The ‘Buy Now’ Revolution
  24                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
S o u rc e :

                                                  POSITIVE LUXURY

               2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   25
POSITIVE LUXURY

                  In a world where a luxury coat       young luxury consumers hungry        launching faster models of
                  can be ordered on a smartphone       for instant access to catwalk        communicating and selling
                  in the morning and couriered by      shows, ad campaign stars, and        product. But engaging with
                  bike to a customer’s office in the   limited edition product. Brands      customers in real-time, whether
                  afternoon, where information         have tapped into the ability of      online or in store, seems here to
                  and communication is exchanged       ‘dark social’, that is, non-public   stay.
                  faster than ever via social media    social formats like WhatsApp
                  and messaging apps, timing is of     and     Facebook        Messenger,   Luxury houses must also protect
                  the essence for the luxury market.   to create exclusive customer         their internal talent in the face
                                                       relationships. For example,          of a faster and faster production
                  Production, design and delivery      Adidas has used WhatsApp to          culture. Raf Simons for Dior
                  timetables are shifting. One of      build private messaging groups       and Alber Elbaz for Lanvin are
                  the biggest game changers of         with customers, sharing exclusive    among the design chiefs that left
                  2016 was the ‘see now, buy now’      content and product with key 16-     their positions citing the demand
                  season model introduced by           19 year olds before it reaches the   for creating multiple collections
                  Burberry, which saw the brand        brands’ Twitter and Facebook         back-to-back as a reason for
                  change its entire production         channels. [19]                       leaving.
                  schedule to enable customer to
                  instantly shop runway shows.         As ever, luxury brands must          “The wholesale category is
                                                       be careful not to erode their        transforming, people’s methods
                  Mobile messaging apps like           cache and must develop their         of exploring brands have
                  Snapchat have been embraced          presentation, sales formats and      changed tremendously since the
                  by brands wanting to please          brand voice carefully before         commonality of social media,

26                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
POSITIVE LUXURY
and business globally is softening      the British fashion house’s bottom    A b ov e : To m m y H i l f i g e r ’s S e e - No w
                                                                              Bu y - No w s h o p p a b l e r u n w a y s h o w
due to the uncertainties the world      line when announcing its H2           a t S o u t h s t re e t S e a p o r t N YC i n
is facing. It simply is a daunting      2016 results. She did, however,       September 2016 included top models
time,” Rony Zeidan, founder and         note the move heightened the          a n d a c o l l a b o ra t i o n w i t h s u p e r m o d e l

chief creative officer of fashion       company’s “brand reach, be it         G i g i Ha d i d . T h e b ra n d s t a g e d a
                                                                              c a r n i v a l - l i ke s e t u p t h a t a l s o a l l o w e d
advertising and branding firm           share of voice [and] magazine         g u e s t s t o b u y p i e c e s f ro m n e a r by
RO NY, said in 2016.                    covers.” [21] Other brands            p o p - u p s a f t e r t h e s h o w. W h a t d o
                                        including Ralph Lauren, Tom           m ove m e n t s s u c h a s t h e s e s u g g e s t

Of the numerous departures              Ford and Tommy Hilfiger have          about fashion immediacy in our
                                                                              c o n s u m e r c u l t u re? ( S o u rc e : O v i d i u
at big-name fashion houses,             moved to the model in the past        H r u b a r u / Sh u t t e r s t o c k , I n c . )
“Some of the reasons could              six months: their financial results
be creative existentialism, and         over the coming year may give
                                                                              O p p o s i te p a ge : M I L A N , I TA LY -
others could be misaligned goals        an idea of the financial success of   F E B R UA RY 2 5 , 2 0 1 6 : Fa s h i o n a b l e
with management,” he said. “But         the production model.                 woman attending models and vips
needless to say, this malaise that is                                         u s i n g s m a r t p h o n e i n t h e s t re e t s
happening in the industry might                                               d u r i n g M i l a n Fa s h i o n We e k Wo m e n
                                                                              Fa l l / W i n t e r 2 0 1 6 / 2 0 1 7 ( S o u rc e :
trigger a great transformation. It                                            Eu g e n i o Ma ro n g i u / Sh u t t e r s t o c k .
has yet to be revealed.” [20]                                                 c o m)

Post its shift to see now, buy now,
Burberry chief financial officer
Carol Fairweather said the move
did not have a major impact on

                                                                                    2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t                             27
CASE STUDY

                  Reliance Brands
POSITIVE LUXURY

                  The burgeoning luxury market          Based on customers’ in-store         match with customers’ existing
                  in India was estimated to surpass     shopping histories, RBL has used     preferences in their own homes,
                  $18.3 billion in 2016, growing at a   Whatsapp to send information         all moves it says have boosted
                  compound annual growth rate of        on promotions, flag up new           RBL’s business volumes in the
                  around 25%, according to a study      launches and share product           luxury segment.
                  by The Associated Chambers of         pictures and videos. RBL assigns
                  Commerce & Industry of India          resources to answer customer
                  (Assocham). [22]                      questions via the app, conduct
                                                        quick discussions and help clients
                  Reliance Brands Limited (RBL)         decide between purchasing
                  brings global luxury brands           options.
                  including Ermenegildo Zegna
                  and Kate Spade to the Indian          It has also introduced a home
                  market. It has been using             shopping system for key clients,
                  Whatsapp as a messaging               whereby     executives    make
                  platform to build relationships       appointments with key clients
                  with its affluent clients.            and bring luxury products that

28                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
4./ FAST LUXURY
                                                                           POSITIVE LUXURY
A b ov e : Re l i a n c e Bra n d s L i m i t e d ( R B L ) ,
p a r t o f t h e Re l i a n c e I n d u s t r i e s G ro u p ,
b e g a n o p e ra t i o n s i n O c t o b e r 2 0 0 7
with a mandate to launch and build
i n t e r n a t i o n a l a n d d o m e s t i c b ra n d
e q u i t y i n t h e p re m i u m t o l u x u r y
s e g m e n t a c ro s s a p p a re l , fo o t w e a r a n d
l i fe s t y l e b u s i n e s s . Re l i a n c e I n d u s t r i e s
i s ra n ke d # 1 I n d i a n c o m p a n y by p ro f i t
a n d # 2 1 5 b a s e d o n s a l e s re ve n u e i n
Fo r t u n e G l o b a l 5 0 0 ra n k i n g s ( 2 0 1 6 ) .
S o u rc e : Re l i a n c e Bra n d s Lt d . L i n ke d I n

      2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t                                  29
5./ WHO I AM, NOT WHAT I HAVE

                                   5/
     POSITIVE LUXURY

                                     WHO I AM,
                                     N O T W H AT I
                                     H AV E
                                     The Quest for Status & the
                                     New Consumer Landscape
    30                          2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
POSITIVE LUXURY

2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   31
A desire for conspicuous              annual growth rate of 6.4%                         the desire for discreet luxury
5./ WHO I AM, NOT WHAT I HAVE

                                consumption, particularly in          in the years 2016-2022. [24]                       through subtle branding and
                                luxury accessories, has showed        This creates opportunity for                       an invisible to the naked eye
                                signs of decline. A 2016 report by    associated product to serve                        Forevermark inscription on its
                                market researchers NPD found          these experiences – for travel,                    diamonds – privately reassuring
                                81% of millennials said it was        athleisure, beachwear and sports                   the owner of their diamond’s
                                important to them that the logo       apparel.                                           integrity. The inscription can only
                                on their handbag be subtle. [23]                                                         be seen through a special viewer
                                                                      Luxury businesses must monitor                     and each inscribed number is
                                Individuality, instead, is more       these evolving attitudes to luxury                 unique to the owner.
                                becoming more highly prized,          and adapt their product to fit.
                                and personalisation is an area that                                                      Upscale British jewellery line
                                the luxury sector has historically    Start-ups have already emerged                     Loquet London sells glass
                                excelled in. Products which offer     to meet this need for discreet,                    lockets set in gold, crystal and
                                customisable, interchangeable,        personal luxury, particularly in                   diamonds and allows its clients
                                or personalised options are           the accessories and jewellery                      the ability to fill the lockets with
                                performing well: Burberry’s The       space. Australian handbag brand                    made-to-order          personalised
                                Rucksack, which offers shoppers       Mon Purse offers customers the                     charms. Luxury board game
                                the chance to have their initials     ability to customise a handbag                     maker Alexandra Llewellyn
    POSITIVE LUXURY

                                embroidered on the bag, was the       from over 6 billion unique design                  offers backgammon sets which
                                brand’s biggest bag seller in the     combinations and see their                         can be individually ordered and
                                last half of 2016. [21]               design virtually rendered in real-                 personalised with initials or
                                                                      time.                                              messages set with semi-precious
                                Luxury travel is set to become                                                           stones and brass playing pieces.
                                a $1.2 billion market by 2022,        Forevermark, part of The De
                                with an expected compound             Beers Group, has responded to

                                                                                           Le f t to r i g h t : Bu r b e r r y ’s T h e Ru c k s a c k w i t h
                                                                                           e m b ro i d e re d p e r s o n a l i s a t i o n ; A l e x a n d ra
                                                                                           L l e w e l l y n’s b e s p o ke h a n d m a d e b a c k g a m m o n b o a rd
                                                                                           c o m m i s s i o n e d b y c h e f a n d re s t a u ra n t e u r Ma r k
                                                                                           H i x , s h o w i n g h i s f a vo u r i t e fo o d s a n d h i s Br i t i s h
                                                                                           re s t a u ra n t s .

   32                           2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
CASE STUDY

Executive pay and big business

                                                                                                                POSITIVE LUXURY
Luxury retailers, particularly in   plans to make firms disclose          commission and performance-
Europe, may have to be mindful      the pay gap between chief             based executive compensation as
of consumer perceptions towards     executives and average workers.       a deduction.
wealth in the coming months.        If consumers continue to
Early 2017 saw a flare-up in UK     feel squeezed financially and         Also in January, bonus and
media coverage of corporate         marginalised by big business, this    pension packages for top
boardroom      practices      and   may be reflected in anti-corporate    executives at Volkswagen and
executive pay. Branded ‘Fat Cat     sentiment and changing attitudes      Deutsche Bank were strongly
Wednesday’, 4 January 2017 was      towards wealth and spending.          criticised in Germany, leading
the day executives’ pay for the                                           to calls for legislation to create
year surpassed the average UK       In the United States, January         limits on boardroom pay. [26]
salary of £28,200, according to     saw the proposal of the Stop
the High Pay Centre think tank.     Subsidizing Multimillion Dollar
[25]                                Corporate Bonuses Act, which
                                    aims to close a loophole in tax law
The UK government is considering    that allows corporations to claim

                                                                             2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   33
CASE STUDY
5./ WHO I AM, NOT WHAT I HAVE

                                Millennials in China
   POSITIVE LUXURY

                                Diamonds are one area of             and    40%     said    financial   It predicts self-purchases to rise,
                                the luxury market that has           independence      was      more    especially among women, and
                                experienced growth, particularly     important than marriage. [27]      demand for lower entry-point
                                in India and China. Chinese                                             diamonds to increase as well.
                                millennials are spending more        Globally, The De Beers Group
                                on diamond jewellery than any        said in its most recent 2016
                                previous generation. They are        market assessment that consumer
                                increasingly buying diamonds         preferences can be expected to
                                for themselves, rather than          change, with an increased focus
                                as part of a couple, reflecting      on self-expression; as a result,
                                changing relationship values in      design and branded jewellery
                                the country.                         will continue to increase in
                                                                     relevance. Consumers will grow
                                In a study, 32% of Chinese           in knowledge and will push for
                                millennials said they identified     ethical products with assured
                                success as financial independence,   provenance.

  34                            2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
OPINION : TIM JACKSON,
         LECTURER, BRITISH SCHOOL OF

                                                                                                             POSITIVE LUXURY
“
                   FA S H I O N

          for millennials, beauty as self-expression
“Notions of genderless beauty      Now even beauty giant L’Oreal’s     as clothing, and models are
are entering the mainstream,       mission statement reads that        styled on catwalks in such a way
as younger generations focus       its goal is ‘reaching out to        that gender is bypassed. Model
on individuality rather than       extremely diverse populations       Cajsa Wessberg’s shaved head
binary    girl/boy   dynamics.     with a vision of universalising     challenges traditional ideas of
Once marginalised LGBT and         beauty’.                            femininity, whilst Andrej Pejic
transgender groups have found                                          and emerging Central Saint
their voice and influence, and     Blurring of gender identities       Martin’s M.A. graduate Matty
freedom and the spirit of the      is not new, especially in pop       Bovan do the equivalent for
individual is a strong trend       culture - think of David Bowie -    masculinity and perceptions of
reflected across fashion and       and androgynous fashion, such       male beauty.”

                                                                                            ”
beauty.                            as Calvin Klein’s designs, has
                                   long existed. But the trend has
MAC Cosmetics pioneered this       more traction now, and a much
two decades ago with ad            broader audience. U.S. designer
campaigns featuring RuPaul and     Shayne Oliver’s Hood By Air label
k.d lang, but have more recently   tries not to present distinctive
partnered with Caitlyn Jenner.     men’s and women’s collections

                                                                          2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   35
6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS

                            6/
   POSITIVE LUXURY

                              A N AT I O N
                              OF ROBOTS
                              Artificial Intelligence
                              and its Impact on
                              Economic Growth
  36                     2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
POSITIVE LUXURY

2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   37
Luxury retailers have traditionally   As with other sectors, the luxury    Jackson notes.
                         offered high levels of human          industry will have to work hard to
6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS

                         service and interaction with          build trust with consumers and       Some retailers are abandoning
                         customers, to offer bespoke           ensure that any transition from a    notes and coins completely. In the
                         service and information.              typically human process to a bot-    UK, supermarket chain Waitrose
                                                               led experience is a seamless one.    and healthy food chain Tossed
                         The use of AI in retail customer                                           opened stores in 2016 which are
                         service is still not widely           Payment methods are evolving         entirely cashless.
                         adopted, but the digital assistant    too. Contactless credit or
                         and chatbot industry is a market      debit cards now have a high          Card payment providers Visa
                         expected to generate $600             acceptance among shoppers.           and MasterCard have agreed that
                         billion in revenues by 2020, with     The UK is the leading user of        all retailers will have to provide
                         implications for both customer-       contactless payments in Europe,      contactless to be able to take card
                         facing and backroom operations.       along with Spain and Poland,         payments by 2020.
                         [28]                                  according to market research
                                                               firm Euromonitor. The UK             Shoppers     are    also    being
                         Customer Relationship Management      Cards Association reported there     encouraged to adopt wearable
                         (CRM) systems took a leap             were 159.1 million contactless       payment technologies. British
                         forward in 2016, with businesses      transactions in February 2016,       company Kerv offers a wearable
                         Salesforce, Oracle and Base           the equivalent to about 63 a         contactless-enabled ring. Bank
   POSITIVE LUXURY

                         launching new CRM tools               second. [29]                         Barclays already sells contactless
                         underpinned by AI technology.                                              wristbands, a key fob and a
                         This technology is usually            The British School of Fashion’s      sticker – that can be affixed to
                         reserved for backroom sales           Tim Jackson says that “growth        whatever the customer wants –
                         processes, but the concurrent         in online shopping will drive        which enable payment from the
                         increase in digital assistants        innovation in payment methods        customer’s debit or credit cards.
                         and chatbots to interact with         and so have implications for the     [29]
                         both potential and established        notion of money and how it is
                         customers raises questions about      perceived; for example, digital
                         the future roles of humans within     money versus cash.” Contactless
                         retail.                               payments in various forms are
                                                               reducing the need for cash, with
                         AI can intelligently collate,         speculation that countries such
                         store and interpret existing          as Sweden are moving towards
                         information and data, streamline      cashless societies.
                         processes and cut time. The use
                         of AI on shop floors to provide       “In-world immersive lifestyle
                         store and product information,        communities such as Second Life
                         for example, means salespeople        have long since had their own
                         can devote more time to               currencies, Linden dollars in the
                         individual customers. Online,         case of Second Life. Bitcoin is
                         bots can be used in customer          perceived by some to represent
                         service to handle initial enquiries   a possible future of money,
                         and simple requests, freeing up       and social commerce platforms
                         time for human customer service       like WeChat now use digital
                         staff to handle more complex          gimmicks such as WeChat’s
                         customer queries.                     Red Packets to drive spending,”

  38                     2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
ROBOTS IN RETAIL                     6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS
                                                                                            POSITIVE LUXURY

A b ov e ( to p to b o t to m) :                    1/ CUSTOMER
We C h a t ’s Re d Pa c ke t s g i m m i c k
                                                    R E L AT I O N S H I P
taps into the symbolism of
t h i s c u l t u ra l t ra d i t i o n , a n d     MANAGEMENT
e n c o u ra g e s d i g i t a l p a y m e n t          SYSTEMS
h a b i t s t o d r i ve s p e n d i n g ;
Ke r v ’s w e a ra b l e c o n t a c t l e s s -     2 / PAY M E N T
enabled ring.
                                                       METHODS

                                                     2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   39
CASE STUDY
6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS

                         Sephora Chat
                         French beauty chain Sephora
                         has started to communicate with
                         its customers using chatbots on
                         social messaging apps. Ontario-
                         based Kik has an estimated 300
                         million users and its founders
                         claim 40% of U.S. teenagers use
                         the app. Kik users instigating
                         a conversation with Sephora
                         on the app are invited to give
                         information about their beauty
                         preferences, and in the ensuing
   POSITIVE LUXURY

                         conversation are offered tailored
                         product reviews, beauty tutorials
                         and tips linked to the Sephora
                         mobile shopping site. [30]

                         ‘Conversational          commerce’,   A b ov e : S e p h o ra’s c o m m u n i c a t i o n w i t h c u s t o m e r s o n t h e s o c i a l m e s s a g i n g
                         as taxi app Uber’s developer          app Kik.
                         experience lead Chris Messina
                         dubbed it in 2016, is likely to
                         increase as teen millennials who
                         spend more time on messaging
                         apps become consumers and
                         improvements to the technology,
                         allowing for more natural,
                         personalised interactions, are
                         made. Apps like WeChat,
                         WhatsApp, Kik and Facebook
                         Messenger are set to become
                         increasingly important to brands
                         looking to tap into younger
                         markets – but the conversion rate
                         from in-app communication to
                         sales is yet to be seen.

   40                    2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
CASE STUDY

                                                                                                                 6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS
                                                                       Robots and GDP
The World Economic Forum               no historical precedent,” WEF       GDP growth and moving
(WEF) says we stand on the brink       founder Klaus Schwab said in        manufacturing away to more
of a ‘fourth industrial revolution’.   2016.                               developed, technology-driven
The first, in 1784, was steam                                              nations. Harvard economist
driven. The second, in 1870, was       Automation and AI defines           Dani Rodrik’s research suggests
marked by division of labour,          this revolution, and opinions       automation has been cutting the
electricity and mass production.       vary as to the implications for     need for more low-skilled jobs
Electronics and IT ushered in a        the economy and spending.           than medium or high-skilled
third revolution in the 1970s, and     One theory, as economists           ones, increasing inequality. [32]
we now, it says, are experiencing      Erik Brynjolfsson and Andrew
a fourth wave characterised by         McAfee have noted, is that          An opposing theory is that

                                                                                                                      POSITIVE LUXURY
“a fusion of technologies that is      the shift to a more automated       the replacement of workers by
blurring the lines between the         world could create higher levels    technology for menial tasks will,
physical, digital, and biological      of inequality. This would be        in the long term, result in happier
spheres.” [31]                         primarily led by its potential to   staff who are engaged in more
                                       disrupt labour markets.             productive and concept-driven
This industrial revolution is                                              work, which may pay dividends
driven by billions of people           As automation practices and         by diverting human talent away
connected by mobile devices,           robots replace human workers        from repetitive, simple tasks
with unprecedented processing          across the entire economy, the      towards ones which can create
power, storage capacity, and           net displacement of workers         value. As the World Economic
access to information. This is         by machines might widen             Forum points out, “the largest
coupled with rapid growth in           the gap between returns to          beneficiaries of innovation tend
artificial intelligence, robotics,     capital and returns to labour.      to be the providers of intellectual
autonomous         vehicles,  3D       Andrew Norton, director of          and physical capital.”
printing,         nanotechnology,      the International Institute for
biotechnology, materials science,      Environment and Development,
energy storage, and quantum            argues that low-income countries
computing.                             have     historically   achieved
                                       economic       growth    through
“There are three reasons why           industrialisation. [32]
today’s transformations represent
not merely a prolongation of the       Automation could mean workers
third industrial revolution but        who previously earnt wages
rather the arrival of a fourth         and created spending power
and distinct one: velocity, scope,     through a growing demand for
and systems impact. The speed          labour are replaced by robots and
of current breakthroughs has           automated systems, hindering

                                                                              2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   41
CASE STUDY

                  A New Marker of Wealth:
                  UN Sustainable Development Goals
POSITIVE LUXURY

                  The UN’s Sustainable Development    account factors including energy       now being developed. This will
                  Goals (SDG) take a different        consumption, education levels,         lead to evidence-based policy
                  approach to the traditional use     health innovation and quality of       backed up by existing data, and
                  of GDP as a measure of a nation’s   infrastructure.                        help nations benchmark and
                  wealth. Launched in 2015, the                                              track their progress against the
                  goals were ratified and adopted     The goals are particularly             goals. Localised SDG networks
                  by all member states of the UN      pertinent to the luxury industry.      and associations, under the
                  General Assembly in 2015 and        The fashion sector is a major          overarching UN Sustainable
                  backed by global figureheads        employer of people in the              Development Solutions Network,
                  such as Pope Francis and Bill and   developing world and its supply        have been formed to foster
                  Melinda Gates.                      chain is deeply impacted by            the development of the actual
                                                      many of the goals – from the goal      metrics and provide education
                  Spanning 17 measures of a           of eradicating poverty through         and training.
                  progressive, healthy society,       appropriate pay, to gender
                  the goals are designed to offer a   equality in the workplace, with        The goals were rebranded as
                  broader view of whether a nation    women making up 80% of global          Global Goals in 2016, and have
                  is thriving or not. While GDP       garment workers.                       seen strong recognition and
                  measures the monetary value                                                uptake in the fashion sector and
                  of goods and services produced      With the goals and targets in place,   on social media.
                  by a nation, the SDGs take into     policy tools and frameworks are

42                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS
                                                                                                                                                                                             POSITIVE LUXURY

A b ov e : T h e U N Su s t a i n a b l e D e ve l o p m e n t G o a l s , re b ra n d e d         O p p o s i te Pa ge Le f t : N E W YO R K , U S A - S e p 2 7 , 2 0 1 5 :
as Global Goals in 2016.                                                                           Pre s i d e n t o f Uk ra i n e Po ro s h e n ko Pe t ro d e l i v e r s h i s
                                                                                                   s p e e c h a t t h e U N Su s t a i n a b l e D e ve l o p m e n t Su m m i t i n
B o t to m Le f t : G i l l i a n A n d e r s o n , a Po s i t i ve Lu x u r y f r i e n d a n d   Ne w Yo r k . ( S o u rc e : Dro p o f L i g h t / Sh u t t e r s t o c k I n c . )
a c t re s s i n t h e f i l m S o l d , w a s o n t h e Un i t e d Na t i o n s O f f i c e
o f Dr u g a n d C r i m e ( U N O D C ) p a n e l , “ T h e Ro l e o f t h e A r t s
i n He l p i n g t o En d H u m a n Tra f f i c k i n g ” i n Ma rc h t h i s ye a r.

B o t to m R i g h t : N E W YO R K C I T Y - A P R I L 2 1 2 0 1 6 : Ac t o r
& U N e n v oy Fo r re s t W h i t t a ke r a p p e a re d b e fo re a
s p e c i a l p l e n a r y s e g m e n t o f t h e U N G e n e ra l A s s e m b l y t o
d i s c u s s Su s t a i n a b l e D e ve l o p m e n t G o a l s . ( S o u rc e : A . K a t z /
Sh u t t e r s t o c k I n c . )

                                                                                                                                        2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t                 43
6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS

                                                        T h i s p a ge : M i l e s a w a y f ro m t h e d i g i t a l
                                                        inundation of urban cities lies the
                                                        b e a u t i f i l l y t ra n q u i l S o n e v a Ja n i re s o r t ,
                                                        p a r t o f t h e S o n e v a d e s t i n a t i o n c o l l e c t i ve .
                                                        L a s t ye a r, S o n e v a re l e a s e d a To t a l
                                                        I m p a c t A s s e s s m e n t ( T I A ) fo r 2 0 1 5 - 2 0 1 6
                                                        t h a t a l l o w s t h e m t o t a ke a “ p l a n e t a r y
                                                        boundaries” view of all their social and
   POSITIVE LUXURY

                                                        e n v i ro n m e n t a l i m p a c t s . To u r i s m i s o n e
                                                        o f t h e f a s t e s t g ro w i n g i n d u s t r i e s , a n d
                                                        sustainable tourism has been highlighted
                                                        i n Su s t a i n a b l e D e ve l o p m e n t G o a l t a rg e t
                                                        1 2 . b a n d 1 4 . 7 . Tra c k i n g e n v i ro n m e n t a l
                                                        fo o t p r i n t d a t a w i t h n e w t e c h n o l o g i e s w i l l
                                                        b e a n i n c re a s i n g l y p o p u l a r m e t h o d fo r
                                                        t r a n s p a re n c y, a n d t o m a ke fo r “c o n v i n c i n g
                                                        c o n ve r s a t i o n” w i t h c o n s c i o u s c o n s u m e r s .

   44                    2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
“People are starting to realise that every dollar

                                                                                                             6./ A NATION OF ROBOTS
    they spend is a vote: a public demonstration of
                     their values.”
                                             Paul Dillinger
                          Head of Global Innovation, Levi Strauss & Co.

             O P I N I O N : S U S TA I N A B I L I T Y

“
                        PREDICTIONS

                                                                                                                  POSITIVE LUXURY
Angela Ahrendts, senior vice       terminology, ignoring the words     People are starting to realise
president of retail at Apple and   that have meaning.                  that every dollar they spend is a
former CEO of Burberry, said,                                          vote: a public demonstration of
“I grew up in a physical world,    Prepare yourself to know all        their values.
and I speak English. The next      about collective bargaining,
generation is growing up in a      unauthorized subcontracting,        Each purchase we make can
digital world, and they speak      non-compliance and industrial       be a small vote for sustainable
social.                            relations.                          industry, or for irresponsible
                                                                       excess. It can be a vote for
“Today, when you ask CEOs and      This is no time for a glosswash —   renewable energy policy, or
CMOs what is their long-term       transparency demands that we        for sustained reliance on fossil
planning horizon, they will tell   get to know the problem before      fuels.
you that it is between 18 and      we can resolve it. The language
24 months.” [33]                   of sustainability may be grittier   Products,likepoliticians,represent
                                   than what is normally used in       a set [of] values. I predict
Campaigner and co-founder          fashion talk, but it makes for a    that conscious consumers will
of Fashion Revolution Orsola       more convincing conversation.”      become more mindful of these
de     Castro   predicts    the                                        considerations and will expect
conversation around fashion        Paul Dillinger, head of global      more transparency from the
and sustainability will become     innovation at Levi Strauss &        companies who are “asking for
more concrete in 2017. “For        Co, predicts 2017 will usher        their vote.” [33]

                                                                                            ”
years we’ve been skirting the      in more politically-motivated
true issues trying to make         consumption. “Voting doesn’t
sustainability   sound    sexy,    just happen every two years in
forgetting to explore the real     November.

                                                                          2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   45
7./ CONCLUSIONS

                      7/
  POSITIVE LUXURY

                         CONCLUSIONS

  46                2 0 1 7 Pre d ictions Report
In a difficult economic climate,      The business winners of the future   The changes they conceived

                                                                                                                 7./ CONCLUSIONS
luxury retailers must ensure          will be the ones who actively try    and made changed the fabric
they invest wisely in their people    to earn and retain their staff and   of society. Such efforts were
and practices in 2017 – keeping       customers’ trust and respect, not    driven by a desire to change and
business stable after a turbulent     those chasing profit at any cost.    improve, often in times of great
2016 and setting the course for                                            political and social turbulence.
a strong performance in 2018.         There is nothing new in successful   Far from being a marketing
Transparency was the watchword        businesses taking the lead in        device, behaving with purpose
of 2016: purpose is what will         solving a pressing societal need.    was an active choice made by
drive growth in 2017.                                                      founders and board members to

Pollsters, global media and               Acting with                      make better workplaces, and by
                                                                           extension, better societies.
betting markets failed to predict
the outcome of some of 2016’s
                                         purpose has                       Today purpose remains as
biggest political events – from
Brexit to Trump. It has become
                                        served as the                      important to businesses as ever.
                                                                           We have found it profoundly
increasingly clear that we
are living and working in an
                                        engine for the                     affects company bottom lines:
                                                                           a strong sense of purpose
environment where it is almost           development                       empowers organisations to

                                                                                                                    POSITIVE LUXURY
impossible to rely on or anticipate                                        unify their staff and focus on a
global government stability and         and growth of                      common goal.

                                          many of the
clear leadership: individuals,
and the businesses they work                                               The luxury market has a unique
for, can only control their own
actions. As governments are              world’s most                      opportunity. Often working
                                                                           with rare, natural resources
failing to address citizens’ needs,
companies are filling the role of
                                         recognisable                      and local communities, this is
                                                                           a responsibility and a privilege
solving some of the most global
pressing issues.
                                          brands for                       which if handled with care and
                                                                           thought, can lead to productive,

There has been talk of the
                                           centuries.                      profitable, positive outcomes for
                                                                           companies, staff and customers,
development of a corporatocracy       By changing and improving            and ultimately society at large.
in recent years. This refers to an    the way business was done,
economic and political system         such companies revolutionised        By     taking     control   and
controlled by corporations or         the fortunes not only of their       responsibility for making a
corporate interests, with negative    company but of the lives of their    corporate policy, a product or a
connotations of chasing wealth        staff and customers too. This        service better suited to today’s
at any cost. But business can be      was done through philanthropy,       needs, this can start to trickle
– should be – a positive, active      through creating a product           down and have a positive impact
agent of change in the world.         that was indispensable, or           across a business’ entire supply
                                      democratising a service. Today,      chain and beyond.
Positive Luxury found 83% of          names historically associated
millennials it surveyed agreed        with these actions – such as         Forevermark, as part of The De
with the statement “there is too      Cadbury, Burberry, Boots –           Beers Group, run hospitals in
much power concentrated in the        represent powerful, profitable,      partnership with the Botswana
hands of a few big companies”.        influential multinational brands.    Ministry of Health, which are

                                                                              2 0 1 7 Predic tio n s Re po r t   47
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