Fool's Gold The financial institutions risking our renewable energy future with coal - Europe Beyond Coal
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Fool’s Gold The financial institutions risking our renewable energy future with coal 1 | Fool’s Gold
about this briefing This briefing is an initiative of the Europe Beyond Coal campaign. The individuals who contributed to the briefing: Kaarina Kolle (lead author), Greg McNevin (producer). With help from: Joshua Archer, Carlota Ruiz Bautista, Diana Best, Katrin Ganswindt, Kuba Gogolewski, Kathrin Gutmann, Alastair Jackson, Jiri Jerabek, Dave Jones, Hanna Hakko, Vera Kauppinen, Ernst-Jan Kuiper, Yann Louvel, Jeanne Martin, Lorette Philippot, Lucie Pinson, Felix Reitz, Regine Richter and Antonio Tricarico Disclaimer This publication and related materials are not intended to provide and do not constitute financial or investment advice. The Europe Beyond Coal campaign or the organisations that have contributed to the development of this briefing make no representation regarding the advisability or suitability of investing in or divesting any particular company, investment fund or other vehicle or of using the services of any particular entity, pension provider or other service provider for the provision of investment services. A decision to invest in or to divest should not be made in reliance on any of the statements set forth in this publication. Whilst every effort has been made to ensure the information in this publication is correct, we cannot guarantee its accuracy and the Europe Beyond Coal campaign or the organisations that have contributed to the development of this briefing shall not be liable for any claims or losses of any nature in connection with information contained in this document, including (but not limited to) lost profits or punitive or consequential damages or claims in negligence. For enquiries, please contact : Kaarina Kolle, kaarina@beyond-coal.eu Supported by: Published: July 2020 Fool’s Gold | 2
Contents Executive summary 04 Introduction 06 1. Result 07 European Investors 07 Largest investor: BlackRock 11 European creditors 13 Significant non-European creditors: Japanese megabanks 17 The insurance sector 19 2. Focus utilities 20 Coal-related emissions are steadily decreasing 20 Focus utilities 21 Utilities coal operations outside of Europe 22 Selling coal assets instead of closing them 22 ‘Scope 4 emissions’ – the harmful impact of the lobbying practices 23 3. The science behind 1.5 degrees Celsius 28 4. Methodology 31 Annex I - Europe Beyond Coal Principles Criteria for 32 Financial Institutions for Developing Thermal Coal Exit Policies Annex II - Financial data 36 Annex III - Sources 42
Executive summary The coal phase-out across Europe is happening based CO₂ emissions: RWE, PGE, EPH, ČEZ, faster than anyone thought it would. In 2019, Enel/Endesa and Fortum/Uniper. Most of the Europe saw a record number of coal retirements assessed utilities show signs of a coal exit but and several countries announced coal phase-out not in the timelines required by science or with plans and power utilities have taken new steps problematic design for the transition of their towards decommissioning their coal assets. energy portfolios. Financial ties are defined as Coal was already in structural decline 1 but issued loans and underwriting services, bonds COVID-19 and the associated social distancing and investments. We bundle investments measures have led to the further downfall of and bonds under ‘investors’ while those coal. The exact impact of the pandemic is yet financial institutions associated with loans to be determined but with electricity demand and underwriting are described as ‘creditors’. significantly reduced, a low gas price, booming These financial institutions have been dubbed renewables and carbon price still holding up the ‘Exposed Eight’ as their financial ties to coal well, the European coal sector is in trouble. have left them reputationally and financially vulnerable. Bond and shareholdings were The recovery from the pandemic offers us a included according to their most recent filing once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to rebuild our dates at the time of the retrieval: mainly in economy and to tackle the most important near- February 2020. The financial data for loan and term measure to climate-proof the post-COVID underwriting deals by creditors is November energy system: a just and rapid transition from 2018 - December 2019. coal to renewable energy. This is where the financial institutions must join the collective This research finds that the most coal-exposed effort and recalibrate their financial ties with investor associated with these utilities, the the European coal companies. Norwegian Government Pension Fund, has invested €1.5 billion in shares and bonds. Therefore, any financial ties to Europe’s most Other highly important investors include Crédit polluting utilities must either be coupled with Agricole, Allianz’s through third party assets, forceful coal company engagement calling for a and Deutsche Bank. In total, the investment by coal phase out in Europe, OECD countries and the four largest investors equalled €5.0 billion. Russia by 2030, or support to these companies must cease altogether. Based on the limited On the creditor side, UniCredit was the 1.5 degrees Celsius global carbon budget, coal largest bank, providing €2.8 billion in loans emissions have to fall extremely fast this decade and underwriting services, followed by BNP in all The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Paribas, Barclays and Société Générale since Change (IPCC) 1.5 degrees Celsius emissions the IPCC 1.5 °C report was released in October pathways leading to reductions by around four- 2018. In total, the crediting has amounted up fifths in 2030 relative to 2010*. In short, the to €7.9 billion. success of the Paris Agreement is intimately linked to the success of quickly phasing out coal in the electricity sector. The report takes a close look at eight European financial institutions with the most significant ties to eight significant coal utilities in Europe that are responsible for half of all EU coal- * The non-overshoot scenario (P1 scenario) Fool’s Gold | 04
Norwegian 1 - 300 Government Pension Fund 301 - 600 601 - 900 investor 901 - 1200 Over 1201 (€ million) creditor Figure 1 : The ‘Exposed Eight’ and the financial ties to European coal companies. The investors also represent the asset managers. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo. Shares and bonds data extracted February 2020, based on the most recent filing date. Loans and underwriting data reflects the period from November 2018 until December 2019. The report also explores some of the most the financial institutions associated with coal important international financial institutions are highly likely to also be supporters of other backing the chosen European coal utilities fossil fuels, such as gas, oil and tar sands. In for this report: BlackRock and the Japanese fact, nearly every coal company featured in megabanks. BlackRock is the world’s largest this report has fossil gas expansion plans. investor and the Japanese megabanks the biggest Ultimately, these financial institutions must lenders to coal plant developers worldwide 2. have a comprehensive set of policies to ensure BlackRock’s investments in the eight European that all high carbon assets are decommissioned coal power utilities total €7.0 billion. Mizuho and have an all-encompassing approach to the Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial fossil fuel industry. Group (SMBC) and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) have provided loans and European capital is deserting coal: restrictive underwriting for European coal corporations policies by European banks, investors and with €1.9 billion between November 2018 and insurance companies have been adopted at an December 2019. increasing rate. Unfortunately, the frequency of new policies does not necessarily reflect their It is noteworthy that many financial institutions quality. Coal policies are now commonplace provide additional support beyond lending but are often ridden with exceptions and tepid and investment in the form of insurance and corporate engagement practices. The European reinsurance lines of business. The insurance coal utilities are, in effect, too often treated sector plays a critical role in perpetuating the with kid gloves. Instead, deeper exclusions and use of coal, but that role falls outside the remit appropriately forceful engagement are required of the data analysis presented herein. to change the course in Europe in order to achieve a coal phase-out by 2030, as well as in Furthermore, the other forms of fossil fuels the rest of the OECD and Russia, and by 2040 are not part of the research. Unfortunately, globally. 05 | Fool’s Gold
Introduction crisis has erased the remaining profitability of most coal power plants. However, many utilities In Europe, coal power is a dead man walking. may not feel the full force of this as they sold Thanks to the tidal force of economics, in their electricity before prices crashed*. In unregulated markets where coal does not short, a coal phaseout by 2030 in Europe is not benefit from subsidies, coal-power generation guaranteed. More is needed from the decision- is largely unprofitable 3. The EU ETS (Emissions makers and, importantly, from those financial Trading System) price, which has been fairly institutions that are still bankrolling coal. resilient despite the COVID-19 crisis that made the European economies contract, coupled Consequently, those private finance institutions with a low gas price and highly competitive that support coal companies have the renewables have ensured that coal is now falling responsibility to usher in the low-carbon behind competing sources of energy 4. transition. Fortunately, the European financial institutions have demonstrated to the rest of The European power utilities mostly responsible the world what is possible. Between January for burning European coal are demonstrably and June 2020, European financial institutions transitioning. Even in the most notorious released nearly one new policy per week coal countries such as Poland and Germany limiting financial ties to coal companies 6. Coal companies have started to introduce long-term policies by European banks, investors and plans where coal no longer features. However, insurance companies have been adopted at an it is also increasingly clear that these coal increasing rate since the Paris Agreement 7 and exits are not taking place in a straightforward most coal policies are, in fact, already revisions manner. They are often only prompted by and updates rather than completely new ones. national government mandated phase-outs, and Therefore, it can be maintained that coal they generally take place too sluggishly. In many policies have become the starting point and a countries the process is marred by converting staple of financial institutions’ climate policies. coal plants to burn fossil gas or unsustainable biomass instead. These same plans also often However, it is evident in the ‘Results’ chapter of involve highly dubious political maneuvering this document that the European coal policies to maximise the handouts given on the basis of do not yet reach far enough. In order to step up early closures. Coal in Europe was already in to the plate the financial institutions must strive structural decline prior to the COVID-19 crisis, for better quality policies and close existing with historic drop in generation in 2019 5, that loopholes. only solidified a multi-year trend. The COVID-19 Financial Institutions behind Europe’s most polluting coal power utilities Investors € billion Creditors € billion Norwegian Government Pension Fund 1.5 2.8 Figure 2: The ‘Exposed Eight’ 1.4 2.1 and their capital flows into RWE, PGE, EPH, ČEZ, 1.1 1.7 Enel/Endesa and Fortum/Uniper. 1.0 1.3 Source: Bloomberg Total Total Terminal and 5.0 * Loans and underwriting since the IPCC Special 7.9 Thomson EIKON. * Shares and bonds (extracted Feb 2020, based on the most recent filing date). billion Report on Global Warming of 1.5 C published October 2018 until December 2019. billion Data compiled by Profundo. * For example, Fortum/Uniper and RWE have all stated that they remain largely unaffected by the crisis due to hedging. Fool’s Gold | 06
1. Results This report explores the financial flows from institutions, and provides more detail on each shareholding, bonds, lending and underwriting of the assessment criteria. benefiting the eight most significant European coal companies measured in annual coal-based It is crucial to highlight that the financial emissions: RWE, PGE, EPH, ČEZ, Enel/Endesa institutions below are not only associated and Fortum/Uniper. The results are presented with coal but are, in fact, usually significant for European investors, BlackRock, European supporters of the fossil fuel sector as a whole** . creditors and the Japanese megabanks. The Fossil fuels like oil, gas, tar sands and shale detailed methodology can be found in chapter 4. oil are far less comprehensively tackled than coal, and feature infrequently in financial Each section includes details on the financial institutions’ exclusion policies. Therefore, the data and the interpretation of the results analysis below does not reflect the financial in the context of each financial institution. institutions’ overall climate change policies Furthermore, since every financial institution – only their approaches concerning coal, the highlighted in this report has existing coal dirtiest of fossil fuels in absolute climate terms. policies in place, the analysis will shed light on their respective weaknesses and where they Furthermore, financial institutions often play should be improved. The coal policies have multiple roles as investors, creditors and been analysed taking into account the entire insurers. The coal policy analysis below has coal supply chain going beyond the European been conducted to reflect the part of the coal utilities, and covering the following business that is relevant for the data presented, central elements: e.g. split along the lines of asset owners and asset managers (bonds and shares) or banks • Project finance (not relevant to asset (loans and underwriting). owners and asset managers). • Coal developers. • Exclusion thresholds for corporate European Investors finance (based on revenue, production or capacity).* The research finds that at the end of the year • Absolute thresholds for well-diversified 2019 the top four European investors held coal companies (Mt of coal produced or €5.0 billion in shares or bonds in the eight GW capacity). focus coal companies. It is as much as the • Phase-out policies adopted by the European Investment Bank’s contribution to financial institutions and phase-out the EU response to Covid-19 given to vulnerable plans requested from coal companies countries outside European Union 8. Bond and (considered as a powerful form of shareholdings were researched as of their most engagement). recent filing dates: for bonds in the timeframe • Just transition. November 2018-19 and for shares mainly February 2020. A detailed analysis of the current coal policies are compiled in table 1. Annex I of the report includes a comprehensive set of recommendations on coal to financial * In Europe, power utilities’ coal share of revenue is currently extremely low. Therefore a revenue based metric is inappro priate and should be reserved only for mining. ** F or example, both Amundi and Axa voted against a climate-related resolution filed at the Total AGM. Access at (in French): https://www.connaissancedesenergies.org/afp/sous-les-pressions-la-finance-francaise-sort-lentement-du- charbon-200619. Furthermore, BNP Paribas was the biggest European fossil bank in 2019, despite its policy on unconventional oil and gas financing. Access at: https://www.ran.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/Banking_on_Cli- mate_Change__2020_vF.pdf 07 | Fool’s Gold
While the report focuses primarily on the mining and production assets. Therefore, European financial institutions, the largest Crédit Agricole has not yet fully implemented investors through share and bond holding are the divestment phase. However, if the policy is largely headquartered in the US. Therefore, in followed through as intended the company’s order to truly shape the companies’ behaviour exposure to European coal should decrease or economic outlook through shareholder soon, depending on the assessment process. It activism – or divestment – it is not enough is to be noted that Crédit Agricole plays a dual just to focus on the European finance actors. role as investors and creditor and the policy Inevitably, many company engagement covers both businesses**. interventions will also require US and other globally relevant financial institutions to adopt Allianz is in third place among European strict coal policies to exclude companies, and to investors with €1.1 billion, mostly in Enel. boldly unleash biting engagement practices. Structurally, Allianz’s business operations cover both insurance and asset management, Similarly to the previous Fool’s Gold report of this report only reflects the latter. As of 2019, The Norwegian Government Pension December 31st, 2019, in the same time period Fund remains the largest European investor as the financial data used in this report, it with €1.5 billion in shares and bonds. The had approximately €2.3 trillion assets under Fund had already excluded the Central and management, with €1.7 trillion of third-party Eastern European (CEE) power companies in assets, making it one of the largest asset 2017, therefore all financial ties are associated managers in the world. Allianz’s exposure with the Western utilities. Since retrieving to European coal comes through in the data the financial data (dated February 2020) the primarily due to the third-party assets that exclusion list of the Fund has been updated 9,10. are managed through subsidiaries: Allianz Norges Bank, tasked with the management Global Investors and PIMCO. Allianz introduced of the Fund, now excludes RWE from its a divestment decision in 2015 and also a coal investment universe. Until May 2020, the Fund policy in 2018, which has since been tightened. has been RWE’s third biggest investor *. Endesa However, the data demonstrates that the third- has been on Norges Banks’ observation list party assets remain a blind spot for the asset since 2016, and Enel was added this year. Also, owning giant. Uniper is now under observation, making its parent Fortum the last remaining focus utility Finally, Deutsche Bank is the fourth largest that the Fund has not extended its policy to. investor with €1.0 billion. Deutsche Bank also plays a significant dual role as an investor and The second largest investor is Crédit Agricole a creditor ***. As an investor, mostly through with €1.4 billion. The main sources of capital DWS **** and Deutsche Asset Management, flows into the focus utilities come from Amundi Deutsche Bank is one of the few European and Pioneer Investment, both Crédit Agricole investors that is associated with every coal asset managers. However, in 2019 the group company featured in the report. It therefore has Crédit Agricole announced a new coal policy 11 a substantial coal exposure and, consequently, that placed rather strict expectations on coal a heightened stranded asset risk. At the time companies. Crédit Agricole committed to of writing, Deutsche Bank has also one of phase out coal in its investment and assets the weakest coal policies among the major under management portfolios by 2030 in the European financial institutions, since neither EU and OECD countries, this is aligned with the bank nor its subsidiaries limit general the recommendations of Europe Beyond Coal. corporate finance to power utilities 12. As part of the policy, companies are asked to provide Crédit Agricole by 2021 with a detailed phasing out plan of their coal-sector * Municipalities not counted (KEB Holding and City of Essen) ** Crédit Agricole’s loans and underwriting services to the eight focus utilities November 2018 - December 2019 total €0.5 billion. *** Deutsche Bank’s loans and underwriting services to the eight focus utilities November 2018 - December 2019 total €1.3 billion. **** Listed on Frankfurt Stock Exchange; Deutsche Bank is majority shareholder. Fool’s Gold | 08
Table 1: Heat map for the quality of the coal policies of the investors. The assessment matrix is based on the thermal Policy aligned with EBC thermal coal coal recommendations by Europe Beyond Coal and Reclaim recommendations No policy Finance 13. Please note that the policy analysis excludes the (Annex I) insurance sector since the financial data of the report does not explicitly touch upon insurance activities. Relative threshold Absolute Financial (% of capacity, Phase-out / Just Type Developers threshold Institution production or engagement transition revenue) (Mt/GW) Exclusion of 20MT/ Norwegian mining and 10GW Government power companies However, Asset Pension No above 30% of the Fund No No 15 Owner Fund revenues or power allows (GPFG) 14 generation from exceptions coal. *, ** Social and human rights Exclusion of Full phase-out commit- mining and power strategy by ments companies above 2030 in the included 25% of revenues OECD and in the from thermal coal 2040 in the rest policies for but with large of the world. the Metals Exclusion exceptions and and Mining Crédit Asset of all coal using the wrong By 2021, a Sectors. For No requirement Agricole Owner developers metric revenues example, from 2021. instead of power for coal Impact generation. companies on local to have a communities Companies above phase-out plan (physical 25% of revenues by according and are assessed until to these economic 2021. deadlines. population displace- ments).16 Full phase-out strategy by Exclusion of 2030 in the Exclusion OECD and mining and power of mining companies above 2040 in the rest Crédit companies of the world. 25% of revenues Agricole Exclusion above 100 from thermal coal By 2021, a Asset of all coal Mt of coal Amundi but with large requirement No *** Manager developers production & Pioneer exceptions and for coal from 2021. per year Investment using the wrong companies metric revenues with some large ex- to have a instead of power phase-out plan generation. ceptions. by according to these deadlines. * BHP Group Ltd/BHP Group Plc has not been excluded despite extracting more than 20 Mt thermal coal per annum. Access at: https://www.nbim.no/en/the-fund/news-list/2020/exclusion-and-observation-of-coal-companies/ ** “ Evaluation based on an overall assessment of relevant considerations including, inter alia, emissions and emission intensity, forward-looking plans and frameworks on climate.” Access at: https://www.regjeringen.no/en/aktuelt/styrker-og- klargjor-de-etiske- retningslinjene/id2640405/ *** Has taken part in PRI’s Just Transition work. Source: Amundi - Responsible Investment Policy 2019. 09 | Fool’s Gold
Relative threshold Absolute Financial (% of capacity, Phase-out / Just Type Developers threshold Institution production or engagement transition revenue) (Mt/GW) Exclusion takes place if companies fail to present a credible transition strategy. Companies that directly or indirectly (through entities they control, Exclusion of minimum of companies 50% stake) above 30% of Proprietary breach the revenue, or power investment following generation from portfolio to thresholds: thermal coal fully phase out with lowering of coal by 2040 1. Planning threshold over at the latest Asset more than 0.3 Allianz 17 time (i.e. 25% as No with lowering No Owner gigawatts (GW) of thermal of December 31, of exclusion coal capacity 2022). thresholds additions. over time and Proprietary exclusion of 2. Whether a investment coal plant company is portfolio to fully developers. planning and/ phase out coal by or building 2040 at the latest. additions of more than 0.3 GW in coal power capacity, e.g. allowing retrofitting or refurbishment of existing plants, but to avoid the building of new plants. Allianz Allianz Asset No No No No No Global Manager Investors Allianz Asset No No No No No PIMCO Manager Deutsche Bank Asset Deutsche No No No No No Manager Asset Management Fool’s Gold | 10
Relative threshold Absolute Financial (% of capacity, Phase-out / Just Type Developers threshold Institution production or engagement transition revenue) (Mt/GW) Deutsche Bank Asset No No No No No* Manager DWS The full list of investors can be found at the end of the report (Annex II) Largest investor: BlackRock BlackRock’s holdings in the major European coal companies are not only significant in At the end of 2019, BlackRock held shares absolute terms but it is also a major investor or bonds in every European coal company in relative terms (see figure 3). Given that included in this report. €7.0 billion in total, BlackRock has a significant global presence, its exceeding the amount held by all the investors local offices are involved in Europe its London included in the ‘Exposed Eight’. BlackRock is and Frankfurt offices are central (see figure 4). the world’s largest asset manager with €5.8 Put differently, BlackRock’s decisions on how it trillion** in assets under management as of uses – or doesn’t use – its share- and bondholder March 31st 2020 (decreasing significantly due rights can determine whether climate-related to COVID-19). It is therefore unsurprising that shareholder initiatives pass or not. BlackRock emerges from the data as the most significant investor in European coal. Share of BlackRock’s investments relative to other institutional investors *only bonds 28 % 11% 10% 10% 8% 8% 4% 4% * 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 (%) BlackRock Other institutional investors Figure 3: Share of BlackRock’s investment to RWE, Uniper, Endesa, Fortum, ČEZ, Enel, EPH and PGE relative other institutional investors * * *. The holdings in EPH are bonds as the company is not listed on any stock exchange. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo. * Part PRI working group on a Just Transition in 2019 ** $6.5 trillion *** The data excludes, ie. national governments, municipalities, private individuals (see the chapter on Methodology). ČEZ, Enel, Fortum and PGE have also governmental shareholders. 11 | Fool’s Gold
Recently, BlackRock has taken the first tentative 9% steps in addressing coal in its portfolio. It announced in January that by the middle of 2020 it would exit certain investments, a BlackRock process which has now been completed19. Investments per 30 % manager • Companies with 25% or higher revenue 60 % country from thermal coal production will be excluded from all actively managed Germany funds. United Kingdom • Thermal coal will be out of all United States Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) funds. Figure 4: BlackRock’s European coal related • No direct thermal coal investments investments mostly originate from the US, the through alternatives business at same UK and Germany. exclusion (25% revenues from thermal Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson coal production). EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo According to analysis, the new policy affects less than 20% of the coal industry 20 and leaves out passive investment. BlackRock’s policy for actively managed investments only covers BlackRock has both active and passive invest- businesses that sell thermal coal and not the ment strategies, accounting for ¼ and ¾ of companies that actually burn coal. Also out of assets under management (AUM) respectively. the policy’s scope are diversified coal companies This is important to appreciate because the and developers of new coal infrastructure. This company is often characterised as primarily means that, even if they do mine their own coal, a passive investor. Eschewing the traditional the European utilities are not affected by the “active” role of the fund manager, passive funds policy. BlackRock is the biggest shareholder of track market indices algorithmically without the world’s most significant lignite miner and needing individual managers to select the Europe’s biggest CO2 emitter, RWE 21 (see also contents of a portfolio. This is done primarily Figure 3). for cost-cutting reasons, which explains why the passive funds are on the rise and account In 2020, BlackRock appears to have turned for an increasing share of trading activity, and a new leaf on its engagement practices. On have surged in market share. January 9th, the firm joined the Climate Action 100+, a major investor effort to pressure the Since indices are generally made of a list of biggest polluting companies. Prior to this, as stocks representing a segment of the market, has been found in several studies tracking its there is a very high likelihood that coal voting results 22, 23, BlackRock has been found companies are part of the investment portfolio. to largely ignore its responsibility in engaging Influence Map’s research confirms that the with corporate giants. The experience of the Thermal Coal Intensity (TCI) of BlackRock’s AGM season 2020 suggests that the asset funds differ: its passive funds had a higher manager is still not exercising its shareholder TCI than its active funds 18. Therefore, without powers to the full extent to push companies into direct management discretion and with a needed transition (see Box 1 below). BlackRock very thinly resourced corporate engagement voted against the company management when team*, “In the past, numerous stakeholders it considered progress insufficient, including have voiced concern about the silent blessing Uniper, Fortum, ČEZ and PGE, but it did not BlackRock has given to coal companies’ lack of support climate-related initiatives. progress on phase-out plans. This silence has provided cover for status quo on coal finance.” * Its investment-stewardship team, although the largest among fund managers, numbers less than 50, meaning each member is responsible for as many as 500 companies. Fool’s Gold | 12
BlackRock’s engagement litmus test: Fortum’s Annual General Meeting (AGM) In the 2020 Annual General Meeting (AGM) season, only one climate-related shareholder initiative was tabled for the focus utilities AGMs. The World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Finland submitted a climate risk shareholder proposal for voting consideration at Fortum’s 2020 annual meeting, asking the company to “Include Paris Agreement 1.5-degree Celsius Target in Articles of Association”. The proposal included an implicit request, as part of the supporting statement, to phase out coal in the geographies where Fortum and Uniper operate coal plants. BlackRock has been transparent in its voting, by publishing its stewardship practices 24. Therein, it is shown that BlackRock voted against the approval of the board and president’s discharge because the “decision by the board to significantly increase its exposure to coal energy generation (by acquiring Uniper) calls into question the board’s integration of climate risks into its corporate strategy”. However, it also abstained from voting on the abovementioned shareholder resolution. Based on the empirical evidence, a much more pronounced ramp-up in the ambition and forceful stewardship will be necessary to achieve the required changes in the coal sectors. Box 1 : BlackRock’s engagement with European coal utilities during the AGM 2020 season. European creditors policy but, as can be seen from the data in table 2, the policy has not stopped controversial deals For this research, the time period for the from taking place. The main loophole of the financial data for loan and underwriting deals by policy protects existing clients by only asking creditors is November 2018 - December 2019. them to be in line with Nationally Determined The 2019 Fool’s Gold report derived its cut-off Contributions (NDC) of the countries where year from the UN Paris Climate Agreement that their operations are located. The Czech-owned was signed in 2016. Since then banks should energy group EPH, infamous for buying up have drastically recalibrated the financial old coal assets all over Europe, is UniCredit’s relationships vis-a-vis their corporate clients. In existing corporate client. Since EPH operates order to capture those financial institutions that in countries where the NDCs are largely have most actively avoided their responsibilities inadequate* to meet the Paris Agreement, the as good corporate citizens, this report brings exclusions are not enforced. Therefore, the data the assessment period forward to the second confirm that the bank’s new coal policy has significant milestone in climate governance: the limited real life impacts on the European coal release of the IPCC special report on 1.5 degrees companies. Celsius global warming (see chapter 3 for more information). BNP Paribas is the second most significant financier of these companies, with €2.1 Therefore, this document uses the IPCC 1.5 billion. In July 2020, the bank introduced degrees Celsius special report as a crucial point in a new coal-fired power generation policy 25 time that confirmed the necessary plummeting for company-level financing with substantial coal trajectory. Any financial transaction exclusions affecting the focus utilities, in line benefitting the coal industry thereafter has no with its thermal coal exit timeframe by 2030 excuse that could be explained with the time in the EU/OECD countries and by 2040 in the needed for the financial institution to prepare rest of the world introduced in May 2020 26. themselves. In 2020, its power clients planning new coal capacities or without an exit strategy that is On the creditor side, UniCredit is the most consistent with the timeline will be gradually significant bank providing €2.8 billion in excluded - even when a subsidiary is concerned. loans and underwriting, similarly to last year’s Furthermore, it discourages coal acquisitions findings. The bank has published a new coal by stating that no capacity additions to power * Climate Action Tracker ranks the NDCs of all European countries as ‘insufficient’. Access at: https://climateactiontracker.org/ 13 | Fool’s Gold
portfolios are allowed, including development plans aligned with the Paris climate goals. If or commissioning of coal-fired power plants. the plans do not align with the 2030/2040 However, it does not formally require from coal phase-out timelines the clients should be clients the closure of companies’ coal assets, excluded without delay. which can lead them to be sold instead. Based on the information compiled in table 6, this Société Générale comes fourth with €1.3 policy could lead to the exclusion of ČEZ, billion. In July 2019, the French bank committed Fortum/Uniper, EPH and PGE already this year. to exit the thermal coal sector by 2030 for BNP Paribas will conduct a review in 2021 to companies with assets in the European Union assess whether the clients are in line with the and the OECD, and by 2040 in the rest of the bank’s set deadlines, followed by an exclusion world. Based on the short-term criteria, few if if that is not the case. In 2021, we expect RWE any of the European coal utilities mentioned to be excluded if they have not brought their in this report are excluded from its financial coal exit date by 2030 and possibly Enel later services. This is supported by the results of table 2 without sharpened plans. An annual review of showing that loans and underwriting have taken the companies’ strategies to exit coal will be place since the introduction of the 2019 policy, conducted and companies that fail to comply including loans to and underwriting of EPH. will be excluded - depending on the outcomes Société Générale should have mostly excluded, or of the annual coal exit strategy reviews. considered excluding against additional criteria, companies whose coal share of revenue exceeds Barclays follows in third place with €1.7 50%. EPH, a regular client, has a very high coal billion. The bank has been under relentless share of power production, as well as revenues*, public and investor scrutiny for being Europe’s and is most likely classified as an “in transition most significant fossil fuel financier 27,28. Despite company” ** that should be divested from if it Barclays new restrictions, the financial support “has plans to expand their (sic)... coal-fuelled to coal remains significant. In March 2020, power infrastructure” or “do not have an explicit Barclays announced a new coal policy laying corporate strategy consistent with becoming a out that it prohibits financing to clients with diversified company by 2025”. Given that 94% of more than 50% of their revenue from thermal the 4,000 MW of the EPH capacity added in 2019 coal as of 2020, transitioning to 30% as of 2025, is fossil fuel-based, including 1,800 MW in new and to 10% as of 2030. The policy is designed coal 29, it is possible that Société Générale has to apply to the entity being financed, whether broken its own coal policy through its dealings transacting with a group parent, subsidiary with EPH. or joint venture. Due to the unprofitability of coal in Europe any revenues-based metric is In July 2020, the bank announced that a new unlikely to be effective. Both Fortum/Uniper thermal coal policy will be adopted 30 revealing and Enel have reported that the coal share of its the high level updated exclusion criteria revenue is only approximately 2-4% (see table (further details are not available at the time 6). Although Barclays detailed the long-term of the writing). It will henceforth exclude coal phase-out pathways, it also indicated that companies from most financial services that: a) no meaningful short-term exclusions would be generate over 25% of their revenues from the introduced in the next five years as the next thermal coal sector and when no credible exit ‘tightening up moment’ of the threshold takes strategy is provided; b) develop new mining, place only in 2025. In short, the new policy power plant or infrastructure projects related cemented the very low level of ambition and to thermal coal. However, they will provide therefore remains toothless in the context of financial services “dedicated to the energy European power utilities. As an immediate step, transition” irrespective of the coal exposure the thresholds should be significantly lowered and there are no requirements for companies in the short term and pegged to the coal share of below the threshold. It is unsure how EPH and production instead of revenues for coal power other companies will be impacted by this. production. Barclays should also ask its coal- heavy clients to publish credible transition * According to the Global Coal Exit List, EPH’s coal share of revenue is more than 30% and coal share of production (based on capacity) 50%. ** D efined as either a) to have between 30% and 50% of their revenue linked to the thermal coal sector; or b) to have more than 50% of their revenue linked to the power sector and between 30% and 50% of their power capacity fueled by coal. Fool’s Gold | 14
Table 2: How watertight are the coal policies? The financial data have been collected until February 2020 since the adoption of the latest coal policy of the bank. Barclays and BNP Paribas have been left out since the banks have updated coal policies in March and July 2020, respectively. Société Générale announced a new policy in July 2020, at the time of writing. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo. Date of the latest Value of loans since the Value of underwriting deals Bank coal policy last coal policy since the last coal policy €114 million (EPH) UniCredit November 2019 N/A €36 million (Enel) €57 million (EPH) Société €100 million (EPH) July 2019 €638 million (Fortum) Générale €170 million (Enel) €36 million (Enel) Table 3: Heat map for the quality of the coal policies of creditors. The assessment matrix is based on the thermal coal recommendations by Europe Beyond Coal and Reclaim Finance 31. Relative threshold Absolute Financial (% of capacity, Phase-out / Just Projects Developers threshold Institution production or engagement transition revenue) (Mt/GW) Exclusion of mining companies above 25% of revenues Exclusion of from coal, and some coal power companies Exclusion of developers above 30% of coal thermal coal based on capacity, and other UniCredit mines and coal No No No relative criteria for new plants, includ- share of coal clients, but large ing retrofits. revenues/ exceptions based capacity. on NDCs and wrong metric used with capacity instead of power generation. Phase-out of the coal power and mining Exclusion of mining sector in the EU/ OECD by 2030 Exclusion of companies above and worldwide thermal coal 50% of revenues BNP by 2040 with mines, and Exclusion of from coal. No new mandatory Paribas coal plants coal plant clients that derive No requirement for No 34 32,33 (including developers. more than 25% of companies in this retrofits) and its revenues from sector to have an infrastructure. coal-fired power exit plan aligned generation. by the end of 2021 and exclusion of all coal plant developers. 15 | Fool’s Gold
Relative threshold Absolute Financial (% of capacity, Phase-out / Just Projects Developers threshold Institution production or engagement transition revenue) (Mt/GW) Yes. Mostly a The policy good policy includes with some intention exceptions to provide given to finance to retrofitting of help train plants. and upskill current and No project Financing to clients future work- finance to with more than 50% force. enable the of their revenue construction from thermal coal It is unclear or material as of 2020, whether just expansion transitioning to 30% transition of coal-fired as of 2025, and to is used to power stations. 10% as of 2030. legitimise Barclays extended 35 No project No No No Using the wrong timelines finance for the for the high development metric of revenues instead of power carbon of greenfield industry, thermal coal generation. mainly in mines. the context The exclusions are of Canadian No general effective extremely oil sands. corporate late. Just financing that transition is specified as should being for new never or expanded be used coal mining to justify or coal-fired unduly power plant prolonged development. phase-out timelines *. Strong policy Exclusion of on exclusions companies with to thermal coal Phase-out of more than 25% projects. coal mining of revenues from and coal power thermal coal. No finance to by 2030 in EU/ Includes large Société thermal coal OECD and 2040 Exclusion of exceptions for extraction, worldwide, and Générale coal plant companies without No No transport or exclusion of all 36,37 developers. a credible exit transformation, coal developers. strategy from or coal- However, phase- the coal sector. fueled power out commitment Furthermore, the production only for lending, wrong metric since units and not underwriting. revenues instead of associated generation is used. infrastructure. The full list of creditors can be found at the end of the report (Annex II) * E xcerpts from the 2019 ESG report, “...we take responsibility for asking our clients the right questions about their response to the displacement of individuals from the security of employment; particularly those from more vulnerable groups.” and “We are committed to supporting this transition by identifying and financing the deployment of affordable, sustainable and economically feasible technologies that provide energy security over the long term, which is crucial for both developed and developing economies.” Fool’s Gold | 16
Significant non-European with €0.3 billion are the 9th, 19th and 29th creditors: Japanese megabanks most significant creditors in European coal. In total, the Japanese megabanks have financed The data reveal another significant country European coal corporations with €1.9 billion bankrolling European coal utilities outside of between November 2018 and December 2019*. domestic and American financial institutions: Japan. The Japanese megabanks have provided The SMBC Group demonstrates a relatively funding in the form of loans and underwriting Central and Eastern European (CEE) client associated with five out of eight coal-reliant base where the power utilities’ coal production power utilities highlighted in this report. If can be extremely high. EPH is particularly we include all financial institutions within problematic since the utility’s business model and beyond Europe, Mizuho Financial revolves heavily around acquiring unwanted Group with €1.0 billion, Sumitomo Mitsui coal plants in Europe and as an unlisted Financial Group (SMBC) with €0.6 billion company it does not have to comply with the and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) same reporting requirements as its peers. The financial links between Japan's three megabanks and European coal power utilities 100 - 150 151 - 250 ・ Sumitomo Mitsui ・ Financial Group ・ 551 - 650 (€ million) Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group * In loans and underwriting since the IPCC’s Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5° C published in Mizuho Financial Group October 2018 until December 2019. Figure 5 : Mizuho Financial Group, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group and Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG): loans and underwriting in European coal from October 2018 until December 2019. Amounts in euros. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo Japanese Number of Number of loans Total megabank underwriting deals Mizuho 8 (€937 million) 1 (€91 million) 9 (€1028 million) SMBC 6 (€274 million) 3 (€291 million) 9 (€565 million) MUFG 2 (€185 million) 2 (€114 million) 4 (€299 million) Table 4 : Break-down of coal deals associated with the Japanese megabanks. Based on the break-down of coal deals, the data reveal that most of the deals are loans. Source: Bloomberg Terminal and Thomson EIKON. Data compiled by Profundo * The historic exchange rate of EUR to JPY 31.12.2019 was 121.97512. Therefore, the financial deals totaled approximately ¥231.75 bn. 17 | Fool’s Gold
The Japanese megabanks have published below. Since the European utilities are mainly and updated their coal policies in the recent supported through corporate finance, the years, with newest revisions in April and May recently introduced coal policies do not have in 2020 restricting new project finance to the material impact on them as they only focus on coal sector. The new policies are assessed restricting coal project finance. Table 5: The assessment of the coal policies of the Japanese megabanks. Relative Date of the threshold Absolute Financial (% of Phase-out / Just latest coal Projects Developers threshold Institution capacity, engagement transition policy (Mt/GW) production or revenue) Commits to reduce the outstanding credit balance for coal- fired power No new coal generation power projects facilities from with notable the FY2019 15.4. exceptions *. amount Mizuho No No No No 2020 38 All loans for (around JPY300 coal power billion) by projects ended 50% by by 2050 39. FY2030, and achieve an outstanding credit balance of zero by FY2050. No new coal 16.4. power projects SMBC No No No No No 2020 40 with notable exceptions**. No new coal (13.5. power projects MUFG No No No No No 2020) 41 with notable exceptions***. * The policy has three main exceptions: 1. It excludes businesses to which Mizuho is already committed as of the start of this policy. 2. Where a proposed coal-fired power plant is essential to the relevant country’s stable energy supply and will contribute to reduction of greenhouse gas emissions by replacing an existing power plant, Mizuho may provide financing or investment for the project. 3. Mizuho will also continue to support development of innovative, clean, and efficient next-generation technology that will contribute to the expansion of sustainable energy, as well as other initiatives for the transition to a low-carbon society. ** Exceptions may be considered for projects which use “environmentally friendly” technologies such as USC pressure and forprojects which have provided support before the revision. SMBC also supports the development of technologies which contribute to carbon recycling such as CCS. *** Exceptions may be considered where MUFG will take into consideration the energy policies and circumstances of the host countries, international standards such as the OECD Arrangement on Officially Supported Export Credits, and the use of other available technologies when deciding whether to provide financing. MUFG also supports the adoption of advanced technologies for high efficiency power generation and Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage (CCS) technologies which contribute to a reduction in the emission of greenhouse gases. Fool’s Gold | 18
As the European coal exit accelerates it is A patchwork of insurance and reinsurance likely that those utilities that can no longer agreements protect developers against certain access capital markets will increasingly seek physical and transitional risks related to coal, finance from further afield. This is why, to allowing them to delay phase-outs of existing ensure that the entire market disincentivises projects. business models that are not rooted in a timely coal phase-out, coal policies must be tackled Since 2017, many European insurers have globally. In Japan, unless the megabanks adopt announced commitments that limit their stricter policies to cover corporate finance, underwriting services to coal utilities or the European coal sector is likely to enjoy restrict coal financing on the project level 44. financial support in the future too. This would Global insurers have also adopted coal make Japanese megabanks fall behind their investment restrictions, which is notable given peers, risking reputational damage, which is the size of capital flows in the sector 45. Even already materialising in shareholder revolts. In now, many major insurers have limited policies June 2020, the first-ever climate shareholder or no policy at all*. proposal received massive international investor backing. At Mizuho’s annual general This report does not present financial results meeting, 34% of shareholders, worth well over for coal insurance and reinsurance, nor does it US$500bn, were voting for the proposal 42,43. analyse the breadth of the financial institutions’ This included the support of ISS and Glass policies for insuring coal companies. This is Lewis, the two prominent proxy advisory partly due to the lack of transparency and data. services. The sector is, however, at the epicenter of coal finance. The insurance sector The insurance sector plays a critical role in allowing coal power generation and mining operations to continue beyond 2030 in the EU. In fact, before a developer can even break ground on a new coal mine or thermal power plant, it must secure insurance for its projects. * Lloyd’s of London market, Talanx and PZU, for example. 19 | Fool’s Gold
2. Focus utilities Coal-related emissions are steadily does not reduce emissions since they just decreasing move from one company portfolio to another. However, since some of the transactions have Before the COVID-19 crisis hit, the European been between the eight focus companies our coal utilities were already on their way out of numbers reflect real world closures fairly coal. In the EU, a fall of one quarter in emissions accurately. Out of the focus power utilities, took place in 2019 alone 46 and especially Endesa’s annual reduction in coal was the use of hard coal has dropped. The pan- approximately a whopping 70% drop between European trend corresponds well with the coal 2018 and 2019*. phase-out pathways of the eight focus utilities in the same year. Between 2018 and 2019, the It should be noted that the data excludes non- power utilities featured in this report lowered European coal assets and does not reflect their emissions by nearly 25% going from 334 the emissions that would be generated with Mt down to 252 Mt year-on-year (see figure 6 alternative high-carbon fuels such as gas and 7). In Europe, some of the company level or biomass**. Regrettably, Fortum/Uniper “phaseout” has been achieved by selling rather has just installed a new coal power plant in than decommissioning plants, which in itself Germany, and PGE is still developing more Coal-based emissions over time 2010-2019 (Mt CO2-eq) 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Figure 6 : The annual emissions of the eight focus utilities since 2010 ***. Source: own analysis. Data retrieved from Europe Beyond Coal coal plant database (accessed May 2020) and The European Union Transaction Log (EUTL). * Peninsular Spain coal generation in 2019 was 1.532 GWh (-69.2% with respect to 2018) and imported coal 4.115 GWh (-72,5% with respect to 2018). ** Biomass is currently zero accounted under the EU ETS, while the immediate emissions are comparable to coal. The emissions are, in theory, accounted for under the LULUCF regulation. In practice, a considerable amount of biomass energy use goes unaccounted under the LULUCF Regulation as 1) the amount of biomass used for energy prior 2009 is considered carbon neutral and 2) allowing increased harvesting into forest management reference levels hides also increased biomass use, which is then considered carbon neutral. See the analysis from Fern conducted in April 2020 showing the extent of forest harvesting plans by the EU states (National Forestry Accounting Plans): Fern. (May 2020). Press release: EUROPEAN COMMISSION FACES MAJOR HURDLE TO PROTECT AND RESTORE FORESTS. Access at: https://www.fern.org/news-resources/european-commission-faces-major-hurdle-to-protect-and-restore-forests-2148/ *** T he 1.1 GW power plant Datteln 4 owned by Fortum/Uniper came online 30.5.2020 with annual emissions that can be up to 8.4 Mt depending on the operating hours. At present, the Turów Power Plant owned by PGE is in the final phase of construction of a modern power unit with a capacity of approx. 500 MW. Furthermore, PGE is currently expanding Turow mine and ČEZ is planning to extend the operation of its Bílina lignite mine, which will indirectly contribute to coal emissions. ČEZ is also planning a new CHP lignite unit planned to come online 2022. The graph does not include the emissions data of Anllares coal plant, which is 33% owned by Endesa and the remaining 66% is under ownership of Gas Natural Fenosa. Fool’s Gold | 20
coal capacities. This is not yet reflected in the brought online in 2020, or further in future, will 2019 emissions data (see table 6 for details). show up as additional coal-based emissions. Despite UN secretary-general António Guterres’ However, the European coal fleet as a whole is call for the 2020s to be a “decade of action” expected to further shrink. calling for an end to new coal-fired power stations after 2020 the utilities are going ahead with their plans. Therefore, new coal plants Aggregate change in coal-based emissions 2010-2019 (Mt CO2-eq) (RWE, PGE, EPH, CEZ, Enel/Endesa, Fortum/Uniper) 500 450 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Figure 7 : The aggregated annual emissions of the eight focus utilities since 2010 showing a downward trend. The emissions only cover the EU and UK. The graph represents only the companies’ coal emissions - not the overall emissions. Source: own analysis. Data retrieved from Europe Beyond Coal coal plant database (accessed May 2020) and The European Union Transaction Log (EUTL). Focus utilities where coal phase-out is well underway there is a genuine threat of coal-to-gas and coal-to- While the overall phase-out rate is promising, biomass 47 conversions, including in Spain and the decarbonisation plans of the coal utilities Italy. It is estimated that in Europe gas replaced indicate that the coal phase-out will not be around half of the coal, solar and wind the other achieved by 2030. This is particularly acute half 48. Many utilities also bank on hydrogen as in three EU countries: Poland, Germany and a growth area while the genuinely sustainable the Czech Republic. Several of those utilities hydrogen economy is in its infancy and it is located in these countries have coal expansion unclear what its role will be. The success of plans (see table 6 and Box 2) and they all still the coal phaseout is therefore also dependent operate a sizable coal fleet. Therefore, drastic on the next stages of the transition since bad shifts in company strategy, capital allocation, investment decisions can lead to stranded technological deployment and accelerated coal assets and infrastructure lock-in. It is unclear decommissioning plans are still a necessity for whether the power utilities are able to harness the utilities in these geographies. renewable energy, while drastically limiting the use of biomass, for their transition. However, closing coal plants is only the first step and does not address the wider issue of Please note that some of the focus power the necessary transition in the power sector. utilities mentioned in this report have adopted While the Western European governments have new business strategies that increasingly phase shown remarkable political will in introducing out coal. This is most relevant in the context of coal phase-out timelines - with the exception Enel and Endesa. However, because the data of Germany, whose government has failed to only reflects end-2019 and early-2020, many of adopt a Paris compatible coal exit timeline - the these developments had not taken place. job is not yet done. In some of those countries 21 | Fool’s Gold
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