February 2021 - Please mute your phone *6 Training Project Code (122)
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February 2021 Training Project Code (122) Please mute your phone *6 1
Welcome & NASS Update
Mountain Region
Management
2
Upcoming Surveys March-May
2021
3
Surveys March-May 2021
• March Crop Stocks (122) February 27 – March 18
• May Ag Yield (128) April 29 – May 6
• Cash Rents (921) March 1 – June 24
• March Hogs (161) February 27 – March 14
• April Milk (178) March 31 – April 12
• Labor (956) April 19 – May 7
• ARMS 3 (904) February 10 – April 12
• Local Foods (683) December 7 – May 24
• COF NAHMS (955) April 5 – April 30
• Quarterly Colony Loss (115) March 31 – April 14
• Floriculture (148) February 1 – March 23
• Prices Paid (171) February 25 – March 31
4
Crops APS March 1, 2021
“Agricultural Survey”
Project Code: 122
Survey Lead: Evan Swindall
Backup: Malik Grace
5
Mailing/Materials
• Regional sample size of around 7,500 records
• Mailed from St. Louis Print Mail Center
– February 18, 2021
• Questionnaire is on pink colored paper for
March
6
Survey Overview
• Collecting data on:
– 2021 Planted/Intentions to plant
• Row crops
• Small grains
• Hay/forage crops
– Stocks from 2020 and earlier
– Cash Rents
7
Survey Overview
• March data provides the first 2021
indications of planted acreage and
intentions
• Provides stock levels for all major
commodities as of March 1st
8
Survey Overview
• Wheat Objective Yield and Ag Yield samples are
selected from March Ag positive respondents
– WOY: CO, MT only with wheat
– AY: May-August; all states will hit at least one month
9
Items to Address
Expected road blocks this year
• Anticipated weather related challenges in
2021
– Diminished snowpack levels = low irrigation
supplies
– Below normal precipitation and poor soil
moisture
– Prolonged drought
– Uncertain planting intentions
10Items to Address
Expected road blocks this year
• Common statements from respondents about
planting intentions
– “I don’t know yet”
– “If I give you uncertain figures, it will affect crop prices”
• What can you do?
– Ask the producers to provide their best guess
– Ask what they normally do
– Refer the operator to our Price Reactions After USDA
Crop Reports publication
• Publication | Price Reaction after Crop Reports | ID:
ms35t861q | USDA Economics, Statistics and Market
Information System (cornell.edu)
11Items to Address
Winter/Durum wheat Planted
CASE 1: Winter wheat planted can be accounted for under
harvested for grain or seed under in IC541 (IC 554 for Durum
in AZ)
Example: 200 planted all harvested for grain/seed
12Items to Address
Winter/Durum wheat Planted
CASE 2: Winter wheat or Durum can be accounted for in
other hay under IC650
Example: 200 acres planted all cut for hay
13Items to Address
Winter/Durum wheat Planted
CASE 3: Can be grazed off or left unharvested, in which case is
accounted for only under planted (IC540 for winter in all
states aside from IC553 in AZ for Durum)
Example:
14Items to Address
Small grain mixtures
• Small grain mixtures should not be included in
planted acreage for individual grain crops
– Only “pure grain” crops are allowed in acreage for
individual grain crops
• Small grain mixtures can be accounted for
under all dry hay
• Cropland used for small grain mixtures should
always be accounted for under total cropland
15Items to Address
Small grain mixtures
• Case 1: Operator only plans to seed 200 acres
of oats and barley mixture. Will cut all for hay.
16Items to Address
Small grain mixtures
• Case 2: Operator only plans to seed 200 acres
of oats and barley mixture. Will be grazed off.
17Items to Address
Examples
– Please do not leave storage capacity blank
1. Utilize “D/K” on the calculator for don’t know if they cannot tell you or will not tell you
2. Enter ‘0’ or check the NONE box if they have no storage capacity on the operation, and leave a
comment
3. If they have it, please enter storage capacity, even if the structure is not being used
currently and has nothing in storage
18Items to Address
Examples
• Large operation that normally has 500K in
storage capacity reports none in December
19Items to Address
Examples
• Operation has an old grain silo they no longer use
consistently for storage. They have reported it
previously as a 2000 bu structure, but in March it
was determined that this structure is abandoned
**Check “none” since
structure is not
consistently being
used**
20Items to Address
Examples
• Has 20K bu in capacity, but wasn’t used in production year
21Items to Address
• If a respondent wants a copy of the results emailed you MUST
enter in email address
• Verify you have typed in a valid email address
• If they require paper copy, please indicate with comment such
as “requests paper copy” or “mail results”
22Items to Address
• Question 1: Total Storage Capacity on Operation
• Question 2: Amount of each commodity stored
• If storage capacity is zero and
operator may have previously
had storage, please first leave
a comment verifying there is
no longer storage on the
operation, then check “None”
• Only make IC 808 a zero if the
operator has NO storage
CAPACITY on the operation
23Items to Address
• MT ONLY: Include statement added to MT CAPI form in 2021
24Crops APS Due Dates
• Mail Date
Thursday, February 18
• Data Collection Begins
Saturday, February 27
• Callouts
Thursday, March 11
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Thursday, March 18 9:00 pm
• Project code: 122
Crop Production and Grain Stocks released
March 31, 2021
25May Ag Yield
• Mail Date
Tuesday, April 20
• Data Collection Begins
Thursday, April 29
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Thursday, May 6 9:00 pm
• Project code: 128
• Sample Size Approx. TBD (between 1500 & 2000 regionally)
Crop Production
May 12, 2021
26Cash Rents Project code: 921 Rhonda Dinan / Jessica Wellington 27
States Involved & Sample Size
• MRFO
MT
– Arizona
– Colorado WY
– Montana
UT CO
– New Mexico
– Utah AZ NM
– Wyoming
Regional Total about 20,000
28Cash Rents
• Stand alone survey plus questions included on March and June APS
• Acreage
– Irrigated Cropland, Non-Irrigated Cropland, Pasture
– Report acres under what land is normally used for
• Example: 100 ac irrigated cropland normally cut for hay being grazed
should go under irrigated cropland despite its being pastured
• Leave comments in these situations
• Cash Rent per acre basis
– Exclude crop share, land & buildings lump sums, AUM, BLM, Per Head
basis
– Include state land if rented per acre (ex. school section)
– Cropland rent varies widely by state and within state
– Pastureland rents are usually $2-$15/acre
• Rented from relatives question
– Asked in order to help explain outlier rent values.
29Cash Rents
• Mail Dates:1st mail February 8
2nd mail April 2
• Data Collection Begins
Monday, March 1
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Thursday, June 24 9:00 pm
• Project Code: 921
30March Hogs
Survey Lead
Jessica Wellington 31States Involved & Sample Size
• MRFO
MT
– Arizona
– Colorado WY
– Montana
UT CO
– Utah
– Wyoming AZ NM
Regional Total about 200
32Hog Due Dates
• Mail Date: February 19
Questionnaire
• Data Collection Begins
Saturday, February 27
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Sunday, March 14 9:00 pm
• Project Code: 161
Hogs & Pigs Report released
33
March 25, 2021Milk Production
March 31st – April 12th
Angela Umlauf
34Mountain Region Sample Size: About 500
#cows (000) MT
400
350
300 WY
250
200
UT CO
150
100
50
AZ NM
0
AZ CO MT NM UT WY
lbs milk (million)
Milk Prod 2020 (approx.)
9000
8000
AZ 4700M lbs. 196K cows
7000 CO 5200M lbs. 201K cows
6000 MT 250M lbs. 11K cows
5000
NM 8200M lbs. 334K cows
4000
3000
UT 2200M lbs. 95K cows
2000 WY 200M lbs. 8K cows
1000
0 24 State Total
AZ CO MT NM UT WY
212700M lbs. 8.8M cows
35Milk Survey
• Gallons vs Pounds
41,000 Gals = 784 #/cow 41,000 Lbs= 91 #/cow
• Milk used on farm (quarts)
• Milk fed to calves (gallons)
• Milk Cow Replacement Price
• Hay Prices
– All states ask alfalfa and other hay purchased from
other farmers in the previous month.
36Milk Production Due Dates
• Mail Date
Thursday , March 18
• Data Collection Begins
Wednesday, March 31
• Callouts
Friday, April 9
• All Data Entered Into CAPI:
Monday, April 12 9:00 pm
• Project Code: 178
Milk Production released
37
Wednesday, April 21Ag Labor Survey Overview
Why Should an Operator Respond?
• Legislators and USDA use farm worker data in making farm policy
decisions.
– Agencies responsible for administering farm labor
recruitment and placement programs use the statistics in
their planning and evaluation.
• Labor data are used in the formulation of farm productivity
indexes.
– The inclusion of wage rate data in the Parity Index (Index of
Prices Paid by Farmers) is required by law.
• Farm worker data are an important component of the
agricultural sector in the Gross Domestic Product.
Project Code 956
Emily Burke 38Ag Labor - Survey Information
• Project Code: 956 - • Regional
Agricultural Labor – 3700 records
• Release: • AZ
– Farm Labor Report
– May 26, 3PM (eastern)
• CO
• Survey asks for hired worker • MT
data for two separate weeks. • NM
Questions are the same, only • UT
the reference period
changes. • WY
– April 11 - 17
– January 10 - 16
39Two Areas of Emphasis:
Wages & Worker Type
• Base Wages vs. Overtime Wages
• The survey records total gross wages, but then goes
on to break that out by Base Wages, Bonus Wages,
and Overtime Wages
– Base wages = The normal compensation for those
employees during the week
– Bonus wages = Pay that is in addition to the usual
compensation received (i.e., performance pay,
hazard pay, regularly paid bonuses, etc.)
– Overtime pay = Pay at a premium for over 40 hours
of worked in a seven day period
40Two Areas of Emphasis:
Wages & Worker Type
• The Survey asks for Worker Types and there are many
options. Please, ask follow-up questions to ensure correct
categorization.
• Use “other” only as a last resort.
• General hired hands do not belong in “other.” They should
be classified according to where they spend the majority of
their hours.
• Leave a comment for all “other,” “other fieldworkers,” &
“other livestock workers”
• Workers who engage in value added work should not be
included; e.g., wine and cheese makers.
• Supervisors have their own classification.
41Two Areas of Emphasis:
Wages & Worker Type
Note that Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse
workers belong in the same category
42Two Areas of Emphasis:
Wages & Worker Type
Note, Farmworkers – Farm, Ranch, and
Aquacultural includes common duties such as
milking, feeding, and herding
43Ag Labor
• Mail Date
Thursday, April 2
• Data Collection Begins
Monday, April 19
• Callouts
Thursday, April 29
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Friday, May 7 9:00pm
• Project code – 956
• Sample Size Approx. 3700
Ag Labor Report released
44
May 26, 2021Lead: Andy Cochran
Backup: Emily Burke
Project Code: 904
45ARMS 3 Dates
Encourage to Complete by Mail/EDR Feb. 10 through Mar. 1
Status Meeting with Supervisor by February 22, 2021
Contact All Assignments by March 1, 2021
Switch Strategy: Interview over Phone March 1, 2021
Complete 2 Phone Interviews by March 15, 2021
Data Collection Ends April 12, 2021
Return paper forms to RFO April 12, 2021
46ARMS 3 Reminders
• Enter all records into CAPI
• Use “Save for Review”
• Include detailed comments in
CAPI
– Use the Calculator icon to enter
Item-Level comments related to
a particular question:
47Quarterly Colony Loss
• Mail Date
Tuesday, March 23
• Data Collection Begins
Wednesday, March 31
• Call Outs
Thursday, April 8
• Data Entered Into CAPI
Wednesday, April 14 9:00 pm
• Project Code: 115 – Bee Colony Loss Quarterly
• Release Date: August 3, 2021
• Sample Size: Approx. 2600 records across all US states
48Quarterly Colony Loss
2706 Should equal the total from column three where 2711 is checked 1.
Beginning hives (first day of the quarter) minus column 4 plus column 7 = Ending
hives (last day of the quarter)
275-3+4=276 49Floriculture
• Mail Date: December 29
• Data Collection Begins
Monday, February 1
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Tuesday, March 23 9:00 pm
• Project Code: 148
50Prices Paid Due Dates
• Mail Date
Thursday, February 25
• Data Collection Begins
Monday, March 8
• Callouts
Wednesday, March 24
• All Data Entered into CAPI
Wednesday, March 31 9:00 pm
• Project code: 171
Prices Paid released
April 30, 2021
51Attempts Via CAPI
• Please remember to fill out “Attempted
Contacts” in assignment listing
52Please mute your phone *6 53
State Specific Information
54State Statistician Corner: New Mexico
• New Mexico in a severe drought.
• Reminder for grain stocks - only
count whole grain storage. Not
grain that has been processed
and being used for feed.
• Call me if you have questions or
concerns.
55New Mexico Drought Monitor
56State Statistician Corner: Utah
• The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
(CDC) is using USDA NASS Census of
Agriculture data on number of farms and the
number of hired workers by county for COVID-19
vaccine distribution planning for agriculture
workers.
• The entire state is in Drought status, with 70% of
the state in an Exceptional Drought status.
https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?UT
• The newly appointed Commissioner of
Agriculture is Craig Buttars from Cache County.
57State Statistician Corner: Wyoming
Provided by Rhonda Brandt,
Wyoming State Statistician
58Wyoming Drought Monitor
July 28, 2020 Wyoming is very dry and
getting drier.
January 28, 2021
Dark Tan=D2, Red=D3.
FSA Forage Programs start at
D2 and D3.
59Wyoming Snowpack is Low!
603-month Outlook – Jan/Feb/Mar
Temperature
Precipitation
61Wyoming Ag Community
• Trying to expanding meat processing in
state, still very small though. WY harvests
about 2,500 carcasses/year, one big plant in
CO harvests 5,500/shift, 3 shifts/day.
• USDA-FSIS auditing all WY slaughter plants,
no issues found yet.
• Sheep producers using slaughter plants in
Brush, CO and Texas. “Ethnic trade” is large.
• CARES Act: >$300 mil to WY farms/ranches
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