Euro-Argo : a new European Research change
←
→
Page content transcription
If your browser does not render page correctly, please read the page content below
Euro-Argo : a new European Research Infrastructure for climate change research and operational oceanography P.Y. Le Traon and Euro-Argo partners Brest, June 28, 2011 « The future of the 21st century ocean » oordinator: Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer - France
Outline Why do we need Argo and Euro-Argo ? The Euro-Argo preparatory phase The Euro-Argo long term organisation Conclusions
Argo: the first global real time in-situ ocean observing system 3000 profiling floats worldwide measuring the temperature and salinity to a depth of 2000 m. Maintaining the array’s size in the coming decades is the next challenge for Argo. This is essential for GMES Marine Service (operational oceanography), ocean and climate research
Argo is a long-term global array integrated with other elements of the climate observing system to: detect climate variability from seasonal to decadal scales and provide long-term observations of climate change in the oceans. This includes regional and global changes in temperature and ocean heat content, salinity and freshwater content, sea level and large scale ocean circulation. provide data to constrain global and regional ocean analysis and forecasting models, to initialize seasonal and decadal forecasting ocean/atmosphere coupled models and to validate climate models. provide information necessary for the calibration and validation of satellite data
Evolution of Argo for the next decade Proven concept. Transition from research to sustained operational mode. 800 to 900 floats per year to be deployed. Evolution of instrumentation (data transmission, hardware, lifetime) The array needs to evolve over time. Extending the core mission. Under ice Marginal seas Sampling Deep ocean New sensors: towards biogeochemistry and Bio-Argo (Oxygen, Chl-a, Nitrate, Carbon)
Euro-Argo : A new European Research Infrastructure European contribution to a global ocean observatory A significant component of the global Argo array of 3.000 floats in operations Requires strong international and European cooperation Proposal : Europe establishes an infrastructure for ¼ of the global array o Requirement : 250 floats per year including regional enhancements (Nordic seas, Mediterranean&Black seas) (about 50 floats per year for regional enhancements) Dual use : operational oceanography (GMES) and climate
Euro-Argo and Climate Change The oceans have a fundamental influence on our climate and weather Over the past 50 years, the oceans have absorbed more than 80% of the Earth warming due to the anthropogenic increase of greenhouse gas concentration Argo is a unique system to monitor heat and salt transport and storage, ocean circulation and global overturning changes and to understand the ability of the ocean to absorb excess CO2 from the atmosphere.
One of the Argo’s most important contributions is a huge improvement in estimations of heat stored by the oceans A key factor to gauge global warming and gain a better understanding of the mechanisms behind rising mean sea level. Global ocean heat content and mean steric sea level variations derived from Argo data (2005-2010) (Von Schuckmann and Le Traon, 2011)
Deep Convection in the North Atlantic (thermohaline circulation and meridional heat transport) Vage et al., Nature, 2009 3 Argo floats in the Labrador Sea observing new deep convection event in Winter 2007/2008 (Vage et al., 2009)
Impact of Argo data for seasonal prediction (ECMWF) 1o ORA-S3 ECMWF’s Seasonal Prediction System 6-year OSEs producing 1-7 month forecasts (2001-2006) Balmaseda, M. A., and D. Anderson All contribute different information. (2008) Impact on initialization strategies and observations on seasonal forecast skill. Geophys. Res. Letters Argo is particularly important for 10 seasonal prediction.
Using Argo data to initialise decadal climate prediction models (Hadley Centre, UK) • A set of idealised experiments designed to test the potential skill of decadal forecasts when initialised with 2000-m Argo T & S • Examining predictability of surface climate data. Preliminary results are variables (such as SST) reveals that assimilating presented. full-depth T & S is more skilful than 2000-m. This suggests that decadal predictions would benefitWhen predicting the variability in from deeper ocean Argo measurements (right).the MOC (Meridional Overturning Circulation), assimilating 2000-m data compares favourably with full-depth assimilation over 15 year forecasts (left).
Euro-Argo and operational oceanography The GMES Marine Service Combining in situ and satellite data, with models to deliver regular and systematic reference information on the state of the oceans and regional seas. Argo is a critical component. Single most important in-situ observing system Physical state of the ocean, and primary ecosystem For global ocean, and main European basins and seas Hindcast, Nowcast, Forecast Data, Assimilation and Models http://www.myocean.eu.org/
Euro-Argo:an essential component of the GMES Marine Service
Impact of Argo data for GMES • Two experiments performed (Mercator Ocean) : – REFERENCE run assimilated all obs (SLA, SST, T/S) – NO_TS run assimilated only (SLA, SST) Temperature : Rms of the differences between the in-situ profiles and the model 7-days forecast REFERENCE NO_TS 0 1.25 2.5 °C • Instantaneous development of large biases (0.3 °C) in the 300-700 m layer • Over time, at deeper depths, the model drifts from the climatology
Euro-Argo Preparatory Phase
Euro Argo Preparatory Phase (January 2008- June 2011) FP7 project. New European research infrastructure (ESFRI roadmap) Objectives : • Undertake the work needed to ensure that Europe will be able to: ▫ Deploy, maintain and operate an array of 800 floats. This will require Europe to deploy 250 floats per annum worldwide. ▫ Provide a world-class service to the research (climate) and operational oceanography (GMES Marine Core Service) communities. Main expected outcomes : • Agreement for long term (10-20 years) operation of Euro-Argo (financial, legal and governance, organisation, technical). Member States and GMES. see http://www.euro-argo.eu/
Euro Argo Preparatory Phase partnership 12 countries, 15 partners • France: IFREMER (Coriolis consortium) and SHOM • Germany: BSH and KDM • UK : Met Office and NERC. • Netherlands: KNMI • Spain: IEO • Italy: OGS • Ireland: Marine Institute • Norway : IMR • Portugal : FCCUL • Greece : HCMR • Bulgaria : USOF • Poland : IOPAS
Main outcomes of the Euro-Argo preparatory phase (www.euro-argo.eu) 1/ Key components of the infrastructure have been improved (float technology, new biogeochemical sensors, data processing system and QC procedures) 2/ Links with users : user conferences, training sessions 3/ Agreement on the long-term organisation of Euro-Argo and its future legal structure (Euro-Argo ERIC). Long term national plans for Euro-Argo have been developed and new countries have joined Argo. 4/ We have worked with GMES, DG Research, DG Mare and EEA (GISC project) to set up a direct long term support from the EC.
Euro-Argo active floats (GDAC) versus total Argo floats (from AIC) 3500 3138 3000 2500 2000 E uro A rgo 1500 Argo 1000 500 0 av 5 av 0 av 0 se 01 se 06 se 1 ju 0 ju 5 ju 0 no 0 no 0 no 5 6 1 1 m - 03 m - 08 oc 3 04 oc 8 09 02 07 2 0 1 -0 1 0 0 r-1 -0 -0 -1 -1 -0 -0 1 -0 -0 v- v- v- v- v- r- r- s- s- il- il- il- nv pt pt pt t t in in in ai ai n n ju ju ju ar ar m m ja ja ja Euro-Argo target is 800 active floats (about 500 floats today – will improve in the coming years but EC direct support is needed)
Costs and long-term funding issues
Funding issues Euro-Argo estimation of costs/year Category Unit Number Cost cost (k€) (k€) Float procurement Global (assumes standard Argo float) 14 200 2800 Includes extra Regional (assumes enhanced floats) 17 50 850 Operations staff for Telecommunications 0.4 800 320 processing, Personnel for management/coordination 100 5 500 operation and Personnel for technical/logistic support 100 6 600 coordination Misc (e.g. freighting) 0.2 250 50 Equipment and consumables 50 Dedicated ship time 300 This estimation Data management does not include Personnel 100 19 1900 evolution of Argo Equipment, other 100 core mission Euro-Argo central infrastructure (CI) Personnel for management/coordination 100 2 200 (2 Meuros/year) Personnel for technical/logistic support 100 3 300 Missions (users workshops, board, council), equipment, etc. 100 International infrastructure support Support to Argo Information Centre 40 Support for Argo Project Office/Director 30 Total 8140
Funding issues Estimation of Euro Argo cost is about 8.2 Meuros/year (250 floats+ 35 FTE/y). Based on planned Member States contributions (4-5 Meuros/year), a direct EC funding (through GMES ) of about 3.3 Meuros/year focused on activities of European relevance is needed. Category Member States EC TOTAL Float procurement Global 1400 1400 2800 Regional 850 850 Operations Telecommunications 160 160 320 Personnel for management/coordination 500 500 Personnel for technical/logistic support 600 600 Misc (e.g. freighting) 50 50 Equipment and consumables 50 50 Dedicated ship time 300 300 Data management (part of GMES Marine Core Service) Personnel 950 950 1900 Equipment, other 50 50 100 Euro-Argo central infrastructure (CI) Personnel for management/coordination 200 200 Personnel for technical/logistic support 300 300 Missions (users workshops, board, council), equipment, 50 50 100 etc International infrastructure support Support to Argo Information Centre 40 40 Support for Argo Project Office/Director 30 30 Total without MCS 3850 2280 6140 Total with MCS 4860 3280 8140
Euro-Argo long-term organization
Organisation of the Euro-Argo RI The RI will comprise : A central facility (Central RI) Distributed national facilities (as of today but with coordination via the C-RI) Floats will be procured through the C-RI and through national facilities The Central RI will be a European legal entity (Euro-Argo ERIC) that will be initially hosted by France. Members are governments. Plays the coordination role and participates actively in the programme : Float procurement, deployments, array monitoring Expertise on all aspects of the programme It hosts the : Programme Manager the RI Office Logistics coordinator and facilities : technical support, storage, testing, shipping, etc
Organisation of the Euro-Argo RI
The Governance of the Euro-Argo ERIC Local Host for Euro-Argo ERIC France (Ifremer, Brest) Members: Bulgaria, France, Germany, Greece, Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Spain, United Kingdom Observers: Ireland, Poland, Portugal , http://www.euro-argo.eu
Status of the Euro-Argo ERIC application • Statutes, technical & scientific description have been validated: ▫ Members: Germany, UK,France,Italy,Netherlands, Greece,Spain, Bulgaria, Norway (TBC) ▫ Observers: Ireland, Poland, Portugal ▫ Contributions of different countries have been defined Float procurement, contribution to the data system ▫ Hosting institution for the ERIC : France (Ifremer) • French Government has completed the validation of the Euro-Argo ERIC application (recognition as an international body, VAT exemption) • Next step: send the official application (French ministry of research) and validation at EC level. • Setting up of the ERIC and its governance bodies (council, management board, scientific and technical advisory group, user group): January 2012
Conclusion The very objective of Euro-Argo is to ensure a long term contribution of Europe to a global ocean observing system European level is needed : improved efficiency in all implementation aspects ⇒We have defined, agreed and are setting up a new European legal structure and organization. ⇒This will allow EU member states to better coordinate, consolidate and sustain their contribution to Argo international. Agreements are at ministerial level and this will help to ensure long term sustainability. ⇒Good progress to agree on the required direct EC (GMES – EEA GISC) contribution to Euro-Argo. Decision is now needed.
Thank you !
You can also read