Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age – Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption YERUN General Assembly Staff Training 14 March 2018 Prof. Dr. Jörg Freiling freiling@uni-bremen.de Einführung in die BWL
Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in… Desk LABOR sharing Dark Crowd- Factories working Virtual & Augmen- Robotics ted Reality The World of Artificial Labor – Open Intelli- ‘Labor 4.0’ Innova- gence tion Autono- Virtual mous Commu- Systems nities of (Vehicles Practice , …) Meta New Learning Compen- & sation Lifelong Models Learning 3 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Working in new labor spheres… Who is more effective? Employee #1 works 40 hours a Employee #2 works 30 hours a week in 9-to-5 mode. (S)He looks week. Nobody really cares when forward to the after-work hours and where (s)he works. However, and the vacation time. Work is it is important that (s)he is scheduled and regular meetings available and delivering output. allow a sound coordination. The Output is roughly defined as boss decides what to do and something useful to the company. when to do it. 4 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Employment and Change Secretary in 1950 Secretary in 1975 Secretary = Office Manager in 2000 7 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Employment and Change Secretary in 1950 Secretary in 1975 Secretary = ‘Secretary’ Office Manager in 2000 in 2025? 8 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Interim Result Q Tentative A Where will people be stronger and/or better than robots and machines? Where do people find their place in the new era of labor? What does it mean in terms of education and managing career paths? 11 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Interim Result Q Tentative A Where will people be - Values & beliefs stronger and/or better - Empathy than robots and - Independent thinking & creativity machines? - Collaboration Where do people find their place in the new era of labor? What does it mean in terms of education and managing career paths? 12 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Interim Result Q Tentative A Where will people be - Values & beliefs stronger and/or better - Empathy than robots and - Independent thinking & creativity machines? - Collaboration Where do people find Replaceable: logic, repetition, routine, … their place in the new era Well positioned: of labor? - Defining what machines have to do (& programming machines) - Creative work - Interpretive work What does it mean in terms of education and managing career paths? 13 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Interim Result Q Tentative A Where will people be - Values & beliefs stronger and/or better - Empathy than robots and - Independent thinking & creativity machines? - Collaboration Where do people find Replaceable: logic, repetition, routine, … their place in the new era Well positioned: of labor? - Defining what machines have to do (& programming machines) - Creative work - Interpretive work What does it mean in - New content in education programs terms of education and (wisdom, empathy rather than managing career paths? knowledge) - New ways of teaching - The own career path as a creative, forward-looking endeavor 14 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in… BUSINESS The Business World – Value Chains or Platforms? Business in value chains Business on (electronic) platforms Source: Porter (1985: 36) • One-sided markets • Two/Multi-sided markets • Relationship logic • Marketplace logic 15 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Business 4.0 - Cornerstones Sharing Economy Business Open Value Co- Age (OI, Creation 4.0 OM, …) Ambidex- terity 16 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in… CONTEXT The Context – a VUCA World 17 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Rules of thumb • All you can digitize, will be digitized – sooner or later… • Not all the things robots can do, will finally be done by robots – at least as long as we live… • Robots will replace many employees – not today, but tomorrow and the day after tomorrow, after follow-up steps of maturation • It is important for the role of people to stay ahead of developments and to shape them – and to make machines & robots the useful support it always have been • There will be still much, maybe enough room for human labor, but… – … not for everybody – … not everywhere – the scope decreases • Entrepreneurial thinking and action matters – it shapes the future and competition 18 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Three phases of competition for the future The Three Phases of Competition for the Future Source: Hamel/Prahalad 1994, p. 47 Management of Migration Competition for Market Intellectual Leadership Paths Share Gaining industry foresight Preemptively building core Building a worldwide by probing deeply into competencies, exploring supplier network. industry drivers. alternate product concepts, and reconfiguring the Crafting an appropriate Developing a creative customer interface. market positioning point of view about the strategy. potential evolution of: Assembling and managing functionality the necessary coalition of Preempting competitors in core competencies industry participants. critical markets. customer interface Forcing competitors onto Maximizing efficiency and longer and more expensive productivity. Summarizing this point of migration paths. view in a "strategic architecture". Managing competitive interaction. 19 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Entrepreneurship 4.0 - Founding startups in times of Disruption 20 ICSB 2017
Self-Employment vs. Startups Local/regional markets Self-Employment Low growth Cash flow Imitative or low innovative ambition Low budget Limited risks Typical examples: Restaurant Craftsmen Consulting Agency time Hairdresser Global Markets Cash flow Scalable business model Startups Innovative ambition Big money model External investors High risks Typical examples: Snapchat time HelloFresh Facebook 21 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
The Recent Pressures on Entrepreneurship Critical mass Ambidexterity (from startup on high levels to scaleup) Diversity Mastering (team, VUCA background) Entrepre- neurship 22 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Classical entrepreneurship models lose their cut… Organization Created & Supply & Demand Boundary Production Business Concept Technology Product Customer Externally or Internally Stimulated Opportunity Commitment to Venture Market Recognition Creation Operational Feedback Strategic Feedback Technology Setup & Organization Opportunity Stage Creation Stage Exchange Stage Source: Bhave (1994: 235) 23 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
What’s wrong with them? 1 (quasi-)linear and sequential thinking 2 customer validation much too late 3 huge investments much too early 4 belief in the power of plans 5 limited open-mindedness 6 from exploration to exploitation – with no real return 7 no real value co-creation 24 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Entrepreneurship 4.0 – Cornerstones Atmo- sphere Effec- tuation Brico- lage Lean- Startup E’l Ambi- dexterity 25 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Atmosphere - where startup spirit unfolds… 26 ICSB 2017
Effectuation (versus Causation) Causation M1 (“we know what we do…”) M2 Given Goal M3 Open Means Vari- Given able Effectuation means goals (“we do what we know… - and make the best of it, whatever may happen”) Source: Sarasvathy (2008) 27 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Effectuation Principles (Sarasvathy, 2008) 28 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Bricolage The Engineer The Bricoleur … plans rationally and … fiddling about – for something systematically really useful … uses everything in reach (even … uses the typical resources things others call rubbish) … first design, second … design and implementation go implementation hand in hand … operates within a given frame he … questions given frames, tries to accepts break them and to go beyond 18 29 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Lean Startup – what is it about? - Starting point may be the vision and/or business idea of the founder. - However, dialogue with customers starts immediately. - LSU rests on investigating customer and the demand entirely – and without influencing customers at early steps. - First target is not a prototype (too expensive and risky), but a minimal viable product (MVP) – maybe a fake or a demo version. - Real development and maturation take place hand in hand with the validation in the market. - Iterations, pivots and fast failure are included – without them the concepts do not pass the market test. 30 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Minimal Viable Product (MVP) Many entrepreneurs take too much time for developing their idea. Why? • They long for the perfect solution. • They want to prevent any kind of know-how drain. What to do: reality check as soon as possible! Problem: Developing a prototype would have been very expensive. Solution: a video of a simple and convenient way of synchronizing data – and a waiting list for interested people Result: 75,000 subscribers over night 31 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Leap of Faith – Generating and Testing Core Hypotheses • There is a problem from customers‘ point of Problem view. Hypothesis • The problem is not (sufficiently) fixed. Solution • There is a solution that fixes the problem in a Hypothesis better way than before. Value • Solution adds evident value to the customer. Hypothesis • Innovators & early adopters buy and re-buy. Growth Hypothesis • Solution is scalable within a broader market. 32 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Entrepreneurial Ambidexterity 33 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Next Conclusions 34 ICSB 2017
Outlook Practicalities • Application of sound tools for developing business cases (canvases, pitch decks, etc.) • Train the trainer – strongly enabling people Entrepreneurship Education • Developing new formats: flipped classroom, problem-based learning, teaching projects • Involving real-life entrepreneurs 35 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Final words The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the turbulence – it is to act with yesterday‘s logic. Peter F. Drucker Problems cannot be solved with the same level of consciousness that created them in the first place. Albert Einstein 36 YERUN 2018 ICSB 2017
Let’s stay in touch! freiling@uni-bremen.de www.lemex.uni-bremen.de 37 ICSB 2017
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