Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Employment and Entrepreneurship in the
         New Age – Implications for
   Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption

                        YERUN General Assembly
                            Staff Training
                            14 March 2018
                                        Prof. Dr. Jörg Freiling
                                      freiling@uni-bremen.de

Einführung in die BWL
Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Let‘s talk about
                             the new age…

2   Einführung in die BWL
Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in…

                                                                 Desk
     LABOR                                                      sharing
                                           Dark                                     Crowd-
                                         Factories                                  working

                                                                                               Virtual &
                                                                                               Augmen-
                           Robotics
                                                                                                  ted
                                                                                                Reality

                                                         The World of
                     Artificial
                                                            Labor –                                    Open
                      Intelli-                            ‘Labor 4.0’                                 Innova-
                      gence                                                                             tion

                                   Autono-
                                                                                           Virtual
                                    mous
                                                                                          Commu-
                                  Systems
                                                                                          nities of
                                  (Vehicles
                                                                                          Practice
                                     , …)
                                                       Meta
                                                                            New
                                                     Learning
                                                                          Compen-
                                                         &
                                                                           sation
                                                     Lifelong
                                                                           Models
                                                     Learning
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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Working in new labor spheres…

                          Who is more effective?

    Employee #1 works 40 hours a          Employee #2 works 30 hours a
    week in 9-to-5 mode. (S)He looks      week. Nobody really cares when
    forward to the after-work hours       and where (s)he works. However,
    and the vacation time. Work is        it is important that (s)he is
    scheduled and regular meetings        available and delivering output.
    allow a sound coordination. The       Output is roughly defined as
    boss decides what to do and           something useful to the company.
    when to do it.

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Employment and Change

       Secretary in 1950

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Employment and Change

       Secretary in 1950    Secretary in 1975

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Employment and Change

       Secretary in 1950        Secretary in 1975

       Secretary =
       Office Manager in 2000

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Employment and Change

       Secretary in 1950        Secretary in 1975

       Secretary =                                  ‘Secretary’
       Office Manager in 2000                       in 2025?

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
Manufacturing & Change: from ugly …

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Employment and Entrepreneurship in the New Age -Implications for Entrepreneurship in Times of Disruption - YERUN General Assembly Staff Training ...
From ‘ugly factories’ to ‘dark factories’

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Interim Result

                  Q               Tentative A

     Where will people be
     stronger and/or better
     than robots and
     machines?

     Where do people find
     their place in the new era
     of labor?

     What does it mean in
     terms of education and
     managing career paths?

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Interim Result

                  Q                                Tentative A

     Where will people be         -   Values & beliefs
     stronger and/or better       -   Empathy
     than robots and              -   Independent thinking & creativity
     machines?                    -   Collaboration

     Where do people find
     their place in the new era
     of labor?

     What does it mean in
     terms of education and
     managing career paths?

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Interim Result

                  Q                                Tentative A

     Where will people be         -   Values & beliefs
     stronger and/or better       -   Empathy
     than robots and              -   Independent thinking & creativity
     machines?                    -   Collaboration
     Where do people find         Replaceable: logic, repetition, routine, …
     their place in the new era   Well positioned:
     of labor?                    - Defining what machines have to do (&
                                    programming machines)
                                  - Creative work
                                  - Interpretive work
     What does it mean in
     terms of education and
     managing career paths?

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Interim Result

                  Q                                Tentative A

     Where will people be         -   Values & beliefs
     stronger and/or better       -   Empathy
     than robots and              -   Independent thinking & creativity
     machines?                    -   Collaboration
     Where do people find         Replaceable: logic, repetition, routine, …
     their place in the new era   Well positioned:
     of labor?                    - Defining what machines have to do (&
                                    programming machines)
                                  - Creative work
                                  - Interpretive work
     What does it mean in         - New content in education programs
     terms of education and         (wisdom, empathy rather than
     managing career paths?         knowledge)
                                  - New ways of teaching
                                  - The own career path as a creative,
                                    forward-looking endeavor

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Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in…

     BUSINESS            The Business World – Value Chains or Platforms?

            Business in value chains             Business on (electronic) platforms

             Source: Porter (1985: 36)

            • One-sided markets                   • Two/Multi-sided markets
            • Relationship logic                  • Marketplace logic
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Business 4.0 - Cornerstones

                                       Sharing
                                      Economy

                                     Business     Open
                         Value Co-
                                                 Age (OI,
                         Creation      4.0       OM, …)

                                      Ambidex-
                                       terity

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Welcome to the world we(‘ll) live in…

     CONTEXT             The Context – a VUCA World

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Rules of thumb

     •   All you can digitize, will be digitized – sooner or later…

     •   Not all the things robots can do, will finally be done by robots –
         at least as long as we live…

     •   Robots will replace many employees – not today, but tomorrow
         and the day after tomorrow, after follow-up steps of maturation

     •   It is important for the role of people to stay ahead of
         developments and to shape them – and to make machines &
         robots the useful support it always have been

     •   There will be still much, maybe enough room for human labor,
         but…
          – … not for everybody
          – … not everywhere – the scope decreases

     •   Entrepreneurial thinking and action matters – it shapes the
         future and competition

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Three phases of competition for the future

            The Three Phases of Competition for the Future
                                  Source: Hamel/Prahalad 1994, p. 47

                                       Management of Migration         Competition for Market
     Intellectual Leadership           Paths                           Share

     Gaining industry foresight        Preemptively building core      Building a worldwide
     by probing deeply into            competencies, exploring         supplier network.
     industry drivers.                 alternate product concepts,
                                       and reconfiguring the           Crafting an appropriate
     Developing a creative             customer interface.             market positioning
     point of view about the                                           strategy.
     potential evolution of:           Assembling and managing
      functionality                    the necessary coalition of      Preempting competitors in
      core competencies                industry participants.          critical markets.
      customer interface
                                       Forcing competitors onto        Maximizing efficiency and
                                       longer and more expensive       productivity.
     Summarizing this point of
                                       migration paths.
     view in a "strategic
     architecture".                                                    Managing competitive
                                                                       interaction.

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Entrepreneurship 4.0 -
     Founding startups in times
           of Disruption
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Self-Employment vs. Startups

                              Local/regional markets
     Self-Employment          Low growth                         Cash flow
                              Imitative or low innovative ambition
                              Low budget
                              Limited risks
                              Typical examples:
                                  Restaurant
                                  Craftsmen
                                  Consulting Agency                           time
                                  Hairdresser

                              Global Markets
                                                                   Cash flow
                              Scalable business model
        Startups
                              Innovative ambition
                              Big money model
                              External investors
                              High risks
                              Typical examples:
                                  Snapchat
                                                                               time
                                  HelloFresh
                                  Facebook

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The Recent Pressures on Entrepreneurship

                        Critical mass
                                        Ambidexterity
                        (from startup
                                        on high levels
                         to scaleup)

               Diversity
                                                         Mastering
                (team,
                                                          VUCA
             background)
                                  Entrepre-
                                  neurship

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Classical entrepreneurship models lose their cut…

                                                          Organization
                                                          Created &              Supply & Demand Boundary
                                                          Production
            Business Concept                              Technology             Product                    Customer

     Externally or
     Internally
     Stimulated
     Opportunity               Commitment to Venture                                                         Market
     Recognition               Creation
                                                                                             Operational
                                                                                             Feedback

                                                       Strategic
                                                       Feedback

                                               Technology Setup & Organization
               Opportunity Stage               Creation Stage                              Exchange Stage

     Source: Bhave (1994: 235)

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What’s wrong with them?

           1    (quasi-)linear and sequential thinking

                2       customer validation much too late

                    3     huge investments much too early

                    4     belief in the power of plans

                    5     limited open-mindedness

                6       from exploration to exploitation – with no real return

           7    no real value co-creation

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Entrepreneurship 4.0 – Cornerstones

         Atmo-
         sphere                                 Effec-
                                               tuation

                              Brico-
                               lage

                   Lean-
                  Startup
                                           E’l Ambi-
                                           dexterity
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Atmosphere - where startup spirit unfolds…

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Effectuation (versus Causation)

                                             Causation
        M1
                                             (“we know what we do…”)

        M2

                                Given Goal
        M3

 Open Means
                                                                   Vari-
                                     Given                         able
          Effectuation               means                         goals

          (“we do what we know… -
          and make the best of it,
          whatever may happen”)

                                                    Source: Sarasvathy (2008)
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Effectuation Principles
     (Sarasvathy, 2008)

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Bricolage

              The Engineer                         The Bricoleur

     … plans rationally and               … fiddling about – for something
     systematically                       really useful

                                          … uses everything in reach (even
     … uses the typical resources
                                          things others call rubbish)

     … first design, second               … design and implementation go
     implementation                       hand in hand

     … operates within a given frame he   … questions given frames, tries to
     accepts                              break them and to go beyond

                                                                               18
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Lean Startup – what is it about?

     -   Starting point may be the vision and/or business
         idea of the founder.

     -   However, dialogue with customers starts
         immediately.

     -   LSU rests on investigating customer and the
         demand entirely – and without influencing
         customers at early steps.

     -   First target is not a prototype (too expensive and
         risky), but a minimal viable product (MVP) – maybe
         a fake or a demo version.

     -   Real development and maturation take place hand
         in hand with the validation in the market.

     -   Iterations, pivots and fast failure are included –
         without them the concepts do not pass the market
         test.

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Minimal Viable Product (MVP)

      Many entrepreneurs take too much time for developing
      their idea.
      Why?
      • They long for the perfect solution.
      • They want to prevent any kind of know-how drain.

      What to do: reality check as soon as possible!

                  Problem:
      Developing a prototype would have
            been very expensive.

                   Solution:
      a video of a simple and convenient
      way of synchronizing data – and a
       waiting list for interested people

                  Result:
        75,000 subscribers over night

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Leap of Faith –
     Generating and Testing Core Hypotheses

                           •   There is a problem from customers‘ point of
            Problem
                               view.
           Hypothesis
                           •   The problem is not (sufficiently) fixed.

            Solution       •   There is a solution that fixes the problem in a
           Hypothesis          better way than before.

             Value         •   Solution adds evident value to the customer.
           Hypothesis      •   Innovators & early adopters buy and re-buy.

            Growth
           Hypothesis      •   Solution is scalable within a broader market.

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Entrepreneurial Ambidexterity

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Next               Conclusions

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Outlook

                                 Practicalities

     • Application of sound tools for developing business cases (canvases,
       pitch decks, etc.)
     • Train the trainer – strongly enabling people

                          Entrepreneurship Education

     • Developing new formats: flipped classroom, problem-based learning,
       teaching projects
     • Involving real-life entrepreneurs

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Final words

                  The greatest danger in times of turbulence is not the
                                        turbulence –
                           it is to act with yesterday‘s logic.

             Peter F. Drucker

         Problems cannot be solved with the same level of
         consciousness that created them in the first place.

                                                       Albert Einstein

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Let’s stay in touch!
                 freiling@uni-bremen.de

                 www.lemex.uni-bremen.de

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