Emerging stronger together: Leveraging the property industry to support Western Australia's economic recovery - HubSpot
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group Emerging stronger together: Leveraging the property industry to support Western Australia’s economic recovery JUNE 2020
Acknowledgements Acknowledgement of Country Thank you to the contributors As Australian entities with our home in Perth, we are honoured to We extend our sincere thanks to the following people who have dedicated significant time be situated on the ancestral lands of the Whadjuk Noongar people. and resources to assist with the development of this report. We acknowledge the First Australians as the traditional owners of John Carey, MLA (Observer) Julian Frecklington Ross Robertson the lands we represent and pay respect to their Elders past, present Parliamentary Secretary to Premier; Principal, Frecklington Advisory CEO and Managing Director, and emerging. Minister for Transport; Planning; Perron Group State Member for Perth Karen Dill-Macky Partner, EY Sinead Taylor Greg Paramor, AO Executive General Manager, Chairman, Leftfield Kate Meyrick Bankwest Director, Urbis Scott Nugent Steven Holden Divisional Development Manager, Marie-Louise MacDonald Chief Property Officer, WA, AMP Capital CEO, Masonic Care WA Perth Airport Tanya Trevisan Maya vanden Driesen Tim Urquhart COO, Iris Residential General Counsel, Wesfarmers Director, Properties, Facilities and Development, Paige Walker Michael Barr Curtin University General Manager Residential Senior Development Manager, ISPT Development, WA, Mirvac Wayne Zekulich Nick Ozich Head of Perth Office, Richard Kilbane Regional Director, Property and Deutsche Bank General Manager, Hawaiian Development, Brookfield Ken Morrison Anthony Rowbottom Chief Executive, Nicole Lockwood General Manager Development, Property Council of Australia Director, Lockwood Advisory WA, Lendlease Peter Beekink Mike Zorbas Chris Palandri Group Executive, Policy and Regional Managing Director, WA, Property and Leasing Partner, Advocacy, Property Council Multiplex Lavan Legal of Australia Darren Steinberg Peter Iancov WA Division Councillors, CEO and Executive Director, Dexus Director, Chronos Advisory Property Council of Australia John Hartman Peter Lee Chief Investment Officer, Minderoo Development Committee Chair, Foundation Foundation Housing We also acknowledge the authors, facilitators, coordinators and advisors who have contributed to the preparation of this report. Sandra Brewer Daniel Miller Michael Palassis WA Executive Director, Associate Director, NS Group Managing Director, Property Council of Australia Paxon Group Bronwen Holland Ross Donaldson Project Manager, NS Group Paul Tilbrook Chairman, NS Group Associate Director, Chui Lin Chong Paxon Group Damian Fasher Marketing Manager, NS Group Director, NS Group
Contents A message from the Part 3: Property Council of Australia 4 Smarter decision making 33 Foreword5 Initiative 8: City building 34 Executive summary 6 Initiative 9: Asset sales 38 Introduction9 Initiative 10: Precinct energy 41 Part 1: Other initiatives 43 Driving demand in the property market 13 Perth City Deal 44 Initiative 1: WA is open for business 14 Planning approval reform 45 Initiative 2: Property tax reform 17 Retirement living reform 46 Initiative 3: Affordable housing 20 Invest in our local tourism icons 47 Initiative 4: Partnerships 22 Residential accommodation Part 2: on university campuses 48 Diversification of the economy 24 Thinking big and thinking green 49 Initiative 5: The ‘new’ New Appendix51 Industries Fund 25 Initiative 6: Commercialising research collaboration 28 Initiative 7: Infrastructure pipeline 31 3
Property has been central to Australia’s The pandemic has changed our world. It won’t prosperity. As our population has grown and be a simple return to business as usual. We will our economy has expanded and diversified, the need new ways of thinking, doing business and property industry has provided the places for creating prosperity. Australians to live, work, create and innovate. With one in three Western Australians drawing Migration has been a key driver in this growth. a wage directly and indirectly from the property In Western Australia, our growth in residential sector, a recovery in confidence and investment property has come from migrants, with one in is imperative to support thousands of skilled three of us born overseas. workers. Similarly, our place in the global economy In this report, the Property Council puts forward has seen some of the world’s leading policy ideas to unleash our industry’s potential corporations establish their corporate to support WA’s economic recovery and future headquarters here, including for the mining, prosperity. oil and gas companies, and the businesses I express my thanks to the contributors for and services that support them. generously giving their time to put forward their Behind all of this economic activity has been ideas which can provide the foundations for our the skilled workers who have designed, planned, economic recovery. constructed and managed our buildings and urban spaces. A message from Sandra Brewer The global coronavirus pandemic has hit our WA Executive Director economy hard. Our governments have taken the tough decisions to protect public health and we now face the difficult task of reopening, rebuilding and readjusting our economy to a post-COVID world. the Property Council of Australia 4
The global public health and economic This report goes deeper than just providing crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic a list of shovel-ready projects. Its ambition is has presented governments, business and bigger and for the longer term, to support policy communities with unprecedented challenges. initiatives and settings that will help set WA on the path for long-term growth and prosperity. Australians have done a tremendous job in suppressing the spread of coronavirus in our The contributors to this report bring ideas community, although the measures introduced and insight from distinguished careers to protect public health have come at a very in infrastructure, energy, property and heavy economic cost. construction. Their experience stretches across private and public sectors. Governments are now turning their attention to the imperative of rebuilding our economy by We strongly encourage the WA Government reopening businesses and helping Australians to consider these ideas with fresh eyes and an get back to work. appetite for making decisions, to reconsider preconceived views and be inspired by the The property industry has always been one of job-creating value of these ideas. the big engines of the Australian economy – supporting 1.4 million jobs and contributing The contributors to this report want the best 13% of gross domestic product. In Western outcomes for their State – a sentiment we Australia, it is 233,000 jobs and $31.2 billion strongly endorse and look forward to working in GDP.1 with the WA Government on realising these ambitions. That has been the driving principle of this report: to put forward policy ideas that will take the WA economy ‘beyond COVID’ and support the Ken Morrison property industry to power economic recovery. Chief Executive Foreword 1 Property Council of Australia report by AEC Group, ‘Economic significance of the property industry to the Australian economy’, 2015-16. 5
Executive summary There is optimism and appetite to generate bolder visions, roll up our sleeves and do whatever it takes to create an enduring legacy. Revealing our potential The year 2020 has marked a turning point in how However, let us not confine ourselves with we think, live, learn, work and play. planning for recovery, only to return to the way things were pre-coronavirus. We must be Many lives have been saved due to swift ambitious, as the decisions we make today Federal and State Government action, but the will shape not only our future, but also for the global COVID-19 pandemic has taken its toll on coming generations. employment, business confidence and economic security. For the first time in 29 years, Australia There is optimism and appetite to generate finds itself in a recession2 – albeit a forced one. bolder visions, roll up our sleeves and do whatever it takes to create an enduring legacy. In contrast to many of our counterparts across the country, Western Australia has continued to This report is the culmination of a property grow with positive state final demand through industry-led initiative designed to provide the first quarter of 2020.3 This is testament to the guidance to the State Government to boost leadership of the McGowan Government, as well business and consumer confidence and, as the spirit and strength of our community that ultimately, elevate our economic prowess. has always set us apart. It demonstrates the property industry’s As we now shift into economic recovery mode, commitment to working alongside the the Western Australian State Government has Government to deliver what is best for already taken positive steps – welcomed by our State. businesses and the community alike – to kick- start the local economy. 2 Treasurer Josh Frydenberg MP, National Accounts – March Quarter 2020, Media Release, dated 3 June 2020. 3 Western Australian Treasury Corporation, Economic Analysis, GDP Q1 2020, , viewed 4 June 2020. 6
Executive summary Voices of our property leaders Driving economic prosperity A partnership between the Property Council of Through this industry engagement, 10 key Australia and NS Group, in close consultation initiatives are presented in this report. The with industry, this research sought to unlock merit of these initiatives has been reinforced by the collective wisdom of our local and evidence-based research and economic analysis. national expertise. Whilst this process has been a property-led We asked: how can we leverage the property undertaking, contributors have taken a holistic industry to support WA’s economic recovery? approach and considered various aspects of the economy to provide well-rounded guidance that The ensuing sentiments were unified and will complement the stimulus packages already clear. We need to create immediate demand announced across all levels of government. that is closely followed by long-term demand – both of which are only possible with the right It is our recommendation that the WA infrastructure and resources in place to deliver. Government considers and implements the initiatives identified, as this will enable our There is overwhelming support to embrace our State’s recovery to take us to a better place idle economic strengths; to bring them forward than pre-coronavirus. and invest in them. The proposed initiatives, and their corresponding For far too long, WA’s potential has been actions, have been developed with the intent underestimated and overlooked. It is now timely of maximising economic value for every dollar to commit and diversify by nurturing, harnessing spent. These initiatives ensure that our emerging and promoting our State’s unique opportunities future looks brighter than ever. and abilities. 7
Executive summary Timing of the Economic impact economic impact Game- Once in a Long Medium Short Themes Key initiatives Outline of opportunities and actions Low Medium High Changing lifetime term term term Opportunity: Reposition us as a world leader and the ‘place to be’ for international researchers, entrepreneurs, students, investors and anyone who wants a better lifestyle. #1 WA is open for business Action: Implement a targeted ‘International Immigration and Investment Engagement Program’. Part 1: Driving demand in the Opportunity: Increased demand for new land, house and land packages, retirement living, medium density and apartments property market incentivising the progression of new developments and strengthening job security. #2 Property tax reform Securing workers in the field and building Action: Implement property tax reform. confidence across the community by returning Opportunity: An acceleration of the State’s Metronet Social and Affordable Housing and Jobs Package will increase immediate demand for property that development demand and speed up property sector activity and broader economic recovery. progresses existing projects and kick-starts #3 Affordable housing new developments. Action: Allocate direct funds and land equity towards affordable housing in targeted property developments. Opportunity: Leverage private capital to deliver social infrastructure and promote development, creating jobs with reduced government borrowing. #4 Partnerships Action: Replicate the ‘WA Schools Public Private Partnership (PPP) Project’ or similar. Opportunity: Building and expanding the capacity of existing industries to foster new areas of competitive advantage whilst #5 The ‘new’ New Industries retaining the benefits within WA. Fund Action: Form and fund a ‘New Industries Taskforce’. Part 2: Diversification of the economy Opportunity: Creating effective research collaboration between government, business and education that translates into Repositioning our place in the global economy #6 Commercialising economic benefits for WA by becoming a world-leading destination for investment and doing business. by building up WA’s economy through research collaboration well-planned delivery of infrastructure and Action: Form and fund a ‘Research Commercialisation Group’. leveraging our homegrown, recognised expertise. Opportunity: Prioritise any further investment towards state-significant infrastructure projects, such as Westport, which improve the future economic stability and prosperity of WA as opposed to further investment in road and #7 Infrastructure pipeline transport infrastructure. Action: Prepare and deliver a 20-year ‘State Infrastructure Plan’. Opportunity: Leverage the development experience and capital of the private industry to design, build and operate key activity centres for achieving vibrant and economically sustainable communities earlier. #8 City building Part 3: Smarter decision making Action: Support partnerships with industry through the activation of key precincts. Tackling the big opportunities to get the most Opportunity: Improve the efficient use of State Government land assets through a strategic review and revision of the Land from the property industry in the medium to Asset Sales Program (LASP) and legislation controlling the management and use of Crown land. #9 Asset sales longer term; making sure that any investment Action: Reinvigorate the State Government’s LASP and target the use of existing Crown land in strategic locations. is well spent through initiatives which do not require the State Government to spend limited Opportunity: Development of precinct-wide energy infrastructure which minimises carbon production, decreases energy tax revenue. costs for consumers and feeds economically sustainable renewable energy back to the consumer or the #10 Precinct energy network at large. Action: Develop a targeted ‘Precinct Energy Investment Program’. 8
Introduction This report is the culmination of the property industry’s shared ambition to work alongside the State Government to create a legacy of opportunity and prosperity long into the future. It is widely acknowledged that the strength Initiated and developed by NS Group in of Western Australia’s response to coronavirus partnership with the Property Council of has been exceptional, steered by clear and Australia, this industry-led report seeks to provide decisive leadership from both Federal and unfettered and independent advice to the State State Government. Government on a way forward to achieve optimal economic impacts post-coronavirus. Across the country, governments that have been forced to focus on the health and safety of our Through harnessing the knowledge, experience communities are now able to turn their attention and insights drawn from property industry to economic recovery and nation building. leaders locally and nationally, the recommended initiatives and actions have been carefully Although there is optimism, it is without question considered through a defined lens of making that strategic and effective action will be required our State better, a destination of choice, and to get the economic flywheel spinning again. a place recognised around the world for its The Western Australian State Government has creativity and character. already been proactive in implementing new This report is the culmination of the property initiatives to set economic recovery in motion. industry’s shared ambition to work alongside These include the introduction of planning the State Government to create a legacy of reform, the fast-tracking of community sports opportunity and prosperity long into the future. grants and the formation of the State Recovery Advisory Group. However, there is much work ahead and it is more important than ever that the decisions made in the coming months are the right ones. 9
Introduction Collective thinking Approach and methodology A major contributor to driving the State’s economy, The themes and initiatives presented in this the property sector is uniquely placed with the ability report are the outcome of a comprehensive to positively impact every single segment of the engagement process with property leaders Australian population. across Australia. The group of industry leaders assembled for The objective was to establish a collective of this report bring valuable perspectives and are valid and informed opinions from a full cross- representative of the various sub-sectors within the section of industry. multifaceted property sector. The task was clear: This industry engagement and response was how can we leverage the property industry to meet 1 developed in three stages. the challenge of economic recovery? The research contributors recognise the immediate Prepare and research investment and support needed to kick-start jobs and the market, business and community confidence • Establish terms of reference and, ultimately, spending. • Complete background research At the core of the challenges facing our State, and • Develop guidance streams and questions the biggest issue to address, is demand. 2 Whilst this has been a property-led undertaking, the Engage and discuss key messages that have arisen through this process are not necessarily property based. They are diverse • Invite participants in nature and holistically future-focussed. • Conduct survey Property leaders are seeking strategic decision making that turns the challenges faced by all of WA • Collate survey responses into targeted investment and specific actions in the • Convene forum key areas that will underpin our future success. • Discuss key ideas 3 Consider and resolve • Establish key initiatives • Undertake supporting research At the core of the challenges facing our State, and economic analysis and the biggest issue to address, is demand. • Prepare position paper Refer to the Appendix for full details of the engagement and reporting process, as well as an overview of all industry responses. 10
Introduction Stage 1: Prepare and research Stage 2: Engage and discuss Stage 3: Consider and resolve The terms of reference focussed on developing The broader engagement phase resulted in nearly From the engagement and discussions across an aligned and equitable position for maximising 150 individual ideas generated from the survey the three overarching themes identified, 10 key value and providing factual, industry-inspired around policy, projects and partnerships. Almost initiatives were borne. guidance that supported State Government half of the proposed initiatives presented related These initiatives have been substantiated with decision making and WA’s economic recovery. to government policy settings and measures. research and economic analysis to form the clear A background paper was provided to ensure Planning and tax reform clearly topped the advice and actions provided in this report. that all participants had a common agenda in the survey responses. This was understanding of the current political, policy followed by bringing forward big-ticket 1 and industry environment. government initiatives and getting the Policy infrastructure in place to enable industry to Three open-ended questions were posed in move on projects, as well as the opportunity a survey on the topics of ‘policy’, ‘government for government and industry to partner investment’ and ‘leveraging industry’. They were • Short-term policy initiatives to collaboratively to lead the way out and form a deliberately left open to allow each participant support economic stimulus. new, robust and sustainable economic trajectory. the opportunity to answer as they deemed • Improve the system for the long appropriate. The forum then focussed on elevating these term through adaptation of those ideas through discussions and debate with key short-term policy initiatives. themes surfacing. 2 Government investment • Where money should be spent to get the economic ‘flywheel’ going, not just expediently ‘spending’. • Equitable procurement, maximising value for all. 3 Leveraging industry • Opportunities to incentivise existing private industry property initiatives. • Expansion of the role of private industry through partnership.
Introduction Key initiatives Part 1: Part 2: Part 3: With immigration down pre-coronavirus and Driving demand in Diversification of the economy Smarter decision making limited inflow estimated for 2020 and 2021, any the property market Repositioning our place in the global economy by Tackling the big opportunities to get the most new infrastructure or stimulus that encourages Securing workers in the field and building building up WA’s economy through well-planned from the property industry in the medium to new development but is not backed by a larger confidence across the community by delivery of infrastructure and leveraging our longer term; making sure that any investment population will fall flat. returning immediate demand for property homegrown, recognised expertise. is well spent through initiatives which do not Therefore, new initiatives beyond hard that progresses existing projects and require the State Government to spend limited infrastructure and the bringing forward of kick-starts new developments. tax revenue. existing project pipeline will need to be explored. These opportunities include those that will assist in strengthening the diversity of our economy and our activity centres, attracting new skills to our State and increasing our resilience. Timing of the To leverage its competitive advantages, WA Economic impact economic impact needs structural reform balanced with stimulus. Game- Once in a Long Medium Short Low Medium High In this report, 10 proposed initiatives have been changing lifetime term term term arranged in three broad themes. #1 WA is open for business The following diagram summarises the anticipated economic impact and expected #2 Property tax reform Part 1: timing associated with each of the proposed Driving demand in the property market initiatives. #3 Affordable housing #4 Partnerships #5 The ‘new’ New Industries Fund Part 2: #6 Commercialising research collaboration Diversification of the economy #7 Infrastructure pipeline #8 City building Part 3: #9 Asset sales Smarter decision making #10 Precinct energy 12 Disclaimer: This report is intended as a thought piece. The broad economic and financial analysis presented would require further in-depth modelling for accuracy and robustness to confirm the details of any suggested impact.
Driving demand in the property market Securing workers in the field and building confidence across the community by returning immediate demand for property that progresses existing projects and kick-starts new developments. Demand for property, particularly residential homes, is at historically low levels. Shocking figures in the Housing Industry Forecasting Group’s May 2020 release revealed that WA housing starts are expected to be the lowest in 37 years.4 The Group predicted WA housing starts of 12,500 for the 2019- 20 year, when adjusted for population, which would be half of the average level of housing starts over the past 25 years. Returning immediate demand for property will result in the 1 progression of projects by developers to construction and the initiation of new projects. This demand is essential to provide jobs and build confidence across the community. 4 Housing Industry Forecasting Group, HIFG April update and media statement, May 2020.
Initiative 1 WA is open for business Opportunity Demand creation, diversifying our economy and altering the future of WA for the better. It is our chance to reposition us as a world leader and the ‘place to be’ for international researchers, entrepreneurs, students, investors and anyone who wants a better lifestyle. This initiative acknowledges that the timing must be right given the current restrictions on travel. Action Implement a targeted ‘International Immigration and Investment Engagement Program’. 14
Initiative 1 WA is open for business Proposition Background • Complement and expand the current The impact of economic immigration on Australia’s intrastate tourism ‘Wander out Yonder’ population, economy and labour market is virtually Population growth by state (YoY)6 campaign launched on WA Day this year, unmatched among advanced economies. supported by the State Government through 4% Since 1945, immigrants and their immediate Tourism WA, to attract migration and talent descendants have accounted for over half of the to WA. Either find new funds or redirect nation’s population growth. More than one in funds allocated to generously funded roads 3% four workers in Australia were born in another programs to the growth and diversification country, with the foreign-born population as a of our community. share of the total population higher than in any • Creation of a delegated and funded working other OECD country, except for Luxembourg.5 2% group to coordinate universities, research WA has thrived through these migration waves institutes, tourism operators and general with visiting international workers and students industry to attract national and international 1% who buy homes in our State. They were attracted interest for moving and investing in the by the lifestyle, safety, amenity and long-term opportunities available in WA. capital growth prospects. • This is not a ‘Where the bloody hell are you?’ 0% Beyond contributing to the thousands of campaign. It is targeted investment into direct and indirect jobs in the property sector, 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 initiatives that will bring valuable people to international students and temporary migrants WA by promoting Perth and our regions as the WA QLD VIC NSW add to the vibrancy and viability of the places they best option for migration, for the best people. inhabit, filling cafés, restaurants, shops, stadiums • Invest money to bring talent here and make and tourism icons. the move worthwhile for them, their families However, WA has experienced comparatively and our State. Ensure their decision to move, low population growth in the last five years by curating a smooth and positive experience and will see further decline through and from their arrival into the country and beyond coronavirus. settlement in their new home. The current focus of immigration selection policy is on prioritising those who arrive at a younger stage in their working life; participating in the workforce, working in high-paying jobs, and using fewer government services, which means that the fiscal impact of skilled visa arrangements is positive for Australia. OECD, Foreign-born population (indicator) (2020), doi: 10.1787/5a368e1b-en, accessed on 20 May 2020. 5 Australian Bureau of Statistics, Queensland Government Statistician’s Office, DAE, Ethos Urban. 6 15
Initiative 1 WA is open for business Justification Research completed by the Lowy Institute Greater focus on attracting and permitting attributes much of Australia’s historical access to highly skilled immigrants, entering on success as an OECD country to our proactive a permanent or temporary basis, has assisted in immigration policies.7 counterbalancing recent emigration trends. “Increased intakes of skilled immigrants have A move to strengthen support programs for assisted structural transitions in Australia’s people relocating to our State will act as further economy, delivered tangible benefits in addressing motivation to move, plus increase the likelihood challenges related to population, and produced of valuable members of our community positive effects in relation to fiscal impact, remaining within the State. productivity, and immigrants’ employment and Furthermore, enabling attractive and well-paid labour market outcomes. employment opportunities, as well as access The growing international student visa intake to affordable housing, training and quality reflects the increasing importance of international schooling, will lift the State’s status as the place tertiary education to the Australian economy, where people and businesses want to be. the export value of which rose from A$1.2 billion in 1991/92 to A$18.8 billion in 2014/15, making international education Australia’s largest non- resources export industry.” Next steps • Form an independent working group • Estimated time and budget for preparation of to develop and implement a targeted the modelling is approximately eight weeks at International Immigration and Investment a cost of $200,000. Engagement Program. • Potential budget for program implementation of $20 million per annum. Wright, C.D., Clibborn, S., Piper, N., Cini, N., ‘Economic migration and Australia in the 21st century analysis’, dated 19 October 2016, 7 , accessed online 20 May 2020. 16
Initiative 2 Property tax reform Proposition Opportunity • Noting exemptions and concessions are already in place, a full exemption for the Increased demand for new land, house and foreign buyers surcharge and stamp duty on land packages, retirement living, medium residential property transactions for ‘off-the- density and apartments incentivising the plan’, under-construction residences and land for an 18-month period starting 1 July 2020. progression of new developments and strengthening job security. • The above exemptions are not limited by the value of the transaction. This initiative has the greatest potential to favourably impact construction and Background immediate job creation. Property industry participants have seen the prospect of a long-awaited recovery decimated by the coronavirus pandemic, reporting their Action lowest levels of confidence. Implement property tax reform. According to the latest ANZ/Property Council Survey for the June 2020 quarter,8 slight gains of the previous quarter where the WA property industry confidence edged up two points to 124 points were eliminated as confidence levels almost halved to 63 points for the June 2020 quarter. Preceding key issues impacting the progression of development include: • Market conditions that support appropriate financial returns for investors. • Construction costs given increasing construction, environmental, safety in design standards and a construction market buoyed by mining-related activity. • High pre-sales levels required to support debt finance. The outlook for the next two quarters and into 2021 is unknown, but many predict it will follow Property Council of Australia, , accessed online 4 June 2020. 8 a slow ‘U’ or possibly an ‘L-shaped’ recovery. 17
Initiative 2 Property tax reform Justification Stamp duty estimate (off-the-plan apartments) The intent is to protect revenue that the State relies upon, however, in recognition of the unprecedented situation we are aware that the revenue associated with foreign buyers surcharge 40 and stamp duty will be heavily impacted in the coming year and beyond. To address the decline, property-related taxes should be calibrated to suit the overarching and cyclical market. At present, historically low revenue will be achieved, particularly from the foreign 30 buyers surcharge and stamp duty associated with new, off-the-plan developments. Stamp duty ($m) Supporting evidence for taking this action: 1 3 20 The foreign buyers surcharge, along New South Wales and Victoria are with other associated international sales understood to be considering removing COVID-19 impact 10 costs, brings the development burden to their foreign buyers surcharge. Should more than 18% of the sale price, versus this occur, the WA residential market circa 8% for local buyers. For the average will be disadvantaged. foreign buyer, purchasing an apartment 4 (valued at the median of $682,000) with 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 the impost of the surcharge is $47,740. This is a significant amount that exceeds stamp duty and, when combined with the Cities such as Sydney and Melbourne Source: Paxon Group (conceptual modelling) Foreign Investment Review Board (FIRB) have found that large-scale investment fee, creates a differential of over $50,000. by international investors has impacted 2 Encouraging property demand affordability and activation issues. By contrast, the Perth property market has not yet been impacted in the same Current 25% uplift in property development sector Should the foreign buyers surcharge manner (however, it should be actively and stamp duty exemptions, as outlined, monitored to ensure that this does result in an increase in property not occur). development by say 25% (as a broad VS. estimate) of the predicted market pre- coronavirus, then some 325 apartments could be constructed and the benefits $10 million est. 325 apartments 1,400 jobs $284.7 million $3.7 million would include: stamp duty economic benefit payroll tax • 1,400 jobs; • Total economic activity of $284.7 million; and Source: Paxon Group (conceptual modelling) • Direct revenue benefit of $3.7 million in payroll tax. 18
Initiative 2 Property tax reform Development cost (local vs. international buyer) Conveyancing 0.1% 0.5% Conveyancing Marketing 1% 1% Marketing Agency fees 1.5% 5% Agency fees Stamp duty 5% 5% Stamp duty Foreign buyers 7% surcharge All other costs 92.4% All other costs 80.5% Local International Next steps Source: Paxon Group • Complete modelling to confirm the details of the suggested impact to market demand for new property, resultant jobs and economic returns. • Estimated time and budget for preparation of the modelling is approximately six weeks at a cost of $100,000. 19
Initiative 3 Affordable housing Opportunity Proposition Recognition that affordable housing is • State Government to fully fund the $394 million Metronet Social and Affordable Housing and state infrastructure which cannot be Jobs Package for development initiated over imposed on the private sector to resolve. the next 36 months, particularly for Stream 1 high-density transit-oriented developments. An acceleration of the State’s Metronet • Expand Stream 1 to include developments at Social and Affordable Housing and Jobs all Metronet and existing rail station precincts. Package will increase development • Expand land options by reviewing and demand and speed up property sector allocating other State Government-controlled activity and broader economic recovery. land into the program, including inner city opportunities such as Perth City Link. Where appropriate, vend in the Department of Action Communities’ and other land as equity to cover the cost of the affordable housing. Allocate direct funds and land equity • Specific opportunities include: towards affordable housing in targeted ⸰ funding affordable housing and vending property developments. in key inner city land to underpin development viability; ⸰ funding residential housing on university campuses to attract international researchers and staff; and ⸰ linking new affordable accommodation with immigration programs (see Initiative 1: WA is open for business). 20 20
Initiative 3 Affordable housing Background Justification The Australian Housing and Urban Research There is a disconnect between the Government’s If the Government instead contributed this Institute (AHURI) identified key challenges in policy and its commitment to align funds with $209 million towards affordable housing, it would the affordable housing sector – which consists the community’s affordable housing needs. result in private investment of $1.4 billion and of public housing, community housing and create over 10,000 jobs. To achieve the required Whilst the purpose of this policy is understood, sub-market private rentals – as the shortage stimulus outcome, shovel-ready projects need the affordable accommodation requirement of affordable homes for lower income earners, to be prioritised. impacts heavily on development feasibility in a and the declining physical and financial condition property market downturn. Forming part of the $394 million Metronet of public housing.9 package, is $53 million of the Department of For instance, of the $394 million Metronet Social Whilst the State Government’s Affordable Communities land and $3 million of government- and Affordable Housing and Jobs Package, no Housing Action Plan 2017-18 to 2019-20 extended owned land. However, it would likely be able new government funds have been committed, the affordable dwelling target set out in the to free up substantially more land through a only the reallocation of $9 million from existing Affordable Housing Strategy 2010-2020: Opening detailed review and land assembly associated programs. Doors from 20,000 (lifted to 30,000 in 2015) to with Metronet. 35,000, the initiatives were developed at a time The private sector is anticipated to cover Funding and vending land into the Government’s when property and rentals were at their most $209 million in a severe market downturn. affordable housing ambitions over the medium to affordable in many years. Assuming that the $209 million supports 15% longer term will considerably increase the impact. of average affordable accommodation in new Fast forward to the financial hit and unemployment developments, the balance of 85% in privately fallout caused by COVID-19 and the issue of funded development equates to some 4,000 affordable housing is now of graver concern. dwellings, or $1.4 billion of investment. Among other government-funded initiatives, such as the National Rental Affordability Scheme (NRAS), Keystart and stock transfer programs, the WA Government has been partnering with industry and leaning on the private sector to deliver new affordable dwellings. For example, developers are subject to an affordable accommodation requirement for inner city locations – a burden Next steps that impacts heavily on development feasibility in • Task the Department of Communities and • Estimated time and budget for a property market downturn. DevelopmentWA to work with industry preparation of the plan is approximately Although universities have progressed to form an Affordable Accommodation six weeks at a cost of $100,000. substantial capital works programs and are Investment Plan across the State. considered activity centres in their own right, the development of residential apartments has not 9 illigan, V., Pawson, H., Phillips, R., Martin, C., and Elton Consulting, ‘Developing the scale and capacity of Australia’s affordable housing industry’, M generally been supported by approval agencies. doi:10.18408/ahuri-7108402. 21
Initiative 4 Partnerships Opportunity Proposition Leverage private capital to deliver social Expand accepted partnership models to bring forward planned social infrastructure, such as infrastructure and promote development, schools, sports facilities and allied health facilities creating jobs with reduced government like GP Super Clinics. borrowing. The opportunity would: • Include a program of like requirements (e.g. eight schools) to provide scale in capital Action and efficiencies in delivery, operation and Replicate the ‘WA Schools Public Private maintenance. Partnership (PPP) Project’ or similar. • Require the partner to apply specific procurement models which maximise the market stimulus, such as: ⸰ multiple contractors to spread the funds and job creation across the State; ⸰ mandated use of local designers and materials supporting local jobs and intellectual property; ⸰ inclusion of a training program during construction and operation supporting apprentices and Indigenous education pathways; ⸰ high whole of life energy efficiency expectations; and ⸰ incorporation of tertiary research opportunities (e.g. new energy efficiency technologies and maximising operational efficiencies). For assets such as schools, there should be high density solutions, constructed on government- owned land neighbouring existing and new rail stations with least one school on inner city government-owned land. 22
Initiative 4 Partnerships Background WA Schools PPP Project The community has an ongoing need for new • The program delivered eight schools (four primary and and expanded social infrastructure which is likely four secondary) with a capital cost of $318 million. in planning by the State Government for delivery within the next five years. • Value for money was calculated as a 13.7% saving compared to public sector delivery. This is comparable to an average of Recent partnership models such as the ‘WA 14.1% seen across other Australian schools PPPs. Schools PPP Project’ have been successful. • The diagram below shows (indicatively) five precedent PPP projects, giving an expected range on capital size and Justification likely value achieved of $200-300 million in capital and Much of our social infrastructure is tired and 10-15% savings. any improvement will be welcomed by our communities. The social infrastructure referred to is simple in design and delivery and can be rolled out quickly. Whilst the partnership commitment is capitalised 25 Precedent projects on the Government’s balance sheet, using private Expected new project range capital frees up immediate government funds for 20 other initiatives, or reduces debt exposure. Private partners will be able to design and deliver Value (%) faster than through government processes. 15 Internal government procurement and project Next steps delivery resources will be freed up to focus on 10 Replicate the WA Schools PPP Project resulting in: other initiatives. Applying the conditions of the partnership 5 Employment anticipated to outlined ensures maximum exposure of the Eight schools be in excess of 2,500 jobs stimulus across the market in various locations, immediately and over the medium and long term. 100 200 300 Approximately $360 million Multiplier effect leading to Construction on inner-city and station sites will Capital ($m) overall economic benefit of of construction works increase activation and economic sustainability $1.04 billion of those locations. Source: Paxon Group (conceptual modelling) Value for money to the State of up to $122 million over the project life 23
2 Diversification of the economy Repositioning our place in the global economy by building up WA’s economy through well-planned delivery of infrastructure and leveraging our homegrown, recognised expertise. The Bankwest Curtin Economic Centre’s Future-proofing the WA economy report indicates that WA’s economy has grown by an average of 2.6%, compared to 1.8% nationally, over the past 25 years. At the same time, our economy is the most volatile in the nation due to a historically heavy reliance on the mining industry (34% of the State’s economic output). This volatility has been widely felt by much of the community in the post-boom era, especially in regional areas. The report suggests that a more diverse economy which harnesses the State’s natural strengths could create 165,000 new jobs and add more than $19 billion to our economy by 2025, exceeding current State Government targets. It recommends examining each industry to identify development barriers – including supply chains, industry networks, infrastructure requirements and skill shortages – and implementing smart specialisation strategies which allow new industries to flourish. The retention of top, homegrown talent is also critical to enable economic diversification.
Initiative 5 The ‘new’ New Industries Fund Opportunity Building and expanding the capacity of existing industries to foster new areas of competitive advantage whilst retaining the benefits within WA. Background Action Small to medium enterprises (SMEs) play a major This support will assist to drive new ideas role in the Australian economy. They account and help businesses that are struggling to Form and fund a ‘New Industries Taskforce’. for more than a third of gross domestic product commercialise or grow. Simultaneously, it will (GDP) and almost half of private sector industry create incentives to keep them operating within employment in Australia. WA to retain the intellectual property and the job growth that is generated. Proposition As many SMEs need to develop or license technology, helping them to do so enables them This program could focus on stimulating Strategically focussing and expanding the remit to contribute to economic growth. Add to that a resurgence in manufacturing, drawing of the Government’s ‘New Industries Fund’ to the opportunity presented by key Australian on already established enterprise (growth/ commercialise existing opportunities by helping startup firms less than two years old that were sustainability) or create incubator facilities for business to either scale up or improve capability, responsible for driving the 1.6 million net new startup/small business (accelerators) with access thereby creating and expanding WA markets. jobs created between 2003–2014.10 to ongoing support. Recovery from the impacts of COVID-19 should It will encourage investment that incentivises focus on repositioning the New Industries Fund, broader economic diversification, so that we can already a central part of the State Government’s build on the traditional strengths of key sectors Plan for Jobs. In 2017, the fund committed $16.7 such as resources and agribusiness – in areas like million over four years to support and accelerate pharmaceutical, digital operations, biodiversity new and emerging businesses to diversify the products, space infrastructure, defence and naval WA economy and create new jobs and industries. industry, and renewables and integrated energy solutions. Creating a focussed ‘New Industries Taskforce’ as part of the New Industries Fund will help to accelerate SMEs and startups through alternate funding programs or connect them with angel investors. 10 Department of Industry, Innovation and Science, 2016 25
Initiative 5 The ‘new’ New Industries Fund Losing our State’s top innovators Recent reporting on WA’s performance in the State government startup ecosystems funding ($m) startup space highlighted that the eastern states are poaching our best and brightest. WA It also pointed out the barriers to convincing WA business and government to support the next wave of innovative ideas. VIC This has led, and will continue leading to, more NSW promising companies making the move across the Nullarbor or offshore. SA Notable WA startups that have left the State: QLD • Canva: Started in Perth by Melanie Perkins and Cliff Obrecht as Fusion Books but was relaunched as Canva in Sydney in 2013 – 0 $100m $200m $300m $400m $500m $600m it is now worth $4.7 billion. Source: Startup WA • Kanopy: Founded by Perth woman Olivia Humphrey in 2008 as a DVD distribution company. It morphed into a streaming service for universities and public libraries and moved to California – it now streams 26,000 titles to more than 3,000 campuses globally.11 • Humm: Developing a wearable patch that improves memory and brain function – it moved from Perth to California in 2018. 11 The Sydney Morning Herald, ‘All drain, no gain: Why the east is stealing WA’s best and brightest’, dated 11 March 2020, accessed online 28 May 2020. 26
Initiative 5 The ‘new’ New Industries Fund Justification Recognising the imperative of talent development Victoria, Tasmania and Queensland all recorded and retention in a less globalised or hyper-mobile strong growth in small business employment world is essential. Policies to encourage more during the same period, Western Australia, talented people to move to our great State to the Northern Territory and South Australia all raise families, build careers and grow businesses recorded contractions. are needed as strong economic activity attracts Startup communities have historically gravitated more interest and more projects. towards Australia’s eastern seaboard, with a This will bring flow-on benefits, such as a collective 72% of the nation’s startups located in sustainable uptick in new building approvals, Victoria, New South Wales, Queensland and the more jobs in the construction and property Australian Capital Territory.13 sectors, and more viable and vibrant communities. Data released in the 2019 Startup Ecosystem Nationally, small businesses account for 34% of Report shows that WA is the state with the lowest industry value added (IVA) and 29% of all wages investment in emerging technology companies.14 and salaries paid in selected industries of the This has led to local emerging businesses being private sector in 2017-18. IVA generated by the drawn to the east with attractive grants, support small business sector has increased from $335 programs to scale and greater government billion in 2012-13 to $414 billion in 2017-18 which investment into their startup ecosystems. 12 is equivalent to growth of $79 billion or 24%. Next steps Employment growth in small businesses • Form and fund a New Industries accounted for just under 60% of total Taskforce with representation from employment growth in the private sector public sector and industry to develop between June 2013 and June 2018. Whilst the a suitable investment framework Australian Capital Territory, New South Wales, (i.e. grant, loan and invest) and target opportunities within the local SME market. • Estimated budget for the taskforce implementation could be in the order of $20 million per annum with a substantial economic return through increased local manufacturing and Gilfillan, G., ‘Small business sector contribution to the Australian economy’, Statistical Snapshot Research Paper Series, 2019-20, dated 7 January 2020. 12 Palmer-Derrien, S., ‘NSW startups secured twice as much funding as any other state in the last financial year, Techboard report finds’, , accessed online 20 May 2020. 14 Startup WA, Startup Ecosystem Report 2019. 27
Initiative 6 Commercialising research collaboration Opportunity Creating effective research collaboration between government, business and education that translates into economic benefits for WA by becoming a world- leading destination for investment and doing business. Action Form and fund a ‘Research Commercialisation Group’ Proposition • Strategic investment with research institutes and industry on initiatives that leverage WA’s existing research and development (R&D) areas which have demonstrated commercial advantages, creating new markets and strengthening future resilience. 28
Initiative 6 Commercialising research collaboration R&D intensity in OECD countries and other economies Background With investment and consumer spending down, The answer could include manufacturing, 4 a drop in stock markets and oil prices, and high pharmaceuticals, autonomous transport, mining levels of unemployment, repositioning and and non-mining technical services, natural diversifying WA’s economy is vital to our post- disaster and emergency response, digital 3 GERD as % of GDP COVID recovery. operations, renewables and energy production, cybersecurity and aquaculture. R&D, and the innovations that come with them, 2 contribute to driving productivity to stimulate With research institutes including universities, economic, jobs and wages growth. However, the CSIRO and other industry research bodies Australia has long struggled with effectively ready to partner, improving the translation of 1 converting its research investment into economic research into productive outcomes that increase advantage. The nation’s R&D effort (at 1.88% of the State’s output is a real opportunity. But this GDP) lags behind our competitors and is well model requires: 0 below the OECD average of 2.38%.15 • strong strategic collaborations; 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 R&D investment is also being sent offshore, • selecting the right talent; with the Australian Bureau of Statistics figures JPN USA KOR OECD AUS CHN • capital investment; and suggesting that the amount of R&D money spent • enabling infrastructure. overseas by Australia’s business sector actually rose by more than half a billion dollars – Effectively connecting the key players in the $534 million in 2017-18.16 WA economy across government, industry and research – and supporting this with investment WA does not perform well when comparing – can create the next generation of products and business expenditure on R&D (BERD) and services, as well as future jobs for all Western gross state product (GSP). In recent times, the Australians by diversifying the economy. State’s BERD has had the largest decrease in the nation, down $490 million (24%), followed by Queensland which was down $43 million (2%).17 Historically, the mining sector has invested heavily in R&D, but since the move to production phase this has been reduced by $826 million to Australian Bureau of Statistics, 8104.0 - Research and experimental development, businesses, Australia, 2017-18, 15 updated 20 September 2019, accessed online 22 May 2020. only $1,050 million.18 This begs the question of Science and Technology Australia, ‘Inquiry into the Treasury Laws Amendment 16 which industry do we look to next? (Research and Development Tax Incentive) Bill (2019) [Provisions]’, 6 April 2020. Australian Bureau of Statistics, 8104.0 - Research and experimental development, businesses, Australia, 2017-18, 17 updated 20 September 2019, accessed online 22 May 2020. Australian Bureau of Statistics, 8104.0 - Research and experimental development, businesses, Australia, 2017-18, 18 updated 20 September 2019, accessed online 22 May 2020. 29
Initiative 6 Commercialising research collaboration Justification FutureFeed Pty Ltd Deloitte Access Economics suggests that every In Australia, the stock of knowledge gained dollar invested in research yields a five dollar from Australian university research contributed climate-smart agriculture return for the country’s GDP. Given the current around 10% of GDP in 2014, or $160 billion per FutureFeed is an innovative livestock feed crisis, it indicates that now is the time to invest annum.19 supplement that utilises a specific type of in research. Modelling commissioned by Universities seaweed which can simultaneously increase Australia has a relatively low rate of business- Australia found that 16,000 Australian firms production and reduce methane emissions. university collaboration despite strong returns to who partnered with universities derived $10.6 With over one billion people depending (partially businesses that partner with universities. Current billion from collaborations. By the time that flows or entirely) on livestock for their livelihoods, it policy settings promote transactional, end-user through the economy, these clever collaborations provides protein and micronutrients to many of type R&D relationships. However, longer-term are contributing $19.4 billion a year to the the world’s 830 million people experiencing food and co-creative partnerships provide greater country’s income. insecurity. opportunities for scalable innovation and its Furthermore, this collaborative activity has economic benefits. However, cows and sheep produce methane, a created an estimated extra 30,000 full-time jobs greenhouse gas that is 28 times more powerful Scalable partnerships are vital to the national nationally in addition to the 120,000 jobs directly than carbon dioxide. Livestock produces interest as commercialisation is a collectivised supported by our university sector.20 the equivalent of 5% of human-generated and cumulative value-creating process, with greenhouse gases each year, or five times economic benefits peaking at the 15-year mark. Australia’s total emissions. If 10% of the livestock industry worldwide used the FutureFeed supplement, it would have the Next steps same positive climate effect as removing 100 million cars from the road. • Form and fund a Research Commercialisation Group to identify A CSIRO venture with Meat and Livestock suitable research commercialisation Australia, and James Cook University, produced a opportunities with support including breakthrough innovation in a near-zero methane industry connection, governance, emission feed additive for cattle. The spin-off grants, loans, infrastructure and direct entity that will commercialise the invention investment. exclusively holds the global rights to the patents of the IP partners.21 • Estimated budget for the implementation of this initiative could be in the order of $50 million per annum. 19 Deloitte The importance of universities to Australia’s prosperity A report prepared for Universities Australia October 2015 20 Universities Australia Clever Collaborations: The Strong Business Case for Partnering With Universities 30 21 CSIRO Future Feed Pty Ltd, , accessed online 28 May 2020.
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