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By Bukky Balogun, Daniel Ferguson, Roger Tyers Covid-19 status certification 28 July 2021 Summary 1 What is Covid-19 status certification? 2 Policy background 3 The NHS Covid Pass 4 Scientific evidence 5 Business and vaccine policies 6 Considerations for implementation and use 7 International Travel commonslibrary.parliament.uk
Number CBP 9288 Covid-19 status certification Image credit Attribution: texting image 1490691 image by Dean Moriarty – terimakasih0 from Pixabay. / image cropped. Free for commercial use. No attribution required. Wednesday 28 July 2021. Contributing authors Georgina Hutton, Industry response; Joanna Dawson, Data protection and privacy Disclaimer The Commons Library does not intend the information in our research publications and briefings to address the specific circumstances of any particular individual. We have published it to support the work of MPs. You should not rely upon it as legal or professional advice, or as a substitute for it. We do not accept any liability whatsoever for any errors, omissions or misstatements contained herein. You should consult a suitably qualified professional if you require specific advice or information. Read our briefing ‘Legal help: where to go and how to pay’ for further information about sources of legal advice and help. This information is provided subject to the conditions of the Open Parliament Licence. Feedback Every effort is made to ensure that the information contained in these publicly available briefings is correct at the time of publication. Readers should be aware however that briefings are not necessarily updated to reflect subsequent changes. If you have any comments on our briefings please email papers@parliament.uk. Please note that authors are not always able to engage in discussions with members of the public who express opinions about the content of our research, although we will carefully consider and correct any factual errors. You can read our feedback and complaints policy and our editorial policy at commonslibrary.parliament.uk. If you have general questions about the work 2 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification Contents Summary 6 1 What is Covid-19 status certification? 9 2 Policy background 11 2.1 Government review on certification 12 2.2 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee inquiry 15 2.3 Government report on certification 17 2.4 Certification requirements for nightclubs and large capacity venues 18 2.5 Exemptions 19 2.6 Response to proposals 20 3 The NHS Covid Pass 24 3.1 Using the NHS Covid Pass in England 24 3.2 Obtaining an NHS Covid Pass in England 25 3.3 Obtaining proof of Covid-19 status for clinical trial participants 26 3.4 Obtaining proof of Covid-19 status in devolved nations 27 4 Scientific evidence 28 4.1 Immunity 29 4.2 Vaccine effectiveness 32 4.3 Accuracy and availability of Covid-19 testing 37 4.4 Variants of concern 39 5 Business and vaccine policies 41 5.1 Overview of the legal framework 41 5.2 Employment law 43 5.3 Equality law 45 5.4 Data and privacy concerns 47 5.5 Human rights law 49 6 Considerations for implementation and use 52 3 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 6.1 Standards for a certification system 52 6.2 Impact on other Covid-19 measures 53 6.3 Threshold for introduction and removal 55 6.4 Cost 57 6.5 Forms of certification and accessibility 58 7 International Travel 59 7.1 Current rules for inbound travel 59 7.2 Outbound Travel 62 4 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 5 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification Summary Covid-19 status certification involves the use of testing, infection or vaccination information to demonstrate, in different settings, that a person has a lower risk of transmitting the Covid-19 virus to others. 1 Certification would evidence that a person has acquired some degree of immunity to the Covid-19 virus through prior infection or vaccination. Certification could also be provided when a person uses a recent negative test result to show that they do not have active infection. This paper discusses a range of issues relating to the implementation and use of certification in England. Domestic use In its Spring 2021 roadmap, the Government committed to reviewing “whether Covid-status certification could play a role in reopening our economy, reducing restrictions on social contact and improving safety”. As part of the review, led by the Cabinet Office, the Government considered evidence from academics, industry representatives and civil liberties groups. In July 2021 the Government published the Covid-status certification review report. This set out that the Government would not mandate the domestic use of certification as a condition of entry for visitors to any setting at the present time. However, the report raised the possibility of “keeping events going and businesses open if the country is facing a difficult situation in autumn or winter”. The report said that the Government would keep “the wider application of certification under consideration”. The Government said that it would make the NHS Covid Pass available as a means for individuals to demonstrate their Covid status, and for organisations from Step 4 of England’s Covid-19 roadmap. On the 19 July 2021 England entered Step 4 of the Covid-19 roadmap, at which point the majority of Covid-19 restrictions ended. Speaking at a press conference on the same day, Prime Minister Boris Johnson expressed concern about the continuing risk of transmission and announced that from September, full vaccination would be a condition of entry to nightclubs and other large capacity venues. 2 1 Cabinet Office, Covid-19 Response- Spring 2021 (Roadmap), 22 Feb 2021 2 BBC News, Covid: Two jabs needed to enter nightclubs from September, 20 Jul 2021 6 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification As with other aspects of Covid-19, the scientific evidence with regard to certification is far from complete. Uncertainty remains about the extent and duration of immunity provided by natural infection or vaccination, and the extent to which these reduce the rate of transmission. It therefore remains unclear whether certification, as presently proposed, would be a reliable and consistent indicator of a person’s Covid-19 status or (in)ability to transmit the Covid-19 virus to others. Additionally, uncertainty remains about whether the proposed methods of certification can be delivered from an operational perspective. These issues been considered in reports published by scientific institutions, such as the Ada Lovelace Institute and the Royal Society. Similarly, the Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee has set out its own standards for a certification system in a June 2021 report. The response to the proposed introduction of certification requirements for domestic purposes has been varied. The Royal College of General Practitioners has said that it has no objection in principle to the use of certification but stressed the importance of detail on implementation. Some music and events industry stakeholders have supported the introduction of a temporary industry-wide certification scheme as a route to lifting capacity restrictions on venues. Civil liberties groups have raised concerns about what they consider to be unwarranted infringement of people’s privacy, whilst equality campaigners have highlighted the potential for discrimination against those unable, or unwilling, to provide certification. Business and industry stakeholders, particularly in the hospitality sector, have raised concerns about the need for a Covid-19 certification scheme and the costs and practicalities involved in implementing such a scheme. Employment and equality At present, there is no legal obligation for a business to require its staff or customers to show an NHS Covid Pass before entering their premises. The guidance on working safely during Covid-19 only recommends the use of the Pass for nightclubs and other large crowded settings where people will be in close proximity. The Government has indicated that it might legislate to make this a legal requirement towards the end of September 2021. Businesses may decide to require staff or customers to show their vaccination status using the NHS Covid Pass. If they decide to do so, businesses will need to ensure they are complying with employment and equality legislation. If an employer dismisses an employee who is not or cannot be vaccinated, it could face a claim for unfair dismissal or unlawful discrimination. The Government has legislated to make vaccination a condition for working in a care home, with limited exceptions for people under the age of 18 and those 7 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification who cannot be vaccinated for clinical reasons. These rules come into effect on 11 November 2021. Travel The NHS Covid Pass can be used during outbound and inbound travel. A number of countries exempt fully vaccinated travellers from a requirement to quarantine on arrival. Some of these countries accept the NHS Covid Pass as evidence that a person is fully vaccinated. From 19 July 2021, people arriving in the UK from amber list countries (except France) are no longer required to quarantine or test on Day 8 if they are fully vaccinated in the UK. The guidance on entering England says people can use the NHS Covid Pass to show their vaccination status. 8 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 1 What is Covid-19 status certification? In simple terms, Covid-19 status certification is a means through which an individual can demonstrate that they are lower risk of transmitting the Covid- 19 virus to others. Covid-19 terminology: the virus and the disease Covid-19 disease is an infectious disease caused by the Covid-19 virus. The symptoms of Covid-19 disease include a high temperature, a continuous cough and a loss or change to sense of smell or taste. The scientific name of the virus that causes Covid-19 disease is severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, abbreviated to SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2 is one type of coronavirus- a specific family of viruses with similar features. The Royal Society captured this succinctly by recommending that a certification scheme be able to confirm that: • A person is not infectious or, • A person is immune to Covid-19 illness and will not become infectious 3 In practical terms, certification would evidence at least one of the following: • A person has acquired immunity through a full course of a Covid-19 vaccine • A person has acquired natural immunity through infection • A person has recently produced a negative test result Certification through the NHS Covid Pass will be enabled by: a. Full vaccination: 14 days after completing a full course of vaccination, whether that requires two doses or one dose (according to the MHRA authorised schedule); 3 The Royal Society, Twelve criteria for the development and use of Covid-19 vaccine passports, 14 Feb 2021 9 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification b. Testing: evidence of a negative polymerase chain reaction (PCR) or lateral flow test taken with 48 hours of entry to a venue, with both on-site (where available) and at-home tests being accepted; and c. Natural immunity: proof of a positive PCR, lasting for 180 days from the date of the positive test and following completion of the self-isolation period. 4 Certification has been described using other terms, such as “immunity passport”. Another term, “vaccine passport”, which evidences that a person has received a full course of a Covid-19 vaccination, should be considered separately as it does not make use of testing data or naturally acquired immunity in characterising a person’s status. 4 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, Jul 2021 10 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 2 Policy background The Government’s position on the potential use of certification has developed across the course of the pandemic. In January 2021, the Minister for Covid-19 vaccine deployment, Nadhim Zahawi, said that the Government had ‘no plans to introduce Covid-19 vaccine passports’. 5 Mr Zahawi indicated that vaccine record cards would be issued to patients with details of vaccination on receipt of a Covid-19 vaccine, as with other vaccination programmes. Mr Zahawi said that this would “not constitute an immunity passport and [would] not be used as a form of identification”. In the February 2021 Covid-19 roadmap, the Government said that it would review the role that certification might play in reopening the economy, reducing restrictions on social contact and improving safety. 6 In an April 2021 update to the review, the Government indicated that certification might be introduced for domestic use and to facilitate international travel. 7 Providing evidence to the Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee (PACAC) in May 2021, the Minister for the Cabinet Office, Michael Gove set out the potential value that certification might have in terms of risk reduction: Certification can be a tool that means we reduce the risk of transmission and make venues and activities safer, but both Professor Wolff and David Davis are right to stress that there is a balance here. You can never make any venue or activity completely safe and quite rightly, as has been pointed out, even two doses of vaccination does not automatically inoculate someone completely against the risk of infection, transmission or indeed ill health. What it does do is dramatically reduce the risk. If one can have confidence that people in a venue have been vaccinated, or have immunity in another way or have recently received a valid test that confirms their negative status, you know that that venue will be safer. Set against that of course must be the question about the cost and the hassle factor that certification will involve. There always must be a balance 5 PQ 133629, 25 Jan 2021 6 Cabinet Office, Covid-19 Response- Spring 2021 (Roadmap), 22 Feb 2021 7 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 11 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification between the two and, in that sense, I think both previous witnesses were right to stress that. 8 In July 2021, the Government published a report of its findings from the review on certification, announcing that it would not mandate the use of certification in domestic settings at the present time, but did raise the possibility of it providing a means of “keeping events going and businesses open if the country is facing a difficult situation in autumn or winter”. 9 On the 19 July 2021 England entered Step 4 of the Covid-19 roadmap, at which point the majority of Covid-19 restrictions ended. Speaking at a press conference on the same day, Prime Minister Boris Johnson expressed concern about the continuing risk of transmission and announced that from September, full vaccination would be a condition of entry to nightclubs and other large capacity venues. 10 The proposed introduction and use of domestic certification has been highly controversial. Some have supported the proposals for its potential benefit in enabling a wider reopening of the economy and supporting the public health response to Covid-19. Others have considered it to be an infringement on personal liberty. Business and industry leaders have also expressed concern about logistical and financial barriers to use whilst equalities groups have highlighted the potential for discrimination against those who are unable or unwilling to make use of certification. 2.1 Government review on certification In February 2021, the Government published the Spring 2021 roadmap (the roadmap) in which it set out plans to lift Covid-19 restrictions. 11 Within this, the Government committed to reviewing the potential role of certification: The Government will review whether COVID-status certification could play a role in reopening our economy, reducing restrictions on social contact and improving safety. This will include assessing to what extent certification would be effective in reducing risk, and the potential uses to enable access to settings or a relaxation of COVID- Secure mitigations. 12 Acknowledging the potential wider implications of Covid status certification, the Government said that it would: 8 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Oral evidence: Covid 19 vaccine certification, 27 May 2021, HC 42- II, 2021-22, para 72 9 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, Jul 2021 10 BBC News, Covid: Two jabs needed to enter nightclubs from September, 20 Jul 2021 11 Cabinet Office, Covid-19 Response- Spring 2021 (Roadmap), 22 Feb 2021 12 Cabinet Office, Covid-19 Response- Spring 2021 (Roadmap), 22 Feb 2021 12 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification … also consider the ethical, equalities, privacy, legal and operational aspects of this approach and what limits, if any, should be placed on organisations using certification. It will draw on external advice to develop recommendations that take into account any social and economic impacts, and implications for disproportionately impacted groups and individuals’ privacy and security. 13 The review’s Terms of Reference set out its scope: • Whether there is a case for introducing COVID-status certification, including: – the extent to which certification would be effective in reducing risk, including evidence on the likely clinical and behavioural impacts in different settings taking consideration of emerging evidence on vaccine efficacy, effectiveness, and effect on transmission; – the extent to which certification would be effective in reopening parts of the economy and society more quickly and more safely than otherwise; – the ethical, equalities, privacy, legal and operational aspects of COVID-status certification; – the implications of certification for those unable or unwilling to get vaccinated or tested, including the equalities implications; and – the impacts of certification on those groups disproportionately affected by the pandemic. • The mechanics of how COVID-status certification would work, including: – how COVID status would be conferred, including through vaccination and the use of different testing technologies; – the mechanisms through which COVID-status could be demonstrated, including technological and non- technological options. – what limits, if any, should be placed on which organisations could use certification for which purposes; and – for how long the use of COVID-status certification may be relevant. 14 13 Cabinet Office, Covid-19 Response- Spring 2021 (Roadmap), 22 Feb 2021 14 Cabinet Office, Terms of Reference: COVID-status Certification Review, last updated 5 Apr 2021 13 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification As part of the review, the Government held a consultation between 15 and 29 March 2021 and invited stakeholders to submit evidence. Over 50,000 responses were submitted. 15 On 5 April 2021, the Government published an update to the review and said that “Covid-status certification could have an important role to play both domestically and internationally, as a temporary measure”. 16 The Government set out the rights of establishments to request proof of Covid status: Likewise, in the UK, businesses and other organisations are able to ask customers for proof of COVID-status in order to access their premises, as long as they are compliant with equalities legislation. The Government believes that introducing a ban on this would in most cases be an unjustified intrusion on how businesses choose to make their premises safe - although, as set out below, there may be exceptions where the Government needs to intervene to ensure equitable access to essential services. It is therefore right that the Government provides a means of easily demonstrating COVID-status, in order to ensure UK citizens and residents are not denied opportunities to travel or attend certain venues or events. 17 The Government identified certification as potentially having a role in settings such as theatres, nightclubs and mass events to help manage risks where large number of people are brought together in close proximity. 18 In addition, it clarified that it had identified certain settings, “such as essential public services, public transport and essential shops” where, it said, Covid-status certification “should never be required” so as to ensure universal access. 19 The Government also indicated that certification was likely to play a role in international travel during the pandemic: Even without Government intervention, COVID-status certification is likely to become a feature of our lives until the threat from the pandemic recedes. Other countries are already developing their own certification systems, such as the “Green Pass” in Israel and the “digital green certificate” in the European Union. Negative tests are already required to enter the UK and many other countries and, as vaccination programmes roll out worldwide, countries have made clear they will soon require proof of vaccination in order to cross the border. 20 15 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 6 Jul 2021 16 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 17 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 18 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 19 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 20 Cabinet Office, Roadmap Reviews: Update, 5 Apr 2021 14 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification The Government said that it would begin to trial certification in certain settings, including large events, through the Events Research Programme. 2.2 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee inquiry Following the announcement of the Government’s review on certification, the Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee (PACAC) launched an inquiry to “consider potential ethical, legal and operational issues and the efficacy and appropriateness of a certificate system”. 21 The inquiry primarily focused on the domestic use of certification. In a May 2021 oral evidence session, the Committee took evidence from: • Michael Gove, the Minister for the Cabinet Office • Kathy Hall, Director General, Delivery, Covid-19 Task Force, Cabinet Office, and • Dr Sue Hopkins, Epidemiological Consultant at Public Health England The Committee asked a wide range of questions about scientific evidence underpinning the Government’s proposals and the policy implications on the public, organisations and businesses. Other witnesses providing oral evidence to the Committee include academics, industry representatives for sports, hospitality and events and civil liberties group Big Brother Watch. Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee report PACAC published its report on Covid status certification on 12 June 2021. 22 The Committee set out it’s serious concerns about the extent of consideration the Government had given to the potential gains and limitations of a certification scheme: Given the significance and seriousness of introducing such a Covid- status certification system, the Committee was surprised at the lack of consideration by the Government of a number of issues and concerns with their suggested approach, in particular the scientific case for that system. It is imperative that if the Government seeks to bring forward any proposals for a Covid-status certification system, 21 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, accessed 16 Jul 2021 22 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22 15 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification the criteria against which the efficacy of that system has been assessed, together with a cost-benefit analysis of the system, and full financial costings, are published in advance of those proposals. We would also expect detailed modelling of the potential impacts of the introduction or non-introduction of such a system in the context of the different scenarios for unlocking to be published alongside any such announcement. The Committee was struck by the fact that the best assessment the Minister could make in favour of certificates was to say that it was a “finely balanced judgement”. 23 PACAC were highly critical of the Government’s account of what extent of consideration had been given to proposals to introduce certification: It is clear that the idea of certificates has been under consideration within government for at least six months. Ministers and officials have given conflicting statements on the possibility of certification being introduced as a measure, and on the extent to which proposals were actively under review. At times, these statements have been directly contradictory. At the very least, this demonstrates a lack of coordination and effective interworking between different departments and teams in the Government’s response to Covid. On at least two occasions, a Minister has said that certificates were actively being considered, only for the suggestion to be immediately denied by another Minister. Given that the review into the potential use of Covid-status certification was subsequently launched, this indicates either that several senior members of the Government were unaware of the Government’s policy direction in this area, or there was an effort to downplay to the public the seriousness with which the introduction of a Covid-status certification system was being considered. Either way, the Government’s approach to certification has risked damaging trust in government and in the measures put in place to tackle the pandemic. 24 The Committee considered that the Government had not provided sufficient information in a number of key areas: Given the large number of areas where the Government was unable to provide the Committee with information and answers in regards to: criteria against which the efficacy of that system is to be assessed; the cost-benefit analysis proposals; modelling of different scenarios with and without a certificate system, combined with the Minister’s own assessment that the case of a Covid-status certificate system is “finely balanced”, the Committee does not think the 23 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, summary 24 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, para 7 16 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification Government has made a case for any form of domestic Covid-status certification system. 25 The Committee concluded: Overall, we found that the Government has not established a clear scientific case, nor a good overriding public interest case for the introduction of a Covid-status certification system. There remain a large number of uncertainties about the rationale for an operation of such a system, as well as serious ethical concerns in regards to discrimination and infringement of individual rights and significant data protection concerns. When we consider that the Government’s own assessment that the case for introduction is “finely balanced”, it is our clear recommendation that the Government abandon the idea of using a Covid-status certification system domestically. 26 Prior to the introduction of a certification system, PACAC recommended that the Government: • Publish the criteria against which the efficacy of that system is to be assessed, with a statement and explanation of whether or not the Government believes that the system is able to satisfy those criteria • Carry out and publish a cost-benefit analysis including financial, social and societal costs and benefits • Publish detailed modelling, or if this has not been carried out, explain why they have opted not to use modelling and what account they have taken of different scenarios 27 2.3 Government report on certification On 6 July 2021, the Cabinet Office published the Covid-Status Certification Review report, where the Government announced that it would not introduce certification as a condition of entry on a mandatory basis: Having considered a wide range of evidence as part of the review, the Government has concluded that it will not mandate the use of 25 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, para 28 26 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, summary 27 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, paras 24 & 25 17 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification COVID-status certification as a condition of entry for visitors to any setting at the present time. 28 The report acknowledged a public health benefit but judged that “the burden- particularly on those who have not yet been offered a full course of vaccination and would therefore require repeated testing, and possibly on organisations – would be disproportionate to the public health benefit at this stage of the pandemic”. Notably, the Government said that organisations could choose whether or not to make use of certification: The Government believes that to ban certification in domestic settings would, in most cases, be an unjustified intrusion on how organisations choose to make their premises safe. Essential settings should not use certification, but others can decide to use it at their own discretion in compliance with legal obligations. Additionally, the Government did not rule out the use of certification at a later point: The review recognises the concerns expressed over certification. However, it is possible that certification could provide a means of keeping events going and businesses open if the country is facing a difficult situation in autumn or winter. Therefore, the Government will keep the wider application of certification under consideration. The Events Research Programme is trialling the use of certification in large events, and the Government will continue to assess the findings from the programme. 2.4 Certification requirements for nightclubs and large capacity venues On the 19 July 2021 England entered Step 4 of the Covid-19 roadmap, at which point the majority of Covid-19 restrictions ended. Speaking at a press conference on the same day, Prime Minister Boris Johnson expressed concern about the continuing risk of transmission and announced that from September, full vaccination would be a condition of entry to nightclubs and other large capacity venues. 29 Mr Johnson set out plans to restrict entry to certain venues to those who have had a full course of vaccination from September: I should serve notice now that by the end of September, when all over-18s will have had their chance to be double-jabbed, we are 28 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, 6 Jul 2021 29 BBC News, Covid: Two jabs needed to enter nightclubs from September, 20 Jul 2021 18 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification planning to make full vaccination the condition of entry to nightclubs and other venues where large crowds gather. 30 It has also been reported that the Government is considering other settings where vaccination may become be a requirement of entry. 31 2.5 Exemptions In the July review report on certification, the Government set out arrangements for exemptions from certification requirements: There are a small number of exemptions, where if individuals meet one of the following criteria, they will be able to demonstrate their exempt status: a. Those who have received a trial vaccine, including those who are blinded 32 or may have a placebo, as part of a formally-approved COVID-19 vaccine trial in the UK; and b. Exceptional circumstances for individuals where a clinician recommends vaccine deferral or that vaccination is not appropriate and where testing is also not recommended on clinical grounds. 33 The Government also set out exemptions for children and young people under the age of 18: Given that vaccination is not recommended for those below 18, the Government recommends that children under 18 are exempt from having to demonstrate their COVID status. The Government believes that repeat testing of this group would be disproportionate for the purposes of gaining COVID status to visit settings. 34 30 The Guardian, No 10 refuses to rule out Covid passports for entry into pubs, 20 Jul 2021 31 The Guardian, No 10 refuses to rule out Covid passports for entry into pubs, 20 Jul 2021 32 In clinical trials, “blinding” refers to an arrangement in which trial participants are unaware of which treatment group they have been assigned to. This is done to prevent participants from being influenced by that knowledge in a way that might compromise the validity of the findings. For further explanation see: Cancer Research UK, Randomised trials, accessed 27 Jul 2021 33 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, 6 Jul 2021 34 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, 6 Jul 2021 19 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 2.6 Response to proposals Opposition view Leader of the Opposition, Sir Keir Starmer is reported to have said that he would scrutinise government proposals on certification before deciding whether to oppose them. 35 Sir Keir also said that the use of domestic certification for everyday social activities would be “against the British instinct”. Speaking about their use in pubs, Sir Keir advised the Government not to leave the decision to pub landlords. Shadow Health Secretary Jonathan Ashworth indicated that he would support the use of certification for larger events but not for uses such as everyday retail. 36 Professional bodies and academics The Royal College of General Practitioners set out that it had no objection in principle to the use of certification but stressed the importance of detail on implementation. 37 The College recommended that certification be used primarily for international travel purposes and not for domestic use, due to the “risk of unintended consequences in terms of the diversion of healthcare resources from patient care and in terms of equalities”. The College also highlighted workload pressures on general practice and said that the use of a certification system should have no impact on GP workload. Referring to the association of antibody presence with negative PCR test results, some academics consider that there is now a scientific premise for certification. 38 Other academics have expressed caution, calling for detailed understanding about the protection offered by Covid-19 vaccines before knowing if certification is viable. 39 Some have also considered the behavioural implications, suggesting that telling a person that they may be ‘immune’ to infection may reduce adherence to precautionary measures such as social distancing. 40 35 The Telegraph, Exclusive: Covid vaccine passports would be un-British, says Sir Keir Starmer, 31 Mar 2021 36 The Guardian, Labour opposed to ‘discriminatory’ and ‘confusing’ Covid status certificates, 6 Apr 2021 37 Royal College of General Practitioners, Covid-status Certification Review, accessed 16 Jul 2021 38 Professor Richard Tedder, Senior Research Investigator in Medical Virology, Imperial College London, Science Media Centre, Expert comments about immunity passports, 1 Dec 2020 39 Professor Deborah Dunn-Walters, Chair of the British Society for Immunology COVID-19 and Immunology taskforce and Professor of Immunology at the University of Surrey, Science Media Centre, Expert comments about immunity passports, 1 Dec 2020 40 Prof Richard Tedder, Senior Research Investigator in Medical Virology, Imperial College London, Science Media Centre, Expert comments about immunity passports, 1 Dec 2020 20 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification Industry Business and industry stakeholders, particularly in the hospitality sector, have raised concerns about the need for a Covid-19 certification scheme and the costs and practicalities involved in implementing such a scheme. The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) in April 2021 set out recommendations for any Covid-19 certification scheme to have the confidence of businesses. These included that any certification scheme should be aligned with existing Covid-19 policies already in place, be simple and accessible to use and be applied consistently across the UK. 41 Hospitality trade bodies have strongly opposed the introduction of a Covid- certification scheme. Kate Nicholls, Chief Executive of trade body UKHospitality said in March 2021 that a vaccination certification scheme would be “simply unworkable” and could cause confusion and conflict among businesses, customers and staff. 42 The industry has highlighted the costs and burden that a certification scheme would bring to businesses in the sector, which have already had significant restrictions on their trade. 43 For example, representatives of beer and pub said on 1 April: Pubs will already be trading at a loss when they reopen with all the existing restrictions and covid-secure measures in place. Adding further disproportionate and discriminatory measures threatens the very survival of thousands of businesses. It’s unfair to single out our sector again with these added impractical burdens that will have economic consequences and risk our recovery. 44 Retail industry stakeholders have also said that while they can see the potential for a certification scheme to support the re-opening of international travel, it would not be appropriate for a domestic retail setting. 45 Some music and events industry stakeholders have supported the introduction of a temporary industry-wide certification scheme as a route to lifting capacity restrictions on venues. 46 Bill Bush (Director of Policy at the Premier League) and Richard Jordan (a theatre producer) told the PACAC committee that for their sectors, removing social distancing limitations was the priority. 47 Bill Bush said that although the Premier League would like to avoid certification if possible, if such a scheme were the only way to avoid 41 CBI, COVID-status certification: How to introduce vaccine and testing passports, 1 April 2021. 42 UKHospitality, Vaccine passport scheme unworkable, says UKHospitality, 25 March 2020. 43 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, paras 52 & 53 44 British Beer and Pub Association, Pub trade dismayed at Government backsliding on reopening restrictions, 1 April 2021 45 Covid vaccine passports could be needed in high street shops, Retail Gazette, 7 April 2021. 46 British music and events industry backs COVID-19 certification scheme, Reuters 23 April 2021. 47 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, paras 50 & 51 21 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification social distancing rules, then it would be the “lesser of evils”. 48 The UK Cinema Association has argued against the introduction of a Covid-certification scheme. 49 Civil liberties groups In an April 2021 report, civil liberties group Big Brother Watch, set out strong objections against a “two-tier society” and the potential disproportionate impact on marginalised groups: COVID-status certificates would create a two-tier society and a subclass of citizenry, in which minority ethnic groups, migrants, poorer people and people with lower education would be disproportionately represented. The policy would likely result in unlawful discrimination against pregnant women, disabled people, young people and, potentially, religious groups. The best way to ensure marginalised groups are included in public health measures is to create an enabling, not a punitive, environment. 50 The report also raised concerns about the scientific basis for certification, pointing to “insufficient evidence” that vaccinations or natural immunity prevents transmission. The report’s concluding recommendation was that the Government “should legislate to prohibit Covid-status certification being used to segregate or exclude individuals from general businesses, events, services or jobs”. Similar concerns have been shared across the political spectrum, with a cross-party group of 79 Members and 14 peers joining a wider campaign pledge organised by Big Brother Watch to “oppose the divisive and discriminatory use of Covid status certification to deny individuals access to general services, businesses or jobs”. 51 Another civil liberties group, Liberty, commented on the wider implications of introducing certification, which it considered “could pave the way for a full ID system- an idea which has repeatedly been rejected as incompatible with building a rights-respecting society”. 52 A petition hosted on the Parliament website calling on the Government to commit to “not rolling out any e-vaccination status/immunity passports to the British public” has gained over 375,000 signatures. 53 The opposition is 48 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Covid 19 Vaccine Certification, 12 Jun 2021, HC 42-II 2021-22, paras 50 & 51 49 UK Cinema Association, UK Cinema Association reiterates opposition to use of COVID-status certificates, 1 April 2021 50 Big Brother Watch, The case against a two-tier Britain under Covid certification, 2 Apr 2021 51 Big Brother Watch, MPs launch cross-party campaign against Covid passes, accessed 16 Jul 2021 52 Liberty, Liberty responds to “vaccine passport” plans, 13 Jan 2021 53 UK Government and Parliament petitions, Do not rollout Covid-19 vaccine passports, accessed 28 Jul 2021 22 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification based on concerns that “such passports could be used to restrict the rights of people who have refused a Covid-19 vaccine, which would be unacceptable”. 23 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 3 The NHS Covid Pass The NHS Covid Pass is available in England and Wales and shows details of a person’s Covid-19 vaccination details or test results- their ‘Covid-19 status’. The Pass is available to those over the age of 16 who are registered with a GP and have an NHS number. The Pass displays the type of vaccine received, date and batch number, with an accompanying QR code. 3.1 Using the NHS Covid Pass in England The Cabinet Office commissioned NHSX 54 to develop the NHS Covid. Following this, the Westminster Government set out that certification through the NHS Covid Pass would be acquired by: a. Full vaccination: 14 days after completing a full course of vaccination, whether that requires two doses or one dose (according to the MHRA authorised schedule); b. Testing: evidence of a negative PCR or lateral flow test taken with 48 hours of entry to a venue, with both on-site (where available) and at-home tests being accepted; and c. Natural immunity: proof of a positive PCR, lasting for 180 days from the date of the positive test and following completion of the self-isolation period. 55 The NHS Covid Pass website explains that the pass can be used for travel abroad, or at events and venues in England asking for proof of Covid-19 status. People aged 16 or over can get an NHS Covid Pass for travel abroad. People aged 18 or over can get an NHS Covid Pass for domestic events. 54 NHSX Covid Pass 55 Cabinet Office, Covid-Status Certification Review: Report, 6 Jul 2021 24 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification The website sets out the requirements for international travel and domestic events which are reproduced below: Covid Pass- travel abroad What you need to get a pass When you can get a pass 1 or 2 doses of a Covid-19 vaccine used in the UK Usually within 24 hours of having your vaccination – however it can take up to 5 days for your records to be updated Source: NHS, NHS Covid Pass, last reviewed 25 Jul 2021 Covid Pass- domestic events What you need to get a pass When you can get a pass To be fully vaccinated with a Covid-19 vaccine 2 weeks after your 2nd dose, or 2 weeks after 1 used in the UK dose of the Janssen vaccine As soon as you get your result Negative PCR test or rapid lateral flow test If you did a rapid lateral flow test at home, report within the past 48 hours your lateral flow test result on GOV.UK first After you've finished self-isolating and up to 180 Positive PCR test within the past 6 months days after taking the test Source: Source: NHS, NHS Covid Pass, last reviewed 25 Jul 2021 3.2 Obtaining an NHS Covid Pass in England People can obtain a Covid Pass digitally, either through the NHS App or the online NHS Covid Pass service. Digital versions of the Covid Pass are valid for specified time periods: How long digital versions are valid for If you've had: • a vaccine used in the UK – your pass lasts for 30 days, but the 30 day period refreshes every time you log in • a negative PCR test or rapid lateral flow test – your pass is valid for 48 hours after a negative result • a positive PCR test – your pass lasts 30 days, but the 30 day period refreshes every time you log in (for up to 180 days after you took the test) 25 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification If you download your COVID Pass as a PDF, always check the expiry date before using it. If you're fully vaccinated or had a positive test result, the barcode on a PDF is valid for 30 days. 56 Paper versions of the Covid Pass, showing vaccination status only, are also available and do not have an expiry date. The Government has published guidance for demonstrating Covid-19 vaccination status. 57 The Government has also published guidance explaining how the Pass may be used in businesses and venues: We encourage organisations in certain settings to use the NHS COVID Pass as a condition of entry, in order to reduce the risk of COVID-19. This will especially be the case in large, crowded settings (such as nightclubs) where people are likely to be in close proximity to others outside their household. To support organisations and individuals in these settings, the NHS COVID Pass will be made available through the NHS App, NHS.UK, or as a letter that can be requested by ringing NHS 119. Visitors will also be able to show text or email confirmation of test results. Organisations should ensure they are in compliance with all legal obligations, including on equalities. There are some settings where the NHS COVID Pass should not be used as a condition of entry, in order to ensure access for all. This includes essential services and essential retailers which have been able to stay open throughout the pandemic. 58 3.3 Obtaining proof of Covid-19 status for clinical trial participants The NHS Covid Pass website explains that people who have received a Covid- 19 vaccine as part of an official clinical in trial in England do not need to use the NHS Covid Pass. 59 It advises that these individuals should have received a letter identifying their Covid-19 status as “fully vaccinated. The Be Part of Research website, operated by the National Institute for Health Research, provides several responses to FAQs on certification requirements 56 NHS, NHS Covid Pass, accessed 26 Jul 2021 57 DHSC, Demonstrating your Covid-19 vaccination status, last updated 16 Jul 2021 58 Cabinet Office, Coronavirus: how to stay safe and help prevent the spread, last updated 22 Jul 2021 59 NHS, Get your NHS Covid Pass letter, accessed 28 Jul 2021 26 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification for clinical trial participants and advises on how they can demonstrate their vaccination status. 60 3.4 Obtaining proof of Covid-19 status in devolved nations The Welsh Government has published information about how the NHS Covid Pass is being used in Wales. The NHS Covid Pass is not available in Scotland and Northern Ireland. Vaccinated people in Scotland can receive an NHS coronavirus vaccination status letter. 61 Vaccinated people in Northern Ireland can obtain Covid-19 certificates via the COVIDCert NI mobile app, a digital certificate or a paper certificate. 62 60 Be Part of Research, Vaccine passports/ certification and travel, 28 Jul 2021 61 NHS Inform Get a record of your coronavirus (COVID-19) vaccination status Last updated 20 Jun 2021 62 NI Direct, Coronavirus (Covid-19): Covid certificate for NI residents, 26 Jul 2021 27 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification 4 Scientific evidence Consideration must be given to a range of scientific factors in order to determine the feasibility, practicality and ultimately success of any certification scheme. Decisions on the use of certification systems are likely to be underpinned by the scientific understanding of Covid-19 and its transmission, and any potential gains on reducing the impact of the pandemic on everyday life. Covid-19 terminology: the virus and the disease Covid-19 disease is an infectious disease caused by the Covid-19 virus. The symptoms of Covid-19 disease include a high temperature, a continuous cough and a loss or change to sense of smell or taste. The scientific name of the virus that causes Covid-19 disease is severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, abbreviated to SARS-CoV-2. SARS-CoV-2 is one type of coronavirus- a specific family of viruses with similar features. When asked about the scientific case for introducing certification certificates, Minister for the Cabinet Office Michael Gove said: The scientific case would be that, if you have a group of people in a venue and the people in that venue you are confident have either had the disease or are vaccinated or have recently tested negative, the risk of a super-spreader event, the risk of transmission, diminishes. 63 Dr Sue Hopkins provided estimates of the reduction in transmission risk through the requirement of certification and testing for event attendance: Most events that people go to are smaller events, meeting indoors. That is where most of the transmission occurs. Clearly the risk of a large event, both travelling to the event, the socialising around the event and the event itself, can potentially be reduced by the use of testing, vaccination or, alternatively, knowing people’s prior infection status. All those things together are likely to reduce the risk 63 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Oral evidence: Covid 19 vaccine certification, 27 May 2021, HC 42- II, 2021-22, para 119 28 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification of transmission by 30% to 50%, not eliminating it as we have mentioned earlier but maybe even higher. […] A negative lateral flow test shortly before entering the event reduces the risk of transmission by about 30% to 50%. 64 In its June 2021 report, PACAC identified four factors that need to be considered in order to demonstrate a clear scientific case for introduction of a certification system: • Transmission of the virus • The effectiveness of vaccines on symptomatic disease, hospitalisation, mortality, infection and transmission • The implications of new variants • The accuracy of testing Similarly, in its May 2021 report, Checkpoints for vaccine passports, the Ada Lovelace Institute questioned the impact of vaccination, transmission and testing on certification: […] the first question to ask of a COVID vaccine passport system is whether an individual’s status, for example that they have been vaccinated, conveys meaningful information about the risk they pose to others? Does the scientific evidence base we have on COVID-19 vaccines, antibodies and viral testing, support making that link, and if so, how certain should we be about an individual’s risk based on those proxies? 65 Below, we provide an overview of the current scientific evidence that examines these factors within the context of certification. It is clear that a great deal is still unknown with respect to the science of SARS-CoV-2. As data from long-term studies continue to become available it is likely that these uncertainties will be addressed. 4.1 Immunity By way of vaccination, recent infection or a negative test result, an inferred principle of certification is that it demonstrates that a person is unable to transmit SARS-CoV-2, or, at least, much less likely to transmit the virus, than a person without certification. 64 Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee, Oral evidence: Covid 19 vaccine certification, 27 May 2021, HC 42- II, 2021-22, para 93 65 Ada Lovelace Institute, Checkpoints for vaccine passports. 10 May 2021 29 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification This approach is based on our understanding of how immunity to the SARS- CoV-2 virus is conferred. The Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) provides scientific and technical advice to support government decision makers during emergencies. The advice provided by SAGE does not represent official government policy. SAGE also relies on external scientific advice from expert groups, which for Covid-19 includes the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (NERVTAG). NERVTAG explains that there are two types of immunity to consider with respect to Covid-19: Sterilizing immunity means that a person is protected against both infection and illness. Therefore, as well as being themselves protected from illness they cannot be a source of infection for others. Non-sterilizing immunity means that a person can still get infected but not become ill. Therefore, although themselves protected from illness, they may still be able to become infected, shed virus and be a source of infection for others. 66 In November 2020, NERVTAG said 67 that the level of sterilising immunity provided by Covid-19 natural infection or immunisation is not yet fully understood and, consequently the risk of reinfection remains. NERVTAG also reported that that whilst reinfection upon re-exposure to SARS- CoV-2 is rare, it does occur, and that most reinfections are mild, but some are severe. 68 Public Health England’s (PHE) Sarscov2 Immunity & REinfection EvaluatioN (SIREN) study examined reinfection rates in healthcare workers. Researchers were able to quantify the risk of reinfection, reporting that a previous history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with an 84% lower risk of reinfection. 69 When considering immunity, it is also important to recognise that the immune response may differ between individuals, as explained by the British Society for Immunology (BSI): Does everyone make the same immune response to SARS-CoV-2? No. Immune responses can vary hugely between different individuals. Some people seem to make a very effective immune response such that they cannot be infected again and therefore will not get sick again from SARS-CoV-2 and will not pass the virus to 66 NERVTAG, Update note on immunity certification, 3 Feb 2021, published 5 Jul 2021 67 NERVTAG, Certifying COVID-19 immunity - 19 November 2020, published 4 Dec 2020 68 NERVTAG, Certifying COVID-19 immunity - 19 November 2020, published 4 Dec 2020 69 PHE, SIREN, accessed 26 Jul 2021 30 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
Covid-19 status certification anyone else (so called ‘sterilising’ immunity). Other people make antibodies and are protected from disease, but not from future infection by the virus. In theory these people could still pass the virus to other people. People vary in the number of antibodies they make after infection, in the quality of those antibodies (how good they are at preventing infection) and in the number and quality of the T cell response they make. We don’t yet know exactly how important these variations in antibodies and T cells are in terms of levels of protective immunity but ongoing research (by the UK Coronavirus Immunology Consortium) is designed to answer this question. 70 Duration of immunity One of the crucial unanswered questions about Covid-19 is how long immunity lasts in individuals, following either vaccination or natural exposure to the virus. Scientists have placed a range of estimates on immunity duration. NERVTAG, drawing on knowledge of Covid-19 and other respiratory viruses, initially placed a conservative estimate of immunity duration of 90 days: The length of immunity conferred by natural infection or vaccination is currently not known. Waning immunity is believed to partly underlie the propensity for other coronaviruses to reinfect after 1-2 years. Studies on MERS-CoV [Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus] and SARS-CoV [severe acute respiratory syndrome] found waning antibody levels over this time period. Reinfections with seasonal coronaviruses occurs frequently at 12 months, sometimes as early as 6 months but not within three months. Therefore, based on the variability in the data and differential responses in the population we conservatively estimate that a protective immune response after SARS-CoV-2 infection or vaccination may last for 90 days (moderate confidence). 71 In February 2021, NERVTAG said that the duration of immunity beyond 6 months (following natural infection) and 3 months (following vaccination) is not well understood. 72 In February 2021, the BSI suggested that immunity might last for a year. 73 The SIREN study reported that previous SARS-CoV-2 infection protects most individuals against reinfection for an average of 7 months. 74 70 V. Hall et.al., SARS-CoV-2 infection rates of an antibody-positive compared with antibody-negative health-care workers in England: a large, multicentre, prospective cohort study (SIREN), The Lancet, Vol 397, p.1459-1469, 9 Apr 2021 71 NERVTAG, Certifying COVID-19 immunity - 19 November 2020, published 4 Dec 2020 72 NERVTAG, Update note on immunity certification, 3 Feb 2021, published 5 Jul 2021 73 British Society for Immunology, Immunity & Covid-19, 3 Feb 2021 74 V. Hall et.al., SARS-CoV-2 infection rates of an antibody-positive compared with antibody-negative health-care workers in England: a large, multicentre, prospective cohort study (SIREN), The Lancet, Vol 397, p.1459-1469, 17 Apr 2021 31 Commons Library Research Briefing, 28 July 2021
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