Drivers and barriers for a sustainability transition of the current food and agriculture system of the city of Malmö
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Drivers and barriers for a sustainability transition of the current food and agriculture system of the city of Malmö A case study of the sustainable urban farm and meeting place Botildenborg Coline Scharfenberg Main field of study - Urban Studies Degree of Master of Sciences (120 credits) in Urban Studies (Two-Year) Master Thesis, 30 credits Spring semester 2021 Supervisor: Kenneth Mølbjerg Jørgens (Malmö University)
Title: Drivers and barriers for a sustainability transition of the current food and agriculture system of the city of Malmö Author Name: Coline Scharfenberg Supervisor: Kenneth Mølbjerg Jørgensen, Malmö University
In memory of my grandparents Oma Gerta and Opa Franz, that have familiarised me with agriculture at a young age. For my parents who gave me roots and wings and above all never stopped believing in me.
Acknowledgements First, I would love to express my very profound gratitude to especially my parents but also my two siblings for providing me with unfailing support and continuous encouragement throughout my years of study and through the process of researching and writing this thesis. Danke für das Korrektur lessen! Special thanks to my parents who have always supported me in my dreams and my path, no matter where they have taken me in the world. I am forever grateful for the opportunity to go abroad. This accomplishment would not have been possible without them. Mama und Papa, Danke! Danke für alles! I would also like to thank the experts who were involved in the interviews for this research project. Without their passionate participation and input, the interviews could not have been successfully conducted. Special thanks to the Farm Director of Botildenborg, who has inspired and strengthened me in so many aspects. Merci de partager ton amour et ta passion pour l'agriculture urbaine avec moi! I would also like to thank my supervisor who supported me in the process of this thesis. The last but not least, special thanks to my friends who reinforced me mentally during the last meters of my studies and partly proofread my thesis. Tack! Danke! Gracias! Thank you! i
Abstract Humanity is facing massive sustainability challenges, such as climate change and the associated loss of biodiversity, water scarcity and food insecurity. Capitalist urbanisation drives furthermore profound transformations in rural and urban areas and thus in the agriculture and food systems, presenting both challenges and opportunities. Urban agriculture as a part of a local food system, where food is produced in an urban area and sold to consumers in that area, presents a new food production model, generating innovative tools to lower agricultural land use, improving resource use efficiency and biodiversity. Consequently, great potential can be attributed to a sustainable transformation of the agri-food system through urban agriculture. Like many cities around the world, Malmö has recognised the need for sustainable development. Therefore, the city of Malmö has been addressing environmental, social and economic challenges for several years and is committed to a holistic and sustainable urban development. Although the city is aware of the benefits of small-scale urban agriculture, there are no policies that enable the upscaling of urban agriculture in the city. Botildenborg, a sustainable urban farm and meeting place in Malmö, on the other hand, has recognised the potential for sustainable business and development through urban agriculture for several years, by setting itself the goal to increase the local and ecologically produced food within the city through this form of agriculture. Botildenborg serves therefore as a case study of this research. In order to be able to provide indications for policies to shape the transformation steps towards sustainability within the agri-food system in Malmö, structures and patterns, as well as possible drivers and potential obstacles of a sustainable transition, are examined in the course of this research. The empirical results from qualitative and quantitative data are systematically processed using the multi-level perspective in combination with the urban political ecology. The results indicate that the identified barriers tend to be structural and are predominantly located in the economic and especially the political sphere. It seems that the non-monetary added value from urban agriculture is not perceived to its full potential by the city of Malmö. Botildenborg is stabilising itself mainly through knowledge sharing and network building, and thus will sooner or later be able, through the movement behind the network, to change the dominant agri-food regime. The rapidity of the transformation depends on the political ii
willingness of the city of Malmö to explicitly integrate urban agriculture into its policies and regulations. Keywords: Botildenborg, local sustainability, multi-level perspective, sustainable urban development, urban agriculture, urban political ecology Word count: 18.116 iii
Abbreviations Agri-food Agriculture and food BEM Botildenborg Executive Manger BES Botildenborg Educator of Stadsbruk BFD Botildenborg Farm Director BI Botildenborg Intern EU European Union MC City of Malmö Councillor for urban planning and environment for the Liberals MCUF City of Malmö Responsible for making contracts with urban farmers MED City of Malmö Environment department MPM City of Malmö Project Manager – Sustainable Food City MLP Multi-level perspective RQ Research question SDGs Sustainable Development Goals SRQ Sub research question STT Socio-technical transition UPE Urban political ecology iv
Table of Contents 1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 1 1.1 Research Background............................................................................................................................ 1 1.2 Problem statement and research questions ........................................................................................... 3 1.3 Research relevance and research aim................................................................................................... 5 1.4 Research outline .................................................................................................................................... 6 2 Literature review and theoretical perspective ........................................................................................... 7 2.1 Urban agriculture in the literature context ........................................................................................... 7 2.2 Multi-level perspective as a framework ................................................................................................ 8 2.2.1 Socio-technical Landscape ............................................................................................................. 10 2.2.2 Socio-technical Regimes ................................................................................................................ 11 2.2.3 Niche-innovations........................................................................................................................... 13 2.2.4 Merging the different levels ........................................................................................................... 14 2.3 Socio-technical transition.................................................................................................................... 15 2.3.1 Transformation pathway ................................................................................................................. 17 2.3.2 De-alignment and Re-alignment pathway ...................................................................................... 18 2.3.3 Technological Substitution pathway .............................................................................................. 18 2.3.4 Reconfiguration pathway................................................................................................................ 18 2.4 Combining the Multi-level Perspective with the Urban Political Ecology ......................................... 19 3 Method ......................................................................................................................................................... 21 3.1 Mixed-method Research Design.......................................................................................................... 21 3.2 Case Study as the Research Approach ................................................................................................ 21 3.3 Data Collection ................................................................................................................................... 22 3.3.1 Literature Review and Document Analysis .................................................................................... 22 3.3.2 Semi-structured expert interviews .................................................................................................. 23 3.4 Data Analysis ...................................................................................................................................... 25 3.5 Limitations ........................................................................................................................................... 26 v
3.6 Research Validity ................................................................................................................................ 26 3.7 Research Process ................................................................................................................................ 27 4 Empirical Background and Setting the Frame ........................................................................................ 29 4.1 Sweden's Sustainability Approach....................................................................................................... 29 4.2 The City of Malmö ............................................................................................................................... 30 4.3 The Urban Farm Botildenborg............................................................................................................ 31 5 Illustration of the Empirical Results ......................................................................................................... 34 5.1 Relevant Effects on the Landscape-level ............................................................................................. 34 5.2 Social Technical System on the Regime-level ..................................................................................... 35 5.2.1 Sociocultural ................................................................................................................................... 35 5.2.2 Policy .............................................................................................................................................. 35 5.2.3 Market, User Preferences ............................................................................................................... 36 5.3 Movements in the Niche Level towards Sustainability ........................................................................ 36 5.3.1 Social Aspect .................................................................................................................................. 36 5.3.2 Environmental Aspect .................................................................................................................... 37 5.3.3 Economic Aspect ............................................................................................................................ 38 6 Analysis of the Drivers and Obstacles of Urban Agriculture ................................................................. 39 6.1 Visualisation of the conducted Data in the MLP ................................................................................ 39 6.2 Changes on the Landscape-level creating Window of Opportunity for Niche Innovations ................ 40 6.3 Weak Points on the current Social-technical System .......................................................................... 41 6.4 Drivers for Sustainable Transition in the Niche Level ........................................................................ 43 7 Discussion..................................................................................................................................................... 48 7.1 Possible Transition Pathways ............................................................................................................. 48 7.2 Policy Recommendations .................................................................................................................... 50 8 Concluding Remarks .................................................................................................................................. 52 8.1 Key Findings........................................................................................................................................ 52 8.2 Suggestions for Future Research ........................................................................................................ 53 Bibliography ......................................................................................................................................................... I vi
Literature and publications .............................................................................................................................. I Internet ........................................................................................................................................................... X Personal messages......................................................................................................................................... XI Appendix 1 Case-study protocol .................................................................................................................... XII Appendix 2 Guide for semi-structured interviews - city of Malmö ........................................................... XIV Appendix 3 Guide for semi-structured interviews - Botildenborg ............................................................ XVI Appendix 4 Coding schema ........................................................................................................................ XVIII vii
List of Figures Figure 1: The socio-technical landscape level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. ...................... 11 Figure 2: The socio-technical regime level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. ........................... 12 Figure 3: The niche level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. ...................................................... 14 Figure 4: The multi-level perspective framework, adapted from Geels (2002, p.1263), created by the author. ... 15 Figure 5: Graphical presentation of the research process, created by the author ................................................... 28 Figure 6: Map of Malmö with marked area of Botildenborg, created by the author ............................................. 32 Figure 7: The multi-level perspective for this research, adapted from Geels (2002,p. 1263), created by the author ........................................................................................................................................................................ 40 List of Tables Table 1: Transformation patterns based on Geels and Schot (2007) and Geels et al. (2016), created by the author ........................................................................................................................................................................ 16 Table 2: Interviews in the case study...................................................................................................................... 24 Table 3: Validity and reliability tests in this case study based on Riege (2003), modified by the author ............. 26 Table 4: Coding schema of this research, created by the author ...................................................................... XVIII viii
1 Introduction This chapter provides the background to the research and addresses its relevance. Besides, the research problem and the research questions are defined to explain the aim of this thesis. Finally, the reader is given an overview of the outline and approach of this research. 1.1 Research Background Humanity is facing massive sustainability challenges, such as climate change and the associated loss of biodiversity, water scarcity and food insecurity. In the academic literature, the current industrial agriculture and food (agri-food) system is strongly associated with these sustainability challenges (Caron et al., 2018; FAO, 2016; Ramankutty et al., 2018). Depending on the study, the food and agriculture sector is responsible for one third to one-quarter of global greenhouse gas emissions (Caron et al., 2018; IPCC, 2018; Poore & Nemecek, 2018). The main sources are methane emissions from livestock farming and nitrous oxide emissions from agricultural soils (ibid.). According to Rockström and Skudev (2016), the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) achievement is indirectly linked to the production or consumption of food. Consequently, sustainable development of people and the planet is only possible "if all people are food secure and well-nourished, if all ecosystems are healthy and balanced, if societies are resilient in the face of threats posed by climate change, and if the governance of development benefits is fair and just" (Caron et al., 2018, p. 41). To meet the challenges of today, humanity must stop overstepping the planetary boundaries (Lenton et al., 2019; Rockström et al., 2009) and instead find, according to Raworth (2017), ways to operate within them. Sweden recognised the need for environmental protection at an early stage and was the first country in the world to pass environmental protection legislation in 1976 (Sweden - Swedish Institute, 2021). With the climate reform enacted in 2018, Sweden has set itself the goal to have net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2045 at the latest, which is an essential part of Sweden's effort to comply with the Paris Climate Agreement (Sweden - Ministry of the Environment and Energy, 2017). As part of the environmental strategy, the Swedish government recognises the need to reform the national food system and considers a long-term strategy with the aim to produce more food in Sweden by 2030 (Sweden - Government Office, 2016). Nevertheless, the focus is only on Sweden's "rural communities" (ibid., p. 3). Cities should not be disregarded in a sustainable transformation since, according 1
to the United United Nations (2019), more and more people will live in urban areas in the upcoming years. Capitalist urbanisation (Souza, 2020) drives profound transformations in rural and urban areas and thus in the agri-food systems, presenting both challenges and opportunities. In the process, productivity driven by market liberalism is leading to overexploitation of ecological resources, according to Jackson and Victor (2011). Empirical records of gross domestic product (GDP) growth, resource consumption and carbon emissions highlight a clear link between the ecological crisis and economic growth (Hickel, 2020; Hickel & Kallis, 2020). In this precarious context, the green growth paradigm, which presupposes a permanently growing green economy, is spreading on the agendas of international organisations, governments and economic actors worldwide. It is hailed as a comprehensive solution approach to address environmental, social and financial moments of crisis and is also seen as a key means to achieve the climate change goals of the Paris Agreement (Hickel & Kallis, 2020). Put simply, green growth builds on the assumption that absolute decoupling of GDP growth from carbon emissions and resource use is possible at a rate high enough to prevent ecological collapse, relying primarily on technological innovation and government regulation and incentives (Hickel & Kallis, 2020). In the degrowth scenario, over time a shift in priority to reuse and recycling will reduce net resource use (Wells et al., 2020). According to the academic literature, urban agriculture, as a part of a local food system, where food is produced in an urban area and sold to consumers in that area, presents a new food production model, generating innovative tools to lower agricultural land use, improving resource use efficiency (Al-Chalabi, 2015; Neilson & Rickards, 2017) and encouraging circular thinking in closed-loop food systems, which recycle resources for crop production (Fratini et al., 2019; Specht et al., 2016) and is thus can be seen in line with the degrowth aspects. Consequently, great potential is attributed to a sustainable transition of the agri-food system in urban areas towards the integration of urban agriculture. Markard et al. (2012) define sustainability transitions as long-term, multi-dimensional, and fundamental transformation processes through which established socio-technical systems shift to more sustainable modes of production and consumption. Sustainability transitions are defined in agriculture as a change from an agriculture system with the primary goal of increasing productivity to a system built on the broader principles of sustainable agriculture (Brunori et al., 2013). The transition in food 2
sustainability is based on structural changes leading to new, more sustainable production and consumption methods and practices (Spaargaren et al., 2013). 1.2 Problem statement and research questions Malmö, the third-largest city in Sweden, was the first city to implement the SDGs 2015 in its policies nationally (ICLEI, 2021). Hence, the city of Malmö has been addressing environmental, social and economic challenges in a green growth-oriented manner for several years and is committed to holistic, sustainable urban development by adopting comprehensive strategies. Consequently, the city of Malmö follows different sustainability strategies. In the "Policy for Sustainable Development and Food," the city of Malmö for example identifies food among their primary interests (Malmö, 2010). Thus, through conscious choice, the impact on the climate and the environment in the farming areas can be influenced in the right direction through the production and consumption of food (ibid.). Accordingly, food-related greenhouse gas emissions should be reduced by encouraging the production and consumption of more vegetable and less meat within and around the city as close to the consumer as possible (Malmö, 2010). The policy also maintains that all food served by the city of Malmö in canteens should be of organic origin as far as possible (ibid). In addition, the city of Malmö identifies the importance of preserving farmland within the city for food production, biodiversity, education, recreation and strengthening the links between the city and the countryside (Malmö, 2019). Furthermore, the General Plan (Översiktsplanen) of the city of Malmö emphasises that a sustainable society requires an interplay between the city and the living landscape (Malmö, 2019). This is achieved, for example on a small scale, through Stadsoling, a community garden on public land within the city in which citizens work together in an association to cultivate in raised garden beds (Malmö, 2021b). The environmental programme of the city of Malmö (see Section 4.2) also points out the agricultural landscape in Malmö should be preserved and used sustainably. In addition, the environmental programme highlights the importance of integrating biodiversity into the planning and development of the city and reducing the economic footprint by orienting the city towards a stronger circular economy (Malmö, 2021a). Urban agriculture is recognised by the city, but only on a small scale. For urban agriculture to contribute to the city's goals, it needs to be more integrated into policies and guidelines. Botildenborg, a sustainable urban farm and meeting place founded in 2011 and located in the Rosengård district of Malmö, on the other hand, has recognised the potential for sustainable 3
business and development through urban agriculture for several years, by setting itself the goal "to increase the local and ecologically produced food within the city" through this form of agriculture (Sustain Europe, 2020). Botildenborg seeks to be economically, environmentally and socially sustainable by working with different aspects, such an incubator programme, an education farm, a farming hub or a testbed, but also through the integration of refugees and immigrants (Botildenborg, 2021). Together with different cities and universities, Botildenborg has developed the Stadsbruk methodology to also enable other cities to work with urban agriculture on a strategic, city planning and hands-on level (Sustain Europe, 2020). Thus, it seems that Botildenborg has developed methods and practices to integrate urban agriculture on a large scale in the city of Malmö to contribute to a sustainable transformation of the city's agri- food system. In order to be able to provide indications for polices to shape the transformation steps towards sustainability within the agriculture and food system in Malmö, structures and patterns, as well as possible drivers and potential obstacles of a sustainable transition, are examined and systematically processed by answering the following research question (RQ): (RQ) What are the obstacles and drivers for a sustainability transition of the current food and agriculture regime in the city of Malmö? Using the multi-level perspective (MLP) from Geels (2002) in combination with urban political ecology and semi-structured expert interviews, the RQ is divided into the following sub- research questions (SRQ): (SRQ 1) What are the weak points of the current social-technical regime? (SRQ 2) How do the methods and practices developed by Botildenborg as a niche innovation intent to challenge the dominate social-technical regime? (SRQ 3) How can the city of Malmö support urban agriculture to achieve a sustainable transition? SRQ 1 refers to the regime level of the MLP in order to identify where the current dominant regime has weaknesses that can be addressed through sustainable niche innovations. The extent to which this transition can be guided by Botildenborg (as a role model) is discussed by analysing the niche level of the MLP and by answering SRQ 2. SRQ 3 aims to analyse how the 4
sustainable transformation of the agri-food system in Malmö can be accelerated through policy intervention. 1.3 Research relevance and research aim According to Kates et al. (2001), research in sustainability science should focus not only on the fundamental nature of the interaction between nature and society but also on society's ability to steer these interactions in a more sustainable direction. This is precisely the aspect that research around the MLP is trying to address. It explores how transitions towards sustainability can be characterised and how these can be effectively managed and, if necessary, how this process can be accelerated (Loorbach et al., 2017). This research is part of the MLP on socio-technical transitions (STT) and is therefore closely related to the principles and goals of sustainability science. The focus of the current scientific work on sustainability transformations has been on the supply sectors of energy, transport and water. However, only a few studies have dealt with the agricultural and food sector (e.g., Audet et al., 2017; Ingram, 2018; Markard et al., 2012). The studies often have a national focus, whereas studies with a regional or urban focus are rare (Markard et al., 2012). According to Baccarne et al. (2014), STTs are observed in urban areas because significant societal challenges accompany increasing urbanisation as a social structural change, and rapid technological developments force cities to search for new systematic changes. To address this research gap, this study analyses sustainability transitions in the agri-food sector in an urban area using the MLP. The current academic literature states that urban agriculture can contribute to higher levels of urban self-sufficiency and enhance environmental benefits such as resource efficiency, reduce carbon emissions, and generate ecosystem services (e.g., Cleveland et al., 2017; Hume et al., 2021; Paiho et al., 2021; Wielemaker et al., 2018). The most ardent proponents of urban agriculture believe that it can be the solution for food production to reduce the ecological footprint of agriculture. On the other hand, sceptics argue that urban agriculture is too energy- intensive to be sustainable and that the technical limitations of farming systems only allow for the production of relatively nutrient-poor crops that do not make up a large share of the diet (Goodman & Minner, 2019). Therefore, this study aims to reflect on the drivers and obstacles, that could be identified as possible advantages and disadvantages, of urban agriculture for a transition to a sustainable agri-food system in the city of Malmö. 5
1.4 Research outline This research starts with an introduction (Chapter 1), which describes the problem and how the study aims to address it. It provides the research question that guides the analytical process and establishes the limits of the study. A literature review (Chapter 2) is then conducted to develop a multidisciplinary view on current trends in urban agriculture that seek to make a systematic change to develop sustainable cities. This leads to the conceptual framework of the study (Section 2.4), where the MLP is combined with urban policy ecology to go beyond the perception of the relationship between innovation and social transitions and to examine how environments, natural or built, are produced and reproduced. In Chapter 3, all methodological decisions are presented approach are presented together with the implications for the research. Afterwards, the empirical background (Chapter 4) and the empirical results (Chapter 5) are presented. They are discussed and analysed in Chapter 6 and Chapter 7 with the help of the theories and the conceptual framework. Finally, Chapter 8 reconnects to the aim of this master thesis and summarises the essential findings and presents suggestions for further research. 6
2 Literature review and theoretical perspective This chapter contains the literature review which contains the debate around the effects of urban agriculture on sustainability within cities. Besides the framework of the MLP with the various pathways of transformation are presented. Coupled with a deeper understanding of power relations exposed through reflections on the political ecology of cities. All these aspects are combined in order to build the conceptual framework for this research. 2.1 Urban agriculture in the literature context In recent years, academic literature has devoted significant attention to the opportunities that urban agriculture provides to improve the environment and the ecology of cities (Pearson et al., 2010; Thomaier et al., 2015). In most of the research, urban agriculture represents a new model of food production that generates innovative tools to reduce agricultural land use, improve resource efficiency, and address food insecurity (Al-Chalabi, 2015; Neilson & Rickards, 2017). Concerns about the impact of climate change on the agricultural sector coupled with rapid urbanisation are also acting as drivers for urban planners to incorporate urban agriculture into policies to build sustainable cities (Lovell, 2010), as it promotes among other effects closed- loop thinking in food systems in particular (Fratini et al., 2019; Specht et al., 2014). The agricultural production is no longer limited to rural areas but is brought back to its origins closer to the consumer through urban agriculture (Mougeot, 2000; Sonnino, 2016). However, Chance et al. (2018) observed that urban communities are unlikely to be independent of rural agriculture, especially in the production of corn and wheat. Nevertheless, there is much potential in urban cultivation of products such as leafy vegetables (ibid.). In attempting to create new ways of producing food, connecting food to the consumers and promoting local food production, urban agriculture has emerged as a movement that fosters an integrated sustainable food system within the urban environment design (Al-Chalabi, 2015; Neilson & Rickards, 2017). In order to estimate the effects of urban agriculture, the literature usually divides the impacts into environmental, economic and social effects according to the three pillars of sustainability (Pearson et al., 2010). Especially in the global North, the effects of urban agriculture tend to be framed as social benefits (Battersby & Marshak, 2013). Sumner et al. (2010) likewise stated that urban 7
agriculture considers the critical role of culture and values in agriculture and their link to sustainability. Indeed there is a positive benefit on personal and community development (Hynes & Howe, 2002). Community gardens are perceived as a place for social interaction and support, enabling connection and collective benefits that strengthen the sense of community (Kingsley et al., 2020). It has been emphasised in the literature that urban agriculture has the potential for urban regeneration, more sustainable land use and social engagement in neighbourhoods by communicating on the supply and demand and developing the relationship locally between food producers and consumers (Dimitri et al., 2016; Thomaier et al., 2015). To conclude, urban agriculture has a great potential to transform communities and cities into better places to live, learn, and work (Al-Chalabi, 2015; Neilson & Rickards, 2017). Several scientists have concluded that growing food within the city limits can reduce energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions, as transport distances are shortened (Despommier, 2009; Jones, 2002). In general, urban agriculture is considered in the academic literature to positively affect the environment (Sumner et al., 2010). As a positive spinoff, this form of agriculture creates environmental awareness and improves local biodiversity (Dubbeling, 2014; Pearson et al., 2010). Furthermore, urban agriculture uses less fertiliser and pesticides, and the required water can be used more efficiently (Chance et al., 2018; Pinstrup-Andersen, 2018). According to Vogel (2008, p. 752), well-planned greenhouses can use only 10% of the water and only 5% of the area of conventional farms. Thus, according to Despommier (2011), in addition to vertical farming, retrofitting greenhouse structures on city rooftops is another logical step to achieve more sustainable food production. In Paris, for instance, a bottomless approach to agriculture that requires less space and fewer resources has been constructed on the roof of the new exhibition hall (Henley, 2020). 2.2 Multi-level perspective as a framework The need to transform today's food system towards a regenerative and restorative system has been well documented for some years. The main drivers for this transformation have been analysed in detail (Davies & Evans, 2019; Olsson, 2018; Van Veenhuizen & Danso, 2007). The Ellen MacArthur Foundation (2019) stated, for instance, that given the complexity and interconnectedness of the food system, a multi-layered approach is needed to address the complex challenges successfully. 8
Based on the socio-economic concept of co-evolution (Nelson & Winter, 1997) and similar considerations by Rip and Kemp (1998), Geels (2002) introduced a heuristic research framework for empirical case studies with the MLP, which explicitly focuses on the role of long-term STT in modern societies and seeks to clarify the process, opportunities and challenges in large technical systems and how they are socially embedded (Darnhofer, 2015; Lawhon & Murphy, 2012). The STT framework acknowledges and assigns great importance to co-evolution and mutual societal change, and technological innovation. A comprehensive view of the interdependent connection between technology and system is taken into account, which generates the need for innovations and ultimately produces and sustains them (Geels, 2005; Geels & Schot, 2010). Geels (2005) defines STT as a multi-dimensional change from one socio-technical system (depicted as the hexagon in Figure 4) to another, which involves a change in both technological and social systems interconnected with a feedback loop. Generally stated, STT is a slow process, as technological innovations gradually occur along set pathways due to the rigidity of economic, social, cultural, infrastructural and regulatory norms (ibid.). This process can be referred to as path dependency and leads to technological "lock-ins" that prevent innovation (Klitkou et al., 2015). Accordingly, the breakthrough and establishment of innovations depend on a complex interplay of different actors on different levels. Hence, the MLP is an analytical tool that intends to deal with this complexity and resistance to change and explain why some innovations become established over time while others do not. The MLP approach is mainly used to analyse regime transitions, which are defined as a change from one state of shared cognitive routines, lifestyles and general orientation of activities to another (Geels & Schot, 2007). Most of the research focuses on the energy and transport sector (Geels, 2002; Markard et al., 2012), but recently this framework has been used for other sectors such as agriculture (El Bilali et al., 2019; Elzen et al., 2012; Smith, 2006; Sutherland et al., 2014; Wigboldus et al., 2016). As the name of the MLP suggests, this analytical tool involves reflection at different levels. The MLP divides the overall research scope into three levels: the landscape level, the regime level and the niche level (Figure 4 shows the entire framework, with Figures 1-3 representing extracts from it.). The underlying assumption described by Geels (2002) suggests that radical innovations first develop in so-called niches (micro-level), which are mainly outside the general sphere of perception and are supported by a small number of individual, collective or corporate 9
actors. These niches are closely related to given socio-technical regimes (miso-level), characterised by more or less established actor constellations, rules and conventions as well as economic and technical structures. Niche innovations can change these regimes and their development can be influenced vice versa. Geels (2002) describes the landscape (macro-level) level as superordinate to the regimes and thus to the niche level to describe all those dynamics that cannot be directly influenced by the actors involved, such as fundamental social trends like globalisation and individualisation or general developments like global climate change. An innovation emerges through the interaction and alignment of the three different levels (Darnhofer, 2015; Geels, 2002; Vogel et al., 2020). 2.2.1 Socio-technical Landscape The macro-level is defined primarily by slowly changing (long-term) external factors that influence the regime gradually (e.g., climate change, demography) or disruptively (e.g., war, environmental disaster, pandemic) (Geels, 2002, 2011). These effects are represented in Figure 1 by the two arrows with almost constant slopes. According to Geels and Schot (2010), this creates constant and overarching framework conditions that cannot be affected in the short term by the regime or niche actors and cannot be changed at will (Geels, 2005, 2011). Fundamental social trends (e.g., increasing digitalisation or an ageing society), political (e.g., the nature and form of governments) and economic structures (e.g., the level of the base rate), ecological developments (e.g., climate change) (Van Driel & Schot, 2005) or currently contemporary the COVID-19 crisis (Wells et al., 2020) can fall under this level. The landscape usually changes only gradually (e.g., formation of social, environmental awareness), even though more rapid change can also occur due to crises (Geels, 2011). Thus, the landscape level represents the primary framework conditions for economic activities. In several research papers on sustainability transformations using MLP in agri-food science, little attention is paid to the landscape level. Sometimes this approach is taken to keep the study focused (Isgren & Ness, 2017), but often it is omitted without further explanation. Also, Geels (2011, p. 36) referred to the level as the ‘garbage can’ to accommodate everything that cannot be assigned to the miso and micro level. Nevertheless, the landscape level is characterised by an essential rethinking in environmental awareness, sustainability, and resource use outside of actors and niches (Geels, 2002, 2011). Some of the research addresses various external trends and exogenous factors that influence the transition to sustainable agricultural and food systems. In academic research, these trends and factors include, for example, population growth 10
(Konefal, 2015), globalisation and the internalisation of the agricultural and food market (Belmin et al., 2018; Immink et al., 2013; Konefal, 2015) and the global financial crisis (Slingerland & Schut, 2014), as well as changes in dietary habits and lifestyles (Immink et al., 2013), international treaties and conventions (Li et al., 2013; Zwartkruis et al., 2020), in the context of the European Union the common agricultural policy (CAP) (Feyereisen et al., 2017; Levidow et al., 2014) but also in general international laws, rules or standards (Immink et al., 2013), the increasing awareness of animal welfare and the environment (Hassink et al., 2018; Immink et al., 2013) and climate change (Konefal, 2015; Lutz & Schachinger, 2013). Indeed, in the academic literature, the socio-technical landscape is attributed to two main functions: On the one hand, to exert pressure on the regime and, on the other, to create the opportunity for niches to develop (Geels, 2011; Smith et al., 2010). Figure 1: The socio-technical landscape level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. 2.2.2 Socio-technical Regimes Embedded in the landscape level are the regime networks that determine the forms of work and organisation for a particular economic sector or product group that provide stability and reinforcement to the prevailing socio-technical systems. Geels (2011) includes in the miso-level (Figure 2) the strongly interrelated and stable dimensions such as scientific knowledge, policies and regulations, markets and user preferences, technologies, cultural values, and industry structures. The configuration of the regimes provides actors with a secure and stable framework for their work processes, although in contrast to the rigid structure of the landscapes, this can change incrementally, in other words, in small adjustment steps learning processes and development trends (Geels, 2002). Geels (2011) has symbolised this process in Figure 2 with small arrows pointing in the same direction. This is partly due to the 'lock-in' effect (caused, for example, by a commitment to installation standards or investments that have already been made 11
or increasing returns to scale), which prevents rapid changes, as a radical change would require an inordinately considerable effort. Geels (2011, p. 27) furthermore describes the incremental change as occurring through the duality of structure, whereby actors are governed by rules and constantly create new rules to which they are bound. Elzen et al. (2002) see the regime level as a barrier to change and new technological and social innovations, as this level serves as a selection and retention mechanism. According to Holtz et al. (2008), the academic literature only briefly addresses the conceptualisation and operationalisation of regimes in the agriculture and food sectors. It is less about describing and defining regimes and more about the dynamics of transitions and transition management. In essence, regimes are ways of working and organising a particular sector of the economy that provide stability and reinforcement. Hinrichs (2014) includes the agri-food regime business codes and regulations, food safety laws, existing business networks, logistics, transport and infrastructure. Which, according to Morrissey et al. (2014), are characterised by mainstream practices and approaches dominated by industrial agriculture and integrated food supply chains. Indeed, modern agriculture and food systems are highly standardised, with multiple layers of rules governing agricultural production and food processing practices as well as distribution networks (Loconto, 2016). According to Duineveld et al. (2009) regime stabilisation strategies include lobbying and forming networks and alliances. Thus, socio- technological regimes often remain effective as these are consolidated by well-established routines and relationships (ibid.). Nevertheless, all socio-technological regimes have internal contradictions and fissures, enabling change (Fuenfschilling & Truffer, 2014). Holtz et al. (2008) pointed out that the regime to be explored and possibly managed is usually not given by clear system boundaries but a matter of framing and deliberation. Figure 2: The socio-technical regime level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. 12
2.2.3 Niche-innovations Figure 4 and the detailed view in Figure 3 shows which niche innovations that can be developed outside the regime level, can contribute to a changed regime configuration under certain circumstances. Geels (2011) emphasises that niche innovations are therefore not fundamentally exposed to the economic activity of the regimes or landscapes rather than being protected by the mainstream system and can therefore develop independently of these determinants. A virtual space for budling social networks and support innovations is provided (Geels, 2005). According to van der Ploeg et al. (2004) niches are alternative socio-technical systems that provide a protected space for developing new technologies, new concepts and new ways of organising and acting. If the innovation finds a more accepted social approval, then it can sustainably change the configuration of a regime through its further development and, if applicable, contribute to the transformation of the landscape (see Section 2.3) (Geels & Schot, 2007). It can be deduced that the success of niche innovation is not exclusively dependent on niche management but equally on the developments of the existing regimes and landscapes (Geels, 2002). Niche innovations in the agri-food sector include alternative food systems or networks and farming systems. To be more specific, in academic research, for instance, ecological agriculture (Hauser & Lindtner, 2017; Vila Seoane & Marín, 2017), agroecology (Durua et al., 2014; Isgren & Ness, 2017; Levidow et al., 2014; Pant, 2016), conservation agriculture (Vankeerberghen & Stassart, 2016) or integrated agriculture (Vlahos et al., 2017), permaculture (Ingram, 2018), but also alternative food networks (Audet et al., 2017; Bui et al., 2016; Crivits & Paredis, 2013; Lutz & Schachinger, 2013) and urban agriculture (Bell & Cerulli, 2012) are considered niches. Vivero-Pol (2017) cautions that alternative food and farming systems do not necessarily have reformist, transformative agendas. Sutherland et al. (2014) emphasise the importance of the precise definition of a niche and its novelty to the current regime. The majority of research using MLP addresses the relationship between the elements of the heuristic framework at the macro, miso and micro levels and how these influence transition dynamics and processes in the agri-food sector. Only a small part deals with internal niche processes (Paschen et al., 2017). Indeed, transitions only occur when niche innovations are robust enough to challenge the dominant socio-technical system. Therefore, Pitt and Jones (2016) emphasise that the robustness and maturity of niches are two necessary conditions to ensure their upward and outward scaling and thus contribute to a sustainable transformation. 13
Figure 3: The niche level, adapted from Geels (2002), created by the author. 2.2.4 Merging the different levels The interaction between the three different levels merged in the MLP (Figure 4) can be seen as an essential driving force for social change. According to Schot and Geels (2008, p. 545), the interactions can be summarised as follows: (1) niche innovations build internal momentum, (2) changes at the landscape level create pressure on the regime, (3) destabilisation of the regime creates windows of opportunity for niche innovations. Accordingly, it is not only about bottom- up processes of sustainable transformation but rather about linking ongoing processes at the regime and landscape levels to the innovations on the niche level (ibid.). The niche variations can then emerge depending on the regime, the selection environment for the niches. Whether the niches can ultimately change the regime then depends on how they relate to the regime. Equally important is the state of the regime in question. It may be unstable due to pressure from the landscape levels. Therefore, in addition to the development of the niches, it is also essential how new regime structures can emerge from them and how upscaling can be designed. This results in different interactions between the niches and the dominant regime, from which different transformation paths can emerge. It is also important to emphasise that different niches can emerge. They can be complementary, mutually reinforcing or in competition with each other. Moreover, the different niches can interact with different regimes. 14
Figure 4: The multi-level perspective framework, adapted from Geels (2002, p.1263), created by the author. 2.3 Socio-technical transition Section 2.2.4 showed how the interaction between the different levels takes place. Geels and Schot (2007) analysed how the transformation to a (more sustainable) system occurs based on the MLP. Geels and Schot (2007) have thereby developed a differentiated transformation typology that distinguishes the following transformation patterns and is also based on different interaction dynamics between the three levels (Summarised in Table 1 and explained in more detail in the following sections). These transformation paths are to be understood alternatively and follow each other within a transformation process (ibid.). In defining the different transformation paths, the timing and nature of the interaction are of great importance. As already stated, according to Geels and Schot (2007), pressure can be 15
exerted on the regime from the landscape level, thus creating windows of opportunity for niche innovations (see Figure 4 “Landscape developments put pressure on the existing regime, which opens up, creating a window of opportunity for niche innovations”). These windows manifest in the opportunity to establish themselves more firmly in the regime or, if appropriate, to replace it. To achieve this, the niche innovations must initially match the current regime and the selection environment to some extent (see Figure 4 “Elements become aligned and stabilise in a dominate design”). However, if niche innovations are not fully developed, they cannot fully exploit this window to drive a transition and leave the market for the most part (shown in Figure 3 with arrows pointing against the current). The nature of the interactions has to do with the type of relationship that the landscape and the niche have with the regime. Whereby these relationships present themselves as either reinforcing or disrupting. Similarly, different niche innovations may have a competitive or symbiotic relationship with the regime among themselves. Competitive innovations compete with the established regime, while symbiotic innovations can be incorporated into the regime to solve problems (ibid.). Table 1: Transformation patterns based on Geels and Schot (2007) and Geels et al. (2016), created by the author Niche innovations Interaction Dynamics Outcome Modification of the transition path of regime actors and adaptation of No replacement of the niche innovations current regime actors Transformation Symbiotic & not Determining transformation Pathway mature Struggle between through the degree of realignment policymakers and industry actors Possible formation of a new regime with, however, no change in the fundamental structures Increase in regime tensions due to Replacement of the landscape pressure current regime actors De-alignment and Breakdown of the regime Competitive & not Re-alignment No confrontation mature Pathway between established Cooperation between the niche regime actors and niche innovations to replace the regime innovations Dominance of one niche innovation 16
Replacement of the regime through the niche innovations Replacement of the current regime actors Technological Shift in the regime Competitive & Substitution mature Competition between Pathway Degree of institutional change established regime actors depends on whether the niche and niche innovations innovation conforms to existing rules and institutions No replacement of the Change in the structure of the current regime actors regime through the adaptation of niche innovations Competition between Reconfiguration Symbiotic & not different regime actors Creation of knock-on effects Pathway mature through new combinations of niche Potential alliance innovations between established regime actors and niche Growing institutional change over innovations time 2.3.1 Transformation pathway If the landscape level puts pressure on the existing regime, but there are no sufficiently mature niches, then regime actors have the opportunity to adjust the orientation of innovation activities and the development direction of the regime (Geels & Schot, 2007). Landscape pressure can be considered as disruptive and niche innovations as symbiotic. At the end of the transformation path, a new regime will develop with constant regime actors (ibid.). The established actors, however, do not resist change or are trapped in the dominant regime patterns. They are much more "dynamically stable" and can actively decide to reorient themselves in a new direction (Geels et al., 2016). The degree of reorientation determines the extent of institutional transformation. For example, according to Geels et al. (2016), if reorientation efforts are strong and technologies are adopted quickly, a higher degree of institutional change may occur. Elsewhere, a lack of reorientation efforts is associated with the incremental nature of adopting niche technical innovations into the regime, leading to limited institutional transition (ibid.). Institutional pressure may likely lead to struggles between policymakers and industry actors (Geels et al., 2016). 17
2.3.2 De-alignment and Re-alignment pathway According to Geels and Schot (2007), sudden and far-reaching landscape changes destabilise the regime and lead to its erosion (de-alignment). If niche innovations at this stage are not yet sufficiently developed to fill the incoming gap, this leads to the development of multiple niche innovations that co-exist and compete for attention and resources. Eventually, one niche gains the upper hand and forms the starting point for forming a new regime (re-alignment) (ibid.). Geels et al. (2016), state that there is no confrontation within this pathway and thus no real competition between established actors and niche innovations. Therefore, the old technologies and innovations lose their dominance with the unbundling of the regime and are eventually replaced by innovations (Geels et al., 2016). While the innovations become established, there may be a long period of uncertainty (ibid.). 2.3.3 Technological Substitution pathway If there is intense pressure from the landscape level and, at the same time, enough established niche innovations, then these might dominate and thus initiate a transformation of the regime (Geels & Schot, 2007). Since the regime is not yet completely destabilised at this point, competition between the established actors and the niche innovations might occur (ibid.). Provided that the niche innovations fit the existing rules and institutions, a slight change emerges. If, however, the institutions are forced to adapt, disruptive change and possible power struggles arise, according to Geels et al. (2016). 2.3.4 Reconfiguration pathway Initially, niche innovations develop in symbiosis with the regime and are used in the regime to solve problems in sub-areas of the regime (Geels & Schot, 2007). This eventually leads to significant changes in the fundamental architecture of the regime. According to Geels et al. (2016), so-called knock-on effects, which refer to new combinations between innovations, can also trigger structural changes within the regime. Established actors are not part of this transition path (Geels & Schot, 2007) but can still lead to competition and tension as new alliances can be formed with niche innovations (Geels et al., 2016). Institutional transformation is initially limited but ultimately leads to significant changes (ibid.). 18
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