Do Unexploited Economic Development Opportunities Exist within the Indiana Toll Road Corridor? - PHASE 1 PRELIMINARY STUDY QUESTION APRIL 2011
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PHASE 1 PRELIMINARY STUDY QUESTION APRIL 2011 Do Unexploited Economic Development Opportunities Exist within the Indiana Toll Road Corridor? Center for Business and Economic Research i April 2011
About the Center for Business and Economic Research The Center for Business and Economic Research, formerly the Bureau of Business Research, is an award-winning economic policy and forecasting research center housed within the Miller College of Business at Ball State University. CBER research encompasses health care, public finance, regional economics, transportation, and energy sector studies. In addition to research, we serve as the forecasting element in the Muncie area—holding five state and federal economic forecasting roundtables. Contact Center for Business and Economic Research Whitinger Business Building, room 149 2000 W. University Ave. Muncie, IN 47306 Phone: 765-285-5926 Email: cber@bsu.edu Online: www.bsu.edu/cber © 2011 Center for Business and Economic Research, Ball State University Ball State University ii April 2011
T Estimating the Experience of he Indiana Toll Road passes through three Regional Devel- opment Districts, three Indiana Economic Development regions, three workforce investment regions – all without Highway Corridors contiguous borders. In addition, the Indiana Toll Road (ITR) Estimating the effect of transportation infrastructure has a long crosses seven counties, seven enterprise zones and dozens of cit- history. Evaluating the efficacy of economic development efforts ies and towns. This highway corridor is 157 miles long and has has likewise been approached from several different research tra- 22 exits serving a population of more than 1.2 million. The infra- ditions. To date, no combined study of both infrastructure and structure of the ITR links these communities and people across economic development efforts has been seriously considered. In a large trade flow area including greater Chicago. Chicago is the a previous study, Hicks (2006) provided an estimate of the effect third largest container handling port in the world and is in the top of new road construction in Indiana. In order to estimate the 20 for rail, water and air transport. The Chicago National Trans- aggregate effect of these investments, we use historical evidence of portation Analysis Area (NTAR) ships and receives more than the impact of completing interstate highway networks in Indiana. 1.5 billion tons of goods and more than one-third of the nation’s Hicks [2006] details the expansion of highways and their effect on rail and overland truck traffic.1 The freight volume of the Chi- retail trade in Indiana. We use data on Indiana interstates from cago area exceeds major trade centers such as Los Angeles. As the 1969 through 2004. We match the presence of a completed high- international trade will continue to grow, this will fuel the growth way section during that period with economic data available from of containerized intermodal shipping. This region holds national the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Regional Economic Information importance with respect to commodity flows and is host to a large System. From this we create a model which measures the expo- share of several manufacturing sectors, large research universities sure of a county to a completed of economic activity in Indiana. and broad agricultural resources.2 The model takes the form: Recognizing the importance of this region to the performance of the national and state economy and as a home to more than Yi,t = α + βIi,t + εi + εt + ε half a million Hoosier families, the Indiana Toll Road Economic Development Corridor Study initiative (ITREDCS) commis- where the economic variable Y, in each of Indiana’s 92 counties sioned this study. Presented here is an incremental analysis of over the 35 year period is affected by a constant term, the open- a much larger benchmarking and strategic delineation effort ing of a completed interstate highway in the county, and year outlined in the study scope of work.3 The purpose of this first and county error terms as well as the normal white noise error analytical process is simply to evaluate whether or not economic term. We test this model on tax receipts gathered within each development opportunities exist along the corridor that could be county and total county employment in each year. The model furthered by future economic development efforts.4 enjoys very high levels of explanatory power (with an R-squared of greater than .80) and p-values for the interstate better than .01 in both estimates. 1. Data from the Bureau of Transportation Statistics. 2. Data on household and industrial mix from the Department of Labor’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, the Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Regional Economic Information System and the Department of the Census. 3. See: Conducting Benchmark Research on other Similar Corridors Nationally Concept “We propose to perform a series of benchmarking studies which together will provide a comprehensive view of the region. Our intent is to understand the Indiana Toll Road Corridor within the context of other corridor focused economic development efforts, both in the U.S. and Internationally. Within this process we will develop an understanding of the successes and failures of other corridor initiatives, integrate opportunities in existing commercial economic activity and infrastructure to leverage other successes and identify potential new or emergent commercial opportunities for the region.” (Ball State University research team, Response to RFQ). 4. While this is an unusually narrow research question, an early answer to the pressing question as to whether the Indiana Toll Road Region had exhausted all potential economic development efforts was an important consideration to one member of the ITREDCS steering committee. Center for Business and Economic Research 1 April 2011
The result of this treatment model suggests that highways have Figure 1. Real vs. Forecasted: Personal Income a non-transient and large impact on tax revenues and employ- ment. In particular, tax revenues from a county which has an Real Forecasted interstate highway rise by $74,000 (in 2004 dollars) the year the highway opens, and continue to experience larger tax collections A. Dulles Access Terminus (Loudon County, VA) throughout the remainder of the sampled period. This represents $15 million 15000000 roughly 5% of collections. Counties with interstate highway enjoy 15000000 more than 4,400 additional employees as a result of the opening 12000000 $12 million 12000000 of an interstate. However, the increase in employment from a 9000000 new interstate opening takes longer to materialize than does tax $99000000 million revenues (perhaps three additional years). 6000000 This is due, in part, to a decline in the transient construction work on the interstate 3000000 $66000000 million highway itself. 0 $33000000 million Case Studies of Corridor Efforts In addition to the effects of new highway openings, we are able to provide some insight as to the effectiveness of corridor eco- 00 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 nomic development efforts. While disentangling these effects from those of the infrastructure is understandably difficult, case studies provide some insight. We begin with an analysis of the B. I-43 Corridor Dulles Access Road, which linked central Fairfax County (inside 50000000 $50 million 50000000 the Washington, D.C. Beltway) to Dulles Airport and the rela- 40000000 30000000 tively undeveloped area around it in Loudon County, Virginia. 20000000 This effort included significant economic development efforts in 10000000 $40 million 40000000 conjunction with partners along the Dulles Access road, which was formally opened in 1984. $30 million 30000000 To model the combined effect of the road opening and the asso- ciated economic development efforts, we use a method employed by Hicks (2004) which compares the actual performance of a $20 million 20000000 county economy with a forecast of that economy. In this case we use a forecast model employing three annual lagged moving aver- ages, an autoregressive component integrated over three periods, $10 million 10000000 an intercept and an error term assumed normally distributed with 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 a mean of zero. This is an ARMA (3,3) model used on data from 1969 through 1984 and compared 3.00 to the remaining years. This Forecasted C. Manitowac County, I-43 Corridor graphic (see Figure 1.A) clearly illustrates 2.75 the performance of the $3 million Real 3.00 economy at the terminus of the 2.50Dulles Access Road performed far better than expected following2.25the opening of the road and the 2.75 associated economic development 2.00 efforts. The Interstate 43 corridor in Wisconsin connected Milwau- 1.75 $2.5 million 2.50 1.50 kee and Green Bay through five counties. Employing a similar ARMA(3,3) model on the combined personal income of these five 2.25 counties from 1969 through 1981, when the road was completed we find that the performance of the region sharply exceeded the $2 million 2.00 forecast for the region. See Figure 1.B. However, the region did not prosper uniformly, with the per- 1.75 formance of the most rural county—Manitowac—lagging the others significantly. Indeed, this county did not share in the pros- $1.5 million 1.50 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Ball State University 2 April 2011
perity of the corridor counties for almost a decade, and continues Table 1. I-73 Impact Simulation to lag in total personal income. See Figure 1.C. Annual Current Annual 2025 In Virginia, Interstate 73 is a planned extension of a future com- ($millions) ($millions) ponent of the Interstate highway system. Though as yet unbuilt, Cost Saving $111.7 $161.5 the projected deployment of this interstate is expected to add sig- (productivity) nificant development and productivity increases to the region of Business Services $265.4 $386.9 southwest Virginia. The estimated impacts, from a recent study Distribution Center $22.4 $23.5 are outlined in Table 1. Total $399.5 $571.4 As mentioned, it is technically challenging to estimate the impact of highway infrastructure from other economic effects analysis of activities occurring within the corridor region. That influencing a region’s economy. In addition, disentangling an effort will follow in Phase I benchmarking efforts.6 estimate of regional impact of infrastructure from active and effective economic development efforts is even more technically challenging. Policy and Research • Encourage mixed use within nodes to enhance population potential of transportation nodes. The Experience of Other Corridor • Discourage retail sprawl, so as to concentrate public services Economic Development within a lower cost region. To evaluate this question, the Ball State University research • Further research the effect of interchange location on industrial team read and examined more than 100 studies of highway cor- structure and its implications for land use planning and eco- ridors in over 30 states and two dozen countries (see Figure 2). nomic development strategy. From these studies, we identified broad development consider- • Improve human capital matching for new employees leading to ations that could be nurtured within the ITREDCS region to pro- new infrastructure and educational program development for mote greater prosperity and quality of life for current and future continual retraining of IT workers for the regional workforce. residents. These findings fall into four broad categories: policy • Identify state and national policy support for high priority and research; planning; economic and institutional integration; and efforts, link funding streams, policy and marketing support to development and re-development. While the studies and recom- these efforts. mendations we reviewed often provided significant insight into • Identify agglomeration activities and features along the high- other aspects of economic and infrastructure development, these way and track fiscal and programmatic support for clusters. four functional areas are designed to highlight potential opportu- • Increase integration of public transport systems with nities for the ITR region identified by existing studies.5 roadways. • Focus economic development efforts on enhancing network effects (removal of leakages, promotion of agglomeration Preliminary Study Findings benefits). What follows is a highly summarized list of potential economic • Identify systematically the benefits of key infrastructure and development opportunities identified in this process. These are improvements to residents, commuters and shippers. issues for supporting research, policy, planning, integration and • Property values at nodes alter urbanization/industrialization development efforts identified within the existing research per- gradient, so consideration of these changes is needed. formed on other corridors. Altogether, this element of the study • “The success of such projects [corridors] depends on the effi- identified more than 50 potential opportunities with the potential cient allocation of responsibilities between public and private to guide economic development efforts. It is not exhaustive. While sector participants” (Fishbein and Babber 1996). So, analysis of the collection of studies reviewed for this preliminary study is as the potential for public/private partnerships is needed. comprehensive as any we are aware of, many findings within these • “[T]he development of industry, creation and expansion of studies have not yet been included in this list. Moreover, contract residential and environmental improvements were especially specifications and study design criterion prevented an exhaustive notable in toll road areas . . . stimulated socioeconomic and regional development” (Parasabaiu 2005) Thus a regional 5. See also Ball State University Response to RFQ: “Comparative Analysis of this Corridor region with others: Using the framework for evaluating other Corridor Initiatives, we will also perform direct quasi-experimental comparisons of the Indiana Toll Road region with other similar leased highways.” 6. See June, 2010 ITREDCS team meeting minutes. Center for Business and Economic Research 3 April 2011
Figure 2. Global Study of Tollways and Highway Corridors Illinois/Indiana: Tollway and Corridor Studies WISCONSIN Lake Michigan I-90 I-94 (Tri-State) (Jan e Ad dam MICHIGAN s) I-94 gan) Chicago kyw ay) IOWA ld Re Rona 0( S I-88 ( I-9 4 I-80/I-90 (Indiana E-W) I-9 I-355 (Veterans Mem.) South Bend ) a te Gary -St I-69 Tri 9 4( Fort Wayne I-2 9 I-39 I-46 Peoria I-65 OHIO I-69 I-74 Champaign I-465 I-70 Springfield Indianapolis I-70 I-74 I-65 St. Louis I-265 I-64 Louisville Frankfort Florida: US Route 1 and Interstate 4 MISSOURI Evansville I-164 ALABAMA GEORGIA KENTUCKY Tallahassee Jacksonville Atlantic Ocean Gulf of Mexico US 1 Corridor Texas: Toll Roads OKLAHOMA I-4 Fla. High- in Study Area ARKANSAS Tech Corridor Orlando Lubbock Tampa Dallas Tollways Plano California: Orange County’s • Addison Airport Toll Tunnel • Dallas North Dallas Shreveport St. Petersburg Fort Worth Toll Roads • Lewis Lake Toll Bridge Tyler LOUISIANA • Mt. Creek Lake Bridge Loop 49 US 1 Corridor • President George Bush Los Angeles metro SR 91 Riverside SR 91 Turnpike (SH 161, SH 190) • Sam Rayburn (SH 121) Austin Tollways Hialeah SR 261 Toll SR • Loop 1 Anaheim 24 Miami • SH 45 Santa Ana 1T Austin ol • SH 130 Irvine l • SH 183A 3 SR Houston 13 73 US 1 SR To San Antonio ll Houston Tollways • Hardy (I-548) Pacific • Katy (I-10) Ocean • Sam Houston (Beltway 8) • Westpark Corpus Christi Camino Colombia Laredo (SH 255) Gulf of Mexico Ball State University 4 April 2011
Serbia: E-70 and E-75 Study HUNGARY E-75 CROATIA ROMANIA Novi Sad E-70 E-70 Toll Belgrade BOSNIA- HERZEGOVINA E-75 Toll BULGARIA Nis MONTENEGRO E-75 KOSOVO CROATIA ALBANIA Adriatic Sea MACEDONIA Australia: Sydney Orbital Network South Africa: N3 Toll Road MOZAMBIQUE Nelspruit Pretoria M7 Toll Newcastle Johannesburg M2 Toll Gosford SWAZILAND Lane Cove Tunnel N3 Toll M7 Toll Sydney Harbour Tunnel Sydney M1 Toll M5 Toll N3 Toll Richards Bay Pietermaritzburg (Ulundi) LESOTHO Campbelltown Tasman Sea Durban Indian Ocean Indonesia: Jakarta’s Toll Road Network Jakarta Metro Area Tollways Tanjungkarang-Telukbetung • Jakarta-Bogor-Ciawi Map Legend Java Sea • Jakarta-Cikampek • Jakarta-Cengkareng Airport Corridor Jakarta • Jakarta Inner City Toll Road Bandung • Jakarta Outer Ring Semarang Major Road • Jakarta-Serpong Yogyakarta Surabaja • Jakarta-Tangerang Boundary Line City Indian Ocean Denpasar Mataram Area of Study Center for Business and Economic Research 5 April 2011
model of economic activity should be maintained to assess • Craft IT standards for new construction so that inevitable growth in the corridor. vacancies reduce subsequent redevelopment costs. • “[T]here will have to be local marketing, supporting infrastruc- • Develop small area planning recommendations such as urban ture and services and land development controls and assistance commercial design zones. mechanisms to insure that these investments [in corridors] suc- • Design standards for ITR to provide a common recognizable ceed and are better off as a result” (Rychanowski et. al. 2005) look. • An inventory of business service providers (e.g. angel investors, • Develop design guidelines for certain areas including access SCORE, SBDC, etc.) is required across the region. control, landscape, signage, wayfinding, lighting, parking, • Grant feasibility studies and regional prioritization should pedestrian and non-traditional vehicles guide investment decisions, both regionally and locally. • Capital improvement plans/strategies should be integrated • Share resource availability as a tool for leveraging larger sets of across region. developable site options within the region. • Broad Tax Increment Financing (TIF) districts would ease Economic and Institutional Integration development costs. • “Economic development along interstate corridors appears • Shared property tax receipts for large scale regional develop- to be mediated by contextual factors including regional loca- ments would facilitate regional cooperation on projects with tion, inherited industrial structure and degree of urbanization” truly regional impacts. (Lakshmanan et. al.) • “Regional response to toll roads is affected by the enumer- • Identify probable occupational mix changes to inform type of ated differences determining the real character of impacts on a development (office vs. industrial use for example). region’s aspects such as traffic, land use economic structure and • Detailed labor force environmental scan, close understanding residents welfare” (Clower & Weinstein 2006) of labor shed and forecast of occupation and human capital • Extended benefit/cost analysis for public private partnerships changes are needed to align economic and community devel- would provide a clearer picture of appropriate uses for this opment efforts with workforce and higher education goals. growing area of service provision. • Economic development is preceded by actions other than solely • Creation of utility districts would offer significant benefits to the pursuit of economic opportunity (planning, infrastructure, development efforts. site and building availability, for example) and should be com- • Identify high value air shipment products to region and target municated to stakeholders effectively. development opportunities and infrastructure improvements • Diversification of industrial mix is influenced by both tax struc- that leverage these commodity flows to wealth creating activi- ture and infrastructure development and should be considered ties within the region. along with human capital planning. • Demand summary by household income with projections • Understand infrastructure capacity as part of intermodal plans, offers a key input to many business location decisions, infra- to guide long range investment. structure plans and economic development strategies and can • Craft a strong marketing plan that produces newsletters, pro- be completed regionally. vides material and a common look; conduct outreach, organize public safety training, produce a map and business directory, Planning publicize incentives, awards for support and maintenance of • “A major challenge facing the development of this region is that new media presence. there is no regional coordinating organization” (Hicks and Put- • Unify marketing plans, increase deployment of radio, emerg- taiah 2004) ing media and wayfinding. • Regions lacking a plan for a transition to high tech growth fail • Commercial corridor overlay as part of an integrated approach to integrate available public services. to economic and community development planning. • Strategic Highway Corridor Concept to improve, protect and • Integrate plans into policy (fiscal, regulatory, regional). maximize the capacity of existing corridors is critical to state- • Encourage joint planning for business parks. wide mobility and regional connectivity. • Support efforts to secure additional rail access to key rail sites. • Long range multi-modal statewide transportation plans are • Pool incubators and regional incubator network to gain effi- needed to prioritize key investments. ciency and improve effectiveness. • Moderate incompatible land uses to preserve high valued • Unify brownfield prioritization options. Ball State University 6 April 2011
• Significantly increase communication and coordination chain leakages and promote agglomeration economies. A truth between business attraction and retention efforts. of regional modeling is that the broader the region the greater the • Develop grant stacking strategies targeting priority activities opportunity to reduce leakages, hence the greater the economic across region. benefit of efforts to link businesses with suppliers and customers. • Funding source access and sharing to complete regional One potential approach is the construction of a regional supplier priorities. database which promotes individual local businesses. In addition, • Match congestion projections to land use plans at the regional the careful nurturing of public private partnerships within the level. region, that support existing industries through shared market- • Economic positioning strategy, with a supra-regional or ing and networking efforts is a key element of efforts to promote national focus, aids in marketing efforts. agglomeration economies. Development and Re-Development Planning • Four lane extensions (to connections on interstates) promote Design standards for Indiana Toll Road to provide a common economic development. recognizable look. Marketing and promotion of the ITR, to craft • Focus on developing gathering places with mixed high density a recognizable branding around this key infrastructure requires nodes at key locations. considerable coordination of efforts. These efforts may include • Support transit-oriented development, with prioritization in common informational architecture (digital and signage), the mostly densely populated areas. introduction of a common look to promotional and wayfinding • Encourage a wide variety of business types along the corridor. information, the development of online trip planning and web • Support housing development to attract human capital. based GIS mapping of sites and broadcast and smart signage • Support small business as a key provider of job creation. along the corridor region. • Improve identity of corridor to support industries with quality of place focus. Economic and Institutional Integration • Develop a physical plan that integrates key infrastructure across Pool incubators and regional incubator network to gain efficiency the region. and improve effectiveness. Among the more insightful opportuni- • Protect environmental resources throughout the corridor ties revealed in this review of studies is the creation of incubator beginning with a review of zoning ordinances. networks. Since incubators and other entrepreneurship related • Explore low cost options for civic and community use of activities possess both network effects and economies of scale, brownfields. a centralized management of regional incubators could reduce • Aesthetic design criterion to support quality of place. both the cost of operations and the cost of acquiring informa- tion. These observations naturally clarify the real opportunity for The Path to Strategic Planning regional collaboration and significant opportunities within the toll road region. An example of an incubator network would be and Integration to centralize the focus, management and information exchange of The findings listed in this study provide only highly summa- the ITR regional incubators—most likely proximal to a university rized results from a review of existing studies of transportation commercialization center—and rely upon satellite incubators to corridors. A much more extensive process that includes heavy offer lower cost business development services. regional involvement is needed to evaluate, test and prioritize these and the nearly infinite range of additional opportunities Development and Redevelopment available to the community. However, we extract examples of Explore low cost options for civic and community use of brown- opportunities and outline potential actions that develop these fields. Both the Economic Development Administration and the opportunities in the region. Environmental Protection Administration focus re-development efforts on brownfields. Both organizations provide significant Policy and Research funding and analytical support to these efforts. However, in Focus economic development efforts on enhancing network many communities, commercial redevelopment of brownfields effects (removal of leakages, promotion of agglomeration benefits). is unlikely. An alternative, especially in more densely populated The development of regional efforts to bolster economic activ- urban areas is the use of brownfields for civic or community ity often includes public private partnerships to reduce supply development opportunities. Center for Business and Economic Research 7 April 2011
Table 2. Comparisons with Other Economic Development Corridors Central Texas I-39 I-43 Indiana Toll Road Economic Corridor Focus Logistics Logistics Providing site location assistance Determine the feasibility of creating to companies considering a common economic development relocation or expansion to Central objectives and initiatives serve Texas. seven Indiana counties along the Indiana Toll Road. Length of • 323 miles from Janesville, WI to 192 miles from Beloit, WI to 37 miles from Copperas Cove to 157 miles connecting the Chicago Corridor Bloomington, IL Green Bay, WI Temple Skyway to Ohio Turnpike • 141 miles within Illinois • 182 miles within Wisconsin Counties Brown Bell Elkhart LaSalle, IL Columbia, WI Manitowoc Coryell LaGrange Lee, IL Dane, WI Milwaukee Lake Marshall, IL Marathon, WI Ozaukee LaPorte McLean, IL Marquette, WI Rock Porter Sheboygan Steuben Ogle, IL Portage, WI Waukesha St. Joseph Winnebego, IL Rock, WI Walworth Woodford, IL Waushara, WI Major Cities Janesville, WI Beloit Belton Elkhart Beloit, WI Green Bay Copperas Cove Gary Rockford, IL Greenfield Killeen La Porte Bloomington, IL Manitowoc Temple Portage Normal, IL Milwaukee South Bend Sheboygan Numbered 75 61 26 (I-35 in Bell County) 20 Exits Road: US 85; I-90 Airports • 8 in corridor • 9 in corridor • 4 public in corridor • 5 public in corridor • proximity to O’Hare and • General Mitchell International • Killeen/Fort Hood Regional • South Bend Regional Airport- Midway in Chicago Airport (Milwaukee) is the Airport (military/commercial largest in corridor; 2nd largest • Country’s fastest growing biggest in the state (over 3 joint use) in the state airport million enplanements in 2008) • UPS’s 2nd largest Air Hub for cargo and express delivery Rail 7 major transcontinental rail 4 major transcontinental systems: 2 major transcontinental rail 9 major rail systems: systems provide access to Chicago: • Canadian National systems traverse in Bell County: • Chicago, Ft. Wayne & Eastern • CP Rail System • Canadian Pacific Railway • Union Pacific • Elgin, Joliet, & Eastern • Iowa Interstate • Union Pacific • Burlington Northern Santa Fe • Indiana Harbor Belt • Iowa, Chicago & Eastern • Wisconsin & Southern RR • Chicago, Southshore & South • Illinois Midland Bend • Lincoln & Southern • Norfolk Southern • Union Pacific • Canadian National/Grand • Wisconsin & Southern Trunk • Elkhart & Western • Grand Elk • Indiana Northeastern Waterways/ Barge terminals along the Illinois • Port of Green Bay: the western- • Leon River • St. Joseph River Ports River connect to Great Lakes, St. most port of Lake Michigan; 2 • Lampasas River • Kankakee River Lawrence Seaway, Atlantic Ocean, million tons of cargo each year. • Indiana-Burns Harbor: 30 Mississippi River, and the Gulf of • Ports at Manitowoc, Sheboygan, miles from Chicago; enables Mexico. Milwaukee, and the Port of shippers to transport products Washington on Lake Michigan efficiently by truck, rail, barge, ship or container to and from manufacturing and agricultural markets of IN, IL, MI and OH. Corridor I-39 Logistics Corridor Central Texas Economic Corridor Owned by Indiana Finance Associations Association (CTEC) Authority and the Indiana Toll Road Concession Company Website www.i-39logisticscorridor.com www.wisconsinhighways.org www.centraltexas.org www.getizoom.com Database Site and Building Marketing Found in the following publications: Illinois Real Estate Journal Chicago Industrial Properties Northern Illinois Real Estate Ball State University 8 April 2011
These four examples are not recommendations, nor are they ing expansion or relocation within the corridor. The Indiana Toll clearly important options for the region. They instead represent Road Corridor at present has not developed a strategic focus. See the type of unrealized economic development opportunities Table 2. which exist along the Indiana Toll Road. Correlations and causations Benchmarking: While certain findings and conclusions presented here and elsewhere within this report identify certain correlations—such Initial Findings and Conclusions as economic growth in a corridor with a clearly delineated stra- tegic focus—this report and others of its nature suggest nor con- Highway transportation corridors present bona fide opportu- clude any causation between these correlations. See Table 3. nities for successful collaboration among economic development stakeholders within the corridors. Areas for additional study This report concludes first that the Indiana Toll Road corridor Selected Comparisons Among Corridors is similar to other highway transportation corridors around which While existing corridor-focused economic development ini- collaborative economic development initiatives have resulted in tiatives vary significantly in such areas as (1) the clarity with the development of resources that may precede economic devel- which they articulate strategic areas of focus, (2) the organiza- opment success. tional structures around which they mobilize, (3) the popula- An example is the detailed logistics support and economic data, tions and economic bases of corridor regions, (4) the resources building and site availability, and economic and demographic data they provide to potential investors, (5) the populations within and information available on the I-39 Logistics Corridor Web site the defined regions (6), U.S. and international regions, (7) the (http://www.i39logistics.com/ ) might help business investors and integration of the highway corridor with alternative transpor- developers make informed decisions concerning the likelihood tation modes, (8) apparent levels of success, and (9) funding for success of a logistics investment within the corridor. sources and levels as well as a other important characteris- Additionally, Indiana Toll Road corridor economic develop- tics, leveraging resources to attract investment and economic ment stakeholders can be expected to benefit from collaborative activity around transportation corridors represents an area of endeavors with the purpose of exploring common economic opportunity supported by longitudinal economic studies and development opportunities supported by targeted corridor scholarly published research, as well the more qualitative mea- benchmarking efforts focused on areas of common interest, and sures of enhanced business development resources created by with further support of unbiased economic research. collaborative endeavors, such as providing meaningful industry data to targeted business sectors. Among the four corridors studied more intensively Figure 4 Summary and Conclusions In accordance with the scope of work and contract, the find- for this report, the Indiana Toll Road corridor is near the mean ings of this review of corridor studies offer an exceptionally terse length at 157 miles (studied corridors ranged from 37 to 323 overview of key economic opportunities available across the Indi- miles), population (1.3 million); is the lowest of the four in ana Toll Road corridor. Many of the recommendations contained per capita personal income ($34,347 vs. $36,991, $37,753, and within this study reflect activities performed by communities $49,480) and offers the potential for connection with the most and economic development regions. Few, if any, are performed number of railroads (nine, vs. seven, four, and two) as described in a coordinated effort across the entire toll road region. This in Table 2. The Toll Road also offers the fewest number of exits alone represents a major conclusion across the dozens of studies at 20 (vs. 26, 61, and 75). Like three of the four corridors stud- reviewed – a regional coordinating body, of some type, is viewed ies, it is contained entirely within one state, but unlike any other as highly important to achieving regional economic development studied, it borders three other states. goals. The scope and function of these groups vary greatly. At the micro-level we find a number of activities that are not Strategic opportunity delineation performed across the region. As one example, the research find- Two of the corridors under study, I-39 and I-43, were focused ings suggest scale economies in entrepreneurial and technology exclusively on the logistics sector for investment and develop- based incubators exist across regions. The presence of a large ment; the Central Texas Economic Corridor professes to provide research university with internationally recognized technology a set of services and assistance broadly to companies consider- Center for Business and Economic Research 9 April 2011
Table 3. Corridor Summary Health Transportation Finance & Unemployment Manufacturing Care, Social & Warehousing Insurance Rate (2009) Assistance Per Capita (2009*) (2009) Population (2009) Corridor Personal Income (2009) 2009 % of all jobs % of all jobs % of all jobs % of all jobs (2008) July 2009 to Average wage/job Average wage/job Average wage/job Average wage/job August 2010 5.7-15.0 5.3-31.2 0.6-9.3 3.0-17.6 1.9-13.5 1-39 1,498,179 $37,753.40 5.7-16.1 $31,488-$52,868 $29,773-$50,094 $18,355-$45,775 $25,936-$79,850 7.4-12.5 11.3-33.5 0.3-5.8 8.7-18.2 2.1-7.4 1-43 2,132,196 $40,479.89 7.0-10.9 $40,725-$56,042 $33,448-$52,441 $31,883-$47,541 $35,648-$69,920 Central 6.7-8.4 2.8-6.4 1.8-3.9 0.2-19.1 3.0-3.7 258,316 $36,990.75 Texas 7.8-9.5 $40,220-$41,413 $41,156-$50,110 $35,364-$45,139 $31,167-$41,449 Indiana 9.2-17.5 12.4-41.3 0.2-3.7 10.0-16.2 1.3-3.5 1,307,770 $34,347.12 Roll Rd. 9.2-17.1 $37,323-$66,530 $39,393-$54,193 $37,117-$42,046 $32,899-$63,873 Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics activities invites the observation that it be used to centralize key Clower and Weinstein 2006. Impacts of Toll Roads on the Regional incubator activities across the region. Economy: Suggested Measures. Center for Economic Development The leverage of state and national policy toward the region is and research, University of North Texas. likewise an important consideration apparent in the research. Comer and Finchum 2001. Business Impacts of Highway Bypasses. This is especially true for such a large, regionally important cor- Applied Geography Conferences, Inc. Volume 24, pages 235-243. ridor. Thus, the synchronization of large regional development Crowley and Spry 2004. Assessing the Impact of Monopoly Toll Road efforts from federal agencies along with statewide infrastructure Service Areas. Eastern Economic Journal, Vol. 30, No. 3, Summer planning (e.g. intermodal) offers an important and untapped 2004. opportunity. Department of Planning and Community Development Bureau of In the end, this research was designed to answer one specific Planning 2005. Martin Luther King Jr. Drive Corridor Transportation question: Do untapped economic development opportunities exist Study. along Indiana’s toll road? Our research unambiguously tells us Donnelly 2009. Dulles Corridor Metrorail Project. Policy Perspectives, that they do. Spring 2009 Volume 16. Pages 57-78. Enright 2007. The Public vs. Private Toll Road Choice in the United List of Selected References States. Abidin and Sihombing 2009. Toll Road Infrastructure Length and Ernst & Young Transaction Advisory Services Limited 2008. The Eco- Productivity Growth: Evidence from the Java Island Goods-Producing nomic Contribution of Sydney’s Toll Roads to NSW and Australia. Sector. Bali, Indonesia. The 4th International Conference on Business Fehr and Peers 2006. Highway 101 Greenbrae Corridor: Existing and Management Research. Transportation Issues, Opportunities and Constraints. Transportation Arias 2001. Rural Highway 94 Corridor Study. San Diego Association of Authority of Marin. Governments. Felsburg Holt and Ullevig, RDG Planning & Design, Jane Mobley Asso- Beckwith and Weisbrod 1992. Measuring Economic Development Ben- ciates, BHC Rhodes and Kaup & Shultz 2009. US 69 Corridor Study, efits for Highway Decision-making: The Wisconsin Case. Transporta- KDOT, Fort Scott, Bourbon County. tion Quarterly, Vol. 46, No.1, January 1992. Florida Gulf Coast University, Lutgert College of Business, Regional Bergmann Associates, Fisher Associates and Steinmetz Planning Group Economic Research Institute Southwest Florida Regional Business 2009 Routes 96 & 318 Rural Corridor Study. Ontario & Seneca Coun- Incubator Planning Study. ties, NY. Hamilton 2004. “High-tech Transportation Corridors are in Vogue: Chesterfield County, Community Development Division, Office of Proposed Federal Transportation Policy Amendments.” Albany Law Revitalization 2008. Jefferson Davis Corridor: Revitalization Program Journal of Science & Technology. 14 Alb. L.J. Sci. & Tech. 359 and Analysis. Ball State University 10 April 2011
Hicks 2006. “Transportation and Infrastructure, Retail Clustering and RBCI and CH2M Hill 2010. Idaho Transportation Department Idaho 8 Local Public Finance: Evidence from Wal-Mart’s Expansion,” Eco- Corridor Study Stakeholder Survey Summary. nomic Development Journal RDG Planning and Design 2008. Lincoln Highway Special Corridor Hicks et. al. 2003. “I-64 High-Technology Corridor.” The Regional Study: Story County, Iowa. Economic Review. Marshall University’s Center for Business and Regional Plan Association 2007 Rockland County Tappan Zee Corridor Economic Research. Transit-Oriented Development Study. Highway 7&8 Transportation Corridor Planning and Class EA Study: Suffolk County Department of Planning 2008. Sunrise Highway Cor- Overview of the Study Process. January 2010. Exhibit 2.1. ridor Study: Islip Town and Brookhaven Town, Suffolk County, New Hodges 2007. Toll Road Leasing Programs: Ready to Roll? York. Ilkka, Rosen, Kotila 2008. County Highway 17, Trunk Highway 13 Cor- The US Agency for International Development and National Tourism ridor Study. Scott County, MN. Mn/DOT. SEH Inc. Prganization of Serbia, Serbia Pamphlet. Illinois Department of Transportation 2003. Illinois 336 Peoria to U.S. 1 Corridor Master Plan, Titusville, Florida. Macomb Corridor Study. URS 2006. Military Highway-Comprehensive Plan for the Military High- Isaac et. al. 2008. City of Lynnwood Highway 99 Corridor Study Adopted way Corridor District. Strategies. URS Corporation-North Carolina, Gibson Engineers, PC, Martin James White Parkway—Chapman Highway Corridor Study Task Alekiou Bryson, PLLC, Simon Resources, Inc. 2010 US 64 Corridor Force, Knox County Metropolitan Planning Commission, Knoxville Study Wake and Chatham Counties Corridor Study Report. Regional Transportation Planning Organization 2005. James White US Department of Transportation Federal Highway Administration Parkway Extension Recommendation. 2006 Highway Economic Requirements System-State: The Indiana Johnson et al 2007. Toll Road Privatization Transactions: The Chicago Experience. Skyway and Indiana Toll Road. School of Public and Environmental USF Office of Economic Development and College of Business Admin- Affairs, IU. istration 1998. Florida’s High Technology Corridor I-4. J-Quad and Associates and Stanland and Associates 2001. South Dallas/ Fair Park Economic Development Corridor Plan. Lakshmanan et. al. Highway Development Corridors: Growth Along US Interstate Highways. Landform 2007. Highway 7 Corridor Study and Small Area Plan. City of Hutchinson, MN LaPorte County Transportation Planning Group 2007. Economic Devel- opment Corridor Feasibility Study. Laurentian Vision Partnership 2009. Aurora-Ely Economic Development Corridor Hoyt Lakes-Babbitt Connection. LECG 2006. Economic Benefits of Toll Roads Operated by the Transpor- tation Corridor Agencies. Emeryville, California Moving Minnesota, Minnesota Department of Transportation, Dakota County, Rosemount MN 2002. Highway 52/42/55 Interchange and Highway 55 Regional Corridor Study. NW Financial Group, LLC 2006. Then there were two…Indiana Toll Road vs. Chicago Skyway Perry 2002. Review of Economic Development Impacts of Transporta- tion Improvement: Two and Four Lane Corridors. MoDot Research, Development and technology transfer Prozzi et al 2006 Guidebook for Identifying, Measuring and Mitigating Environmental Justice Impacts of Toll Roads Raytown, Kansas City, MARC and MoDot 2007. 350 Highway Blue Parkway Corridor Plan. Center for Business and Economic Research 11 April 2011
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