Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar - When all disaggregation routes lead to the core - Niral Networks
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Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar When all disaggregation routes lead to the core Stéphane Téral | April 2021
2021 research published so far 2 Reports Date Stéphane Téral’s Perspective: A Few Predictions for 2021 January 12 Stéphane Téral’s Perspective: With Netsia, Juniper Networks builds a RIC-centric January 22 RAN orchestration domain, making RIC more exoteRIC Network Transformation Report: Impact of 5G and cloud services on January 28 transformation of telecom networks Stéphane Téral’s Perspective: Slow 5G rollouts and a flawed business model are February 2 why the Angry Birds did not Hatch! 4Q20 & FY20 Wireless Infrastructure February 25 Disaggregated Open Routers March 29 Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Although this report solely focuses on next gen wireless 3 networks, it paves the way for further research Image source: UfiSpace Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Disaggregating the cellular network 4 From the cell site gateway (CSG) to the core router Disaggregation, the splitting of network elements into smaller parts, helps service providers break down their vertical service silos and enable the use of cheaper white box devices that work with other vendors' software CSG in 4G C-RAN CSG in 2G/3G/4G architecture D-RAN architecture Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
We see 4 disaggregation routes 5 Routes 1, 2 and 3 are the most common ones so far 1. Separation of hardware from software as pioneered by Google in its own data centers a decade ago 2. Hardware disaggregation through dedicated and distributed white boxes, named distributed disaggregated chassis (DDC) white box architecture adopted by AT&T 3. NOS disaggregation through modular elements or functions within the OS that can act independently from other containerized functions 4. Control plane decoupling from a carrier-grade provider’s edge routing platform and moving it to general compute servers to serve consumers and enterprise customers from the same platform • This is what Verizon did with Cisco and Juniper Networks in the 2018-2019 timeframe to replace its legacy edge routers entirely. Verizon is now running software defined networking (SDN)-based multi- service edge platforms, which use a disaggregated control plane and external compute to enhance its capabilities beyond those of a traditional router Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Route 1: hardware/software separation 6 Accton is an original design manufacturer (ODM) Disaggregation mainly focuses on separating the hardware from the network operating system (NOS) and then putting the NOS on white boxes BUT it can also include disaggregating the software itself in order to only deploy the software that's needed on a device. That way, service providers are only paying for the pieces or elements of the software that they actually need. Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Another look at route 1 options 7 From one integrated piece to several pieces that need tight integration Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Route 2 and 3: DDC and NOS disaggregation 9/27/2019: AT&T submits its DDC white box architecture to OCP with networking silicon Broadcom’s Jericho2 8 9/28/2020: AT&T deploys disaggregated open core routers Fully optimized for 400Gbs interfaces required in AT&T’s IP backbone upgrade for 5G: 1. A line card system supports 40 x 100G client ports, plus 13 400G fabric-facing ports. 2. A line card system supports 10 x 400G client ports, plus 13 400G fabric-facing ports. 3. A fabric system supports 48 x 400G ports. A smaller, 24 x 400G, fabric systems is also included. 2020 deployments with: • Hardware: UfiSpace • NOS: DriveNets • Silicon: Broadcom Jericho2 Image source: Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
And all this leads to a broad ecosystem 9 It’s all you can eat, feel free to build your own DOR kit! Software Hardware Silicon Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
CSPs are cautiously optimistic BUT want to see 10 more maturity and the full benefits • Only AT&T is convinced! Core was their 1st use case: Chris Rice, former SVP of Network Infrastructure & Cloud: “We’re entering an era where 100G simply can’t handle all of the new demands on our network. Designing a class of routers that can operate at 400G is critical to supporting the massive bandwidth demands that will come with 5G and fiber-based broadband services. We’re confident these specifications will set an industry standard for DDC white box architecture that other service providers will adopt and embrace.” DCSG Aggregation Core Drivers Eliminate vendor lock in, lower capex and cost per bit Lower opex unproven, OA&M Challenges 5G topologies, IAB Reliability Legacy support Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
LightCounting’s DOR sizing and forecasting 11 methodology is built on our DCSG model Service Providers’ Cell sites collection DCSG rollout plans CSG to cell site ratio CSG replacement rate DCSG adoption rate CSG footprint LightCounting DCSG Size & Forecast Inputs from: Aggregation - DCSG/DOR vendor ecosystem Size & Forecast - Established vendors Core Size & Forecast Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Our model produced a universe of half a million 12 CSGs to be potentially replaced with a DCSG Caveat: China has no appetite for disaggregation and therefore is excluded Primary drivers: Eliminate vendor lock in, abundance of NOS suppliers Secondary driver: Find alternatives to Chinese vendors Inhibitors: Integration costs, 5G topologies, 3GPP Rel. 16 IAB Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
The DOR market is taking off and is here to stay 13 BUT it requires more CSPs to take the plunge and drive volumes DCSG = low hanging fruit with largest volumes Aggregation = largest opportunity Core = high end market * Traditional routers used at cell sites and for cell site aggregation DOR sales excluding DCSGs Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Report is available at Lightcounting.com 14 Written analysis of DOR architectures and emerging vendor ecosystem. Excel spreadsheet tracks white box hardware units and sales, and software sales. Regions: North America, Europe Middle East Africa, Asia Pacific, and Caribbean Latin America. 5-year market forecast. Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
2021 Research Publication Calendar: Wireless Reports Description Date 15 Network Transformation Report Service provider survey about their major network transformation projects Jan 28 4Q20 & FY20 Wireless Infrastructure Quarterly 2G/3G/4G/5G Market size, shares and regional 5-year forecast Feb 25 Disaggregated Open Routers Ecosystem analysis with market size and regional 5-year forecast Mar 29 China Wireless Infrastructure FY20 Bi-annual update on what’s happening in China, including economics, geopolitics, and wireless April 15 market size, share and forecast Japan Wireless Infrastructure FY20 Bi-annual Update on what’s happening in Japan, including economics, wireless market size, share Apr 30 and forecast 1Q21 Wireless Infrastructure Quarterly 2G/3G/4G/5G Market size, shares and regional 5-year forecast May 27 vRAN and Open RAN Market Update Ecosystem analysis with market size, shares, and regional 5-year forecast Jun 24 5G Core & Service-based Architecture Ecosystem analysis with market size, shares, and forecast broken down by network function Jul 29 2Q21 Wireless Infrastructure Quarterly 2G/3G/4G/5G Market size, shares and regional 5-year forecast Aug 26 China Wireless Infrastructure 1H21 Bi-annual update on what’s happening in China, including economics, geopolitics, and wireless Sep 16 market size, share and forecast Japan Wireless Infrastructure 1H21 Bi-annual Update on what’s happening in Japan, including economics, wireless market size, share Sep 30 and forecast Network Automation: SON, RIC, SD-RAN Ecosystem analysis with market size, shares, and regional 5-year forecast Oct 28 3Q21 Wireless Infrastructure Quarterly 2G/3G/4G/5G Market size, shares and regional 5-year forecast Dec 2 Disaggregated cell site gateways (DCSG) Ecosystem analysis with market size, shares, and regional 5-year forecast Dec 16 Stéphane Téral’s Perspective Ongoing insightful powerful research notes about major events and facts occurring in the industry n/a Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
Meet with LightCounting at Live and Virtual Events 16 360O Network Automation China SDN/NFV/AI Network Automation Mobile World Congress - Virtual Conference - Beijing and AI - Virtual Congress - Barcelona April 12-14, 2021 April 14-15, 2021 April 20-21, 2021 June 28-July 1, 2021 Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
LightCounting Contacts 17 Research: Vlad Kozlov – Vlad@lightcounting.com John Lively – John@lightcounting.com Stéphane Téral – Stephane@lightcounting.com Roy Rubenstein – Roy@lightcounting.com Becky Bosco – Becky@lightcounting.com Tom William – Tom@lightcounting.com Stelyana Baleva – Stelyana@lightcounting.com Takehito Ichida – Takehito.Ichida@takanalytics.com Zhou Xue – Zhou@lightcounting.com Client Services: George Stojsavljevic – George@lightcounting.com Takashi Kimura – Takashi.Kimura@takanalytics.com Debbie Lv – Debbie@lightcounting.com Disaggregated Open Routers Webinar | April 2021
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THE NAME ALONE IS WHAT SETS US APART AND WHAT DEFINES US AS A COMPANY. Seventeen years ago, LightCounting began with an analyst team focused on research for high-speed interconnects for the datacom, telecom, and consumer communications markets. From that time our research team has grown to cover the whole supply chain supporting Optical Networks and Datacenters. In early 2020, we added coverage of the global Wireless Infrastructure market as well. We have been defining and refining the market intelligence mix ever since, to offer our clients a unique perspective on the industry landscape ahead and a clear roadmap to navigate it with. THAT’S OUR MARKET INTELLIGENCE. THAT’S HOW IT HELPS OUR CLIENTS GROW.
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