COVID-19 vaccine development
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WHO Target Product Profile for COVID vaccines Vaccine Characteristic WHO preferred outbreak criteria (partial) Target population All ages. Suitable for pregnant/lactating women Safety / Reactogenicity Sufficient to provide highly favourable benefit/risk profile Protective efficacy At least 70 % efficacy against disease, severe disease or transmission/shedding Duration of protection Minimum 1 year Co-administration Standalone Dose regimen Single-dose primary series. Lower frequency (yearly or less) of booster doses Route of administration Non-parenteral Product stability & storage Higher storage temperatures and higher thermostability
Pipeline of COVID-19 vaccine candidates by development stage and technology platform Date: 14 October 2020 * • Exploratory: project has not started with in-vivo testing • Preclinical: project started to test in-vivo / manufacture CTM but not yet started with testing on human • Start of clinical phases is defined as first subject dosed 3
Date: 15 October 2020 COVID-19 current vaccine clinical development pipeline COVAX-funded Phase II/III and Phase I Phase I/II Phase II Phase III Shenzhen Merck Wantai / U.HK Shenzhen Gamaleya AstraZeneca GIMI - aAPC TMV-083 LAIV DelNS11 GIMI - LV rAd5, rAd26 3 AZD12225 Viral vectors ReiThera Vaxart Cansino Janssen Srl - GRAd-COV2 VXA-CoV2-1 Ad5 2 Ad26.COV2-S6 Walvax Imperial CureVac Moderna Biotech mRNA saRNA CVnCoV mRNA-1273 RNA Arcturus Pfizer ARCT-021 BNT1625 Genexine Inovio GX-19 INO-4800 DNA Osaka / Cadila AnGes - AG0301 ZyCoV-D VLP Sichuan Vaxine Medigen FBRI SRC SpyBio / SII Anhui Zhifei Novavax Medicago RBD Covax-19 MVC-CO EpiVacCorona VLP-Spycatcher Recombinant NVX-CoV2373 Protein- based Covaxx U.Q Clover Finlay Sanofi / GSK UB-612 SClamp SCB-2019 Soberana 01 Recombinant Bharat IMB CNBG, Sinovac BBV 152 CAMS WIBP 4 Biotech Inactivated RIBSP CNBG, QazCovid-in BIBP 4 1 U.HK programme distinct from CEPI-funded programme 2 Cansino has been approved for military use in China 3 Gamaleya (rAd5, rAd26) has been conditionally registered in Russia 4 Emergency use approval in China and UAE 5 Under regulatory rolling review 4 6 Under study Pause
Immunogenicity Moderna - mRNA Novavax protein + matrix M • Candidate vaccines show binding antibody • Varying degrees of virus neutralization • Cellular responses Th1 oriented • Some candidates show reduced immunogenicity in Janssen – Ad26 elderly 6
Comparison of humoral immunogenicity assays Oxford/ CanSino Gamelaya Janssen Moderna Pfizer/ Pfizer/ Pfizer / Novavax Sinovac WIBP AZ Institute BioNTech BioNTech BioNTech 1 2 3 Technology Recombinant adenovirus particles RNA in liquid nanoparticles Protein in Inactivated SARS-CoV-2 adjuvant Antigen Spike Spike Spike Spike Spike RBD RBD Spike Spike Whole virus Whole virus SARS-CoV-2 Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-Hu-1 Not reported Wuhan- Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-Hu-1 Wuhan-CN2 Wuhan- Strain / WIV04 (pre- WIV04 isolate* clinical); Wuhan-Hu-1 (clinical)** Assay/ ELISA / ELISA / ELISA / ELISA / ELISA/ Luminex/ Luminex/ Luminex/ ELISA / ELISA / ELISA / antigen Spike RBD RBD & S1 Spike Spike & RBD RBD RBD S1 Spike RBD whole virus Neutralizing Live virus and Live virus and Live virus Live virus Live virus and Neo-Green Neo-Green Neo-Green Live virus (CPE) Live virus (CPE) Live virus antibody assay pseudotyped pseudotyped pseudotyped reporter assay reporter assay reporter assay modality virus virus virus Neutralizing Germany Wuhan_IME- Moscow_PMVL Australia/Vic01 Washington- Washington- Washington- Washington- Washington- Not reported Wuhan/ antibody assay BavPat1/2020 BJ1 & Wuhan-1 -1/2020 /2020 1/Seattle & 1/Seattle 1/Seattle 1/Seattle 1/Seattle AMMSO1 strain(s) isolate & Wuhan-1 Wuhan-1 Cell substrate* HEK293, Vero Huh7, 293T Vero Vero-E6 293T Vero Vero Vero Vero Not reported Vero Reference IH-CS None reported IH-CS IH-CS IH-CS IH-CS IH-CS IH-CS IH-CS None reported None reported reagents** Other No reports on ADCC or other functional antibody assays involving Fc receptor engagement 7 * Most cell lines are kidney epithelial cells from AGMs; no reports of airway epithelial cells being used **IH-CS: ‘in-house’ panel of convalescent sera; note no common panels or reagents used
Implications for data comparability and prioritization ‘wish list’ 1. Humoral immunogenicity – all groups reporting data with in-house panels of convalescent sera • Must have data with reference material (NIBSC antibody standard) • For both, binding and neutralizing abs • Could agree on a global panel of common viral isolates • Washington-1/Seattle • Wuhan-1 • Victoria (used in CEPI Centralized Labs) 2. Cellular immunogencity • ELISPOT – most groups reporting gIFN • ICS – no uniform comparison of cytokines (TH1 vs TH2) The Netherlands UK India Canada Italy USA Bangladesh 8
Summary of Vaccine Safety • Reactogenicity profile acceptable (in some trials, an increased reactogenicity was present post 2nd dose) • No clinically relevant safety signals communicated to date • Importance of thorough and consistent safety monitoring (some clinical trials temporarily on hold for routine safety assessments) • Long(er) term safety F/U in ongoing Ph3 trials important à monitor for potential vaccine-mediated enhanced disease (VMED) • Risk management strategy: continue safety surveillance post licensure – align / coordinate internationally 9
Efficacy trials - analysis elements From publicly available efficacy trial protocols Element Moderna BNT/Pfizer AZ (US trial) Janssen Primary efficacy First occurrence of COVID-19: Confirmed COVID-19 : First occurrence of COVID-19: First occurrence of COVID-19: objective/ endpoint a. Positive RT-PCR AND a. Positive RT-PCR or other NAAT# a. Positive RT-PCR a. Positive RT-PCR or other b. At least 1 of: cough, SOB, or AND b. At least 1 of: Pneumonia (CXR/ molecular test AND clinical/ radiographic pneumonia b. At least 1 of: fever, cough, SOB, CT); SPO2 ≤ 94% or need for b. Moderate COVID-19 (Any 1 of OR chills, muscle pain, sore throat, O2; SOB OR RR>20/min; abnormal SpO2 > c. At least 2 of: fever, chills, myalgia, anosmia/ageusia, diarrhea & c. At least 2 of fever; cough; 93%; pneumonia; DVT; SOB headache, sore throat, olfactory & vomiting myalgia; fatigue; OR Any 2 of fever, chills/rigors, taste disorder A 2nd definition with extra symptoms: vomiting/diarrhea*; cough, malaise, headache, fatigue, headache, congested/runny anosmia/ageusia* myalgia, GI symptoms, nose & nausea anosmia/aguesia, limb rashes) OR c. Severe/critical COVID-19 VE from 14 days post dose 2 onwards 7 days post dose 2 onwards 15 days post dose 2 onwards 14 days post dose 2 onwards Stratification on Only seronegatives in primary VE 2 primary endpoints – a. without Only seronegatives in primary VE Only seronegatives in efficacy baseline serostatus analysis; Separate analysis for evidence of past infection & b. analysis; Separate analysis for analysis seropositives with/without past infection seropositives Age range Age-based analysis: 18-64 & ≥ 65 16-55 & > 55 (~ 40 % of total Stratified randomisation: 18-55; 56- Stratified enrolment: 18-59 YO & ≥ enrolment [No age-based efficacy 69 & ≥ 70; age-based analysis 60 YO (minimum 30%). Age- based analysis described] planned, no details analysis secondary # - nucleic acid amplification test * - only one finding to be counted toward endpoint definition 10
Efficacy trials - analysis elements From publicly available efficacy trial protocols Element Moderna BNT/Pfizer AZ (US trial) Janssen Target VE & LB 95% ≥ 60% & >30% ≥ 60% & >30% ≥ 50% & >30% ≥ 50% & >30% CI (minimum 5 cases in placebo) Maximum n (V:P) 30,000 (1:1) 43,998 (1:1) 30,000 (2:1) 60,000 (1:1) Analysis population • All doses received • All doses received • At least one dose received • Receive study vaccine for primary endpoint • No significant PDs • No significant PDs • Not seropositive • Seronegative • No evidence of infection or All-available efficacy: All eligible • Not withdrawn or no COVID-19 • No major protocol deviation COVID-19 at baseline randomised subjects 1. Received at before Day 15 post dose 2 least 1 dose; 2. Received both doses VE analysis method Cox-proportional hazard Beta-binomial model Poisson regression model Sequential probability ratio test No. of IAs planned 2 4 1 Continuous sequential analysis Cases needed for 151 164 150 154 VE IAs planned at no. of First: 53 First: 32; Second: 62; First: 75 From 20th event at least once week cases Second: 106 Third : 92; Fourth: 120 monitoring pre-specified criteria* to trigger VE analysis * - First 50% participants 2 months of follow-up; minimum of 6 COVID-19 cases for the ≥60 years; At least 20 cases meeting the primary endpoint definition of moderate to severe/critical COVID-19; at least 5 cases meeting the primary endpoint definition of severe/critical COVID19 11
ACT-ACCELERATOR & COVAX 12
Access to COVID-19 tools ACCESS ACCESS TOTO COVID-19 COVID-19 TOOLS TOOLS (ACT) (ACT) ACCELERATOR ACCELERATOR (ACT) accelerator A Global A Global Collaboration Collaboration to Accelerate to the Accelerate Development,the Development, Production Production and Equitable COVID-19 diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines Equitable Access to New COVID-19 diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines and Access to New VACCINES DIAGNOSTICS THERAPEUTICS (COVAX) Development & Manufacturing Led by CEPI, with industry CEPI is pursuing a range We are founding partners of approaches to help of the ACT (Access to Procurement and delivery at scale overcome these challenges Covid-19 Tools) accelerator, Led by Gavi and increase global access a global coalition to to any future COVID-19 accelerate the development, Policy and allocation vaccine production of and equitable Led by WHO access to new Covid-19 diagnostics, therapeutics Key players and vaccines 13 SOURCE: (ACT) ACCELERATOR Commitment and Call to Action 24 April 2020 th
COVAX goals • To develop the largest and most diverse actively managed portfolio of vaccine candidates so that the best vaccines are made available and the world has access to the best science • To deliver 2 billion doses by end of 2021 • To guarantee fair and equitable access to COVID-19 vaccines for every country in the world 14
181 countries have now joined COVAX World’s largest Speed premium Equitable access and most diverse global procurement based on fair portfolio of Vx to share risks allocation candidates 15
Many companies are selling doses to high income countries, risking access for the rest of the world 16 Date: 23 September 2020
Manufacturing To deliver 2 billion doses by the end of 2021, 2-3 successful programmes are needed to: 1 Produce early doses to support clinical studies 2 Scale up processes to industrial scale before clinical trials begin 3 Scale-out products in different countries to expand capacity 1 4 Stockpile vaccines in bulk in 7 anticipation of dose level definition Anticipate projects failing during 5 clinical development Repurpose facilities for successful 6 products, if needed
Concluding thoughts • Rapid progress in vaccine development globally • Multiple efficacy studies ongoing around the world • Manufacturing at scale and tech transfer just beginning • Many challenges still to face, especially for low resource settings • Two doses likely needed for first vaccines • Data in other populations (children, immunosuppressed, pregnant women) • Cold chain requirements • Durability and need for booster vx unknown • Pharmacovigilance • Regulatory approvals for use in all countries • Delivery and introduction CONCLUSIONS 18 • Promising immunogenicity data for the vaccine portfolio
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