COVID-19 vaccine development

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COVID-19 vaccine development
COVID-19 vaccine development

                               October 2020
COVID-19 vaccine development
WHO Target Product Profile for COVID vaccines
Vaccine Characteristic        WHO preferred outbreak criteria (partial)
Target population             All ages. Suitable for pregnant/lactating women

Safety / Reactogenicity       Sufficient to provide highly favourable benefit/risk profile

Protective efficacy           At least 70 % efficacy against disease, severe disease or
                              transmission/shedding
Duration of protection        Minimum 1 year
Co-administration             Standalone

Dose regimen                  Single-dose primary series.
                              Lower frequency (yearly or less) of booster doses
Route of administration       Non-parenteral

Product stability & storage   Higher storage temperatures and higher thermostability
COVID-19 vaccine development
Pipeline of COVID-19 vaccine candidates by development stage and technology platform                                         Date: 14 October 2020

                        *

              •   Exploratory: project has not started with in-vivo testing
              •   Preclinical: project started to test in-vivo / manufacture CTM but not yet started with testing on human
              •   Start of clinical phases is defined as first subject dosed                                                            3
COVID-19 vaccine development
Date: 15 October 2020
                 COVID-19 current vaccine clinical development pipeline
                                                                                                                                                                 COVAX-funded

                                                                                                                                                                      Phase II/III and
                                                                         Phase I                                        Phase I/II              Phase II
                                                                                                                                                                         Phase III
                                           Shenzhen                     Merck           Wantai / U.HK    Shenzhen                                           Gamaleya            AstraZeneca
                                           GIMI - aAPC                 TMV-083          LAIV DelNS11     GIMI - LV                                          rAd5, rAd26 3        AZD12225
                   Viral vectors
                                           ReiThera                      Vaxart                                                                                Cansino             Janssen
                                        Srl - GRAd-COV2                VXA-CoV2-1                                                                               Ad5 2            Ad26.COV2-S6

                                                                           Walvax                                       Imperial               CureVac       Moderna
                                                                       Biotech mRNA                                      saRNA                 CVnCoV        mRNA-1273
                        RNA
                                                                                                                       Arcturus                                 Pfizer
                                                                                                                      ARCT-021                                 BNT1625

                                                                                                           Genexine              Inovio
                                                                                                            GX-19              INO-4800
                        DNA
                                                                                                            Osaka /                 Cadila
                                                                                                        AnGes - AG0301             ZyCoV-D

                                       VLP                 Sichuan           Vaxine         Medigen     FBRI SRC            SpyBio / SII     Anhui Zhifei     Novavax
                                       Medicago            RBD               Covax-19       MVC-CO      EpiVacCorona        VLP-Spycatcher   Recombinant    NVX-CoV2373
                      Protein-
                       based           Covaxx              U.Q                Clover                    Finlay              Sanofi / GSK
                                       UB-612              SClamp             SCB-2019                  Soberana 01         Recombinant

                                                                                                            Bharat                   IMB                        CNBG,               Sinovac
                                                                                                           BBV 152                  CAMS                        WIBP 4              Biotech
                    Inactivated
                                                                                                            RIBSP                                               CNBG,
                                                                                                          QazCovid-in                                           BIBP 4
1 U.HK programme distinct from CEPI-funded programme
2 Cansino has been approved for military use in China
3 Gamaleya (rAd5, rAd26) has been conditionally registered in Russia
4 Emergency use approval in China and UAE
5 Under regulatory rolling review
                                                                                                                                                                                              4
6 Under study Pause
COVID-19 vaccine development
Clinical Data

                5
COVID-19 vaccine development
Immunogenicity                Moderna - mRNA          Novavax protein + matrix M

• Candidate vaccines show
  binding antibody

• Varying degrees of virus
  neutralization

• Cellular responses Th1
  oriented

• Some candidates show
  reduced immunogenicity in                    Janssen – Ad26
  elderly

                                                                       6
COVID-19 vaccine development
Comparison of humoral immunogenicity assays
                  Oxford/            CanSino          Gamelaya          Janssen          Moderna           Pfizer/          Pfizer/          Pfizer /        Novavax             Sinovac                WIBP
                    AZ                                Institute                                           BioNTech         BioNTech         BioNTech
                                                                                                              1                2                3
 Technology                        Recombinant adenovirus particles                                        RNA in liquid nanoparticles                         Protein in          Inactivated SARS-CoV-2
                                                                                                                                                               adjuvant

  Antigen            Spike              Spike            Spike             Spike            Spike             RBD              RBD             Spike             Spike          Whole virus        Whole virus

 SARS-CoV-2       Wuhan-Hu-1         Wuhan-Hu-1       Not reported       Wuhan-          Wuhan-Hu-1       Wuhan-Hu-1       Wuhan-Hu-1       Wuhan-Hu-1       Wuhan-Hu-1         Wuhan-CN2               Wuhan-
   Strain /                                                            WIV04 (pre-                                                                                                                      WIV04
   isolate*                                                              clinical);
                                                                       Wuhan-Hu-1
                                                                       (clinical)**

  Assay/            ELISA /            ELISA /          ELISA /           ELISA /           ELISA/         Luminex/         Luminex/         Luminex/           ELISA /            ELISA /          ELISA /
  antigen            Spike              RBD            RBD & S1            Spike         Spike & RBD         RBD              RBD               S1               Spike              RBD            whole virus

 Neutralizing     Live virus and     Live virus and     Live virus       Live virus      Live virus and     Neo-Green        Neo-Green        Neo-Green      Live virus (CPE)   Live virus (CPE)     Live virus
antibody assay    pseudotyped        pseudotyped                                         pseudotyped      reporter assay   reporter assay   reporter assay
   modality            virus              virus                                               virus

 Neutralizing       Germany          Wuhan_IME-       Moscow_PMVL      Australia/Vic01   Washington-      Washington-      Washington-      Washington-       Washington-        Not reported         Wuhan/
antibody assay    BavPat1/2020      BJ1 & Wuhan-1       -1/2020            /2020         1/Seattle &       1/Seattle        1/Seattle        1/Seattle         1/Seattle                             AMMSO1
   strain(s)        isolate &                                                             Wuhan-1
                    Wuhan-1

Cell substrate*   HEK293, Vero        Huh7, 293T          Vero            Vero-E6            293T             Vero             Vero             Vero              Vero           Not reported            Vero

  Reference           IH-CS          None reported        IH-CS            IH-CS             IH-CS            IH-CS            IH-CS            IH-CS             IH-CS         None reported      None reported
 reagents**

    Other                                                              No reports on ADCC or other functional antibody assays involving Fc receptor engagement
                                                                                                                                                                                                    7
                                                                     * Most cell lines are kidney epithelial cells from AGMs; no reports of airway epithelial cells being used
                                                                     **IH-CS: ‘in-house’ panel of convalescent sera; note no common panels or reagents used
COVID-19 vaccine development
Implications for data comparability and prioritization ‘wish list’
          1. Humoral immunogenicity – all groups reporting data with in-house panels of
          convalescent sera
          • Must have data with reference material (NIBSC antibody standard)
             • For both, binding and neutralizing abs
          • Could agree on a global panel of common viral isolates
             • Washington-1/Seattle
             • Wuhan-1
             • Victoria (used in CEPI Centralized Labs)

          2. Cellular immunogencity
               • ELISPOT – most groups reporting gIFN
               • ICS – no uniform comparison of cytokines (TH1 vs TH2)

                                                                 The Netherlands

                                                            UK                        India
                                                   Canada                     Italy
                                             USA
                                                                                              Bangladesh

                                                                                                           8
COVID-19 vaccine development
Summary of Vaccine Safety
• Reactogenicity profile acceptable (in some trials, an increased reactogenicity
  was present post 2nd dose)
• No clinically relevant safety signals communicated to date
• Importance of thorough and consistent safety monitoring (some clinical trials
  temporarily on hold for routine safety assessments)
• Long(er) term safety F/U in ongoing Ph3 trials important à monitor for
  potential vaccine-mediated enhanced disease (VMED)
• Risk management strategy: continue safety surveillance post licensure – align
  / coordinate internationally

                                                                           9
COVID-19 vaccine development
Efficacy trials - analysis elements
    From publicly available efficacy trial protocols
Element               Moderna                                        BNT/Pfizer                              AZ (US trial)                     Janssen
Primary efficacy      First occurrence of COVID-19:                  Confirmed COVID-19 :                    First occurrence of COVID-19:     First occurrence of COVID-19:
objective/ endpoint   a. Positive RT-PCR AND                         a. Positive RT-PCR or other NAAT#       a. Positive RT-PCR                a. Positive RT-PCR or other
                      b. At least 1 of: cough, SOB, or                  AND                                  b. At least 1 of: Pneumonia (CXR/       molecular test AND
                         clinical/ radiographic pneumonia            b. At least 1 of: fever, cough, SOB,          CT); SPO2 ≤ 94% or need for b. Moderate COVID-19 (Any 1 of
                         OR                                             chills, muscle pain, sore throat,          O2; SOB OR                        RR>20/min; abnormal SpO2 >
                      c. At least 2 of: fever, chills, myalgia,         anosmia/ageusia, diarrhea &          c. At least 2 of fever; cough;          93%; pneumonia; DVT; SOB
                         headache, sore throat, olfactory &             vomiting                                   myalgia; fatigue;                 OR Any 2 of fever, chills/rigors,
                         taste disorder                              A 2nd definition with extra symptoms:         vomiting/diarrhea*;               cough, malaise, headache,
                                                                     fatigue, headache, congested/runny            anosmia/ageusia*                  myalgia, GI symptoms,
                                                                     nose & nausea                                                                   anosmia/aguesia, limb rashes)
                                                                                                                                                     OR
                                                                                                                                               c.     Severe/critical COVID-19
VE from               14 days post dose 2 onwards                    7 days post dose 2 onwards              15 days post dose 2 onwards       14 days post dose 2 onwards
Stratification on     Only seronegatives in primary VE               2 primary endpoints – a. without        Only seronegatives in primary VE       Only seronegatives in efficacy
baseline serostatus   analysis; Separate analysis for                evidence of past infection & b.         analysis; Separate analysis for        analysis
                      seropositives                                  with/without past infection             seropositives
Age range             Age-based analysis: 18-64 & ≥ 65               16-55 & > 55 (~ 40 % of total           Stratified randomisation: 18-55; 56-   Stratified enrolment: 18-59 YO & ≥
                                                                     enrolment [No age-based efficacy        69 & ≥ 70; age-based analysis          60 YO (minimum 30%). Age- based
                                                                     analysis described]                     planned, no details                    analysis secondary

                                       # - nucleic acid amplification test
                                       * - only one finding to be counted toward endpoint definition

                                                                                                                                                                         10
Efficacy trials - analysis elements
    From publicly available efficacy trial protocols

Element            Moderna                                                    BNT/Pfizer                                                 AZ (US trial)                                             Janssen
Target VE & LB 95% ≥ 60% & >30%                                               ≥ 60% & >30%                                               ≥ 50% & >30%                                              ≥ 50% & >30%
CI                                                                                                                                                                                                 (minimum 5 cases in placebo)
Maximum n (V:P)      30,000 (1:1)                                             43,998 (1:1)                                               30,000 (2:1)                                              60,000 (1:1)

Analysis population •     All doses received                                  •    All doses received              •                           At least one dose received                          •     Receive study vaccine
for primary endpoint •    No significant PDs                                  •    No significant PDs              •                           Not seropositive                                    •     Seronegative
                     •    No evidence of infection or                         All-available efficacy: All eligible •                           Not withdrawn or no COVID-19                        •     No major protocol deviation
                          COVID-19 at baseline                                randomised subjects 1. Received at                               before Day 15 post dose 2
                                                                              least 1 dose; 2. Received both doses

VE analysis method Cox-proportional hazard                                    Beta-binomial model                                        Poisson regression model                                  Sequential probability ratio test
No. of IAs planned   2                                                        4                                                          1                                                         Continuous sequential analysis
Cases needed for      151                                                     164                                                        150                                                       154
VE
IAs planned at no. of First: 53                                               First: 32;           Second: 62;                           First: 75                                                 From 20th event at least once week
cases                 Second: 106                                             Third : 92;          Fourth: 120                                                                                     monitoring pre-specified criteria* to
                                                                                                                                                                                                   trigger VE analysis

                     * - First 50% participants 2 months of follow-up; minimum of 6 COVID-19 cases for the ≥60 years; At least 20 cases meeting the primary endpoint definition of moderate to severe/critical COVID-19; at
                     least 5 cases meeting the primary endpoint definition of severe/critical COVID19

                                                                                                                                                                                                                              11
ACT-ACCELERATOR & COVAX

                          12
Access to
COVID-19 tools
                                                                                             ACCESS
                                                                                           ACCESS TOTO COVID-19
                                                                                                    COVID-19    TOOLS
                                                                                                             TOOLS    (ACT)
                                                                                                                   (ACT)    ACCELERATOR
                                                                                                                         ACCELERATOR
(ACT) accelerator                                                                        A Global
                                                                                    A Global         Collaboration
                                                                                             Collaboration to Accelerate to
                                                                                                                         the Accelerate
                                                                                                                             Development,the  Development,
                                                                                                                                          Production            Production
                                                                                                                                                     and Equitable
                                                                                                           COVID-19 diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines
                                                                                       Equitable Access to New COVID-19 diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines
                                                                                                                                                                               and
                                                                                                                                                                   Access to New

                                                                                                                                                                       VACCINES
                                                                                   DIAGNOSTICS                           THERAPEUTICS
                                                                                                                                                                        (COVAX)

                                                                                                                                                                      Development &
                                                                                                                                                                      Manufacturing
                                                                                                                                                                  Led by CEPI, with industry

CEPI is pursuing a range             We are founding partners
of approaches to help                of the ACT (Access to                                                                                                            Procurement
                                                                                                                                                                   and delivery at scale
overcome these challenges            Covid-19 Tools) accelerator,                                                                                                       Led by Gavi

and increase global access           a global coalition to
to any future COVID-19               accelerate the development,
                                                                                                                                                                   Policy and allocation
vaccine                              production of and equitable                                                                                                        Led by WHO
                                     access to new Covid-19
                                     diagnostics, therapeutics                                                               Key players
                                     and vaccines

                                                                                                                                                                                               13
           SOURCE: (ACT) ACCELERATOR Commitment and Call to Action 24 April 2020
                                                                     th
COVAX goals

• To develop the largest and most diverse
  actively managed portfolio of vaccine
  candidates so that the best vaccines are
  made available and the world has access to
  the best science

• To deliver 2 billion doses by end of
  2021

• To guarantee fair and equitable access
  to COVID-19 vaccines for every country
  in the world

                                               14
181 countries have now joined COVAX

      World’s largest
                                  Speed premium      Equitable access
     and most diverse
                                global procurement    based on fair
      portfolio of Vx
                                   to share risks       allocation
        candidates

                                                                        15
Many companies are selling doses to high income countries, risking access for the rest of the world

                                                                                                                  16
                                                                                        Date: 23 September 2020
Manufacturing

    To deliver 2 billion doses by the
    end of 2021, 2-3 successful
    programmes are needed to:

1   Produce early doses to support
    clinical studies

2   Scale up processes to industrial
    scale before clinical trials begin

3   Scale-out products in different
    countries to expand capacity
                                                      1
4   Stockpile vaccines in bulk in                     7
    anticipation of dose level
    definition
    Anticipate projects failing during
5   clinical development
    Repurpose facilities for successful
6   products, if needed
Concluding thoughts
• Rapid progress in vaccine development globally
    • Multiple efficacy studies ongoing around the world
    • Manufacturing at scale and tech transfer just beginning
• Many challenges still to face, especially for low resource settings
    • Two doses likely needed for first vaccines
    • Data in other populations (children, immunosuppressed, pregnant women)
    • Cold chain requirements
    • Durability and need for booster vx unknown
    • Pharmacovigilance
    • Regulatory approvals for use in all countries
    • Delivery and introduction

CONCLUSIONS                                                                    18

• Promising immunogenicity data for the vaccine portfolio
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