COVID-19 vaccination FOR SAGE DECISION ON 5th JANUARY 2021 - Recommendation on the first mRNA vaccine BNT162b2 - World Health Organization
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COVID-19 vaccination FOR SAGE DECISION ON 5th JANUARY 2021 Progress update and for decision Recommendation on the first mRNA vaccine BNT162b2
1) Values framework on principles and objectives and target populations – DONE 14th September 2020 2) Roadmap for prioritizing target Roadmap for populations under different epidemiological Prioritization and supply scenarios – DONE 5-7 October and 2020 Recommendation 3) Vaccination recommendations once 3 Steps products have been licensed (or authorized under emergency use) – NOW = iterative, product specific and may be significantly impacted by regulatory regime, EUL vs. full licensure 1
Introduction, session objective setting, update on regulatory decisions and overview of Working Group deliverables. H. NOHYNEK SAGE 15 min Vaccine safety and efficacy data emerging from Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA COVID-19 vaccine clinical trials (phase 1-3 trial results). Risk management plans and other implementation considerations Outline of the COMPANY PRESENTATION 30 min 5 Jan 2021 Safety monitoring. S. PAL, WHO 10 min SAGE session on Questions 30 min Covid-19 BioBreak for 10 min vaccines Assessment of Evidence (SAGE working group) 30 min Presentation of draft recommendations. H. NOHYNEK, SAGE 20 min Discussion 1h 2
Update on vaccine pipeline, Introduction to vaccine registration status, the session 1 vaccine introduction status, population prioritization roadmap, observed virus variants. 3
COVID-19 vaccines development landscape Situation as of 4 January 2020, total 291 candidate vaccines of which 68 in clinical trials, 4 licensed by stringent regulatory authorities Moderna BioNTech/Pfizer AstraZeneca Sinopharm 5 January https://vac-lshtm.shinyapps.io/ncov_vaccine_landscape/ 2021 4
Regulatory timeline of key phase III vaccine Legend (best-case scenario) By End of 2020 candidates Vx candidates Estimated approval dates (includes restricted, emergency and conditional authorizations) FDA EMA MHRA WHO EUL/PQ Other NRA’s By End of Feb. 2021 From March 2021 / No info End of Dec. 11 Dec. 20 18 Dec. 2020 2 Dec. 20 Several 2020 18 Dec 20 7 Jan 21 No info Jan. 2021 Several Between March India (SII April 21 Feb. 21 30 Dec 20 and June 21 product) No FDA No EMA End February 21 No info No information approval approval earliest No approach to No info No info No info No information PQ Sinopharm / WIBP1 No info No info No info To be confirmed No information Sinopharm / BIBD2 End February 21 No info No info No info China, UAE earliest No info No info No info March 21 No information No info No info No info To be confirmed Russia No info May 21 (earliest) No info May 21 (earliest) June 21 1. Wuhan Institue of Biological Products Co Ltd 2. Beijing Bio-Institue of Biological Products Co-Ltd 7
HIGHLY PRELIMINARY - AS OF JAN 4 COVAX Facility Portfolio – Expected supply timelines Expected regulatory & WHO PQ timeframe Expected supply timeframe Vaccine candidates Q1 2021 Q2 2021 Q3 2021 Q4 2021 Q1 2022 Candidate 1 Candidate 2 Other Candidates 10 Speed, Scale, Access
11 Country readiness and delivery – technical resources Guidance and Tools Trainings • VIRAT 2.0 and CRD Country Readiness Core Indicator Dashboard • Training packages for health workers • Operational Guidance on National Vaccine Deployment Plans and national stakeholders • Vaccine introduction costing tool • Designed with end-users in mind • Field guide to misinformation management (modular virtual and in-person • Country level monitoring guidance training) • Detailed supply & logistics guide • Leverage existing e-learning • WHO’s Maintaining essential health services: operational platforms: Agora.unicef.org and guidance for the COVID-19 context (June 1 update) openwho.org
Guidance on Developing a National Deployment and Vaccination Plan (NDVP) for COVID-19 Vaccines • Published on Nov. 16th on the WHO website here • Built upon existing documents incl. recommendations from the WHO Strategic Advisory Group of Experts (SAGE) • Includes a suggested template for development of the NDVP • Will be updated as new information becomes available https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/WHO-2019-nCoV- Vaccine_deployment-2020.1 12
Summary of SARS-CoV-2 virus mutations - Variants identified in UK and South Africa highlight the importance of sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 and sharing of sequence data internationally. - As all viruses mutate, sequencing will identify a number of mutations; some more common than others. Many mutations have no impact on the virus itself; some may be detrimental to the virus; few may result in an advantage to the virus. - In order to determine their impact on transmission or vaccines, experiments need to be done with live virus in advanced laboratories. This takes time from weeks to several months; ongoing in UK and South Africa. Also vaccine manufacturers are working on understanding the potential impact on VE. -WHO and partners are working with a group of international scientists, including the WHO Virus Evolution Working Group, from all over the world to coordinate such research efforts and assess the risk of select mutations on transmission, diagnostics and vaccines. For the moment there is no evidence that monoclonal antibodies or vaccines will not work on the variant strain in the UK. 5 January 2021 14
Compendium of Critical Questions Background paper with COVID-19 generic considerations The outputs from the SAGE Values Framework COVID-19 working group so far Background paper with vaccine-specific Prioritization Roadmap considerations Vaccine-specific recommendations based on Interim Evidence Framework recommendations for use (product/platform specific) Modeling Evidence to Additional considerations Recommendations & (e.g. current epidemiology) grading tables 5 January 2021 1
Links to documentation www.who.int/publications/m/item/critical-evidence-questions-for-covid- 19-vaccines-policy-making www.who.int/publications/i/item/who-sage-values-framework-for-the- allocation-and-prioritization-of-covid-19-vaccination www.who.int/publications/m/item/who-sage-roadmap-for-prioritizing-uses- of-covid-19-vaccines-in-the-context-of-limited-supply www.who.int/immunization/policy/sage/SAGE_WG_COVID19_Vaccines _Modelling_Questions_31July2020.pdf October 2020 SAGE www.who.int/immunization/sage/meetings/2020/october/SAGE_eYB_Oct2 meeting 020final.pdf?ua=1 Background Paper 5 January 2021 16
Acknowledgements Hanna Nohynek Peter Smith Folake Olayinka H. Keipp Talbot Muhammed Afolabi Cristiana Toscano WHO Secretariat Celia Alpuche Yin Zundong Annelies Wilder-Smith Hyam Bashour Klaus Cichutek Joachim Hombach David Durrheim Peter Figueroa Melanie Marti Ruth Faden Adam Finn Nicholas Grassly Gagandeep Kang SAGE Chair Sonali Kochhar David Kaslow Alejandro Cravioto Eusebio Macete Ziad Memish Kayvon Modjarrad Saad B. Omer Sarah Pallas Helen Rees Mary Ramsay Christopher Morgan 5 January 2021 17
Backups 18
6 main principles -Human well being -Equal respect -Global equity -National equity -Reciprocity -Legitimacy 19 https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/334299/WHO-2019-nCoV-SAGE_Framework-Allocation_and_prioritization-2020.1-eng.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y 5 January 19 2021
Roadmap towards prioritization of target populations: To support country planning, the Roadmap suggests public health strategies and target priority groups for different levels of vaccine availability in different epidemiologic settings Key assumptions: Community Cluster of No cases, risk Vaccines are licensed and meet all minimum transmission cases/ of importation criteria of WHO TPP; sporadic transmission Vaccines have at least minimal level efficacy in older age groups; idem for other Very limited subpopulations; supply (1-10%) NPI continue to be used; Limited Vaccine effect on transmission less relevant supply for early scenarios, but information becomes (11-20%) available at some point; Moderate No account has been taken of supply seroprevalence and the possible degree of (21-50%) population protection already established. 5 January 2021 20
Vaccine policy - Priority groups for COVID-19 vaccination Endorsed by SAGE, published on 19 October 2020 21
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