Shenzhen Grade-A Office Market Report - Q1 2021 TMT enterprises were active in the office leasing market - Knight Frank

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Shenzhen Grade-A Office Market Report - Q1 2021 TMT enterprises were active in the office leasing market - Knight Frank
TMT enterprises were active in the office leasing market

Shenzhen Grade-A

                                                           knightfrank.com.cn
Office Market Report
Q1 2021
Shenzhen Grade-a OFFICE MARKET REPORT Q1 2021

                 LOWERING PRICE TO BOOST
  VOLUME WAS STILL AN IMP ORTANT
              STR ATEGY FOR MOST OFFICE
  L ANDLORDS TO AT TR ACT TENANTS

                                  In Q1, Guangdian Financial Centre was delivered,
                       bringing 229,000 sqm new supply to the Shenzhen Grade-A office market.
                                   The overall stock increased to 8.23 million sqm.

The fixed asset investment in Shenzhen            The Shenzhen Grade-A office leasing           projects achieved high occupancy due to
recovered well, and the consumer market           market was active in this quarter.            the high-quality building specifications,
was picking up fast. From January to              Although the negative impact of the           well-equipped commercial facilities, and
February 2021, the cumulative growth in           epidemic on Shenzhen Grade-A office           relatively few supplies in the surrounding
fixed asset investment increased by 46.2%         market has been gradually eliminated, it is   areas.
YoY while total retail sales of consumer          expected that competition in the Shenzhen
goods in Shenzhen increased by 37.6% YoY.         Grade-A office market will remain fierce      Quality companies were still actively
                                                  due to the large amount of new supply         seeking opportunities to upgrade or
In Q1 2021, the vacancy rate of the               in the future. In the short to medium         expand office spaces. The occupancy of
Shenzhen Grade-A office market was 23%,           term, most office building developers will    many leading companies in emerging
remained the same as previous quarter.            continue to bear great pressure on leasing,   business districts has also driven their
The average rent of the Shenzhen Grade-A          and lowering prices to boost volume will      upstream and downstream affiliated
office market fell 1.0% QoQ to RMB 203            be still an important leasing strategy for    companies to lease office space in the
per sqm per month, which was a narrower           most landlords. Despite the abundant          surrounding areas.
decline compared to the previous quarter.         new supply, some prominent office

                                                                       2
Shenzhen Grade-a OFFICE MARKET REPORT Q1 2021

    Fig 1. Shenzhen Grade-A office market indicators

                                New Supply                            Rent                  Vacany Rate                     Price

         Q1 2021                229,000 sqm              RMB 203 / sqm / month                  23.0%                 RMB 50,407 / sqm

         QoQ Change                                                       1.0%                                                0.05%

         Forcast
         (Q2 2021)

Source: Knight Frank Research

RENTS AND PRICES

In Q1, the average rent for Grade-A office
space in Shenzhen was RMB 203 per sqm                      Fig 2. Shenzhen Grade-A office rental and price
per month, down 1.0% QoQ and the decline                     Price         Rental
narrowed 0.4 percentage points.
                                                           RMB/sqm/month                                                            RMB/sqm

In terms of business district, the average rent            260                                                                        60,000
in emerging business districts remained                    240                                                                        55,000
stable during the quarter, while the average               220                                                                        50,000
rent in the core and secondary business
                                                           200                                                                        45,000
districts went down. The average rent of
                                                           180                                                                        40,000
Grade-A office buildings in the core business
                                                           160                                                                        35,000
districts decreased by 2.9% QoQ to RMB 212
                                                           140                                                                        30,000
per sqm per month, while the average rent
                                                           120                                                                        25,000
of Grade-A office buildings in the secondary
                                                                 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1 Q4 Q1
business districts decreased by 0.8% QoQ to                       2010  2011  2012  2013  2014  2015  2016  2017  2018  2019  2020 2021
RMB 186 per sqm per month.                                 Source: Knight Frank Research

In the strata-title market, the average price
of office buildings in Shenzhen during the
quarter was RMB 50,407 per sqm, increased
slightly by 0.05% QoQ.

                                                                                3
Shenzhen Grade-a OFFICE MARKET REPORT Q1 2021

Table 1. Major Grade-A office sub-market indicators, Q1 2021

                                               Rent                                Rent Change                                              Vacancy rate change
 Submarket                                                                                                         Vacancy Rate
                                       (RMB / sqm / month)                            (QoQ)                                                       (QoQ)

  Caiwuwei                                     185                                     ↓4.2%                           17.6%                         ↑3.0

  Futian CBD                                  238                                      ↓1.2%                           16.5%                         ↑3.0

  Houhai                                       211                                     ↓2.8%                           30.9%                         ↑0.8

  Qianhai                                      156                                     ↓0.6%                           43.7%                         ↓1.9

  Huaqiang North                               175                                         ↔                           25.5%                         ↓5.2

  Chegongmiao                                  211                                     ↓2.3%                           14.7%                         ↓2.2

  Shekou                                      193                                      ↓3.5%                           35.7%                          ↔

  Nanyou                                      165                                          ↔                           4.4%                           ↔

  High-tech Business Park                      179                                         ↔                           18.9%                         ↓3.0

Source: Knight Frank Research

S U P P LY A N D D E M A N D
In Q1 2020, Guangdian Financial Centre
was delivered, bringing 229,000 sqm new               Fig 3. Shenzhen Grade-A office supply, take up and vacancy rate
supply to the Shenzhen Grade-A office
                                                         Grade-A office supply (left)                Grade-A office net absorption (left)      Vacancy rate (right)
market. The overall stock increased to
                                                      '000 sqm
8.23 million sqm, raised 2.9% YoY.
                                                      1,600                                                                                                       30%

In this quarter, TMT companies still                  1,400
                                                                                                                                                                  25%
dominated the leasing transactions.                   1,200
                                                                                                                                                                  20%
Notable examples include the lease                    1,000
of a 3,100-sqm-office space in Baidu                   800                                                                                                        15%
Mansion by TRANSSNET; the expansion                    600
                                                                                                                                                                  10%
of a 1,500-sqm-office space in Neptune                 400
Galaxy Technology Building by EXC-                                                                                                                                5%
                                                       200
LED.
                                                         0                                                                                                        0%
                                                              2010      2011       2012     2013     2014   2015    2016   2017   2018      2019   2020 2021 Q1

                                                      Source: Knight Frank Research

                                                Table 2. Major Grade-A office leasing transactions, Q1 2021

                                                 District                                 Building                 Tenant         Area(sqm)        Leasing Type

                                                     High-tech
                                                                                    Baidu Mansion              TRANSSNET             3,100           New Lease
                                                     Business Park

                                                     High-tech                     Neptune Galaxy
                                                                                                                   EXC-LED           1,500            Expansion
                                                     Business Park             Technology Building

                                                Source: Knight Frank Research
                                                Note: all transactions are subject to confirmation

                                                                               4
Shenzhen Grade-a OFFICE MARKET REPORT Q1 2021

INVESTMENT MARKET

In March 2021, Shenzhen Expressway                  stated that the purchase of new office      development. In the development
and Shenzhen International jointly                  properties can meet the office needs        environment of Shenzhen’s industry
announced that Shenzhen Expressway                  of Shenzhen Expressway and its many         agglomeration effect and talent
agreed to purchase office properties                subsidiaries.                               gathering effect, it is expected that
from Loren-Sebo with a transaction                                                              more cooperate buyers will become the
value of RMB 1.559 billion. The property            The rapidly expanding and well-funded       major demand side for office en-bloc
is a first-hand office property on 35 to 48         corporate buyers have gradually             transaction in the future, thereby
floors of Hanking Financial Center, with            become an important demand side             enhancing the company’s image and
a transaction area of approximately                 of the Shenzhen office investment           promoting the benefits of corporate
23,000 sqm. Shenzhen Expressway                     market to meet the needs of their own       development.

MARKET OUTLOOK

Starting in 2021, the development of                and Technology Innovation Pole, to
Shenzhen’s “headquarters economy”                   promote integration while stimulate
                                                                                                  D r ive n by t he m a c ro p olicy
has been accelerated. On February 22,               the construction of a national science
Wumart Southern Technology Co.,                     center; promote the construction of            o r i e nt a t i o n, t he i nf l ow of
Ltd. acquired a commercial land in                  major cooperation platforms among              c ap i t a l a nd o t he r f a c tors,
Futian District for RMB 1.257 billion,              Guangdong, Hong Kong and Macao,
                                                                                                  i t i s exp e c t e d t o e f fe c tively
with a land area of 4,499.95 sqm. After             such as Qianhai District, Shenzhen,
the land was acquired, Wumart would                 Hengqin District, Zhuhai, Nansha               p ro m o t e t he d eve l o p ment
sign a headquarter project industry                 District, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen-
                                                                                                    o f p ro fe s s i o na l s e r vices,
development supervision agreement                   Hong Kong Loop.
with Shenzhen Futian District Industry                                                             TMT a nd o t he r i nd u s t ries
and Information Technology Bureau,                  As an important area of the “Shenzhen          i n She nzhe n, c o nfo r ming
promising that the acquired land can                Strategy”, Qianhai had a brilliant
only be used for the construction of the            performance in attracting foreign direct
                                                                                                     t o She nzhe n’s s t r a t eg ic
headquarters for Digital Distribution               investment. In 2020, the foreign direct      p o s i t i o ni ng , t he re by f u r t her
Supply Chain, Futian District.                      investment in actual use in Qianhai
                                                                                                 p ro m o t i ng t he d eve l o p m ent
                                                    Shenzhen-Hong Kong Cooperation Zone
In order to further promote Shenzhen                was USD 4.305 billion, an increase of         o f She nzhe n o f f i c e l e asing
into a competitive and international                11.7%, accounting for 49.6% of the city
                                                                                                     m a r ke t , e sp e c i a l ly the
metropolis, Shenzhen was repeatedly                 and 3% of the country. There was a total
mentioned in the “The Fourteenth                    of 11,300 registered Hong Kong-funded              d e m a nd s i n Q i a nhai
Five-Year Plan for National Economic                enterprises, and the direct investment                   s u b - m a r ke t .
and Social Development of the People’s              in actual use from Hong Kong
Republic of China and the Outline                   accounted for about 88.3% of the total
of Vision Goals for 2035”, which was                foreign investment in Qianhai.
released in March. The outline proposes
to support Shenzhen to become a                     Driven by the macro policy orientation,
pioneering demonstration zone for                   the inflow of capital and other factors,
socialism with Chinese characteristics;             it is expected to effectively promote the
improve the Guangzhou-Shenzhen-                     development of professional services,
Hong Kong, Guangzhou-Zhuhai-                        TMT and other industries in Shenzhen,
Macao Science and Technology                        conforming to Shenzhen’s strategic
Innovation Corridor, Shenzhen-Hong                  positioning, thereby further promoting
Kong Loop, and “Two Corridors and                   the development of Shenzhen office
Two Points” framework system for                    leasing market, especially the demands
Guangdong-Macao-Hengqin Science                     in Qianhai sub-market.

                                                                        5
Shenzhen Grade-a OFFICE MARKET REPORT Q1 2021

SHENZHEN GRADE-A office market dashboard
q1 2020

                          Qianhai                       High-tech Business Park                               Chegongmiao                               Huaqiang North
                          Rent: 156                     Rent: 179                                             Rent: 211                                 Rent: 175
                          VR: 43.7%                     VR: 18.9%                                             VR: 14.7%                                 VR: 25.5%

                          Shekou                                       Houhai                                Nanyou                        Futian CBD               Caiwuwei
                          Rent: 193                                    Rent: 211                             Rent: 165                     Rent: 238                Rent: 185
                          VR: 35.7%                                    VR: 30.9%                             VR: 4.4%                      VR: 16.5%                VR: 17.6%

S o u rc e : K n i g h t F ra n k Re s e a rc h
N ote : re n t s u s i n g ave ra g e e f fe c t i ve re n t a t R M B /s q m /d ay ; V R re fe r s t o a ve ra g e va c a n c y ra t e.
We like questions, if you’ve got one about our research, or would like some property advice,
we would love to hear from you.

Research & Consultancy                                                                                  Shenzhen Office Services

Laurence Zhu                                Regina Yang                                                 Ken Kan
Senior Director,                            Director, Head of Research & Consultancy,                   Managing Director,
Head of Research & Consultancy, China       Shanghai & Beijing                                          Head of South China Office Services,Shenzhen
+86 137 6439 9991                           +86 21 6032 1728                                            +86 755 3394 7001
laurence.zhu@cn.knightfrank.com             regina.yang@cn.knightfrank.com                              ken.kan@cn.knightfrank.com

Martin Wong                                 Omega Ou                                                    Carol Wu
Director, Head of Research & Consultancy,   Analyst, Research & Consultancy,                            Director, Head of Office Services,
Greater China                               Guangzhou                                                   Shenzhen
+852 2846 7184                              +86 20 3877 1477                                            +86 755 3394 7002
martin.wong@hk.knightfrank.com              omega.ou@cn.knightfrank.com                                 carol.wu@cn.knightfrank.com

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