COVID-19 Australia: Travel Monitor - Summary provided by Strategic Development and Research - Tourism and Events ...
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COVID-19 Australia: Travel Monitor Information provided by YouGov Week of 20 August, 2020 Summary provided by Strategic Development and Research
Methodology • The COVID-19 Australia Travel Monitor is a syndicated online survey conducted by YouGov that tracks a variety of attitudes, changes in behaviour and future destinations/ behaviours as a result of the crisis. • A total of n=1,000 surveys are conducted weekly with a nationally representative sample of Australians. • The first wave of the research ran from the week commencing 7 May to the week commencing 25 June to track changes in these measures over time, as the crisis develops and restrictions change. The second wave began on 2 July, with a slightly updated questionnaire and will run until late August. Please note: there were some questionnaire changes between waves, we have noted these where applicable and moved Wave 1 results to an Appendix. • The following slides are a summary of some of the most important data points, but there is also the ability to interrogate the data set for more bespoke queries. • When Queensland results showed a meaningful difference to the total results, or we see strong generational differences, we have provided a call-out in yellow on the right hand side of the chart. Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Top line summary • Nearing the end of August, it appears a number of Australians are planning on delaying domestic travel until well into 2021. We see the March 2021 onwards category continue to trend upwards for both booking/planning and travelling. Ongoing border closures and changing restrictions are likely to have influenced this. This may be because Australians do want/intend to take a domestic holiday, but are holding back as they wait to see how the COVID-19 situation evolves. It’s worth noting that Queenslanders were more likely than the average to have already acted on their intention. • Around three in ten indicate they will be taking a holiday or trip in their own state within the next three months (3x the proportion who will take an interstate trip). Intrastate outpaces interstate across all time horizons, but the margin is narrowed at the “within next 12 months” category. We are seeing the proportion of Australians intending to take an interstate trip in the next 12 months trend downwards compared with early July. • Uncertainty around international (outbound) travel remains high. Fewer than 1 in 4 Australians have, or plan to, book personal international trips before March 2021 and around 1 in 7 believe they will actually go on an international trip before March 2021. • Across the course of this research there has been an indication there will be fewer domestic or overseas holiday/trip bookings through retail and online travel agents, with greater numbers indicating they will be less likely to book through these channels than those more likely to use them. Since July, we’ve also observed a growing number of Australians saying they will also be “less likely” to book with the airlines and hotels/resorts. This may reflect uncertainty in refund terms. • The majority of Australians continue to support states/territories implementing temporary border closures, however, there has been some erosion in support in the prior week. • The proportion of Australians who would feel comfortable immediately taking part in a range of tourism activities has shown some variability over time in response to COVID-19. The w/c 2nd July saw a dip in comfort levels, which may reflect perceptions of a worsening situation with COVID-19 cases in Victoria and New South Wales.
Top line summary, continued • When respondents are asked where they intend to travel to in the next 12 months Queensland and NSW/ACT are far in the lead as travel destinations. This week we have seen a significant decrease in the Queensland NET travel intention, however. Victoria remains in a distant third position. • Queenslanders are more likely than the average to be planning an intrastate trip in the next 12 months, with nearly 4 in 10 planning an intrastate trip in the next 3 months. • Nearly six in ten (57%) of Queenslanders indicate they intend to holiday in Queensland in the next 12 months, however, this is significantly lower than last week. • Generally speaking, younger generations (Generation Z and Millennials) appear more comfortable than average to plan/book and want to take trips earlier than older generations (Baby Boomers and the Silent Generation). • Older generations are less likely to indicate a desire to visit Victoria and New South Wales following the increase in cases there. • Parents with children at home were more likely than non-parents to intend to visit the Gold Coast.
Length of travel delay – Domestic (Wave 2) Nearing the end of August, it appears a number of Australians are planning on delaying domestic travel until well into 2021. We see the March 2021 onwards category continue to trend upwards for both booking/planning and travelling. Ongoing border closures and changing restrictions are likely to have influenced this. Book/plan personal domestic trips of any type Gen Z and Millennials I've already done this July - August 2020 September - November 2020 December 2020 - February 2021 are slightly more likely 40% than older generations Net: March 2021 onwards Don't know Never to indicate that they 28% have “already” 30% 26% booked/planned travel. 23% 23% 24% 21% 22% 22% Other groups that were 21% 20% 21% 20% 20% 18% 19% 19% 19% more likely to have 20% 16% 17% 15% 15% 16% 14% 15% 15% 16% 14% “already” booked are 13% 13% 13% 13% 12% 13% 12% 11% 13% 13% 11% 11% 10% 11% 11% 10% 10% 11% 9% parents, those working 9% 9% 9% full-time, high-income 10% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 4% earners, and Queensland residents. 0% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Actually go on personal domestic trips of any type I've already done this July - August 2020 September - November 2020 December 2020 - February 2021 Queenslanders and 37% Western Australians are 40% 35% Net: March 2021 onwards Don't know Never significantly more likely 31% than residents of other 30% 30% 28% states to indicate they’ll 25% 26% 26% 24% 24% 24% actually go on a trip 21% 21% 20% 23% 22% from now until 20% 17% February 2021. Gen Z 16% 16% 15% 14% 15% 12% 13% 13% 12% are more likely than 11% 12% 12% 10% 9% 9% 10% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% other generations to 10% 8% 8%7% 8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 7% believe they will 6% 5% 6% 4% 3% 4% 2% “actually go” on a trip before February 2021. 0% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: Approximately when do you think the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will subside in Australia enough so that you will personally start doing each of the following? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Likelihood to take Intra/Interstate trip Around three in ten indicate they will be taking a holiday or trip in their own state within the next three months (3x the proportion who will take an interstate trip). Intrastate outpaces interstate across all time horizons, but the margin is narrowed at the “within next 12 months” category. We are seeing the proportion of Australians intending to take an interstate trip in the next 12 months trend downwards. Queenslanders and NSW Take a holiday or trip in your OWN state residents are more likely than 100% Next 3 months Next 5 months Next 12 months Don't know OR Don't intend the average to holiday in their 80% own state. 62% 64% 61% 60% 60% 59% 59% 60% 60% Victorians are 45% 44% 43% 42% 41% 41% 43% much less likely 40% 40% 32% 32% 29% 32% 30% 33% 29% 30% 29% 29% 31% 31% than other 28% 28% 28% 28% Australians to 20% intend to take a holiday in their 0% own state in the 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August next 12 months. Take a holiday or trip in ANOTHER state 100% Next 3 months Next 5 months Next 12 months Don't know OR Don't intend Millennials 80% (1981-96) are more likely than 60% 51% 51% 50% the average to 45% 47% 46% 44% 43%40% intend to take a 38% 38% 39% 40% 39% 40% 36% 35% trip both inter 28% 25% 25% 24% 21% 20% 19% and intrastate in 18% 20% 14% 13% 13% 11% the next 12 10% 10% 9% 8% months. 0% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: Approximately when, if at all, do you intend to do each of the following? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Length of travel delay – International (Wave 2) Uncertainty around international (outbound) travel remains high. Fewer than 1 in 4 Australians have, or plan to, book personal international trips before March 2021 and around 1 in 7 believe they will actually go on an international trip before March 2021. Book/plan personal international trips of any type I've already done this July - August 2020 September - November 2020 December 2020 - February 2021 Older generations 50% (Baby Boomers and Net: March 2021 onwards Don't know Never Silent Generation) 40% 37% 36% 36% 37% are more likely to 33% 34% 31% 30% indicate that they 30% 27% 26% 26% 26% 27% will “never” 24% 21% book/plan an 20%17% 20% 16% 17% international trip. 15% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 13% 11% Generation Z and 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 10% 6%4%7% 4%5% 7% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 7% 4% 6% 5% Millennials were 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% more likely than 0% other generations to 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August book/plan before March 2021. Actually go on personal international trips of any type I've already done this July - August 2020 September - November 2020 December 2020 - February 2021 50% Net: March 2021 onwards Don't know Never 41% 42% 41% 41% 38% 40% 40% 36% 37% 31% 30% 31% Generation Z and 30% 30% 30% 27% Millennials were 24% 24% more likely to think 20% 17% 17% 18% they’d actually go 14% 13% 14% 14% 15% on an international 10% 9% 9% 9% 8% 7% 8% trip before March 10% 5% 5% 4% 4% 3% 6% 2%3% 3%2% 3%2% 3%2%4% 3%2%3% 3%1%3% 1% 3%1%3% 2021. 0% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: Approximately when do you think the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will subside in Australia enough so that you will personally start doing each of the following? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Support for border closures Western Australians were the The majority of Australians continue to support states/territories implementing temporary border most likely to ‘strongly support’ closures. This week we have seen some movement in the strength of support, with fewer ‘strongly supporting’ border closures (85%), with Victorians least likely to ‘strongly temporary border closures, and more indicating they ‘slightly support’ or ‘strongly oppose’ the closures than in weeks support’ (47%). prior. Men are less likely to strongly support border closures (56% vs. Support for border closures 66% of women) Baby boomers and NSW 100% residents are more likely to ‘strongly oppose’ border closers 90% than the average (13%) 80% 70% Strongly Support 63% 61% 70% 72% 70% 73% 73% 73% 60% Slightly Support 50% Slightly Oppose 40% 30% Strongly Oppose 21% 24% 20% 19% 17% 20% 17% 17% 16% Don't Know 7% 10% 5% 5% 5% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 3% 4% 9% 4% 4% 3% 3% 0% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: As part of the restrictions implemented in Australia due to COVID-19, several States and Territories have introduced temporary border closures. Based on your knowledge of these restrictions as of today, do you support or oppose States and Territories keeping their borders closed? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Change in booking sources Across the course of this research there has been an indication there will be fewer domestic or overseas holiday/trip bookings through retail and online travel agents, with greater numbers indicating they will be less likely to book through these channels than those more likely to use them. Since July, we’ve also observed a growing number of Australians saying they will also be “less likely” to book with airlines and hotels/resorts. This may reflect uncertainty in refund terms. Airlines (e.g. Qantas, Virgin, JetStar etc.) Hotels/resorts More likely Less likely No change Don't know More likely Less likely No change Don't know 80% 80% 60% 60% 48% 50% 49% 51% 47% 47% 46% 46% 48% 47% 48% 50% 50% 50% 47% 48% 40% 44% 46% 47% 46% 47% 52% 40% 47% 46% 48% 46% 44% 47% 46% 45% 44% 49% 20% 20% 24% 23% 24% 22% 24% 25% 23% 24% 19% 20% 18% 20% 18% 19% 20% 19% 24% 20% 21% 21% 22% 22% 18% 24% 19% 19% 17% 18% 16% 19% 20% 18% 0% 0% -19%-16%-18%-18%-18%-18%-21%-20%-25%-25%-29%-26%-26%-25%-24%-21% -20%-18%-21%-19%-20%-20%-24%-21%-24%-28%-30%-28%-29%-26%-26%-24% -20% -8% -11% -8% -10%-11%-10%-10%-10% -8% -8% -7% -20% -8% -11% -9% -9% -12%-10%-11% -9% -8% -9% -8% -9% -10% -9% -7% -9% -8% -9% -10%-10% -8% -40% -40% -60% -60% 7th 14th 21st 28th 4th 11th 18th 25th 2nd 9th 16th 23rd 30th 6th 13th 20th 7th 14th 21st 28th 4th 11th 18th 25th 2nd 9th 16th 23rd 30th 6th 13th 20th May May May May June June June June July July July July July August August August May May May May June June June June July July July July July August August August Online Travel Agencies (e.g. Booking.com, Expedia, Agoda etc.) Travel agents (e.g. Travellers Choice, STA Travel etc.) More likely Less likely No change Don't know 80% More likely Less likely No change Don't know 80% 60% 60% 40% 40% 44% 51% 49% 48% 46% 47% 47% 47% 47% 46% 45% 48% 47% 44% 47% 50% 42% 46% 46% 47% 46% 48% 47% 45% 46% 45% 42% 45% 45% 45% 41% 20% 20% 14% 13% 13% 14% 15% 16% 14% 18% 13% 14% 12% 12% 11% 13% 12% 12% 0% 12% 10% 11% 12% 13% 11% 11% 14% 11% 15% 10% 10% 10% 14% 12% 0% -20% -33% -25%-28%-27%-26%-25%-27%-25%-30%-32%-33%-31%-32%-31%-32%-28% -20% -37%-30%-32%-30%-29%-30%-30%-30%-32%-30%-37%-35%-34%-30%-35% -11% -11% -12% -12% -11% -10% -11% -10%-8%-10%-9%-9%-12%-9%-10% -40% -10%-14%-11% -12%-13%-11%-12%-11%-11%-10%-11%-10%-10%-12%-11% -40% -9% -60% -60% 7th 14th 21st 28th 4th 11th 18th 25th 2nd 9th 16th 23rd 30th 6th 13th 20th 7th 14th 21st 28th 4th 11th 18th 25th 2nd 9th 16th 23rd 30th 6th 13th May May May May June June June June July July July July July August August August May May May May June June June June July July July July July AugustAugust Q: Still imagining you were looking to book a domestic or overseas holiday/ trip (e.g. flights, accommodation etc.)...How much more or less likely would you be to book directly with the following as a result of COVID-19? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Travel attitudes Eight in ten indicate they will stick to car travel for the rest of this year, while over seven in ten indicate they won’t be taking a holiday this year as it isn’t worth the risk. % Agree shown (Agree and Strongly agree NET) 90% I will stick to car travel for the rest of this 80% year, I'm not going to plan any flights, 82% I'll not be taking a holiday this year, it's not 70% worth the risk, 72% Once any government bans or guidelines 60% are lifted, I'll be ready to go back to my normal travel and holiday habits, 61% 50% Now is a great time to get a travel deal due to COVID-19, 42% 40% I have sought information about the sanitation of hotels or planes since the COVID-19 breakout, 40% 30% Victorians are notably more likely than other Australians to say that they won’t be taking a holiday 20% this year, it’s not worth the risk. Queenslanders are less likely to agree with this statement. Victorians are also less likely than the average to say that once any government bans and guidelines are lifted, I’ll be ready to go back to my normal travel and holiday habits. 10% Millennials (1981-96) are more likely to agree they have sought information about the sanitation of hotels/planes. 0% 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Travel attitudes (added Wave 2) Nearly all agree that wearing face masks should be mandatory on planes. The strong majority of Australians agree that taking domestic holidays is “essential” to rebuilding our economy. % Agree shown (Agree and Strongly agree NET) 100% Wearing face masks when travelling on planes should be mandatory, 88% 90% Taking domestic holidays is essential to rebuilding our economy, 87% 80% Airlines should leave empty seats between passengers for social distancing, even if it increases airfares, 79% 70% 60% Interestingly, Gen Z (1997-09) were less likely than other 50% generations to agree that taking domestic holidays is essential to rebuilding our economy. 40% 30% 20% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Post COVID-19 domestic travel destinations When respondents were asked where they would most like to travel to once travel restrictions lift, Queensland topped the list. When respondents are asked where they intend to travel to in the next 12 months Queensland and NSW/ACT are far in the lead as travel destinations. However, this week we have seen a significant decrease in Queensland travel intention. Destination most like to/intend to visit after COVID-19 restrictions lifted: NET Change in wording, from “most like to” Queensland residents are 50% to “intend” to more likely to indicate they 45% 44% 44% would intend to visit 43% 44% 43% NSW/ ACT 45% Queensland (57%, though this 42% 41% 42% 39% 40% 41% VIC is significantly below last week 40% 41% when 72% intended to visit 37% 36% QLD Queensland). 35% SA Baby Boomers (1946-64) are 30% less likely to want to visit VIC WA and NSW/ACT. 25% TAS Generation Z (1997-2009) and 20% Millennials (1981 - 1996) are NT more likely than other 15% generations to be open to None of visiting Victoria. Millennials are 10% these more likely to intend to visit NSW/ACT. 5% 0% 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th 13th 20th August August August WAVE 1 Q: If you were looking to book a domestic holiday/trip away once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted, where would you most like to travel to? WAVE 2 Q: Which, if any, of the following Australian destinations do you intend to travel to in the next 12 months ? Please select all that apply. Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Post COVID-19 domestic travel destinations (Wave 2) Three of the top five most intended domestic destinations for the next 12 months are in Queensland. While the Queensland NET result saw a significant decrease in intention, individual Queensland destinations decreased slightly, but not significantly. Destination intend to visit after COVID-19 restrictions lifted Post-COVID travel destinations 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Sydney 21% 22% 20% 21% 20% 20% 21% 21% Gold Coast 19% 22% 23% 20% 19% 20% 23% 19% Melbourne 16% 18% 18% 18% 17% 16% 15% 18% Brisbane 15% 17% 15% 17% 16% 17% 15% 16% Sunshine Coast 13% 17% 17% 17% 15% 14% 17% 15% Queensland residents were Regional NSW (e.g. Hunter Valley, Snowy Mountains) 13% 13% 12% 14% 12% 13% 15% 15% significantly more likely to Byron Bay/ North Coast NSW 13% 16% 13% 12% 12% 12% 13% 14% indicate that they would like Other Vic (e.g. Grampians, Great Ocean Road) 10% 11% 10% 12% 11% 11% 12% 12% to visit all Queensland Far North Queensland (e.g. Cairns, Great Barrier Reef) 12% 12% 13% 12% 13% 12% 15% 11% destinations. Canberra/ ACT 9% 10% 9% 8% 10% 9% 10% 11% Perth 11% 11% 9% 10% 12% 11% 12% 11% Gen Z and Millennials were Other WA (e.g. the Kimberley, Margaret River, Ningaloo Reef) 10% 9% 9% 10% 12% 9% 10% 10% more likely than older age South Coast NSW (e.g. Bateman's Bay, Bermagui) 10% 11% 8% 8% 11% 9% 11% 10% groups to intend to visit the Adelaide 9% 9% 10% 10% 10% 11% 11% 9% Gold Coast. Generation X Other Tasmania (e.g. Port Arthur, Cradle Mountain, Bruny Island) 12% 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 12% 8% were more likely than the Other SA (e.g. Kangaroo Island, Barossa Valley, Lake Eyre) 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% average to intend to visit Far Hobart 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 11% 7% North Queensland. Darwin 8% 8% 7% 6% 8% 9% 8% 6% Other Qld (e.g. Fraser Island, Betoota, Rockhampton) 6% 8% 9% 7% 9% 7% 7% 6% Parents were more likely Northern NT/ Top End (e.g. Kakadu, Arnhem Land) 6% 7% 8% 5% 6% 7% 7% 6% than non-parents to intend to Central Aus/Red Centre (e.g. Alice Springs, Uluru) 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 4% visit the Gold Coast. Norfolk Island 4% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% Other 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% None of these - I only intend to travel internationally outside of Australia 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% None of these - I do not intend to travel anywhere 20% 18% 20% 19% 20% 20% 19% 21% Q: Which, if any, of the following Australian destinations do you intend to travel to in the next 12 months ? Please select all that apply. Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Pacific travel bubble While the majority of Australians are not currently planning on taking an international trip in the near future, if a Pacific travel bubble were to be established, over a third indicate they intend to visit New Zealand (slightly down from July). Nearly as many indicated they would only travel in Australia if a Pacific bubble was established, while around a fifth would not travel at all. Pacific travel bubble destination most likely to visit Millennials (1981-96) are more likely than the total to intend to visit New Zealand and Pacific Island destinations. 70% Change in wording, from “most like to” to “intend” to 60% 52% 53% 52% New Zealand 50% 50% I would only like to travel inside Australia Fiji 40% 38% 38% 36% 36% 35% 35% 33% 34% Other Pacific Islands 29% 29% 30% 29% 28% 30% 26% 26% 27% Vanuatu 22% 22% 21% 21% 20% 20% 21% 20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 20% 20% 19% 19% Cook Islands 20% 17% 17% 18% 16% 16% 15% 15% 16% 13% 13% 14% New Caledonia 10% 12% 12% 12% 13% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 10% 11% 10% 11% 10% 11% 11% 8% 9% 9%9% 8% 9%9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8%9% 8%8% 9% 9% 9% 8% 8% 8%8% 10% 7% 7%7% 7% 8% 7% 7% 7% 7% 6%7% 6%6% 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% I would only like to travel internationally outside of the trans-Tasman bubble None of these - I would not like to travel 0% anywhere 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August WAVE 1 Q: If a trans-Tasman 'travel bubble' were established, and residents of Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific Islands were able to travel between countries without needing to quarantine, where would you most like to travel to? WAVE 2 Q: If a trans-Tasman 'travel bubble' were established, and residents of Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific Islands were able to travel between countries without needing to quarantine, which, if any, of the following countries would you intend to travel to in the next 12 months if this agreement was reached? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Change in behaviour after “all clear” Once given the “ok”, Australians are showing signs of uncertainty around many travel behaviours. Most feel reasonably comfortable to rent a car, spend a night in a hotel/resort inn, or travel by train or bus. They start to be more trepidatious about air travel, private rentals, and river/ocean cruises. Travel behaviour once in the “all clear”: week commencing 20th August 100% 6% 11% I would feel comfortable doing this 90% 19% 16% 22% 10% immediately 28% 29% 26% 32% 80% 19% I would still do this in the future, but might wait a few months 70% 30% 29% 30% 60% I would wait up to a full year to do this 34% 39% 23% 29% 37% 37% 50% 15% I would never do this again 40% 21% 19% 9% 41% 30% 23% Not applicable – I've never done this and 4% never would have in the future, unrelated to 4% 21% 30% 20% 26% COVID-19 3% 5% 10% 5% 3% 3% 0% Rent a car Spend a night(s) Travel by train Travel by bus/ Spend a night(s) Fly on Fly on Take a river Take an ocean at hotel, resort shuttle at a private commercial commercial cruise cruise or inn rental property airlines within airlines Australia internationally Q: Now please imagine that the COVID-19 virus has diminished to the point where governments and health organisations have given everyone an 'all clear' to resume traveling, and any confinement you are under is lifted. How would you feel about/ act on each of the following types of trips/ methods of travel? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Change in behaviour after “all clear,” trended The proportion of Australians who would feel comfortable immediately taking part in a range of tourism activities has shown some variability over time. The w/c 2nd July saw a dip in comfort levels, which may reflect perceptions of a worsening situation with COVID-19 cases in Victoria and New South Wales. % I would feel comfortable doing this immediately Rent a car 40% Spend a night(s) at hotel, resort or inn 35% Spend a night(s) at a private rental property 30% (e.g. Airbnb) Fly on commercial airlines within Australia 25% Fly on commercial airlines internationally 20% Travel by train 15% Travel by bus/ shuttle 10% Take an ocean cruise 5% Take a river cruise 0% 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: Now please imagine that the COVID-19 virus has diminished to the point where governments and health organisations have given everyone an 'all clear' to resume traveling, and any confinement you are under is lifted. How would you feel about/ act on each of the following types of trips/ methods of travel? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Net change in accommodation type In general, the most common response to likelihood to stay at various accommodation types is “no change”, however there has been a net negative swing for cruise ships. Camping/Caravan and Serviced Apartments are more likely than other accommodation types to be unaffected or positively affected by COVID-19. % (More likely to stay + Unchanged) – Less likely to stay Camping, Caravan or Camper 70% Serviced Apartment Hotels 20% Bed and Breakfast or Inns Holiday rental Cruise ship -30% 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th August 13th August 20th August Q: As a result of COVID-19, to what extent are you more or less likely to stay at each of the following types of accommodation? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Willingness to pay more Between three and four in ten Australians are prepared to pay something more for either flights, hotels/accommodation, or entertainment than they would have prior to COVID-19, though there have been some decreases in willingness over the last two weeks, particularly for car rental and entertainment. % Willing to pay more for each item (NET) Millennials are more likely than other generations to indicate they would pay 50% something more, while Baby Boomers are less likely to be willing to pay more. 45% 40% 39% 38% 35% 34% 30% 29% Flights 25% Hotels/ accommodation 20% Car rental 15% Entertainment 10% 5% 0% 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th 25th June 2nd July 9th July 16th July 23rd July 30th July 6th 13th 20th June August August August Q: For the following question, please imagine that travel companies will look to increase their costs for a period of time in the future, in order to recover their loss in revenue over the past few months due to the COVID-19 restrictions. Imaging you were planning to travel during this time, approximately how much more, if anything, would you be willing to pay compared to costs pre-COVID-19? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
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Appendix (Wave 1 Archive)
Length of travel delay – Domestic (Wave 1) At the end of Wave 1, around two in ten indicate they have, or will be planning/booking their next domestic trip prior to July 2020, with the proportion indicating they have already booked slowly trending upwards over time. Baby Boomers (1946 - 1964) are more Book/plan personal domestic trips of any type likely than total to I've already done this May - July 2020 August - October 2020 indicate they don’t 40% know when they will November 2020 - January 2021 Net: Feb 2021 onwards Don't know book/plan or actually 31% go on their next 30% 29% 30% 29% 28% 25% 27% domestic trip 19% 21% 19% 18% 18%19% 20% 16%17% 17%17%17% 17% 17%15%18% 13% 16% 15%16% 15% 12% 12% 13% 13% 12% 11% 11%11% 11%11% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10% 0% 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Actually go on personal domestic trips of any type I've already done this May - July 2020 August - October 2020 40% November 2020 - January 2021 Net: Feb 2021 onwards Don't know 34% 30% 31% 31% 31% 31% 30% 24% 27% 23% 23% 23% 23% 21% 20%19% 21% 18% 18% 18%19% 18% 19% 20% 16% 16% 15% 15% 14% 14% 8% 7% 7% 9% 9% 9% 10% 5% 6% 7% 6% 4% 4% 4% 4% 0% 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Q: Approximately when do you think the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will subside in Australia enough so that you will personally start doing each of the following? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Length of travel delay – International (Wave 1) At the end of Wave 1, over two thirds are either unsure on when they will book or plan international trips, or are thinking of a post-Feb 2021 timeframe. Uncertainty about when Australians will actually travel overseas for their next trip remains high. Book/ plan personal international trips of any type I've already done this May - July 2020 August - October 2020 November 2020 - January 2021 Net: Feb 2021 onwards Don't know 50% Generation Z (1997 - 40% 38% 39% 39% 39% 37% 38% 37% 2009) and Millennials 29% 30% 30% 27% 27% 27% 27% (1981 - 1996) were more 24% likely than the total to 20% 17% 16% 16% 15% indicate they would 13% 12%13% 14% 9% 10% 10% 10% book/plan and actually go 8% 10% 7% 5% 6% 7% 4% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 6% 4% 7% on an international trip 3% before January 2021. 0% 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Actually go on personal international trips of any type I've already done this May - July 2020 August - October 2020 November 2020 - January 2021 Net: Feb 2021 onwards Don't know 50% 43% 43% 44% 40% 43% 43% 40% 36% 41% 36% 36% 38% 34% 34% Older generations were 30% 30% more likely to indicate they ‘don’t know’ when they 20% would book/plan or go on 14% 14% 12% 13% 11% 11% 10% their next international 10% 7% 6% trip. 5% 6% 4% 6% 4% 2% 6% 5% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 0% 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Q: Approximately when do you think the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic will subside in Australia enough so that you will personally start doing each of the following? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Future travel behaviour (Wave 1) At the end of Wave 1, a strong proportion of Australians will look at adjusting their travel behaviours once confinement is lifted. This could be as simple as always carrying hand sanitizer or as complex as adjusting travel times and destinations. Many will be looking closely at health safeguards/cleanliness at their destination of choice. Leading into the start of the school holidays, more indicated they will travel more during the off season. Travel behaviour once confinement is lifted 80% 70% I'll carry a hand sanitizer with me during all my future travel, 65% 60% I will ensure the destination has sufficient public health safeguards in place, 55% I will only stay at hotels/ resorts that guarantee cleanliness (e.g. regular cleaning of rooms and facilities etc.), 52% 50% I'll travel more during the off season to avoid crowds, 49% I will only fly on airlines that prioritise hygiene (e.g. promising cleaner planes before/ during the flight etc.), 49% 40% I will travel to less crowded cities, 45% 30% 20% 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July Q: Which, if any, of the following statements relating to your travel once any confinement you are under is lifted do you agree with? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Post COVID-19 domestic travel destinations (Wave 1) As of the last week of Wave 1 (w/c 25 June), Melbourne had seen a significant decline in desire to visit following the significant increase in daily COVID-19 cases there. Tasmania (outside of Hobart), regional Queensland (excl. Brisbane and Gold Coast) and regional NSW saw the highest levels of desire to visit overall. Destination most likely to visit after COVID-19 restrictions lifted Post-COVID travel destinations 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June 2nd July Tasmania (e.g. Port Arthur, Cradle Mountain, Bruny Island) 22% 25% 25% 25% 28% 27% 26% - Queensland residents were significantly Other Qld (e.g. Sunshine Coast, Great Barrier Reef, Fraser Island) 23% 24% 24% 26% 27% 25% 26% more likely to indicate that they would like to visit regional Qld (42%) after Other NSW (e.g. Hunter Valley, Snowy Mountains, Byron Bay) 25% 26% 26% 25% 25% 24% 26% - restrictions lift. Gold Coast 21% 25% 22% 24% 22% 22% 22% - Melbourne 26% 23% 25% 24% 26% 24% 19% - Older generations (Gen X (1965 - 1980) Sydney 21% 23% 20% 18% 21% 23% 19% - and older) are less likely to indicate they Brisbane 16% 17% 15% 15% 17% 14% 17% - would visit Melbourne this wave Other Vic (e.g. Grampians, Great Ocean Road) 16% 18% 19% 17% 18% 18% 16% - compared to younger generations. Other WA (e.g. the Kimberley, Margaret River, Ningaloo Reef) 15% 18% 15% 15% 16% 15% 16% - Generation Z (1997 - 2009) are more Other SA (e.g. Kangaroo Island, Barossa Valley, Lake Eyre) 12% 12% 13% 14% 14% 14% 15% - likely than the average to indicate they Perth 15% 16% 14% 14% 14% 15% 14% - would like to visit Sydney, Melbourne Hobart 11% 15% 15% 13% 16% 14% 14% - the Gold Coast and Other Victoria. Adelaide 12% 14% 12% 15% 14% 12% 13% - Central Aus (e.g. Alice Springs, Uluru) 10% 11% 8% 10% 11% 11% 13% - Baby Boomers less likely than average to indicate they would like to visit Northern NT/Top End (e.g. Kakadu, Arnhem Land) 13% 14% 12% 14% 13% 13% 12% - Sydney, and Gold Coast. Darwin 10% 11% 11% 11% 11% 11% 12% - Canberra/ACT 9% 11% 10% 10% 11% 8% 10% - None of these (wave 2-4) 9% 9% 12% n/a n/a n/a n/a - None of these - I would only like to travel internationally outside n/a n/a n/a 4% 3% 4% 4% - of Australia (waves 5-8) None of these - I would not like to travel anywhere (waves 5-8) n/a n/a n/a 7% 9% 9% 10% - Q: If you were looking to book a domestic holiday/trip away once COVID-19 restrictions are lifted, where would you most likely to travel to? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Change in behaviour after “all clear” (Wave 1) At the end of Wave 1 , once given the “ok”, Australians are by and large ready to take an overnight visit with friends/family, visit a natural space (including the beach), or take a road trip. They are more trepidatious about international air travel, theme parks, and river/ocean cruises. Travel behaviour once in the “all clear”: week commencing 25 June. 100% I would feel comfortable doing this 7% immediately 90% 19% 16% 16% 27% 25% 26% 12% 34% 32% 34% 35% 33% I would still do this in the future, but might 80% wait a few months 53% 24% 70% 63% 60% 58% 33% 28% 34% I would wait up to a full year to do this 60% 27% 24% 26% 35% 40% 50% 36% 38% 36% 29% 16% I would never do this again 40% 15% 20% 30% 29% 17% 30% 24% 24% 34% 7% Not applicable – I've never done this and 24% 3% 23% 5% 20% 25% 6% never would have in the future, for reasons 20% 20% 21% 7% unrelated to COVID-19 9% 11% 11% 4% 4% 10% 7% 2% 3% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 0% Visit overnight Take a road trip Visit a Go to an ocean, Rent a car Go to the Visit attractions Spend a Travel by train Travel by Fly on Spend a Fly on Visit a theme Take a river Take an ocean with family or national/state beach or lake mountains or such as night(s) at bus/shuttle commercial night(s) at a commercial park cruise cruise friends park, forest or area ski fields museums, art hotel, resort or airlines within private rental airlines other natural galleries, inn Australia (e.g. property (e.g. internationally space aquariums, or Qantas, Virgin Airbnb) (e.g. Qantas, other indoor etc.) Virgin etc.) tours Q: Now please imagine that the COVID-19 virus has diminished to the point where governments and health organisations have given everyone an 'all clear' to resume traveling, and any confinement you are under is lifted. How would you feel about/ act on each of the following types of trips/ methods of travel? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Change in behaviour after “all clear” (Wave 1) At the end of Wave 1, comfort with immediately taking part in a number of tourism experiences had improved this wave after it dropped back slightly last wave. Queensland residents are more likely than the total to % I would feel comfortable doing this immediately indicate they would feel comfortable to immediately go to an ocean/beach/lake area, visit a national/state park, forest 80% or other natural space, take a road trip and visit overnight with family or friends. 70% Visit a theme or amusement park 60% Go to an ocean, beach or lake area 50% Go to the mountains or ski fields 40% Visit a national/state park, forest or other natural space 30% Visit attractions such as museums, art galleries, aquariums, or other indoor tours 20% Visit overnight with family or friends 10% Take a road trip 0% 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Q: Now please imagine that the COVID-19 virus has diminished to the point where governments and health organisations have given everyone an 'all clear' to resume traveling, and any confinement you are under is lifted. How would you feel about/ act on each of the following types of trips/ methods of travel? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
Net change in accommodation type (Wave 1) In general, at the end of Wave 1, the most common response to likelihood to stay at various accommodation types was “no change”, however there has been a net negative swing for cruise ships. Personal holiday properties, upscale/luxury, serviced apartments and camping/caravan/camper are not as much affected. It will be important for other accommodation types to think about health and sanitation procedures to reassure consumers at this time. % (More likely to stay + Unchanged) – Less likely to stay Baby Boomers (1946 - 1964) and the Silent Generation (1918 - 1945) are less likely to stay on a cruise ship as a result of COVID-19. 70 Personal holiday property Upscale, Luxury or Resort hotels 50 Service Apartment Camping, Caravan or Camper 30 Mid-scale hotels Bed and Breakfast or Inns Limited Service hotels 10 Holiday rental 7th May 14th May 21st May 28th May 4th June 11th June 18th June 25th June Cruise ship -10 -30 Q: As a result of COVID-19, to what extent are you more or less likely to stay at each of the following types of accommodation? Source: YouGov Covid-19 Australia Travel Monitor
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