Country Profile South Korea - www.lloyds.com/SouthKoreaMI April 2014
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KEY FACTS FULL NAME / CAPITAL CITY: Republic of Korea / Seoul GDP (PPP): US$ 1,598bn (Global Rank #13) LANGUAGE: Korean, English widely understood POPULATION: 48.9m (Global Rank #26) IMF CATEGORISATION: “Developed” MAIN EXPORT PARTNERS: China 24%, US 10%, Japan 7% (2011) MAIN IMPORT PARTNERS: China 17%, Japan 13%, US 9% (2011) MAIN EXPORTS: Semiconductors, wireless telecommunications equipment, motor vehicles MAIN IMPORTS: Machinery, electronics and electronic equipment, oil 2012 Rank 2013 Rank Change in Rank EASE OF DOING BUSINESS: 8 8 0 COMPETITIVENESS: 24 19 5 FREEDOM FROM CORRUPTION: 40 42 -2 DISASTER YEAR ECONOMIC COST (US$ x 1000) Storm 2003 4,500,000 Storm 2002 4,200,000 Flood 1998 1,480,000 Storm 2004 570,000 Storm 1995 425,000 Source: Disaster Statistics based on: Prevention Web (2013); Export Statistics based on CIA World Factbook; Doing Business Indicators based on World Bank & World Economic Forum © Lloyd’s 2
KEY STATISTICS GOVERNANCE INDICATORS SIZE OF ECONOMY WEALTH PER CAPITA Percentile Rank (1-100) 2012 Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) basis KR SG HK in International $ bn in International $ 3,000 100,000 South Korea Singapore Hong Kong 2,228 2012 2,500 Government Effectiveness 84 100 97 75,000 1,598 43,344 2,000 Political Stability and Absence of 1,189 52 97 80 31,950 Violence/Terrorism 1,500 50,000 24,580 Control of Corruption 70 97 93 1,000 25,000 Regulatory Quality 77 100 100 500 Rule of Law 80 96 91 0 0 2006 2012 2018f 2006 2012 2018f Voice and Accountability 70 54 67 KR SG HK KR SG HK TOTAL NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET* NON-LIFE DIRECT INSURANCE MARKET LLOYD’S GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS Premiums in US$ m Premiums in US$ m; by OECD Class Gross Signed Premiums in US$ m; by country of origin 30,000 350 Motor 6,685 20,307 1,286 300 18,840 25,000 4,628 17,849 PA & Health 25,069 250 204 20,000 171 165 15,000 Property South Korea* 200 2012 150 10,000 Liability 25,841 US$ 18.8bn 100 5,000 MAT 50 0 23,655 2011 2012 2013 0 Miscellaneous 2011 2012 2013 KR SG HK * Excludes Long-Term & Private Annuity KR SG HK All data, sources & data limitations are available for download at www.lloyds.com/comparecountries; * 2013 total non-life based on CAGR projection LLOYD’S TRADING POSITION Insurance: No: (with some exceptions) South Korea Reinsurance: Yes www.lloyds.com/crystal Coverholders: No © Lloyd’s 3
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT President Park Geun-hye's domestic agenda faces further delays. Park's plans to expand the welfare system have lost momentum in the face of opposition in the legislature and hostile rhetoric from North Korea in the first quarter of 2013. Moreover, the tax increases needed to pay for increased welfare spending are likely to face further opposition in the National Assembly, increasing the risk of further legislative delays in 2014. Good economic performance extends into Q4 2013. South Korean GDP grew at a 3.7% annual rate in the fourth quarter, down from the previous two quarters but still impressive considering the slow recovery in the rest of the world. The largest contributor to growth was capital expenditures; this was much better than expected, since investment in equipment generally reflects exports performance and the latter fell in the third quarter. More importantly, the growth in capital expenditure (capex) reflects improved expectations by the industrial sector, which bodes well for continued growth in 2014. Cooling regional relations likely to limit South Korea's foreign policy options. Park came to power pledging to pursue trust-building policies with North Korea. However, hostility from Pyongyang at the beginning of 2013 and a broader cooling of regional relations in the second half of the year, driven by increasing foreign policy assertiveness by China and Japan, has reduced Seoul's room for manoeuvre in its foreign policy. Relations with North Korea in particular are unlikely to improve significantly in the first half of 2014. Bank of Korea (BOK) still holding steady. Economic weakness caused the BOK to lower interest rates in 2012 and 2013. Even after growth began to strengthen, the policy rate was left at 2.50%. Although low by historical standards, there is as yet no sign of inflation, and the won remains strong. So the next rate hike will likely be in 2015 at the earliest, assuming the world economy recovers as expected and raises demand for Korean exports. GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) TOP-10 SECTORS (BY VALUE ADDED) BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT INFORMATION (nominal GDP levels in billion US$; Real GDP change) (value added in billion US$ & 2014 Change in real %) (provided by IHS Global Insight, April 2014) 2,000 7% 2013 2014 6.3% TOP SECTORS Value Percentage 6% Added Change 1,500 1. Real estate 323.5 1.0 5% 2. Health and social services 234.5 -1.9 4% 3. Business services 225.0 1.1 3.7% 3.6% 3.7% 4. Public Admin. & Defense 193.7 -1.6 1,000 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 2.8% 3% 5. Construction 145.3 0.4 6. Education 137.9 0.7 2.0% 2% 500 7. Retail trade - total 137.8 0.3 8. Wholesale trade 108.2 0.6 1% 9. Banking & related financial 80.6 1.5 0 0% 10. Computing & related services 60.5 1.4 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Top-10 Total 1647 For daily updates visit: > www.ihsglobalinsight.com © Lloyd’s 4
INSURANCE ENVIRONMENT 2012 MAJOR DIRECT INSURERS 2012 DIRECT PREMIUMS QUICK LINKS / USEFUL SOURCES (Direct Premiums exclude Motor, Guarantee, Long-Term and (Premiums in US$ m; by OECD Class) Private Annuity; GWP in US$ bn) Insurance Market Profiles > www.iii.org/international/profiles Samsung 1.42 Motor 1,431 817 General Insurance Association LIG 0.94 PA & Health > www.knia.or.kr Hyundai 0.90 The Insurance Regulator Property South Korea* Dongbu 0.73 > http://english.fss.or.kr 4,643 2012 Chartis (AIG) 0.41 Liability US$ 18.8bn Lloyd’s Agency Network Nonghyup 0.32 11,661 > www.lloyds.com/agency MAT Lloyd’s Claims Team 288 Hanwha 0.29 > www.lloyds.com/claims Meritz 0.26 Miscellaneous ACE 0.13 * Excludes Long-Term & Private Annuity Lotte 0.12 BUSINESS CULTURE GUIDE 0 0.5 1 1.5 > http://www.kwintessential.co.uk Source: Association; https://www.knia.or.kr Source: Association; https://www.knia.or.kr (View Resources > Culture Guide) The South Korean non-life insurance market is one of the largest in Asia with premiums in excess of US$ 18bn: Driven by the strength of the South Korean economy and the motor sector, the insurance market has grown significantly in the past six years compared to many of its peers. Long-term business represents a large portion of the Korean insurance market . Products of this type accounted for 61% of total of the market and are more closely aligned to typical life products. Strong local players dominate the market: The South Korean market is relatively consolidated, with the industry centred around ‘chaebols’. The word “chaebol” refers to a South Korean form of business conglomerate. In most cases these are centrally structured, family-owned corporations which control a significant portion of the non-life insurance market in South Korea. In many cases, chaebols operate alliances between one another, reinforcing the dominance of a handful of players within the market. Broker market: While domestic brokers were introduced in 1997, followed by the entry of foreign brokers a year later, insurance broking still accounts for less than 1% of total premium. Commercial Lines are mostly sold through Independent Agents and Brokers and Business Development Executives of the insurers. Some commercial lines are sold through Personal Lines channel but that would be more of an exception than a rule. Reinsurance: Korean Re is the dominant reinsurer. In 2012, Korean Re represented 74% of the market share including life reinsurance. © Lloyd’s 5
LLOYD’S BUSINESS 2009-2013 LLOYD’S TOTAL PREMIUMS 2013 LLOYD’S HIGH LEVEL CLASSES Gross Signed Premiums; Direct versus Reinsurance; in million US$ Gross Signed Premiums; high level classes; in million US$ 250 2013 GROSS SIGNED PREMIUMS* UK Motor 0.0 Total US$ 204m Overseas Motor 0.0 200 Property Treaty 43.8 Reinsurance US$ 193m 150 Property (D&F) 35.3 Direct US$ 11m Marine 71.2 193 100 148 145 148 *COUNTRY OF ORIGIN PREMIUMS Energy 15.3 110 Policyholders are based or headquartered in this territory; Casualty 9.2 50 Casualty Treaty 1.1 28 Premiums may be written outside 17 26 17 0 11 this territory; Aviation 18.9 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 X Not necessarily where risks are located Accident & Health 9.7 Direct Reinsurance X May differ to what is reported to local regulator (dependent on local requirements). 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 SOURCE: Market Intelligence based on *Gross Signed premiums; Xchanging (2014); unaudited figures based on country of origin and processing by calendar year; see Appendix for details Mr Kent Chaplin / Ms Alex Faris Lloyd’s Asia Lloyd's Trading Centres provide bespoke services to 8 Marina View Lloyd’s Office support the underwriting of business in the region, #14-01 Asia Square Tower 1 Country Singapore 018960 Type including Lloyd's branded office space, a single Lloyd's Manager entity and back office services. TELEPHONE: +65 6499 9333EMAIL: kent.chaplin@lloyds.com alexandra.faris@lloyds.com © Lloyd’s 6
APPENDIX MACRO-ECONOMIC & BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT DATA Source: IMF (www.imf.org/external/data.htm), World Bank (http://data.worldbank.org/), IHS Global Insight. Notes: GDP data on size and wealth of the economy is reported in Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) terms; this is the most accurate indicator of the true standard of living in each country and therefore potential demand. To calculate this, GDP is converted from local currency to an international $ currency using PPP exchange rates rather than the market exchange rate. The PPP local currency-to-international $ exchange rates are determined such that a standard basket of goods has the same price in international $ terms in each country. This adjusts for the differing costs of goods across countries, when converted at market exchange rates. INSURANCE MARKET DATA Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s Market Intelligence team; original source is regulatory bodies, associations, third party information providers. Notes: Data is reported in US$. For more information, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries. Exchange Rates Note: Where required, data has been converted to US$ using annual average exchange rates as per www.oanda.com. LLOYD’S PREMIUM DATA Source: Reported data derived by Lloyd’s; original source is Xchanging (data therefore contains only premiums processed by Xchanging). Notes: Data is reported is US$, on a calendar year basis and is signed gross premiums. This differs from the data published in the Lloyd’s Annual Report, which is also on a calendar year basis, but is written gross premiums and sourced directly from Syndicates. Differences are therefore (1) timing inconsistencies between signed and written gross premiums; (2) inconsistent use of exchange rates by Syndicates and Xchanging; & (3) incompleteness of Xchanging data set for certain classes of business (a substantial amount of premium is not processed by Xchanging and missing from the REG 258 data set; this comprises, for example, UK Motor). Exchange Rates Note: Data has been converted to US$ using monthly exchange rates provided by Xchanging. Definitions: Gross Signed Premiums: Original and additional inward premiums, plus any amount in respect of administration fees or policy expenses remitted with a premium but before the deduction of outward reinsurance premiums. Calendar Year: Relates to the calendar year in which the premium, additional or return, is processed by Xchanging. This is irrespective of the actual underwriting year of account, which is determined by the inception date of each risk. Country of Origin: Denotes the domicile of the insured party (i.e. the coverholder or policyholder). This is the country from which demand for the insurance / reinsurance emanates, & is irrespective of the country to which the risk is classified for regulatory reporting purposes. Example: A policy holder in the UK insuring a holiday home in France would be classified as a UK risk by “Country Of Origin”, but “French” for regulatory reporting purposes. Similarly a risk incepting on 1st December 2007 would be classified at 2007 “Underwriting Year of Account” but may not be processed by Xchanging until 2008 and so be allocated to the 2008 “processing year”. ACCESSING THE DATA: to access the raw data in this document, and equivalent data for other countries, see www.lloyds.com/comparecountries. DISCLAIMER: This document is intended for general information purposes only. Whilst all care has been taken to ensure the accuracy of the information, Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility for any errors or omissions. Lloyd's does not accept any responsibility or liability for any loss to any person acting or refraining from action as a result of, but not limited to, any statement, fact, figure, expression of opinion or belief contained in this document. © Lloyd’s 7
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