CONFERENCE PROGRAM - ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS FLORENCE 8 10 February 2017 - Italian Association for Population ...

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CONFERENCE PROGRAM - ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS FLORENCE 8 10 February 2017 - Italian Association for Population ...
ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS
           12th edition

       8‐10 February 2017

           FLORENCE

CONFERENCE PROGRAM
CONFERENCE PROGRAM - ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS FLORENCE 8 10 February 2017 - Italian Association for Population ...
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CONFERENCE PROGRAM - ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS FLORENCE 8 10 February 2017 - Italian Association for Population ...
Dear colleagues,
the Italian Association for Population Studies (AISP) is pleased to welcome you to the
12th edition of the Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione 2017 (Population Days 2017).
The Giornate di Studio sulla Popolazione, held every two years, is one of the most
important initiatives of the AISP. On that occasion, Italian and international leading
experts and scholars present and discuss ongoing research on population and society.
Conferences are based on parallel sessions, organized by subject areas.
On behalf of the scientific committee and the organizing team we welcome you in
Florence!

ORGANIZING COMMITTEES

Scientific Committee                   Local Organizing Committee

Salvatore Strozza, President           Silvana Salvini, President
Gustavo De Santis, Vice President      Gustavo De Santis
Arnstein Aassve                        Alessandra Petrucci
Alessio Fornasin                       Elena Pirani
Giuseppe Gabrielli                     Valentina Tocchioni
Silvia Meggiolaro                      Daniele Vignoli
Alessandra Petrucci
Elena Pirani
Luciana Quattrociocchi
Silvana Salvini
Daniele Vignoli

                                            3
CONFERENCE PROGRAM - ITALIAN POPULATION DAYS FLORENCE 8 10 February 2017 - Italian Association for Population ...
Population Days 2017 at a glance
         Wednesday 8                        Thursday 9                             Friday 10
                                            Parallel sessions                      Parallel sessions
                                            S6. Union dissolution (5)              S21. Coping strategies in later life (4)
                                            S7. Economic uncertainty and           S22. Family context and fertility (8)
09:00‐                                          fertility (8)
10:30                                                                              S23. Health in later life – 2 (5)
                                            S8. Internal migrations (4)
                                                                                   S24. Integration of foreigners (7)
                                            S9. Mortality issues (7)
                                                                                   S25. Methods – 2 (9)
                                            S10. Developing countries (9)

10:30‐
                                            Coffee break                           Coffee break
11:00
                                            Parallel sessions                      Parallel sessions
                                            S11. Childlessness (4)                 S26. Divorce (consequences) (4)
                                            S12. Health issues (5)                 S27. Education issues (7)
11:00‐
12:30                                       S13. In memory of V. Solesin – 1 (7)   S28. Gender and living
                                                                                        arrangements (8)
                                            S14. Transitions in life course (9)
                                                                                   S29. Measuring and counting (9)
                                            S15. Wellbeing (8)
                                                                                   S30. Migration issues (5)
                               12:00
             12:00
                            E1. Authors
          Registration                                                             E5. Plenary session
12:30‐                      meet critics
                                 (5)     Lunch                                         Presentation of the new
14:00
                                                                                       AISP book (8)

14:00‐
       Welcome address (8)                  Parallel sessions                      Lunch box
14:30
                                            S16. Employment (4)
                                            S17. Historical demography (7)
       E2. Plenary session
14:30‐     with the Swedish                 S18. Migrant trajectories (5)
15:30      Demographic                      S19. Socio‐economic drivers of
           Association (8)                       fertility (8)
                                            S20. In memory of V. Solesin – 2 (9)
                             P1. Poster                           P2. Poster
15:30‐       Coffee                              Coffee
                             session 1                            session 2
16:30        break                               break
                              (foyer)                               (foyer)
         Parallel sessions                  16.30‐17.00
         S1. Culture and migration (5)      E3. Istat Session on Permanent
                                                Population Census (5)
16:30‐ S2. Culture and fertility (8)
18:00 S3. Economic issues (7)

         S4. Health in later life – 1 (4)   17.00‐18.45
                                            E4. AISP General Assembly (8)
         S5. Methods – 1 (9)

18:30 Guided tour of the Museo
      degli Innocenti

19:30 – 21:30 Welcome Cocktail              20:30 Social Dinner

NOTE: Locations are in brackets.

                                                            4
The Venue
The main venue of the Conference will be in Via Gino Capponi 9, one of the
locations of the University of Florence in the city center.

Social events
The Welcome Party will be held at Salone delle Compagnie, Istituto degli
Innocenti, in Piazza Santissima Annunziata 12, from 19.30 to 21.30 on
Wednesday 8th.

Before the cocktail party, at 18.30, we are glad to invite you to a guided tour of
the Museo degli Innocenti.

The Social Dinner will be held at Palazzo Borghese, Via Ghibellina 110/N,
starting at 20.30 on Thursday 9th at the cost of 40€. Payment until 12.00 of
Thursday 9th in the registration area (Via Gino Capponi 9).

Other information
   Internet WiFi
EDUROAM Internet connection available: don’t forget to bring your EDUROAM
credentials.

   Taxi
If you need Taxis you can call it by Radiotaxi (phone):
(+39) 0554242, (+39) 0554390, (+39) 0554798.

   Visiting Florence
You can find useful information for visiting Florence on the Official tourism
website of Florence (http://www.firenzeturismo.it/en/) or on the Visit Florence
website (https://www.visitflorence.com/it/)

                                         5
How to reach the Locations of the Conference and Social
Events
From the Florence Train Central Station (Santa Maria Novella) you can walk to
via Gino Capponi 9 or take a bus.

From Santa Maria Novella railway station, it takes approximately 15 minutes
to walk to the venue (about 1.5 Km). From Piazza della Stazione take Largo
Alinari (80 m), continue straight on Via Nazionale (300 m). Then turn right on Via
Guelfa (360m) and continue straight on Via degli Alfani, and after about 200 m
turn left on Via dei Servi. Cross Piazza dell’Annunziata and go straight to Via Gino
Capponi (entrance on the left after about 150 m).

The bus lines from the Central Station that get you close to the conference site are
n. 6A, 6B, 14, 14A, 23A, 23B, and the closest bus stop is Santissima Annunziata
(after Piazza San Marco). You can check the transportation company web page for
directions and timetables (www.ataf.net). From the bus stop, you need to walk
for less than 5 minutes: continue on Via Cesare Battisti for 50 m, then turn left on
Via Gino Capponi. You will find the entrance on the left after about 150 m.

The Welcome cocktail will take place in the Salone delle Compagnie, Istituto
degli Innocenti, in Piazza Santissima Annunziata 12, very close to the conference
location (less than 200 m from Via Gino Capponi 9).

The social dinner will take place at Palazzo Borghese, Via Ghibellina 110/N. It is
a ten‐minute walk from the main conference venue (about 1 km).

Further details in the accommodation section in the conference website
(http://www.sis‐aisp.it/ocs‐2.3.4/index.php/popdays2017/popdays2017).

                                         6
Wednesday 8

E1. Authors meet critics (h. 12:00‐14:00, room 5, Italian)
     Chair: Roberto Impicciatore
1.   Migration in the Mediterranean. Socio‐economic perspectives, Elena Ambrosetti, Donatella
     Strangio and Catherine Wihtol de Wenden (Eds.), Routledge, London and New York, 2016
     Presenting author: Elena Ambrosetti
     Discussant: Giancarlo Blangiardo

2.   Per una storia della popolazione italiana del Novecento, Alessio Fornasin and Claudio
     Lorenzini (Eds.), Forum Editrice, Udine, 2016
     Presenting author: Alessio Fornasin
     Discussant: Elisabetta Barbi

3.   Il lungo viaggio dell’umanità. Dalle savane alle migrazioni globali, Massimo Livi Bacci,
     Zanichelli, 2016
     Presenting author: Massimo Livi Bacci
     Discussant: Corrado Bonifazi

4.   Generazioni solidali – Giovani e anziani nell'Italia della crisi, Marco Accorinti and Enrico
     Pugliese (Eds.), LiberEtà, 2015
     Presenting author: Enrico Pugliese
     Discussant: Alessandra De Rose

5.   Il futuro che (non) c’è, Alessandro Rosina and Sergio Sorgi, Università Bocconi Editore, 2016
     Presenting author: Alessandro Rosina
     Discussant: Roberto Impicciatore

Welcome address (h. 14.00‐14.30, room 8, Italian)

E2. Plenary session with the Swedish Demographic Association
    (h. 14.30‐15.30, room 8, English)
     Chair: Daniele Vignoli
1.   Gunnar Andersson
     Nordic Demographic Societies: Small populations, great data

2.   Gerda Neyer
     Low fertility in Europe: Is gender equality the solution?

                                                 7
P1. Coffee break and Poster session 1 (h. 15:30‐16:30, foyer)
1.    Silvia Venturi, Pietro Manfredi, Luigi Marangi, Odo Barsotti, Giovanni Gestri, Simone Mancini,
      Rini Picchi
      Determinants of school performance in a cohort of Tuscany students
2.    Liu Lei
      Social inclusion of rural elderly left behind by internal labor migration: a case study in a
      Chinese rural village in Anhui province
3.    Silvana Salvini, Alessandra Petrucci, Elena Pirani
      The gendered shaping of academic career in Italy. A case study
4.    Laura Iannucci, Emanuela Bologna
      Unhealthy habits among generations
5.    Daniela Bellani
      Educational gradient and fertility quantum in Europe. Labor market institutions and
      diffusion of new values
6.    Marco Breschi, Alessio Fornasin, Matteo Manfredini, Stanislao Mazzoni, Lucia Pozzi
      Socio‐economic status, health and mortality over the life course. Alghero (Sardinia) and
      Resia (Friuli) between the 19th and 20th century
7.    Nourelhouda Fredj, Zahia Ouadah‐Bedidi
      The first meeting: the beginning of a long process in couple's formation among young men
      and women in Tunisia
8.    Patrick Präg, Lea Ellwardt, Francesco C. Billari
      Internet use and social contacts
9.    Massimo Castellano
      Potential of employment growth of white jobs in Italy and their role in support of our
      welfare system
10.   Kathrin Morosow
      Is the home‐care‐allowance disadvantaging single parents? Labor market outcome
      consequences of the cash‐for‐care benefit for single parents in Finland
11.   Marco Battaglini, Giorgia Capacci
      Semisuper e supercentenari: analisi dei dati dell’archivio italiano
12.   Valeria Bordone, Bruno Arpino, Sergei Scherbov
      I am gonna live forever. Grandparenthood and subjective life expectancy
13.   Sara Tafuro
      The role of income vulnerability and gender development in the persistence of son
      preference. A worldwide analysis of determinants of sex imbalances
14.   Alberto Arcagni, Elisa Barbiano di Belgiojoso, Marco Fattore, Stefania Maria Lorenza Rimoldi
      Un nuovo approccio per la valutazione della povertà tra gli stranieri attraverso variabili
      ordinali
15.   Enrico Ripamonti, Stefano Barberis
      Cultural capital and human capital in Italy: a geographical perspective
16.   Fabrizio Bernardi
      The divorce penalty in children educational attainment in Spain
17.   Luisa Salaris, Nicola Tedesco
      Ukrainian women in Italy: occupational segregation and penalties
18.   Jan Saarela, Rosa Weber
      Why do migrants go back and forth? Circular migration between Finland and Sweden
19.   Diederik Boertien, Iñaki Permanyer
      The influence of educational marital homogamy on income inequality between households
      from a comparative perspective

                                                  8
20. Antonio Lucadamo, Paola Mancini, Annamaria Nifo
    Healthcare expenditure and quality of institutions during the economic crisis: evidence
    from Italian data
21. Simone Russo, Raffaele Migliorini, Marco Aurelio Trabucco, Andrea Marcellusi, Francesco
    Saverio Mennini
    Malattie cronico‐degenerative e previdenza sociale: un’analisi demografica sulle
    prestazioni per l’invalidità
22. Eralba Cela, Eros Moretti
    Age of ageing: gli effetti dell’invecchiamento nella regione Marche
23. Francesco Giovanni Truglia, Federico Benassi, Roberta Varriale
    The election turnout in Italy. Demographic and territorial factors in a spatial perspective
24. Maria Veronica Dorgali, Luca Faustini, Piero Manfredi, Angela Bechini, Alessandra Petrucci,
    Barbara Pacini, Paolo Bonanni
    Attitudes, knowledge and intentions towards HPV immunization and cervical cancer
    prevention among female university students in Tuscany

S1. Culture and migration (h. 16:30‐18:00, room 5, English)
     Chair: Corrado Bonifazi
1.   Anna Di Bartolomeo
     Couple‐related migration to Europe: The role of higher education
2.   Pablo Gracia, Carlos Gil‐Hernández
     The educational and occupational aspirations of ethnic‐minority adolescents in Spain: new
     evidence on explanatory factors
3.   Eleonora Mussino, Jussi Tervola, Ann‐Zofie Duvander
     Finns in Sweden: What influences fathers’ parental leave use?
4.   Elena Ambrosetti, Marina Attili, Cinzia Castagnaro
     Prenatal sex selection in migratory context: new evidences from Italy
5.   Ben Wilson, Jouni Kuha
     What is the influence of childhood exposure to cultural norms? The role of segregation and
     community composition in explaining migrant fertility

S2. Culture and fertility (h. 16:30‐18:00, room 8, English)
     Chair: Fabrizio Bernardi
1.   Francesco C. Billari, Osea Giuntella, Maria Sironi
     Internet and the timing of births
2.   Mattia Oliviero, Stefani Scherer
     Fertility behaviour and the mediating role of institutional and cultural contexts: evidence
     from European internal migrants
3.   Maria Castiglioni, Gianpiero Dalla Zuanna, Maria Letizia Tanturri
     Persisting geographical differences in low fertility
4.   Giuliana Giuliani
     Ideal men, women, and family size
5.   Christine Schnor, Marika Jalovaara
     The increase in non‐marital childbearing and its link to educational expansion

                                               9
S3. Economic issues (h. 16:30‐18:00, room 7, English)
     Chair: Cecilia Tomassini
1.   Marina Zannella, Alessandra De Rose
     Non‐cash transfers and the gender contract. Implications of the economic crisis in Italy
2.   Antonino Di Pino, Maria Gabriella Campolo
     Selectivity of bargaining and the causal effects of retirement on the labour division in the
     Italian couples
3.   Chiara Daniela Pronzato, Paola Profeta, Valeria Ferraro, Giulia Ferrari
     Gender quotas: challenging the boards, performance, and the stock market
4.   Romina Fraboni, Agnese Vitali
     Why pool resources in marriage? A study on the choice of matrimonial property regime in
     Italy
5.   Angelo Lorenti, Christian Dudel, Mikko Myrskylä
     The length of working life in Italy before and during the economic crisis

S4. Health in later life – 1 (h. 16:30‐18:00, room 4, English)
     Chair: Bruno Arpino
1.   Damiano Uccheddu
     The role of socioeconomic status on health at older ages across different European welfare
     clusters: evidence from SHARE data, 2004‐2013
2.   Odoardo Bussini, Donatella Lanari
     The effects of immigrant status and age at migration on changes in older Europeans’ health
3.   Marta Pasqualini, Donatella Lanari, Liliana Minelli, Luca Pieroni, Luca Salmasi
     Health and income inequalities in Europe: what is the role of circumstances?
4.   Benedetta Pongiglione, George B. Ploubidis, Bianca Lucia De Stavola
     Disability‐free life expectancy over a decade in England: understanding trends
5.   Elena Demuro
     Health in the last years of life among older Italian adults

S5. Methods – 1 (h. 16:30‐18:00, room 9, Italian)
     Chair: Mariano Porcu
1.   Lucia Zanotto, Stefano Mazzuco
     Reconstruction of cohort data with EM algorithm
2.   Emilia Rocco, Elena Pirani
     Understanding changes in family satisfaction of Italian couples over time
3.   Margherita Silan, Giovanna Boccuzzo, Giulio Caperna, Nicolò Preo
     Quantification of frail people using administrative data and several outcomes: A proposal
     based on partially ordered sets on multiple outcomes
4.   Ugofilippo Basellini, Carlo‐Giovanni Camarda
     Modeling and forecasting age at death distributions
5.   Gianni Corsetti, Marco Marsili
     Educational attainment forecast of the Italian resident population by a continuous‐time
     microsimulation model

                                               10
Thursday 9

S6. Union dissolution (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 5, English)
     Chair: Alessandra De Rose
1.   Marco Albertini, Marco Tosi
     Divorce, father‐child contact and grandparents’ involvement in childcare in Italy
2.   Kathrin Morosow, Marika Jalovaara, Juho Härkönen
     Cash‐for‐care use and union dissolution in Finland
3.   Sylwia Timoszuk
     Being poor but feeling not so poor? Widowhood and financial wellbeing of older women
     living in Poland
4.   Li Ma, Jani Turunen, Ester Rizzi
     Family formation type and divorce in China
5.   Anna Barbuscia
     Fertility treatments, childbearing and timing of divorce. Evidence from American women
     in their first marriage using data from the National Survey of Family Growth (2002‐2013)

S7. Economic uncertainty and fertility (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 8, English)
     Chair: Chiara Rapallini
1.   Chiara Ludovica Comolli
     Intergenerational mobility during the Great Recession: the impact on the transition to
     motherhood for American women
2.   Daniele Vignoli, Valentina Tocchioni, Alessandra Mattei
     First birth losses and gains under economic uncertainty in Italy
3.   Daniele Vignoli, Giammarco Alderotti, Letizia Mencarini
     Is the impact of employment uncertainty on fertility intentions channeled by subjective
     wellbeing?
4.   Roberta Rutigliano
     Many hands make light work: childcare arrangements and the risk of second birth in the UK
5.   Alexandra Tragaki, Christos Bagavos
     Fertility in the time of recession: the case of Greece during the years 2000‐2014

S8. Internal migrations (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 4, Italian)
     Chair: Eros Moretti
1.   Giovanni Boscaino, Pietro Vassallo
     La migrazione studentesca dalla laurea triennale alla magistrale
2.   Roberto Impicciatore, Nazareno Panichella
     Internal migration in Italy. A life course approach
3.   Massimo Attanasio, Marco Enea
     La mobilità studentesca in Italia: un'analisi dei flussi dal Sud d'Italia verso il Centro‐Nord
4.   Massimiliano Crisci, Barbara Di Tanna
     Temporary migration for work from Southern Italy
5.   Cecilia Reynaud, Enrico Tucci
     The recent internal mobility in Italy: the role of women and foreigners

                                                 11
S9. Mortality issues (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 7, English)
     Chair: Elisabetta Barbi
1.   Virginia Zarulli, Julia A. Barthold, Anna Oksuzyan, Rune Lindahl‐Jacobsen, Kaare Christensen,
     James W. Vaupel
     Women survive severe famines and epidemics better than men
2.   Lucia Zanotto, Vladimir Canudas‐Romo
     Evolution of premature mortality
3.   Virgina Zarulli, Anna Oksuzyan, Bernard Jeune, Kaare Christensen, James E. Oeppen, James W.
     Vaupel, Rune Lindahl‐Jacobsen
     Women outlive men more as they become old
4.   Sol P. Juárez, Sven Drefahl, Mikael Rostila
     All‐cause mortality, age at arrival and duration of residence among adult migrants in
     Sweden. A population‐based longitudinal study
5.   Filip Wigselius
     Inequalities in the broken heart syndrome

S10. Developing countries (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 9, English)
     Chair: Silvana Salvini
1.   Liliana Andriano, Christiaan W.S. Monden
     Maternal education and child mortality: evidence from a quasi‐experiment in Malawi and
     Uganda
2.   Valentina Fusari
     Fertility transition in Eritrea: figures and narratives
3.   Elisa Rizzo, Renzo Derosas
     Female education and fertility in sub‐Saharan Africa
4.   Antonia Verger
     Do household’s demographic structures influence children’s educational attainment? An
     analysis from a deprived Malagasy rural zone
5.   Elena Ambrosetti, Aurora Angeli, Marco Novelli
     Ideal family size and fertility in Egypt: isn't three the perfect number?

Coffee break (h. 10:30‐11:00, foyer)

                                                12
S11. Childlessness (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 4, English)
     Chair: Patrick Festy
1.   Elisa Brini
     Childlessness and fertility in European countries. The role of contextual factors in
     explaining childlessness level and its determinants
2.   Marcantonio Caltabiano, Maria Letizia Tanturri
     Childlessness and sexuality in Italy
3.   Marcantonio Caltabiano, Chiara Ludovica Comolli, Rita Rinaldi, Alessandro Rosina
     The effect of the Great Recession on permanent childlessness in Italy
4.   Giulia Zanini
     “Childfree"? A qualitative research of unintended childlessness in Italy
5.   Marika Jalovaara, Gunnar Andersson, Johan Dahlberg, Lars Dommermuth, Peter Fallesen,
     Trude Lappegård, Gerda Neyer
     Education, gender, and cohort fertility in the Nordic countries

S12. Health issues (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 5, English)
     Chair: Elena Pirani
1.   Nicoletta Balbo, Nicola Barban, Frank F. Furstenberg
     Multiple socio‐economic contexts during adolescence and health behaviors in young
     adulthood
2.   Cecilia Potente
     Decomposing the rising educational inequality in health: the role of marriage
3.   Alexandra Tragaki
     When the going gets tough... the recession effect on Greek mortality rates
4.   Paola Di Giulio, Cecilia Reynaud
     Family consequences of children disability
5.   Silvia Loi, Jo Mhairi Hale
     Migrant‐native health gap in Italy: an ongoing convergence process

S13. Session in memory of Valeria Solesin – 1 (h. 11:00‐12:30, room
     7, Italian)
     Chair: Arnaud Régnier Loilier
1.   Alessio Buonomo
     Le migrazioni interregionali in Italia: gli spostamenti nell’ultimo decennio per regione di
     origine dei migranti
2.   Margherita Silan
     The estimation of neighborhood effects
3.   Sara Tafuro
     Sons as insurance. The impact of changing patterns of social security on the
     masculinization of births
4.   Corrado Polli
     Italian older workers: labour market structural changes in a context of job polarization

                                               13
S14. Transitions in life course (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 9, English)
     Chair: Roberto Impicciatore
1.   Marco Tosi
     Age norms, family relationships and home leaving in Italy
2.   Stefano Mazzuco, Anna Giraldo
     The effect of economic recession on transition to adulthood in Italy
3.   Francesco Rampazzo, Juho Härkönen, Agnese Vitali
     Better alone than badly accompanied? Intention and realization of leaving the parental
     home in Italy
4.   Giulia Ferrari, Ariane Pailhé
     Age at leaving the parental home among children of immigrants in France. How do ethnic
     origin and the economic context affect timing and pathways?
5.   Alessandro Di Nallo, Luize Ratniece
     Men's life course trajectories in UK. A sequence analysis approach

S15. Wellbeing (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 8, English)
     Chair: Stefani Scherer
1.   Marco Le Moglie, Letizia Mencarini, Chiara Rapallini
     Do rich parents enjoy children less?
2.   Elisabetta Barbi, Oliviero Casacchia, Filomena Racioppi
     Sentinel indicators of economic development and social wellbeing today in Italy
3.   Elisa Cisotto, Giulia Cavrini, Cecilia Tomassini
     Happy grandparents? A study in South Tyrol on the perception of happiness in over fifty
     grandparents
4.   Arnstein Aassve, Francesca Luppi
     N reasons to be (un)happy about childbearing
5.   Matteo Mazziotta, Antonella Bianchino, Salvatore Cariello, Flora Fullone
     Well‐being composite indicators for Italian municipalities: case study of Basilicata

Lunch (h. 12:30‐14:00, foyer)

                                             14
S16. Employment (h. 14:00‐15:30, room 4, English)
     Chair: Alessandra Petrucci
1.   Angelo Mazza, Antonio Punzo, Manuela Stranges
     Determinants of return to education for immigrants in Italy
2.   Filomena Racioppi, Giulia Rivellini, Alessandra De Rose
     Ageing in a business perspective: Which strategies to maintain the older workers active?
3.   Romina Fraboni, Francesca Gallo, Isabella Siciliani, Serena Palmieri
     Economic crisis's effect on R&D job opportunities for PhD cohorts in Italy
4.   Ornella Giambalvo, Martina Vittorietti, Fabio Aiello
     A longitudinal analysis of the occupational status of the graduates of University of Palermo
5.   Marco Centra, Valentina Gualtieri, Andrea Cutillo
     The occupational impact of the labour market reforms introduced in 2015 in Italy

S17. Historical demography (h. 14:00‐15:30, room 7, Italian)
     Chair: Alessio Fornasin
1.   Gabriele Ruiu, Marco Breschi
     Climatic and social determinants of the seasonality of births in Italy, a long‐run analysis
     (1863‐1933)
2.   Massimo Esposito
     Mortalità e clima in Sardegna. Un caso di studio: Alghero (1890‐1935)
3.   Cristina Munno, Renzo Derosas
     Spatial and epidemiological analysis in urban mortality. Nineteenth‐century Venice
4.   Lucia Pozzi, Josef Bernabeu‐Mestre, Maria Eugenia Galiana‐Sánchez
     What we can learn from the past experience of poverty related diseases in Italy and Spain?
5.   Francesco Scalone, Rosella Rettaroli, Giulia Roli
     Historical trends of sex ratio at birth in Italy: A long‐term analysis

S18. Migrant trajectories (h. 14:00‐15:30, room 5, English)
     Chair: Patrizia Farina
1.   Livia Elisa Ortensi, Elisa Barbiano di Belgiojoso
     Exploring onward migration of immigrants from Italy
2.   Corrado Bonifazi, Angela Paparusso
     The effect of the legal status on the return migration intentions of migrants living in Italy
3.   Frank Heins, Corrado Bonifazi, Maria Girolama Caruso
     Foreign residents in Italy according to their migration trajectories
4.   Andrea Monti
     Outmigration patterns of foreign born residents from Sweden 1990‐2013
5.   Jan Saarela, Rosa Weber
     An assessment of educational misclassification in register‐based data on Finnish
     immigrants in Sweden

                                                15
S19. Socio‐economic drivers of fertility (h. 14:00‐15:30, room 8,
     English)
     Chair: Daniele Vignoli
1.   Oxsana Sinyavskaya, Svetlana Biryukova
     Stimulating fertility with monetary pro‐natal policies ‐ how effective is it? Evaluating
     recent Russian experience
2.   Alessandra Trimarchi, Jan Van Bavel
     Education assortative mating and couples’ fertility
3.   Liat Raz‐Yurovich
     Social inequality on the parity distribution ‐ A cohort perspective
4.   Barbara S. Okun
     Cohort fertility decline and educational attainment: Muslim women in Israel
5.   Ben Wilson, Maarten J. Bijlsma
     Understanding the factors that influence childbearing over the life course: causal links
     between employment, partnership, socio‐economic status and fertility

S20. Session in memory of Valeria Solesin – 2 (h. 14:00‐15:30, room
     9, Italian)
     Chair: Viviana Egidi
1.   Flavia Santi
     Impact of socioeconomic status on cancer risk in the Lazio region
2.   Liliana Andriano
     Climate change and child mortality in sub‐Saharan Africa: can maternal education and
     community factors moderate this effect?
3.   Sara Fioravanti
     Inquinamento, depressione materna e obesità in età infantile: un’analisi di due coorti di
     bambini in Italia
4.   Marta Pasqualini
     The “weight” of the family: family members as determinants of health related behaviours
5.   Andrea Gamboni
     Le cause di morte e la compressione della mortalità in Italia

P2. Coffee break and Poster session 2 (h. 15:30‐16:30, foyer)
1.   Agnieszka Rossa, Andrzej Szymanski
     Improvement of fuzzy mortality models by means of some algebraic methods
2.   Viviana Egidi
     LoLA ‐ Laboratory on Longevity and Ageing
3.   Paola Di Giulio, Marc Luy
     Socioeconomic status and health outcomes: a comparison of monastic and general
     population

                                              16
4.    Desiree Krivanek
      Successful aging in monasteries? ‐ A health study on the impact of extending working life
      on health and well‐being of order members in Austria
5.    Maura Simone, Francesca Licari
      The uncounted residents at Census: the risk of not being surveyed
6.    Luisa Frova, Gabriella Sebastiani, Gianfranco Alicandro, Stefano Marchetti
      Socio‐economic inequalities in mortality: results of a census‐based record linkage study in
      Italy
7.    Paolo Cardone
      Work longer, learn longer: evidence from Italian Adult Education Survey (AES)
8.    Davide De Franco, Isabelle Séguy, Arnaud Bringe, Stéfan Tzortzis
      GIS application on the demographic history: the socio‐economic and spatial distribution of
      Martigues’ population (South of France), at the beginning of the 18th century
9.    Liat Raz‐Yurovich
      Households as employers – Where, why, and what are the implications?
10.   Izabela Anna Grabowska
      Workplace type in the context of work‐family balance? Comparative analysis of Poland,
      France, Italy, Sweden and Australia
11.   Mireille Le Guen
      Separarsi in seguito a diagnosi d’infezione da HIV in Francia: l’effetto delle condizioni di
      vita dei migranti d’Africa Sub‐Sahariana
12.   Zahia Ouadah‐Bedidi
      High education and fertility in Algeria: contribution of fertility intentions among single
      women and men
13.   Elisa Cisotto, Roberta Onorati
      Marital dissolution and gender differences in mortality risks: evidence from the Turin
      longitudinal study, a ten years follow up study
14.   Michela Semprebon
      Perceptions of filial responsibilities towards the care needs of elderly parents: gender and
      cultural cleavages in immigrant families from Maghreb in Italy
15.   Laura Soledad Norton
      International students at Italian universities: policies and integration process in the case of
      Sapienza University of Rome
16.   Francesco Di Domenicantonio, Palmira Gianturco, Evelina Martelli
      Developing the civil registration system. A case study in Burkina Faso
17.   Giovanni Busetta, Maria Gabriella Campolo, Demetrio Panarello
      Statistical taste based discrimination: What does affect immigrants the most in find a job in
      Italy?
18.   Ahbab Mohammad Fazle Rabbi
      Mortality decline in Bangladesh: Age‐sex specific differences
19.   Sara Miccoli
      Fecondità in Italia: un’analisi spaziale e temporale
20.   Alessandro Baldi Antognini, Pietro Iaquinta
      Some considerations about the evolution of fertility in Italy
21.   Manuela Stranges, Annalisa Busetta
      Individual and contextual correlates of intermarriage within immigrants in Italy
22.   Sven Drefahl, Karin Modig, Anders Ahlbom
      Of leaders and losers – oldest age mortality paradoxes

                                                  17
E3. Istat Session on Permanent Population Census (h. 16.30 – 17.00,
    room 5, Italian)
   Chair: Gustavo De Santis
   Speaker: Vittoria Buratta

E4. AISP General Assembly (h. 17:00 – 18:45, room 8 , Italian)

   Restricted to AISP members

                                  18
Friday 10

S21. Coping strategies in later life (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 4, English)
     Chair: Silvia Meggiolaro
1.   Bruno Arpino, Jordi Gumà, Albert Julià
     Like a black swan. Uncommon family trajectories and subjective wellbeing at older ages
2.   Valeria Bordone
     Age identity and grandparental childcare in Germany
3.   Elvira Pelle, Giulia Rivellini, Susanna Zaccarin
     The social support networks among elderly Italian people
4.   Monika Mynarska, Sylwia Timoszuk, Anita Abramowska‐Kmon
     “I will think about it later". Coping strategies of older childless people in Poland
5.   Carlo Lallo, Giulia Cavrini, Michela Alagna
     Well‐being and grand parenting over the time of economic recession: The European divide

S22. Family context and fertility (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 8, English)
     Chair: Gerda Neyer
1.   Barbara S. Okun, Guy Stecklov
     Do the living statuses of grandparents influence fertility of adult children?
2.   Alice Goisis, Daniel C. Schneider, Mikko Myrskala
     The reversing association between advanced maternal age and child cognitive
     development: Evidence from three UK birth cohorts
3.   Riccardo Ladini, Filippo Oncini, Adriana Cataldo
     "The most natural thing in the world"? The role of education in explaining exclusive
     breastfeeding in Italy
4.   Anna Barbuscia, Melinda Mills
     Assisted reproductive technology and children's cognitive development
5.   Johan Dahlberg
     Explaining sibling similarity in fertility ‐ What more than socialization matters?

S23. Health in later life – 2 (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 5, English)
     Chair: Fausta Ongaro
1.   Damiano Uccheddu
     The role of social participation on self‐reported health, ADL and IADL of people aged 65+: a
     fixed effects approach using data from SHARE, 2004‐2013
2.   Giorgio Di Gessa, Karen Glaser, Laurie Corna, Rachel Stuchbury, Loretta Platts, Diana Worts,
     Peggy McDonough, Amanda Sacker, Debora Price
     Changes across cohorts in the relationship between employment and family histories, paid
     work until or beyond state pension age, and health. Evidence from the UK

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3.   Cristina Giudici, Lucia Coppola, Eleonora Trappolini
     Determining health expectancy in Italy at 60 and over: A longitudinal approach
4.   Cecilia Tomassini, Giorgio Di Gessa, Viviana Egidi
     Fertility histories and health in later life in Italy
5.   Mousumi Gogoi
     Prevalence and risk factors of urinary incontinence among elderly women in India

S24. Integration of foreigners (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 7, Italian)
     Chair: Luciana Quattrociocchi
1.   Giancarlo Ragozini, Salvatore Strozza, Elena De Filippo
     Social support networks and social integration processes for immigrants
2.   Angelo Mazza, Giuseppe Gabrielli, Salvatore Strozza
     Immigrant residential segregation in the city of Naples
3.   Francesco Dota, Paola Muccitelli, Monica Perez, Daniele Spizzichino
     The migration projects: Is to stay in Italy a sign of integration?
4.   Daniela Ghio, Giancarlo Blangiardo
     Legal or irregular immigrants? The lazy eye of Europe forecasting a comprehensive
     approach for migration policies
5.   Cinzia Conti, Fabio Massimo Rottino, Eugenia Bellini, Francesca Di Patrizio, Roberto Petrillo
     High hopes: Behaviours and expectations of foreign students in Italy

S25. Methods – 2 (h. 9:00‐10:30, room 9, English)
     Chair: Stefano Mazzuco
1.   Gianbattista Salinari, Gustavo De Santis
     Long term equilibria in populations dynamics
2.   Francesco C. Billari, Nicolò Cavalli, Eric Qian, Ingmar Weber
     Online footprints of family change: A study based on Twitter
3.   Emilio Zagheni, Ingmar Weber, Krishna Gummadi
     Leveraging Facebook’s advertising platform to monitor migrations
4.   Patrizio Vanella
     Stochastic forecasting of demographic components based on the Principal Component
     Analysis
5.   Muhammad Adil
     Probabilistic projection of Total Fertility Rate for Pakistan and its regions using Bayesian
     hierarchical modeling approach

Coffee break (h. 10:30‐11:00, foyer)

                                                20
S26. Divorce (consequences) (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 4, English)
     Chair: Arnstein Aassve
1.   Cornelia Muresan
     Filial obligations and helping behavior to divorced aging fathers in Europe
2.   Michael Gähler
     Moving back to “mamma”? Divorce, intergenerational co‐residence and latent family
     solidarity in Sweden
3.   Ornella Larenza, Laura Bernardi
     The meanings of (re)partnering for lone mothers
4.   Fabrizio Bernardi, Diederik Boertien, Koen Geven
     Parental separation and offspring’s wealth in the US
5.   Sander Wagner
     Married... or not married with children: The causal impact of children on relationship and
     marriage stability and re‐partnering chances

S27. Education issues (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 7, English)
     Chair: Massimo Attanasio
1.   Alessandra Minello, Hans‐Peter Blossfeld
     Free to choose? The role of gender stereotypes in the choice of the secondary school track
     of boys and girls in Germany
2.   Gabriele Ruiu, Maria Laura Ruiu
     OENEQE– Over educated in Not qualified Employment
3.   Francesca Tosi, Roberto Impicciatore, Rosella Rettaroli
     Individual skills and student mobility in Italy: a regional perspective
4.   Francesca Giambona, Mariano Porcu, Isabella Sulis
     Students' literacy in mathematics and reading. The use of multilevel multivariate mixed
     effect models for the analysis of longitudinal PISA data
5.   Nicola Barban, Melinda Mills, Felix Tropf
     Does the genetic influence on education change across neighbourhoods

S28. Gender and living arrangements (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 8, English)
     Chair: Letizia Mencarini
1.   Nicoletta Signoretti
     The links among living arrangements and fertility in Germany. The role of Living Apart
     Together on fertility intentions and realized fertility
2.   Joan Dahlberg
     Intergenerational transmission of gender equality. Does grandparents education affect
     couples' division of parental leave?
3.   Francesca Luppi
     Childcare arrangements and mothers’ satisfaction with work‐family balance
4.   Annalisa Donno, Maria Letizia Tanturri, Ariane Pailhé, Anne Solaz, Susanne Fahlén, Ursula
     Henz
     Fathers’ time with children at the crossroads of the gender revolution: A comparative
     analysis in France, Italy, Sweden and the UK
5.   Gøsta Esping‐Andersen, Julia Cordero
     The intergenerational transmission of gender roles. Children’s contribution to housework
     in Germany

                                              21
S29. Measuring and counting (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 9, English)
     Chair: Gerardo Gallo
1.   Svetlana Biryukova, Alla Makarentseva
     Motherhood penalty in Russia. Evidence from RLMS data
2.   Patrick Festy, Nathalie Le Boutelliec
     European censuses: Fifty years of diversification and harmonization
3.   Fausta Ongaro, Maria Castiglioni, Franco Bonarini
     Large families (in a context of lowest‐low fertility): what do we know about them?
4.   Chiara Daniela Pronzato, Elena Meroni, Daniela Piazzalunga
     Use of extra‐school time and child non‐cognitive development. Evidence from the UK

S30. Migration issues (h. 11:00‐12:30, room 5, Italian)
     Chair: Giancarlo Blangiardo
1.   Giuseppe Gabrielli, Anna Paterno
     Immigrants’ selectivity and fertility behaviours in Italy
2.   Rita Lima
     Is migration sustainable‐footprint‐living and can we make it attractive? The case of South‐
     Eastern Europe
3.   Annalisa Busetta, Daria Mendola
     Ai margini dell’accoglienza: prima indagine italiana su richiedenti asilo e rifugiati che
     vivono in insediamenti spontanei
4.   Patrizia Giannantoni, Eleonora Mussino
     How many and when? Different approaches to study fertility of migrants in Italy
5.   Cinzia Conti, Fabio Massimo Rottino
     The new migrations: Social and demographic characteristics and behavior of asylum
     seekers in Italy

E5. Plenary session – Presentation of the new AISP Book
    (h. 12:30‐14:00, room 8, Italian)
     Chair: Salvatore Strozza

     A free copy of the Rapporto sulla Popolazione 2017 will be distributed at the end of the
     conference to the AISP members that have regularly paid ALL the annual fees up to 2017.

Lunch box (h. 14:00‐14:30, foyer)

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Sponsors and Partners
24
     CONFERENCE
     LOCATIONS

        Conference Venue

        Welcome Cocktail

        Social Dinner
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