CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI

Page created by Bertha Bradley
 
CONTINUE READING
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead

CHARTING THE COURSE
FOR CONTINUED CENTER
STORE GROWTH
June 16, 2020

Sally Lyons Wyatt, EVP, IRI Practice Leader

Thea Bourianne, Senior Solutions Consultant
and Registered Dietitian, Label Insight
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
Center Store Roles
Executive Summary                              • Center Store roles have progressed through COVID - from Holistic Health and Wellbeing to Treating
                                               • Increasing demand of functional benefits for ingredients, packaging and online search engines
As we all know, COVID has been                   require expedited innovation
devastating to many people and                 • Brands across categories have acquired new and reacquired lapsed buyers during the peak
                                                 periods presenting an opportunity to identify and communicate to drive long-term value
businesses, but has been a catalyst for
                                               Transformation of Retail
Center Store Food & Beverage growth. In
                                               • Given the pressures on supply chain and inventory, agility and open communications will be critical
this report, we focus on the evolved roles       moving forward from sourcing to consumption
Center Store plays, transformation of retail   • Retail Brands are realizing strong growth, a win/win focus from manufacturers and retailers on
and the shopper post COVID and                   growing the aisle with the right mix is the path to mutual success
innovation success model ideas. We will        Transformation of the Shopper
provide activation ideas for you to consider   • Consumers are shopping a repertoire of retailers to address different essential requirements, so
for Charting the Course for Continued            enhance channel strategies to attract and/or retain these shoppers
                                               • Consumers interests in Sustainability have increased, therefore it is important to share all
Center Store Growth.                             Sustainability practices including recyclable, humane and ethical
                                               • DEEPEN engagement with new and at risk consumers via targeted addressable media
                                               • Potential baby boom presents opportunities to expand presence in these homes
 Visit IRI’s COVID-19 Insights Portal and      Innovation Success Model
 COVID-19 Dashboard for more reports           • To win the race for meals, leverage test and learn approaches to evolve offerings and move from
 and updates.                                    essential to entertaining
                                               • With random switching behavior occurring in some categories, hone innovation and portfolio
                                                 assortment that maps to hierarchical attributes of the purchasing behavior
                                               • With reduced trips customers will look for value through multipacks and larger pack sizes, but
                                                 don’t forget about small households

                                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   2
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
Executive Summary

               What Have            Center Store Roles       Transformation of
              We Learned?         During and Post-COVID      Retail Post-COVID

          Transformation of the        Innovation         Summary & Activation
          Shopper Post-COVID         Success Model              Ideas

                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   3
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   4
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
COVID-19 Pandemic Has Impacted the World,
Including Changes to How We Eat & Drink

Mandated Restrictions of
“Shelter-in-Place” Resulted with
the Majority of Eating & Drinking
Occasions to Be at Home
                                Led to Unprecedented CPG Sales
                                Including Two Weeks of Cocoon-
                                Stocking Total Store
                                                       Accelerated Adoption
                                                       of Online F&B Sales

                                                                   Spring Holiday Celebrations
                                                                   Adopted More At-Home Activities,
                                                                   But Less “Traditional” Activities

                                                                                                     The Rest of 2020 is Poised to
                                                                                                     Have More At-Home Occasions
                                                                                                     Than Ever Before

                                                                               © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   5
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
All of the F&B Sales Increases Are Due to the Majority of Eating and
Drinking Occasions Occurring at Home Throughout COVID-19
Dollar Sales % Chg. vs YA                                                                                                                                                                            Total Store
  65                                    61%                          61%                                                                                                                             F&B
  60                                                                                                                                                                                                 Non-Food
  55
  50                                       56%
  45
                                                               51%
  40
  35
  30
  25
  20
  15
  10
   5
   0
  -5
       3/1/2020        3/8/2020      3/15/2020                     3/22/2020                  3/29/2020                       4/05/2020                   4/12/2020               4/19/2020                4/26/2020
 -10

                                                                                                                                                     Note: Data reflected does not include Costco or Total eComm
                     March 8th         March 15th
                  Reported cases       Americans
                    in 35 states   told to stay home

                                    Source: IRI TSV Model; Source: IRI TSV - MULOT+C; Source: IRI TSV eMarket Insights Model, Total Store is an aggregate of the 204 releasable eMarket Insights categories;
                                                                                F&B is an aggregate of the releasable Edible Categories; Total Core Snacking is an aggregate of releasable Snack Categories
                                                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.        6
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
Brands Across Categories Have Acquired New and
Reacquired Lapsed Buyers During the Peak Periods                                                                                                         Long-Term Value
                                                                                                                                                          of Retaining a
                                                                                                                                                         Fraction of New
                                                                                                                                                           Consumers
New Buyers Gained

     4MM       New Buyers Gained by National Frozen Entrée Brand
                                                                                                                                                                Hundreds of
   6.7MM       New Buyers Gained by Dominant Soup Brand                                                                                                          Millions of
                                                                                                                                                                 Dollars of
    20MM       New Buyers Acquired by Iconic Boxed Pasta Company
                                                                                                                                                                Revenue Per
                                                                                                                                                                    Year

                    *Based on IRI benchmarks, reaching new buyers through advertising within 4 weeks of their initial purchase results in an average of 12.6% of those trial buyers becoming repeaters
                                                                                                                   Source: IRI Loyalty database, IRI Consumer Panel. 12 weeks ending April 12, 2020
                                                                                                                                  © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   7
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   8
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
COVID-19 has Been                       COVID-19
Devastating to Many
People and Businesses,               22 %
But Has Been a Catalyst
for Center Store Growth

               2019

               3%
               Will it have staying power?
                                  Source: IRI TSV– 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   9
CHARTING THE COURSE FOR CONTINUED CENTER STORE GROWTH - COVID-19 and Navigating the Path Ahead - IRI
Center Store Has Several Roles for Consumers and They Have Progressed

   Holistic Health        Unite People in
                                                                    Community
    & Wellbeing          Special Occasions

      Pleasure                Tradition                                   Treating

                                              © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   10
Consumers are Cooking More from
                  Scratch vs. Pre-COVID-19; Most
                  Households Will Continue to Cook at
35%               Home as Stay-At-Home Orders Ease
                                                                     50% or Less
Creating more
meals from                 40%
                                                                     51-80%

scratch                                                              81-100%
                                                  70%
                                                 73%

53%                        38%

Will continue
to create meals                                   19%
from scratch               22%
                                                  11%
more than I did
before                  Category
                   Percent of Meals1for      Category
                                          Percent        2 for
                                                  of Meals
coronavirus.*        All HH Members         All HH Members
                    Prepared at Home       Prepared at Home
                    before COVID-19             Currently

                                                              *Note: Those who said they are creating meals from scratch at home more due to coronavirus (477) – 5/1-5/3
                                                 Source: IRI Survey fielded 5/29-5/31 among National Consumer Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers
                                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   11
Center Store Occasions Have Positive Momentum as we Move to Less Restrictions
Across the U.S., However a Couple have Recently Realized Dollar Sales Softness
                             During COVID                            Path Ahead To-Date

     Baking            Dinner Focused                                           Breakfast                                                    Snacking

   60%     46%         41%               16%                               41%                14%                                      12%                     8%

    Beverages           Kid Focused                                       Lunch Focused                                                           Baby

   10%        9%        8%                4%                                6%                -4%                                       7%                     -4%
                             Source: IRI TSV– COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20 & Path Forward = 5/3-6/7/20; Focused based on select group of UPCs with occasion in name of product

                                                                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   12
Holistic Health & Wellbeing                                                                                                      %
                                                                                                                               31 *
                                                                                                                               Focus more on my
35%  of consumers                                                                                                              health as a result of
                                                                                                                               this pandemic
proactively take care of
their PHYSICAL and
                                                                                                                               22%
EMOTIONAL health                                                                                                               Change my eating
now vs. before                                                                                                                 habits to be healthier
                                                                                                                               as a result of this
COVID-19                                                                                                                       pandemic

                  Source: IRI Weekly Surveys among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers - Average of waves 2-8 (3/20 – 5/3) & *Wave 8(5/1-5/3)
                                                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   13
Chronic Illnesses Like High Blood Pressure,
Obesity, and Diabetes (Beyond age) are the Biggest
Risk Factors for Illness and Death From COVID
       Center Store F&B Products that provide:

        Diabetes Support Grew
                                                      9×
        Obesity Support grew                         11×
                                        more in $ Sales
        within the 8 Weeks vs. 2019, and went from
        negative unit sales to positive

        Hypertension Support COS F&B did
        of 2019 Dollar Sales in 15% of the weeks
                                                                                           22%
              Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   14
Center Store F&B Products that provide:

Other nutrients            a Good Source of Vitamin C sold
like Antioxidants,         20% of 2019 Dollar Sales
Vitamin D, and             in 15% of the weeks and went
Gut Health all             from negative to positive unit sales
contribute to a
healthy immune             Vitamin D grew Dollars        11×
                           more within the 8 Weeks vs. 2019
system, and
products aligned
have benefited                                      %
                           Antioxidants sold   18
                           of 2019 Dollar & Unit Sales
                           in 15% of the weeks

                                                Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   15
COVID-19 Brought on Higher Levels of Stress and
Anxiety and Turned to Center F&B for Help

Center Store F&B Products that provide
a Good Source of Magnesium grew 12×
in $ Sales within the 8 Weeks vs. 2019, and
went from negative unit sales to positive

                          We only have 26 F&B products making anxiety assistance
Big Opportunity           claim and they are experiencing strong growth

                                              Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   16
We Have Seen an Expansion of CBD Products in Center Store and Consumers
Are Buying Predominantly to Treat Symptoms of a Medical Condition and/or Relax

                                     To relax

To treat the symptoms of a medical condition
                                                                                                                                       CBD Products Grew 8×
     To improve the overall quality of my life                                                                                         More Dollar Sales Than
    To make other activities more enjoyable                                                                                            in All of 2019 During the
     To create a greater sense of well-being                                                                                           8-Week COVID Period
                   To enhance my creativity

              To enhance my concentration

                To enhance personal growth

       To enhance an appreciation for nature

              To ease withdrawal symptoms

                                                 0        10         20         30         40         50          60         70         80

                                           CBD          Legal Marijuana

                                                 Motivations for Use IRI-MFour Cannabis Attitude and Usage Study, Feb. 2019 Source: IRI TSV– 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                                                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   17
We Also Witnessed Consumers Wanting to Help Out Their Local
Restaurants by Purchasing Takeout Meals with the Majority at Dinner

                   %
                 24 Food Delivery Market Overall
                     Growth Year on Year in Revenues of the
                                                                                    (US, March 2020*)

                     Percent of adults who used restaurants for these off-premises
                               meal occasions during the previous week
 70%
 60%
 50%
 40%
 30%
 20%
 10%

Feb 28 – Mar 1    Mar 6 – 8     Mar 13 - 15     Mar 20 - 22           Mar 27 - 29                 Apr 3 - 5            Apr 10 - 12
                                           Survey Fielding Period
                          Dinner meal            Lunch meal                      Breakfast meal or beverage

                                                    Sources: https://www.restaurant.org/articles/news/consumers-are-still-seeking-off-premises-options#.Xs8ReYwWzpE.mailto *Second Measure
                                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   18
TV Viewing Increased and So Did Comfort Foods
During Coronavirus

18% of consumers have chosen                                                                                                  Comfort foods
                                                                                                                              will likely stabilize,
more comfort foods for meals/sides                                                                                            with about the
                                                                                                                              same planning
                                                                                                                              to cut back as
15% admit to not following their                                                                                              those planning
diet/eating plan as closely                                                                                                   to increase

                            Source: IRI Weekly Surveys among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers - Wave 10(5/15-5/17)
                                                                                              © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   19
Easter, Passover and Other Spring Holidays
Had to Get Creative with At-Home F&B Celebrations

Confections                                                                    Matzoh Crackers
  Down in Sales                                                                  Up 5% in $ Sales
  During Easter                                                               vs. Passover ’19 Due to
  Period Due to                                                             Individual Home vs. Larger
Fewer Out-of-Home                                                               Group Celebrations
    Activities

                                                    © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   20
Treating Their Family has Been on a
Steep Rise Since Early Weeks of COVID-19!
                                                                                                                                                             31%
I am treating myself and
my family more than I had                                                                                  18%
in the past

                                                                                                           Wave Two                                      Wave Eight

                      Source: IRI Weekly Surveys among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers – Wave 2 = 3/20-3/22; Wave 8 = 5/1-5/3
                                                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   21
Birthdays, Mother’s
Day, Graduations and
Many Other Special
Events Took on At-
Home F&B Celebrations

                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   22
Adapting Center Store Products and Messaging Will Be a Growth Driver for the
Foreseeable Future – The Time is Right to Chart Your Course

 We went from 70% of consumers rarely or
never worked from home before Coronavirus…

  To… 40% Likely Work at Home
   18%

                              6%           7%
                 4%                                                  5%

  5 or more   4 days per   3 days per   2 days per              1 day per
  days per       week         week         week                   week
    week

                                                                         Source: OH&S online (Occupational Health & Safety); Source: The Wall Street Journal – May 16-17,2020;
                                          IRI Weekly Surveys among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers - Average of wave 8 (5/1-5/3)
                                                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   23
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   24
Transformation of Retail is
Underway with Action Ideas
                                                            There will
• Channel switching occurred, opened up                     be COVID
  opportunities, so vet your omnichannel strategy          long-lasting
• Online adoption accelerated, therefore comparing           in-store
  online share performance will become crucial
                                                              impact
• Online search needs to catch up with consumer
  demands, so collaboration is key
• Assortments need to align with shoppers varying            Plexiglass
  needs with multi-dimensionality as one answer
• With Retailer Brands increasing in sales, find a           Contactless
  win/win to grow the aisle with the right mix                Payments
• Some retailers are looking for alternative sources for   Curbside pickup
  hard to get products, so agility and communication
  are critical as we move forward

                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   25
Grocery is Leading Traditional Channels in Dollar Sales Growth
Total Center Store - $ Sales % Change vs. Year Ago                                                                                                                                  MULO+C
  100                                                                                                                                                                               Grocery
                  92%
  90                                 84%
                                                                                                                                                                                    Convenience
  80                                                                                                                                                                                Mass
                  66%                68%
  70
  60              53%                64%
  50
                                                                                                                                                                                                  39%
  40                                                                                                36%
                                                                                                                                   32%
                                                                    29%
  30                                                                                                                                                                                              22%
        9%                                                                                          20%                            19%
                                                                    16%                                                                                              18%
  20    9%                                                                                                                                                                                        14%
                                                                                                    16%
        9%                                                                                                                         17%                               6%
  10                                                                15%
        4%        -2%                                                                                                                                                -2%
   0
                                    -12%                                                                                                                                                         -10%
  -10                                                                                                                                                                -15%
                                                                    -21%                           -21%                            -19%
  -20
  -30
    8-Mar        15-Mar            22-Mar                          29-Mar                          5-Apr                          12-Apr                           19-Apr                        26-Apr

                                                                                                                                                                   Overlap of
                                                                                                                                                                  2019 Easter

                           Note: Mass = Walmart+Target+Kmart; Note: MULO+C includes Grocery, Drug, Mass, Club (excluding Costco), Dollar ,DeCA and Convenience retailers. Source: IRI TSV
                                                                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   26
For Our Assessment, We Have Taken Pre-COVID-19 Average and
Compared to the COVID-19 Period to Understand the Delta
The Delta Illustrates How Strong Purchasing Has Been At the Category Level Above The 2019 Growth Rates

           During COVID-19
             $ % Change
                                   -            Pre-COVID-19
                                                 $ % Change
                                                                           =
                                                                                                                   Delta

            March 8, 2020 to
                                               Full Year 2019
             April 26, 2020

                                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   27
Grocery, Dollar, Club and Online were Fan Favorites During COVID-19;
Military Had a Boost as Well

 Total All Outlets               Grocery                    Mass                         Drug                                                 Dollar
                25.1%                                                 17.6%   7.0%
        22.7%                              39.9%            16.3%                                                                                             33.9%
19.1%                    33.0%    32.5%
                                                   11.0%
                                                                                          3.7%                                   31.8%
                                                                                                                                               31.0%

                                                                                                        0.2%

   Convenience                    Club                     Military                     Online                                             Specialty
                                           26.6%                              49.7%
                                  25.7%                               24.3%                                                                                   9.6%
                         21.5%                              21.0%
-1.6%
                                                   15.0%                                 47.8%
        -4.7%                                                                                          47.5%

                -12.1%                                                                                                           -9.8%
                                                                                                                                               -12.1%

                                                                                                          Total Store               F&B             Center Store

                                                                                      Source: IRI Total All Outlet Panel/ Convenience POS – Dollar Delta
                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.     28
During COVID – Grocery Gained Center Store Share Predominantly from
Convenience – Dollar and Online Gained Shares as Well

                       FOOD                     MASS            DRUG              CONV.                CLUB DOLLAR OTHER

 2019                  45.0%                    22.9%                           12.9%                     9.6%                 5.6%

                                                                  2.1%                                                  1.9%

                       +4.3
COVID                   49.3%                         21.8%                         9.0%                9.6%                   6.3%

                                                                         1.7%                                         2.2%

                Food      Mass   Drug   Convenience     Club           Dollar                 All Other

                                                                              Source: IRI Total All Outlet Panel/ Convenience POS
                                                               © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   29
Convenience Retailers Provided Fill In Trips When Possible and
Have Several Actions Underway to Maximize Future Growth

SKU Rationalization          Some evaluating         Mid to smaller tier                             Retailers smaller
by some retailers looking    pack sizes in           chains found new                                than 1,500 locations
at the bottom 20% to         comparison to changes   sources for items like                          are struggling with
augment their offerings in   in trip frequency       toilet paper causing OOS                        center stores items so
certain areas                                        and long wait times                             looking for ways to
                                                                                                     succeed

      Less Flying                                 Increasing staycations and regional
      More Driving                               vacationing presents opportunities for
                                                C-Store to engage with more consumers

                                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   30
E-Commerce Trends Higher Than Brick & Mortar Across All the Time Periods, and
Sales Continued to Realize Strong Growth into June
Dollar % Change

                      120%
                                  104.4%
                                                                          98.8%
                      100%                                90.2%                    88.8%
                                                                                               85.2%
                                                                  78.8%                                     80.7% 82.2%
                                             73.2%
                       80%                        67.3%
                                     65.8%
                                                                                                                                     63.2%
                       60%                                                                                                                       50.7% 53.1%
                             43.1%       64.3%
                       40%
                                                                                   22.5% 19.2%
                                                   16.3%19.5% 19.2%                            19.1% 15.9%
                                                                                                           14.8% 13.3% 11.8%
                       20% 9.1%
                                                                          6.4%

                        0%

                                                                   In Store              Online

                                                                                                  Source: $ % Change - IRI TSV & eMarket Insights COS

                                                                                  © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   31
However, Not All Experiences Online Were Positive for Consumers and
Retailers Were Battling Challenges to Keep Up with Demand

          of consumers stated

62 %      some items they wanted
          were not available to
          order online                                        Plethora of Challenges for Click & Collect
                                                              GROCERY:
          stated items ordered were                           • Staffing and Infrastructure - Prep space, staffing and training

 48%      not delivered due to
          availability changes
                                                                expertise to collect groceries, efficiency in collection
                                                              • Delivery Windows - Managing and ensuring that there was
                                                                inventory and tackling out-of-stock situations
                                                              • Fulfillment – Some retailers pushed pickup dates to 3-5 days
                                                                to better manage fulfillment.
                                                              • Service Void - Several did not have Click and Collect and

 21%      couldn't get a delivery time
          that was convenient
                                                                wished they did
                                                              MASS:
                                                              • Channel had online services already up and running, but they
                                                                still had to manage the high demand and incurred OOS

                                 Source: IRI Weekly Surveys among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers – 4/24-26; IRI Analysis
                                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   32
Retailers Do Have Several Advancements in
Process or Planned to Handle Demand

• Click & Collect expansions and/or implementation accelerating for some
  retailers
• Adjustments to capabilities and resources for processing online orders in
  existing stores
• Enhanced partnerships with delivery companies
• Micro-warehouses within store; Some leveraged marginally performing
  stores for fulfillment
• Drive-up areas being added or expanded
• Some are leveraging their FSP to gain visibility to localized store inventory in
  real-time to digitally target customers
• Eventually new stores could allocate more space for online fulfillment,
  especially in densely populated, affluent, urban areas

                                                                                                                        Source: IRI Analysis
                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   33
Not All Center Store Categories Grew During COVID-19 for Various Reasons, but a Few
                            Because of Limited Availability

    BREATH FRESHENERS
           GUM                            ENERGY DRINKS                   DRIED MEAT SNACKS                                      SIDE DISHES – RFG
   NON-CHOCOLATE CANDY
     CHOCOLATE CANDY                    No organized sports and       Decline in convenience channel                        Declines driven by RFG
                                             no gyms open             foot traffic and people not eating                    Appetizers and RFG Salad/
  Easter impacted with in-store                                       meals or snacks while on-the-go                       Fruit/Coleslaw subcategories
  down 4% and online up 65%                                                                                                 which are primarily for
  but could not offset large in-                                                                                            parties/ gatherings
  store scale

                                                                             TEA/COFFEE —
     SNACK BARS/GRANOLA                    LUNCHES – RFG                    READY-TO-DRINK
     OTHER SNACKS–AISLE                                                                                                           PIES & CAKES
                                        Consumers were preparing        Declines due to limited                                 CHEESECAKES – RFG
      CANNED JUICES–SS                lunches at home and therefore     convenience traffic (+20% of                                 Limited availability
   All 3 were flat or increasing on     minimized purchasing ‘kits’     sales), people making more
   volume indicating a decline                                          coffee and tea at home and
   on price                                                             limited availability

                                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   34
When Shoppers Face Out of Stocks, There are a Variety of Actions They Take

                                                                                                                             Went to a different physical

               % went
             34 elsewhere                                                                            25%                     store and bought the item
                                                                                                                             I wanted

                                                                                                                             Went online to order the
                                                                                                     14%                     item I wanted from an
                                                                                                                             online retailer
                        Went back to that same
            18%         retail location later to buy it
                        when it was back in stock
                                                                                                                                    50 %
                        Bought a different brand or                                                                None of the above,

            16%         variety instead, from the                                                               didn’t buy it or wasn’t able
                        same retailer location                                                                     to find it elsewhere

                         Source: IRI Survey 2020, among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers, IRI Covid-19 Survey May 15-17, 2020
                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   35
All Channels Closely Monitoring
Inventory Management
         Planning / forecasting currently is all hands-on deck
         Holiday planning will be especially challenging, with fewer
         gatherings especially if COVID springs up again in the fall

         Transportation from warehouse to store is being reviewed
         and enhanced when possible

         Omnichannel fulfillment strategies are being refined
         (e.g., online vs. in-store)

         In-Store SKU Rationalization is occurring; however, tactics
         will be different across retailers, from rankings to loyalty data
         and shopper propensity to pre-COVID underperforming items
         that spiked to see if repeat has occurred

                                                                                                                        Source: IRI Analysis
                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   36
Center Store Products Had an Average of 6.5% Increase in Price Per Unit During COVID-19
and Shoppers Noticed, Felt it in Their Wallets and Some Migrated to Private Label
Q. Consumers who agree with statement: I have seen prices increase because of the coronavirus.
                                                                                                                                                                        86%
                                                                                                                                                  82%
                                                                                                      73%                   74%
                                                              69%                 70%
                              67%        66%
                     61%
            51%

  41%

 Wave 1   Wave 2   Wave 3    Wave 4   Wave 5               Wave 6              Wave 7               Wave 8               Wave 9               Wave 10 Wave 11

                                      Source: IRI Survey 2020, among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers. March 13-15 to May 22-24
                                                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   37
Consumers Have Different Reasons for Purchasing Retailer Brands –
Some Prefer the Products While a Default Choice For Others
Sentiments Consistent from March to April; Percentages Who Agree Completely

                   19 %                                                                                     24%
            chose Private Label                                                                          bought
             in the past month                                                                        Private Label
            because the brand                                                                          products in
              they usually buy                                                                       the past month
              was unavailable                                                                        to save money

                                Source: IRI Survey 2020, among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers, IRI Covid-19 Survey May 15-17, 2020
                                                                                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   38
Saving Money or Preferred Brand Not Available Were the Primary Drivers for the
Significant Growth Across All Retailers' Brand Tiers During COVID-19

                                                                                              $ % Change

                                                                             61%

                                40%                                                                                                                                            39%

                                                                                                                           26%

                                                                             14%
                                                                                                                                                                               11%
                                 4%                                                                                         2%

                            Premium                            Natural and Organic                                  Mainstream                                                Value
                                                                                    2019                COVID-8 Week
              Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
              ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – MULO – Total US - COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                      © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   39
Even in Recent Weeks, These Tiers have Continued to See Strong Dollar Growth

                                                                                              $ % Change

                                                                             61%

                                                                             43%
                                40%                                                                                                                                            39%
                                30%                                                                                                                                            28%
                                                                                                                           26%
                                                                                                                           19%
                                                                             14%
                                                                                                                                                                               11%
                                 4%                                                                                         2%

                            Premium                            Natural and Organic                                  Mainstream                                                Value
                                                                     2019                COVID-8 Week                            5 WE 5/31
              Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
              ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – MULO – Total US - COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                      © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   40
Although All Tiers Grew, There Was a Massive Switch from Natural & Organic
Driving Retailer Brands' Growth Contribution To Mainstream During COVID

                                                                                  81%

                                    68%

                                                                                                                                              Share of Growth
       32%                                                                                                                                        2019
                                                                                                                                                  COVID
                                               11%
             6%                                                         0%                                   0%
                                                                                                                        2%

        Premium             Natural and Organic                         Mainstream                               Value

                  Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
                  ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                                     Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   41
Grocery Retailers’ Brands were Losing in Value and Mainstream until COVID
Happened With Both Growing For Different Reasons
Mainstream’s Household Penetration is 95%,
Therefore This Trend is All About Everyone Buying More During the Pandemic

                                                          -1%
      Food –
     U.S. Total $   Mainstream                              0%

     Chg VS YA                                                                                                                                 29%

      2018
      2019

                                                                                                                                                                              48%
      Covid-8 week                                       -2%

                            Value              -5%

                                                                                                                                            28%                       of Buyers Were NEW
                                                                                                                                                                         to the Value Tier
                                      -10%         -5%           0%          5%          10%          15%         20%          25%           30%            35%

                      Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
                      ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                                         Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   42
Although Grocery is Still Seeing Strong Growth for Their Mainstream Private Label,
the Value Tier Trends have Slowed Mainly Due to Competition with Dollar Stores

                                                          -1%
      Food –                                               0%
                   Mainstream
     US Total $                                                                                                                                 29%
     Chg VS YA                                                                                                                 23%
       2018
       2019
       Covid-8 week                                   -2%
       5 WE 5/31                              -5%
                            Value
                                                                                                                                             28%

                                                                          2%

                                       -10%         -5%          0%           5%          10%         15%          20%          25%            30%            35%

                   Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
                   ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                                      Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   43
Given the Nutrient Dense Nature of Natural and Organic Products,
Increasing Numbers of Consumers Became Engaged with Private
Label Options During COVID-19

                   48%                                                                                              48%
               penetration                                                                                    of the buyers
              increased 10                                                                                      are NEW
              points vs. YA

              Note: Private Label Tiers based on the retailer’s positioning of their store brands: Premium Tier: ultra premium ingredients and flavors, Natural/Organic Tier: clean and/or organic
              ingredients often with related certifications, Mainstream Tier: designed for the mass market and often carry the banner name, Value Tier: designed for the tightest family budgets.

                                                                                                                 Source: IRI TSV and IRI NCP – COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 vs Year Ago
                                                                                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   44
Overall Center Store Purchasing Behavior Has Remained Similar Across the U.S.
Even as States Begin to Loosen Restrictions and Open Restaurants

               Washington

                                                                                                                                                             Maine
                                         Montana                North Dakota
                                                                                                                                                                                              Phased Reopening Scheduled
                                                                                Minnesota                                                                            New Hampshire            Partial Reopening as of 4/27/20
         Oregon
                                                                                                                                                                     Vermont
                                                                                                                                                                     Massachusetts
                            Idaho                                                           Wisconsin
                                                                South Dakota                                                                      New York           Rhode Island
                                                                                                               Michigan                                              Connecticut
                                            Wyoming
                                                                                                                                                              New Jersey

                  Nevada
                                                                                     Iowa                                              Pennsylvania
                                                                                                                                                              Delaware
                                                                                                                                                                                                 $ Sales % Change vs. Year Ago
                                                                    Nebraska
                                                                                                                           Ohio                               Maryland
                                Utah                                                              Illinois                                                                                                                      Latest 6wks
                                                                                                             Indiana                                          District of Columbia
                                                                                                                                   West                                                                                         (5/3 to 6/7)
                                                Colorado                                                                          Virginia
     California
                                                                       Kansas        Missouri
                                                                                                                Kentucky
                                                                                                                                             Virginia                                                     Total U.S.                 16%
                                                                                                                                         North                                                            California                 17%
                                                                                                                                         Carolina
                                                                                                             Tennessee                                                                                      Texas                    13%
                            Arizona                                                   Arkansas                                                                                                             Florida
                                           New Mexico
                                                                         Oklahoma                                                     South                                                                                          13%
                                                                                                                                      Carolina
                                                                                                                                                                                                          New York                   15%
                                                                                                                           Georgia
                                                                                                 Mississippi Alabama                                                                                    Pennsylvania                 16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                             Ohio                    17%
                                                                     Texas                                                                                                                                Georgia1                   14%
                                                                                        Louisiana
      Alaska                                                                                                                                                                                            North Carolina               19%
                                                                                                                                        Florida                                                             Illinois                 16%
                                                                                                                                                                                                          Michigan                   19%
                                                                                                                                                                                                           Virginia                  17%
                                                                                                                                                                                                         Tennessee2                  14%
                                       Hawaii
                                                        Note: 1. Georgia opened restaurants to dine-in on 4/27/20 2. Tennessee opened restaurants to dine-in in all but 5 counties Source: IRI POS data, IRI & BCG Analysis

                                                                                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   45
There Are Other Resources and Venues Shoppers Are Exploring, Engage and
Entice These Shoppers with an Experience that Matches or is Better Than These

                                 Source: IRI Survey 2020, among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers. 5/15-5/17/20
                                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   46
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   47
Shopper Dynamics Have Emphasized the Need to Align Channel Strategies with
Shopper Needs Which Can Be Based On Many Dimensions and Drive Trip Types

                                        • Holistic Health
      Income          Generations          & Wellbeing
                                                                                                Kids

               No Kids              SNAP                  Attitudes
                                                     (e.g., Sustainability)

                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   48
Center of Store Trips Were Important Trips and They Increased
Twice as Much as Total Store During the COVID-19 Period

                Trips per Buyer                                    Basket Size
                                   10.7%                                     23.3%

                                                                                                 22.1%

                        6.2%
             5.2%
                                                           19.9%

                 % Change vs Year ago                          % Change vs Year Ago
       Total Store   Food & Bev    Center of Store   Total Store       Food & Bev                 Center of Store

                                                                                                      IRI NCP Panel 8 w.e. 4/26/20
                                                               © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   49
With Widespread COVID-19 Outbreak, Pantry Stocking Trips Increased Share
 Significantly at the Expense of Quick Trips
 Total U.S. – All Outlet
                           COS Trips by Type                                    COS Dollar Sales by Trip Type

                                                                                                                       4.9 15
                                                                      Quick Trip        18                            (19%)

                                          43                                                                                  11
      Quick Trip      48                                         Special Purpose        13
                                                                                                                              18
                                                                           Fill In      20
                                          15
Special Purpose       15

                                          19
        Fill In       19                                                                                                      57                        Spend in
                                                                 Pantry Stocking        49                                                               Pantry
                                                      Pantry                                                                                          Stocking trips
Pantry Stocking       18                  23        Stocking                                                                                           grew +8 pts
                                                  trips gained                                                                                           vs. YA
                                                  5 pts vs. YA
                   Calendar              8 w.e.                                      Calendar                              8 w.e.
                   Year 2019            4/26/20                                      Year 2019                            4/26/20

                                                                                                                               Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.
                                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   50
When Looking at Combined Attitudes and Income,
Over 4 in 10 Americans are now Cautious and Worried or
Downtrodden Which Impacts What They Buy and Where

              9%                                     9%                       Downtrodden

             23%
                                                    32%                       Cautious
                                                                              and Worried
             10%

             13%                                    12%                       Start-Ups
                                                     8%                       Savvy Shoppers

             30%                                    21%                       Optimistics

             15%                                    18%                       Carefree

             2019                                   2020

                                       Source: IRI Panel All Outlets – Econolink Segmentation.
                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   51
In Addition to Traditional Channels, Shoppers Went to a Variety of Others to Fulfill Their Center Store
F&B Needs More Than Usual, and Many Realized an Increased Number of Buyers During COVID-19

           Low Income                          Middle Income                                                                      Upper Income
           SPECIALTY STORES                      SPECIALTY STORES                                                                     HEALTH/VITAMIN

                                                             LIQUOR

               MILITARY                                                                                                                       LIQUOR

                                                           MILITARY

                                                     OFFICE SUPPLY

                                          Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.- COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 - Index vs Total Population Delta >1 for Non-Traditional or Online Channels
                                        Lower Income: (=$70k 1P + $30k all others )
                                                                                                            © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   52
It Was the Similar Scenario Across Generations

   Younger                   Older                                       Generation X                                            Boomers                                          Seniors
  Millennials             Millennials                                                                                                                                            & Retirees
     INTERNET          SPECIALTY STORES                                  SPECIALTY STORES                                      OFFICE SUPPLY                                             LIQUOR

                              HARDWARE

 SPECIALTY STORES                                                                  MILITARY
                                  LIQUOR
                                                                                                                                                                                 OFFICE SUPPLY

                           OFFICE SUPPLY
    HARDWARE                                                                     HARDWARE

                                                                  Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.- COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 - Index vs Total Population Delta >1 for Non-Traditional or Online Channels
                    Millennials-Younger (Born 1990-1996): Millennials-Older (Born 1981-1989); Generation X (Born 1965-1980); Boomers (Born 1946-1964); and Seniors and Retirees (Born 1925-1945);
                                                                                                                                    © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   53
When Home From the Store, the Pandemic Brought Out the Inner Chef In Many
Households With Convenience, Breakfast and Flavorings Winning in the Basket

  Convenience Meals with     All Kid groups looking for                                       Cooking and Eating with Flavor:
    Sloppy Joes, Chili, &     Breakfast options with                                            Worcestershire, Tartar Sauce,
  Breading/Coating Mixes,     FZ Breakfast Entrees &                                            Chili Sauce, Hot/Cajun Sauce
   SS Prepared Dinners        Rfg Breakfast Entrees

                                     Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.- COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 - $ Share of Total Basket Delta (% Chg Covid vs % Chg 2019)
                                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   54
When Looking At Dollar Share of Baskets, Shoppers Are Purchasing to Please Kids
 in the Home but Have Different Selections When No Children Are Present

Convenience categories with 0-5    Pizza showing up across all:                                      HHs without kids rely more on
 year olds with Ready-to-Serve    younger kids with Pizza Shells,                                        Microwave Entrees
   Rice, Ramen, FZ Pierogis         teens Rfg Pizza Kits and all
                                        ages Frozen Pizza

                                                 Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.- COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 – Top Indexing Categories - $ Share of Total Basket
                                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   55
Given The Rise In Unemployment, There Has Been an Increase
                         In SNAP Households – Categories Gearing More Towards Kids,
                         Baking, Breakfast and Snacking Can Be Found In These Homes

Kids                                  Beverages
Mac and Cheese                        Bottled Water
Fruit Rolls                           RFG Orange Juice
String Cheese                         Fruit Drink Mix
Marshmallows                          SS Juices
                                      Tea

Key Breakfast Products            Baking                                                              Snacks
FZ Breakfast Handhelds            Chocolate Chips                                                     Salty Snacks
Muffins                           Pie Filling
Pancake Mix                       Spices

                                                         Source: IRI Panel All Outlets.- COVID Period – 3/8-4/26/20 – Based on Penetration Index and $ % Change
                                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   56
Shoppers are Increasingly Searching
for F&B Products Based on Their
Attributes or Benefits They Deliver
For Example, Families With Young Kids Care
About the Environment and Are Informed

   • I make a conscious effort to recycle
   • Packaging for products should be recycled
   • Usually only snack on healthy foods
   • Prefer foods w/out artificial additives
   • Usually read info on label

                                               Source: IRI ShopperSights - Index –HH’s with Young Kids; Numbers based on indices above 110
                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   57
55%
of Shoppers Say       • SHELLFISH FREE                                               • DAIRY FREE
Food Allergies or     • PEANUT FREE                                                  • MILK FREE
Intolerances Affect   • FISH FREE                                                    • CASEIN FREE
the Way They Shop     • TREE NUT FREE                                                • SOY FREE
Top $ Rank Center     • EGG FREE                                                     • GLUTEN FREE
Store “Free” From     • LACTOSE FREE                                                 • WHEAT FREE
Products

                         Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                      © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   58
Holistic                                                                                                                          70%
                                                                                                                          of shoppers are looking
Health &                                                                                                                   for specific attributes
                                                                                                                            that are important to
Wellbeing                                                                                                                 them when choosing a
                                                                                                                                    brand
Needs Amplified
During COVID-19
and the Quest is
                   Consumers are Purchasing Foods That Align With a Variety of Ailments and/or
ON to Minimize     Consumer as a Preventative Measure With Top Selling Notables Below
and/or Prevent
Disease States

                                 Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20 (IBM & NRF research study 2020)
                                                                                              © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   59
Center Store Products That Align
                                                    Towards Top-Ranking Diets Did
                                                    Well During COVID

65%
of Shoppers
Adhere to a
Particular Diet or
Health-Related
Eating Program

                     Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                  © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   60
Shoppers During COVID Have Demonstrated Increased Interest In
Finding Foods That Support Immunity and Mental Health Applications

                    Search…

                             From February to March

                                                                                     Searches related to
Vitamin C searches increased 74×                                                     immunity increased 7.5×

Magnesium searches increased 26×
                                                                                     Searches related to
Vitamin D searches increased 18×                                                     immunity increased 6.3×

   In 2019, Center Store Products with Immunity Claims Grew 19% in Dollar sales
       and Almost Doubled 2019 Growth During the 8-week COVID Period!

                                           Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                                        © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   61
F&B Brands and Retailers are Missing a Large Opportunity to
Take Advantage of Shopper Shifts to Functional Foods and Beverages

51%
of food products fail to claim their                         EXAMPLE:
single most searched attribute                               Vegan is the 2nd most
                                                             searched for attribute in
                                                             the snack category but is
87%                                                          unclaimed by brands that
of food products fail to claim at least                      qualify 76% of the time.
one of their top 3 searched attributes

                                                    © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   62
An Annual Earth Day Study From
Kearney Has Indicated That the COVID
Pandemic Has Increased Many
Consumers Concerns About the
Environment

48% of respondents said it had
made them more concerned about
the environment

55% said that as a result of
COVID-19 they were more likely
to purchase environmentally friendly
products

                                       Source: https://www.kearney.com/consumer-retail/article/?/a/consumer-support-still-strong-as-earth-day-celebrates-its-50th-
                                                         birthday&utm_medium=email&utm_source=vuturethankyoupage&utm_campaign=2020AmericasEarthDay
                                                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   63
We Have Seen an Uptick In Center Store Products That Tout Sustainability Practices,
but We Have Also Seen Consumers Beginning to Practice Self-Sustaining
Products That Touted Sustainable Messaging Grew More Dollar Sales versus all of 2019:

         RECYCLABLE
            7× the Growth

             ETHICAL
            12× the Growth

RECYCLED PACKAGING
            22× the Growth

             HUMANE
            4× the Growth
                                               Source: https://www.npr.org/2020/04/03/826925180/we-are-swamped-coronavirus-propels-interest-in-raising-backyard-chickens-for-egg;
                                                                                                          https://www.pri.org/stories/2020-04-21/gardening-home-during-covid-19

                                                           Source: IRI TSV + Label Insight – 52 Weeks Ending 12/29/19 vs YAGO & COVID Period 3/8-4/26/20
                                                                                           © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   64
Other Shopper Situations That Will Be
Part of the Transformation
• Urban leaving to rural will impact what and where these consumers will buy

• We are predicting a Great Lockdown Baby Boom late this year and
  early 2021, therefore manufacturers and retailers should prepare!
   – Pregnancy kits up over

                                                                                     11.7%     13.6%
                9.3%         8.4%        7.0%        7.9%       8.4%       9.3%                          8.0%

-4.6%
   1/1/20 to   4/19/20 to   4/19/2020   4/26/2020   5/3/2020   5/10/2020   5/17/20   5/24/20   5/31/20   6/7/20
     4/12         6/7

                                                                                                                                                      Source: $ % Change - IRI TSV

                                                                                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   65
Now, More than Ever, It is Critical to
DEEPEN Connections With Consumers
For Success
• Demand/Roles/Needs-based
• Engage via targeting
• Educate and/or Inform
• Purchase Cycle
• Experiential
• New Product Alerts
Shift away from mass print media to
personalized, addressable marketing

                                         © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   66
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   67
COVID-19 has Overturned Predictive Switching Behavior in Several COS
Categories Pointing Towards the Need for Innovative Messaging to Communicate
Benefits and/or Innovating Products with Clear Distinction

             Predictive consumer        Predictive consumer                       Once predictive, random
             switching behavior is   switching is still evident but                 switching behavior
                  maintained                   eroding                                   occurred

                                                             © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   68
Additional Ways are Visible For You to Chart Your Innovation Success to Drive Continued Growth

 To win the race for meals, retailers and center store manufacturers should
 leverage test and learn approaches, including AI, to evolve offerings,
 communications, in store and online experience and move from essential
 to entertaining

 Bolster a fresher           With reduced trips          Innovation with
 perception through          customers will look for     Wellbeing features
 innovation –product,        value through multipacks    and benefits
 packaging &/or messaging    and larger pack sizes,
                             but don’t forget about
                             small households

                                                                                                                       Source: IRI Analysis
                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   69
There are Many Areas for Functional Benefits –
Find Ones That Align with Your Brand and/or New Innovation

• Innovative messaging for current products with wellbeing features
  and benefits like stress, sleep, anxiety and mood support

• New product innovation needs to include functional benefits and
  note via claims and/or highlight nutrients and ingredients tied to
  immunity support and mental health support

• Collaborate with retailers to syndicate these benefits to their e-
  commerce product pages

• Retailers can create planogram sections or faceted search for
  immunity support and mental health support

                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   70
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   71
Charting the Course for
Continued Center Store Growth
Role of Center Store
• Adapting Center Store products and messaging to the various roles will be a growth
  driver for the foreseeable future
• Identify and communicate with your new and reacquired lapsed buyers during COVID
  period to drive long-term value
• Holistic Health & Wellness is increasing demand of Functional benefits for ingredients,
  packaging and online search engines - advance and expedite to meet consumers needs
Transformation of Retail
• Agility and open communications will be critical moving forward from sourcing to
  consumption
• Balance assortments with multi-dimensionality
• Value will play an important role but value means different things to different people -know
  and address your target’s preferences
• Private Label is not a single brand, it is thousands of brands that support retailers’
  customer loyalty; a win/win focus on growing the aisle with the right mix is the path to
  mutual success

                                                                                          © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   72
Charting the Course for
Continued Center Store Growth
Transformation of the Shopper
• Consumers are shopping a repertoire of retailers to address different essential requirements, so
  enhance channel strategies to attract and/or retain these shoppers
• Share all Sustainability practices including recyclable, humane and ethical
• DEEPEN engagement with new and at risk consumers via targeted addressable media
• Potential baby boom presents opportunities expand presence in these homes
Innovation Success Model
• To win the race for meals, leverage test and learn approaches to evolve offerings,
  communications and in store and online experiences and move from essential to entertaining
• Center store has an opportunity to bolster a fresher perception through innovation – both
  product and packaging
• Hone your innovation and portfolio assortment that maps to the hierarchical attributes of
  the purchasing behavior
• With reduced trips customers will look for value through multipacks and larger pack sizes, but
  don’t forget about small households
• Innovative messaging and/or innovation with Wellbeing features and benefits should be an
  important part of your growth plan

                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   73
Look for an Announcement of Our Center Store F&B Podcasts-to-Come

   Holistic Health     Retail &      Shopper &       Basket      At Home
    & Wellbeing      Center Store   Center Store   Evolution     Cooking
                                                      from     Inspirations
                                                   Pregnancy
                                                    to Baby

Visit IRI’s COVID-19 Insights Portal & COVID-19 Dashboard for More Reports & Updates

                                                                    © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   74
THANK
                             YOU!
                    For More Information, Contact Us:
        Sally Lyons Wyatt                        Thea Bourianne

Sally.LyonsWyatt@IRIworldwide.com          tbourianne@labelinsight.com

                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   75
IRI COVID-19 Thought Leadership
Helping You Stay Informed
IRI’s Online Insights Offers Real-Time
Updates and Weekly Reports of the Impact
of the Virus on CPG and Retail, as Well as
Consumer Survey Data from this Report
The IRI COVID-19 Info Portal
Includes COVID-19 impact analyses, dashboards
and the latest thought leadership on supply chain,
consumer behavior, channel shifts for the U.S.
AND international markets

The COVID-19 Dashboard
Accessible through the insights portal
and tracks the daily impact of COVID-19.
This includes the top categories across
countries, out-of-stocks and consumer
sentiment on social media.

                                                     © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   76
© 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   77
Attribute-based Insights for Manufacturers and Retailers

                                                                                                                                           Attributes
                                                                                                                                          That Matter

  Market & Shopper Data                                  Product Attribute Data
  A leading provider of big data, predictive analytics   A data refinery for granular product information that
                                                                                                                                The data you need to identify
  and forward-looking insights that help brands and      powers transparency between brands, retailers, and                      what matters most to your
  merchants grow their businesses. IRI is the largest    consumers. Provides the industry’s most complete
  repository of purchase, media, social, causal and      and thoroughly derived product attributes: high order
                                                                                                                                 consumers and shoppers.
  loyalty data.                                          attributes.

                                                                                                                 © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   78
The Label Insight partnership adds value across IRI products and solutions

                                                 Strategic Analytics                                Media and
       POS Data        Shopper Intelligence                                                         Innovation
                                                  and Consulting

                             CSIA                   Assortment                                 Audiences
    Market Advantage     ShopperSights             Price Elasticity                         Market Structures
                         Shopper Loyalty           Trend Spotter                                 CDTs

                                      500+ Individual Product Attributes
                                      15 Attribute Segments
                                      Coding Across Edible & Non-Edible Categories

                                                                © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   79
Stay on top of market trends with 500+ Attributes that Matter

     ALLERGENS &                                                  FDA NUTRIENT
                         CLEAN LABEL       CONSUMER AUDIENCE                                                 BOTANICALS & OILS
    INTOLERANCES                                                 CONTENT CLAIMS

        12                   19                   15                   17                                                 59
                       HEALTH BENEFITS &                                                                        INGREDIENTS OF
 FEATURES & BENEFITS                         HERBS & SPICES      ISOLATED FIBER
                           SUPPORT                                                                                 CONCERN

        53                   59                   32                   21                                                 60
                        PERSONAL CARE
  LIFESTYLE & DIETS                        PLANT-BASED PROTEIN   SUSTAINABILITY                                    SWEETENERS
                        PRODUCT FORM

        29                   14                   40                   42                                                 42

                                                                   © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   80
EconoLink Provides View of Americans’ Response to COVID-19 Through a
Human Economic Lens That Goes Beyond Income; Not All Respond Alike
SAVVY SHOPPERS                                                                                                                                 DOWNTRODDEN
Their financial situations are improving vs. YAG but                                                                                           Their financial situations are markedly worse vs.
they still look for value – although that doesn’t always                                                                                       YAG, and their go-to response is deprivation; they try
mean the lowest price. They love to find coupons and                                                                                           to cut back on everything. Purchases highly
good deals on groceries.                                                                                                                       influenced by price, brand and/or prior experience/
                                                                                  Savvy    Down-                                               trust.
SKEWS: Younger Baby Boomers, Retirees | Mean                                     Shoppers trodden
HHI $75,600                                                                                                                                    SKEWS: Older Millennials/Younger Boomers | Blue
                                                                                   8%        9%
                                                                                                                                               Collar | Hispanic | Lower Income
CAREFREE                                                         Carefree
Their financial situations are in a stable place; no              18%                                                                          CAUTIOUS & WORRIED
real financial concerns. They’re willing to splurge on                                                                                         Their financial situations are markedly worse vs.
premium products, and brand preference is a greater                                                                                            YAG, and they do not hold out a lot of hope for things
                                                                                                                  Cautious &
driver than price for their buying decisions.                                                                                                  to get better.
                                                                                                                   Worried
SKEWS: Older Boomers & Retirees | Male | Live                                                                       32%                        SKEWS: Baby Boomers | Live Alone
Alone | Upper Income
                                                                  Optimistics
OPTIMISTICS                                                         21%                                                                        START-UPS
Their financial situations are better vs. YAG, and they                                                                                        Their financial situations are largely the same as
are optimistic about their financial future. Price is on                                     Start-Ups                                         YAG but they’re still struggling. They, too, are
their radar but so are product experiences and brand                                           12%                                             focused on cutting back but with positive
trust.                                                                                                                                         expectations for future improvement in their financial
                                                                                                                                               situations.
SKEWS: Gen Z, Millennials and Gen X | 4+ Member
HHs | African American | Mean HHI $72,000                                                                                                      SKEWS: Gen Z/Millennials | African American,
                                                                                                                                               Asian | Blue Collar | Lower Income

                                                           Source: IRI EconoLink, IRI Survey fielded 3/20-3/22, 2020, among IRI Consumer Network™ Panel representing Total U.S. Primary Grocery Shoppers
                                                                                                                                       © 2020 Information Resources Inc. (IRI). Confidential and Proprietary.   81
You can also read