Charting Denmark 2Q 2021 - ECONOMY - Charting Economy

 
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Charting Denmark 2Q 2021 - ECONOMY - Charting Economy
Charting   CEO’s Guide to
   ECONOMY      The Economy

      Charting
      Denmark
CEO’s Guide to The Economy

               2Q 2021
Charting Denmark 2Q 2021 - ECONOMY - Charting Economy
To understand something, begin with questions,
                               not information

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Charting Denmark 2Q 2021 - ECONOMY - Charting Economy
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Charting Denmark 2Q 2021 - ECONOMY - Charting Economy
The Long View: the Why and How of Economic Growth

              Why long-term economic growth?                                How to grow the economy in the long run?
              To Improve the Living Standard                                Increase these 3 factors

                                                                                               
                                                                                             Idea
                                                                 
                                                                 Living               
                                                                Standard
                                                                                   Capital
                                                    Per Capita
                                                    Income                                             
                                                                                                  Population
                          Gross                                                                     (Labor)
                          Income

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Short-term Objective: Balancing Growth and Stability

                                                            Employment           Inflation

                                                          Net Export (X-M)   Financial System

                                                           Investment (I)     Fiscal Balance

                                                              Public             BOP /
                                                          Consumption (G)     External Debt

                                                              Private
                                                          Consumption (C)    Exchange Rate

                                                             Growth             Stability

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The Charting Economy Framework©
Understand Any Economy in 30 Questions or Less
                                                           The Long View                                                                         The Short View

    Economic Structure                                    Competitiveness                  Development                     Economic Growth                        Macro Risks

• What is the size of Denmark’s                   • How competitive is Denmark?     • What is the level of income for   • What has been the growth rate    • What have been the
  economy?                                                                            an average person in                of Denmark’s economy over          government measures against
                                                  • How are Denmark’s                 Denmark?                            the past ten years, and how        the Covid-19 crisis?
• What is the size of Denmark’s                     competitive factors compared                                          does it compare with others?
  population?                                       to those of other countries?    • How has the unemployment                                             • What is the risk of inflation
                                                                                      rate in Denmark changed over      • What were the key growth           over the next 12 months?
• What is the demographic                         • How has labor productivity in     recent years?                       drivers for Denmark’s
  structure of Denmark? Is it                       Denmark changed over the                                              economy in the last year?        • What is the latest move on
  favorable for economic                            years, and in relation to       • How is income distributed in                                           Denmark’s monetary policy?
  growth?                                           comparable countries?             Denmark, and how does it          • How much does each sector
                                                                                      compare to others?                  contribute to the overall        • What is the health of
• How has the structure of GDP                    • Is it easy to do business in                                          growth?                            Denmark’s banking sector?
  changed over the years?                           Denmark?                        • What is the current level of
                                                                                      human development in              • What is the GDP growth rate in   • What has been the trend in
• How much does Denmark’s                         • How good is Denmark in            Denmark?                            the latest quarter?                Denmark’s fiscal budget
  economy rely on external                          attracting Foreign Direct                                                                                deficit?
  trade?                                            Investment?                     • How has the quality of life       • What are the latest signals
                                                                                      changed over the years?             from the leading indicators?     • Balance of Payment: Where
• Where are the key economic                                                                                                                                 are the key risks?
  regions in Denmark?                                                               • How many SDG has Denmark          • What is the growth outlook for
                                                                                      achieved to date?                   Denmark’s economy over the       • What is the FX risk? How has
• Economic Freedom Index:                                                                                                 next three years, and how          the currency performed
  How free is Denmark’s                                                                                                   does it compare with others?       compared to others?
  economy?

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Denmark
  Official name: Kingdom of Denmark

  Brief history
  • Once the seat of Viking raiders and later a major north European power, Denmark has evolved into a modern, prosperous nation that is
     participating in the general political and economic integration of Europe
  • It joined NATO in 1949 and the EEC (now the EU) in 1973
  • However, the country has opted out of certain elements of the EU's Maastricht Treaty, including the European Economic and Monetary
     Union, European defense cooperation, and issues concerning certain justice and home affairs.

Geography                                                            Population and society                                                Government
Area: 43,094 sq km (#134 in the world)                               Population:                                                           Government type: parliamentary constitutional monarchy
                                                                     5,894,687 (July 2021 est.)
Land boundaries:                                                                                                                           Capital: Copenhagen
       • Germany 140 km                                              Ethnic group:
                                                                     Scandinavian, Inuit, Faroese, German, Turkish, Iranian, Somali        Currency: Danish Krone (DKK)
Land Use (2011est.):                                                 Language:
       • agriculture: 63.4%                                                                                                                Chief of state: Queen MARGRETHE II
                                                                     Danish, Faroese, Greenlandic (an Inuit dialect), German (small
       • forest: 12.9%                                               minority).                                                            Head of government: Prime Minister Mette FREDERIKSEN (since
       • other: 23.7%                                                Note: English is the predominant second language                      27 June 2019)
Coastline: 7,314 km                                                  Religions:                                                            Cabinet: Council of State appointed by the monarch
                                                                     Evangelical Lutheran (official) 80%, Muslim 4%, other
Irrigated land: 4,350 sq km (2012)                                   (denominations of less than 1% each, includes Roman Catholic,         Elections:
                                                                     Jehovah's Witness, Serbian Orthodox Christian, Jewish, Baptist,       •   following legislative elections, the leader of the majority party or
Natural resources:                                                   and Buddhist) 16% (2012 est.)                                             majority coalition usually appointed prime minister by the monarch
                                                                                                                                           •   last held on 5 June 2019 (next to be held on June 2023)
petroleum, natural gas, fish, arable land, salt, limestone, chalk,
stone, gravel and sand                                               Working age population (15-64 yr): 63.7%
                                                                     Population growth rate: 0.44% (2021 est.)

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Source: CIA World factbook
 What is the size of Denmark’s economy?
      1. Economic Structure                                    What is the size of Denmark’s population?
                             2. Competitiveness
                      3. Economic Development                  What is the demographic structure of Denmark? Is it
                            4. Economic Growth                  favorable for economic growth?
                                 5. Macro Risks                How has the structure of GDP changed over the years?
                      Appendix 1: IMF’s forecast               How much does Denmark’s economy rely on external
                     Appendix 2: Doing Business                 trade?
                                                               Where are the key economic regions in Denmark?
 Part of the country’s economic profile, economic structure
section gives readers useful views to understand economic      Economic Freedom Index: How free is Denmark’s
 fundamental and determine what matters for the country’s
                                                 economy        economy?

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What is the size of Denmark’s economy?

Denmark is the 17th largest economy in Europe, slightly larger than
Finland
         European Economies
         2019 GDP, USD billion, Market Exchange Rate

             Germany                                                                     3,862                   Ukraine         155
                      UK                                                         2,831                          Slovakia        105
                France                                                         2,716                        Luxembourg          71
                    Italy                                              2,001                                    Bulgaria        68
                Russia                                         1,702                                             Belarus    63
                  Spain                                1,394                                                     Croatia    60
           Netherlands                           907                                                           Lithuania    54
                Turkey                      761                                                                 Slovenia    54
           Switzerland                     705                                                                    Serbia    51
                Poland                    592                                                                      Latvia   34
               Sweden                 531                                                                        Estonia    31
               Belgium                530                                                                         Cyprus    25
                Austria              446                                                                         Iceland*   24
               Norway*              403                                                          Bosnia and Herzegovina*    20
                Ireland             398                                                                         Georgia     18
                  Israel            395                                                                          Albania*   15
             Denmark                347                                                                            Malta    15
               Finland         269                                                                              Armenia     14
        Czech Republic         251                                                                      North Macedonia     13
              Romania          250                                                                              Moldova     12
              Portugal         238                                                                               Kosovo     8
               Greece         210                                                                            Montenegro     5
              Hungary         161                                                                            San Marino*    2

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     Note: (*) IMF Estimate                                                                                                            ECONOMY      The Economy     9
   Source: IMF World Economic Outlook Database October 2020
What is the size of Denmark’s population?

Population in Denmark is around the same size as those in Finland
and Norway
                       Population                                                          Population Growth
                       Selected countries, Million, July 2020 est.                         Avg. Annual Rate of Change, Medium fertility, 2020-2025

         Germany                                                            80.2     -0.064%

   United Kingdom                                          65.8                                                         0.405%

      Netherlands                                           17.3                                             0.214%

          Belgium                               11.7                                                             0.288%

          Sweden                              10.2                                                                               0.558%

       Switzerland                      8.4                                                                                          0.642%

         Denmark                  5.9                                                                                 0.370%

           Finland                5.6                                                                  0.104%

           Norway                5.5                                                                                                            0.831%

           Ireland               5.2                                                                                                   0.683%

           Iceland    0.4                                                                                                        0.574%

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   Source: CIA World Fact book, UN’s World Population Prospects: The 2019 Revision
What is the demographic structure of Denmark? Is it favorable for economic growth?

Denmark’s demographic structure is unfavorable for long-term
economic growth with shrinking working-age group
                 Demographic Structure                                               Working-age group
                 2020, % of total population, Medium Fertility                       15-64 Years, % of total population, Medium Fertility

        100+
                                       Male                      Female
        90-94

        80-84

        70-74

        60-64
                                                                                         6         6         6         5                    5    6
                                                                                         4         3                             5
        50-54                                                                                                1                                   0
                                                                                         %         %                   9         9          9
                                                                                                             %         %                    %    %
                                                                                                                                 %
        40-44

        30-34

        20-24

        10-14

          0-4

                4%                2%                  %              2%     4%         2020                2030                2040             2050

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   Source: UN’s World Population Prospects: The 2019 Revision
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