Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund - An Open Ended Debt Scheme Predominantly Investing In Debt Instruments Of Banks, Public Sector Undertakings & ...
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Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund (An Open Ended Debt Scheme Predominantly Investing In Debt Instruments Of Banks, Public Sector Undertakings & Public Financial Institutions)
Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund Strategy Snapshot The Axis Banking & PSU Debt fund as the name suggests invests predominantly in fixed income instruments of banking companies and public sector entities Rating profile of the portfolio is 100% AAA Currently, The fund follows a buy and hold approach with the intention of holding bonds till maturity (Roll Down Strategy) Given the falling interest rates scenario and the steepness in the 2-3 year space, the portfolio aims to capture opportunities arising from the compression of spreads and a normalizing yield curve Currently, the average maturity of the fund stands at 2.1 years Allocation & maturity is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. Please refer to Scheme Information Document (SID) for detailed asset allocation and investment strategy. Data as on 30th June 2020 2
Playing The Macro Trend How Has The Strategy Played Out So Far Buy and hold strategy amidst turbulent market conditions to protect against downside risks • Late 2018: Flat AAA corporate curve with spreads at multi year high - Indicative of economic stress 100 4.0 3.5 95 3.0 • Early 2019: Economic sentiment sees flagging. 90 2.5 RBI resorts to dovish monetary policy and flushes 2.0 system with liquidity 85 1.5 1.0 80 0.5 • Mid 2019: Credit contagion affects credits. Flight 75 0.0 to safety pushes AAA asset yields materially downward Feb-19 Feb-20 Nov-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 May-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-19 Mar-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 Jun-20 AAA Cash & Cash Equivalent • Mid 2020: Exposure to low risk fixed income AAA Money Market Instruments Government Securities instruments protects investors against credit risk. Average Maturity Source: Axis AMC Internal Analysis. Period: October 2018 to June 2020. Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Allocation & maturity is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. Please refer to Scheme Information Document (SID) for detailed asset allocation and investment strategy.
Portfolio Construction Emphasis on Consistency Credit Duration Alpha Analysis and Yield & Investment Contributors Curve Universe Security Selection and Weighting Mandate Risk and Risk Control Investment Management Policy Strategy followed is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. 4
Portfolio Construction Discipline is the key Diversification Credit play different Valuation from duration play • Cautious at selecting • Pure ‘carry’ play with buy • Look at credit exposure sectors and hold approach only during favorable valuation scenario • Diversifying the exposure • No active duration call in to manage potential risk lower rated papers • Strict issuer/ rating limits Strategy followed is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. 5
Risk Management • Tight Duration Range (3 years) • Stringent credit review • Control credit risk through diversification and strict limits on issuer weighting based on rating Risk Mitigation Framework Sector Credit Diversification Duration Liquidity • Controlled through • Focus on High • Exposure to each • Strictly adhere to • Liquidity/impact cost diversification and Quality Issuer issuer limited by its duration limits part of security stringent review of rating specified by the selection/portfolio investable sectors; • Investment universe investment mandate construction. based on credit & investment policy • Regulatory limits on research Optimize balance of sector Exposure credit quality, returns and liquidity Strategy followed is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. 6
Portfolio Characteristics 30th June 2020 Roll Down Strategy aimed High quality & low-risk Ideal for investors with a 1-3 ast locking in medium term strategy year investment horizon rates Portfolio Characteristics Average for the last 1 year Average Maturity 2.1 years Allocation to High Rated Papers# 92% Macaulay Duration 2 years Allocation to G-Sec 10% Modified Duration 1.9 years Yield to Maturity^ 5.00% Allocation & maturity is based on the current market conditions and is subject to changes depending on the fund manager’s view of the markets. ^The yield to maturity given above is based on the portfolio of funds as on date given above. This should not be taken as an indication of the returns that maybe generated by the fund and the securities bought by the fund may or may not be held till their respective maturities. The calculation is based on the invested corpus. #High Rated Papers refers to instruments which are rated AAA/A1+ & equivalent or G-sec. 7
Performance 30th June 2020 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year Since Inception Current Current Current Current Value of Value of Value of CAGR Value of CAGR CAGR CAGR Inception investment investment investment (%) investment (%) (%) (%) of of Rs. of Rs. of Rs. 10,000 Rs.10,000 10,000 10,000 Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund - Direct 11.72% 11,172 9.20% 13,025 8.77% 15,229 8.87% 19,851 Plan - Growth NIFTY Banking & PSU Debt Index 8-Jun-12 11.66% 11,166 7.91% 12,569 8.31% 14,909 8.70% 19,595 (Benchmark) NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.59% 18,046 Benchmark) Past performance may or may not be sustained in future. Different plans have different expense structure. Aditya Pagaria is managing the scheme since 13th August 2016. Aditya manages 8 schemes at Axis Mutual Fund. Returns greater than 1 year are Compounded Annual Growth Rates (CAGR). Face Value per unit is Rs 1,000. Please refer to annexure for all schemes managed by the fund manager. Refer slide 21 for disclaimer. 8
Fixed Income Market Update 9
India is Getting Back to Work Largely Led by Semi Urban & Rural Areas Manufacturing PMI sees meaningful Unemployment rate has come down recovery sharply in the past month 60 55.3 30 Expansion 55 52.1 51.8 25 50 50.6 47.2 20 45 Contraction 15 40 35 10 30 30.8 5 27.4 25 0 Oct-17 Oct-18 Oct-19 Apr-17 Apr-18 Apr-19 Apr-20 Jul-17 Jul-18 Jul-19 Jul-20 Jan-20 Jan-17 Jan-18 Jan-19 20 Jun-19 Aug-19 Oct-19 Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr-20 Jun-20 Source: Kotak Institutional Equities, IHS Markit, Axis MF Research Data as of 10th July 2020 10
Back to Work: Evident Across Industry Industrial Activity is seeing a Steady Recovery Tractor sales are at a 17 Month High Rail freight is steadily improving Tractor Sales, YoY Rail Freight, YoY 20% 15% 10% 0% 1% 5% 1% 0% 0% -3% -20% -12%-16% -15% -17% -10% -40% -38% -38% -20% -60% -30% -80% -84% -100% -40% Oct-19 Apr-19 Apr-20 Jul-19 Jan-19 May-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 May-20 Aug-19 Sep-19 Jun-20* Mar-19 Jun-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 Feb-19 Feb-20 May-20 Oct-19 Apr-20 Jul-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jun-20 Jun-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 Mar-20 Feb-20 Source: CIEC, Morgan Stanley, Bloomberg, Axis MF Research Data as of 30th June 2020 11
And Consumption Consumption Activity is seeing a slow Recovery Weekly power demand is going back to normal People Are Going To Buy Vehicles 30,000 0% 0% 25,000 -5% 20,000 -10% -20% 15,000 -15% 10,000 -20% -40% 5,000 -25% -60% 0 -30% Two Wheelers, YoY Passenger Vehicles, YoY 27th Apr-3rd May 1st-7th Jun 15th Jun-21nd Jun 6th-12thApr 20th-26h Apr 30thMar-5th Apr 8th-14th Jun 13th-19th Apr 25th-31st May 23rd-29thMar 4th-10th May 11th-17th May 18th-24th May 22th -28th Jun 29th Jun-5Jul 16th-22ndMar -80% -100% Jun-20 Jun-19 Jan-20 Oct-19 Apr-20 Jul-19 Aug-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Sep-19 May-20 Mar-20 Feb-20 Source: Morgan Stanley, CRISIL, Bloomberg, Axis MF Research Data as of 10th July 2020 12
Monsson Start With a Bang! Till July 8, cumulative rainfall was 18% above long-term average • FY2021 Monsoon: normal to excess rainfall Out of the 36 sub-divisions across India, till date, four have received deficient rainfall, 18 have received normal rainfall, and 14 have received excess rainfall • Sowing status: much higher than last year’s level As of July 3, the total kharif acreage was 88% higher than the same period last year. • Reservoir levels: significant surplus Overall, basins and reservoirs were around 54% above long-term average for week ending July 8 Source: Indian Metrological Department, Axis MF Research. Data as of 10th July 2020 13
India Current Account in Surplus Improving Trade Balance & large FDI & ECB flows offset portfolio outflows Quarterly Current Account Balance Jun-19 Sep-19 Dec-19 Mar-20 In USD Billion Exports 82.70 80.00 81.20 76.50 Imports 129.50 119.60 117.30 111.60 Trade balance (46.80) (39.60) (36.10) (35.10) Invisibles 31.80 32.10 33.40 35.60 Current Account Balance (15.00) (7.50) (2.70) 0.50 % of GDP (2.10) (1.10) (0.40) 0.10 Capital Account 28.60 13.60 23.50 17.40 FDI 14.00 7.30 9.70 12.00 Portfolio Investment 4.80 2.50 7.80 (13.70) Loans (ECB) 9.60 3.10 3.10 9.90 Others 0.20 0.70 2.90 9.20 Overall Balance (including E&O) 13.60 6.10 20.80 17.90 Source: RBI, JP Morgan Chase Bank. Axis MF Research 14
Banking Liquidity Remains Significantly Surplus Surplus Banking Liquidity aimed at ensuring speedy transmission 10 In Rs Lakh Cr 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 Jun-10 Jun-12 Jun-14 Jun-16 Jun-18 Jun-20 Source: Bloomberg, Axis MF Research 15
Impact On Rates Opportunities For Investors, Active Short Strategies Ideal Rates Have Fallen over 200bps over the 3 Year AAA Spreads Continue To Remain last 1 year Attractive From A Risk Reward Standpoint 8.0 300 7.5 250 7.0 200 6.5 150 6.0 100 5.5 50 5.0 0 Jun-15 Jun-16 Jun-17 Jun-18 Jun-19 Jun-20 3 Year AAA 5 Year AAA 3 Year AAA V/s Repo Source: Bloomberg, Axis MF Research. Data as of 30th June 2020 16
Annexures, Disclaimers & Risk Factors 17
Annexure SEBI Prescribed Performance Annexures Return of schemes managed by Aditya Pagaria (Total Schemes Managed: 8 Schemes) (As on 30th June 2020) 1 Year 3 Years@ 5 Years@@ Since Inception Current Current Current Current Date of Fund Name CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of inception (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- Top 3 schemes Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund - Regular Plan - 11.72% 11,172 9.20% 13,025 8.77% 15,229 8.87% 19,851 Growth NIFTY Banking & PSU Debt Index (Benchmark) 8-Jun-12 11.66% 11,166 7.91% 12,569 8.31% 14,909 8.70% 19,595 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.59% 18,046 Benchmark) Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund - Direct Plan - 12.06% 11,206 9.50% 13,131 9.02% 15,406 9.06% 19,162 Growth NIFTY Banking & PSU Debt Index (Benchmark) 1-Jan-13 11.66% 11,166 7.91% 12,569 8.31% 14,909 8.54% 18,488 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.60% 17,320 Benchmark) Axis Treasury Advantage Fund - Regular Plan - 8.86% 10,886 7.87% 12,555 7.89% 14,625 8.14% 23,169 Growth NIFTY Low Duration Debt Index (Benchmark) 9-Oct-09 8.03% 10,803 7.58% 12,453 7.74% 14,522 8.23% 23,369 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.00% 20,669 Benchmark) Axis Treasury Advantage Fund - Direct Plan - 9.19% 10,919 8.33% 12,717 8.34% 14,935 8.71% 18,705 Growth NIFTY Low Duration Debt Index (Benchmark) 1-Jan-13 8.03% 10,803 7.58% 12,453 7.74% 14,522 8.19% 18,039 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.60% 17,320 Benchmark) Axis Treasury Advantage Fund - Retail Plan - 9.06% 10,906 7.80% 12,529 7.59% 14,421 7.80% 21,722 Growth NIFTY Low Duration Debt Index (Benchmark) 3-Mar-10 8.03% 10,803 7.58% 12,453 7.74% 14,522 8.33% 22,858 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 7.39% 12,388 7.40% 14,298 7.13% 20,368 Benchmark) Refer slide 21 for disclaimer. 18
Annexure SEBI Prescribed Performance Annexures Return of schemes managed by Aditya Pagaria (Total Schemes Managed: 8 Schemes) (As on 30th June 2020) 1 Year 3 Years@ 5 Years@@ Since Inception Current Current Current Current Date of Fund Name CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of inception (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- Top 3 schemes Axis Ultra Short Term Fund - Regular Plan - 6.76% 10,676 NA NA NA NA 7.31% 11,359 Growth NIFTY Ultra Short Duration Debt Index 10-Sep-18 7.19% 10,719 NA NA NA NA 7.76% 11,445 (Benchmark) NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 NA NA NA NA 8.09% 11,508 Benchmark) Axis Ultra Short Term Fund - Direct Plan - 7.73% 10,773 NA NA NA NA 8.27% 11,543 Growth NIFTY Ultra Short Duration Debt Index 10-Sep-18 7.19% 10,719 NA NA NA NA 7.76% 11,445 (Benchmark) NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional 8.03% 10,803 NA NA NA NA 8.09% 11,508 Benchmark) Refer slide 21 for disclaimer. 19
Annexure SEBI Prescribed Performance Annexures Return of schemes managed by Aditya Pagaria (Total Schemes Managed: 8 Schemes) (As on 30th June 2020) 1 Year 3 Years@ 5 Years@@ Since Inception Current Current Current Current Date of Fund Name CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of CAGR Value of inception (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment (%) Investment of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- of Rs. 10,000/- Bottom 3 schemes Axis Overnight Fund - Regular Plan - Growth* 4.43% 10,443 NA NA NA NA 4.79% 10,625 NIFTY 1D Rate Index (Benchmark) 15-Mar-19 4.48% 10,448 NA NA NA NA 4.84% 10,632 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional Benchmark) 8.04% 10,804 NA NA NA NA 7.48% 10,980 Axis Overnight Fund - Direct Plan - Growth* 4.48% 10,448 NA NA NA NA 4.86% 10,634 NIFTY 1D Rate Index (Benchmark) 15-Mar-19 4.48% 10,448 NA NA NA NA 4.84% 10,632 NIFTY 1 Year T-Bill Index (Additional Benchmark) 8.04% 10,804 NA NA NA NA 7.48% 10,980 Axis Equity Advantage Fund - Series 2 - Regular Plan - 1.83% 10,183 NA NA NA NA 5.20% 11,590 Growth 75% Nifty 50 TRI + 25% Crisil Composite Bond Fund 3-Aug-17 -5.08% 9,492 NA NA NA NA 4.10% 11,241 Index (Benchmark) Nifty 50 TRI (Additional Benchmark) -11.51% 8,849 NA NA NA NA 2.19% 10,651 Axis Equity Advantage Fund - Series 2 - Direct Plan - 2.53% 10,253 NA NA NA NA 6.62% 12,050 Growth 75% Nifty 50 TRI + 25% Crisil Composite Bond Fund 3-Aug-17 -5.08% 9,492 NA NA NA NA 4.10% 11,241 Index (Benchmark) Nifty 50 TRI (Additional Benchmark) -11.51% 8,849 NA NA NA NA 2.19% 10,651 Axis Equity Advantage Fund - Series 1 - Regular Plan - -2.00% 9,800 5.36% 11,697 NA NA 5.05% 11,650 Growth 75% Nifty 50 TRI + 25% Crisil Composite Bond Fund 25-May-17 -5.08% 9,492 5.49% 11,740 NA NA 5.57% 11,832 Index (Benchmark) Nifty 50 TRI (Additional Benchmark) -11.51% 8,849 3.95% 11,233 NA NA 4.00% 11,293 Axis Equity Advantage Fund - Series 1 - Direct Plan - -1.13% 9,887 6.74% 12,164 NA NA 6.45% 12,140 Growth 75% Nifty 50 TRI + 25% Crisil Composite Bond Fund 25-May-17 -5.08% 9,492 5.49% 11,740 NA NA 5.57% 11,832 Index (Benchmark) Nifty 50 TRI (Additional Benchmark) -11.51% 8,849 3.95% 11,233 NA NA 4.00% 11,293 Refer slide 21 for disclaimer. 20
Performance disclaimer Past Performance may or may not be sustained in future. #Scheme Performance may not be strictly comparable with that of its additional benchmark in view of hybrid nature of the scheme. @@The performance data for 5 years period has not been provided for scheme/plan not in existence for 5 years. @The performance data for 3 years period has not been provided for scheme/plan not in existence for 3 years. Data As on 30th June 2020. Aditya Pagaria is managing Axis Ultra short term fund since inception and Axis Liquid Fund, Axis Treasury Advantage Fund, Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund since 13th August, 2016, Axis Equity Advantage Fund Series - 1 since 26th May, 2017 & Axis Equity Advantage Fund Series - 2 since 7th March 2019, Axis Overnight Fund since inception, Axis Money Market Fund since inception. Calculations are based on Regular plan - Growth Option & Direct plan – growth option NAVs. Face value for Gold ETF is Rs.2,026.8384/- & Rs. 10/- for all other schemes. Different plans have different expense structure. The above data excludes performance of Fixed Maturity Plans and all the schemes which have not completed a year. Top 3 and Bottom 3 schemes (based on 1 year performance) managed by Aditya Pagaria has been provided herein. 21
Product Labelling Fund Name Riskometer Product Labelling Axis Banking & PSU Debt Fund This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* (An open ended debt scheme predominantly • Regular income over short to medium term investing in debt instruments of Banks, Public • Investment in debt and money market instruments Sector Undertakings & Public Financial Institutions) issued by banks, PFIs & PSUs Axis Ultra Short Term Fund This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* (An open ended ultra-short term debt scheme • Regular income over short term investing in instruments such that the Macaulay • Investment in Debt & Money Market instruments duration of the portfolio is between 3 months and 6 such that the Macaulay duration of the portfolio is months) between 3 months - 6 months. This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* • Capital appreciation over medium to long term Axis Equity Advantage Fund - Series 1 & 2 • Investment in a diversified portfolio of predominantly (A close-ended Equity Scheme) equity and equity related instruments across market cap while managing risk through active hedging strategies This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* Axis Overnight Fund Regular income with high levels of safety and (An open-ended debt scheme investing in overnight liquidity over short term securities) Investment in debt and money market instruments with overnight maturity. *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. 22
Product Labelling Fund Name Riskometer Product Labelling Axis Treasury Advantage Fund This product is suitable for investors who are seeking* (An open ended low duration debt scheme investing • Regular income over short term in instruments such that the Macaulay duration of • Investment in debt and money market instruments the portfolio is between 6 to 12 months) *Investors should consult their financial advisers if in doubt about whether the product is suitable for them. 23
Statutory Details and Risk Factors Data updated As on 30th June 2020 Past performance may or may not be sustained in the future. Sector(s) / Stock(s) / Issuer(s) mentioned above are for the purpose of disclosure of the portfolio of the Scheme(s) and should not be construed as recommendation. The fund manager(s) may or may not choose to hold the stock mentioned, from time to time. Statutory Details: Axis Mutual Fund has been established as a Trust under the Indian Trusts Act, 1882, sponsored by Axis Bank Ltd. (liability restricted to Rs. 1 Lakh). Trustee: Axis Mutual Fund Trustee Ltd. Investment Manager: Axis Asset Management Co. Ltd. (the AMC). Risk Factors: Axis Bank Limited is not liable or responsible for any loss or shortfall resulting from the operation of the scheme. This document represents the views of Axis Asset Management Co. Ltd. and must not be taken as the basis for an investment decision. Neither Axis Mutual Fund, Axis Mutual Fund Trustee Limited nor Axis Asset Management Company Limited, its Directors or associates shall be liable for any damages including lost revenue or lost profits that may arise from the use of the information contained herein. No representation or warranty is made as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of the information and opinions contained herein. The AMC reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as may be required from time to time. Mutual Fund Investments are subject to market risks, read all scheme related documents carefully. 24
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