CAPITALCARE WINTER 2020 - JFL Group
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CAPITALCARE J o efo rd L ee CIM , CFP®, FCSI Portfolio Manager, Investment Advisor HollisWealth, a division of Industrial WINTER 2020 Alliance Securities Inc. A WINNING STATEGY Although you are primarily concerned with planning and enjoying your retirement years, considering estate plans and other issues is also an important part of a comprehensive financial plan. Making a charitable donation can be a very satisfying way to share your good financial fortunes with deserving causes and those less fortunate. Donating can also provide tax advantages to you and your family, either while you are alive or in your estate plans. The federal and provincial governments appreciate that it is good social policy to provide tax advantage to those willing to make donations to worthy causes, so they have a number MARKET COMMENTARY of policies in place that encourage charitable giving. It only seems fitting that we ended 2019 with a Eligible Charities bang and closed out the year on a high note. If you recall in Q3’19 there were a flurry of geopolitical events that While saving money on tax may not be the had ramped up volatility in the markets. We closed the primary incentive to contribute to a particular cause, you Q3 Market Commentary by stating that despite the want to be confident that the intended recipients of your newfound volatility, “we are not seeing signs of broad donation will actually benefit. Unfortunately, various market weakness” and that “the noise may be loud, but schemes have been created that appear to represent we remain focused on our process and investment legitimate charities but are in fact fraudulent. Canada discipline. The threats of the last quarter may be another Revenue Agency (CRA) has information that helps you opportunity for long term investors while we close out a determine the status of a charity of interest: The CRA prosperous 2019”. Charities Listing When it was all said and done, U.S. markets The Charitable Donation Tax Credit surged another ~8.5% in the final quarter to finish the The charitable donation tax credit has two levels year up nearly 29%; this was the best performing year for as well as maximums allowed in a particular tax year. the S&P 500 since 2013. North of the border the The first $200 of eligible donations will reduce tax S&P/TSX Composite tacked on another ~2.5% in Q4 payable at a rate of 15% of the donation amount. Any to finish the year up over ~19%; the best performing year amount donated over the first $200 per year reduces tax for the Canadian index since the post-recession rally of payable at a rate of 33%. The amount of credits claimed 2009. This was undoubtedly the kind of bounce-back can generally not exceed 75% of net income in the year year market participants were hoping for but never the credit is being claimed. It is possible that by claiming expected after a disappointing 2018. all donations on one tax return, the donations may not Interestingly, 2019’s robust year in the U.S. stock be completely utilized. The credits cannot be carried market was not led by corporate earnings growth, which forward but the donation itself can be spread out over up is estimated to be roughly flat year-over-year when to five years. companies report their Q4’19 numbers in January and … continues on page 3 … continues on page 2 . . PAGE 1
MARKET COMMENTARY CAPITALCARE WINTER 2020 … continued from page 1 the other five G7 countries. Fear not a recession on the February. This is a mirror image of 2018 when Trump’s horizon when U.S. GDP is estimated to expand roughly corporate tax-cut fueled robust earnings growth to the 1.8%; this compares to 1.6% (BNN Bloomberg) for Canada. tune of roughly 20% despite the stock market ending that Whereas the United States has done a better job of year in the red. Additionally, it’s important to keep tapping its domestic workforce and generating things in perspective regarding 2019’s extraordinary productivity gains, Canada has turned to robust gains. We must recall the large painful correction in the immigration to grow output (BNN Bloomberg). Canada U.S. markets in the fourth quarter of 2018. Thus, when added 437,000 people from abroad last year, helping to we calculate the trailing 16-month return on the S&P 500 drive its fastest population increase in 30 years, despite a from September 2018 to the end of 2019, you get a drop in fertility. Under the Trump administration, the return of roughly 11%, or an annualized figure of just U.S. limited immigration to just 595,000 people. This over 8%. trend has led some economists to predict that Canada’s headline growth could easily top the U.S. this year, This is a reminder that investing is a marathon. especially if there’s added clarity to a new NAFTA deal Like runners, there will be pain during the race, but (Trump’s USMCA). The China, U.S. trade negotiations having focus and discipline will ultimately lead them saw progress with phase one in the books barring any across the finish line. Turning back to corporate last-minute cold feet. We are optimistic that Trump will fundamentals, it isn’t a surprise to find the current market do his part to keep trade resolutions top of mind and be valuations more expensive than they were twelve months more Presidential leading up to the U.S. elections in ago. Nevertheless, we view 2020 to be another positive November. year for corporate earnings, and a view from Credit Suisse also estimates growth of 5% this year. The market performance of 2019 was much Additionally, the current low bond-yield environment better than investors had hoped. The message is clear: reduces the risk of debt default on corporate balance making knee jerk reactions after poor performance in sheets and also points to good relative value of investing 2018 would have been costly for long term investors. in equities vs. bonds. That being said, it is a tall order to see a repeat in 2020 so we have to temper our enthusiasm. The underlying Aside from the equity markets, 2019 was also economic fundamentals are stable and holding well, friendly to a few other asset classes. The price of gold (in which we believe will help to keep this expansion going USD) went up another 3% in Q4, making for an into 2021. We will remain selective with the companies exceptional 18% gain for the year (Yahoo Finance). we continue to hold in our portfolios, as an asset Geopolitical tensions that we’ve frequently cited in this allocation skewed toward equities is still favored verses a space previously surely played a role in the resurgence. fixed income-heavy mix. While the waters in 2020 are If you recall from a piece we wrote about in Spring 2019, likely to get choppier, we still feel like we are travelling there was also the dreaded yield curve inversion that downstream, with new highs on this adventure to come. created a lot of headlines and fear in the markets at the time. Funnily enough the yield curve closed the year in very healthy shape after all, contrary to what many market bears promoted in March. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates three times during 2019 which helped bond investors net positive returns for the year as well: bond prices go up as interest rates fall. The Bank of Canada went against the tide and held interest rates steady all year, helping to drive the loonie almost 5% higher (Yahoo Finance). Economic fundamentals in North America remain positive and GDP growth estimates for 2020 lead PAGE 2
A WINNING STRATEGY CAPITALCARE WINTER 2020 … continued from page 1 Making a Charitable Donation There are different ways to make charitable donations which will have different tax/financial effects. For example, you can donate to an eligible charity or to the government. You can donate cash, life insurance, or property. Property can include gifts of eligible securities. If you donate securities (such as stocks or bonds) you will receive a tax credit for the fair market value of the donation and you do not have to pay capital gains tax on any increase in value from when you bought the security to when you donate it. This is clearly preferable to selling the security and donating the cash since capital gains taxes would have to be paid. 5 WAYS TO REDUCE DISRUPTIONS TO YOUR ESTATE CAPITALCARE Q2 2012(REPRINT) Are legal vulnerabilities putting your estate at individuals, including Ballard’s long-time companion, risk? Take these steps to help preserve your Yolanda Ballard. assets and intentions after your passing. Given the horrors estate litigation represents, Estate planning centres on one main goal: what can a high-net-worth planner do? No strategy can preserving estate assets. While advisors offer planning guarantee litigation-free estates, but we recommend five advice and employ various strategies to reduce the tax things you can do to reduce the likelihood of litigation: liability of the deceased’s estate, even the best efforts can be fruitless if the estate faces claims that wind up in court. Make a Will Family dynamics – which can include sibling rivalry, perceived favouritism, second marriages or blended Studies show up to 50% of Canadians don’t have a Will. families – all tend to spark estate litigation. Often, estate A Will documents how you wish to distribute your estate litigation stems from friends or family not named in a upon your death. Clients without a Will open up the risk Will who believe they’re entitled to some of an estate or of claims against the estate, because without one, there is named beneficiaries who believe they didn’t receive their no evidence of testamentary intentions. A Will drafted in fair share. your own handwriting is legal in Ontario. It is also The dangers of estate litigation go far beyond the possible to use a Will kit. However, litigation can arise threat of legal fees that can deplete estate assets. Estate from problems with homemade or handwritten Wills. A litigation also strains relationships to the point where properly drafted Will requires specific legal language. family members can end up estranged – all amidst great Homemade Wills are fertile breeding grounds for estate emotional stress and grief. At a time when family litigation. members need each other’s support the most, loss and estate litigation often separates them further. Include an in terrorem clause An in terrorem clause states that any beneficiary who High net worth = high risk estate contests the will automatically forfeits their gift. This can be an effective deterrent to litigation, because the Every estate is susceptible to claims, but high- beneficiary challenging the will automatically loses their net-worth estates are at particular risk, since there is gift or inheritance. Keep in mind, for an in terrorem literally a lot more to fight over. Former Maple Leaf’s clause to be effective, the beneficiary’s gift must be owner Harold Ballard’s estate, reportedly valued at $50 million, was subject to litigation in the 1980s by various … continues on page 4 PAGE 3
5 WAYS TO REDUCE DISRUPTIONS TO YOUR ESTATE CAPITALCARE WINTER 2020 … continued from page 3 valuable enough to merit serious consideration about Appoint an experienced executor pursuing litigation. If your estate is particularly complex or if you lack a suitable Communicate with your heirs and beneficiaries executor, you may wish to consider a Trust Company. There are numerous pros and cons associated with Often, family members proceed with litigation because appointing a corporate executor. On the positive side, a they don’t believe the will reflects the true intentions of corporate executor has years of experience and has the testator. It’s essential the testator communicate with efficiently settled many estates as well Estate Departments heirs and beneficiaries about intentions for distribution offer services beyond our lifetimes. The cost is between 3% of the estate. This will clear up any misunderstanding or to 5% of the final estate value which is often a small price to misinformation, and in the process, can help the pay for the ultimate peace of mind. individual find out what preferences beneficiaries and heirs may have. Have a professionally mediated family meeting A professionally mediated meeting between the testator, his beneficiaries, and other estate planning professionals is one way to keep everyone informed. The meeting advises the beneficiaries of the testator’s intentions and seeks input in developing the estate plan. At the end of the family conference, the beneficiaries and the testator are invited to sign an agreement not to contest the Will. While the family conference may not work for all families, it can be very beneficial for some, especially if the testator is aware of litigious family members or strained family relationships. HOUSEKEEPING A quick reminder that the TFSA limit for 2020 is $6,000. RSP Contribution deadline is March 2nd, 2020. It is always prudent to get your contributions in well before the deadline. Your tax information will be adhering to the following guidelines: If you have indicated the preference of receiving these ‘on-line’, please remember to check your Portfolio Plus website. Contribution Receipts Registered Savings Plans 2019: Expected Mailing Date: January 9, 2020 Contributions between January 1 – March 2, 2020 Weekly as contributions are received Realized Gain and Losses Report: February 26th, 2020 Non-Registered T-slips: Most by February 29th, 2020 Statement of Partnership Income and Trust Income: March 31, 2020 Disclaimer: This information has been prepared by Joeford Lee who is an Investment Advisor for HollisWealth® and does not necessarily reflect the opinion of HollisWealth. The information contained in this newsletter comes from sources we believe reliable, but we cannot guarantee its accuracy or reliability. The opinions expressed are based on an analysis and interpretation dating from the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. Furthermore, they do not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any of the securities mentioned. The information contained herein may not apply to all types of investors. The Investment Advisor can open accounts only in the provinces in which they are registered. HollisWealth® is a division of Industrial Alliance Securities Inc., a member of the Canadian Investor Protection Fund and the Investment Industry Regulatory Organization of Canada. PAGE 4
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