Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG

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Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE

Canada
Ecommerce

October 2018

1
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
Contents
Recommendations by CPG Sector
    •    Food & Beverage
    •    Health & Beauty, Personal Care
    •    Household & Pet Care
    •    Electronics, Office & Entertainment

Market Overview
    • Ecommerce Landscape
    • Forecasts
    • The Canadian Ecommerce Shopper

Unique Planning Factors in Canada
    •    Cross-Border
    •    North American Trade Regulations
    •    Population Distribution
    •    Last Mile Fulfilment

Retailer Profiles
    •    Amazon.ca
    •    Walmart Canada
    •    Canadian Tire
    •    Sobeys
    •    Metro
    •    Loblaw
    •    Shoppers Drug Mart

Appendix

2       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
Recommendations
           by CPG Sector

3   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
RECOMMENDATIONS BY CPG SECTOR

      Food & Beverages – Top Planning Concerns & Opportunities

               Online grocery                                                 Shopper density                                           Loblaw click-and-collect                Walmart Instacart
             penetration (2018)                                               (pop/sq mi 2018)                                             locations (2018)                       partnership

                      5.0%                                                               10                                                        700                               2H18
           Online grocery is young                                            Geography limits                                                Click-and-collect              Partnerships increase to
           but seeing investment                                           fulfilment profitability                                         penetration is growing           offer on-demand delivery
          Canada has a relatively low                                   Perishable grocery delivery                                     Click-and-collect will be a          Walmart’s first Instacart
          online share of total retail                                  is already difficult due to                                     key model to fulfil online           partnership will start in
          sales (5%) and online                                         cold chain requirements,                                        grocery orders, more                 Toronto and Winnipeg with
          grocery penetration is even                                   and requires high order                                         common and profitable                same-day grocery delivery
          lower (1.9% of FMCG                                           density and optimised                                           than home delivery in                from 17 Walmart locations.
          products).                                                    routing to reach                                                many areas.                          Prepare for more retailers
          Participate in retailer trials                                operational profitability.                                      Develop pack sizes and               to partner with delivery
          and new program launches                                      Prioritise programs in                                          assortments suited for               providers, particularly as
          to grow your internal                                         dense urban areas that                                          pickup, and focus on initial         they seek to keep pace with
          capabilities as online                                        have a higher chance of                                         list-building, as click-and-         market leaders in grocery
          grocery expands.                                              success.                                                        collect has a high chance of         delivery.
                                                                                                                                        reorder.

Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Retail Insider, PCInsiders.ca, CTV News, Supermarket News, MobileSyrup, Geopolitical Futures, PayPal, eMarketer

      4       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
RECOMMENDATIONS BY CPG SECTOR

      Health & Beauty, Personal Care – Top Planning Concerns & Opportunities

            Amazon.ca share of
                                                Shoppers Drug Mart              Cross-border order               Proposed cross-border
           domestic ecommerce
                                                 new site launches               prevalence (2018)                 sales tax threshold
                 (2023)

                    20.6%                                  2                           63%                              CAD40
           Amazon is the must-win             Emerging online category           Heavy cross-border                 Easier access to low
                customer                             specialist               competition from US sites             ticket H&B products
          The Amazon platform                 Shoppers Drug Mart‘s            Canadian shoppers                  Proposed trade regulations
          encourages reorders and             launch of two online            regularly source health,           will enable Canadian
          subscriptions for                   destinations should make it     beauty and personal care           shoppers to order low
          commonly purchased                  a relevant specialist in this   items from the US.                 ticket personal care items
          personal care items.                category.                                                          from the US without being
                                                                              Brands should increase US-
          Suppliers should prioritise         Use these differentiated                                           subject to additional fees.
                                                                              Canada coordination to
          initial list-building to lock in    sites for brand-building and    avoid internal competition         Suppliers should be
          longer-term spending on             new product launches,           that hurt margins.                 prepared for increased
          Amazon.                             while larger, mass                                                 price investments to
                                              ecommerce operators will                                           remain competitive with US
                                              still drive the majority of                                        sites.
                                              volume.

Source: PlanetRetail RNG, PayPal, eMarketer

      5       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
RECOMMENDATIONS BY CPG SECTOR

      Household & Pet Care – Top Planning Concerns & Opportunities

          Loblaw click-and-collect                                       Walmart stores with           Loblaw delivery reach                  Walmart Instacart
             locations (2018)                                           click-and-collect (2018)        (share of pop., 2018)                   partnership

                       700                                                            127                      70%                                 2H18
             Click-and-collect                                          Flexible fulfilment is key      More consumers have                Partnerships increase to
           penetration is growing                                           for online orders          access to home delivery             offer on-demand delivery
          Click-and-collect will be a                                  Walmart offers click-and-      Local players are adding             Walmart’s first Instacart
          key model to fulfil online                                   collect across an increasing   home delivery capabilities           partnership will start in
          grocery orders, more                                         number of its Canadian         through partnerships and             Toronto and Winnipeg with
          common and profitable                                        stores to give consumers       internal investments.                same-day grocery delivery
          than home delivery in                                        another option for online                                           from 17 Walmart locations.
                                                                                                      Be prepared with pack sizes
          many areas.                                                  orders and save on last-
                                                                                                      and subscription programs            Prepare for more retailers
                                                                       mile delivery costs.
          Develop pack sizes and                                                                      to maximise profitability of         to partner with delivery
          assortments suited for                                       Focus effort on this online    the heavy products                   providers, particularly as
          pickup, and focus on initial                                 grocery model when             frequently purchased                 they seek to keep pace with
          list-building, as click-and-                                 working with Walmart, as it    online in the household              market leaders in grocery
          collect has a high chance of                                 will seek to use stores to     and pet categories as home           delivery.
          reorder.                                                     profitably grow fulfilment     delivery becomes more
                                                                       options.                       popular.

Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Retail Insider, PCInsiders.ca, CTV News, Supermarket News, MobileSyrup

      6       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
RECOMMENDATIONS BY CPG SECTOR

      Electronics, Office & Entertainment – Top Planning Concerns & Opportunities

           Shoppers purchasing                                                Amazon.ca‘s                                                   Cross-border order               Proposed cross-border
             CE online (2016)                                             ecommerce sales rank                                               prevalence (2018)               customs duty threshold

                       36%                                                               1st                                                           63%                         CAD150
           Online growth requires                                        Discoverability is critical                                        Heavy cross-border                Easier access to higher
           new channel strategies                                         to winning on Amazon                                           competition from US sites                ticket CE items
          Ecommerce is a key sales                                      These highly-penetrated                                          Canadian shoppers are               Proposed trade regulations
          channel for electronics,                                      online categories are well                                       very used to shopping               will enable Canadian
          office & entertainment                                        suited to Amazon but also                                        cross-border, making them           shoppers to order more
          categories that will drive                                    entail heavy competition.                                        likely to price compare to          expensive products from
          significant future volume.                                                                                                     US sites for more expensive         the US without being
                                                                        Suppliers should invest in
                                                                                                                                         ecommerce purchases.                subject to additional fees.
          Brands must utilise                                           strong product content,
          channel-specific strategies                                   ratings and reviews, and                                         Brands should increase US-          Suppliers should be
          to avoid alienating store-                                    AMS/AMG to stand out on                                          Canada coordination to              prepared for increased
          based customers and                                           the crowded platform.                                            avoid internal competition          price investments to
          minimise disruption to                                                                                                         that hurt margins and offer         remain competitive with US
          pricing and assortment                                                                                                         Canada-specific                     sites.
          strategies                                                                                                                     assortments where
                                                                                                                                         possible.

Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Retail Insider, Geopolitical Futures, PayPal, eMarketer, Canada Internet Registration Authority: Ecommerce Trends in Canada 2017

      7       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
Market Overview

8   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
Ecommerce Landscape                                                                                                                                                                    MARKET OVERVIEW

                                                                                                    Top markets by ecommerce GMV (USD bn), 2018
Canada is the  largest    10th                                                800
                                                                                                                                                                         Ecommerce share
ecommerce market                                                                                                                         Ecommerce GMV              X%
                                                                                                                                                                         of total chain retail

globally                                                                      700

Canada ranks 10th globally in terms of chain
retail ecommerce gross merchandise value                                      600
(GMV), a long way behind its US neighbour

                                                   Ecommerce Sales (USD bn)
and global leader, China.
                                                                              500
Canadian ecommerce sales will increase at a
CAGR of 11.2% from 2018 to 2023 reaching
USD20.4 billion, but will be overtaken by                                     400   795.1
Australia to drop to the 11th largest
ecommerce market globally.
                                                                              300
                                                                                                                                           Canada is the 10th largest
Just 5% of Canada’s total chain retail sales are                                                                                          ecommerce market globally.
                                                                                            456.6
through online platforms, with many smaller                                   200                                                       Ecommerce share of total retail
Canadian operators yet to go online.                                                                                                     sales is far lower compared to
                                                                                                                                               other top markets.
Canada’s small population and large                                           100                    86.5         78.0
geographic area make viable, scaled                                                                                             69.2
ecommerce operations challenging.                                                                                                             33.5           29.7          28.2          20.7          12.0
                                                                                0
                                                                                    China    US     Japan          UK        Germany          India        France         South         Brazil       Canada
                                                                                                                                                                          Korea

                                                                                    61.1%   15.5%   14.2%        17.5%         15.7%         55.8%          8.6%          19.6%         12.8%          5.0%

                                                    Source: PlanetRetail RNG. Data sourced on 3 Oct 2018: Variations may occur on data sourced from the database after this time. Sales refer to chain retail sales.

9   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Canada Ecommerce October 2018 - ECOMMERCE MARKET GUIDE - Planet Retail RNG
Ecommerce Landscape                                                                                                                                                 MARKET OVERVIEW

                                                                     Invest for Growth                                                                  Must-Win
Canada is an ‘invest for
growth' ecommerce                                  • Strong digitally addressable population growth                                  • Large digitally addressable population
market                                             • High mobile penetration                                                         • Well developed and scaled ecommerce
                                                                                                                                       market (ecommerce = >10% of total
Retailers and brands should segment and            • Small ecommerce market today, but
                                                                                                                                       retail in 2023)
prioritise their top markets for digital             rapid ecommerce growth through 2023
investment and future growth initiatives.                                                                                            • High ecommerce growth forecast
                                                   • Strong overall chain retail growth
Key considerations should include:                                                                                                   • High credit/debit card penetration
                                                   • Low current ecommerce penetration
• Size of the digitally addressable population       but strong potential for growth
  and future growth potential
• Scale of ecommerce and growth potential
• Mobile penetration                                       Indonesia              Mexico                 Canada                              UK           USA               China
• Payment landscape (i.e. credit, cash-based)
                                                                              Monitor                                                             Small & Mighty
• Political environment
Canada is an ‘invest for growth’ ecommerce
                                                   • Small and under-developed online market and                                     • Small population but well developed online
market for retailers and suppliers:
                                                     limited growth forecast                                                           penetration
• High digitally addressable population driven
                                                   • Limited ecommerce development                                                   • Consumers have strong propensity to
  by high internet penetration (90%) and
                                                                                                                                       purchase online
  mobile penetration (72%).                        • High risk markets (e.g. political turmoil)
• Ecommerce currently accounts for 5% of
  total retail sales and will grow at a CAGR of
  11.2% from 2018 through 2023.
• Consumers are open to shopping online
                                                                                Russia                                                            UAE           Singapore
  but a low population density and large
  geographic area makes ecommerce more
  challenging.
                                                  Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Internet World Stats, Newzoo Global Market Report 2018

10   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Forecasts                                                                                                                                                                             MARKET OVERVIEW

                                                                                   Top Canadian retailers by ecommerce GMV, 1P vs 3P (USD bn), 2018
1P sales dominate the                                     2.5
Canadian ecommerce                                                                                      3P      1P
                                                          2.0
landscape                                                        1.2
                                                          1.5
Amazon is the top ecommerce player in

                                                 USD bn
                                                                                                                                         Includes Office Depot, and
Canada by a large margin with USD2.4 billion              1.0
                                                                                                                                           Grand and Toy banners
ecommerce sales in 2018.
                                                          0.5    1.1
In 2017, for the first time, Amazon’s Canadian                                  0.8           0.8            0.6           0.5            0.5           0.4            0.4            0.4           0.4
3P sales overtook 1P. In 2018, 3P sales                   0.0
account for 52% of Amazon GMV.

The rest of the top 10 Canadian ecommerce
retailers are led by Walmart and eBay, but
most of the top players have similar online
                                                                                             Canadian 1P vs 3P ecommerce sales (%), 2013-2023e
scale.
                                                 100%
1P sales dominate in Canada, accounting for                                     15%
                                                                                                       3P       1P               22%                                              24%
78% of total ecommerce sales in 2018. 3P           80%
sales are slowly stealing share, driven
predominantly by Amazon and eBay.
                                                   60%

                                                   40%                          85%
                                                                                                                                 78%                                              76%

                                                   20%

                                                     0%
                                                                                2013                                             2018                                             2023
                                                   Source: PlanetRetail RNG. Data sourced on 3 Oct 2018: Variations may occur on data sourced from the database after this time. Sales refer to chain retail sales.

11   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
The Canadian Ecommerce Shopper                                                                                                                                              MARKET OVERVIEW

                                                 Canadian online shoppers by age group (%), 2016                                      Top online categories in Canada, 2016
The Canadian ecommerce                                                                                                       Average basket spend
shopper                                                                    6%
                                                                                                                             Percentage of shoppers who purchased category online

                                                                                                  30%
The age demographic of online Canadian                                                                                                                    USD70                                 45%
shoppers is spread relatively evenly between
the ages of 18-69.                                     35%                                                                  Apparel

Computers are the most common device used
to purchase goods online. Using mobile                                                                                                               USD45                                39%
phones to make online purchases has
relatively low penetration, but has risen from
                                                                                                                         Books, music,
12% in 2014 to 36% in 2017.
                                                                                                                            video
                                                                                       29%
Canadian shoppers most commonly purchase
apparel, books, music, video and consumer                                                                                                                         USD110               36%
electronics items online. Consumer                 Millenials (18-34 years)          Gen-Xers (35-49 years)
electronics has the largest average basket         Boomers (50-69 years)             Pre-boomers (70+ years)              Consumer
size, owing to larger ticket items.                                                                                       electronics

13% of shoppers purchased groceries online        Types of devices used to make online purchases
                                                                     (%), 2017                                                                          USD58                    30%
in 2016, with an average basket spend of
USD56.
                                                                                                                        Toys, hobbies,
                                                                                                                           games

                                                                                                                                                        USD61                 27%
                                                 Computer            Tablet       Mobile phone             TV
                                                   88%                26%            36%                   1%
                                                                                                                          Health & beauty
                                                 Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Canada Post: Growing Ecommerce in Canada, Canada Internet Registration Authority: Ecommerce Trends in Canada 2017

12   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Unique Planning
            Factors in Canada

13   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
UNIQUE PLANNING FACTORS IN CANADA

The unique factors shaping the Canadian ecommerce market

                                                                     Cross-Border                       North American Trade Regulations

                                                                                                        NAFTA               USMCA

                                                            Population Distribution                           Last Mile Fulfilment

 Source: PlanetRetail RNG, census.gov, Deloitte Global Mobile Consumer Survey 2017, ONS, yougov.co.uk

14   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Cross-Border                                                                                                                        UNIQUE PLANNING FACTORS IN CANADA

                                                         Canadians make more cross-border orders than shoppers from other top
The proximity of the US                                                 ecommerce markets around the globe
and ease of cross-border
trade has slowed domestic                                                   Self-reported online shopping behavior in the past 12 months
ecommerce development                                     4%             3%             3%         1%          4%        2%          3%        5%                    8%
                                                                                                   4%                                                       14%
Situation: Canadian shoppers are ecommerce                                              23%                              25%        22%
                                                                        28%                                   29%
savvy and digitally connected. Due to the                                                                                                     29%
proximity of the US and the development of                                                                                                                          37%
the ecommerce market there, Canadian                     59%                                                                                                42%
consumers have been able to shop from US
retailers, making it difficult for smaller, local
competitors to compete with no early-mover                                                        95%
advantage.
                                                                                        74%                              73%        75%
                                                                        69%                                   67%                             66%
Supplier Recommendations:
                                                                                                                                                                    55%
                                                                                                                                                            44%
• For multi-national brands, push to                     37%
  harmonise pricing across Canadian and US
  platforms that sell to Canada to avoid
  arbitrage and market conflict.
                                                       Canada            US            China      Japan        UK      Germany      India    France        Mexico   Brazil
• Local brands should emphasise
  differentiation from US alternatives in                                          Domestic Only          Domestic & Cross Border      Cross Border Only
  product development and marketing –
  premiumisation or deep discounting, unique           “Some estimates suggest that almost half of what online shoppers in Canada
  features, supplemental services, or unique,
  loyalty-building brand marketing can do this.                  purchase is from foreign retail sites” – eMarketer, 2018

                                                    Source: PlanetRetail RNG, PayPal, eMarketer

15   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
North American Trade Regulations                                                                                      UNIQUE PLANNING FACTORS IN CANADA

                                                        The renegotiated NAFTA, while still requiring confirmation from country
Regulatory environment                                           legislatures, will lower cross-border import barriers
becoming more conducive
to cross-border                                                             Online orders from US                         NAFTA                 USMCA

ecommerce                                                            Value requiring Canadian sales tax                   >CAD20                >CAD40

Situation: While not vastly different than                       Value requiring Canadian customs duties                  >CAD20               >CAD150
NAFTA, the proposed trade agreement for the
US, Canada and Mexico seeks to lower the
barriers to cross-border commerce, raising                                                           Implications
the sales tax and import duty exemption
amount for orders coming into Canada.

Supplier Recommendations:

• USMCA is a tailwind to already high cross-
  border activity from the US to Canadian
  shoppers, making greater assortment and         Canadian Shoppers                              US Retailers                   Canadian Retailers
  pricing coordination across the two            • More low cost items available          • Greater Canadian demand         • Higher competition from US
  markets a priority.                                                                                                         ecommerce retailers for low
                                                 • Greater selection of retailers         • Lower logistics expenses
                                                                                                                              cost item sales
• As local Canadian retailers see a defensive      and items                                delivering to Canada due to
  barrier decline in strength, consider new                                                 easier documentation            • Greater price competition,
                                                 • Increased price competition
  competitive requirements of local retailers,                                              requirements                      potentially resulting in lower
                                                   potentially driving lower local
  particularly on low price ranges.                                                                                           prices
                                                   prices
                                                                                                                            • Greater shopper base
                                                                                                                              exposure to US retailer brands
                                                                                                                              and erosion of own brand-
                                                                                                                              perception
                                                 Source: PlanetRetail RNG

16   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Population Distribution                                                                                           UNIQUE PLANNING FACTORS IN CANADA

                                                   Canada has the lowest population density of the top ten ecommerce markets
Ecommerce investment is                                                         by sales volume
focused on urban areas,
but still serving highly                                                                                    Top 10 Ecommerce Markets - Population
                                                                                                                       per Square Mile
distributed shoppers                                                                                1,600
                                                                                                                                                       1,334
                                                                                                    1,400

Situation: Canada’s population is                                                                   1,200                                1,092
concentrated along its southern border and in                                                       1,000              872
urban centers. Ecommerce platforms face the                                                          800                     711
dilemma of deciding which customers to                                                                                             597
                                                                                                     600
serve, faced with the expense of fulfilling                                                                 382
orders in rural areas. Given the relative                                                            400                                         311
sophistication of the Canadian consumer,                                                             200          86                                           64
even far flung shoppers expect some level of                                                                                                                        10
                                                                                                       0
ecommerce service.

Supplier Recommendations:

• Ecommerce players will apply pressure on
  manufacturers to drive unit profitability
  despite high expense of serving some
  geographies. Suppliers should continue
  emphasising larger pack sizes, ecommerce-
  optimised packaging, and solution bundles
  to drive basket size and help profitability of
  individual orders.

                                                   Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Geopolitical Futures

17   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Last Mile Fulfilment                                                                              UNIQUE PLANNING FACTORS IN CANADA

                                                   Both local and multinational players operating in Canada are expanding
Canadian retailers are                         delivery coverage and adding other fulfillment capabilities, like click-and-collect
expanding fulfilment
capabilities, especially in                                                                                  Online
                                                                          Retailer   Delivery     C&C
grocery                                                                                                      Grocery
Situation: All traditional retailers and
pureplay operators are investing heavily in                                             ✔
fulfilment infrastructure, particularly
emphasising click-and-collect when a store
network is available for use.                                                           ✔           ✔            ✔
Supplier Recommendations:
                                                                                        ✔           ✔
• Manufacturers must consider how to drive
  impulse and basket-building through click-
  and-collect as in-store traffic declines.
                                                                                        ✔                        ✔
• Retailer margins will be under as they
  increase ecommerce investments and serve
  shoppers with home delivery. This pressure                                            ✔           ✔            ✔
  will be passed onto manufacturers, who
  should consider assortment, pricing, and
  packaging strategies to improve online                                                ✔           ✔
  profitability.

                                                                                        ✔           ✔            ✔

                                               Source: PlanetRetail RNG
     Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
18
Retailer Profiles

19   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Amazon.ca                                                                                                                                     RETAILER PROFILES

                                                  Amazon Canada Key Forecast                                           2018                    2023e
Amazon.ca sets the                                Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                             2,490                    3,913
standards for the Canadian                        Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales                       19.0%                    20.6%
ecommerce market                                  Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                               1                        1
Situation:                                        CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                                   9.5%
Amazon.ca utilises its extensive ecosystem        Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                              83.3%                    85.0%
strategy in Canada, rolling out shopper-centric
programs to drive loyalty to the platform.
However, Amazon.ca is relatively immature
compared to Amazon’s other markets due to                                           2013                    2016                     2018
proximity of the US and ease of use for
Canadians of the Amazon US platform.
                                                                                 Amazon continues to expand its digital ecosystem in Canada
Supplier Recommendations:

• Consider US to Canadian pricing                                2012                                                    2017
                                                                                                2014
  harmonisation strategies to minimise the
  negative effects of Amazon cross-border
  sourcing in its 1P business.

• Enact distribution restrictions and controls
  related to marketplaces early within
  Canadian sales channels to minimise                       FC Investment:
  unauthorised or undesirable 3P listings on                • Adding a new British Columbia FC to reach 10 total
  Amazon.ca.                                                  in market
                                                            • All FCs currently clustered around commerce and
• Strategically partner and lean-in with                      population hubs of Toronto, Vancouver, Calgary, and
  Amazon programs when they launch.                           Ottawa

                                                  Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Canadian Grocers

20   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Walmart                                                                                                                                               RETAILER PROFILES

                                                  Walmart Canada Key Forecast                                                 2018                      2023e
Walmart Canada                                    Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                                    875                       1,411
engaging with multiple                            Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales                              6.7%                       7.4%
partners to fulfil from                           Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                                     2                           2
supercenter network                               CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                                        10.0%
Situation:                                        Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                                     5.2%                       7.2%

By the end of FY18, Walmart.ca will become                                           Walmart grocery fulfilment investments
the 2nd biggest ecommerce player in Canada,
overtaking Staples and eBay, thanks to the            Fresh grocery                              Home delivery                           Click-and-collect
retailer’s investments in new distribution
centres, flexible fulfilment options and third-
party partnerships. A more expansive
assortment via 3P seller hosting will also draw
greater traffic.
                                                                                                                               21 new instore pickup locations in 1H18,
Supplier Recommendations:                                                                                                      bringing total to 105 locations, plus 7
                                                  Building a new                     Home delivery - started same-day          pickup locations via external partner,
• Walmart should be a priority retail partner     300,000 sqft fresh                 grocery delivery in Toronto and           Penguin Pickup, in Toronto.
  as an alternative to Amazon, but requires       grocery distribution               Winnipeg via Instacart in 2H18.
  coordination of ecommerce teams in areas        centre in British                                                            22 new grocery pickup locations in
  like price matching and seller acquisition      Columbia.                          Sustainable grocery delivery via          Regina, Halifax, Moncton, Victoria &
  competition due to the interplay of the                                            Food-X in Vancouver. Orders are           Quebec City in 2H18. Will include mobile
  marketplaces.                                   This will expand its               delivered by Food-X in reusable           check-in feature for users to check in 30
                                                  fulfillment capacity,              bags.                                     mins before their scheduled pickup time.
• Using the US as a leading indicator,            reaching more areas
  Walmart.ca will heavily leverage stores for     and enabling faster                3rd party partners aid faster and         Pickup Towers dispensing a shopper’s
  click-and-collect and look to define online     delivery speeds.                   more innovative last-mile delivery        online orders in
Canadian Tire                                                                                                                                     RETAILER PROFILES

                                                    Canadian Tire Key Forecast                                          2018                       2023e
Canadian Tire leveraging                            Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                            115                          153
brand equity while                                  Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales                      0.9%                        0.8%
investing in fulfilment                             Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                             26                          26
Situation:                                          CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                                  5.9%
Canadian Tire, one of Canada’s largest              Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                             1.0%                        1.2%
retailers, is challenged to compete with
foreign rivals that are driving ecommerce                                                   Leveraging its extensive store network
investment in Canada. However, its deeply
entrenched brand affinity with the Canadian                                  Fulfilment                                                 Loyalty
shopper and its market-leading loyalty
program can be a differentiator as it adds
ecommerce capabilities.

Supplier Recommendations:

• Optimise placement for the most critical
  and highest viewership online banners, and
  consider how Triangle Rewards impacts             Home delivery – started from select stores in 2H17
  online traffic.                                   and has since expanded to ~20% of Canadian Tire            Loyalty program – revamping its iconic loyalty
                                                    stores. Home delivery is also offered at other             program, Triangle Rewards, which is a free loyalty and
• Partner early and collaboratively on its click-   Canadian Tire banners, including Mark’s and Spot           credit card program with 11 million members, to cover
  and-collect strategy, and encourage a high        Chek.                                                      more of its instore and online banners (shown above),
  data sharing to understand growth by
                                                    Click-and-collect – With 1,706 stores across               and offer enhanced customisation.
  fulfilment model, including home delivery
  and click-and-collect.                            Canada, the 3rd largest network behind Sobeys and          The move follows similar changes to rival (Loblaw)
                                                    Loblaw, Canadian Tire has an opportunity to win in         loyalty programs, allowing customers to earn and use
                                                    click-and-collect but has been less aggressive in          points flexibly across banners in the store portfolio.
                                                    expanding it compared to rivals like Loblaw.
                                                     Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Canadian Tires, Red Lion

22   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Sobeys                                                                                                                    RETAILER PROFILES

                                                Sobeys Key Forecast                              2018                       2023e
Sobeys looking to Ocado                         Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                         85                          100
technology partnership to                       Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales   0.7%                       0.5%
advance grocery offering                        Ecommerce Rank in Canada                         33                          35
Situation:                                      CAGR, 2018-2023e                                               3.2%
Sobeys, Canada’s 2nd largest grocer, recently   Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales          0.4%                       0.4%
announced a partnership with UK online
grocer Ocado, known for its leading online
grocery ordering, automated warehousing,                                                                Sobeys and Ocado are partnering to
fulfilment and home delivery system.                                                                    build an automated warehouse that
                                                                                                               serves Ontario by 2020
Supplier Recommendations

• Optimise packaging for compatibility with
  automated grocery fulfillment centres and
  robotic capabilities.                                                                                   Capabilities:

• Ocado’s high volume automated FCs are                                                                   • Ocado Smart Platform software
  best suited to urban areas with high order                                                                to power system
  volumes and shopper densities, namely                                                                   • Robotic order assembly
  Toronto, Vancouver, and Ottawa. Brands
                                                                                                          • Average 50 item order assembly
  should plan for these shopper types when
                                                                                                            time in under 5 minutes
  developing ecommerce strategies with
  Sobeys.                                                                                                 • Most recent Ocado FCs in UK
                                                                                                            deploy 1,100 robots

                                                Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Ocado.com

23   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Metro                                                                                                                                                         RETAILER PROFILES

                                                   Metro Key Forecast                                                                2018                        2023e
Metro building in-house                            Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                                           5.9                         19
capabilities and leveraging                        Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales                                    0.05%                       0.1%
3rd party partnerships                             Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                                            79                         61
Situation:                                         CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                                                26.7%
Metro, one of the largest Canadian grocery         Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                                           0.04%                       0.1%
retailers, is a relatively new entrant to online
grocery, but is growing the fastest due to            Tackling fulfilment through a combination of in-house investments and 3rd
partnerships with several last-mile delivery
providers, developments of in-house logistics                                     party partnerships
and fulfilment capabilities and the acquisition
of meal-kit service company, MissFresh.             In-house logistics and delivery capabilities                                       3rd party delivery partnerships
Supplier Recommendations:

• Review inventory planning and distribution
  capabilities in anticipation of tighter
  timeframes as Metro continues to expand
  its 3rd party delivery partnerships.

• Seek early partnerships with emphasis on         • A new USD400 million automated fresh
  data sharing to understand competitive             distribution facility in Toronto is slated to
  positioning and to inspire future product          open by 2023.                                                            • Meal Kits – Acquires MissFresh to enter ready
  development.                                     • Launched Metro To Home, a last-mile delivery                               meals market.
                                                     solution for manufacturers and retailers of                              • Last mile delivery – partners with 3P delivery
• Focus on product content, including                appliances and other large and/or heavy items.                             provider Pigeonship, and PUDO, and Penguin
  product titles and descriptions that are                                                                                      Pickup in 2H18 to offer same-day grocery
  optimised for search performance, to be                                                                                       delivery and click-and-collect.
  well-positioned as the platform grows.
                                                   Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Metro, CTV News, Supermarket News, MobileSyrup

24   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Loblaw                                                                                                                                     RETAILER PROFILES

                                                  Loblaw Key Forecast                                             2018                       2023e
Loblaw can leverage a large                       Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                         56                          96
store network and an                              Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales                  0.4%                       0.5%
advanced home delivery                            Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                         39                          38
reach                                             CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                             11.3%
Situation:                                        Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                         0.1%                       0.2%

Loblaw, the largest Canadian grocer and           Ramping up its ecommerce business through click-and-collect and an Instacart
general merchandise retailer, has focused on
expanding its click-and-collect sites and
                                                                            delivery partnership
Instacart delivery partnership, as Amazon and                                Fulfilment                                         Loyalty
Walmart step up investment. Loblaw is also
investing in new loyalty programmes to
deepen customer engagement.

Supplier Recommendations

• Top suppliers will support couponing
                                                                                                            PC Insiders – new subscription-based loyalty
  initiatives with Instacart, due to Loblaw’s
                                                                                                            programme, which builds on Loblaw’s existing free
  relatively advanced relationship with the
                                                  Click-and-collect – plans 500 sites in FY18,              loyalty program, PC Optimum.
  intermediary in Canada.
                                                  bringing the total to 700, with opportunity for           Shoppers get discounts and reward points across
• Early click-and-collect partners will be able   more locations across its 2,416 store network.            several of Loblaw’s banners both online and
  to shape their brands’ placement and the                                                                  instore, including free shipping, 20% back in
                                                  Home delivery – expand partnership with
  data access from this offering.                                                                           points, and 20x the regular PC Optimum points on
                                                  Instacart from 11 to 16 cities by end of 2018.
                                                                                                            all beautyboutique.ca orders.
                                                  Loblaw expects to offer home delivery to 70% of
                                                  Canadians by end of 2018, up from 50% in 2017.            By consolidating the program, Loblaw aims to gain
                                                                                                            a single view of the customer.

                                                  Source: PlanetRetail RNG, Retail Insider, PCInsiders.ca

25   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Shoppers Drug Mart                                                                                                                 RETAILER PROFILES

                                                Shoppers Drug Mart Key Forecast                           2018                       2023e
Shoppers Drug Mart                              Ecommerce Sales (USD mn)                                   0.4                         0.6
establishes premium                             Retailer Share of Total Canada Ecommerce Sales           0.003%                      0.003%
online experiences                              Ecommerce Rank in Canada                                   113                         113
Situation:                                      CAGR, 2018-2023e                                                        5.8%
Shoppers Drug Mart is a subsidiary of Loblaw    Ecommerce Share of Total Retailer Sales                  0.004%                      0.005%
and a leading beauty and pharmacy retailer in
Canada. In an effort to diversify its online    Shoppers Drug Mart diversifies its online destination with two new online sites
banners and capture a bigger share of the
fast-growing health and beauty online           Shoppersdrugmart.ca - features hundreds of        Wellwise.ca – features healthcare products and
segment, the retailer has launched 2 new        mass and luxury private label and international   personal care items targeted at the aging population,
health and beauty websites, wellwise.ca and     health and beauty brands.                         as well as an auto-subscription service that ships
shoppersdrugmart.ca.                                                                              frequently-purchased items to shoppers’ homes.

Supplier Recommendations

• Health and Beauty suppliers should vie for
  premium positioning as these platforms
  define the development of the category
  online.

• Match assortment to banners and target
  shopper segments.

                                                Source: PlanetRetail RNG, ikea.com

26   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Appendix

27   Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Further Forecasts                                                                                                                                                                   APPENDIX

                                     Canada Ecommerce Sales (USD bn) and Share (%) of Total Chain Retail Sales
                                25                                                                                                                                                   7.0%
                                                                                                                                                                            6.4%
                                                                                                                                                                    6.2%
                                                                                                                                                 5.9%
                                                                                                                   5.7%                                                              6.0%
                                                                                     5.5%
                                20
                                                                5.2%
                                            4.9%
                                                                                                                                                                                     5.0%
     Ecommerce Sales (USD bn)

                                                                                                                                                                                            Ecommerce Share (%)
                                15
                                                                                                                                                                                     4.0%

                                                                                                                                                                                     3.0%
                                10
                                                                                                                                                                             19
                                                                                                                                                                     18
                                                                                                                                                   17
                                                                                                                     16
                                                                                      14                                                                                             2.0%
                                                                 13
                                             12
                                5

                                                                                                                                                                                     1.0%

                                0                                                                                                                                                    0.0%
                                            2017                2018                2019e                         2020e                          2021e              2022e   2023e

                                                                                           Ecommerce Sales (USD bn)                Ecommerce Share (%)

 Source: PlanetRetail RNG. Data sourced on 3 Oct 2018: Variations may occur on data sourced from the database after this time. Sales refer to chain retail sales.

28                              Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Further Forecasts                                                                                                                                                                                 APPENDIX

                                          Top 10 Retailers by Ecommerce Sales (USD bn) in Canada

4.5

                   3.9
4.0

3.5

3.0
             2.5
2.5

2.0

                                          1.4
1.5
                                                                 1.0                                           0.9                                                        1.0
1.0                                 0.9                    0.8                          0.8
                                                                                  0.7                                                                                                 0.6
                                                                                                         0.5                    0.5    0.5             0.5    0.5                                  0.5
                                                                                                                                                                    0.5         0.4         0.4
0.5

0.0
             Amazon                Walmart                   eBay                 Staples                 Well.ca            Office Depot              Staples -    Shop.ca     Costco       Apple
                                                                                                                                                      Sycamore

                                                                                                                2018       2023e

 Source: PlanetRetail RNG. Data sourced on 3 Oct 2018: Variations may occur on data sourced from the database after this time. Sales refer to chain retail sales.

29    Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
Further Forecasts                                                                                                                                                                                            APPENDIX

                                    Canada Chain Retail Sales by Channel (USD bn), 2018-2023e

 350

 300

                                                                                                                                                                                                       56
                                                                                                                                                                             54
 250                                                                                                                                        52
                                                                                                     50
                                                               48                                                                                                                                      19
                         46                                                                                                                                                  18
                                                                                                                                            17
                                                                                                     16                                                                      22                        23
 200                                                           14                                                                           21
                         13                                                                          20
                         18                                    19                                                                                                            27                        27
                                                                                                     24                                     26
                         21                                    23
                                                                                                                                                                             26                        26
 150                                                                                                 24                                     25
                         23                                    23
                                                                                                                                                                             27                        28
                                                                                                     25                                     26
                         23                                    24
 100                                                                                                                                        30                               30                        31
                         27                                    28                                    29

                         37                                    38                                    39                                     40                               41                        42
  50

                         44                                    44                                    44                                     45                               46                        47
     0
                       2018                                  2019e                                 2020e                                  2021e                            2022e                     2023e

                 Grocery        Hyper/Super & Mass            Health & Beauty         Home Specialists          Food Service / QSR         Cash & Carry/Club        Discounters    Ecommerce   Other Channels*

 Other Channels*: Other category Specialists, Apparel Specialists, Department Stores, Convenience, Leisure, Consumer Electronics

 Source: PlanetRetail RNG. Data sourced on 3 Oct 2018: Variations may occur on data sourced from the database after this time. Sales refer to chain retail sales.

30       Canada Ecommerce Market Guide
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