TRV Statistical Annex - ESMA
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E TRV ESMA Report on Trends, Risks and Vulnerabilities Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 19 February 2020 ESMA50-165-1152
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 2 Table of contents Market environment 3 Securities markets 5 Equity markets 5 Sovereign-bond markets 6 Corporate-bond markets 9 Credit quality 11 Securities lending 13 Short selling 13 Money markets 14 Commodity markets 15 Derivatives markets 16 Infrastructures and services 18 Trading venues and MiFID entities 18 Central counterparties 19 Central securities depositories 21 Credit rating agencies 21 Financial benchmarks 23 Asset management 24 Fund industry 24 Money market funds 27 Alternative funds 28 Exchange-traded funds 29 Consumers 31 Investment resources available to households 31 Asset allocation by retail investors 31 Costs and performance 33 Complaints 35 Market based finance 36 Capital markets financing 36 SMEs 38 Market-based credit intermediation 39 Sustainable finance 41 Green finance 41 Emissions trading 42 Financial innovation 43 Financial innovation 43
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 3 Market environment A.1 A.2 Market price performance Market volatilities 130 80 120 70 110 60 100 50 90 40 80 30 70 20 60 10 50 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Equities Commodities Equities Commodities Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Note: Return indices on EA equities (Datastream regional index), global Note: Annualised 40D volatility of return indices on EA equities (Datastream commodities (S&P GSCI) converted to EUR, EA corporate and sovereign regional index), global commodities (S&P GSCI) converted to EUR, EA bonds (iBoxx EUR, all maturities). 01/12/2018=100. corporate and sovereign bonds (iBoxx EUR, all maturities), in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.3 A.4 Economic policy uncertainty EUR exchange rates 525 60 115 450 50 110 375 40 105 300 30 100 225 20 95 150 75 10 90 0 0 85 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Europe US Global VSTOXX (rhs) USD JPY GBP CHF Note: Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (EPU), developed by Baker et al. (www.policyuncertainty.com), based on the frequency of articles in European Emerging 1Y-MA USD newspapers that contain the following triple: "economic" or "economy", Note: Spot exchange rates to Euro. Emerging is a weighted average (2016 "uncertain" or "uncertainty" and one or more policy-relevant terms. Global GDP) of spot exchange rates for CNY, BRL, RUB, INR, MXN, IDR and TRY. aggregation based on PPP-adjusted GDP weights. Implied volatility of EURO 01/12/2018=100. Increases in value represent an appreciation of EUR. 1Y- STOXX 50 (VSTOXX), monthly average, on the right-hand side. MA USD=one-year moving average of the USD exchange rate. Sources: Baker, Bloom, and Davis 2015; Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: ECB, IMF, ESMA. A.5 A.6 Exchange rate implied volatilities Market confidence 14 40 12 20 0 10 -20 8 -40 6 -60 4 -80 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 2 Overall fin. sector Fin. intermediation 0 Ins. and pension Auxiliary activities Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 1Y-MA overall EUR-USD EUR-GBP Note: European Commission survey of EU27 financial services sector and subsectors (NACE Rev.2 64, 65, 66). Confidence indicators are averages of 1Y-MA USD 1Y-MA GBP the net balance of responses to questions on development of the business Note: Implied volatilities for 3M options on exchange rates, in %. 1Y-MA USD situation over the past three months, evolution of demand over the past three (resp. 1Y-MA GBP) is the one-year moving average of the implied volatility for months and expectation of demand over the next three months, in % of 3M options on EUR-USD (resp. EUR-GBP) exchange rate. answers received. Fin.=financial. Ins.=insurance. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: European Commission, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 4 A.7 A.8 Portfolio investment flows by asset class Investment flows by resident sector 225 1200 150 900 75 0 600 -75 300 -150 -225 0 -300 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 -300 Equity assets Equity liabilities Long-term debt assets Long-term debt liabilities -600 Short-term debt assets Short-term debt liabilities 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Total net flows Govt. & househ. Other finance Note: Balance of Payments statistics, financial accounts, portfolio investments Ins. & pensions MFI by asset class, EUR bn, Assets=net purchases (net sales) of non-EA NFC 5Y-MA securities by EA investors. Liabilities=net sales (net purchases) of EA Note: Quarterly Sector Accounts. Investment flows by EA resident sector in securities by non-EA investors. Total net flows=net outflows (inflows) from equity (excluding investment fund shares) and debt securities, EUR bn. 5Y- (into) the EA. MA=five-year moving average of all investment flows. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.9 A.1 Institutional investment flows 450 375 300 225 150 75 0 -75 -150 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Real estate funds Other Insurance & pensions Hedge funds Equity funds Bond funds 5Y-MA Note: EA institutional investment flows by type of investor, EUR bn. Other=financial vehicle corporations, mixed funds, other funds. 5Y-MA=five- year moving average of all investment flows. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 5 Securities markets Equity markets A.10 A.11 Equity prices by sector Price performance of national indices 150 130 120 125 110 100 100 90 80 75 70 60 50 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 EURO STOXX 50 CAC 40 Banks Financial services DAX FTSE 100 Insurance Non-financials FTSE MIB IBEX Note: STOXX Europe 600 sectoral return indices. 01/12/2018=100. Note: European equity indices. 01/12/2018=100. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.12 A.13 Price performance Price-earnings ratios 140 30 130 25 120 20 110 15 100 10 90 5 80 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 70 EA US Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 10Y-AVG EA 10Y-AVG US EA US JP Note: Price-earning ratios based on average inflation-adjusted earnings from Note: Datastream regional equity indices for the EA (in EUR), the US (in USD) the previous 10 years (cyclically adjusted price-earning ratios). Averages and Japan (in JPY). 01/12/2018=100. computed from the most recent data point up to 10 years before. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.14 A.15 Return dispersion Implied volatility 15 90 10 80 70 5 60 0 50 -5 40 -10 30 20 -15 10 -20 0 -25 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 VIX (US) VSTOXX 5Y-MA VSTOXX Min Median Max Note: Implied volatility of EURO STOXX 50 (VSTOXX) and S&P 500 (VIX), in Note: Weekly return dispersion of the main equity indices in the EEA30. %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 6 A.16 A.17 Implied volatility by option maturity Correlation STOXX Europe 600 and sectoral indices 125 1.0 100 0.9 75 0.8 50 0.7 25 0 0.6 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Banks Financial services VSTOXX 1M VSTOXX 3M Insurance Non-financial corporation VSTOXX 12M VSTOXX 24M Note: Correlations between daily returns of the STOXX Europe 600 and Note: EURO STOXX 50 implied volatilities, measured as price indices, in %. STOXX Europe 600 sectoral indices. Calculated over 60-day rolling windows. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.18 A.19 ESMA composite equity liquidity index Bid-ask spread 0.46 0.18 0.16 0.44 0.14 0.42 0.12 0.40 0.10 0.08 0.38 0.06 0.36 0.04 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0.02 Illiquidity index 2Y-MA Note: Composite indicator of illiquidity in the equity market for the current 0.00 STOXX Europe Large 200 constituents, computed by applying the principal Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 component methodology to six input liquidity measures (Amihud illiquidity Bid-ask spread 40D-MA 5Y-MA coefficient, bid-ask spread, Hui-Heubel ratio, turnover value, inverse turnover ratio and market efficiency coefficient). The indicator range is between 0 Note: Liquidity measure as median of the bid-ask price percentage difference (higher liquidity) and 1 (lower liquidity). for the current EEA30 constituents of STOXX Europe Large 200, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sovereign-bond markets A.20 A.21 Issuance and outstanding Issuance by credit rating 9 450 450 AAA 8 400 400 350 7 350 300 AA 6 300 250 5 250 200 4 200 150 A+ 3 150 100 2 100 50 A- 0 1 50 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 0 0 AAA AA+ to AA- 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 Below AA- NR Outstanding non-EA Outstanding EA Non-EA issuance (rhs) EA issuance (rhs) Avg. rating (rhs) Note: Sovereign bond gross issuance in the EEA30 by rating bucket, EUR bn. 5Y-MA issuance (rhs) Avg. rating=weighted average rating computed as a one-year moving average Note: Sovereign bond gross issuance in the EEA30 (rhs), EUR bn, and of ratings converted to a numerical scale (AAA=1, AA+=2, etc.) excluding non- outstanding amounts, EUR tn. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. rated bonds. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 7 A.22 A.23 Rating distribution Equity-sovereign bond correlation dispersion 100 1.0 80 0.5 60 0.0 40 -0.5 20 -1.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 Top 25% Core 50% 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 Bottom 25% Median AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR Note: Dispersion of the correlation between daily returns of national equity Note: Outstanding amount of sovereign bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance indices and national sovereign debt return index, for 16 countries in the EU27, date by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. over a 60-day rolling window. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.24 A.25 Net issuance by country 10Y yields 150 450 4 100 300 3 50 150 2 0 0 1 -50 -150 0 -100 -300 IS IE IT AT BE BG EE ES MT PT PL SE SK EEA30 CY DE DK LU NL SI CZ HR HU LT LV NO RO FI FR GR -1 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 1Y high 1Y low 4Q20 BE DE ES Note: Quarterly net issuance of EEA30 sovereign debt by country, EUR bn. FR IT SE Net issuance calculated as the difference between new issuance over the quarter and outstanding debt maturing over the quarter. Highest and lowest US 1Y-MA quarterly net issuance in the past year are reported. EEA30 total on right- Note: Yields on 10Y sovereign bonds, selected countries, in %. 1Y-MA=one- hand scale. All maturities are included. year moving average of EA 10Y bond indices computed by Datastream. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.26 A.27 10Y spreads Yield dispersion 5 6 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 -1 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Top 25% Core 50% ES GR IE IT PT Bottom 25% Median Note: Selected 10Y EA sovereign bond risk premia (vs. DE Bunds), in %. Note: Yield dispersion on 10Y sovereign bonds of 16 EU27 countries, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 8 A.28 A.29 Volatility Yield correlation dispersion 30 1.0 25 0.5 20 15 0.0 10 5 -0.5 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 -1.0 BE DE ES Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 FR IT SE US 1Y-MA Top 25% Core 50% Note: Annualised 40-day volatility of 10Y sovereign bonds, selected countries, Bottom 25% Median in %. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average of EA 10Y bond indices computed by Note: Dispersion of correlations between 10Y DE Bunds and 15 other EU27 Datastream. countries' sovereign bond redemption yields over a 60-day rolling window. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.30 A.31 CDS spreads CDS notionals 60 14 40 12 35 50 30 10 40 25 8 20 30 6 15 4 20 10 2 5 10 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 DE ES FR Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 IE IT PT Europe JP EU27 (rhs) US 1Y-MA Europe Note: Value of outstanding net notional sovereign CDS for selected EU27 Note: Datastream CDS sovereign indices (5 years, mid-spread), in bps. countries, in USD bn. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: DTCC, ESMA. A.32 A.33 Bid-ask spreads ESMA composite sovereign bond liquidity index 10 1.0 0.8 8 0.6 6 0.4 4 0.2 2 0.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Euro MTS Domestic MTS 0 1Y-MA Domestic 1Y-MA Euro MTS Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Note: Composite indicator of market liquidity in the sovereign bond market for the domestic and Euro MTS platforms, computed by applying Bid-ask spread 1Y-MA the principal component methodology to four input liquidity measures Note: Bid-ask spread as weighted average of bid-ask spreads throughout a (Amihud illiquidity coefficient, Bid-ask spread, Roll illiquidity measure month weighted by trading volume across 10 EU27 domestic markets (AT, and Turnover). The indicator range is between 0 (higher liquidity) and 1 BE, DE, ES, FI, FR, IE, IT, NL and PT) and Euro MTS, in EUR. (lower liquidity). Sources: MTS, ESMA. Sources: MTS, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 9 A.34 A.35 Liquidity Liquidity dispersion 5 70 60 4 50 3 40 30 2 20 10 1 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 Top 25% Core 50% Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Bottom 25% Median Liquidity indicator 40D-MA 5Y-MA Note: Dispersion of liquidity measured as median across countries of the bid- Note: Liquidity measured as median across countries of the bid-ask yields ask yields difference for 10Y sovereign bonds, in bps. 22 EEA30 countries are difference for 10Y sovereign bonds, in bps. 22 EEA30 countries are included. included. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. A.36 A.37 Redenomination risk Bond futures liquidity 100 1.4 1.2 80 1.0 60 0.8 40 0.6 20 0.4 0.2 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 BE DE ES FR 0.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 IE IT PT Note: Difference between 5Y CDS spreads under the 2014 ISDA definition DE FR IT (where debt redenomination is a credit event), and under the 2003 ISDA Note: One-month moving averages of the Hui-Heubel illiquidity indicator for definition (where it is not), in bps. selected 10Y sovereign bond futures, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Corporate-bond markets A.38 A.39 Yields by credit rating Spreads by credit rating 2.5 300 2.0 250 1.5 200 1.0 150 0.5 100 0.0 50 -0.5 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 AAA AA A AAA AA A BBB 1Y-MA BBB 1Y-MA Note: : ICE BofAML EA corporate bond redemption yields by rating, in %. 1Y- Note: ICE BofAML EA corporate bond option-adjusted spreads by rating, in MA=one-year moving average of all indices. bps. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average of all indices. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 10 A.40 A.41 Debt redemption profile by sector Rating distribution 525 200 100 450 100 80 375 300 0 60 225 -100 150 40 -200 75 20 0 -300 4Q20 4Q21 4Q22 4Q23 4Q24 4Q25 Non-financials Financials 0 1Y-change fin (rhs) 1Y-change non-fin (rhs) 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 Note: Quarterly redemptions over 5Y-horizon by EEA30 private financial and AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR non-financial corporates, EUR bn. 1Y-change=difference between the sum of this year's (four last quarters) and last year's (8th to 5th last quarters) Note: Outstanding amount of corporate bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance redemptions. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. date by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. A.42 A.43 Hybrid capital instruments Sovereign-corporate yield correlation 30 800 1.0 700 25 600 0.5 20 500 15 400 0.0 300 10 200 5 -0.5 100 0 0 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 -1.0 Outstanding (rhs) Issuance Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 5Y-MA issuance Top 25% Core 50% Note: Hybrid capital instruments gross issuance in the EEA30, EUR bn, and outstanding amounts (rhs), EUR tn. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Bottom 25% Median According to Refinitiv EIKON classification, hybrid capital refers to bonds Note: Dispersion of correlation between Barclays Aggregate for corporate and having the qualities of both an interest-bearing security (debt) and equity. 10Y sovereign bond redemption yields for AT, BE, ES, FI, FR, IT and NL. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.44 A.45 Bid-ask spreads and Amihud indicator Turnover ratio and average trade size 0.7 0.4 18 2.0 0.6 16 0.3 14 1.5 0.5 12 0.4 10 0.2 1.0 0.3 8 0.2 6 0.1 4 0.5 0.1 2 0.0 0.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 0.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Bid-ask 1Y-MA Amihud (rhs) Note: Markit iBoxx EUR Corporate bond index bid-ask spread, in %, Turnover Average transaction size (rhs) computed as a one-month moving average of the iBoxx components in the Note: Average transaction size for the corporate bond segment as the ratio of current composition. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average of the bid-ask spread. nominal amount of settlement instructions to number of settled instructions, in Amihud liquidity coefficient index between 0 and 1. Highest value indicates EUR mn. Turnover is the one-month moving average of the ratio of trading less liquidity. volume over outstanding amount, in %. Sources: IHS Markit, ESMA. Sources: IHS Markit, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 11 Credit quality A.46 A.47 SFI ratings issued by collateral type SFI ratings outstanding by collateral type 8,000 100% 2,000 80% 1,600 6,000 1,200 60% 4,000 800 40% 2,000 400 20% 0 0 Nov-17 May-18 Nov-18 May-19 Nov-19 May-20 Nov-20 0% Jan-18 Aug-18 Mar-19 Oct-19 May-20 Dec-20 ABS CDO CMBS OTH RMBS (rhs) RMBS (rhs) OTH CMBS CDO ABS Note: Number of rated structured finance instruments by asset class. Note: Outstanding EU ratings of structured finance instruments by asset ABS=Asset-backed securities; CDO=Collateralised debt obligations; class, in % of total. ABS=Asset-backed securities; CDO=Collateralised CMBS=Commercial mortgage-backed securities; OTH=Other; debt obligations; CMBS=Commercial mortgage-backed securities; RMBS=Residential mortgage-backed securities. OTH=other; RMBS=Residential mortgage-backed securities. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.48 A.49 High-quality collateral outstanding Rating distribution of covered bonds 12 100 10 80 8 6 60 4 40 2 0 20 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 Quasi high-quality collateral outstanding High-quality collateral outstanding 0 Note: Outstanding amount of high-quality collateral in the EEA30, EUR tn. 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 High-quality collateral is the sum of outstanding debt securities issued by AAA AA A BBB BB and lower NR EEA30 governments with a rating equal to or higher than BBB-. Quasi high- quality collateral is the outstanding corporate debt with a rating equal to or Note: Outstanding amount of covered bonds in the EEA30 as of issuance date higher than AA-. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. by rating category, in % of the total. Maturities < 12 months are excluded. Sources: Thomson Reuters EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Thomson Reuters EIKON, ESMA. A.50 A.51 SFI rating changes Size of SFI rating changes 4 600 3 400 2 200 1 0 0 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Downgrades Upgrades Downgrades Upgrades 3M-MA downgrades 3M-MA upgrades 3M-MA downgrades 3M-MA upgrades Note: Average size of upgrades and downgrades when credit rating agencies Note: Number of rating changes on securitised assets. took rating actions on securitised assets, number of buckets traversed. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 12 A.52 A.53 Size of rating changes Non-financial corporate rating changes 2 30 100 1.5 20 60 1 10 0.5 20 0 0 -20 -0.5 -10 -60 -1 -20 -1.5 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 -30 -100 Aug-18Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20Dec-20 Non-Financials Covered bonds Financials ES IE IT PT GR (rsh) Insurance Sovereign Structured Finance Note: Number of upgrades minus downgrades of non-financial corporate Note: Average change in notches for long-term ratings for issuers and issuers for ES, GR, IE, IT and PT, in % of outstanding ratings. Ratings from instruments (excl ICAP and CERVED). . Fitch Ratings, Moody's and S&P's. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.54 A.55 Ratings drift Ratings volatility 8 8 4 6 0 4 -4 2 -8 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Non-financial Covered bond 0 Financial Insurance Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Sovereign Structured finance Non-financial Covered bond Financial Insurance Note: 3-month moving average of net rating changes in outstanding ratings from all credit rating agencies, excluding CERVED and ICAP, b y Sovereign Structured finance asset class, computed as the percentage of upgrades minus the Note: 3 month moving average of volatility of ratings by all credit rating percentage of downgrades. EU-27+UK ratings. agencies, excluding CERVED and ICAP, b y asset class computed as Sources: RADAR, ESMA. number of rating changes over number of outstanding ratings. Sources: RADAR, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 13 Securities lending A.56 A.57 Securities lending transactions by asset type Securities utilisation rate 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Dec-18 Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Corporate bonds Sovereign bonds Equities Note: Utilisation rate in percent, the ratio of the market value of securities lent over the market value of securities available for lending. Sources: FIS Astec Analytics, Quandl, ESMA. A.58 Securities lending contract tenure Short selling A.59 A.60 Value of net short positions in EU shares Dispersion of net short positions in EU shares 0.7 250 6 0.6 5 200 0.5 4 150 0.4 3 0.3 100 2 0.2 1 50 0.1 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0.0 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Top 25% Core 50% Market value Number of shares (rhs) Bottom 25% Median Note: Market value of net short selling positions as percentage of total market Note: Dispersion of net short selling positions by country in the EEA30 as value in the EEA30. Number of shares part of a main national index on which percentage of market value of those positions relative to each country's blue- short positions were reported by NCAs under the Short Selling Regulation. chip index market value. Sources: National Competent Authorities, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: National Competent Authorities, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 14 A.61 A.62 Value of net short positions in EU shares by sector Value of net short positions in EU sovereign debt 4.5 1.4 4.0 1.2 3.5 1.0 3.0 2.5 0.8 2.0 0.6 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0.0 Manufacturing Financials Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Information technology Utilities Short positions Note: Average of net short positions in EEA30 shares for manufacturing, Note: Duration-adjusted net short selling positions held in EEA30 sovereign financial, information technology and utilities, in % of issued share capital. debt, EUR tn. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. A.63 A.64 Net short positions in industrial shares and equity prices Net short positions in financial shares and equity prices 4.5 140 2.5 140 4.0 130 120 3.5 2.0 100 120 3.0 1.5 110 2.5 80 100 2.0 60 1.0 90 1.5 40 1.0 80 20 0.5 0.5 70 0.0 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0.0 60 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 Manufacturing Sectoral equity index (rhs) Financials Sectoral equity index (rhs) Note: Average of net short positions in EEA30 manufacturing shares, in % of issued share capital, and EEA30 industrial equity benchmark, Note: Average of net short positions in EEA30 financial shares, in % of issued 01/03/2018=100. share capital, and EEA30 financial equity benchmark, 01/03/2018=100. Sources: National Competent Authorities, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: National Competent Authorities, Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Money markets A.65 A.66 Interest rates Spreads to overnight index swap 0.1 150 0.0 125 -0.1 100 75 -0.2 50 -0.3 25 -0.4 0 -0.5 -25 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 -0.6 Euribor GBP Libor Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 USD Libor 5Y-MA Euribor 3M Euribor ECB rate EONIA ESTR Note: Spreads between 3M interbank rates and 3M overnight index swap, in Note: Money market rates, in %. bps. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 15 A.67 A.68 Interbank overnight activity EONIA forwards 80 -0.2 70 -0.3 60 -0.3 -0.4 50 -0.4 40 -0.5 30 -0.5 20 -0.6 10 -0.6 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 -0.7 Jan-19 Sep-19 May-20 Jan-21 Sep-21 May-22 Jan-23 EONIA ESTR SONIA Note: 1M-MA of daily lending volumes on Euro Overnight Index Average EONIA Jan 21 Dec 20 Oct 20 (EONIA), EUR bn, Euro short-term rate (€STR), and Sterling Overnight Index Note: Euro overnight index swap forwards, in %. Average (SONIA), GBP bn. Sources: ECB, Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv EIKON, ESMA. Commodity markets A.69 A.70 Prices Volatility 175 300 150 250 125 200 100 150 75 100 50 50 25 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 Brent Energy Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Brent Energy Industrial metals Natural gas Industrial metals Natural gas Precious metals 1Y-MA Precious metals 1Y-MA Note: Annualised 40-day volatility of S&P GSCI commodity indices and Brent Note: S&P GSCI commodity indices and Brent price. 01/12/2018=100. 1Y- price, in %. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average computed using S&P GSCI. MA=one-year moving average computed using S&P GSCI. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. A.71 A.72 Open interest Implied volatility 2.5 625 2.0 500 1.5 375 1.0 250 0.5 125 0.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Light crude oil Natural gas Light crude oil Natural gas 1Y-MA oil 1Y-MA gas 1Y-MA oil 1Y-MA gas Note: Continuous future open interests on number of barrels, in million of Note: One-month implied volatility of at-the-money options, in %. 1Y-MA oil contracts. 1Y-MA oil (gas)=one-year moving average of light crude oil futures (gas)=one-year moving average of light crude oil (natural gas). (natural gas futures). Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 16 Derivatives markets A.73 A.74 OTC notional outstanding OTC market value 700 25 600 20 500 400 15 300 10 200 5 100 0 0 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 1H20 1H15 1H16 1H17 1H18 1H19 1H20 Commodity Credit default swaps Commodity Credit default swaps Equity-linked Foreign exchange Equity-linked Foreign exchange Interest rate Interest rate Note: Gross market values of outstanding OTC derivatives by category, USD Note: Gross notional amounts of outstanding OTC derivatives by product tn. Gross market values represent the cost of replacing all open contracts at category, USD tn. the prevailing market prices. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. A.75 A.76 ETD notional outstanding by product category ETD turnover by product category 125 0.30 16 14 0.25 100 12 0.20 10 75 0.15 8 6 50 0.10 4 0.05 25 2 0.00 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Foreign exchange 1Y-MA FX Foreign exchange Long-term interest rate Interest rate (rhs) 1Y-MA IR (rhs) Short-term interest rate Note: Global average daily turnover in exchange-traded derivatives by product Note: Open interest in exchange-traded derivatives by product category, in category, in USD tn. 1Y-MA IR=one-year moving average for interest rate, 1Y- USD tn. MA FX=one-year moving average for foreign exchange. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. A.77 A.78 ETD notional outstanding by asset class ETD turnover by asset class 125 14 12 100 10 75 8 6 50 4 25 2 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0 Futures Options 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 1Y-MA futures 1Y-MA options Futures Options Note: Global average daily turnover in exchange-traded derivatives by asset Note: Open interest in exchange-traded derivatives by asset class, in USD tn. class, in USD tn. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 17 A.79 A.80 ETD notional outstanding by exchange location ETD turnover by exchange location 125 14 12 100 10 75 8 6 50 4 2 25 0 Sep-18 Jan-19 May-19 Sep-19 Jan-20 May-20 Sep-20 0 Asia/Pacific Europe 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 North America Other Asia/Pacific Europe North America Other 1Y-MA Europe Note: Open interest in exchange-traded derivatives by exchange location, in Note: Global average daily turnover in exchange-traded derivatives by USD tn. exchange location, in USD tn. "Europe" as defined by BIS. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA. Sources: Bank for International Settlements, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 18 Infrastructures and services Trading venues and MiFID entities A.81 A.82 Equity trading by trading type Equity trading turnover by issuer origin 100% 2,500 900 35 800 30 80% 2,000 700 25 600 60% 1,500 500 20 400 15 40% 1,000 300 10 200 20% 500 5 100 0 0 0% 0 Nov-18 Mar-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 Nov-20 Jan-19 Jun-19 Nov-19 Apr-20 Sep-20 Foreign issuer Domestic issuer Lit Systematic internaliser Dark pool Periodic auction 1Y-MA domestic 1Y-MA foreign (rhs) OTC Total volumes (rhs) Note: Monthly equity turnover on EEA30 trading venues by origin of the Note: type of equity trading in the EEA as a percentage of total volumes. Total traded equity, in EUR bn. Data for Aquis Exchange, CBOE Europe Equities, equity trading volumes in EUR billions (right axis). OTC data includes volumes Equiduct, London Stock Exchange and Turquoise are not reported. Foreign relative to the UK. Last available data point is December 2020. equities are issued in a country other than that of the trading venue. Sources: FIRDS, FITRS, ESMA. Sources: FESE, ESMA. A.83 A.84 Trading turnover by type of assets Share of turnover by type of assets 1,500 Bonds 44.8% 1,250 1,000 750 500 UCITS 250 0.3% Equities 49.8% 0 ETFs Nov-18 Mar-19 Jul-19 Nov-19 Mar-20 Jul-20 Nov-20 5.1% Bonds Equities ETFs UCITS Note: Share of turnover on EEA30 trading venues by asset class, in % of total Note: Monthly turnover on EEA30 trading venues by type of assets, in EUR turnover over the reporting period. Data for Aquis Exchange, CBOE Europe bn. Data for Aquis Exchange, CBOE Europe Equities, Equiduct, London Stock Equities, Equiduct, London Stock Exchange and Turquoise are not reported Exchange and Turquoise are not reported for bonds, ETFs and UCITS. for bonds, ETFs and UCITS. Sources: FESE, ESMA. Sources: FESE, ESMA. A.85 A.86 Circuit-breaker occurrences by market capitalisation Circuit-breaker-trigger events by sector 3,500 100 3,000 80 2,500 60 2,000 1,500 40 1,000 20 500 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Basic materials, industrials and energy Financials Large caps Mid caps Small caps ETFs Healthcare, consumer cyclicals and non-cyclicals Note: Number of daily circuit-breaker trigger events by type of financial Technology, utilities and telecommunications services instrument and by market cap registered on 29 EEA30 trading venues for all Note: Percentage of circuit-breaker trigger events by economic sector constituents of the STOXX Europe Large/Mid/Small 200 and a large sample registered on 29 EEA30 trading venues for all constituents of the STOXX of ETFs tracking these indices or some of their subindices. Results displayed Europe Large/Mid/Small 200 and a large sample of ETFs tracking these as weekly aggregates. indices or some of their subindices. Results displayed as weekly aggregates. Sources: Morningstar Real-Time Data, ESMA. Sources: Morningstar Real-Time Data, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 19 A.87 A.88 Number of trading venues and systematic internalisers Data reporting services providers Approved Regulated Systematic publication market internaliser arrangement 126 173 16 Organised trading Multilateral Approved facility trading reporting 27 facility mechanism 144 21 Note: Number of data reporting servuces providers registered under MiFID Note: Number of trading venues registered under MiFID II/MiFIR by EEA30 II/MiFIR by EEA30 National Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA, by National Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA, by type. type. Sources: ESMA Registers. Sources: ESMA Registers. Central counterparties A.89 A.90 Initial Margins held at EU and UK CCPs Margin breaches 600 0.9% 3.0% 0.8% 2.5% 500 0.7% 0.6% 2.0% 400 0.5% 1.5% 0.4% 300 0.3% 1.0% 0.2% 200 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 100 0 4Q1 7 2Q1 8 4Q1 8 2Q1 9 4Q1 9 2Q2 0 brea ch es of ini tia l margi n -avera ge uncove red exp osure brea ch es of ini tia l margi n -avera ge uncove red exp osure margin req uired add itio nal ma rgins Note: Av erage and maximum margi n breach size over the past 12 month at Note: Initi al margin required as well as additional margin posted by EU CCP, selected EU CCPs, as a percentage of the total margin held, as of 30 in EUR bn. September 2020. Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, CPMI-IOSCO PQD, ESMA. Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, PQD, ESMA. A.91 A.92 Initial margins held at EU and UK CCPs by asset class Initial margins by account type 600 100% 250 80% 200 500 60% 150 400 40% 100 300 20% 50 0% 0 200 100 From interoperable CCP Client gross Client net House 0 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep-20 Dec-20 Total amounts (rhs) Note: Total initial margin required, split by house accounts (participants CO CR CU EQ IR positions on their own account), client gross (when initial margin for the Note: Outstanding amounts of intital margin required and excess collateral positions of indirect participants must be provided for each indirect received by EU27 and UK CCPs for derivatives (CCP.A, CC&G,European participant’s own position) and client net (when positions are netted within a Central Counterparty N.V and KDPW data missing). in EUR bn. Data points group of clients), in %. Total amounts in EUR bn (rhs). for 29 May, 12 June and 16 October incomplete. Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, CPMI-IOSCO PQD, ESMA. Sources: TRs, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 20 A.93 A.94 IRD clearing volumes by CCP IRD subject to clearing obligation by CCP 100 % 800 100% 200 80% 90% 160 600 60% 80% 120 400 40% 70% 80 200 60% 40 20% 50% 0 0% 0 1Q1 8 3Q1 8 1Q1 9 3Q1 9 1Q2 0 3Q2 0 CME (E TD) LCH Swap Cle ar L td ICE Fut Eur ope Eur ex (ETD) LCH SwapClear Ltd Eurex Eur ex JPX (ETD) CME JSCC CME (O TC) JSCC HKEX BME TFX (ETD) LCH (ETD) Total volumes (rhs) HKEX BME Note: Market share on OTC central clearing of basis swaps, fixed-to-float Tota l volumes Note: Quarterly noti onal volumes cleared for OTC and ETD IRDs in EUR, swaps, forward rate agreements and overnight indexed swaps in EUR, USD, USD, JPY or GBP, in %. Total volumes in EUR tn. JPY or GBP, in %. Quarterly notional volumes cleared, in EUR tn (rh axis). Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, ESMA. Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, ESMA. A.95 A.96 Credit derivatives clearing volumes by CCP Credit derivatives subject to clearing obligation by CCP 100 % 8 100% 3 80% 80% 2.5 6 2 60% 60% 4 1.5 40% 40% 2 1 20% 20% 0.5 0% 0 0% 0 ICE Clear Credit ICE Clear Euro pe LCH CDSClear JSCC ICE Clear Credit ICE Clear Europe ICE Fut US Tota l volumes (rhs) LCH CDSClear CME Total volumes (rhs) Note: Quarterly noti onal volumes cl eared for CDS, CDX and CDX futur es & Note: Market share of OTC central clearing of iTraxx Europe and iTraxx swaptions in EUR, USD, JPY or GBP, in %. Total volumes in EUR tn. Crossover, in %. Quarterly notional volumes cleared, in EUR trillion (right Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, ESMA. axis). Sources: Clarus Financial Technology, ESMA. A.97 A.98 IRD trading volumes CDS index trading volumes 175 100 25 100 150 80 20 80 125 100 60 15 60 75 40 10 40 50 20 25 5 20 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 0 Cleared Non-cleared Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 % cleared 1Y-MA % cleared Cleared Non-cleared Note: Daily trading volumes for EU27-currency-denominated IRD products. % cleared 1Y-MA % cleared Products include IRS, basis swaps, FRA, inflation swaps, OIS. 40-day moving Note: Daily trading volumes for the main EUR CDS indices including Itraxx average notional, USD bn. ISDA SwapsInfo data are based on publicly Europe, Itraxx Europe Crossover, Itraxx Europe Senior Financials. 40-day available data from DTCC Trade Repository LLC and Bloomberg Swap Data moving average notional, USD bn. ISDA SwapsInfo data are based on Repository. Reporting logic for indicating the cleared status of trades changed publicly available data from DTCC Trade Repository LLC and Bloomberg for DTCC SDR on 21 Nov 2020. Swap Data Repository. Sources: ISDA SwapsInfo, ESMA. Sources: ISDA SwapsInfo, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 21 Central securities depositories A.99 A.100 Settlement activity Settlement fails 3,000 500 14 2,500 12 400 10 2,000 300 8 1,500 200 6 1,000 4 100 500 2 0 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Government bonds 6M-MA gov Corporate bonds 6M-MA corp Corporate bonds (rhs) 6M-MA corp (rhs) Equities 6M-MA equities Equities (rhs) 6M-MA equities (rhs) Government bonds 6M-MA gov Note: Total value of settled transactions in the EEA30 as reported by NCAs, in Note: Share of failed settlement instructions in the EEA30, in % of value, one- EUR bn, one-week moving averages. week moving averages. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. A.101 A.102 Number of settlement instructions Number of failed settlement instructions 300 900 8 7 250 750 6 200 600 5 150 450 4 3 100 300 2 50 150 1 0 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Corporate bonds 6M-MA corp Corporate bonds 6M-MA corp Government bonds 6M-MA gov Equities 6M-MA equities Equities (rhs) 6M-MA equities (rhs) Government bonds 6M-MA gov Note: Total number of settlement instructions in the EEA30 as reported by Note: Share of failed settlement instructions in the EEA30, in % of total NCAs, in thousand, one-week moving averages. Dotted lines represent six- number of instructions, one-week moving averages. Dotted lines represent month moving averages. six-month moving averages. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. Sources: National Competent Authorities, ESMA. Credit rating agencies A.103 A.104 Ratings drift Ratings volatility
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 22 A.105 A.106 Outstanding ratings issued by the top 3 CRAs Outstanding ratings excluding the top 3 CRAs 130 4,500 4,100 120 3,700 3,300 110 2,900 100 2,500 2,100 90 1,700 1,300 80 900 70 500 4Q16 2Q17 4Q17 2Q18 4Q18 2Q19 4Q19 2Q20 4Q20 100 Non-financial Covered bond 3Q15 2Q16 1Q17 4Q17 3Q18 2Q19 1Q20 4Q20 Financial Insurance Non-financial Covered bond Sovereign Sub-sovereign Financial Insurance Supranational Structured finance Sovereign Sub-sovereign Note: Evolution of outstanding ratings, indexed 3Q15=100. S&P, Structured finance Moody's and Fitch. Note: Evolution of outstanding ratings, indexed 3Q15=100. All CR As Sources: RADAR, ESMA. excluding S&P, Moody's and Fitch. Sovereign on right hand axis. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.107 A.108 Changes in outstanding structured finance ratings Changes in outstanding covered bond ratings 300 500 150 300 0 100 -150 -100 -300 Aug-18Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20Dec-20 -300 Aug-18 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 WD New Net change New Withdrawn Net change Note: Number of withdrawn and new ratings for structured finance instruments. EU-27+UK ratings. Note: Number of withdrawn and new ratings for covered bonds. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. Sources: RADAR, ESMA. A.109 Share of outstanding ratings Big 3 CRAs vs. others 100 23 23 24 24 24 24 25 25 29 30 30 31 31 31 32 32 32 80 60 40 77 77 76 76 76 76 75 75 71 70 70 69 69 69 68 68 68 20 0 4Q16 2Q17 4Q17 2Q18 4Q18 2Q19 4Q19 2Q20 4Q20 Big 3 Other CRAs Note: Share of outstanding ratings from S&P, Moody's and Fitch, and ratings from all other CRAs, in %. Sources: RADAR, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 23 Financial benchmarks A.110 A.111 EURIBOR rates IRSs linked to EONIA and Euribor by maturity 0 140 Trillions -0.1 120 -0.2 100 -0.3 80 -0.4 60 -0.5 40 -0.6 20 -0.7 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep -20 Dec-20 0 EONIA EURIB OR 1W 1M 3M 6M 12M Before end -2021 afte r en d-2021 Note: EURIBOR accross maturities. Note: Gr oss notional amount of IRS outstandi ng referencing EONIA, EONIA Sources: EMMI, ESMA. SWAP rates and EURIBOR by maturity date (before or after end-2021), as of 2 October 2020, EUR tn. Sources: TRs, ESMA A.112 A.113 IRDs linked to reference rates Number of banks contributing to €STR 350 35 40 Trillions 300 30 35 250 25 30 200 20 25 150 15 20 100 10 15 50 5 10 0 0 1Q20 2Q20 3Q20 4Q20 5 LIBOR EURIBOR 0 SONIA (rhs) EONIA (rhs) Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep -20 Dec-20 SOFR (rhs) Number of acti ve banks Note: Gross notional amount of IRS outstanding referencing benchmarks, Note: Number of banks reporting transactions before trimming. EUR tn. Sources: TRs, ESMA Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.114 A.115 €STR rate €STR volumes 70 700 Thousands -0.48 60 600 50 500 -0.52 40 400 -0.56 30 300 20 200 -0.6 Dec-19 Mar-20 Jun-20 Sep -20 Dec-20 10 100 Rate at 2 5th pe rcen til e of volu me 0 0 Rate at 7 5th pe rcen til e of volu me Dec-19 Feb-20 Apr -20 Jun-20 Aug -20 Oct-20 Dec-20 Vol ume-weighted tri mmed mean rate Tota l volume Number of transaction s (rhs) Note: Rates at the 25th and 75th percentiles of total volumes as well as the trimmed one, after removing the top and bottom 25% and calc ulating the Note: T otal nominal v alue of trans actions befor e trimming, in EUR bn. Number mean of the remaining 50% of the volume-weighted distribution of rates. of transactions before trimming. Sources: ECB ESMA Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 24 Asset management Fund industry A.116 A.117 Fund performance Fund volatility 2.5 60 2.0 50 1.5 40 1.0 0.5 30 0.0 20 -0.5 10 -1.0 -1.5 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Alternative Bond Commodity Alternative Bond Commodity Equity Mixed assets Real estate Equity Mixed assets Real estate Note: EU27-domiciled investment fund annual average of monthly returns, Note: Annualised 40-day historical return volatility of EU27-domiciled asset-weighted, in %. investment funds, in %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA A.118 A.119 Entities authorised under UCITS Share of entities authorised under UCITS by country 1,225 30 Others Sweden 29% 4% 1,200 Italy 20 4% 1,175 Poland 10 France 5% 1,150 24% 0 1,125 Ireland -10 9% 1,100 1,075 -20 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 Spain Newly authorised entities Withdrawn entities 10% Luxembourg Number of entities 15% Note: Number of entities authorised under the UCITS Directive by EEA30 National Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA. Newly authorised Note: Number of entities authorised under the UCITS Directive by EEA30 entities and withdrawn entities on the right axis. National Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA, in %. Sources: ESMA Registers. Sources: ESMA Registers. A.120 A.121 Entities authorised under AIFMD Share of entities authorised under AIFMD by country 2,250 125 Others Netherlands 30% 100 4% 2,000 France Italy 23% 75 5% 1,750 50 25 1,500 0 Ireland 6% 1,250 -25 Germany 4Q15 4Q16 4Q17 4Q18 4Q19 4Q20 6% Newly authorised entities Withdrawn entities Spain Luxembourg Number of entities 12% 14% Note: Number of entities authorised under AIFMD by EEA30 National Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA. Newly authorised entities and Note: Number of entities authorised under AIFMD by EEA30 National withdrawn entities on the right axis. Competent Authorities and notified to ESMA, in %. Sources: ESMA Registers. Sources: ESMA Registers.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 25 A.122 A.123 Assets by market segment NAV by legal form 4.5 18 4.0 16 3.5 14 3.0 12 2.5 10 2.0 8 1.5 6 1.0 4 0.5 2 0.0 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 0 Alternative Bond Equity 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Mixed Other Real estate Non-UCITS UCITS Note: AuM of EA funds by fund type, EUR tn. Note: NAV of EU28 funds, EUR tn. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: EFAMA, ESMA. A.124 A.125 NAV by fund market segment Leverage by market segment 4.0 1.45 3.5 1.40 1.35 3.0 1.30 2.5 1.25 2.0 1.20 1.5 1.15 1.0 1.10 0.5 1.05 0.0 1.00 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 Alternative Bond Equity Alternative Bond Equity Mixed Other Real estate Mixed Other Real estate Note: Leverage of EA investment funds by fund type computed as the Note: NAV of EA investment funds by fund type, EUR tn. AuM/NAV ratio. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.126 A.127 Fund flows by fund type Fund flows by regional investment focus 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Emerging markets BF Emerging markets EF Europe BF Europe EF Global BF Global EF North America BF North America EF Note: EU27 bond and equity fund net flows (BF and EF) by regional investment focus, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 26 A.128 A.129 Bond fund flows by regional investment focus Equity fund flows by regional investment focus 4 1 2 0 0 -1 -2 -2 -4 -3 -6 -4 -8 -5 -10 -6 -12 -7 -14 -8 -16 -9 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Western Europe North America Global Emerging markets Emerging markets Global North America Western Europe Note: EU27 bond fund net flows by regional investment focus, in % of NAV. Note: EU27 equity fund net flows by regional investment focus, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.130 A.131 Net flows for bond funds Net asset valuation 40 1,000 16 750 14 20 500 12 0 250 10 0 -20 8 -250 -40 6 -500 -750 4 -60 -1,000 2 -80 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 -1,250 0 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Corporate Government Emerging HY Mixed Other Capital flows Valuation effect AuM (rhs) Note: Two-month cumulative net flows for EU27 bond funds, EUR bn. Funds Note: Net valuation effect related to the AuM of EA investment funds, investing in corporate and government bonds that qualify for another category computed as the intraperiod change in AuM, net of flows received in the are only reported once (e.g. funds investing in emerging government bonds respective period. Capital flows and valuation effects in EUR bn. AuM reported as emerging; funds investing in HY corporate bonds reported as HY). expressed in EUR tn. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.132 A.133 Liquidity risk profile of EU bond funds Cash as percentage of assets 9 0 5.0 8 5 4.5 7 10 4.0 15 3.5 6 20 3.0 5 25 2.5 4 30 2.0 3 35 1.5 2 40 1.0 1 45 0.5 0 50 0.0 Dec-18 Jun-19 Dec-19 Jun-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 BF maturity HY maturity 25th perc Median 75th perc BF liquidity ratio (rhs) HY liquidity ratio (rhs) Note: Median, 25th and 75th percentile of the value of cash held by EU27 Note: Effective a verage maturity of fund assets in years; ESMA liquidity ratio corporate bond funds, in % of portfolio holdings. Short positions can have a (rhs, in reverse order). negative value. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 27 A.134 A.135 Credit quality of bond funds’ assets Maturity of EU bond funds’ assets 3.5 5.2 3.4 5.1 3.3 5.0 3.2 4.9 3.1 4.8 3.0 4.7 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 BF HY (rhs) Note: Average credit quality of assets held in investment grade bond funds (BF) compared with high yield bond funds (HY) based on S&P ratings; 1= AAA; 4= BBB; 10 = D). An increase implies a deterioration of the credit quality. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Money market funds A.136 A.137 MMF performance MMF flows by domicile 1.0 30 25 0.5 20 0.0 15 10 -0.5 5 -1.0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 2nd/98th perc. Median Weighted average -5 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Note: EU27-domiciled MMF average yearly returns by month, in %. The graph shows the median and average asset-weighted returns and the difference EU27 US between the returns corresponding to the 98th and 2nd percentile. Note: MMF net flows by domicile, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.138 A.139 MMF flows by geographical focus Assets and leverage 25 1.6 1.05 20 1.4 1.04 15 1.2 1.0 1.03 10 0.8 5 0.6 1.02 0 0.4 -5 1.01 0.2 -10 0.0 1.00 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 -15 AuM NAV Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Leverage (rhs) 5Y-MA (rhs) Emerging markets Global North America Western Europe Note: NAV and AuM of EA MMFs, EUR tn. Leverage computed as the Note: EU27 MMF net flows by geographical focus, in % of NAV. AuM/NAV ratio. 5Y-MA=five-year moving average of the leverage ratio. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 28 A.140 A.141 MMF maturity MMF liquidity 80 60 70 50 60 40 50 30 40 30 20 20 10 10 0 0 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 Daily liquidity Weekly liquidity WAM WAL Note: Daily and weekly liquidity includes all assets maturing overnight and Note: Weighted average maturity (WAM) and weighted average life (WAL) of shares by AAA MMFs, securities issued by highly rated sovereigns with a Europe-domiciled MMFs, in days. Aggregation carried out by weighting maturity of less than one year, in % of total assets. Aggregation carried out individual MMFs' WAM and WAL by AuM. using individual Europe-domiciled MMF data weighted by AuM. Sources: Fitch Ratings, ESMA. Sources: Fitch Ratings, ESMA. Alternative funds A.142 A.143 Hedge fund returns Hedge fund performance by strategy A.144 A.145 Fund flows by domicile Assets and leverage 2 600 1.5 0 500 1.4 -2 400 -4 1.3 -6 300 -8 1.2 200 -10 1.1 100 -12 -14 0 1.0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Oct-18 Feb-19 Jun-19 Oct-19 Feb-20 Jun-20 Oct-20 EU27 US AuM NAV Note: Alternative mutual fund net flows by domicile, in % of NAV. Data on Leverage (rhs) 1Y-MA (rhs) alternative mutual funds represent only a subset of the entire alternative fund Note: NAV and AuM of EA alternative funds, EUR bn. Leverage computed as industry. the AuM/NAV ratio. 1Y-MA=one-year moving average for the leverage ratio. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 29 A.146 A.147 Alternative fund flows by geographical focus Direct and indirect property fund flows 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Emerging markets Global North America Western Europe Note: EU27 alternative mutual fund net flows by geographical focus, in % of NAV. Data on alternative mutual funds represent only a subset of the entire alternative fund industry. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Exchange-traded funds A.148 A.149 Returns Volatility 4 40 3 35 2 30 1 25 0 20 -1 15 -2 10 -3 5 -4 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 0 2nd/98th perc. Weighted average Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Median Note: Average yearly returns by month of EU27-domiciled ETFs, in %. The Volatility graph shows the median and average asset-weighted returns and the Note: Annualised 40-day historical return volatility of EU27-domiciled ETFs, in difference between the returns corresponding to the 98th and 2nd percentile. %. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. A.150 A.151 NAV and number by domicile NAV by asset type 3,000 6 1000 2,500 5 800 2,000 4 600 1,500 3 400 1,000 2 200 500 1 0 0 0 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 EU27 ETF NAV (rhs) US ETF NAV (rhs) Alternative Bond Commodity Equity EU27 ETFs US ETFs Mixed assets Money market Other Note: NAV, EUR tn, and number of ETFs by domicile. Note: NAV of EU27 ETFs by asset type, EUR bn. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA.
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 30 A.152 A.153 Tracking error Flows by domicile 1.4 4 1.2 3 1.0 2 0.8 1 0.6 0.4 0 0.2 -1 0.0 -2 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 ETF -3 MF index trackers Non-UCITS MF index trackers UCITS -4 Note: Tracking error defined as standard deviation of mutual fund excess Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 returns compared with benchmark. The graph shows the tracking error for EU27 ETFs and mutual funds both UCITS and non-UCITS. Yearly standard EU27 US deviation reported on monthly frequency. End-of-month data. Note: ETF net flows by domicile, in % of NAV. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA. Sources: Refinitiv Lipper, ESMA A.154 A.155 Assets of leveraged European ETFs Average beta values for European ETFs 10 80 8 60 6 40 4 20 2 0 0 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Leveraged (short) - assets Leveraged (long) - assets Note: Total assets of leveraged long and leveraged short ETFs with primary listings in Europe, in EUR bn and total number of products (rhs), in thousand. A.156 A.157 Assets of European ETFs by replication method Flows into European ETFs by replication method 1000 1500 140 120 800 100 1000 600 80 60 400 40 500 20 200 - 0 0 (20) 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Physical - assets Synthetic - assets Physical - number (rhs) Synthetic - number (rhs) Physical net flows Synthetic net flows Note: Total assets of physical and synthetic ETFs with primary listings in Note: Net flows of physical and synthetic ETFs with primary listings in Europe, in EUR bn and total number of products (rhs). Europe, in EUR bn. Sources: ETFGI, ESMA Sources: ETFGI, ESMA
ESMA TRV Statistical Annex No. 1, 2021 31 Consumers Investment resources available to households A.158 A.159 Disposable income Household saving and investment rates 4 18 16 3 14 2 12 1 10 0 8 6 -1 4 -2 2 -3 0 2Q15 2Q16 2Q17 2Q18 2Q19 2Q20 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Saving rate Investment rate Disposable income 5Y-MA 5Y-MA saving 5Y-MA investment Note: Annualised growth rate of household gross disposable income adjusted Note: EA household annual saving and investment rates, based on four- for changes in pension entitlements for 16 EU27 countries (AT, BE, CZ, DE, quarter cumulated transactions, in %. 5Y-MA saving=five-year moving DK, ES, FI, FR, IE, IT, NL, PL, PT, RO, SE and SI), in %. 5Y-MA=five-year average of the saving rate. 5Y-MA investment=five-year moving average of moving average of the growth rate. the investment rate. Sources: Eurostat, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. A.160 A.161 Investor sentiment Growth rates in financial assets 40 10 20 5 0 0 -20 -5 -40 -10 -60 -80 -15 Dec-18 Apr-19 Aug-19 Dec-19 Apr-20 Aug-20 Dec-20 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 EA institutional current EA retail current Currency and deposits Debt securities EA institutional future EA retail future Equities IF shares Note: Sentix Sentiment Indicators for the EA retail and institutional investors Note: Quarterly asset growth rates of financial assets held by EU27 on a ten-year horizon. The zero benchmark is a risk-neutral position. households, in %. IF shares=investment fund shares. Sources: Refinitiv Datastream, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Asset allocation by retail investors A.162 A.163 Household assets to liabilities ratio Household financial assets by class 35 350 35 34 30 33 30 345 25 32 25 340 20 31 20 15 335 30 15 10 330 5 29 10 0 28 325 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 5 Other assets Pensions Insurances IF shares 0 320 Equities Debt securities 3Q15 3Q16 3Q17 3Q18 3Q19 3Q20 Currency and deposits Securities (rhs) Note: Financial assets of EU27 households, EUR tn, and share of securities Assets Liabilities Assets/liabilities ratio (rhs) investments (debt securities, equities and IF shares) in total, in %. IF Note: Financial assets and liabilities of EU27 households, EUR tn. shares=investment fund shares. Other financial assets=Insurance technical Assets/liabilities ratio in %. reserves, financial derivatives, loans granted and other accounts receivable. Sources: ECB, ESMA. Sources: ECB, ESMA.
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