BUSHFIRE RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN - CITY OF ROCKINGHAM 2018-2022
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BUSHFIRE RISK MANAGEMENT PLAN 2018-2022 CITY OF ROCKINGHAM Office of Bushfire Risk Management (OBRM) reviewed 29 June 2018 Local Government Council endorsement 25 September 2018
Contents 1. Introduction .................................................................................................................................... 5 1.1 Background ............................................................................................................................. 5 1.2 Aim and Objectives ................................................................................................................. 5 1.3 Legislation, Policy and Standards ............................................................................................ 5 1.3.1 Legislation ....................................................................................................................... 5 1.3.2 Policies, Guidelines and Standards ................................................................................. 6 1.3.3 Other Related Documents .............................................................................................. 6 2. The Risk Management Process ....................................................................................................... 7 2.1 Roles and Responsibilities ....................................................................................................... 8 2.2 Communication & Consultation .............................................................................................. 9 3. Establishing the Context ............................................................................................................... 10 3.1 Description of the Local Government and Community Context........................................... 10 3.1.1 Strategic and Corporate Framework............................................................................. 10 3.1.2 Location, Boundaries and Tenure ................................................................................. 10 3.1.3 Population and Demographics ...................................................................................... 11 3.1.4 Economic Activities and Industry .................................................................................. 13 3.2 Description of the Environment and Bushfire Context ......................................................... 15 3.2.1 Topography and Landscape Features ........................................................................... 15 3.2.2 Climate and Bushfire Season ........................................................................................ 17 3.2.3 Vegetation Classifications and Bushfire Prone Vegetation........................................... 18 3.2.4 Bushfire Frequency and Causes of Ignition ................................................................... 19 4. Asset Identification and Risk Assessment ..................................................................................... 22 4.1 Planning Areas ...................................................................................................................... 22 4.2 Asset Identification ............................................................................................................... 22 4.3 Assessment of Bushfire Risk ................................................................................................. 23 4.3.1 Likelihood Assessment .................................................................................................. 23 4.3.2 Consequence Assessment ............................................................................................. 24 4.3.3 Assessment of Environmental Assets ........................................................................... 26 4.3.4 Local Government Asset Risk Summary........................................................................ 26 5. Risk Evaluation .............................................................................................................................. 27 5.1 Evaluating Bushfire risk ......................................................................................................... 27 5.2 Treatment Priorities .............................................................................................................. 27 5.3 Risk Acceptability .................................................................................................................. 27 6. Risk Treatment .............................................................................................................................. 29 6.1 Local Government-Wide Controls......................................................................................... 29 City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 2
6.2 Asset-Specific Treatment Strategies ..................................................................................... 30 6.3 Determining the Treatment Schedule .................................................................................. 30 7. Monitoring and Review ................................................................................................................. 32 7.1 Review ................................................................................................................................... 32 7.2 Monitoring ............................................................................................................................ 32 7.3 Reporting............................................................................................................................... 32 8. Glossary ......................................................................................................................................... 33 9. Common Abbreviations ................................................................................................................ 37 Appendices ............................................................................................................................................ 38 1 Drawings ................................................................................................................................... 39 2 Communication Strategy .......................................................................................................... 44 Development of the BRM Plan ............................................................................................................ 49 Implementation of the BRM Plan ........................................................................................................ 50 Review of the BRM Plan....................................................................................................................... 51 3 Local Government-Wide Controls, Multi-Agency Treatment Work Plan ................................. 52 4 References ................................................................................................................................ 56 City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 3
Document Control Document Name Bushfire Risk Current Version 1.0 Management Plan Document Owner City of Rockingham CEO Issue Date DD/MM/YYYY Document Location LUP/1975 Next Review Date DD/MM/YYYY Document Endorsements The City of Rockingham Council endorses that the Bushfire Risk Management Plan (BRM Plan) has been reviewed and assessed by the Office of Bushfire Risk Management as compliant with the standard for bushfire risk management planning in Western Australia, the Guidelines for Preparing a Bushfire Risk Management Plan. The City of Rockingham is the owner of this document and has responsibility, as far as is reasonable, to manage the implementation of the BRM Plan and facilitate the implementation of bushfire risk management treatments by risk owners. The endorsement of the BRM Plan by the City of Rockingham council satisfies their endorsement obligations under section 2.3.1 of the State Hazard Plan for Fire (Westplan Fire). Local Government Representative Signature Date Amendment List Version Date Author Section 1.0 April 2018 GD Publication Information Wherever a third party holds copyright in material presented in this publication, the copyright remains with that party. Their permission may be required to use the material. This document contains Standards Australia Ltd and ISO copyrighted material that is distributed by SAI Global on Standards Australia Ltd and ISO’s behalf. It may be reproduced in accordance with the terms of SAI Global Ltd.’s Licence 1411-c083 to the Commonwealth of Australia (“the Licensee”). All licensed copies of this document must be obtained from the Licensee. Standards Australia Ltd and ISO’s material is not for resale, reproduction or distribution in whole or in part without written permission from SAI Global Ltd: tel + 61 2 8206 6355 or copyright@saiglobal.com. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 4
1. Introduction 1.1 Background The State Emergency Management Plan for Fire (Westplan Fire) requires an integrated Bushfire Risk Management Plan (BRM Plan) be developed for each local government outlining a strategy to treat bushfire related risk across all land tenures. This BRM Plan has been prepared for the City of Rockingham in accordance with the requirements of Westplan Fire and the Bushfire Risk Management Planning – Guidelines for preparing a Bushfire Risk Management Plan (BRM Plan Guidelines). The risk management processes used to develop this plan are generally consistent with the key principles of AS/NZA ISO 31000:2009 Risk Management – Principle and guidelines (ISO 31000:2009), as described in the Second Edition of the National Emergency Risk Assessment Guidelines (NERAG 2014). Such an approach is consistent with the policies of the State Emergency Management Committee, specifically State Emergency Management Policy 3.2– Emergency Risk Management Planning. The BRM Plan is a strategic document that identifies assets at risk from bushfire and their priority for treatment. The Treatment Schedule sets out a broad program of coordinated multi-agency treatments to address risks identified in the BRM Plan. Government agencies and other land managers with responsibility for implementing treatments will participate in the BRM Plan process to ensure treatment strategies are collaborative and efficient; regardless of land tenure. 1.2 Aim and Objectives The aim of the BRM Plan is to document a coordinated and efficient approach towards the identification, assessment and treatment of assets exposed to bushfire-related risk within the City of Rockingham. The objective of the BRM Plan is to effectively manage bushfire risk within the City of Rockingham in order to protect people, assets and other things of local value. Specifically, the objectives of this BRM Plan are to: • Guide and coordinate a tenure blind, multi-agency bushfire risk management program over a five year period; • Document the process used to identify, analyse and evaluate risk, determine priorities and develop a plan to systematically treat risk; • Facilitate the effective use of the financial and physical resources available for bushfire risk management activities; • Integrate bushfire risk management into the business processes of local government, land owners and other agencies; • Ensure there is integration between land owners and bushfire risk management programs and activities; • Monitor and review the implementation of treatments to ensure treatment plans are adaptable and risk is managed at an acceptable level. 1.3 Legislation, Policy and Standards The following legislation, policy and standards were considered to be applicable in the development and implementation of the BRM Plan. 1.3.1 Legislation • Bush Fires Act 1954 • Emergency Management Act 2005 City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 5
• Fire Brigades Act 1942 • Fire and Emergency Service Act 1998 • Conservation and Land Management Act 1984 • Contaminated Sites Act 2003 • Environmental Protection Act 1986 • Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation Act 1999 • Wildlife Conservation Act 1950 • Aboriginal Heritage Act 1972 • Metropolitan Water Supply, Sewerage and Drainage Act 1909 • Country Areas Water Supply Act 1947 • Building Act 2011 • Bush Fires Regulations 1954 • Emergency Management Regulations 2006 • Planning and Development (Local Planning Scheme) Regulations 2015 • Bush Fire Control and Bushfire Brigades Local Law 2001 1.3.2 Policies, Guidelines and Standards • National Emergency Risk Assessment Guidelines (NERAG) (Second Edition 2015) • State Emergency Management Policy 2.5 - Local Arrangements • State Emergency Management Policy 3.2 - Emergency Risk Management Planning • State Emergency Management Preparedness Procedure 8 - Local Emergency Management Arrangements • State Hazard Plan for Fire (Westplan Fire) • State Planning Policy 3.7: Planning in Bushfire Prone Areas • State Planning Policy 3.4: Natural Hazards and Disasters • Guidelines for Planning in Bushfire Prone Areas (2015) • Western Australian Emergency Risk Management Guidelines (Emergency Management WA 2005) • A Guide to the Use of Pesticides in Western Australia (Dept. of Health 2010) • Guidelines for Plantation Fire Protection (DFES 2011) • Firebreak Location, Construction and Maintenance Guidelines (DFES) • Bushfire Risk Management Planning – Guidelines for preparing a Bushfire Risk Management Plan (2015) • AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009 - Risk management – Principles and guidelines • AS 3959-2009 Construction of buildings in bushfire-prone areas • Asset Protection Zone Standards (DFES) 1.3.3 Other Related Documents • National Strategy for Disaster Resilience • National Statement of Capability for Fire and Emergency Services (AFAC 2015) • Public Service Circular No. 88 Use of Herbicides in Water Catchment Areas (Dept. of Health 2007) • Code of Practice for Timber Plantations in Western Australia (Forest Products Commission 2006) • Bushfire Risk Management Planning Handbook • Bushfire Risk Management System (BRMS) User Guide City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 6
• Rockingham Bushfire Mitigation Procedures 2016 (BRM Plan Implementation Framework Action) • City of Rockingham Fire Control Notice (annual notices) • City of Rockingham Town Planning Scheme No.2 • City of Rockingham Strategic Community Plan (SCP) 2015-2025 • City of Rockingham Community Plan Strategy (CPS) – Bushfire Risk Mitigation • Warnbro Dunes Bushfire Risk Planning Area Risk Assessment (BRPARA) 2016 • City of Rockingham Burning of Rubbish, Refuse and Vegetation Council Policy • City of Rockingham Rules Governing the operation of Bushfire Brigades Council Policy • City of Rockingham Foreshore Strategy 2012-2017 • City of Rockingham Foreshore Management Plan 2016-2021 • City of Rockingham Greening Plan 2017 • City of Rockingham Local Planning Strategy • City of Rockingham Rural Planning Strategy 3.1.1 • City of Rockingham Community Safety Strategy 2015 -2025 • City of Rockingham Planning Policy No.3.1.1 Rural Land Strategy • City of Rockingham Planning Policy No 7.2 Local Bushland Strategy • City of Rockingham Planning Policy No 7.2 Assessment of Local Bushland • City of Rockingham Reserve Prioritisation Report 2015 • City of Rockingham Community Plan Strategy – Natural Area Conservation 2017 • Technical Assessment of Natural Areas in the City of Rockingham 2017 2. The Risk Management Process The risk management processes used to identify and address risk in this BRM Plan are aligned with the international standard for risk management, AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009, as described in NERAG (2015). This process is outlined in Figure 1 below. Establish the context Risk Assessment Communication & consultation Risk Identification Monitoring & review Risk Analysis Risk Evaluation Risk Treatment City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 7
Figure 1 - An overview of the risk management process 1 2.1 Roles and Responsibilities Table 1: Roles and Responsibilities Stakeholder Name* Roles and Responsibilities Local Government As custodian of the BRM Plan, coordination of the development and ongoing review of the integrated BRM Plan. Negotiation of commitment from land owners to treat risks identified in the BRM Plan. As a treatment manager, implementation of treatment strategies. As part of the approval process, submission of the draft BRM Plan to the Office of Bushfire Risk Management (OBRM) to review it for consistency with the Guidelines. As part of the approval process, submission of the final BRM Plan to council for their endorsement and adoption. Department of Fire Participation in and contribution to the development and and Emergency implementation of BRM Plans, as per their agency responsibilities as the Services (DFES) Westplan Fire Hazard Management Agency. Support to local government through expert knowledge and advice in relation to the identification, prevention and treatment of bushfire risk. Facilitation of local government engagement with state and federal government agencies in the local planning process. Undertake treatment strategies, including prescribed burning on behalf of Department of Lands for Unmanaged Reserves and Unallocated Crown Land within gazetted town site boundaries. In accordance with Memorandums of Understanding and other agreements, implementation of treatment strategies for other landholders. Office of Bushfire Under the OBRM Charter, to ensure bushfire risk is managed in Risk Management accordance with AS/NZS ISO 31000 and reporting on the state of (OBRM) bushfire risk across Western Australia. Review BRM Plans for consistency with the Guidelines prior to final endorsement by council. Department of Participation in and contribution to the development and Biodiversity implementation of BRM Plans. Conservation and Providing advice for the identification of environmental assets that are Attractions (DBCA) vulnerable to fire and planning appropriate treatment strategies for their protection. As treatment manager, implementation of treatment strategies on department managed land and for Unmanaged Reserves and Unallocated Crown Land outside gazetted town site boundaries. In accordance with Memorandums of Understanding and other agreements, implementation of treatment strategies for other landholders. 1 Source: AS/NZS ISO 31000:2009, Figure 3, reproduced under SAI Global copyright Licence 1411-c083. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 8
Stakeholder Name* Roles and Responsibilities Other State and Assist the local government by providing information about their assets Federal Government and current risk treatment programs. Agencies Participation in and contribution to the development and implementation of BRM Plans. As treatment manager, implementation of treatment strategies. Public Utilities Assist the local government by providing information about their assets and current risk treatment programs. Participation in and contribution to the development and implementation of BRM Plans. As treatment manager, implementation of treatment strategies. Corporations and As treatment manager, implementation of treatment strategies. Private Land Owners 2.2 Communication & Consultation As indicated in Figure 1, communication and consultation throughout the risk management process is fundamental to the preparation of an effective BRM Plan. To ensure appropriate and effective communication occurred with relevant stakeholders in the development of the BRM Plan, a Communication Strategy was prepared. The strategy is provided at Appendix 2. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 9
3. Establishing the Context 3.1 Description of the Local Government and Community Context 3.1.1 Strategic and Corporate Framework Westplan Fire requires an integrated Bushfire Risk Management Plan (BRM Plan) be prepared for each local government area across Western Australia. The BRM Plan is to be in accordance with the templates and guidelines prepared by the OBRM. The guidelines assign the preparation responsibility to local government. Planning Services is responsible for overseeing the preparation of the BRM Plan. The Director of Engineering and Parks Services is responsible for its ongoing implementation. Accepting that there are multiple stakeholders inside and outside of the Local Government involved in the effective implementation of the BRM Plan process, it is important to note that the City’s responsibility is to facilitate the management of the risk of bushfires to the community as supported by the delivery of this plan. The City of Rockingham’s Strategic Community Plan (SCP) seeks to implement a Community Plan Strategy (CPS) that focuses on bushfire hazard reduction throughout the city. The intent is for the City of Rockingham to fulfil this strategy through various means, one of which includes the implementation of a BRM Plan. The City of Rockingham, in addressing the SCP, has developed a CPS for Bushfire Risk Management; the preparation of a BRM Plan is an element of the CPS. To successfully implement the BRM Plan a BRM Plan Implementation Framework has been developed and outlines responsibilities and actions for the City of Rockingham. The BRM Plan encourages the community to work collaboratively and self-sufficiently in providing guidance and negotiating suitable treatment strategies for mitigation of bushfire risk. The responsible land holders will, as a result of the BRM Plan process, be able to allocate resources effectively in order to lower the bushfire risk to an acceptable level. Furthermore, existing and future works programs conducted by the City of Rockingham, that have the potential to influence bushfire risk, will be identified, reviewed and refined and will utilise the BRM Plan risk register to prioritise resources and influence the decision making process. In completing the BRM Plan, asset identification and risk assessment is conducted by City Officers using the risk assessment methodology described in the BRM Plan Guidelines. When appropriate, assessments will be conducted in consultation with relevant land owners and stakeholders. Identified assets will be mapped, recorded and assessed in the Bushfire Management System (BRMS) provided to local governments by the Department of Fire and Emergency Services (DFES). The BRM Plan and BRMS outputs will be utilised in the review and refinement of existing works programs that are designed to reduce bushfire risk in the local government area. The Local Emergency Management Committee (LEMC) and Bushfire Advisory Committee (BFAC) is encouraged to utilise the BRM Plan in addressing bushfire risk throughout the City of Rockingham and are encouraged to reference the BRM Plan in Local Emergency Management Arrangements (LEMAs). 3.1.2 Location, Boundaries and Tenure The City of Rockingham local government area is located approximately 40 kilometres south of the Perth Central Business District (CBD). The City is comprised of 16 suburbs and encompasses an area of approximately 66,850 hectare (including marine reserve), with significant areas of coastline, conservation reserve and parkland. The City of Rockingham boarders with the City of Kwinana to the City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 10
north, the Shire of Serpentine Jarrahdale to the East and the City of Mandurah to the south. The BRM Plan area covers the mainland of the City of Rockingham (which excludes marine reserve and also Garden Island) and has an area of approximately 24,540 hectares. The BRM Plan area is divided into nine planning areas for the purposes of the BRM Plan, as seen in Appendix 1 - Drawing 1 to Drawing 5. The BRM Plan area is comprised of numerous land owners and managers including, but not limited to, the City of Rockingham, state government departments and agencies, infrastructure managers, property developers and also private land owners and corporations. A brief overview of the percentage coverage of various land managers can be seen in Table 2. The City contains significant amounts of both freehold and reserve lands that are used for specific purposes, leased to community associations, or are unused or unallocated. All tenure will come under the same scrutiny when assessing bushfire risk. Table 2: Overview of Land Tenure and Management within the BRM Plan Area 2 Land managers/Agency* % of BRM Plan Area Private and Other 64.25 Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and 15.4 Attractions State Housing Authority 9.2 City of Rockingham 9.1 Unallocated Crown Land (DFES/DoL) 1.3 Water Corporation 0.75 Total 100 Through the BRM Plan process, identified management parcels (or assets) were determined on a case by case analysis of elements such as potential treatment strategies, tenure boundaries or existing access. 3.1.3 Population and Demographics The City of Rockingham has experienced rapid and sustained growth, with the population expanding from 32,845 to 109,415 in the 25 years between 1986 and 2011, which was aided by the construction of the Mandurah railway line and the extension of Kwinana Freeway. The City’s population forecast for 2016 is 134,719 persons and 196,312 persons by 2036, representing an average annual increase of 2.37% as can be seen in the graph below (profile.id). The City’s populous are currently living in 42,462 dwellings with an average household size of 2.64 persons. With and increasing population comes a forecast average increase of 6,943 dwellings every 5 years (from 2016 onward, as seen in the graph below) with an estimated 77, 494 dwellings by 2036. 300000 200000 Population 100000 Dwellings 0 1991* 1996* 2001* 2006* 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2 Source: City of Rockingham - IntraMaps Online Mapping City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 11
Graph 1: City of Rockingham Population and No. Dwellings Growth and Forecast 1991-2036 (profile.id) Figure 2 below identifies the areas of urban expansion in South Baldivis and Karnup that is likely to occur in the future. These areas of urban expansion along the urban-bushland interface will require close attention when assessing bushfire risk. Urban Expansion Areas Figure 2 South Metropolitan Planning Framework 3 According to profile.id statistics the suburbs of Karnup and Keralup (combined), Baldivis and also Hillman and East Rockingham (combined) have the lowest population density in the local government area (0.25, 3.6 and 2.04 persons per hectare respectively). The suburbs of Secret Harbour, Shoalwater and Safety Bay have the highest population densities (20.99, 17.63 and 17.35 persons per hectare respectively). Lower densities are generally attributed to the eastern regions of the City which tend to be rural, semi-rural or peri-urban areas undergoing development that are arguably more susceptible to large bushfires. The western regions of the City are predominantly developed, with post Second World War residential areas, with homes that have not been built in accordance with AS 3959. These 3 Source: Perth and Peel @3.5Million - Department of Planning Heritage and Lands City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 12
areas are prone to ember attack from bushfires or may directly be impacted by flames where interfacing with bushland reserve, such as the foreshore reserve. Graph 2: Population Density (persons / ha) per Suburb (profile.id) 20.99 17.35 17.63 13.08 10.4 10.98 6.03 6.26 6.39 6.56 3.60 2.04 0.25 In recent decades the rapid population growth has seen residential development spread to eastern rural and semi-rural areas in the form of either normal or ‘special’ residential land-uses ranging to the larger “rural lifestyle” lots. A number of larger rural lots also remain. There is a good level of compliance with the City’s annual Fire Control Notice (95% compliance in 2017-2018), however, the continued growth within the City brings with it the subsequent increase in bushfire risk mitigation related works required to protect a larger population and increasing number of assets throughout the City. Until recent times, land management regimes in non-urban areas were focussed on maintaining biodiversity, with the retention of native vegetation being afforded priority above fire management imperatives. Current strategies now seek to strike a balance between bushfire management and environmental objectives where possible. Environmental and cultural considerations are further discussed under section 3.2.1. Of note, when considering the vulnerability of persons to bushfire hazard is their ability to respond in an emergency (such as elderly and disabled individuals). Elderly aged between 70 and 85 and over are estimated to increase from 8,545 persons in 2011 to 20,851 in 2036 within the City. The two largest age structures in the City of Rockingham currently are 25 and 34 and also 35 to 49 year olds (profile.id). Persons aged between 35 to 49 have the greatest forecast increase by 2036 (predicated increase from 24,587 persons in 2011 to 39,032 persons in 2036). 3.1.4 Economic Activities and Industry Employment statistics as of the 2015/2016 financial year (profile.id) indicate 33,012 jobs within the City of Rockingham, with an average growth of approximately 4% per annum since 2001. Retail trade was the largest employer in the City in 2015/2016, generating 6,080 jobs. Other leading industries and their employment levels in 2015/2016 in the City can be seen in Table 3. From 2010/11 to 2015/16 there has been growth in persons employed in a number of industries within the City, including; retail trade (1,004 additional persons), education and training (694 additional persons), accommodation and food Services (549 additional persons) and construction (472 additional persons). City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 13
Table 3: Employment by Industry in the City of Rockingham in 2010/11 and 2015/2016 (profile.id) 2015/16 2015/16 % 2010/11 2010/11 % 2010/11- Persons Persons 2015/16 Industry Change (Persons) Retail Trade 6080 18.4 5076 17 1004 Education and Training 4296 13 3601 12.1 694 Health Care and Social Assistance 4100 12.4 3945 13.2 155 Public Administration and Safety 3754 11.4 3727 12.5 27 Construction 3236 9.8 2764 9.3 472 Accommodation and Food Services 3045 9.2 2495 8.4 549 Manufacturing 1748 5.3 1532 5.1 216 Other Services 1533 4.6 1294 4.3 239 Administrative and Support Services 876 2.7 955 3.2 -80 Professional, Scientific and Technical 821 2.5 866 2.9 -45 Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing 773 2.3 873 2.9 -100 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services 570 1.7 626 2.1 -55 Arts and Recreation Services 531 1.6 483 1.6 48 Wholesale Trade 499 1.5 513 1.7 -13 Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 395 1.2 341 1.1 54 Financial and Insurance Services 370 1.1 382 1.3 -12 Information Media and 197 0.6 194 0.7 3 Telecommunications Mining 116 0.4 116 0.4 1 Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services 71 0.2 41 0.1 30 Total 33012 100 29827 100 3185 In 2015/16, 61,206 City of Rockingham residents were employed and 22,585 (36.9%) were employed locally (profile.id). This proportion (which has decreased since 2006) indicates the propensity for residents to seek employment outside the City of Rockingham. This indicates that there may be reduced occupancy levels for dwellings during normal working hours and dwellings may be left unattended during a bushfire. As a result, individuals may attempt access to their dwelling during a bushfire fire or not being present to defend against a bushfire or suitably evacuate (e.g. removal of belongings and evacuation of livestock and pets). Of note is that the mixed rural and semi-rural suburbs of Baldivis and Karnup are host to a number of industries including agriculture (forestry, fishing, viticulture, orchards, aquiculture, beef, lamb and wool production etc.), mining, accommodation and food services, transport (rail and bus), wholesale trade (timber, agricultural and grocery products), waste services, utilities (gas, water and electricity supply), retail and also recreational services that are all arguably more susceptible to bushfire due to their proximity to bushfire prone vegetation compared to industry in the western, more urbanised regions of the City. The East Rockingham Industrial Zone and the adjoining Kwinana Industrial Area contain many land uses that would be considered to be high-risk in terms of bushfire risk. Industrial operations in this area have the potential to ignite a bushfire, prolong its duration, or increase its intensity. Such industry may also expose the community, fire fighters and the environment to dangerous, uncontrolled substances during a bushfire event. It is anticipated that potential ‘hazard’ risks due to ‘chemicals’ will be addressed by DFES as part of a Fire & Emergency Services Emergency Response Guides (FESERG) constructed by the local Brigade’s and available to DFES Communications Centre. In accordance with BRM Plan Guidelines, all industries within the City of Rockingham within 100 metres of bushfire prone vegetation are potentially at risk from bushfire and will be scrutinised under City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 14
the same risk assessment methodology. Industries that potentially have a higher bushfire risk (due to their increased likelihood of being affected by bushfire) may include those located in rural, semi-rural and peri-urban areas of the City such as Baldivis and Karnup; and also the industrial zones of East Rockingham and Port Kennedy that are located in close proximity to bushfire prone vegetation in certain areas. 3.2 Description of the Environment and Bushfire Context 3.2.1 Topography and Landscape Features The City of Rockingham is located on the Swan Coastal Plain which extends from the Darling Fault in the east to the continental slope west of Rottnest Island, and from the Murchison River in the north to the Southern Ocean in the south. The Swan Coastal Plain is approximately 20 to 30 kilometres wide consisting of a series of geomorphic entities running parallel to the coastline. Soil-landscape mapping produced by the Department of Agriculture and Food Western Australia (DAFWA) shows that the BRM Plan area has five soil-landscape systems (1:250,000 scale) that generally run parallel to the coastline, which can be as seen in Appendix 1 - Error! Reference source not found.. The unique elevation profiles, soil types and broad vegetation types associated with each mapped soil-subsystem can influence a fire’s rate of spread (ROS), intensity and also create limitations when implementing treatments to manage the risk of bushfire and limit suppression activities (firefighting equipment access). Each soil-landscape system description and extent within the BRM Plan area can be seen in Table 4 below. Table 4: Soil-landscapes within the City of Rockingham Extent Extent of within Soil System Description (McArthur et al. 1960) BRM Plan BRM Plan Area (%) Area (ha) A gently undulating aeolian sand plain about 20 km wide with the dunes to the north of Perth generally having greater topographic relief than those to the south. Other wetlands, consisting of swamps and lakes, Bassendean 2112.2 8.6 have formed in the inter-dunal swales of the Bassendean Dune System, in the inter-barrier depressions between the Spearwood and Bassendean dune Systems, and within the Spearwood Dune System. A piedmont and valley-flat alluvial plain consisting predominantly of Pinjarra clayey alluvium that has been transported by rivers and streams from 4600.6 18.8 the Darling and Dandaragan Plateaus. The most westerly dune system, which flanks the ocean, is the Quindalup Dune System, consisting of wind-blown lime and quartz Quindalup beach sand forming dunes or ridges that are generally oriented parallel 8678.1 35.4 to the present coast, but which may also occupy blowouts within the Spearwood Dune System. Consists of slightly calcareous aeolian sand remnant from leaching of the underlying Pleistocene Tamala limestone. The rivers crossing the coastal plain are flanked by clayey floodplains and river terraces of Spearwood recent origin. Other wetlands, consisting of swamps and lakes, have 7448.9 30.4 formed in the inter-dunal swales of the Bassendean Dune System, in the inter-barrier depressions between the Spearwood and Bassendean Dune Systems, and within the Spearwood Dune System. The Vasse deposits are largely estuarine and low-lying, and where Vasse 1644.4 6.7 exposed often lead to formation of Acid Sulfate Soils. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 15
The Quindelup soil system is generally comprised of sandy limestone soils, undulating dunes and most often occurs near the coast. These coastal areas are subject to strong prevailing winds and are prone to sand drift amongst the dunes areas where any vegetation is removed. Such locations in the BRM Plan area include Port Kennedy Scientific Park, Lark Hill and dune areas in the suburbs of Golden Bay, Peron, Port Kennedy, Rockingham, Singleton, Waikiki and Warnbro, all of which are located in the western coastal regions of the BRM Plan area. The Bassendean and Spearwood soil systems, generally running north-south in the central regions of the BRM Plan area, are often comprised of woodland vegetation types in elevated regions and wetlands in lower lying undulations, both of which are valued by the community for their aesthetic and ecological attributes. These soil systems gently rise and fall in elevation forming vegetated hills with high fuel loads that can increase the rate of spread and intensity of a fire. Such areas include the urban, rural and semi-rural areas of Baldivis and Karnup that are west of the Kwinana Freeway. Recent fires in these areas have been significant and resulted in closure of the freeway and caused disruption to/impacted on many local residents. Undulations within the Bassendean and Spearwood soil systems result in wetland formations such as the Tamworth Swamp and Stakehill Swamp that are heavily vegetated and contain high bushfire fuel loads. The Pinjarra and Vasse soil systems generally in the central and also eastern portions of the City which are associated with the Serpentine River can be prone to acid sulfate soil occurrences and also wetland vegetation comprising of high bushfire fuel loads. These areas can be laden with clearing, prescribed burning and earth moving restrictions that prohibit effective bushfire mitigation from being implemented. Such areas include the rural areas of Baldivis and Karnup east of Kwinana Freeway and Lake Cooloongup and Lake Walyungup reserve areas in central regions of the City. Elevation The elevation of the City of Rockingham ranges between 0 metres (AHD) to approximately 74.5 metres (AHD). Throughout the City there are many examples of small and gradual elevation rises and troughs that are the result of millions of years of geomorphological evolution and subsequent erosion and deposition of soils within the Swan Coastal Plain region. Changes in elevation can influence the spread of bushfire, where for example, a bushfire will have a faster rate of spread, larger flame length and increased radiant heat when travelling up a slope, thus increasing the likelihood of ignition for exposed assets, and the potential level of damage (consequence). The elevation profile of the BRM Plan area can be seen in Appendix 1 - Drawing 1. Environmental and Heritage Considerations Areas of bushfire prone vegetation, that may require the implementation of risk reduction treatment strategies, may also have biodiversity and heritage values. Treatment strategies may include mitigation activities that have adverse impacts on biodiversity and conservation values, or unnecessarily expose heritage sites found throughout the BRM Plan area to secondary risks. Such assets are afforded protected under state and federal legislation, so selection of appropriate treatment strategies must adhere to the legislative requirements, policies, or procedures applicable to the type of works proposed. The following environmental and heritage related considerations may include, but are not limited to: • Environmentally Sensitive Areas (EP Act 1986 and described in the Environmental Protection (Environmentally Sensitive Areas) Notice 2005 Notice). • Conservation Significant Vegetation Complexes (Heddle et al.) as per Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) position statement No.2 (2003) City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 16
• Threatened and Priority Ecological Communities (EPBC Act 1999, EP Act 1986) • Conservation Significant Flora and Fauna (EPBC Act 1999, EP Act 1986) • Environmental Weeds (BAM Act 2007) and the spread of all weeds • Carnaby’s Black Cockatoo and ‘Cockatube’ Locations (EPBC Act 1999). • Geomorphic Wetlands (EP Act 1986) • Ramsar Wetlands (EPBC Act) • Bush Forever (EP Act 1986) • Greenway Linkages • Acid Sulfate Soils and Contaminated Sites (EP Act 2968, CS Act 2003) • Revegetation Areas • Nyungar and European Heritage Sites (AH Act 1972, PD Act 2005) 3.2.2 Climate and Bushfire Season Climate The south-west of Western Australia experiences a Mediterranean-type climate of mild, wet winters and warm to hot, dry summers (Beard 1990). The climate of the region is strongly influenced by the position of a band of high pressure known as the sub-tropical ridge. For much of the year the ridge is located to the south allowing the east or south easterly winds to prevail. During the cooler months the ridge periodically moves to the north allowing cold fronts to pass over the west coast and deliver much of the annual rainfall. The Swan Coastal Plain typically receives 800 to 900 millimetres of annual precipitation and 5 to 6 nearly dry months per year. The closest Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) Station to the suburb of Rockingham with long-term data is Kwinana BP Refinery (station 009064, operated 1955-2012). Annual mean rainfall is 745.5 mm, with a single winter peak (highest in June-July), February is the hottest month with a mean maximum daily temperature of 29.5°C, July and August are coldest, with a mean minimum daily temperature of 10.6°C (BOM 2015). Climate Change It is scientifically proven that our global climate system is warming, resulting in a myriad of changes to local weather systems and the frequency of extreme weather events. For example, it is known that the duration, frequency and intensity of heat waves have increased across large parts of Australia since 1950 and there has been an increase in extreme fire weather and longer fire seasons across large parts of Australia since the 1970’s (CSIRO & BOM 2016). The bushfire season is expected to extend into the normally wetter and cooler months of the year. Simulations for drought as a result of climate change indicate a 20% increase in drought months over Australia by 2030. By 2070, the increase is estimated to be 80% for south-western Australia (CSIRO 2007). The State’s mean temperature (the average of the maximum and minimum temperatures) over the past 15 years is the highest since records commenced in 1910. 2013 was WA’s hottest year and 2015 was the second hottest. The mean temperature for WA has risen by approximately 0.9⁰C since 1910. Daily minimum temperatures have also shown a similar rising trend, with 1998 recording the highest mean daily minimum for the state, and 2015 recording the third highest. The weather conditions that influence bushfire behaviour are air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed and direction, rainfall and drought. It is expected that an increase in temperatures due to climate change will see drier fuels which are easier to ignite (Robeson, 2004). There will be regions that see a decreasing relative humidity that will result in a greater chance of ignition. Also, higher wind City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 17
speeds will see a rise in fire intensity and rate of spread due to increased supply of oxygen to the fire, increased ember spread and preheating of fuels ahead of the main fire (CSIRO 2007). Ultimately, the change in weather conditions from climate change will result in a greater likelihood and increased intensity of bushfire events. Bushfire Season The greatest fire risk is summer through to autumn, when the moisture content in vegetation is low. This is exacerbated by high temperatures, low humidity and strong winds. The BOM states that extreme fire weather conditions in the Perth region typically occurs with strong easterlies or north eastern winds that are associated with a strong high to the south of the state and a trough off-shore. Easterly winds represent about 60% of extreme fire weather days compared to less than 5% associated with southerly winds. Approximately 15% of Perth extreme fire weather days occurred in a westerly flow following the passage of a trough (BOM 2013). Dangerous fire weather conditions often follow a sequence of hot days and easterly winds that culminate when the trough deepens near the coast and moves inland. Winds can change from easterly to northerly and then to westerly during this sequence of climatic events (BOM 2013). This wind shift is a pattern regularly experienced in summer, when westerly winds often arrive during the afternoon, when temperatures have peaked and bushfire fuels are at their driest. Fires burning under these conditions can intensify quickly as the fire changes direction and the long flank becomes the head fire. The City of Rockingham implements gazetted restricted burning times and prohibited burning times. Restricted burning times, during which a permit to burn is required, begins 1 April to 31 May and also from 1 of October to 30 November. Prohibited burning times, during which no burning is permitted, begins 1 December to 31 March. 3.2.3 Vegetation Classifications and Bushfire Prone Vegetation The extent of bushfire prone vegetation, as mapped in accordance with the OBRM state-wide Bushfire Prone Area Mapping Standard (2015) and AS 3959, is a means to determine the proportion of the BRM Plan area that is subject to, or likely to be subject to bushfire attack. Bushfire prone vegetation ultimately informs the designation of Bushfire Prone Areas on the State Wide Map of Bushfire Prone Areas, under a power of legislation for the purpose of the Building Code of Australia. As well as mapping existing remnant native vegetation, the mapping also takes into consideration areas of pre- European vegetation that have been cleared and are now classified as unmanaged grasslands (particularly in rural and semi-rural areas). Areas with native and non-native regrowth and areas where rehabilitation has occurred are also included. The total amount of bushfire prone vegetation, as of May 2017, covers 15,860 ha (64.6%) of the BRM Plan area and can be seen in Appendix 1 - Drawing 2. There are nine vegetation complexes (Heddle et al. 1980) occurring within the City of Rockingham. Vegetation complexes group vegetation types on the basis of patterns in soil and geomorphology. The nine vegetation complexes and their locations within the BRM Plan area are briefly summarised in Table 5 below and can be seen in Appendix 1 - Drawing 3. Each broad vegetation complex will influence potential fire behaviour based on its unique vegetation structure, fuel loading and the slope under the vegetation. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 18
Table 5: Vegetation Complexes (Heddle et al. 1980 Hectares Vegetation Complex Description Remaining in CoR Bassendean-Central and South Woodland To Low Woodland And Sedgelands 333.79 Cottesloe-Central and South Woodland And Open Forest And Closed Heath 849.31 Dardanup Mosaic Of Vegetation Types From Adjacent Complexes 131.25 Guilford Open Forest To Tall Open Forest And Woodland 4.97 Herdsman Sedgelands And Fringing Woodland 297.53 Karrakatta-Central and South Open Forest And Woodland 1295.88 Quindalup Coastal Dune Complex - Low Closed Forest And Closed Scrub 3457.51 Serpentine River Closed Scrub And Fringing Woodland 433.69 Yoongarillup Woodland To Tall Woodland And Open Forest 463.90 3.2.4 Bushfire Frequency and Causes of Ignition A report provided by DFES’ Operational Information System Branch identifies that from the period starting 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2017, there have been a total of 1,471 landscape fire ignitions within the City of Rockingham, at an average of 210 per year, which can be seen in Table 6. The number of ignitions has trended downward since 2010/11 by an average of 13 less per year. The 2016/2017 period saw 181 landscape fire ignitions, which is 10 ignitions less than the 2015/2016 financial year and 34 ignitions below the previous 5 year average of 225 fires. This downward trend may be attributed to any number of factors, ranging from differences in weather/seasonal conditions, to increased community awareness, targeted arson programs and improved reporting. It does not however prompt a lesser need to plan and prepare for bushfire events. As seen in Table 6 below, 50.7% of all ignitions across the City is suspicious/deliberate behaviour (746) and is the most common cause. Cigarettes (190), undetermined causes (145), reigniting of previous fires (82), cause unreported (66) and other open flames or fire (61) combined account for another 38% of all ignitions. Table 6: City of Rockingham Landscape Ignition Data Summary Years 2010/11-2016/16 (DFES) 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ Bushfire Ignition Cause Total 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 Suspicious/Deliberate 121 130 89 93 97 102 114 746 Cigarette 23 16 17 48 32 32 22 190 Undetermined 47 26 25 10 17 11 9 145 Reignition of previous fire 13 14 5 17 15 14 4 82 Unreported 19 24 10 0 2 1 10 66 Other open flames or fire 18 11 18 9 1 1 3 61 Children misadventure 7 10 9 1 0 1 1 29 Burn off fires 4 2 2 6 2 5 5 26 Weather Conditions - Lightning 0 8 1 1 3 7 0 20 Vehicles (incl. Farming Equipment/Activities) 1 1 1 5 2 4 3 17 Campfires/bonfires/outdoor cooking 3 2 2 1 0 2 3 13 Power lines 1 1 2 2 4 3 0 13 Equipment - Mechanical or electrical fault 3 1 1 0 1 0 4 10 Hot works (grinding, cutting, drilling etc..) 1 1 1 2 3 2 0 10 Weather Conditions (High winds, natural 3 0 3 0 1 1 1 9 combustion etc. Excludes Lightning) City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 19
Human Error (Left on, knock over, 1 4 1 1 0 1 0 8 unattended etc.) Improper Fuelling/Cleaning/Storage/Use of 3 1 1 1 0 0 0 6 material ignited Fireworks/flares 3 0 0 0 0 2 0 5 Electrical distribution (excl. power lines) 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 4 Sleeping/Alcohol/Drugs/Physical-Mental 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 4 impairment Equipment - Operational deficiency 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 3 Construction, installation, design deficiency 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 Heat from other hot objects or friction 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Service, Maintenance Equipment - cause 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 unknown Yard maintenance, hand held equipment 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 TOTAL 273 254 190 199 183 191 181 1,471 Graph 3 and Appendix 1 - Drawing 5 show that from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2017 landscape bushfire ignitions occurred in the following suburbs (from most to least ignitions); Baldivis (298, 20.3%), Rockingham (245, 16.7%), Port Kennedy (156, 10.6%), Cooloongup (151, 10.3%), Warnbro (134, 9.1%), East Rockingham (83, 6.6%), Waikiki (66, 5.2%), Safety Bay (56, 4.4%), Secret Harbour (57, 4.5%), Golden Bay (49, 3.9%), Karnup (28, 2.2%), Peron (23, 1.8%), Hillman (23, 1.8%), Singleton (21, 1.7%) and Shoalwater (13, 1%). Graph 3: Landscape Ignition per Suburb (2010/11 to 2016/17) 298 245 134 151 156 72 84 91 54 61 18 23 23 27 33 1 Table 7 below shows the four most common causes of landscape bushfire ignitions in the five suburbs where ignitions have occurred the most. Table 7: Five Suburbs where the most Landscape Bushfire Ignitions occurred and their Causes (2010/11 to 2016/17) Baldivis Rockingham Port Kennedy Cooloongup Warnbro Suspicious/Delib Suspicious/Delib Suspicious/Delib Suspicious/Delib Suspicious/Delib erate (75) erate (138) erate (88) erate (96) erate (86) Undetermined Cigarette (50) Cigarette (17) Cigarette (13) Cigarette (14) (52) Unreported (43) Other open Other open Undetermined Reignition of flames or fire (13) flames or fire (11) (13) previous fire (6) Cigarette (40) Undetermined Undetermined Reignition of Children (13) (10) previous fire (10) misadventure (5) Data over the seven year period from 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2017 shows that 43% (634) of all landscape bushfire ignitions within the City of Rockingham occur in the summer months of December to City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 20
February, 24% (350) occurring in spring (September to November), 20% (296) in autumn (March to May) and 13% (191) in winter (June to August). Furthermore, it is identified that 41% (616) of these ignitions occurred between 12pm and 6pm with a significant amount of ignitions (430, 29%) occurring between 2pm and 6pm, which, among other causes, may be correlated to the hottest part of the day and the end of the school day. Graph 4 shows the distribution of landscape bushfire ignitions over 24 hours and at 2 hours intervals between 1 July 2010 to 30 June 2017. Graph 4: Landscape Bushfire Ignitions in the City of Rockingham over 24 hours (2010/11 to 2016/17) 210 220 186 129 141 133 103 109 88 53 66 33 This fire history data may serve to influence the decision making process by identifying potential areas where fires are more likely to start and why, contributing to the implementation of appropriate treatment strategies. Targeted education and prevention programs are just one example of allocating resources effectively to implement strategies in the BRM Plan areas where, for example, suspicious/deliberate and cigarette disposal related ignitions are occurring most. City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 21
4. Asset Identification and Risk Assessment 4.1 Planning Areas The City of Rockingham BRM Plan area has been divided into nine planning areas; East Rockingham, Rockingham Waikiki, Warnbro Dunes, Warnbro Port Kennedy, Secret Harbour Singleton, Karnup, Baldivis South, Baldivis North and Baldivis East. Attached in Appendix 1, the planning area boundaries can be seen on Drawing 1 to Drawing 5. 4.2 Asset Identification Asset identification and risk assessment has been conducted at the local level using the methodology described in the Guidelines. Identified assets have been mapped, recorded and assessed in the Bushfire Risk Management System (BRMS). Identified assets are categorised into the following subcategories as seen in Table 8. Table 8: Asset Categories and Subcategories Asset Category Asset Subcategories Human • Residential areas Settlement Rural urban interface areas and rural properties. • Places of temporary occupation Commercial, mining and industrial areas located away from towns and population centres (that is, not adjoining residential areas). • Special risk and critical facilities Hospitals, nursing homes, schools and childcare facilities, tourist accommodation and facilities, prison and detention centres, government administration centres and depots, incident control centres, designated evacuation centres, police, fire and emergency services. Economic • Agricultural Pasture, grazing, livestock, crops, viticulture, horticulture and other farming infrastructure. • Commercial and industrial Major industry, waste treatment plants, mines, mills and processing and manufacturing facilities and cottage industry. • Critical infrastructure Power lines and substations, water and gas pipelines, telecommunications infrastructure, railways, bridges, port facilities and waste water treatments plants. • Tourist and recreational Tourist attractions and recreational sites that generate significant tourism and/or employment within the local area. • Commercial forests and plantations • Drinking water catchments Environmental • Protected Rare and threatened flora and fauna, ecological communities and wetlands. • Priority City of Rockingham Bushfire Risk Management Plan 2018-2022 22
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