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BREXIT BRIEF BRIEF BREXIT Brexit Brief Issue 63: 02 May 2019 Introduction The Brief seeks to provide up-to-date information on the progress and content of the UK-EU negotiations, and bring together relevant statements and policy positions from key players in Ireland, the UK and EU. The Brief is part of a wider communications programme covering the work of the IIEA’s UK Project Group – including commentaries, speeches, texts and event reports – which are highlighted on the Institute’s website. (www.iiea.com) Section One: State of Play emerged as a significant force in a clear third place on 17%. The Liberal Democrats are down 2 points on 6% with the Public Opinion Poll: 2016 Referendum a Mistake Scottish National Party (SNP) unchanged on 5%, UKIP down 7 points on 4% and the Greens unchanged on 4%. An opinion poll for The Observer has found that more Change UK, included for the first time, has 4% support than half of voters – 55% – now think it would have been while Plaid Cymru is unchanged on 1%. better if the EU referendum had never taken place, given the difficulties and divisions which have arisen in seeking When voters were asked how they intended to vote in an agreement on Brexit. A majority of Conservative voters the European elections, the news was even better for the - 49% - now think the referendum was a bad idea, with Brexit Party. The new Nigel Farage party and the Labour a minority - 43% - still believing it was the right thing Party stand level at 28%. The Conservatives are a long way to have done. As for Labour Party supporters, as many as behind, on 14%, with the pro-remain parties - Liberal 72% believe the referendum was a bad idea, with just 18% Democrats and Change UK – both on 7%. The Greens saying it was worthwhile. are on 6%, the SNP 5%, UKIP 3% and Plaid Cymru 1%. The same poll shows national support for the Tories down On the question of a second referendum being held – with by 3 percentage points to 26% - compared with a fortnight the options of leaving the EU on the Prime Minister’s deal ago - and still behind the Labour Party, which is on 33% or remaining in the EU - 46% would vote to remain while but is also down 3 points. Nigel Farage’s newly formed 34% would vote to leave. Nearly half of the respondents Brexit Party, included on a poll for the first time, has thought the Prime Minister should resign either once the BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 Withdrawal Agreement has been passed or sooner, with Talks between the Government and the Labour Party only 14% indicating support for Theresa May continuing continued over the break at official level and resumed at in office and leading the second phase of the Brexit higher level with talks at the Cabinet Office involving the negotiations. Prime Minister’s effective deputy David Lidington with Brexit Secretary Stephen Barclay and Chief Whip Julian Conservative / Labour Talks Continue Smith for the Government and the Shadow Brexit Secretary Keir Starmer, Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell and With the Easter break behind them, and the extension to Shadow Ministers Rebecca Long-Bailey and Sue Hayman October agreed, the question of progressing the overall for Labour. Brexit process requires an early and clear response from all sides in the overlong debate. The Financial Times The Prime Minister has given consideration to speeding commentator, Philip Stephens, has penned a call for a up the process by tabling the Withdrawal Agreement Bill decision, arguing that voters want to move on from the (WAB) in the Commons at an early moment, with or issue and that they should have the right to “change their without a clear conclusion to the cross-party talks. The minds” in a referendum: Bill which formally ratifies the UK’s Brexit agreement is Enough. Britain has had its fill of Brexit. The nation essential for EU withdrawal. However, several ministers are needs desperately to put Europe behind it. The deal known to have concerns about tabling the Bill unless they signed by Theresa May, the Prime Minister, with are confident of obtaining a majority in the Commons. If the customs union sought by Labour leader Jeremy it fails to command a majority it cannot be tabled again in Corbyn tacked on? Why not. Anything really to change the subject. As time passes, let’s-just-do-a- this Parliamentary session. deal looks an ever more seductive proposition. The Brexit battle has raged for three years. The bitterness Labour sources have indicated that they would find it very has crossed the normal thresholds of political debate. hard to back this move, as it separates the Withdrawal The country is divided; the government paralysed. A Agreement from the Political Declaration on future EU-UK nation renowned for its political stability has become relations. A shadow minister remarked that “You simply an object of scorn and pity abroad. Business needs certainty. Voters want to talk about health, education can’t expect Parliament to wave through a Brexit agreement and housing — anything but Brexit.” with no markers and no commitments about what sort of The assumption that anything must be an Brexit deal in the end will be negotiated.” The Labour Party improvement on the present shambles conveniently has serious internal difficulties in respect of the outcome of ignores the nature of Brexit. Whatever the precise the detailed negotiations and of the time factors involved in terms, leaving the EU is an act of serious self-harm. It will leave Britain on the margins of its own issues such as local and European elections. continent, disrupt essential co-operation on issues of national security, and badly damage the economy. Rebecca Long-Bailey, the Shadow Business Secretary, who has been active in the negotiations, argues that Labour The voters deserve better than to be bundled out of Europe on an entirely false prospectus and then to should be prepared to sign up to a Brexit deal with the be confronted by another long spell of Tory party Government without the promise of a referendum attached infighting about the nation’s future ties with its if cross-party talks make significant progress in the coming own continent. Referendums, we should have learnt days, insisting that negotiations had been productive and by now, are a rotten way to take decisions in a parliamentary democracy. But the only way left to “gone into a lot of detail”; and hinted that the government legitimise Brexit is to give voters the chance to change was signalling a willingness to compromise on some issues, their minds now that they have some, at least, of the including workers’ rights. facts. As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 The Shadow Cabinet, however, remains divided between resulted from “two lengthy meetings and a good, full and supporters of Long-Bailey’s view and the advocates of a constructive debate, in a friendly and collegiate way.” second referendum, including Sir Keir Starmer who told the House of Commons earlier this month, when Labour The postponement of Brexit has led to strong opposition backed a motion for a “confirmatory” vote, that “at this late to Theresa May’s leadership within the Conservative Party. stage it is clear that any Brexit deal agreed in this parliament The moves within the 1922 Committee were the outcome will need further democratic approval”. of an increasingly heated debate with headlines such as “Tories just weeks from ‘no confidence’ vote in May after Almost 90 MPs and MEPs have written to Jeremy Corbyn local party chairmen back unprecedented poll” and “Tories in advance of the Labour Party’s National Executive mull rule change to challenge Theresa May.” An analysis of Committee meeting, urging him to ensure that a internal party opinion by the Conservative Home website confirmatory vote is part of the package Labour offers to concluded: “Her rating wasn’t fantastic in February, when voters. A major row broke out last week over the draft text it sat at -40.8, but the prospect of postponement pushed of a European Parliament campaign leaflet that made no it down to -51.2 in March and the reality of that broken mention of a referendum. promise has pushed her numbers off a cliff, plummeting to -73.5 in April.” This result was seen as the worst rating ever Pressure on Theresa May’s leadership for any Conservative leader. Prime Minister Theresa May has survived an attempt The longstanding Europhobe MP, Bill Cash, has written to change the rules of the Conservative Party to make it that “Theresa May is making us crawl on our hands and possible to remove her from office. knees, not only to the EU, but to Germany and France. They say that a week is a long time in politics. It is more The 1922 Committee, representing Tory backbenchers, like an eternity as we rush into a black hole littered with the debated a proposal to change the rules dealing with debris of mendacity and constitutional mayhem” challenges to the party leader. Theresa May had survived such a challenge last December, winning by 200 votes Irish Government National Statement on Europe to 117, comfortably clearing the threshold of 159 votes required to stave off a leadership contest. Under the current The Government has published a new National Statement rules no further challenge can take place before December on the European Union. The National Statement is the 2019. Government’s response to the Citizens’ Dialogues on the future of Europe conducted across Ireland in 2018 and will The 1922 Committee decided to leave the rules unchanged inform Ireland’s contribution to the Union’s next five-year but sent a clear message to the Prime Minister calling on Strategic Agenda. her to set out her plans for stepping aside if she is unable to achieve Parliamentary agreement on exiting the EU in Preparation of the National Statement has been a whole- coming weeks. She had already indicated that she would of-Government exercise and priorities identified include: set out a schedule for her departure once agreement on the the completion of a Single Market fit for the digital age; Withdrawal Agreement is achieved. a Union that is a global leader in finding solutions to climate change; a Union that is also ready for the social The Chairman of the 1922 Committee, Sir Graham and economic challenges of the digital transformation; a Brady, said that the members were seeking clarity on the more effective political dialogue between the European Prime Minister’s intentions and insisted that the decision Union and Africa where the Union plays a central role in As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 advancing the Sustainable Development Goals; and a deep honour of the US visitors that, in preventing a return to a and comprehensive partnership across a range of areas of hard border, Ireland was backed by countries across the EU importance to Ireland in the future EU-UK relationship. and “by our friends in the United States.” Welcoming the launch of the National Statement, the Prior to their arrival in Dublin the delegation had visited Tánaiste and Minister for Foreign Affairs and Trade, Simon London. The Speaker told the London School of Economics Coveney TD, said: that there would be no chance of a US-UK trade deal if there was any threat to the Good Friday Agreement. It was The Single Market is one of the Union’s greatest argued that the return of a hard border on the island of achievements, but it is incomplete and we need to make it fit for the digital age. The digital Ireland would threaten a future trade deal. transformation will accelerate over the next five years and Europe can become a world leader, if it invests In a meeting with members of the pro-Brexit European now in the necessary research and innovation. Greater Research Group they were told by Jacob Rees-Mogg interconnectedness will empower communities and and others that the Irish border issue and the Backstop enhance the quality of our lives. The new Strategic Agenda will, therefore, need to anticipate these arrangement were ‘concocted’ as part of a conspiracy developments and protect the most vulnerable. involving Remainers in London, Brussels, Dublin and Washington “to force them to do something that they don’t The National Statement on the European Union is Ireland’s want to do.” Congressman Brendan Boyle commented that contribution to the EU’s Strategic Agenda 2019 – 2024. this “is a world view that is extremely difficult for me to A new Strategic Agenda is expected to be adopted by the understand.” European Council in Brussels on 20 - 21 June 2019. It will set the priorities for the European Union for the next Section Two: The Evolving Debate five years and the content will be discussed by the EU Heads of State and Government at an informal summit in Notre Dame Sibiu, Romania, on 9 May 2019. The text of the National Statement was laid before the Houses of the Oireachtas and In the midst of the ongoing Brexit debate the devastating was debated in Dáil Éireann on 18 April. fire at the Notre-Dame Cathedral in Paris evoked a strong, positive message from London. Prime Minister Theresa US Congressional Visit May immediately responded by saying: “To underline our solidarity with France and her people, the bells at A US Congressional delegation, led by the Speaker of the Westminster Abbey will toll […] and later bells will ring at House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi, visited Ireland, cathedrals and churches across England. President Macron North and South, on 16-18 April. The Speaker addressed has pledged to rebuild the cathedral and I have conveyed a joint sitting of Dáil and Seanad in Leinster House as part to him that the UK will support this endeavour however of the celebrations of the 100th anniversary of Ireland’s we can.” Parliament. Speaker Pelosi told the joint session that “we must ensure Scottish First Minister on Independence that nothing happens in the Brexit discussions that imperils Scotland’s First Minister Nicola Sturgeon has argued that the Good Friday accord, including but not limited to the Scotland should hold a new referendum on independence seamless border between the Irish Republic and Northern before 2021 if the United Kingdom leaves the European Ireland.” The Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, told a dinner in Union. She told the Scottish Parliament that the Brexit As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 situation had revealed the limits of Scotland’s influence and outlined their hope that the Agreement would survive within the UK and strengthened the case for departing the Brexit process: from the union. “A choice offered in the lifetime of There is no variation of Brexit that can strengthen this parliament. If Scotland is taken out of the EU, a the relationship between the Republic of Ireland and referendum within that timescale must be open to us. Northern Ireland. There is no variation of Brexit That would be our route to avoiding the worst of the that will grow the economy of the UK any time damage that Brexit would do.” soon. Brexit, particularly a no-deal Brexit with the risk of a hard border, is both the most serious threat to the Belfast Agreement since it was created and to She proposed that preparatory work should commence the union in our lifetime. It is time to acknowledge with the Scottish Parliament voting on legislation the reality, to let clarity triumph over ambiguity, necessary for a referendum but that a confrontation with and to work collectively to overcome them. It is our Westminster should be avoided as she believed that the belief, or at least our fervent hope, that the Belfast Agreement will survive Brexit. London government’s negative approach to Scottish independence would prove “unsustainable” as the It is precisely because of such issues as the Border that there should be a confirmatory vote on whatever present administration may soon be out of office. She now emerges from the Brexit process in parliament. underlined the need for her Party to step up its efforts to Such is the variety of Brexit deals that have been increase support for independence and promised to set debated and the vastness of the Brexit promises up a Citizens Assembly on the lines of the Irish example made in 2016, that any agreement is unlikely to be what the public voted for. They, the people of – “a representative cross-section of Scotland, with an the UK, should have the final say. They should be independent chair” – to debate the kind of country asked if now, knowing all that they do, they still Scotland should aim to become in the future. wish to proceed, on whatever basis is agreed by Government and Parliament. There is now time The First Minister commented: “If we are successful in for a confirmatory referendum given the EU has expanded the Brexit deadline to October 31st. It is further growing the support and demand for independence, this that must be pursued and Theresa May should then no UK government will be able to deny the will of take the lead in that process. the people or stop that will being expressed.” Brexit and the New IRA The UK Government responded to the First Minister’s The leadership of the militant group that admitted killing remarks through the Scottish Secretary, David Mundell, journalist Lyra McKee in Derry argues that Brexit offers who accused her of advancing “divisive constitutional them a chance to further its campaign against British rule change when it is clear that most people in Scotland do in Northern Ireland. “Brexit has forced the IRA to refocus not want another independence referendum. Nicola and has underlined how Ireland remains partitioned. It Sturgeon needs to listen to the views of the Scottish people would be remiss of us not to capitalise on the opportunity. and concentrate on improving Scotland’s economy and It’s put the border on the agenda again.” schools, not continually trying to orchestrate upheaval and division.” Eurobarometer Poll on Second Referendum Tony Blair and Bertie Ahern The latest Eurobarometer poll for the European Parliament indicates that, in a second referendum, 45% of UK voters Tony Blair and Bertie Ahern published a joint letter on 15 would support EU membership with 37% voting to leave April calling for a second Brexit referendum. They argued with 18% undecided. that Brexit poses a serious threat to the Belfast Agreement As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 Business Sentiment The Observer Public thinks EU referendum was bad idea, says poll. Observer, 28 April 2019. www.theguardian. A survey by Deloitte has revealed that business sentiment com/politics/2019/apr/27/public-thinks-eu-referendum- in the UK is at the lowest level since the referendum in was-a-bad-idea-says-poll 2016 with eight out of ten chief financial officers expecting the long-term business environment to be worse as a result Financial Times The quiet talks to break Brexit stalemate. of the country leaving the European Union. Only 13% FT, 15 April 2019. www.ft.com/content/ada49f30-5f75- of CFOs were more optimistic about their company’s 11e9-b285-3acd5d43599e prospects than they were three months earlier. On the short-term impact of Brexit, 49% of CFOs expected to David Lidington Talks with Labour on resolving the reduce capital expenditure and 22% anticipated reductions Brexit impasse have a good chance of success. Guardian, in merger and acquisition activity. 53% of respondents 14 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/poitics/2019/ expected to reduce staff hiring because of Brexit – the apr/14/agreement-talks-between-labour-government- highest point in more than two years of analysis. “They brexit-impasse went into March braced for tough times and the latest round of Brexit uncertainties have not materially changed BBC Brexit: Cross-party talks to resume. BBC, 23 April that picture. When expectations are already low, it’s harder 2019. www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-48018540 to be disappointed.” The Guardian Theresa May survives attempt to allow Section Three: Background Material and Further early no-confidence vote. Guardian, 24 April 2019. Reading www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/24/theresa-may- survives-attempt-to-allow-early-no-confidence-vote Background Material Telegraph Brexit latest news: Theresa May warned against Government of Ireland National Statement on the holding crunch vote on Brexit laws as Labour says it still European Union, 17 April 2019. www.dfa.ie/media/ opposes PM’s deal. Telegraph, 24 April 2019. www. dfa/newsmedia/pressrelease/National-Statement-on-the- telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/04/24/brexit-latest-news- European-Union.pdf theresa-may-warned-against-holding-crunch Dail Eireann Debate: Ireland’s Position on the Future BBC Tories mull rule change to challenge Theresa of Europe, 18 April 2019. www.oireachtas.ie/en/debates/ May, BBC, 24 April 2019. www.bbc.com/news/uk- debate/dail/2019-04-18/40/ politics-48032990 Seanad Eireann Speech of An Taoiseach, Leo Varadkar, The Guardian MPs may vote on key Brexit legislation 18 April 2019. www.gov.ie/en/news/6fc532-speech-of-an- next week. Guardian, 23 April 2019. www.theguardian. taoiseach-seanad-eireann-thursday-18-april-2019 com/politics/2019/apr/23/mps-may-vote-on-key-brexit- legislation-next-week-theresa-may HM Government UK offers solidarity and support after Notre-Dame fire, 16 April 2019. www.gov.uk/government/ The Guardian Brexit: Theresa May’s approval ratings with news/uk-offers-solidarity-and-support-after-notre-dame Tory Members hit record low, survey suggests- live news. Guardian, 24 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/ live/2019/apr/24/brexit-latest-developments-mays- approval-ratings-with-tory-members-hit-record-low-survey As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 Politico Sturgeon: Brexit should trigger Scottish Why Labour’s leader has to perform a Brexit balancing independence vote by 2021. Politico, 24 April 2019. act, 17 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/ www.poltico.eu/article/nicola-sturgeon-brexit-should- apr/17/why-labours-leader-has-to-perform-a-brexit- trigger-scottish-indepndence-vote-by-2021 balancing-act Irish Times Negative Brexit consequences are UK’s How the Irish backstop emerged as May’s Brexit nemesis, responsibility- Juncker. IT, 20 April 2019. www. 18 April 2019 www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/ irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/negative-brexit- apr/18/how-the-irish-backstop-emerged-as-mays-brexit- conseuences-are-uk-s-responsibikity-juncker-1.3867243 nemesis Financial Times Britain’s anti-Brexiteers need a common How May’s failed deal shattered EU relations, 19 April front. FT, 23 April 2019. www.ft.com/content/fa2c7e68- 2019 www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/19/brexit- 61cd-11e9-b285-3acd5d43599e theresa-may-failed-deal-eu-relations Sir William Cash Theresa May is making us crawl on Philip Stephens The dangerous allure of a fudged Brexit. our hands and knees, not only to the EU, but to Germany FT, 25 April 2019. www.ft.com/content/1af8c1f6-6674- and France. Telegraph, 23 April 2019. www.telegraph. 11e9-a79d-04f350474d62 co.uk/politics/2019/04/20/theresa-may-making-us- crawl-hands-knees-not-eu-germany-france/amp/?WT. Irish Times ‘It’s beyond Brexit. It’s about who governs mc_id=tmg_share this country.’ IT, 22 April 2019. www.irishtimes.com/ news/world/uk/it-s-beyond-brexit-it-is-about-who- Irish Times Next Conservative leader must ‘believe in governs-this-country-1.3867662 Brexit’. IT, 26 April 2019. www.irishtimes.com/news/ world/uk/next-conservative-leader-must-believe-in- The Guardian Labour hints at backing Brexit deal brexit-1.3871912 without promise of referendum. Guardian, 28 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/28/ Financial Times The EU’s post-Brexit finance ambitions labour-hints-at-backing-brexit-deal-without-promise-of- miss an important point. FT, 23 April 2019. www.ft.com/ referendum content/766edb72-62a7-11e9-9300-0becfc937c37 Wolfgang Munchau. Realism is set to strike the EU over Telegraph Less than half of Britons would vote Remain the Brexit timescale. FT, 22 April 2019. www.ft.com/ in new Brexit referendum, EU polling finds. Telegraph, 26 content/f064d5fc-61b8-11e9-b285-3acd5d43599e April 2019. www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/04/26/ less-half-britons-would-vote-remain-new-brexit- Financial Times May takes lead in bid to rescue Brexit referendum-eu talks. FT, 22 April 2019. www.ft,com/content/c4930ff0- 6435-11e9-9adc-98bf1d35a056 The Guardian The Telegraph The ‘last Brexiteers standing’ will now do How May miscalculated the Brexit numbers game, 16 everything to stop a sell-out customs union. Telegraph, 19 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/16/ April 2019. www.telegraph/co/uk/politics/2019/04/19/ how-may-miscalculated-the-brexit-numbers-game last-brexiteers-standing-will-now-do-everything-stop-sell- out As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 The Guardian May should go today, says senior 1922 Will Hutton Time has run out. Labour must seize its Committee member. Guardian, 23 April 2019. www. last chance to take a stand on Brexit. Guardian, 28 April theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/23/may-should-go- 2019. www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/ today-says-senior-1922-committee-member-nigel-evans apr/28/time-has-run-out-labour-must-seize-last-chance- to-take-stance-on-brexit The Telegraph Grassroots Conservative chairmen planning no-confidence vote in Theresa May ‘within Irish Times Tony Blair and Bertie Ahern: Why there weeks’. Telegraph, 16 April 2019. www.telegraph. must be a second Brexit referendum. IT, 15 April co.uk/politics/2019/04/16/local-conservative-chairmen- 2019. www.irishtimes.com/opinion/tony-blair-and- planning-no-confidence-vote-theresa bertie-ahern-why-there-must-be-a-second-brexit- referendum-1.3860156 The Telegraph Exclusive: Tories just weeks from ‘no confidence’ vote in May after local party chairmen back Paul Cunningham How the Brexit extension deal was unprecedented poll. Telegraph. 21 April 2019. www. done. RTE, 14 April 2019. www.rte.ie/news/analysis- telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/04/21/exclusive-tories- and-comment/2019/0414/1042521-paul-cunningham just-weeks-no-confidence-vote-mayafter-local Brian O’Donovan Brexit and the border on agenda Irish Times EU shifts focus to US trade with Brexit ball as Nancy Pelosi arrives in Ireland. RTE, 16 April 2019. firmly in UK’s court. IT, 20 April 2019. www.irishtimes. www.rte.ie/news/2019/0415/1042808-pelosi-dublin com/opinion/eu-shifts-focus-to-us-trade-with-brexit- ball-firmly-in-uk-s-court-1.3865033 Irish Times US politicians and Brexiteers clash on ‘concocted Border issue’, 17 April 2019. www.irishtimes. Martin Wolf Britain is once again the sick man of com/news/ireland/us-politicians-and-brexiteers-clash-on- Europe. Financial Times, 18 April 2019. www.ft.com/ concocted-border-issue-1.3862750 content/5a629584-610a-11e9-a27a-fdd51850994c Irish Times Leo Varadkar says US will back efforts to Politico What’s next in Brexit, the never ending story? prevent a hard Border. IT, 18 April 2019. www.irishtimes. Politico, 13 April 2019. www.politico.eu/article/whts- com/news/ireland/irish-news/leo-varadkar-says-us-will- next-in-brexit-the-never-ending-story back-efforts-to-prevent-a-hard-border-1.3863927 The Guardian Brexit: UK businesses at most gloomy Brigid Laffan The UK is discovering it is a cold place since referendum- Deloitte. Guardian, 15 April 2019. outside the room. IT, 14 April 2019. www.irishtimes. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/15/brexit-uk- com/opinion/the-uk-is-discovering-it-is-a-cold-place- businesses-at-most-gloomy-since-referendum-deloitte outside-the-room-1.3858595 Polish Institute of International Affairs The Importance RTE Ireland may cover costs of European health cards for of Brexit for Russia, 15 April 2019. http://www.pism.pl/ NI citizens after Brexit. RTE, 16 April 2019. www.rte. publications/bulletin/no-44-1290 ie/news/brexit/2019/0416/1043054-health-cards-europe European Policy Centre Brexit: No stable equilibrium. Irish Times Customs union would give UK a say in Policy Brief, 18 April 2019. http://www.epc.eu/ trade deals, says Varadkar. IT, 15 April 2019. www. documents/uploads/pub_9172_brexit_no_stable_ irishtimes.com/news/politics/customs-union-would-give- equilibrium.pdf?doc_id=2135 uk-a-say-in-trade-deals-says-varadkar-1.3860427 As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
BREXIT BRIEF BREXIT BRIEF 063 | MAY 2019 The Telegraph Here’s how Theresa May can scare the DUP into thinking twice about opposing her deal. Telegraph, 15 April 2019. www.telegraph. co.uk/politics/2019/04/15/theresa-may-can-scare-dup- thinking-twice-opposing-deal Irish Times Brexit lights touchpaper for next political firestorm – Irish unity. IT, 23 April 2019. www.irishtimes. com/news/ireland/irish-news/brexit-lights-touchpaper- for-next-political-firestorm-irish-unity-1.3868276 Financial Times Riding out Brexit storm in a Democratic Unionist stronghold. FT, 25 April 2019. www.ft.com/ content/635e7786-65b8-11e9-a79d-04f35047d62 The Guardian Brexit: Irish backstop could undermine EU standards, report says. Guardian, 26 April 2019. www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/apr/26/irish- backstop-could-undermine-eu-standards-report-says Sunday Times IRA says Brexit has provided it with opportunity. SundayTimes, 28 April 2019. www. reuters.com/article/uk-nireland-violence/new-ira-says- brexit-has-provided-it-with-opportunity-sunday-times- idUSKCN1S4079 Further Reading J.A.Hazeley and J.P. Morris The Story of Brexit. A Ladybird Book for Grownups. As an independent forum, the Institute does not express any opinions of its own. The views expressed in the article are the sole responsibility of the author.
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