Brazil: A Country of Opportunities - MINISTRY OF Minister of Infrastructure - camara espanhola
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WHY INVEST IN BRAZIL Country Size 8,511,965 km2 5th largest country in the world Largest Consumer Market in Latin America World’s 9th largest economy 2
PAST SCENARIO 4
NATIONAL SCENARIO IPCA – National-Wide Consumer Price Index (%) Brazil Interest Rates (%) 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 12/2017 - 08/2019 - 03/2018 - 02/2018 - 09/2019 02/2018 09/2019 07/2019 03/2018 Meta SELIC (a.a.%) Taxa SELIC (a.a%) Unemployment Rate - 2018 to 2019 (%) GDP Growth Goals (%) 2,5 2,0 0,87 2019 2020 2021 5
INFRASTRUCTURE AS GDP INDUCER AND JOB GENERATOR Total Jobs (Reference Scenario) Total Jobs (Transformation Scenario) 10.000.000 10.000.000 9.158.512 9.000.000 9.000.000 8.000.000 8.000.000 7.000.000 7.000.000 6.000.000 6.000.000 5.000.000 5.000.000 2.492.071 4.000.000 4.000.000 3.000.000 3.000.000 324.764 2.000.000 506.902 1.205.872 2.000.000 324.764 1.000.000 1.000.000 0 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 5 4,5 4,4 4,3 4 4,1 4,1 3,8 3,7 3,5 3,5 3,5 3,3 (percentage) 3 3,1 3,1 3,1 3,1 3 3 2,8 2,9 2,8 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,5 2,5 2,5 2,3 2 2 2,1 1,9 1,9 1,8 1,7 1,5 1,5 GDP 1,4 1,4 1,3 1,2 1,1 1 1 0,9 0,9 0,5 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 Cenário Referência Cenário com Choque de Investimento Source: Brazilian Ministry of Economy 6
OVERCOMING THE CHALLENGES – MACRO SCENARIO New General Law for Federal “Economic Infrastructure State-Owned Administration Freedom Law” Debenture (Bonds) Companies Reform • Less bureaucracy for Law small businesses and low • Improves management • Less Ministries/ • More attractive for regulation for investment and compliance Departments = Less institutional and foreign funds bureaucracy investors • 36% decrease on • Stronger, autonomous • USD $250 billion in • Simplification labor lawsuits agencies budget savings and tax • Less political burden interference reduction Labor Law New General Law of Social Security Tax Law Reform Regulatory Agencies reform reform 7
HOW WILL WE ACHIEVE THE RESULTS? 8. Execution capacity and achieviments Governance and predictability 7. Planning capability 6. RAILWAY PROJECT AUTHORIZATIONS Regulatory Evolution 5. Cabotage Policy 4. CURRENCY HEDGING MECHANISM 3. GREEN PROJECTS AND CLEAR RISK MATRIX Government Engagement 2. New BNDES role 1. History of legal certainty 8
STRENGTHENED LEGAL CERTAINTY Arbitration Decree Maximum of 24 months for conflict resolution 1 Reversible asset calculation methodology 5 2 New Agency law Clear Rule included in contracts • More legal certainty, transparency, publicity and better governance; • independence required for regulatory and anti-corruption Clearer risk assessment 4 3 activity (avoids agent capture); Risks allocated to the entities • standardized decision making; that can best manage them . Rebidding Decree Possibility of Friendly Return and Rebidding 9
VARIABLE CONCESSION FEE | FX PROTECTION MECHANISM • Sharing FX risk Applicability • Monthly calculation Variable concession fee • Protection limited to and annual adjustment 6% gross revenue the 6% of gross • Financing signed in the • Compensation on revenue first 5 years semiannual or annual • Voluntary activated • Principal amount amortization payment FX Protection • Financing related to Mechanism reversible assets/ upfront concession fee Objective • Tenor of 15 years Compensation 5-year/extraordinary revisions Legal change: Swap available for PPI-identified priority projects and the related hedge mechanism and will have a different tax treatment. 10
GREEN PROJECTS AND ENVIRONMENTAL RISKS Climate Risks Certified Risk sharing in environmental licensing Climate Certified Bonds for challenging projects and Green Bonds Equator Environmental Principles Land use in Brazil Most projects comply Compensatory and [VALUE] with the Equator mitigation measures % Native Principles vegetation ISO 14,000 [VALUE] Explored ISO 14.001 – Ports and Highways % area contracts require concessionaire certification [VALUE] Cities, % infrastructur e and other 11
NEW BNDES ROLE Project structurer/ service provider Funding Capital focused on market infrastructure improvement and sanitation 12
INFRASTRUCTURE DEBENTURE LAW Incentivized debentures currently give tax income exemption to Brazilian individuals and foreign investors (for titles Tax incentive to Increase in the issued in BRL) and a discount in debenture issuer timeframe of past income tax to institutional to attract more covered institutional investments from investors. investors 24 to 60 months Income tax Flexibilization of exemption rules to (withholding tax) incentivized on incentivized debenture funds debentures issued in USD) More attractiveness to institutional and foreign investors 13
2019 ACHIEVEMENTS Auctions Signing of Contracts • 12 Airports in 3 blocks • RIS • 13 Port Terminals • Port Terminals (BEL06, • North-South Railroad STM05, IQI18, STS13) • BR-364/365/GO/MG Airports Ports Railways Highways • Northeast: Recife/PE; João Pessoa e Campina 13 Ports auctioned in 3 auctions • North-South Railroad • BR-364/365/GO/MG Grande/PB; Maceió/AL; Aracaju/SE; and Juazeiro do • 3 in Cabedelo/PB Investments: US$ 680 mi Investments: US$ 515 mi Norte/CE • 1 in Vitória/ES Grant: US$ 677.5 mi • Midwest (MT): Várzea • 5 in Belém/PA Original Grant: US$ 337.5 mi Grande (Cuiabá), Alta • 1 in Vila do Conde/PA Bonus: 101% Floresta, Rondonópolis and • 2 in Santos/SP Sinop. • 1 in Paranaguá/PR • Southeast: Vitória/ES and Macaé/ RJ Investments: US$ 260 mi Grant: US$ 204 mi | Inicial Grant- Investments: US$ 874.5 mi | Grant: US$ 592.5 mi Original Grant: US$ 54.7 mi | Bonus: 1086% 14
CONCESSIONS Ministry of PPI / CPPI Infrastructure Qualification PND Inclusion Modeling Approval EPL/BNDES Agency TCU Ministry/Agency •Project •Analysis of the •Public Notice •Studies •Public Hearing Selection Results of the Publication development (Notice, •It can be done in Contract and Public Hearing •Auction •Feasibility partnership with Studies) and Granting Realization studies BNDES or other Plan •Homologation •Granting Plan entities(IFC) or •Decision’s •Contract •Protocol in TCU PMI Publication signing •PPI qualification Studies Public TCU (Federal Bidding Public Court of documents Hearing Accounts) Auction (9-12 months) 130 days 30 days 100 days 120 days 24 months 15
BRAZIL’S PARTNERS 16
TOTAL PORTFOLIO PROJECTS US$ 54.1 BILLIONS NO PROJECT PROFIT REGULATION Planned investments: Planned investments: US$ 35 Bi US$ 1.0 Bi 16,516.92 km 7 terminals | 3 Privatizations + Docas Planned investments: Planned investments: US$ 15.52 Bi US$ 2.57 Bi (Rounds 6 and 7) New Concessions: 1,470 km 42 Airports | Disposal of Infraero shares in Existing Concessions : 13,637 km Guarulhos, Galeão, Confins, Brasília 17
PROJECT PIPELINE 2019 2020 2021 2022 Beginning of Viracopos Studies 6th Round of Concessions: 7th Round of Concessions: Blocks SOUTH (9), NORTH I (7) and CENTRAL (6) Blocks RJ-MG (7), NORTH II (7) and SP-MS (5) Total 22 airports| Total US$ 1.25 Bi Total 19 airports| Total US$ 1.32 Bi Disposal of Infraero shares in Guarulhos, Galeão, Confins and Brasília Leasings : Privatization of CODESA, São Sebastião and Aratu/BA (1), Itaqui/MA (4), Santos/SP (2) Organized Port of Santos and CODESP Total 7 terminals | At least US$ 240 million Total 3 Ports| At least US$ 770 million Concessions: Concessions: BRs 101/SC(220,4 km) , 381/262/MG/ES(672km), 470/282/153/SC (502,10 km) 7,238.7 km Studies BRs 364/365/MG/GO (437 km) 163/230/MT/PA(970km), 153/080/414/GO/TO 116/493/RJ/MG (CRT) (711 km), (BNDES and EPL) (850,7 km), 040/495/MG/RJ (Concer) (211 km), Paraná Highways (4,114 km) Total 7,238.7 km | 116/SP/RJ (Dutra) (635 km) Total: 5,327.1 km|at least Total 437 km | Total US$ 0.52 Bi At least US$ 13.4 Bi Total 3.559,12 km | Total US$ 8.68 Bi US$ 12.37 Bi Renewal : Rumo MP (1.989 km), EFC (892 Renewal : FCA (7.215 km) , MRS (1.686 km) Renewal : Rumo Malha Sul (7.265 km) e km), EFVM (895 km) Concessions: Ferrogrão (933 km), FIOL – Malha Oeste (1.945 km) With investment in: FICO (383 km) Ilhéus – Caetité (537 km) Concessions : FICO – Água Boa – Lucas (380 km) Total 4,159 km | At least US$ 5.7 Bi With investment in: Rio-Vitória (577 km) FIOL – Caetité – Barreiras – Figueirópolis (1.005 km) Total 10.948 km | Total US$ 9.82 Bi Total 10.584 km | At least US$ 2.025 Bi 18 Ref: 09/26/19
Airports – Project Portfolio Boa Vista RR AP 7th Round Macapá North 2 Block Belém Santarém 6th Round São Luis Central Block 6th Round Manaus Júlio César North 1 Block Tefé Altamira Tabatinga AM PA Teresina Marabá MA CE RN Carajás Imperatriz Cruzeiro do Sul PB PI Porto Velho PE AC TO Rio Branco Palmas Petrolina AL SE RO MT BA GO Montes DF Claros Projects: By the Numbers Goiânia MG US$ 2.57 Bi : Corumbá Uberlândia ES Investments • US$ 1.24 billion – 6th Round 7th Round BH/Pampulha 7th Round Rio de Janeiro/ Minas • US$ 1.32 billion – 7th Round São Paulo/ Mato Grosso do Sul Block Campo Grande MS Uberaba Carlos Prates Gerais Block RJ 46 airports: Ponta Porã Londrina SP Jacarepaguá • 22 airports – 6th Round Campo de Santos Dumont Airports • 19 airports – 7th Round PR Marte Congonhas • Viracopos Foz do Curitiba (2) Projects Iguaçu Joinville • Disposal of Infraero (4) SC Navegantes Existing concessions Qualified 6th Round 7th Round Infraero ‘’ Qualified as a study Uruguaiana Bagé RS Pelotas 6th Round South Block 19 Ref: 09/26/19
Airports – Project Portfolio TCU Bidding Public Studies Public Hearing (Federal court of accounts) Documents Auction - Viracopos 1st Trim. 2020 2nd Trim. 2020 -Disposals of Infraero shares (4) 1st Trim. 2020 2nd Trim. 2020 -6th round - South Block (9) 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 -6th round – North 1 Block (7) 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 -6th round - Central Block (6) 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 -7th round – North 2 Block (7) 1st Trim. 2022 2nd Trim. 2022 -7th round – Rio de Janeiro/Minas Gerais Block (7) 1st Trim. 2022 2nd Trim. 2022 -7th round – São Paulo/Mato Grosso do Sul Block (5) 1st Trim. 2022 2nd Trim. 2022 20 Ref: 09/26/19 Completed In progress To be performed
Ports – Project Portfolio Port of Itaqui/MA Liquid Bulk Terminal (IQI03) Investiments: US$ 14.67 million RR AP Port of Itaqui/MA Liquid Bulk Terminal (IQI11) Investiments: US$ 15.92 million Santana Port of Itaqui/MA Belém Liquid Bulk Terminal (IQI12) Investiments: US$ 44.32 million Santarém São Luis Port of Itaqui/MA Fortaleza Liquid Bulk Terminal (IQI13) Itaituba Açailândia Investiments: US$ 44.62 million AM PA Macau Marabá MA CE Natal RN Carajás Crato João Pessoa Port of Suape/PE PB PI Salgueiro Concession Recife PE Investiments: under analysis AC Barreiros TO Juazeiro AL Maceió Aliança SE do Tocantins Aracaju Port of Aratu/BA RO Solid Bulk Rentals Terminal (ATU12) Sinop Alagoinhas Investiments: US$ 57.5 million MT BA Salvador Água Boa Caetité Mara Rosa Ilhéus GO Brasília Rondonópolis DF Montes Claros Port of Vitória/ES Projects: By the Numbers Anápolis Goiânia Pirapora CODESA Privatization MG Gov. Investiments: US$ 250 million Valadares Corumbá Uberlândia Araguari MS Investiments US$ 1.0 billion Campo Estrela Belo Horizonte ES Grande d’Oeste Vitória Ports leasing terminals 7 Terminals Panorama Juiz de Fora Pres. SP Campos Port concession terminal 3 Ports Ponta Porã Epitácio Bauru Barra Mansa São Paulo RJ Rio de Port of São Sebastião Privatization Cianorte Investiments: US$ 143.6 million Janeiro Santos PR Cascavel Curitiba Port of Santos CODESP Guarapuava Paranaguá Privatization Investiments: US$ 375 million Porto União São Francisco do Sul SC Sta. Rosa Lajes Port of Santos Projects São Borja Imbituba LIBRA Terminals(STS14 e STS14A) ‘’ Cruz Investiments: US$ 30.22 and 32.97 million Alta Criciúma Qualified Uruguaiana RS Sta. Porto Alegre Under study Santana do Maria Port of Paranaguá (PAR12) Investiments: under analysis Livramento Rio Grande Port of Paranaguá (PAR32) 21 Ref: 09/26/19 Investiments: under analysis
Ports – Project Portfolio Public TCU Bidding Public Studies Hearing (Federal court of Contract accounts) Documents Auction - Port of Itaqui/MA (IQI03) 01/07/2019 1st Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 - Port of Itaqui/MA (IQI11) 01/07/2019 1st Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 - Port of Itaqui/MA (IQI12) 01/07/2019 1st Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 - Porto of Itaqui/MA (IQI13) 01/07/2019 1st Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 - Port of Santos/SP (STS14, STS14A) 1st Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2020 10/09/2019 - Port of Aratu-Candeias/BA (ATU12) 2st Trim 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 - CODESA/ES Privatization 4th Trim 2020 2nd Trim 2021 - São Sebastião/SP Privatization 1st Trim 2021 2nd Trim 2021 -Santos Organized Port and CODESP/SP Privatization 3rd Trim 2021 4th Trim 2021 22 Ref: 09/26/19 Completed In progress To be performed
Highway – Project Portfolio BR-163/230/MT/PA RR Investiments: US$ 422,75 millions AP Extension: 970 km BR-153/080/414/GO/TO Santana Investiments: US$ 1.85 billion Extension: 850,7 km Belém BR-116/304/CE/RN Santarém Extension: 533 km Fortaleza AM Itaituba PA BR-230/PB MA CE Extension: 128 km RN Natal Campina Grande BR-232/PE João Pessoa Extension: 273 km Arco PB PI Salgueiro Verde Recife Porto Velho PE AC TO BR-101/BA/SE/AL/PE/PB/RN AL Extension: 1.835 km BR-364/MT/RO Aliança SE Extension: 804 km do Tocantins Aracaju BR-235/SE RO Feira de Barreiras Extension: 55,40 km Santana Sinop BA BR-116/BA/PE MT Extension: 495 km BR-364/060/MT/GO Comodoro Extension: 718 km Divisa BR-020/DF/GO/BA Alegre Extension: 587 km GO DF Montes Rondonópolis BR-251/MG Anápolis Claros BR-364/365/GO/MG Extension: 342 km Investiments: US$ 510 millions Jataí Itumbiara MG Gov. BR-116/MG Extension: 437 km Valadares Extension: 409 km Uberlândia ES BR-381/262/MG/ES Projects: By the Numbers BR-452/GO MS Belo Horizonte Viana Investiments: US$ 2.27 billions Extension: 672 km Extension: 199 km RJ Juiz de Fora BR-116/493/RJ/MG (CRT) SP Além Paraíba Rio de Janeiro / RJ a Gov. Valadares/MG Investments US$ 35 bi Maringá Londrina São Paulo Rio de Investiments: US$ 1.97 billions Janeiro Extension: 711 km Guaíra Ubatuba Highways Integrated of Paraná BR-040/495/MG/RJ (Concer) Extension 16,561.92 Km Investiments: US$ 8.4 billions Extension Total: 4.114 km Foz do PR Guarapuava Curitiba Juiz de Fora/MG ao Rio de Janeiro/RJ Investiments: US$ 650 millions Extension Federal: 2.806 km Iguaçu Extension: 211 km Irani Navegantes SC BR-116/465/101/SP/RJ (Dutra) Paulo Lopes Rio de Janeiro/RJ ; São Paulo/SP Panambi Campos e Ubatuba/SP BR-470/282/153/SC Novos Investiments: US$ 2.75 billions Investiments: US$ 2 billions Projects Extension: 635 km ‘’ Extension: 502,10 km RS Pântano São João do Sul BR-282/SC Grande Extension: 310,30 km Santana Porto Alegre Existing concessions da B. Vista BR-101/SC Camaquã Investiments: US$ 750 million Qualified Extension: 220,42 km BR-158/392/RS Rio Grande Qualified as a study Extension: 321 km Jaguarão BR-116/290/RS 23 Ref: 09/26/19 Extension: 229 km
Highways – Project Portfolio Public TCU Bidding Public Studies (Federal court of Contract Hearing accounts) Documents Auction - BR-364/365/GO/MG 05/08/2017 12/14/2017 05/24/2019 06/05/2019 09/27/2019 4th Trim 2019 - BR-101/SC 09/21/2018 09/23/2019 4th Trim. 2019 1st Trim. 2020 2nd Trim. 2020 05/10/2019 -BR-381/262/MG/ES 07/17/2019 2nd Trim. 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 - BR-153/080/414/GO/TO 07/31/2019 2nd Trim. 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 - BR-163/230/MT/PA 08/28/2019 2nd Trim. 2020 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 - BR-040/495/MG/RJ (Concer) 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim 2020 1st Trim 2021 - BR-116/465/101/SP/RJ (Dutra) 3rd Trim. 2020 4th Trim. 2020 1st Trim. 2021 - BR-116/493/RJ/MG (CRT) 3rd Trim. 2020 1st Trim. 2021 2nd Trim. 2021 - BR-470/282/153/SC 4th Trim. 2020 1st Trim. 2021 2nd Trim. 2021 - Highways Integrated of Paraná 2nd Trim. 2021 3rd Trim 2021 4th Trim 2021 - Highways 7.200 km 2nd Trim. 2022 3rd Trim. 2022 4th Trim. 2022 24 Ref: 09/26/19 Completed In progress To be performed
Railways – Project Portfolio EF-170 – Ferrogrão RR Investiments: US$ 3.17 billion AP Extension: 933 km Santana Contract Extension EFC Projects: by the Numbers Belém Extension: 892 km São Luis US$ 15.52 bi: Santarém Fortaleza Investments • new – US$ 4 bi Itaituba Açailândia AM PA Macau • renew – US$ 11.52 bi Marabá MA CE RN Natal 15,107 Km: Carajás Total Crato João Pessoa • new - 1,470 km PB extension PI Salgueiro Recife • renew – 13,637 km AC PE Barreiros TO Juazeiro AL Maceió Aliança SE do Tocantins Aracaju RO Central-West AC Integration Railway West-East Integration Railway Sinop Alagoinhas (FICO) (FIOL) – EF – 334 Investiments: US$ 682,5 million BA Investiments: US$ 825 millions MT Salvador Extension: 383 km Extension: 537 km Mara Rosa Caetité Água Boa Ilhéus GO Brasília DF Montes Rondonópolis Anápolis Claros Projects Goiânia Pirapora Contract Extension FCA MG Gov. Extension: 7.215 km Existing concessions Corumbá MS Uberlândia Araguari Valadares ES Belo Qualified Campo Grande Estrela d’Oeste Horizonte Vitória Juiz de Contract Extension Vitória Minas (EFVM) Main Ports Panorama Pres. Fora Extension: 895 km SP Campos Barra Mansa RJ ‘’ Ponta Epitácio Bauru Qualified for Extension: Porã Cianorte São Paulo Rio de Janeiro Santos Concessionaires Cross Investment Cascavel PR Curitiba Ferrovia Rio-Vitória Extension: 577 km Guarapuava Paranaguá EFVM FICO Porto União SC São Francisco do Sul FCA Rio Vitória Sta. Rosa Lajes Imbituba São Borja MRS Cruz Criciúma RS Alta RMP Uruguaiana Sta. Contract Extension MRS Porto Alegre Logística S.A. EFC Santana do Maria Extension: 1.686 km Livramento Rio Grande Contract Extension Rumo Malha Paulista 25 Ref: 09/26/19 Extension: 1.989 km
Railways – Project Portfolio TCU Bidding Studies Public Hearing Auction (Federal Court of Documents Accounts) -EF-170 – Ferrogrão 05/19/2017 2nd Trim.2019 3rd Trim.2020 -EF-334 – FIOL 08/29/2018 1st Trim.2020 2nd Trim.2020 TCU Studies Public Hearing Legal Subscription of (Federal Court of Accounts) Opinion the Addendum -Contract Extension Malha Paulista 12/12/2016 10/12/2018 4th Trim.2019 -Contract Extension Carajás (EFC) 08/08/2018 4th Trim.2019 07/01/2019 -Contract Extension Vitória-Minas (EFVM) 08/08/2018 4th Trim.2019 07/01/2019 -Contract Extension MRS 06/13/2018 2nd Trim.2020 -Contract Extension FCA 2nd Trim.2020 26 Ref: 09/26/19 Completed In progress To be performed
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