BRAND BIDEN VS. BRAND TRUMP - What happens when we use the latest commercial brand measurement tools to assess Brand Biden and Brand Trump ? - Ipsos
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BRAND BIDEN VS. BRAND TRUMP What happens when we use the latest commercial brand measurement tools to assess Brand Biden and Brand Trump ?
3 Key Questions Questions Approach What equity do the candidates have? Application of the commercial brand measurement toolkit What drives preference for each Brand Value Creator (BVC) candidate? Brand Mental Networks (BMN) Brand Image with Response Time Capture What perceptual spaces are uniquely (MCRT) owned? • Personality • Policy 2
Brand Value Creator: Biden has a small lead on Attitudinal Equity But Trump has stronger intensity of preference, as Democrats long for Obama Which of the following public Attitudinal Equity TRUMP 48% BIDEN 52% figures is your favorite? Democrat Republican Total 325 327 Donald “On a 10 point scale, how close to you feel to each candidate?” Trump 5% 59% 41%... Joe Biden 17% 3% of those likely to vote for Barack 52% 4% Trump voters Obama Trump give him a top box Mike 1% 7% score on Closeness. Pence Bernie 11% 1% Sanders Biden voters …while just 26% of those George 3% 14% W. Bush who plan to vote for Biden Kamala 7% 1% give him a top box score Harris Closeness None of the 5% 7% above 3
Brand Mental Networks - Donald Trump vs Joe Biden I like/support Leader I dislike/not support Brave Smart/Intelligent/Professional Care about the country Democratic Great president/person Good business man Not know/Know little about him Reliable/Trustworthy Strong/Tough Old Honest/Integrity Not a politician Care about the people/Kind Experienced Good work ethics Arrogant/Rude Joe Biden Donald Trump Have health issues Bad president/person Racist POSITIVE BEHAVIORS Not reliable/trustworthy Not smart/intelligent GENERAL Loud mouth Confused/Indecisive Liar/Dishonest NEGATIVE BEHAVIORS CONTRIBUTION/OBJECTIVE - Done bad job Care about himself/wealthy people POSITIVES Done nothing CONTRIBUTION/OBJECTIVE - Done good job NEGATIVES Support economy Barack Obama PARTY/IDEOLOGY American Donald Trump COUNTRY/STATE MENTION NAME OF THE POLITICIAN METIONED 4 OTHER
Using speed-based techniques to understand what drives voter selection Biden vs Trump: A Story of Attraction and Repulsion BIDEN TRUMP Pull towards Biden Push from Trump Push from Biden Pull towards Trump Likeable Corrupt Irresponsible Safeguards the American dream Boring Trustworthy Reckless Strong Old Qualified Racist Bold Stands up/people like you Bully Supports Economic Growth Respects right to protest Liar Fights Government corruption Arrogant Intelligent Narrow-minded Respects law and order Fights political correctness IMPACT ON CHOICE 5
“Shy” Trump voters? Trump’s base is highly enthusiastic. His voters are much more driven by ‘Trump positives” than “Biden negatives” Of those pulled to Trump, Of those pushed from Biden, he he is seen as… is seen as… Supports 88% economic growth 86% Bold 80% Old 84% Strong Safeguards the 62% Irresponsible 83% American dream Respects 66% Boring 83% law and order Fights political 82% correctness 80% Fights government corruption 73% Intelligent * MCRT data is 6
Biden is no Obama. Many are pushed his way by distaste for Trump. Biden has meaningful positives, but they are more muted Those pushed from Trump Those pulled to Biden see see him as… him as… Liar 96% Qualified 67% Arrogant 95% Respects right to protest 65% Bully 95% Stands up for people like you 58% Reckless 95% Likeable 57% Corrupt 94% Trustworthy 56% Racist 93% Narrow-minded 89% 7
How do you plan to vote? 62% of Republicans plan to vote 55% of Democrats plan to vote in person by absentee ballot or mail 8 Q Question: How do you plan to vote in the November 3rd general election?
Recap: In many ways, the election is all about Trump BRAND BIDEN BRAND TRUMP Biden has a modest equity advantage. The comparative intensity of the Trump voter… His supporters may be motivated to action by negative ..combined with their willingness to venture to the polls… Trump associations - but “negative avoidance” is risky ..could yield another poll-defying November result. Vulnerabilities could discourage participation: But the intensity of Trump detractors could more than • Brand Biden is perceptually non-descript counter-balance the enthusiastic participation of Trump • Lack of intense support amongst those who favor voters him • Extreme fondness for the past To ensure conversion from preference to action, To broaden his appeal among the small group of Biden needs to build upon his positive associations as persuadable voters, he will need to appeal to antidotes to Trump negatives: qualified, likeable, their economic sensibilities. trustworthy. 9
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