Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...

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Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Baird 2018 Global
Industrial Conference

 NOVEMBER 6, 2018

                        Delivering Next-Level Performance
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Forward-Looking Statements Safe Harbor and Non-GAAP
  Financial Information
Certain statements in this presentation (including statements regarding the company's forecasts, beliefs, estimates and expectations) that are not
historical in nature are "forward-looking" statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In particular, the
statements related to Timken’s plans, outlook, future financial performance, targets, projected sales, cash flows, liquidity and expectations
regarding the future financial performance of the company are forward-looking.

The Company cautions that actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied in forward-looking statements due to a variety of
important factors, including: the company's ability to respond to changes in its end markets that could affect demand for the company's products;
unanticipated changes in business relationships with customers or their purchases from the company; changes in the financial health of the
company's customers, which may have an impact on the company's revenues, earnings and impairment charges; fluctuations in material and
energy costs; the impact of changes to the company’s accounting methods; recent world events that have increased the risk posed by international
trade disputes, tariffs and sanctions; weakness in global or regional economic conditions and capital markets; the company’s ability to satisfy its
obligations under its debt agreements and renew or refinance borrowings on favorable terms; fluctuations in currency valuations; changes in the
expected costs associated with product warranty claims; the ability to achieve satisfactory operating results in the integration of acquired
companies, including realizing any accretion within expected timeframes or at all; the impact on operations of general economic conditions;
fluctuations in customer demand; the impact on the company’s pension obligations and assets due to changes in interest rates, investment
performance and other tactics designed to reduce risk; the company’s ability to complete and achieve the benefits of announced plans, programs,
initiatives, acquisitions and capital investments; and the actual impact of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 on the full-year 2018 global effective
tax rate. Additional factors are discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the company's Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended Dec. 31, 2017, quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and current reports on Form 8-K. Except as required by
the federal securities laws, the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statement, whether as a result
of new information, future events or otherwise.

This presentation includes certain non-GAAP financial measures as defined by the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange
Commission. Reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP equivalents are provided in the Appendix to this presentation.

                                                                                                                                                  2
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Company Overview

                   3
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Why Invest in Timken?

                                                                                                                          LTM SEPTEMBER 2018
      Leading market, brand and technical position                                                                           KEY METRICS
      Focused, talented and committed management team                                                                                     SALES

      Strong track record of results; exceeding targets                                                                      $3.45 billion
      Sound strategy to:                                                                                        EBIT MARGIN                               EPS

       -   Grow and improve market position
                                                                                                              12.4%                                     $3.46
       -   Deliver higher levels of financial performance
                                                                                                         ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN                           ADJUSTED EPS
       Timken is a compelling investment
                                                                                                              13.4%                                     $3.86
   

                                                                                                                                                                       4
           See appendix for reconciliations of EBIT margin, adjusted EBIT margin and adjusted EPS to their most directly comparable GAAP equivalents.
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
We Deliver Premium Bearings and Power Transmission Products
and Services for the World’s Equipment and Vehicles

                          Timken engineered bearings feature a broad range of sizes, rolling
                           elements and proprietary designs that are vital to a wide array of
                           customer applications

                          Timken power transmission products range from belts and chain
                           to sealing technologies, improving the reliability of industrial
                           equipment and machinery

                          Timken industrial services provide bearing and power system
                           rebuild services that can return components or entire systems to
                           like-new specifications

                                                                                              5
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
21%
                                         INDUSTRIAL/OTHER

                                   14%
                                              AUTOMOTIVE

    Percentage of Sales for 2017
                                   9%
                                              HEAVY TRUCK

                                   9%
                                         AGRICULTURE/TURF

                                   8%
                                                     RAIL

                                   8%
                                                   ENERGY
                                   7%

                                                  DEFENSE
                                   6%

                                                   MINING
                                   6%

                                            CONSTRUCTION
                                   5%

                                                   METALS
                                   3%

                                           CIVIL AEROSPACE
                                   2%
                                                             Our Sales Are Diversified Across Several End-Market Sectors

                                         CEMENT/AGGREGATE
6
                                   2%

                                               PULP/PAPER
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Portfolio and Channel Position Reflects Progress in Diversifying
 Product and Services Offerings
                               PORTFOLIO                            CHANNELS

                         26%

                                                                                  45%
                                                             55%

                                           74%

                  Bearings     Power Transmission/Services    OEM    Distribution/End-User

Percentage of Sales for 2017

                                                                                             7
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
We Have Strong Global Capabilities

 33               97                                  2017 SALES BY GEOGRAPHY
 countries
                  plants and
                service centers
                                  57%
 83                                 North
                                  America
                                                                                     17%
                                                                                     Asia
                                                                                     Pacific
sales offices
                                                                      19%
                   41                       7%
                                              Latin
                                            America
                                                                      Europe,
                                                                      Middle East,

>17K
                                                                      Africa
                   logistics
                    centers
 associates

                                                                                               8
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Mobile Industries Segment:
A Balanced and Attractive Mix Across Mobile End-Market Sectors
                                                                     MOBILE INDUSTRIES

   LTM SEPTEMBER 2018                                              MARKET SECTOR MIX                                                           PRODUCT
      KEY METRICS                                                       (SALES)                                                               PORTFOLIO

          SALES
                                                                                                                                        Engineered bearings, power

 $1.87 billion
                                                                                                                                         transmission products and
                                                                          18%
                                                                                             24%                                              related services

                                                                   11%
       EBIT MARGIN

   10.1%
                                                                       15%
                                                                                           32%

   ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN
                                                                Automotive                      Off-Highway

   10.7%                                                        Rail

                                                                Heavy Truck
                                                                                                Aerospace

                                                                                                                                                                     9
         See appendix for reconciliations of EBIT margin and adjusted EBIT margin to their most directly comparable GAAP equivalents.
Baird 2018 Global Industrial Conference - Delivering Next-Level Performance - Investors | The Timken ...
Process Industries Segment:
Industry-Leading Portfolio Serving OEMs and Aftermarket
                                                                    PROCESS INDUSTRIES

   LTM SEPTEMBER 2018                                              MARKET SECTOR MIX                                                           PRODUCT
      KEY METRICS                                                       (SALES)                                                               PORTFOLIO

          SALES
                                                                                                                                        Engineered bearings, power

 $1.58 billion
                                                                               9%                                                        transmission products and
                                                                                                                                              related services
                                                                     19%

       EBIT MARGIN                                                                               56%

   19.6%
                                                                       16%

   ADJUSTED EBIT MARGIN                                                Distribution

   19.8%
                                                                       Gears & Services

                                                                       Heavy/General Industrial

                                                                       Wind

                                                                                                                                                                     10
         See appendix for reconciliations of EBIT margin and adjusted EBIT margin to their most directly comparable GAAP equivalents.
Proven Strategy to Drive Next-Level Performance

         OUTGROW OUR MARKETS
            Be the technical leader in solving customers’ friction and power
             transmission challenges
            Expand both our product portfolio and geographic presence
            Deliver best-in-class customer service experience using a differentiated
             technical sales model

         OPERATE WITH EXCELLENCE
            Drive enterprise-wide Lean and continuous improvement efforts
            Build a more cost-effective global manufacturing footprint
            Deliver efficiencies across our supply chains
                                                                                         NEXT-LEVEL
            Optimize processes and SG&A efficiency
                                                                                        PERFORMANCE
         DEPLOY CAPITAL TO DRIVE SHAREHOLDER VALUE
            Invest in organic growth and productivity initiatives
            Pay an attractive dividend that grows over time with earnings
            Broaden portfolio and reach through value-accretive M&A
            Return capital through share repurchases

                                                                                                  11
Our Actions Are Driven by the Timken Business Model

                                                    Markets Supported by
                                                       Strong Macros
 FOR ATTRACTIVE OPPORTUNITIES

                                Challenging                                      Technology
                                Applications                                     & Innovation

                                                                                                TIMKEN COMPETITIVE
       DISCIPLINED FILTER

                                                                                                  DIFFERENTIATORS
                                Aftermarket                                      Business
                                & Rebuild                                        Capabilities

                                                       VALUE
                                Fragmentation         CREATION                   Operational
                                                                                 Excellence

                                High Service                                     Talent
                                Requirements
                                                      Expand Reach with
                                                Adjacent Products and Services

                                                                                                                     12
Growth-Creating Megatrends Will Fuel Opportunities Going
Forward

 URBANIZATION            INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT      POPULATION GROWTH

                ENERGY                  SUSTAINABILITY & EFFICIENCY

                                                                             13
Timken’s Strategy Will Drive Outgrowth

    Timken’s strategy is to be the supplier of choice for solving our
    customers’ friction management and power transmission challenges.
    We will do this by:

         • Strengthening our global leadership in tapered roller bearings, and
           enhancing our offering of other highly-engineered bearings

         • Delivering a diverse portfolio of power transmission products that
           complement our bearing offering and enhance the value we
           provide to customers and end users across the globe

         • Delivering a best-in-class customer service experience utilizing a
           differentiated technical sales and service model

                                                                                 14
Delivering Outgrowth and Changing Market Sector Mix

Wind Energy      Solar Energy          Spherical           Automated             Asia
Increasing       Cone Drive            Roller Bearings     Lubrication
                                                            Automated            Variety of
penetration      acquisition serving   Bearing product     Systems
                                                            Lubrication          penetration
in wind energy   renewable energy      breadth expansion   Improving
                                                            Systems equipment    initiatives
                 markets                                   reliability
                                                            Improving  through
                                                           automation
                                                            equipment
                                                           reliability through
                                                           automation
                                                                                               15
Operational Excellence is a Core Competency

                                                                  TRANSFORMING OUR BEARING FOOTPRINT
                 Regional manufacturing hubs in Americas,
                  Asia and Europe
                                                                         2007                          2017
                 Expand capacity in low-cost geographies to
                  support growth                                        10%
                                                                                                     29%
                 Improve efficiency in high-cost locations       26%                                         42%

                 Drive Lean principles across the organization                 64%
                                                                                                      29%
                 Continually look to streamline and leverage
                  SG&A costs
                                                                                      Americas
                 Part of our culture                                                 EMEA
                                                                                      Asia-Pacific

                                                                                                              16
Focus on Broader Power Transmission and Motion Space Opens
Up Significant Opportunity for Value Creation

                                                                     Timken M&A Strategy:
                                                                        Consolidate attractive targets within the
                                                                         global bearing space
                                                                          -   Focus on “bolt-ons” to enhance industry-
                                                                              leading product offering or extend reach

                                                                        Expand into attractive adjacencies that fit the
        ~$10B ~$70B                            Power Transmission        Timken Business Model
             TRB*                               and Motion Space
      $3B               Bearings                                          -   Focus on high-quality businesses across the
                                                                              industrial power transmission and motion
                                                                              space
                                                                          -   Look to enhance our organic growth and
                                                                              profitability over the long term

       *TRB = Tapered roller bearings                                                                                    17
       Note: Bearing market is based on the 2016 Freedonia report.
Power Transmission Products and Services – Strong Adjacency
to Bearings
   Target products are critical components in the industrial drivetrain
     -   Close proximity to bearing positions
     -   Require same engineering expertise – friction, motion and materials
     -   Often served through same aftermarket channels

   Excellent fit with Timken Business Model                                                  BRAKE

                                                                               BEARINGS
                    ELECTRIC MOTOR SERVICES                         GEARBOX
                                                  SPLIT HOUSED
              BEARINGS                 BEARINGS   UNIT BEARING
                                              COUPLING     CLUTCH                COUPLING

                                                                                                                      DRIVEN EQUIPMENT
                                                                                                                      PUMPS/COMPRESSORS
                                                                                                                      FANS
                                                                                                                      CONVEYORS
                                                                                                                      GENERATORS
                                                                                                                      MILLS
                                                                                HOUSED UNIT           CHAIN
                                                                                  BEARING

                                                                    BEARINGS

                                                                               LUBRICATION                    BELTS
                                                                                 SYSTEMS

                                                                                                                                          18
Building Our Power Transmission Platforms with
Bearings at the Core

                              LUBRICATION        GEARS &                           COUPLINGS,
BEARINGS    LINEAR MOTION                                       BELTS & CHAIN
                                SYSTEMS        GEAR DRIVES                      CLUTCHES & BRAKES

           Strengthening Our Position in Attractive Markets Around the World

                                                                                           19
Financial Review and
Capital Allocation

                       20
3Q 2018: Delivering Next-Level Financial Performance

    NET SALES ($M)                                                    EBIT* ($M)                                                             EARNINGS PER SHARE*
                                                   REPORTED (GAAP)                         ADJUSTED                                 REPORTED (GAAP)                  ADJUSTED
                  $881                                                                                $127                                                                  $1.06

                                                                    $109                                                                            $0.91

    $771                                                                                 $90
                                                       $85                                                                                                         $0.71
                                                                                                                                      $0.68

                                                                                                    14.4%

                                                                                      11.7%

    3Q-17        3Q-18                               3Q-17GAAP3Q-18                    3Q-17    3Q-18
                                                                                          Adjusted                                    3Q-17GAAP3Q-18               3Q-17    3Q-18
                                                                                                                                                                      Adjusted

   Sales up 14.2% from 3Q-17
    –   Reflects strong organic growth across both Process and Mobile Industries and the benefit of
        acquisitions, partially offset by unfavorable currency
   Adjusted EBIT margin at 14.4%, up 270 bps from 3Q-17
    –   Held strong margins from 2Q-18 despite seasonally lower volume and tariffs
   Record 3rd quarter adj. EPS of $1.06 per diluted share, up 49% from 3Q-17
                                                                                                                                                                                    21
              See appendix for reconciliations of EBIT, adjusted EBIT, adjusted EBIT margin and adjusted EPS to their most directly comparable GAAP equivalents.
Cash Flow, Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation
                                                                                                                                                        BALANCE SHEET (AS OF: 9/30/18)
($M)                                                                                                                                                    Capital Structure

                                                                          3Q-17                      3Q-18                                              Cash                              $155.0

                                                                                                                                                        Debt                              1,730.1
          Net Cash from Operations                                         $28.4                    $137.1
                                                                                                                                                        Net Debt                          1,575.1
               Capital Expenditures                                         (22.6)                     (23.2)                                           Equity                            1,640.4

                                                                                                                                                        Net Capital                      $3,215.5
          Free Cash Flow                                                     $5.8                   $113.9
                                                                                                                                                        Leverage

           •   Strong free cash flow in the quarter driven primarily by:                                                                                Net Debt/Capital                    49%

                -   Higher earnings in the current period                                                                                               Net Debt/Adjusted EBITDA TTM         2.6x

                -   Improved working capital performance versus the year-ago period                                                                     PF Net Debt/Adj. EBITDA TTM(1)       2.4x

                                                                                                      3Q-18 Update:
       CAPITAL EXPENDITURES                      CapEx of $23M in the quarter; expect full year CapEx of ~$115M

               DIVIDEND                          Paid 385th consecutive quarterly dividend in September ($22M)

          ACQUISITIONS                           Completed the acquisitions of Cone Drive, Rollon Group and ABC Bearings

        SHARE REPURCHASES                        Repurchased ~300K shares ($13M) in the third quarter; ~1.4 million shares repurchased YTD

                       See appendix for reconciliations of net debt, net debt/capital, adjusted EBITDA and pro forma adjusted EBITDA to their most directly comparable
                                                                                                                                                                                           22
                       GAAP equivalents.
                       (1) Adjusted EBITDA is pro forma to include estimated trailing twelve month EBITDA for Cone Drive, Rollon and ABC Bearings acquisitions.
Exceeding Targets…With Room to Go
(Targets from May 2017 Investor Day)

                STRATEGY TO DRIVE MEANINGFUL IMPROVEMENT IN FINANCIAL PERFORMANCE

  REVENUE GROWTH                 OPERATING MARGINS               FCF AND ROIC               CAPITAL DEPLOYMENT
     Organic: Market growth        11-13% adj. EBIT margin        FCF conversion >100%      Deploy cash and balance
      plus 100 bps “outgrowth”           Mobile Ind.: 10-12%       ROIC average 12+%          sheet with capital allocation
     Inorganic: 200+ bps                                                                       framework
                                         Process Ind.: 16-19%
      growth from acquisitions                                                                 Net debt to capital: 30-45%

                       Drive above-market top-line growth and meaningful margin expansion
                             Target top-end of EBIT margin range (13%)
                       Generate strong cash flow and ROIC
                       Continue to deploy balance sheet to create value

                                                                                                                                23
Tariffs and Estimated Impact on Timken

   Timken serves the U.S. market primarily with its U.S. footprint and serves the China market primarily
    with its China footprint

   Total 3Q-18 impact from tariffs was ~$3M of additional expense

   Estimated run-rate moving forward is $6-7M per quarter (pre-mitigation)

   We continue to pursue tactics to reduce the impact of tariffs – including sourcing, supply chain and
    other initiatives; expect these actions to mitigate over one-third of the impact

   With the impact of targeted pricing, would expect to fully mitigate tariff impact in 2019

                               Tariffs Expected to be a Manageable Headwind

                                                                                                            24
2018 Outlook Update

                         PRIOR 2018                           CURRENT 2018
                                                                                                                                      CURRENT OUTLOOK:
                          OUTLOOK                               OUTLOOK
                                                                                                                                    FULL YEAR 2018 VS. 2017
                       (JULY 31, 2018)                      (OCTOBER 30, 2018)

Net Sales                       ~$3.6B                                  ~$3.6B                                     Net sales estimated to be up ~19.5%

GAAP EPS                  $3.90 to $4.00                          $3.98 to $4.03
                                                                                                                  ~+14%                           ~+5.5%                  ~flat
                                                                                                                        Organic                     Acquisitions         Currency
Adjusted EPS              $4.10 to $4.20                          $4.18 to $4.23
                                                                                                                                 -----    Components (at mid-point)   -----
Net Cash from                                                                                                      Outlook includes Cone Drive, Rollon and ABC
                               ~$370M                                  ~$375M
Operations                                                                                                          Bearings acquisitions
                                                                                                                   Adjusted EPS up 60% at the mid-point
Free Cash Flow                 ~$250M                                  ~$260M
                                                                                                                    -     Adj. EBIT margins up ~300 bps; price-cost positive

                                                                                                                   Free Cash Flow ~80% of adjusted net income
                                                                                                                    -     CapEx of ~$115M

                 EPS outlook does not include the impact of any potential mark-to-market pension remeasurement adjustments. See appendix for reconciliations of                     25
                 adjusted EPS and free cash flow to their most directly comparable GAAP equivalents. Free cash flow is defined as net cash provided by operating
                 activities minus capital expenditures.
Disciplined Capital Allocation Strategy Enhances
Shareholder Value

                                 INVEST IN CORE BUSINESS

                            Organic Growth, Margin Improvement, R&D
                                   CapEx Target: ~4% of Sales

                                           DIVIDEND

                                      Pay Attractive Dividend
                             Target: 25-40% Payout Ratio Over Cycle

             INORGANIC GROWTH                             SHARE REPURCHASE

           Target Accretive Transactions               Return Capital to Shareholders
            to Drive Portfolio Expansion                  Through Stock Buybacks

                   LEVERAGE TARGET: 30-45% NET DEBT TO CAPITAL

                                                                                        26
Investing in Core Business Remains Top Priority for Growth

                                                                   BREAKDOWN OF TARGET CAPEX
   Investing in core business remains top priority for
    capital allocation
    -   Generally produces the highest risk-adjusted returns
                                                                   Maintenance,
                                                                   Repair &
   Includes investments in CapEx, R&D, etc.                       Operations

   CapEx – targeted at ~4% of sales annually over
    the cycle
    -   Includes normal maintenance (~1% of sales)
                                                                                  Growth/
    -   Bulk of spend (~3% of sales) allocated to organic                         Excellence
        growth and productivity/margin improvement
        initiatives
           o   New capacity/capabilities in lower-cost countries                    GROWTH:
                                                                                    Add new capabilities/capacity
           o   Investments in productivity/automation in                            OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE:
               higher-cost countries                                                Improve productivity and margins

                                                                                                                       27
Rich History of Attractive and Growing Dividend

                                                                                                                                 ANNUAL DIVIDEND PAYOUT
   Goal: Pay an attractive dividend that grows over time
    with earnings                                                                                                                                                                  $1.11
                                                                                                                                                                   $1.04 $1.07
                                                                                                                                                       $1.00 $1.03
    -   Target 25-40% payout (adj. EPS)                                                                                                  $0.92 $0.92

                                                                                                                                 $0.78
   In 2018:
                                                                                                                         $0.53
    -   Increased quarterly dividend 4% to 28 cents per share                                                 $0.45
        in May 2018
           o   Reflects the company’s financial strength and our
               confidence in our strategy and future growth
               prospects                                                                                      2009       2010    2011    2012   2013   2014   2015   2016   2017 2018E (1)

    -   Declared   385th     consecutive quarterly dividend in
        August 2018
                                                                                                                         DIVIDEND YIELD (AS OF: 10/30/18)
           o   One of the longest active streaks on NYSE
                                                                                                              The Timken Company                                            2.9%
   2018 expected to be 5th consecutive year of annual
                                                                                                              Peer Median(2)                                                1.4%
    dividend increases(1)
                                                                                                              S&P 500                                                       2.1%
   Commitment to dividend will continue
                                                                                                              S&P Mid-Cap 400 Industrials                                   1.4%

                                                                                                                                                                                             28
                (1) Subject to Board approval on a quarterly basis.
                (2) Peers represent composite of 18-company group consisting primarily of S&P 400 Mid-Cap Industrials.
Returning Capital Through Share Repurchases

                                                                  BASIC SHARES OUTSTANDING (MILLIONS)
   Share repurchase an important component of capital
    allocation strategy                                         90.7

   Since June 30, 2014:
    -   Repurchased 16.6M shares for $637M (avg. ~$38/share)
           o   Basic shares outstanding reduced by ~15% since                                      76.9

               June 30, 2014
                                                                6/30/14                          9/30/18
   Current share repurchase authorization:
    -   10 million shares authorized for repurchase through
        February 2021
    -   ~7.7 million shares remaining as of 9/30/18

                                                                                                           29
M&A: What We Look To Achieve

Existing
Portfolio
                           Industrial
                           Bearings
                                          Adjacent
                                          Products
                                                              Stronger. Together.
  DELIVER FINANCIAL VALUE               STRENGTHEN THE COMPANY’S STRATEGIC POSITION
  Discipline & Returns                  Customer     Cost           Mix                  Talent
  Maintain financial discipline &       Reach        Scale,         Growth,              Leverage existing
  deliver returns                       Customers,   operational    technology,          & add new
     ROIC – earn the cost of capital   channels,    excellence &   margins, diversity
      by Year 3                         markets &    business       & cyclicality
     EPS – accretive in Year 1         geography    capabilities
     Improve mix – margins & growth

                                                                                                             30
Timken Is Positioned to Deliver Next-Level Performance

   We will:
      Win with customers – innovate, differentiate, deliver value
      Outgrow improving end markets through the differentiators
       of the Timken Business Model
      Invest in the business to drive competitive advantage

      Generate strong cash flow and create value through
       capital allocation – core business, dividend, M&A and buyback
      Deliver next-level financial performance – revenue,
       margins, EPS and ROIC

                                                                       31
Why Invest in Timken?

      Leading market, brand and technical position
      Focused, talented and committed management team                                                                   TOTAL SHAREHOLDER RETURNS – 10 YEAR

      Strong track record of results; exceeding targets                                                              18%      15.9%
                                                                                                                      15%

      Sound strategy to:                                                                                             12%
                                                                                                                       9%
       -   Grow and improve market position                                                                            6%
                                                                                                                       3%
       -   Deliver higher levels of financial performance
                                                                                                                       0%

      Timken is a compelling investment                                                                             TKR       Peer Median        S&P 500   S&P Mid-Cap 400

           Total Shareholder Returns as of 10/31/18. All periods include reinvestment of dividends. Peers represent composite of 18-company group                             32
           consisting primarily of S&P 400 Mid-Cap Industrials. The 10-Year period takes into account the value of the TimkenSteel Corporation common
           shares distributed in the spinoff completed on June 30, 2014.
Appendix:
Additional Slides

                    33
2017  INCENTIVE
 Incentive      COMPENSATION
           Compensation Plans PLAN

                                           ANNUAL (STIP)                                                 LONG-TERM (LTIP)

                                         Short-Term Operational                     3-Year Strategic                      Long-Term Shareholder
           OBJECTIVE
                                           Business Priorities                     Business Priorities                        Value Creation

                                                                                                                  ~275 Leadership        ~100 Senior Leadership
         PARTICIPANTS                    ~11,800 Associates Globally            ~275 Leadership Associates
                                                                                                                    Associates                 Associates

                                                                                                                      4-Year               4-Year Vesting with
         TIME HORIZON                              1 Year                                 3 Years
                                                                                                                      Vesting                a 10-Year Term

                                                     EBIT                             Cumulative EPS
                     (1)                                                                                             Share Price
           METRICS                      Working Capital as a % of Sales                    ROIC                                               Share Price
                                                                                                                    and Dividend
                                                 EBIT Margin                      Share Price and Dividend

                                                                                                                Equity – Time-Based
                                                                                Equity – Performance-Based                               Equity – Non-Qualified
             AWARD                                  Cash                                                             Restricted
                                                                                   Restricted Stock Units                                    Stock Options
                                                                                                                    Stock Units

                                     Compensation Aligned to Shareholder Value Creation
  (1)   Represents metrics applicable to participants in the corporate STIP plan. Metrics for individual business unit STIPs can vary.

                                                                                                                                                                  34
Appendix:
GAAP Reconciliations

                       35
GAAP Reconciliation: Consolidated EBIT and EBIT Margin
Reconciliation of EBIT to GAAP Net Income, and EBIT Margin, After Adjustments, to Net Income as a Percentage of Sales and EBIT, After Adjustments, to Net Income:
(Unaudited)
The following reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the Company's performance deemed useful to investors. Management believes consolidated earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) is a non-GAAP measure that is
useful to investors as it is representative of the Company's performance and that it is appropriate to compare GAAP net income to consolidated EBIT. Management also believes that non-GAAP measures of adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBIT margin
are useful to investors as they are representative of the Company's core operations and are used in the management of the business, including decisions concerning the allocation of resources and assessment of performance.

                                                                                                                                                                            Three Months Ended                                        Twelve Months Ended
(Dollars in millions)                                                                                                                                                          September 30,                                            September 30,
                                                                                                                                                                     Percentage to                           Percentage to                        Percentage to
                                                                                                                                                       2018            Net Sales              2017             Net Sales             2018           Net Sales
Net Income                                                                                                                                       $          72.3                  8.2% $           54.1               7.0%      $       272.8                 7.9%

Provision for income taxes                                                                                                                                 25.0                  2.8%              21.1               2.7%              112.6                 3.3%
Interest expense                                                                                                                                           12.5                  1.4%              10.1               1.3%               43.8                 1.3%
Interest income                                                                                                                                            (0.6)                  —%               (0.7)               —%                (2.4)               (0.1)%
Consolidated EBIT                                                                                                                                $        109.2                 12.4% $            84.6              11.0%      $       426.8                12.4%

Adjustments:
  Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges      (1)                                                                                  $            3.1                 0.3% $             2.6              0.3%      $           7.1               0.2%
  Acquisition-related charges (2)                                                                                                                             8.8                 1.0%               4.4              0.6%               11.1                 0.3%
  Gain on sale of real estate (3)                                                                                                                             —                   —%                 (1.6)            (0.2)%                —                  —%
  Pension-related charges (4)                                                                                                                                 5.3                 0.6%                —                —%                16.8                 0.5%
  Tax indemnification and related items                                                                                                                       0.3                  —%                 —                —%                   0.6                —%
  Loss on divestiture (5)                                                                                                                                     0.6                 0.1%                —                —%                   0.6                —%
        Total Adjustments                                                                                                                                   18.1                  2.0%               5.4              0.7%               36.2                 1.0%
Adjusted EBIT                                                                                                                                    $        127.3                 14.4% $            90.0              11.7%      $       463.0                13.4%

(1)
  Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges (including items recorded in cost of products sold) relate to: (i) plant closures; (ii) the rationalization of certain plants; and (iii) severance related to cost reduction initiatives. The Company re-
assesses its operating footprint and makes adjustments as needed that result in restructuring charges. However, management believes these actions are not representative of the Company’s core operations.
(2)
  Acquisition-related charges in 2018 relate to the ABC Bearings, Cone Drive and Rollon acquisitions. In 2017, acquisition-related charges relate to the Groeneveld, Torsion Control Products, PT Tech and EDT acquisitions, including transaction costs
and inventory step-up impact.

(3)   The gain on the sale of real estate related to the sale of a manufacturing facility in South Africa and a manufacturing facility in Altavista, Virginia during the second and third quarter of 2017, respectively. This amount was recorded in other income.

(4)
  Pension-related charges represent actuarial (gains) and losses that resulted from the remeasurement of pension plan assets and obligations as a result of changes in assumptions. The Company recognizes actuarial (gains) and losses through
earnings in connection with the annual remeasurement in the fourth quarter, or on an interim basis if specific events trigger a remeasurement.
(5)   Loss on divestiture relates to the sale of the ICT Business, located in Gorinchem, Netherlands.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              36
GAAP Reconciliation: Net Income and EPS
Reconciliations of Adjusted Net Income to GAAP Net Income and Adjusted Earnings Per Share to GAAP Earnings Per Share:
(Unaudited)
The following reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the Company's performance deemed useful to investors. Management believes that the non-GAAP measures of adjusted net income and adjusted diluted
earnings per share are important financial measures used in the management of the business, including decisions concerning the allocation of resources and assessment of performance. Management believes that reporting adjusted net
income and adjusted diluted earnings per share is useful to investors as these measures are representative of the Company's core operations.

                                                                                                                                                                                    Three Months Ended                              Twelve Months Ended
(Dollars in millions, except share data)                                                                                                                                               September 30,                                  September 30,
                                                                                                                                                                       2018             EPS         2017             EPS              2018             EPS
Net Income Attributable to The Timken Company                                                                                                                    $         71.6     $    0.91 $         53.5     $    0.68      $        272.8     $    3.46

Adjustments:     (1)

  Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges      (2)                                                                                                  $            3.1              $         2.6                    $            7.1
  Acquisition-related charges (3)                                                                                                                                             8.8                        4.4                              11.1
  Gain on sale of real estate (4)                                                                                                                                             —                          (1.6)                               —
  Pension-related charges (5)                                                                                                                                                 5.3                          —                              16.8
  Loss on divestiture (6)                                                                                                                                                     0.6                          —                                 0.6
  Tax indemnification and related items                                                                                                                                       0.3                          —                                 0.6
  Noncontrolling interest (7)                                                                                                                                              (0.6)                           —                               (0.6)
  Provision for income taxes (8)                                                                                                                                           (6.2)                         (3.0)                             (3.6)
   Total Adjustments:                                                                                                                                                      11.3          0.15            2.4          0.03                32.0          0.40
Adjusted Net Income to The Timken Company                                                                                                                        $         82.9     $    1.06 $         55.9     $    0.71      $        304.8     $    3.86
(1)   Adjustments are pre-tax, with the net tax provision listed separately.

(2)
  Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges (including items recorded in cost of products sold) relate to: (i) plant closures; (ii) the rationalization of certain plants; and (iii) severance related to cost reduction initiatives. The Company
re-assesses its operating footprint and makes adjustments as needed that result in restructuring charges. However, management believes these actions are not representative of the Company’s core operations.

(3)
  Acquisition-related charges in 2018 relate to the ABC Bearings Limited ("ABC Bearings"), Apiary Investments Holdings Limited ("Cone Drive") and Rollon S.p.A. ("Rollon") acquisitions. In 2017, acquisition-related charge related to the
Groeneveld Group ("Groeneveld"), Torsion Control Products, Inc. ("Torsion Control Products"), PT Tech, Inc. ("PT Tech") and EDT Corp. ("EDT") acquisitions, including transaction costs and inventory step-up impact.
(4)The gain on the sale of real estate related to the sale of a manufacturing facility in South Africa and a manufacturing facil ity in Altavista, Virginia during the second and third quarter of 2017, respectively. This amount was recorded in other
income.
(5)Pension-related charges represent actuarial (gains) and losses that resulted from the remeasurement of pension plan assets and obligations as a result of changes in assumptions. The Company recognizes actuarial (gains) and losses
through earnings in connection with the annual remeasurement in the fourth quarter, or on an interim basis if specific events trigger a remeasurement.
(6)   Loss on divestiture relates to the sale of the Groeneveld Information Technology Holding B.V. (the "ICT Business"), located in Gorinchem, Netherlands.
(7)   Noncontrolling interest adjustments include acquisition related charges attributable to noncontrolling interest.
(8)
  Provision for income taxes includes the net tax impact on pre-tax adjustments, the impact of discrete tax items recorded during the respective periods, as well as adjustments to reflect the use of one overall effective tax rate on adjusted pre-
tax income in interim periods.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           37
GAAP Reconciliation: Segment EBIT and EBIT Margin
Reconciliation of segment EBIT Margin, After Adjustments, to segment EBIT as a Percentage of Sales and segment EBIT, After Adjustments, to segment EBIT:
(Unaudited)
The following reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the Company's Mobile Industries and Process Industries segment performance deemed useful to investors. Management
believes that non-GAAP measures of adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBIT margin for the segments are useful to investors as they are representative of each segment's core operations and are used in the
management of the business, including decisions concerning the allocation of resources and assessment of performance.

Mobile Industries
                                                                                                                                                                          Twelve Months
                                                                                                                                                                              Ended                Percentage to Net
(Dollars in millions)                                                                                                                                                   September 30, 2018              Sales
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)                                                                                                                              $              188.2                     10.1%
 Restructuring and reorganization charges      (1)                                                                                                                                      4.4                      0.2%
  Loss on divestiture (2)                                                                                                                                                                  0.6                      —%
  Acquisition related charges      (3)                                                                                                                                                     2.4                     0.1%
 Pension related charges     (4)                                                                                                                                                          5.0                      0.3%
Adjusted EBIT                                                                                                                                                          $                200.6                     10.7%
Process Industries
                                                                                                                                                                          Twelve Months
                                                                                                                                                                              Ended                Percentage to Net
(Dollars in millions)                                                                                                                                                   September 30, 2018              Sales
Earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT)                                                                                                                              $              309.6                     19.6%
 Restructuring and reorganization charges      (1)                                                                                                                                      1.2                      0.1%
  Acquisition related charges      (3)                                                                                                                                                     1.4                     0.1%
 Pension related charges     (4)                                                                                                                                                          0.7                       —%
Adjusted EBIT                                                                                                                                                          $                312.9                     19.8%
(1) Restructuring and reorganization charges (including items recorded in cost of products sold) relate to: (i) plant closures; (ii) the rationalization of certain plants; and (iii) severance related to cost reduction
initiatives. The Company re-assesses its operating footprint and makes adjustments as needed that result in restructuring charges. However, management believes these actions are not representative of the
Company’s core operations.
(2) Loss   on divestiture relates to the sale of the ICT Business, located in Gorinchem, Netherlands.
(3)
  Acquisition-related charges in 2018 relate to the ABC Bearings, Cone Drive and Rollon acquisitions. In 2017, acquisition-related charges relate to the Groeneveld, Torsion Control Products, PT Tech and
EDT acquisitions, including transaction costs and inventory step-up impact.
(4) Pensionrelated charges represent actuarial losses that resulted from the remeasurement of pension plan assets and obligations as a result of changes in assumptions. The Company recognizes actuarial
(gains) and losses through earnings in connection with the annual remeasurement in the fourth quarter, or on an interim basis if specific events trigger a remeasurement.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                       38
GAAP Reconciliation: Net Debt and Net Debt to Capital
Reconciliation of Total Debt to Net Debt and the Ratio of Net Debt to Capital to the Ratio of Total Debt to Capital:
(Unaudited)
These reconciliations are provided as additional relevant information about the Company's financial position deemed useful to investors. Capital, used for the ratio of total debt to capital, is a non-GAAP measure defined as total debt plus total shareholders'
equity. Capital, used for the ratio of net debt to capital, is a non-GAAP measure defined as total debt less cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash plus total shareholders' equity. Management believes Net Debt and the Ratio of Net Debt to Capital are
important measures of the Company's financial position, due to the amount of cash and cash equivalents on hand.

(Dollars in millions)
                                                                                                                                                                                                                               September 30,         December 31,
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   2018                  2017
Short-term debt, including current portion of long-term debt                                                                                                                                                               $             48.4    $                108.1
Long-term debt                                                                                                                                                                                                                        1,681.7                     854.2
   Total Debt                                                                                                                                                                                                              $          1,730.1    $                962.3
Less: Cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash                                                                                                                                                                                       (155.0)                    (125.4)
  Net Debt                                                                                                                                                                                                                 $          1,575.1    $                836.9

Total Equity                                                                                                                                                                                                               $          1,640.4    $             1,474.9

Ratio of Total Debt to Capital                                                                                                                                                                                                           51.3%                     39.5%
Ratio of Net Debt to Capital                                                                                                                                                                                                             49.0%                     36.2%

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             39
GAAP Reconciliation: Consolidated EBITDA
Reconciliation of EBIT, EBIT, After Adjustments, EBITDA, After Adjustments, and Pro Forma EBITDA, After Adjustments, to GAAP Net Income:
(Unaudited)
The following reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the Company's performance deemed useful to investors. Management believes consolidated earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) is a non-GAAP measure that is
useful to investors as it is representative of the Company's performance and that it is appropriate to compare GAAP net income to consolidated EBIT. Management believes that non-GAAP measures of adjusted EBIT and adjusted earnings before
interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) are useful to investors as they are representative of the Company's core operations and are used in the management of the business, including decisions concerning the allocation of resources
and assessment of performance. Management also believes that the non-GAAP measure of adjusted Pro Forma EBITDA is useful to investors as it is representative of the Company’s performance including a full year impact from acquired companies.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                       Twelve Months Ended
(Dollars in millions)                                                                                                                                                                                                                   September 30, 2018
Net Income                                                                                                                                                                                                                      $                          272.8
Provision for income taxes                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 112.6
Interest expense                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            43.8
Interest income                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             (2.4)
Consolidated EBIT                                                                                                                                                                                                               $                          426.8
Adjustments:
 Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges (1)                                                                                                                                                                       $                               7.1
 Acquisition-related charges (2)                                                                                                                                                                                                                               11.1
 Loss on divestiture (3)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        0.6
 Pension-related charges (4)                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   16.8
 Tax indemnification and related items                                                                                                                                                                                                                          0.6
     Total Adjustments                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         36.2
Adjusted EBIT                                                                                                                                                                                                                   $                             463.0
Adjusted depreciation and amortization (5)                                                                                                                                                                                                                    141.0
Adjusted EBITDA (6)                                                                                                                                                                                                             $                             604.0
Pro Forma Estimated Adjusted EBITDA from acquisitions (7)                                                                                                                                                                                                      60.0
Pro Forma Adjusted EBITDA (8)                                                                                                                                                                                                   $                            $664.0
(1)
  Impairment, restructuring and reorganization charges (including items recorded in cost of products sold) relate to: (i) plant closures; (ii) the rationalization of certain plants; and (iii) severance related to cost reduction initiatives. The Company re-
assesses its operating footprint and makes adjustments as needed that result in restructuring charges. However, management believes these actions are not representative of the Company’s core operations.
(2)
  Acquisition-related charges in 2018 relate to the ABC Bearings, Cone Drive and Rollon acquisitions. In 2017, acquisition charges relate to the Groeneveld, Torsion Control Products, PT Tech and EDT acquisitions, including transaction costs and
inventory step-up impact.
(3)   Loss on divestiture relates to the sale of the ICT Business, located in Gorinchem, Netherlands.
(4)
  Pension-related charges represent actuarial (gains) and losses that resulted from the remeasurement of pension plan assets and obligations as a result of changes in assumptions. The Company recognizes actuarial (gains) and losses through
earnings in connection with the annual remeasurement in the fourth quarter, or on an interim basis if specific events trigger a remeasurement.
(5)   Adjusted deprecation and amortization removes the impact of deprecation recognized in reorganization charges.
(6) Twelve months trailing adjusted EBITDA reflects results from acquired companies from the acquisition date through September 30, 2018.
(7) Pro forma adjusted EBITDA from acquisitions reflects the estimated twelve months trailing EBITDA results from acquired companies through September 30, 2018, less EBITDA included above.
(8) Twelve months trailing pro forma adjusted EBITDA reflects estimated results from acquired companies for the last twelve months through September 30, 2018.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               40
GAAP Reconciliation: Adjusted EPS & Free Cash Flow Outlook
Reconciliation of Adjusted Earnings per Share to GAAP Earnings per Share for Full Year 2018 Outlook:
(Unaudited)
The following reconciliation is provided as additional relevant information about the Company's outlook deemed useful to investors. Forecasted full year adjusted diluted earnings per share is an important financial measure
that management believes is useful to investors as it is representative of the Company's expectation for the performance of its core business operations.
                                                                                                                                                                                        Low End                   High End
                                                                                                                                                                                        Earnings                  Earnings
                                                                                                                                                                                        Per Share                 Per Share
Forecasted full year GAAP diluted earnings per share                                                                                                                              $                 3.98   $                  4.03

Forecasted Adjustments:
 Restructuring and other special items, net   (1)                                                                                                                                                   0.20                      0.20
           Total Adjustments:                                                                                                                                                     $                 0.20   $                  0.20
Forecasted full year adjusted diluted earnings per share                                                                                                                          $                 4.18   $                  4.23
(1)   Restructuring and other special items, net do not include the impact of any potential mark-to-market pension and other postretirement remeasurement adjustment, because the amount will not be known until incurred.

Reconciliation of Free Cash Flow to GAAP Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities for Full Year 2018 Outlook:

(Unaudited)

Forecasted full year free cash flow is a non-GAAP measure that is useful to investors because it is representative of the Company's expectation of cash that will be generated from operating activities and available for the
execution of its business strategy.

                                                                                                                                                                                                               Free Cash Flow
(Dollars in Millions)                                                                                                                                                                                             Outlook

Net cash provided by operating activities                                                                                                                                                                  $              375.0

Less: capital expenditures                                                                                                                                                                                               (115.0)

      Free cash flow                                                                                                                                                                                       $              260.0

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