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Au stralian Govern ment, Depart ment of Job s and Sm all Bu sin ess April 2018 Australian Labour Market Update Are you looking for a job in Australia? The Australian Labour Market Update provides information on the Australian labour market on a quarterly basis. It is intended to inform people interested in working in Australia on a temporary or permanent basis. Further information on job prospects, earnings and related information is at the Job Outlook website. Unless otherwise stated, data are from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Labour Force Survey, February 2018.1 Employment Over the 12 months to February 2018, the strongest employment growth (in trend terms) occurred in Queensland (4.6%), the Australian Capital Territory (ACT, 4.1%) and New South Wales (NSW, 3.7%). Employment opportunities and growth varied across industries. Over the 12 months to February 2018, the largest increases in trend employment occurred in Health Care and Social Assistance (up 127 600), Construction (up 99 100), Retail Trade (up 68 100) and Education and Training (up 55 500). The largest decrease in trend employment occurred in Public Administration and Safety (down 81 200). The strongest rates of employment growth were in Arts and Recreation Services (up 17.6%) and Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services (up 10.6%). Increases in trend employment by industry are shown in Figure 1. Figure 1: Trend employment growth by industry (’000s persons)—February 2017 to February 2018 Decrease Increase Health Care and Social Assistance Construction Retail Trade Education and Training Arts and Recreation Services Transport, Postal and Warehousing Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing Other Services Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste Services Accommodation and Food Services Professional, Scientific and Technical Services Rental, Hiring and Real Estate Services Wholesale Trade Mining Information Media and Telecommunications Administrative and Support Services Financial and Insurance Services Manufacturing Public Administration and Safety -100 -80 -60 -40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Source: ABS, Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly, February 2018, ABS Cat. No. 6291.0.55.003. ISSN 1833-413X 1 The first paragraph of the Employment section and the Unemployment section use trended data from the ABS’ Labour Force, Australia, March 2018 (ABS Cat. No. 6202.0) time series spreadsheets. Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 1
Unemployment The trend rate of unemployment in Australia was 5.5% in February 2018, compared to 5.8% in February 2017. Figure 2: Unemployment rates (%) by State/Territory—February 2018 In the past year, the trend unemployment rate increased in the Northern Territory (NT, 3.3% to 4.0%), the ACT (3.8% to 7 4.1%) and Tasmania (5.8% to 6.0%). 6 Over the same period, the trend unemployment rate 5 decreased in South Australia (SA, 6.7% to 6.0%), Victoria (6.0% to 5.5%), Queensland (6.3% to 6.0%) and NSW (5.0% 4 to 4.9%). 3 In February 2018, the trend unemployment rate was highest in Western Australia (WA, 6.2%), Queensland, SA and 2 Tasmania (all 6.0%), and lowest in the NT (4.0%). See 1 Figure 2. 0 TAS NT NSW ACT AUST VIC SA WA QLD Migrant Unemployment The unemployment rates for people who migrate to Australia vary appreciably. Several factors influence migrant unemployment rates including skill level, age, English proficiency, recent and relevant work experience, and the period since arrival in Australia. Data consistently show recently-arrived migrants have a higher unemployment rate on average than those who have lived in Australia for some years. Figure 3 below shows the participation and unemployment rates of the Australian-born and migrants by broad country of birth groups and period of residence in Australia (average of the last 12 months to February 2018). Figure 3: Years since arrival in Australia by labour force participation rates (%) and unemployment rates (%) for broad country of birth groups—12 months to February 2018 90 12 80 10 70 60 8 50 6 40 30 4 20 2 10 0 0 Born in Australia Arrived 20 or more Arrived 15–19 Arrived 10–14 Arrived 5–9 years Arrived within last years ago years ago years ago ago 5 years Labour force participation rate of Australia-born persons (left axis) Labour force participation rate of MESC-born persons (left axis) Labour force participation rate of OTMESC-born persons (left axis) Unemployment rate of Australia-born persons (right axis) Unemployment rate of MESC-born persons (right axis) Unemployment rate of OTMESC-born persons (right axis) MESC: Main English Speaking Countries2 OTMESC: Other Than Main English Speaking Countries Source: ABS, Labour Force, Australia, Detailed - Electronic Delivery, February 2018, ABS Cat. No. 6291.0.55.001. 2 MESC are the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, South Africa, Canada, the United States of America and New Zealand. Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 2
Figure 4 below shows unemployment rates (average of the last 12 months to February 2018) for people resident in Australia born in major country groups (subcontinent). People born in North-West Europe and Southern and Eastern Europe have relatively low unemployment rates (3.9% and 4.0% respectively), while unemployment rates for people born in North Africa and the Middle East (12.0%) and Sub-Saharan Africa (7.5%) are relatively high. Figure 4: Unemployment rates (%) by major country groups (subcontinent) of birth— 12 months to February 20183 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 South-East Asia North Africa and the Middle East North-East Asia Oceania and Antarctica Australia (includes External OTMESC MESC Americas Sub-Saharan Africa Southern and Central Asia Southern and Eastern Europe North-West Europe Territories) MESC: Main English Speaking Countries OTMESC: Other Than Main English Speaking Countries Employment by Occupation4 Over the 12 months to February 2018, the largest increases in trend employment occurred for Technicians and Trades Workers (up 90 000), Professionals (up 86 800) and Community and Personal Service Workers (up 76 800). Trend employment growth rates in descending skill order are shown in Table 1 below. Table 1: Trend employment growth by occupation—12 months to February 2018 Occupational Group 1 Year Change (’000 persons) 1 Year Change (%) Managers -18.2 -1.2 Professionals 86.8 3.0 Technicians and Trades Workers 90.0 5.3 Community and Personal Service Workers 76.8 6.1 Clerical and Administrative Workers -6.3 -0.4 Sales Workers 63.9 5.8 Machinery Operators and Drivers 63.9 8.3 Labourers 13.7 1.1 Additional information on occupational groups is provided in the following section on internet vacancy trends. 3 From October 2015, Figure 3 of the Australian Labour Market Update uses major country groups (subcontinent) of birth data from the Standard Australian Classification of Countries (SACC), 2011 (ABS Cat. No. 1269.0). In SACC, ‘Australia (includes External Territories)’ is included within ‘Oceania and Antarctica’. 4 This section is based on February 2018 Department of Jobs and Small Business trend data derived from ABS Labour Force Survey data. Occupational Groups are from the Australian and New Zealand Standard Classification of Occupations (ANZSCO) (ABS Cat. No. 1220.0). Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 3
Internet Vacancy Trends The Department of Jobs and Small Business produces the monthly Vacancy Report which contains the Internet Vacancy Index (IVI)5 (see Figure 5). Over the year to February 2018, the IVI (trend) increased by 10.5% with increases recorded for seven of the eight occupational groups. The largest occupational group increases were for Technicians and Trades Workers (up 16.1%), Professionals (up 13.8%) and Managers (up 12.0%). At the more detailed occupation level, vacancies increased in 41 of the 48 occupation clusters over the year to February 2018, with the strongest increases for Science Professionals and Veterinarians (up 33.5%), Engineers (up 30.2%), Automotive and Engineering Trades Workers (up 26.7%), ICT Professionals (up 25.0%) and Electrotechnology and Telecommunications Trades Workers (up 23.8%). The strongest decrease over this period was for Sales Representatives and Agents (down 6.9%). Over the year to February 2018, vacancies rose in all states and territories. The strongest rises were in WA (up 14.8%), followed by the NT (up 14.4%, albeit from a low base) and Victoria (up 13.0%). Figure 5: Internet Vacancy Index, January 2006 to February 2018 180 160 Australian Total Professionals 140 Technicians and Trades Workers 120 100 80 60 40 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10 Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13 Jan-14 Jan-15 Jan-16 Jan-17 Jan-18 Source: Department of Jobs and Small Business, Vacancy Report (March 2018), Trend Index data. Future Employment Change The Labour Market Information Portal contains information on projected future employment change over the five years to May 2022 for different occupations and industries. As there may be significant variation between and within states, information on future employment change should be used with caution. Future employment change estimates are indicative only and are intended to provide a guide to opportunities likely to be available over the five years to May 2022. It is important to note that these estimates do not provide any guidance about the number of people looking for opportunities in each occupation. As the Australian labour market can change quickly, information should be re-assessed prior to making a decision to lodge a visa application. Queries on the Australian Labour Market Update publication should be emailed to migration@jobs.gov.au. 5 See Department of Jobs and Small Business Vacancy Report (February 2018 and (for Figure 5) March 2018). The IVI is based on a count of online job advertisements newly lodged on SEEK, CareerOne and Australian JobSearch during the month. Duplicate advertisements are removed before IVI vacancies are coded by the now Department of Jobs and Small Business (former Department of Employment) to occupations based on ANZSCO. The data are seasonally adjusted and trended, then indexed (January 2006=100). Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 4
Au stralian Govern ment, Depart ment of Job s and Sm all Bu sin ess April 2018 Australian Labour Market Update HOT TOPIC HOT TOPIC Australia—States and Territories This Hot Topic focuses on the Australian states and territories (the States), and provides an overview of the Australian population, its regional distribution and relative economic performance. It is an annual publication included in the April edition of the Australian Labour Market Update. Unless otherwise stated, data are from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Labour Force Survey, February 2018. The Australian Population Australia’s population is concentrated in New South Wales (NSW) and Victoria (with 32.0% and 25.7% of the total population respectively). The States which experienced the strongest population growth over the 12 months to 30 June 2017 were Victoria (up 2.3%), the Australian Capital Territory (ACT, up 1.7%), Queensland (up 1.6%) and NSW (up 1.6%). The Northern Territory (NT) experienced the weakest growth (0.1%). Table A: Distribution of the Australian Resident Population at 30 June 2017* NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT AUST Population 7 861 068 6 323 606 4 928 457 1 723 548 2 580 354 520 877 246 105 410 301 24 598 933 Share of Australian 32.0 25.7 20.0 7.0 10.5 2.1 1.0 1.7 100.0 Population (%) Population growth (%)** 1.6 2.3 1.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.7 1.6 Capital City (%) 65.3 76.7 48.9 77.4 79.2 43.6 59.6 100.0 67.3 Balance of State (%) 34.7 23.3 51.1 22.6 20.8 56.4 40.4 0.0 32.7 * Estimated resident population at 30 June 2017 is preliminary. ** Percentage growth in the 12 months from 30 June 2016 to 30 June 2017. Estimated resident population at 30 June 2016 is preliminary rebased (based on the results of the 2016 Census). Source: ABS (2018), Australian Demographic Statistics, September Quarter 2017, ABS Cat. No. 3101.0; and ABS (2018), Regional Population Growth, Australia, 2016-17, ABS Cat. No. 3218.0. State and Territory Employment Figure A: Employment by State/Territory (trend), Figure B: Employment for Skilled Occupations by February 2017 and February 2018 State/Territory, February 2017 and February 2018 5000 2500 February 2017 February 2017 4000 2000 February 2018 February 2018 '000 persons '000 persons 3000 1500 2000 1000 1000 500 0 0 QLD QLD SA SA TAS VIC TAS VIC WA WA NSW NSW ACT ACT NT NT Trend employment increased in Queensland (up 4.6%), the ACT (up 4.1%), NSW (up 3.7%), Victoria (up 2.7%), Tasmania (up 2.5%), Western Australia (WA, up 2.4%) and South Australia (SA, up 2.0%) over the 12 months to February 2018. Trend employment fell in the NT (down 2.9%). See Figure A.1 Figure B shows NSW (2.07 million), Victoria (1.67 million) and Queensland (1.15 million) employ the largest number of workers in skilled occupations2 (Managers, Professionals, and Technicians and Trades Workers) (trend data). The ACT recorded the strongest employment growth in skilled occupations (up 12.8%), followed by NSW (up 4.0%) and WA (up 3.7%) over the 12 months to February 2018.3 1 This paragraph, Figure A and the State and Territory Labour Force section use trend data from the ABS’ Labour Force, Australia, March 2018 (ABS Cat. No. 6202.0) time series spreadsheets. 2 ANZSCO Major Groups 1 to 3 includes most occupations where the indicative skill level for employment in the Australian labour market is aligned to an Australian Qualifications Framework Certificate III (including at least two years of on-the-job training) or higher qualification. 3 This paragraph and Figure B are based on February 2018 Department of Jobs and Small Business trend data derived from ABS Labour Force Survey data. Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 Hot Topic 1
State and Territory Labour Force The labour force participation rate is calculated by expressing the labour force as a percentage of the civilian population aged 15 and over. The labour force is based on employed persons plus unemployed persons. Over the 12 months to February 2018, the labour force participation rate for Australia (trend data) increased by Figure C: Labour force participation rates (trend) 0.9 percentage points to 65.6% (see Figure C). The ACT by State (%) and Queensland recorded the largest increases in the 80 participation rate over this period (2.0 and 1.7 percentage points respectively), with the NT recording the largest 70 decrease (1.8 percentage points). 60 50 Full-time employment (trend data) increased by 3.6% while part-time employment also increased by 2.6%. 40 30 Male full-time employment (trend data) increased by 2.6% while female full-time employment increased by 5.4%. Male 20 part-time employment increased by 2.4% while female part- 10 time employment increased by 2.7%. 0 TAS NT NSW ACT AUST VIC WA SA QLD February 2017 February 2018 Industry by State and Territory Table B below shows the industry share of total employment in each State (original data). It shows the ACT (27.5%) and the NT (13.5%) have a relatively large proportion of employed persons in Public Administration and Safety; WA (6.8%) in Mining; the ACT (12.0%) and Victoria (9.4%) in Professional, Scientific and Technical Services; NSW (4.6%) in Financial and Insurance Services; and Victoria (8.9%) and SA (8.0%) in Manufacturing. The industries that employ the largest number of persons in Australia are Health Care and Social Assistance (13.6%) followed by Retail Trade (10.5%) and Construction (9.6%). Table B: Employment Distribution by Industry and State/Territory to February 2018 (% of persons) Industry NSW VIC QLD SA WA TAS NT ACT AUST Agriculture, Forestry and Fishing 1.8 2.7 2.6 5.3 3.2 5.3 1.6 0.2* 2.6 Mining 1.0 0.4 2.4 1.1 6.8 1.9 3.3 0.0* 1.8 Manufacturing 6.7 8.9 6.8 8.0 5.7 7.5 3.3 1.8 7.2 Electricity, Gas, Water and Waste 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.2 Services Construction 10.0 9.2 9.7 7.9 10.6 8.8 10.1 6.4 9.6 Wholesale Trade 3.2 3.3 2.7 2.9 2.7 1.7 1.5 0.8 3.0 Retail Trade 10.2 11.1 10.8 11.0 9.1 11.7 8.6 7.7 10.5 Accommodation and Food Services 7.0 7.2 7.2 6.3 7.1 7.6 6.8 7.3 7.1 Transport, Postal and Warehousing 5.3 5.3 5.9 4.9 4.6 4.4 5.5 2.2 5.2 Information Media and 2.3 1.8 1.1 1.6 1.2 1.6 1.1 2.1 1.7 Telecommunications Financial and Insurance Services 4.6 3.7 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.3 1.5 3.4 Rental, Hiring and Real Estate 1.9 1.6 2.1 1.7 1.5 1.6 1.7 0.8 1.8 Services Professional, Scientific and 9.3 9.4 6.6 6.1 6.9 4.5 4.7 12.0 8.2 Technical Services Administrative and Support 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.0 2.8 3.7 3.0 3.3 Services Public Administration and Safety 4.8 4.5 5.8 6.7 6.0 6.1 13.5 27.5 5.7 Education and Training 8.4 8.3 8.1 7.1 8.8 7.8 8.8 8.8 8.3 Health Care and Social Assistance 13.3 12.5 14.8 16.1 12.5 15.3 15.6 11.0 13.6 Arts and Recreation Services 1.9 2.1 1.8 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.1 2.4 2.0 Other Services 4.0 3.9 4.4 4.5 4.1 4.5 4.3 3.3 4.1 Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Source: ABS, Labour Force, Australia, Detailed, Quarterly, Cat. No. 6291.0.55.003, trend data. The State-level data are trended by the Department of Jobs and Small Business. The Australia-level data are trended by the ABS. * This estimate may be subject to high sampling variability. Australian Labour Market Update—April 2018 Hot Topic 2
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