Asset Managers Have Stable Outlook With Risks Balanced For 2021 - Asset Manager Outlook 2021
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Elizabeth Campbell Asset Managers Have Stable Outlook Sean C. Tillman, CFA Brian Estiz, CFA With Risks Balanced For 2021 Jenny Panger, CFA Nigel Greenwood January 15, 2021 Asset Manager Outlook 2021
Key Takeaways – Our outlook on both the traditional and alternative asset managers is stable. – We return to a stable outlook (from negative) on the traditional asset managers after two years that saw 19 negative rating actions, meaning negative outlook, or downgrade, out of 32 negative rating actions and 48 total rating actions. Alternative asset managers saw 10 negative rating actions while investment holding companies rounded out the difference. – We continue to believe that alternative asset managers are better positioned vis-à-vis their traditional peers. That said, we expect the traditional asset managers credit risk to be more balanced over 2021 as accommodative monetary and fiscal policy offsets some of the industry headwinds. Our current ratings incorporate these more balanced conditions and should result in a more equal distribution of upgrades and downgrades over the year. – Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) remain a focal point. 2020 saw a series of large acquisition announcements, both within the sector and involving banks and insurance companies. While the size of the deals may taper, we expect M&A to be a key strategy in the sector as firms reach for greater scale, capital, and capabilities. – In the U.S., which represents the largest pool of assets under management (AUM) and where the majority of ratings are based, S&P Global Economists expect a 4.2% U.S. real GDP rebound in 2021, after a 3.9% contraction in 2020. U.S. unemployment is forecasted to decline to 6.4% by the end of 2021, after ending 2020 at 8.3%. The Fed Funds rate is expected to be zero bound at least until 2023, while 10-year Treasuries are expected to climb to 2% over the same period, 90 basis points (bps) from current levels. The average S&P 500 value is projected to be approximately 3500. Ongoing fiscal support underpins these assumptions, so the backdrop could be volatile. 2
Global Asset Managers 2020 Rating Actions Company Date Rating/Outlook Actions CI Financial Corp. December 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB' Vida Capital, Inc. December 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'B' Edelman Financial Center, LLC November 2020 Outlook revised to Stable from Negative at 'B' Icahn Enterprises L.P. November 2020 Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Negative TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC November 2020 Downgraded to 'CCC+'; Outlook Stable Eaton Vance Corp October 2020 Outlook revised to CreditWatch Developing from Stable at 'A-' StepStone Group Inc. September 2020 Upgraded to 'BB+'; Outlook Stable StepStone Group Inc. September 2020 'BB' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Positive CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A. August 2020 Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Negative Legg Mason, Inc. July 2020 Upgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable Sculptor Capital Management, Inc. July 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-' KKR & Co. Inc. July 2020 'A' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Negative Apollo Global Management, Inc. June 2020 Downgraded to 'A-'; Outlook Stable Franklin Resources, Inc. May 2020 Downgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC May 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Positive at 'B+' CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A. April 2020 Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BB+' Icahn Enterprises L.P. March 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB+' Intermediate Capital Group plc March 2020 Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BBB-' FinCo I LLC March 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB' Focus Financial Partners, LLC March 2020 Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BB-' Lazard Group LLC March 2020 Downgraded to 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable First Eagle Investment Management, LLC March 2020 Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Stable CI Financial Corp. March 2020 Downgraded to 'BBB'; Outlook Stable Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd. March 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-' TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC March 2020 Downgraded to 'B'; Outlook Negative Resolute Investment Managers, Inc. March 2020 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'B+' Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. February 2020 Downgraded to 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable Legg Mason Inc. February 2020 'BBB' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Developing 3
Global Asset Managers 2019 Rating Actions Company Date Rating/Outlook Actions Intermediate Capital Group plc December 2019 Outlook revised to Positive at 'BBB-' Guangzhou Industrial Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd. December 2019 Downgraded to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB+’, Outlook revised to Stable from Negative CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A. November 2019 Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BB+' FIL Ltd. October 2019 Downgraded to 'BBB' On Demerger of Investment Arm Franklin Resources, Inc. October 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A+' Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. October 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A-' Vida Capital Inc. September 2019 Assigned 'B' Rating; Outlook Stable Nuveen Finance, LLC August 2019 Upgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable Noah Holdings Ltd. July 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB-' Lazard Group LLC July 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A-' First Eagle Investment Management LLC July 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB+' Tortoise Parent Holdco May 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-' Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. May 2019 Downgraded to 'BB-' from 'BB'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative Focus Financial Partners, LLC May 2019 Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BB-' EIG Management Company, LLC April 2019 Downgraded to 'BB' from 'BB+'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative Legg Mason, Inc. April 2019 Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BBB' CIFC LLC March 2019 Upgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Stable BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. March 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB-' CI Financial Corp. February 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB+' Apollo Global Management, Inc. February 2019 Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A' 4
Key Takeaways - Traditionals – We return to a stable outlook on the traditional asset managers after placing the sector on negative at the beginning of 2019. – Our stable outlook reflects the belief that, over the next year, prolonged industry headwinds will be roughly offset by elevated asset prices, supporting AUM levels, and margins. Given the numerous (largely negative) rating actions we have taken over the past two years, we believe that our ratings, at lower levels from two years ago for many, are well positioned to see balanced rating actions this year given our current view of the industry risks and rewards. – To be clear, we do not expect the decades long headwinds to the traditional asset managers to wane in 2021. Our view still incorporates a further shift to passive investing, contributing to fee compression and outflows. Heightened volatility should be a tailwind to active strategies, particularly equity, but so far remains elusive. However, we view these headwinds as mostly offset by global central banks’ support to markets. 5
Key Takeaways - Alternatives – We maintain our stable outlook on the alternative asset managers, which we initially assigned in 2020. – Like last year, we continue to believe that alternative asset managers are less exposed to many of the challenges facing the traditional managers since their AUM is largely locked-up and strategies are harder to index. Alternative asset managers have seen significant net inflows as a result of good investment returns and general expansion-- both in size of average fund and broadening platforms. – Our areas of focus for 2021 include realization activity and investment performance, both of which may be under pressure due to the macroeconomic backdrop. Furthermore, 2020 witnessed strong capital deployment and we will be monitoring if the pace can continue in 2021. Finally, we believe fundraising will be mixed. Distressed related strategies could witness robust inflows while those focused on niche areas, such as energy, could face tougher sledding. – Alternative asset managers partnering with, merging with, or acquiring insurance companies could continue as alternative asset managers seek to diversify their client base and look for additional permanent sources of capital and consequently revenues. 6
Industry – Specific Items We Are Monitoring – We believe that there are several focal points for active management: performance, lowering leverage, M&A, and environmental, social, and governance (ESG). – Performance has been elusive while the shift to passive has pressured fees and fund flows. With both monetary and fiscal policy supporting markets, beta has eclipsed alpha for over the past decade, providing a strong boost to passive strategies. – Few companies have repaid debt over the past several years; instead, they have relied on market appreciation to lower leverage on their balance sheets. Given the market drawdown in March 2020, we witnessed how ephemeral EBITDA can be in times of market volatility. Consequently, lowering leverage through repayment will be focal. – The industry has seen strong M&A activity in recent years, and we expect this trend to continue. Although we expect consolidation within the industry, cross-sector activity may grow. We have seen banks acquiring asset managers to diversify their income stream and offset spread compression. Moreover, we could see additional alternative asset managers combine with insurance companies or seek to expand their existing insurance businesses through reinsurance or bolt-on investment activity. – We expect increased focus on ESG factors in response to evolving investor preferences and public interest. Many asset managers have addressed this at a company level through board or employee diversity initiatives, as well as at an investment level through ESG focused funds and ESG ratings on existing investments. 7
Company – Specific Items We Are Monitoring Rating actions will continue to be idiosyncratic as different companies will be better able to navigate the headwinds – Given ratings positioning, markets levels, and improving leverage we could see some ratings upside over 2021. That said, we view lowering leverage through debt repayments as a strong catalyst for financial profile improvement versus lowering leverage through rising EBITDA, which may prove less sustainable through a market cycle. – The need for scale, broader capabilities, and client portfolio customization has been a key driver for recent M&A activity. Depending upon how they are financed and executed, ratings could be affected. – Larger asset managers are seeing increased scrutiny around their investment stewardship practices. ESG investment products are an increasing focal point. – For companies with key-person risk, management transition remains a credit consideration. – Some asset managers have large cash balances. Because we net surplus cash from funded debt in our view of leverage, projections of how and when this cash is deployed could affect our view of leverage. – Share repurchases and debt-funded dividend activity, although not widespread, could erode liquidity and increase leverage. 8
Rating And Outlook Snapshot Ratings Distribution AA- A+ A A- BBB+ BBB BBB- BB+ BB BB- B+ B CCC+ 2% 4% 18% 10% 14% 6% 10% 6% 14% 8% 4% 4% 2% Outlook Distribution 2% 2% Stable 22% Positive Negative 2% CW Negative 73% CW Developing As of Jan 15, 2021. Includes asset managers and investment holding companies. 9
Traditional Asset Managers Credit Overview Our credit outlook for traditional asset managers is stable. Key rating factors: – Mixed investment performance of active managers (particularly in equities) relative to benchmarks – Passive offerings continue to gain market share – Fee pressure for active managers driven by growth of passive strategies – Redemption risk, as AUM is not locked-in – Exposure to fluctuations in financial markets absent organic growth – Potential for outsized (e.g., relative to free-cash-flow) share repurchases and dividends Mitigating factors: – As central banks’ support to the markets appears set to persist, we see ongoing AUM resilience in 2021 – Few maturities coming due in 2021 – Highly flexible operating structure along with financial policy flexibility – Low interest rates and strong appetite for debt facilitate easier refinancing – Ratings positioning adequately captures the risks of the traditional sector, in our view Outlook triggers: – We could consider a more positive view of the sector if we see improving investment performance and organic growth and debt repayment – Conversely, sustained and prolonged market declines, debt-fueled M&A or capital distributions, or significantly weaker operating performance or net flows could cause us to revert to a more negative view of the sector 10
Alternative Asset Managers Credit Overview Our credit outlook for alternative asset managers is stable. Key rating factors: – Credit metrics for alternative asset managers, while largely stable, are unlikely to strengthen. – Realization activity should increase in 2021, as the macroeconomic backdrop is now supportive. – The investment landscape remains very competitive, and AUM growth this cycle is reflected in larger fund sizes and newer strategies that may not have seasoned track records. – Fee-related earnings, fee-generation prospects (growth in capital not yet earning fees), and earnings mix toward more stable sources (management fees versus performance fees) provide visibility into future earnings. – Liquidity for many is very high, but prospects are uncertain regarding ultimate deployment. – Investors or regulators could bring more attention to return disclosures. Positive outlook trigger: – A larger portion of fee-related earnings, strong investment performance, and relatively conservative financial policies would be considerations for a more favorable view of the sector. Negative outlook trigger: – Protracted severe market dislocation could quickly pressure EBITDA and, ultimately, leverage. Increasingly, shareholder- friendly financial policies could weaken financial profiles. Stumbles in newer strategies or riskier investment pursuits pose risks as well. 11
M&A Landscape Shifts M&A activity in the asset manager space has shifted from mergers among asset managers to cross-sector transactions with insurance companies and banks – with mixed rating outcomes resulting to date – We believe that cost-savings-driven “mergers of equals” among asset managers may be less common in the current environment, particularly if executed among asset managers with consecutive years of negative net flows. – Strategic combinations, however, that bolster capabilities are likely to accelerate. And as these tend to be bolt-on in nature and smaller in size and cost, they are therefore less likely to result in a rating action. – Strategic relationships between asset managers and insurance companies flourished as yield-seeking insurance companies (particularly those that sell long-tailed annuity products) paired up with asset managers with a goal to generate higher returns for their assets in a low interest rate environment. – In return, asset managers benefit from the steady asset management fees from perpetual capital. Asset managers can also benefit economically from potential performance fees on those assets that are invested in their alternative funds. – For banks, the interest in asset managers in recent transactions has been focused on expanding distribution capabilities and higher-growth product offerings such as ESG or custom-index related, for example. Asset management business has appeal as providing comparatively stable fees and low capital charges. Rating actions on acquirers in 2020 were largely neutral, although we lowered ratings or outlooks on acquirers that financed transactions with a combination of debt or cash that ultimately resulted in higher net leverage post-combination. 12
Industry Headwinds Remain Unabated U.S. Equity Cumulative Flows Cumulative active flow Cumulative passive flow Cumulative passive ETF – Capital is being allocated from active 2,500 domestic equity toward passive 2,000 products 1,500 1,000 – Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) 500 dominate this shift 0 – Low or no fees, as well as performance, (500) have been key drivers Bil $ (1,000) (1,500) – Active managers have largely been (2,000) unable to consistently outperform net (2,500) (3,000) of fees 12/31/2006 12/31/2007 12/31/2008 12/31/2009 12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 12/31/2013 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 12/31/2016 12/31/2017 12/31/2018 12/31/2019 Source: Investment Company Institute 13
Fee And Cost Pressure Continues U.S. Mutual Fund Expense Ratios Equity Hybrid Bond Money market – Traditional asset managers have faced 1.20 significant fee pressures from the shift to passive. 1.00 – Alternative asset managers are less exposed to fee pressure. However, they 0.80 may experience average lower fees if they offer discounts to large investors. 0.60 – Traditional asset managers’ revenues 0.40 are highly correlated to market values. In contrast, alternatives benefit from 0.20 fees earned based on committed or invested capital, which is not sensitive 0.00 to market values. 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Prequin. 14
Alternatives Continue To Grow Benefiting From Strong Investor Appetite Private equity Real estate Infrastructure Private debt Natural resources – The search for yield is one driver of the growth in AUM allocated to alternative 5,000 investments. 4,500 – Fees for this asset class are less 4,000 subject to pressure because of the 3,500 complexity of replicating these 3,000 strategies in passive vehicles. (Bil. $) 2,500 – Competition for good deployment 2,000 opportunities is growing as alternative 1,500 asset managers broaden capabilities. 1,000 500 0 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 Dec-14 Dec-15 Dec-16 Dec-17 Dec-18 Dec-19 Source: Prequin. 15
Ratings Most At Risk Global Asset Managers and Holding Companies Long-term issuer credit Performance fee Forward downside Company Equity oriented Speculative grade 2020 estimated leverage rating/outlook oriented trigger BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. BBB-/Negative X 1.8-2.2 2 CI Financial Corp. BBB/Negative 2.0-3.0 3 Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC B+/Negative X 40%-45%* 45%* CORESTATE Capital Holding S.A. BB/Negative X X 5.5-6.0 3.5 FinCo I LLC BB/Negative X X 4.0-5.0 5 Hunt Companies Inc. BB-/Negative X 25%-30%* 30%* Icahn Enterprises L.P. BB/Negative X 50%-65%* 60%* KKR & Co. Inc. A/CWNegative X 1.0-2.0 1.75 Noah Holdings Ltd. BBB-/Negative X 0 1.5 Resolute Investment Managers, Inc. B+/Negative X X 4.9-5.3 5 Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd. BB-/Negative X X 4.5-5.5 5 Vida Capital, Inc. B/Negative X 4.5-5.5 5 *LTV ratio – We view these ratings at risk because of rising leverage, either through additional debt or weaker performance, significant net outflows, or a risk of downgrading at the parent operating company. – Although not (yet) included on this list, we consider those traditional asset managers with persistent sizeable net outflows as potentially vulnerable to negative outlook or rating actions longer-term. – Valuations across asset classes and geographies are extremely elevated by historical standards over a multitude of metrics. Systemic (i.e., beta) changes in investor risk appetites could bring about a swift decline in asset prices, providing a catalyst for ratings actions. – Regulation is increasing globally on average; however, changes in the regulatory landscape remains an idiosyncratic risk among countries. 16
Traditional Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments Business Risk Financial Risk Capital Management & Company Final Anchor Financial Policy Liquidity Peer Adjustment SACP Group Status ICR Outlook Profile Profile Structure Governance Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. Satisfactory Intermediate bbb Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Favorable bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Strategically AllianceBernstein L.P. Satisfactory Minimal a Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Neutral a A Stable important BlackRock, Inc. Strong Minimal aa- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Strong Neutral aa- Not applicable AA- Stable BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. Fair Modest bbb- Neutral Neutral Strong Fair Neutral bbb- Not applicable BBB- Negative CI Financial Corp. Satisfactory Intermediate bbb Neutral Neutral Adequate Satisfactory Neutral bbb Not applicable BBB Negative Clipper Acquisitions Corp. Fair Intermediate bb+ Neutral Neutral Exceptional Fair Neutral bb+ Not applicable BB+ Stable Eaton Vance Corp. Satisfactory Minimal a- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral a- Not applicable A- C.W. Dev First Eagle Investment Management, Inc. Fair Aggressive bb- Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Favorable bb Not applicable BB Stable FIL Ltd. Satisfactory Intermediate bbb Neutral Neutral Exceptional Fair Neutral bbb Not applicable BBB Stable FMR LLC Strong Minimal aa- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Fair Neutral a+ Not applicable A+ Stable Franklin Resources Inc. Satisfactory Minimal a Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral a Not applicable A Stable GAMCO Investors Inc. Weak Minimal bb+ Neutral Neutral Strong Fair Favorable bbb- Not applicable BBB- Stable Moderately IGM Financial Inc. Satisfactory Modest bbb+ Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Favorable a- A Stable stategic Invesco Ltd. Satisfactory Intermediate bbb Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Favorable bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Janus Henderson Group PLC Fair Minimal bbb Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Favorable bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Lazard Group LLC Satisfactory Modest bbb+ Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Neuberger Berman Group LLC Satisfactory Modest bbb+ Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Strategically Nuveen Finance LLC Satisfactory Significant bb+ Neutral Neutral Adequate Fair Favorable bbb- A Stable important Resolute Investment Managers, Inc. Weak Aggressive b+ Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Neutral b+ Not applicable B+ Negative Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd. Fair Aggressive bb- Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Neutral bb- Not applicable BB- Negative Standard Life Aberdeen PLC Satisfactory Minimal a- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral a- Not applicable A- Stable TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC Vulnerable Highly leveraged b- Neutral FS-6 Adequate Fair Neutral b- Not applicable CCC+ Stable Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. Fair Aggressive bb- Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Neutral bb- Not applicable BB- Stable Virtus Investment Partners Inc. Weak Intermediate bb Neutral Neutral Strong Fair Neutral bb Not applicable BB Positive Waddell & Reed Financial Inc. Weak Minimal bb+ Neutral Neutral Strong Fair Favorable bbb- Not applicable BBB- Stable 17
Alternative Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments Business Risk Financial Risk Capital Management & Company Final Anchor Financial Policy Liquidity Peer Adjustment SACP Group Status ICR Outlook Profile Profile Structure Governance Apollo Global Management, Inc. Satisfactory Modest bbb+ Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Favorable a- Not applicable A- Stable Ares Management Corp. Satisfactory Modest bbb+ Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Neutral bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Blackstone Group Inc. Strong Minimal aa- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Strong Unfavorable a+ Not applicable A+ Stable Brookfield Asset Management Inc. Strong Intermediate bbb+ Positive Neutral Exceptional Strong Neutral a- Not applicable A- Stable Citadel Limited Partnership Fair Modest bbb- Neutral Neutral Adequate Satisfactory Favorable bbb Not applicable BBB Stable EIG Management Co. LLC Fair Significant bb Neutral Neutral Adequate Fair Neutral bb Not applicable BB Stable FinCo I LLC Fair Aggressive bb- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Fair Neutral bb- Moderately strategic BB Negative Franklin Square Holdings LP Fair Intermediate bb+ Neutral Neutral Adequate Fair Unfavorable bb Not applicable BB Stable Intermediate Capital Group PLC Satisfactory Intermediate bbb- Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Neutral bbb- Not applicable BBB- Stable KKR & Co Inc. Satisfactory Minimal a Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral a Not applicable A C.W. Neg Oaktree Capital Group LLC Satisfactory Minimal a- Neutral Neutral Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral a- Moderately strategic A- Stable The Carlyle Group Inc. Satisfactory Intermediate bbb Neutral Neutral Exceptional Fair Favorable bbb+ Not applicable BBB+ Stable Vida Capital, Inc. Weak Aggressive b+ Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Unfavorable b Not applicable B Negative Other Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments Business Risk Financial Risk Capital Management & Company Final Anchor Financial Policy Liquidity Peer Adjustment SACP Group Status ICR Outlook Profile Profile Structure Governance AssetMark Financial Holdings Inc. Fair Minimal bbb- Neutral Negative Adequate Fair Neutral bb Moderately strategic BB+ Stable China Jianyin Investment Ltd. (JIC) Fair Minimal bbb Neutral Negative Adequate Fair Neutral bb+ Not applicable A Stable CORESTATE Capital Holding S.A. Fair Significant bb Neutral Neutral Adequate Fair Neutral bb Not applicable BB Negative Focus Financial Partners LLC Fair Aggressive bb- Neutral FS-5 Adequate Fair Neutral bb- Not applicable BB- Stable Noah Holdings Ltd. Fair Minimal bbb- Neutral Neutral Strong Satisfactory Neutral bbb- Not applicable BBB- Negative The Edelman Financial Center, LLC Fair Highly leveraged b Neutral FS-6 Adequate Fair Neutral b Not applicable B Stable Zhongrong International Trust Co. Ltd. Fair Minimal bbb Neutral Negative Strong Weak Neutral bb Not applicable BB+ Stable 18
Investment Holding Companies (IHCs) Rating Factor Assessments Business Risk Financial Risk Management & Company Final Anchor Liquidity Peer Adjustment Group Status ICR Outlook Profile Profile Governance Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC Vulnerable Significant b+ Adequate Fair Neutral Not applicable B+ Negative E-L Financial Corporation Limited Satisfactory Minimal a Exceptional Satisfactory Neutral Not applicable A Stable Hunt Companies Inc. Weak Intermediate bb Adequate Fair Negative Not applicable BB- Negative Icahn Enterprises L.P. Fair Aggressive bb- Adequate Fair Positive Not applicable BB Negative Loews Corporation Satisfactory Minimal a- Exceptional Satisfactory Positive Not applicable A Stable 19
Analytical Contacts Elizabeth Campbell Sean C. Tillman, CFA Director Associate Director elizabeth.campbell@spglobal.com sean.tillman@spglobal.com +1-212-438-2415 +1-347-603-5262 Brian Estiz, CFA Jennifer Panger, CFA Associate Director Associate brian.estiz@spglobal.com jennifer.panger@spglobal.com +1-212-438-3735 +1-212-438-2276 Nigel Greenwood Director nigel.greenwood@spglobal.com +44-207-176-1066 20
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