Asset Managers Have Stable Outlook With Risks Balanced For 2021 - Asset Manager Outlook 2021

Page created by Angel Ortega
 
CONTINUE READING
Elizabeth Campbell

Asset Managers Have Stable Outlook   Sean C. Tillman, CFA
                                     Brian Estiz, CFA

With Risks Balanced For 2021         Jenny Panger, CFA
                                     Nigel Greenwood
                                     January 15, 2021
Asset Manager Outlook 2021
Key Takeaways
– Our outlook on both the traditional and alternative asset managers is stable.
– We return to a stable outlook (from negative) on the traditional asset managers after two years that saw 19 negative
  rating actions, meaning negative outlook, or downgrade, out of 32 negative rating actions and 48 total rating actions.
  Alternative asset managers saw 10 negative rating actions while investment holding companies rounded out the
  difference.
– We continue to believe that alternative asset managers are better positioned vis-à-vis their traditional peers. That
  said, we expect the traditional asset managers credit risk to be more balanced over 2021 as accommodative
  monetary and fiscal policy offsets some of the industry headwinds. Our current ratings incorporate these more
  balanced conditions and should result in a more equal distribution of upgrades and downgrades over the year.
– Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) remain a focal point. 2020 saw a series of large acquisition announcements, both
  within the sector and involving banks and insurance companies. While the size of the deals may taper, we expect
  M&A to be a key strategy in the sector as firms reach for greater scale, capital, and capabilities.
– In the U.S., which represents the largest pool of assets under management (AUM) and where the majority of ratings
  are based, S&P Global Economists expect a 4.2% U.S. real GDP rebound in 2021, after a 3.9% contraction in 2020.
  U.S. unemployment is forecasted to decline to 6.4% by the end of 2021, after ending 2020 at 8.3%. The Fed Funds
  rate is expected to be zero bound at least until 2023, while 10-year Treasuries are expected to climb to 2% over the
  same period, 90 basis points (bps) from current levels. The average S&P 500 value is projected to be approximately
  3500. Ongoing fiscal support underpins these assumptions, so the backdrop could be volatile.

                                                                                                                           2
Global Asset Managers 2020 Rating Actions
Company                                  Date             Rating/Outlook Actions
CI Financial Corp.                       December 2020    Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB'
Vida Capital, Inc.                       December 2020    Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'B'
Edelman Financial Center, LLC            November 2020    Outlook revised to Stable from Negative at 'B'
Icahn Enterprises L.P.                   November 2020    Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Negative
TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC         November 2020    Downgraded to 'CCC+'; Outlook Stable
Eaton Vance Corp                         October 2020     Outlook revised to CreditWatch Developing from Stable at 'A-'
StepStone Group Inc.                     September 2020   Upgraded to 'BB+'; Outlook Stable
StepStone Group Inc.                     September 2020   'BB' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Positive
CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A.          August 2020      Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Negative
Legg Mason, Inc.                         July 2020        Upgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable
Sculptor Capital Management, Inc.        July 2020        Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-'
KKR & Co. Inc.                           July 2020        'A' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Negative
Apollo Global Management, Inc.           June 2020        Downgraded to 'A-'; Outlook Stable
Franklin Resources, Inc.                 May 2020         Downgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable
Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC   May 2020         Outlook revised to Negative from Positive at 'B+'
CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A.          April 2020       Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BB+'
Icahn Enterprises L.P.                   March 2020       Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB+'
Intermediate Capital Group plc           March 2020       Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BBB-'
FinCo I LLC                              March 2020       Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB'
Focus Financial Partners, LLC            March 2020       Outlook revised to Stable from Positive at 'BB-'
Lazard Group LLC                         March 2020       Downgraded to 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable
First Eagle Investment Management, LLC   March 2020       Downgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Stable
CI Financial Corp.                       March 2020       Downgraded to 'BBB'; Outlook Stable
Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd.   March 2020       Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-'
TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC         March 2020       Downgraded to 'B'; Outlook Negative
Resolute Investment Managers, Inc.       March 2020       Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'B+'
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.          February 2020    Downgraded to 'BBB+'; Outlook Stable
Legg Mason Inc.                          February 2020    'BBB' Ratings Placed on CreditWatch Developing

                                                                                                                          3
Global Asset Managers 2019 Rating Actions
Company                                                     Date             Rating/Outlook Actions

Intermediate Capital Group plc                              December 2019    Outlook revised to Positive at 'BBB-'
Guangzhou Industrial Investment Fund Management Co., Ltd.   December 2019    Downgraded to ‘BBB’ from ‘BBB+’, Outlook revised to Stable from Negative
CORESTATE Capital Holdings S.A.                             November 2019    Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BB+'
FIL Ltd.                                                    October 2019     Downgraded to 'BBB' On Demerger of Investment Arm
Franklin Resources, Inc.                                    October 2019     Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A+'
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.                             October 2019     Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A-'
Vida Capital Inc.                                           September 2019   Assigned 'B' Rating; Outlook Stable
Nuveen Finance, LLC                                         August 2019      Upgraded to 'A'; Outlook Stable
Noah Holdings Ltd.                                          July 2019        Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB-'
Lazard Group LLC                                            July 2019        Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A-'
First Eagle Investment Management LLC                       July 2019        Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB+'
Tortoise Parent Holdco                                      May 2019         Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BB-'
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.                              May 2019         Downgraded to 'BB-' from 'BB'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative
Focus Financial Partners, LLC                               May 2019         Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BB-'
EIG Management Company, LLC                                 April 2019       Downgraded to 'BB' from 'BB+'; Outlook revised to Stable from Negative
Legg Mason, Inc.                                            April 2019       Outlook revised to Positive from Stable at 'BBB'
CIFC LLC                                                    March 2019       Upgraded to 'BB'; Outlook Stable
BrightSphere Investment Group Inc.                          March 2019       Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB-'
CI Financial Corp.                                          February 2019    Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'BBB+'
Apollo Global Management, Inc.                              February 2019    Outlook revised to Negative from Stable at 'A'

                                                                                                                                                        4
Key Takeaways - Traditionals

         – We return to a stable outlook on the traditional asset managers after placing the
           sector on negative at the beginning of 2019.
         – Our stable outlook reflects the belief that, over the next year, prolonged industry
           headwinds will be roughly offset by elevated asset prices, supporting AUM levels, and
           margins. Given the numerous (largely negative) rating actions we have taken over the
           past two years, we believe that our ratings, at lower levels from two years ago for
           many, are well positioned to see balanced rating actions this year given our current
           view of the industry risks and rewards.
         – To be clear, we do not expect the decades long headwinds to the traditional asset
           managers to wane in 2021. Our view still incorporates a further shift to passive
           investing, contributing to fee compression and outflows. Heightened volatility should
           be a tailwind to active strategies, particularly equity, but so far remains elusive.
           However, we view these headwinds as mostly offset by global central banks’ support
           to markets.

                                                                                                   5
Key Takeaways - Alternatives

         – We maintain our stable outlook on the alternative asset managers, which we initially
           assigned in 2020.
         – Like last year, we continue to believe that alternative asset managers are less exposed
           to many of the challenges facing the traditional managers since their AUM is largely
           locked-up and strategies are harder to index. Alternative asset managers have seen
           significant net inflows as a result of good investment returns and general expansion--
           both in size of average fund and broadening platforms.
         – Our areas of focus for 2021 include realization activity and investment performance,
           both of which may be under pressure due to the macroeconomic backdrop.
           Furthermore, 2020 witnessed strong capital deployment and we will be monitoring if
           the pace can continue in 2021. Finally, we believe fundraising will be mixed.
           Distressed related strategies could witness robust inflows while those focused on
           niche areas, such as energy, could face tougher sledding.
         – Alternative asset managers partnering with, merging with, or acquiring insurance
           companies could continue as alternative asset managers seek to diversify their client
           base and look for additional permanent sources of capital and consequently
           revenues.

                                                                                                     6
Industry – Specific Items We Are Monitoring
 – We believe that there are several focal points for active management: performance, lowering leverage, M&A,
   and environmental, social, and governance (ESG).
 – Performance has been elusive while the shift to passive has pressured fees and fund flows. With both
   monetary and fiscal policy supporting markets, beta has eclipsed alpha for over the past decade, providing a
   strong boost to passive strategies.
 – Few companies have repaid debt over the past several years; instead, they have relied on market
   appreciation to lower leverage on their balance sheets. Given the market drawdown in March 2020, we
   witnessed how ephemeral EBITDA can be in times of market volatility. Consequently, lowering leverage
   through repayment will be focal.
 – The industry has seen strong M&A activity in recent years, and we expect this trend to continue. Although we
   expect consolidation within the industry, cross-sector activity may grow. We have seen banks acquiring asset
   managers to diversify their income stream and offset spread compression. Moreover, we could see additional
   alternative asset managers combine with insurance companies or seek to expand their existing insurance
   businesses through reinsurance or bolt-on investment activity.
 – We expect increased focus on ESG factors in response to evolving investor preferences and public interest.
   Many asset managers have addressed this at a company level through board or employee diversity
   initiatives, as well as at an investment level through ESG focused funds and ESG ratings on existing
   investments.

                                                                                                                  7
Company – Specific Items We Are Monitoring
 Rating actions will continue to be idiosyncratic as different companies will be better able to navigate
 the headwinds

– Given ratings positioning, markets levels, and improving leverage we could see some ratings upside over 2021. That
  said, we view lowering leverage through debt repayments as a strong catalyst for financial profile improvement
  versus lowering leverage through rising EBITDA, which may prove less sustainable through a market cycle.
– The need for scale, broader capabilities, and client portfolio customization has been a key driver for recent M&A
  activity. Depending upon how they are financed and executed, ratings could be affected.
– Larger asset managers are seeing increased scrutiny around their investment stewardship practices. ESG
  investment products are an increasing focal point.
– For companies with key-person risk, management transition remains a credit consideration.
– Some asset managers have large cash balances. Because we net surplus cash from funded debt in our view of
  leverage, projections of how and when this cash is deployed could affect our view of leverage.
– Share repurchases and debt-funded dividend activity, although not widespread, could erode liquidity and increase
  leverage.

                                                                                                                       8
Rating And Outlook Snapshot
Ratings Distribution

                           AA-         A+         A         A-       BBB+         BBB   BBB-   BB+     BB    BB-     B+           B   CCC+

   2% 4%                      18%                         10%                    14%      6%     10%        6%              14%          8%   4%   4% 2%

Outlook Distribution
                                               2% 2%
                                                                                                                 Stable

                                       22%                                                                       Positive

                                                                                                                 Negative
                              2%
                                                                                                                 CW Negative
                                                                73%
                                                                                                                 CW Developing

 As of Jan 15, 2021. Includes asset managers and investment holding companies.

                                                                                                                                                           9
Traditional Asset Managers Credit Overview
Our credit outlook for traditional asset managers is stable.
Key rating factors:
– Mixed investment performance of active managers (particularly in equities) relative to benchmarks
– Passive offerings continue to gain market share
– Fee pressure for active managers driven by growth of passive strategies
– Redemption risk, as AUM is not locked-in
– Exposure to fluctuations in financial markets absent organic growth
– Potential for outsized (e.g., relative to free-cash-flow) share repurchases and dividends
Mitigating factors:
– As central banks’ support to the markets appears set to persist, we see ongoing AUM resilience in 2021
– Few maturities coming due in 2021
– Highly flexible operating structure along with financial policy flexibility
– Low interest rates and strong appetite for debt facilitate easier refinancing
– Ratings positioning adequately captures the risks of the traditional sector, in our view
Outlook triggers:
– We could consider a more positive view of the sector if we see improving investment performance and organic growth and debt
   repayment
– Conversely, sustained and prolonged market declines, debt-fueled M&A or capital distributions, or significantly weaker operating
   performance or net flows could cause us to revert to a more negative view of the sector

                                                                                                                                     10
Alternative Asset Managers Credit Overview
Our credit outlook for alternative asset managers is stable.
Key rating factors:
– Credit metrics for alternative asset managers, while largely stable, are unlikely to strengthen.
– Realization activity should increase in 2021, as the macroeconomic backdrop is now supportive.
– The investment landscape remains very competitive, and AUM growth this cycle is reflected in larger fund sizes and
  newer strategies that may not have seasoned track records.
– Fee-related earnings, fee-generation prospects (growth in capital not yet earning fees), and earnings mix toward more
  stable sources (management fees versus performance fees) provide visibility into future earnings.
– Liquidity for many is very high, but prospects are uncertain regarding ultimate deployment.
– Investors or regulators could bring more attention to return disclosures.
Positive outlook trigger:
– A larger portion of fee-related earnings, strong investment performance, and relatively conservative financial policies
  would be considerations for a more favorable view of the sector.
Negative outlook trigger:
– Protracted severe market dislocation could quickly pressure EBITDA and, ultimately, leverage. Increasingly, shareholder-
  friendly financial policies could weaken financial profiles. Stumbles in newer strategies or riskier investment pursuits
  pose risks as well.

                                                                                                                             11
M&A Landscape Shifts
 M&A activity in the asset manager space has shifted from mergers among asset managers to cross-sector
 transactions with insurance companies and banks – with mixed rating outcomes resulting to date

– We believe that cost-savings-driven “mergers of equals” among asset managers may be less common in the current
  environment, particularly if executed among asset managers with consecutive years of negative net flows.
– Strategic combinations, however, that bolster capabilities are likely to accelerate. And as these tend to be bolt-on in
  nature and smaller in size and cost, they are therefore less likely to result in a rating action.
– Strategic relationships between asset managers and insurance companies flourished as yield-seeking insurance
  companies (particularly those that sell long-tailed annuity products) paired up with asset managers with a goal to
  generate higher returns for their assets in a low interest rate environment.
– In return, asset managers benefit from the steady asset management fees from perpetual capital. Asset managers can
  also benefit economically from potential performance fees on those assets that are invested in their alternative funds.
– For banks, the interest in asset managers in recent transactions has been focused on expanding distribution
  capabilities and higher-growth product offerings such as ESG or custom-index related, for example. Asset
  management business has appeal as providing comparatively stable fees and low capital charges.

Rating actions on acquirers in 2020 were largely neutral, although we lowered ratings or outlooks on acquirers that
financed transactions with a combination of debt or cash that ultimately resulted in higher net leverage post-combination.

                                                                                                                             12
Industry Headwinds Remain Unabated

U.S. Equity Cumulative Flows

                  Cumulative active flow                                           Cumulative passive flow                                     Cumulative passive ETF                                     – Capital is being allocated from active
         2,500                                                                                                                                                                                              domestic equity toward passive
         2,000                                                                                                                                                                                              products
         1,500
         1,000
                                                                                                                                                                                                          – Exchange-traded funds (ETFs)
           500                                                                                                                                                                                              dominate this shift
             0                                                                                                                                                                                            – Low or no fees, as well as performance,
          (500)
                                                                                                                                                                                                            have been key drivers
Bil $

        (1,000)
        (1,500)                                                                                                                                                                                           – Active managers have largely been
        (2,000)                                                                                                                                                                                             unable to consistently outperform net
        (2,500)
        (3,000)                                                                                                                                                                                             of fees
                  12/31/2006

                               12/31/2007

                                            12/31/2008

                                                         12/31/2009

                                                                      12/31/2010

                                                                                     12/31/2011

                                                                                                  12/31/2012

                                                                                                               12/31/2013

                                                                                                                            12/31/2014

                                                                                                                                         12/31/2015

                                                                                                                                                      12/31/2016

                                                                                                                                                                   12/31/2017

                                                                                                                                                                                12/31/2018

                                                                                                                                                                                             12/31/2019
Source: Investment Company Institute

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     13
Fee And Cost Pressure Continues

U.S. Mutual Fund Expense Ratios

                                        Equity                 Hybrid                    Bond                 Money market                                                   – Traditional asset managers have faced
 1.20                                                                                                                                                                          significant fee pressures from the shift
                                                                                                                                                                               to passive.
 1.00                                                                                                                                                                        – Alternative asset managers are less
                                                                                                                                                                               exposed to fee pressure. However, they
 0.80                                                                                                                                                                          may experience average lower fees if
                                                                                                                                                                               they offer discounts to large investors.
 0.60
                                                                                                                                                                             – Traditional asset managers’ revenues
 0.40                                                                                                                                                                          are highly correlated to market values.
                                                                                                                                                                               In contrast, alternatives benefit from
 0.20                                                                                                                                                                          fees earned based on committed or
                                                                                                                                                                               invested capital, which is not sensitive
 0.00                                                                                                                                                                          to market values.
           1997
                   1998
                          1999
                                 2000
                                        2001
                                               2002
                                                      2003
                                                             2004
                                                                    2005
                                                                           2006
                                                                                  2007
                                                                                         2008
                                                                                                2009
                                                                                                       2010
                                                                                                              2011
                                                                                                                     2012
                                                                                                                            2013
                                                                                                                                   2014
                                                                                                                                          2015
                                                                                                                                                 2016
                                                                                                                                                        2017
                                                                                                                                                               2018
                                                                                                                                                                      2019
Source: Prequin.

                                                                                                                                                                                                                          14
Alternatives Continue To Grow

Benefiting From Strong Investor Appetite
                            Private equity                 Real estate                     Infrastructure
                            Private debt                   Natural resources                                            – The search for yield is one driver of the
                                                                                                                          growth in AUM allocated to alternative
           5,000
                                                                                                                          investments.
           4,500
                                                                                                                        – Fees for this asset class are less
           4,000
                                                                                                                          subject to pressure because of the
           3,500
                                                                                                                          complexity of replicating these
           3,000                                                                                                          strategies in passive vehicles.
(Bil. $)

           2,500
                                                                                                                        – Competition for good deployment
           2,000                                                                                                          opportunities is growing as alternative
           1,500                                                                                                          asset managers broaden capabilities.
           1,000
            500
              0
                   Dec-09

                            Dec-10

                                     Dec-11

                                              Dec-12

                                                       Dec-13

                                                                Dec-14

                                                                         Dec-15

                                                                                  Dec-16

                                                                                             Dec-17

                                                                                                      Dec-18

                                                                                                               Dec-19
Source: Prequin.

                                                                                                                                                                      15
Ratings Most At Risk
Global Asset Managers and Holding Companies
                                         Long-term issuer credit                     Performance fee                                                 Forward downside
Company                                                            Equity oriented                     Speculative grade   2020 estimated leverage
                                                 rating/outlook                             oriented                                                           trigger
BrightSphere Investment Group Inc.               BBB-/Negative                  X                                                         1.8-2.2                    2
CI Financial Corp.                                BBB/Negative                                                                            2.0-3.0                    3
Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC              B+/Negative                                                       X                40%-45%*                 45%*
CORESTATE Capital Holding S.A.                      BB/Negative                                   X                   X                   5.5-6.0                  3.5
FinCo I LLC                                         BB/Negative                                   X                   X                   4.0-5.0                    5
Hunt Companies Inc.                                BB-/Negative                                                       X                25%-30%*                 30%*
Icahn Enterprises L.P.                              BB/Negative                                                       X                50%-65%*                 60%*
KKR & Co. Inc.                                    A/CWNegative                                    X                                       1.0-2.0                 1.75
Noah Holdings Ltd.                               BBB-/Negative                                                        X                         0                  1.5
Resolute Investment Managers, Inc.                  B+/Negative                 X                                     X                   4.9-5.3                    5
Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd.             BB-/Negative                 X                                     X                   4.5-5.5                    5
Vida Capital, Inc.                                   B/Negative                                                       X                   4.5-5.5                    5
*LTV ratio

– We view these ratings at risk because of rising leverage, either through additional debt or weaker performance, significant net outflows, or
  a risk of downgrading at the parent operating company.
– Although not (yet) included on this list, we consider those traditional asset managers with persistent sizeable net outflows as potentially
  vulnerable to negative outlook or rating actions longer-term.
– Valuations across asset classes and geographies are extremely elevated by historical standards over a multitude of metrics. Systemic
  (i.e., beta) changes in investor risk appetites could bring about a swift decline in asset prices, providing a catalyst for ratings actions.
– Regulation is increasing globally on average; however, changes in the regulatory landscape remains an idiosyncratic risk among countries.

                                                                                                                                                                   16
Traditional Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments
                                          Business Risk     Financial Risk                  Capital                                  Management &
Company                                                                    Final Anchor             Financial Policy     Liquidity                Peer Adjustment   SACP    Group Status     ICR   Outlook
                                                Profile            Profile                Structure                                    Governance
Affiliated Managers Group, Inc.            Satisfactory      Intermediate          bbb      Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory     Favorable   bbb+   Not applicable   BBB+     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                            Strategically
AllianceBernstein L.P.                     Satisfactory           Minimal            a      Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory       Neutral      a                       A     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                               important
BlackRock, Inc.                                 Strong            Minimal          aa-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional          Strong        Neutral    aa-   Not applicable    AA-     Stable
BrightSphere Investment Group Inc.                 Fair           Modest          bbb-      Neutral         Neutral        Strong              Fair       Neutral   bbb-   Not applicable   BBB-   Negative
CI Financial Corp.                         Satisfactory      Intermediate          bbb      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate       Satisfactory       Neutral    bbb   Not applicable    BBB   Negative
Clipper Acquisitions Corp.                         Fair      Intermediate          bb+      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional             Fair       Neutral    bb+   Not applicable   BB+      Stable
Eaton Vance Corp.                          Satisfactory           Minimal           a-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory       Neutral     a-   Not applicable     A-   C.W. Dev
First Eagle Investment Management, Inc.            Fair        Aggressive          bb-      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair     Favorable     bb   Not applicable     BB     Stable
FIL Ltd.                                   Satisfactory      Intermediate          bbb      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional             Fair       Neutral    bbb   Not applicable    BBB     Stable
FMR LLC                                         Strong            Minimal          aa-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional             Fair       Neutral     a+   Not applicable     A+     Stable
Franklin Resources Inc.                    Satisfactory           Minimal            a      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory       Neutral      a   Not applicable      A     Stable
GAMCO Investors Inc.                             Weak             Minimal          bb+      Neutral         Neutral        Strong              Fair     Favorable   bbb-   Not applicable   BBB-     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                              Moderately
IGM Financial Inc.                         Satisfactory           Modest         bbb+       Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory     Favorable     a-                       A     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                                stategic
Invesco Ltd.                               Satisfactory      Intermediate          bbb      Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory     Favorable   bbb+   Not applicable   BBB+     Stable
Janus Henderson Group PLC                          Fair           Minimal          bbb      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory     Favorable   bbb+   Not applicable   BBB+     Stable
Lazard Group LLC                           Satisfactory           Modest         bbb+       Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory       Neutral   bbb+   Not applicable   BBB+     Stable
Neuberger Berman Group LLC                 Satisfactory           Modest         bbb+       Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory       Neutral   bbb+   Not applicable   BBB+     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                            Strategically
Nuveen Finance LLC                         Satisfactory        Significant         bb+      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate               Fair     Favorable   bbb-                       A     Stable
                                                                                                                                                                               important
Resolute Investment Managers, Inc.               Weak          Aggressive           b+      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair       Neutral    b+    Not applicable    B+    Negative
Russell Investments Cayman Midco, Ltd.             Fair        Aggressive          bb-      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair       Neutral    bb-   Not applicable    BB-   Negative
Standard Life Aberdeen PLC                 Satisfactory           Minimal           a-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory       Neutral     a-   Not applicable     A-     Stable
TortoiseEcofin Parent Holdco LLC             Vulnerable   Highly leveraged          b-      Neutral            FS-6     Adequate               Fair       Neutral     b-   Not applicable   CCC+     Stable
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.                     Fair        Aggressive          bb-      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair       Neutral    bb-   Not applicable    BB-     Stable
Virtus Investment Partners Inc.                  Weak        Intermediate           bb      Neutral         Neutral        Strong              Fair       Neutral     bb   Not applicable     BB   Positive
Waddell & Reed Financial Inc.                    Weak             Minimal          bb+      Neutral         Neutral        Strong              Fair     Favorable   bbb-   Not applicable   BBB-     Stable

                                                                                                                                                                                                        17
Alternative Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments
                                         Business Risk     Financial Risk                  Capital                                  Management &
Company                                                                   Final Anchor             Financial Policy     Liquidity                Peer Adjustment    SACP         Group Status      ICR   Outlook
                                               Profile            Profile                Structure                                    Governance
Apollo Global Management, Inc.            Satisfactory           Modest         bbb+       Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory      Favorable     a-        Not applicable      A-     Stable

Ares Management Corp.                     Satisfactory           Modest         bbb+       Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory        Neutral   bbb+        Not applicable    BBB+     Stable

Blackstone Group Inc.                          Strong            Minimal          aa-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional          Strong     Unfavorable     a+        Not applicable      A+     Stable
Brookfield Asset Management Inc.               Strong       Intermediate        bbb+      Positive         Neutral    Exceptional          Strong         Neutral     a-        Not applicable      A-     Stable
Citadel Limited Partnership                       Fair           Modest          bbb-      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate       Satisfactory      Favorable    bbb        Not applicable     BBB     Stable
EIG Management Co. LLC                            Fair        Significant          bb      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate               Fair        Neutral     bb        Not applicable      BB     Stable
FinCo I LLC                                       Fair        Aggressive          bb-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional             Fair        Neutral    bb-   Moderately strategic     BB   Negative
Franklin Square Holdings LP                       Fair      Intermediate          bb+      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate               Fair    Unfavorable     bb        Not applicable      BB     Stable
Intermediate Capital Group PLC            Satisfactory      Intermediate         bbb-      Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory        Neutral   bbb-        Not applicable    BBB-     Stable
KKR & Co Inc.                             Satisfactory           Minimal            a      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory        Neutral      a        Not applicable       A   C.W. Neg
Oaktree Capital Group LLC                 Satisfactory           Minimal           a-      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional     Satisfactory        Neutral     a-   Moderately strategic     A-     Stable
The Carlyle Group Inc.                    Satisfactory      Intermediate          bbb      Neutral         Neutral    Exceptional             Fair      Favorable   bbb+        Not applicable    BBB+     Stable
Vida Capital, Inc.                              Weak          Aggressive           b+      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair    Unfavorable      b        Not applicable       B   Negative

Other Asset Managers Rating Factor Assessments
                                         Business Risk     Financial Risk                  Capital                                  Management &
Company                                                                   Final Anchor             Financial Policy     Liquidity                Peer Adjustment    SACP         Group Status      ICR   Outlook
                                               Profile            Profile                Structure                                    Governance
AssetMark Financial Holdings Inc.                 Fair           Minimal         bbb-      Neutral        Negative     Adequate               Fair        Neutral     bb   Moderately strategic   BB+      Stable
China Jianyin Investment Ltd. (JIC)               Fair           Minimal          bbb      Neutral        Negative     Adequate               Fair        Neutral    bb+        Not applicable       A     Stable

CORESTATE Capital Holding S.A.                    Fair        Significant          bb      Neutral         Neutral     Adequate               Fair        Neutral     bb        Not applicable      BB   Negative

Focus Financial Partners LLC                      Fair        Aggressive          bb-      Neutral            FS-5     Adequate               Fair        Neutral    bb-        Not applicable     BB-     Stable
Noah Holdings Ltd.                                Fair           Minimal         bbb-      Neutral         Neutral        Strong      Satisfactory        Neutral   bbb-        Not applicable    BBB-   Negative
The Edelman Financial Center, LLC                 Fair   Highly leveraged           b      Neutral            FS-6     Adequate               Fair        Neutral      b        Not applicable       B     Stable
Zhongrong International Trust Co. Ltd.            Fair           Minimal          bbb      Neutral        Negative        Strong            Weak          Neutral     bb        Not applicable    BB+      Stable

                                                                                                                                                                                                              18
Investment Holding Companies (IHCs) Rating Factor Assessments
                                         Business Risk   Financial Risk                                Management &
Company                                                                   Final Anchor   Liquidity                     Peer Adjustment   Group Status     ICR   Outlook
                                            Profile         Profile                                     Governance
Compass Group Diversified Holdings LLC     Vulnerable      Significant        b+         Adequate           Fair           Neutral       Not applicable   B+    Negative

E-L Financial Corporation Limited         Satisfactory      Minimal            a         Exceptional    Satisfactory       Neutral       Not applicable   A      Stable

Hunt Companies Inc.                          Weak         Intermediate        bb         Adequate           Fair           Negative      Not applicable   BB-   Negative

Icahn Enterprises L.P.                        Fair         Aggressive         bb-        Adequate           Fair           Positive      Not applicable   BB    Negative

Loews Corporation                         Satisfactory      Minimal            a-        Exceptional    Satisfactory       Positive      Not applicable   A      Stable

                                                                                                                                                                           19
Analytical Contacts
Elizabeth Campbell                 Sean C. Tillman, CFA
Director                           Associate Director
elizabeth.campbell@spglobal.com    sean.tillman@spglobal.com
+1-212-438-2415                    +1-347-603-5262

Brian Estiz, CFA                  Jennifer Panger, CFA
Associate Director                Associate
brian.estiz@spglobal.com
                                  jennifer.panger@spglobal.com
+1-212-438-3735
                                  +1-212-438-2276

Nigel Greenwood
Director
nigel.greenwood@spglobal.com
+44-207-176-1066

                                                                 20
Copyright © 2021 by Standard & Poor’s Financial Services LLC. All rights reserved.

No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations, model, software or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any
means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, S&P). The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. S&P
and any third-party providers, as well as their directors, officers, shareholders, employees or agents (collectively S&P Parties) do not guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of the Content. S&P Parties are not responsible
for any errors or omissions (negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, for the results obtained from the use of the Content, or for the security or maintenance of any data input by the user. The Content is provided on an "as is" basis. S&P
PARTIES DISCLAIM ANY AND ALL EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, INCLUDING, BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ANY WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE, FREEDOM FROM BUGS, SOFTWARE ERRORS
OR DEFECTS, THAT THE CONTENT'S FUNCTIONING WILL BE UNINTERRUPTED, OR THAT THE CONTENT WILL OPERATE WITH ANY SOFTWARE OR HARDWARE CONFIGURATION. In no event shall S&P Parties be liable to any party for any direct,
indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages, costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including, without limitation, lost income or lost profits and opportunity costs or losses caused by negligence) in
connection with any use of the Content even if advised of the possibility of such damages.

Credit-related and other analyses, including ratings, and statements in the Content are statements of opinion as of the date they are expressed and not statements of fact. S&P's opinions, analyses, and rating acknowledgment decisions
(described below) are not recommendations to purchase, hold, or sell any securities or to make any investment decisions, and do not address the suitability of any security. S&P assumes no obligation to update the Content following publication in
any form or format. The Content should not be relied on and is not a substitute for the skill, judgment and experience of the user, its management, employees, advisors and/or clients when making investment and other business decisions. S&P
does not act as a fiduciary or an investment advisor except where registered as such. While S&P has obtained information from sources it believes to be reliable, S&P does not perform an audit and undertakes no duty of due diligence or
independent verification of any information it receives. Rating-related publications may be published for a variety of reasons that are not necessarily dependent on action by rating committees, including, but not limited to, the publication of a
periodic update on a credit rating and related analyses.

To the extent that regulatory authorities allow a rating agency to acknowledge in one jurisdiction a rating issued in another jurisdiction for certain regulatory purposes, S&P reserves the right to assign, withdraw, or suspend such acknowledgement
at any time and in its sole discretion. S&P Parties disclaim any duty whatsoever arising out of the assignment, withdrawal, or suspension of an acknowledgment as well as any liability for any damage alleged to have been suffered on account
thereof.

S&P keeps certain activities of its business units separate from each other in order to preserve the independence and objectivity of their respective activities. As a result, certain business units of S&P may have information that is not available to
other S&P business units. S&P has established policies and procedures to maintain the confidentiality of certain nonpublic information received in connection with each analytical process.

S&P may receive compensation for its ratings and certain analyses, normally from issuers or underwriters of securities or from obligors. S&P reserves the right to disseminate its opinions and analyses. S&P's public ratings and analyses are made
available on its Web sites, www.standardandpoors.com (free of charge), and www.spcapitaliq.com (subscription) and may be distributed through other means, including via S&P publications and third-party redistributors. Additional information
about our ratings fees is available at www.standardandpoors.com/usratingsfees.

Australia: S&P Global Ratings Australia Pty Ltd holds Australian financial services license number 337565 under the Corporations Act 2001. S&P Global Ratings' credit ratings and related research are not intended for and must not be distributed to
any person in Australia other than a wholesale client (as defined in Chapter 7 of the Corporations Act).

STANDARD & POOR'S, S&P and RATINGSDIRECT are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC.

spglobal.com/ratings

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             21
You can also read