Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives

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Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
SP
                                               EC
                                                   IAL
                                                         ED

Alcohol and the
                                                            ITI
                                                               ON

coronavirus pandemic:
individual, societal and policy perspectives

      O  L A ND
ALCOH
      T Y 2 0 21
SOCIE

                    A REVIEW OF INTERNATIONAL AND SWEDISH RESEARCH
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
Organisations initiating this report are voluntary or          regarding sober life styles, public opinion in this regard,
academic organisations independent of commercial               as well as care of children. The foundation have eight
interests.                                                     member organisations in three Nordic countries. CERA is
                                                               an interdisciplinary and collaborative centre for education
SFAM is the professional and scientific college of             and research into hazardous use, abuse and addiction at
general practitioners (family physicians) in Sweden with       Gothenburg University – which works to strengthen and
continuing professional development, training of future        develop research and education in the field of addiction,
GPs, assessment of competence, quality improvement             and to disseminate scientific expertise to people working
and research in general practice/family medicine as main       professionally in the field of abuse and addiction, and other
areas of interest. The Swedish Society of Nursing is a         interested parties. The Swedish Society of Addiction
nonprofit organization and a forum for discussing and          Medicine works to promote research and education in the
developing nursing care by promoting nursing research,         addiction medicine field, and professional development in
ethics, education and quality in nursing. IOGT-NTO focuses     all specialist care professions. SIGHT is Sweden’s research
on the effects of alcohol and narcotics on individuals         arena for global health equity with a focus on children
and society, but is also engaged in broad social and club      and youth: a multidisciplinary tool-box to fulfill the 2030
activities. The foundation Stiftelsen Ansvar För Framtiden     Agenda.
aim to further Nordic cooperation and scientific research

Views expressed in this report are those of the authors and   A Swedish language version of this report is also available
do not necessarily reflect those of the organisations that    from www.iogt.se, www.swenurse.se or cera.gu.se.
initiate the work.
                                                              Graphic design and cover illustration:
Suggested citation: ”Andreasson S, Chikritzhs T, Dangardt     Petra Handin, Poppi Design
F, Holder H, Naimi T, Sherk A, Stockwell T. (2021). Alcohol
and Society 2021: Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic:       Printers: Fridholm & Partners AB, Göteborg
individual, societal and policy perspectives. Stockholm:
Swedish Society of Nursing, SFAM, SAFF, CERA, The             ISBN: 978-91-982220-6-7 (print version in Swedish)
Swedish Society of Addiction Medicine, SIGHT, Movendi
                                                              ISBN: 978-91-982220-7-4 (pdf in Swedish)
International & IOGT-NTO.”
                                                              ISBN: 978-91-982220-8-1 (pdf in English)
© Published by Svensk Förening för Allmänmedicin,
Svensk sjuksköterskeförening, CERA, Stiftelsen Ansvar
                                                              URN: urn:nbn:se:iogt-2021-aos-en
för Framtiden, Actis-Rusfeltets samarbeidsorgan, Alkohol
& Samfund, Hela Människan, IOGT-NTO, MA – Rusfri              Published with support from Stiftelsen Ansvar
Trafikk, MHF Motorförarnas Helnykterhetsförbund,              för Framtiden (SAFF).
Sveriges Blåbandsförbund och Sveriges Frikyrkosamråd,
Svensk förening för Beroendemedicin, SIGHT, Movendi
International 2021.

      CENTRUM FÖR UTBILDNING OCH
      FORSKNING KRING RISKBRUK,
      MISSBRUK OCH BEROENDE (CERA)

                                                                                                                  Sveriges
                                                                                                              Frikyrkosamråd
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
FOREWORD

Foreword

2020 was the year when the world                     standing of a relatively established topic, the
came together to address a shared                    researchers took a broad scan of different
global challenge. COVID-19 compelled                 information sources in order to highlight and
governments, authorities, and researchers            contextualize areas where concerns may only
from all over the world to work together             just now be emerging.
to save human lives.                                    The aim of the “Alcohol and Society”
                                                     series of reports is to highlight what scientific
Different countries’ corona strategies have          studies can tell us about the effects of alcohol
handled alcohol consumption in very different        consumption at both an individual and a
ways. Some countries were quick to reduce            societal level. This is the eighth such report.
the availability of alcoholic drinks, while others   Previous years’ reports have focused on such
have viewed alcohol as a possible lifesaver          issues such as alcohol and young adults,
for the local economy. The role of alcohol           second-hand effects of alcohol consumption,
consumption, and its consequences, have not          alcohol and violence, and alcohol and
been addressed as part of Sweden’s corona            pregnancy. These reports, along with this
strategy.                                            year’s edition, are available on our respective
    The researchers behind the series of             websites. The following organisations support
reports entitled “Alcohol and Society” conse-        this year’s report:
quently decided that they would like to take a       •	The Center for Education and Research
closer look at the role of alcohol consumption          on Risk, Abuse and Addiction (CERA),
in spreading the corona virus and contracting           University of Gothenburg
COVID-19. The theme of the 2021 report is,
                                                     • The Swedish Society of Nursing                    Kristina Berglund
therefore, the effect of alcohol on the immune                                                           Director, CERA,
system and on transmission of the virus, given       • Stiftelsen Ansvar för Framtiden (SAFF)
                                                                                                         University of Gothenburg
the effect of alcohol on human behaviour. The        •	The Swedish Association of General
                                                                                                         Ami Hommel
report also examines the ways in which the              Practice
                                                                                                         Chair, The Swedish Society
effects of the pandemic – in terms of anxiety,       •	The Swedish Society of Addiction                 of Nursing
social isolation, unemployment, etc., – have            Medicine
                                                                                                         Magnus Isacson
affected alcohol consumption and the ways
                                                     •	Swedish Institute for Global Health              Chair, The Swedish Associa-
in which the alcohol industry and the world’s                                                            tion of General Practice
                                                        Transformation (SIGHT) at The Royal
governments have responded to these
                                                        Swedish Academy of Sciences                      Arne Winerdal
challenges.                                                                                              Chair, SAFF
    As in previous years, the report has been        • IOGT-NTO
written by a group of some of the world’s            • Movendi International                             Joar Guterstam
                                                                                                         Chair, The Swedish Society
leading alcohol researchers, led by Harold                                                               of Addiction Medicine
Holder.                                              It is our hope that this report will help
    As the pandemic is still ongoing and the         increase knowledge and awareness of                 Peter Friberg
                                                     alcohol-related risks in connection with both       Director, SIGHT
situation is changing rapidly, the research
group has been obliged to adjust its choice of       this and future pandemics, both in purely           Johnny Mostacero
method and sources accordingly. The report           physical terms – in that alcohol weakens the        Chair, IOGT-NTO
is therefore different in focus from previous        immune system – as well as increased risk of
                                                                                                         Kristina Sperkova
ones. Rather than focusing on critiquing             the spread of infection, due to alcohol’s effect    Chair, Movendi
scientific evidence to improve our under-            on human behaviour.                                 International

                                   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES               3
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

                           Executive summary

                           •	Alcohol use may increase the risk of             consumption have mostly decreased in low
                              COVID-19 infection and of its severe com-        income countries. Local factors and govern-
                              plications while also causing other medical      ment policies on alcohol availability are key.
                              and social problems that burden healthcare       In Sweden, consumption was reduced by
                              and other services.                              7% during March and April2020 because
                                                                               increased retail sales were more than offset
                           •	Alcohol increases COVID-19 transmission          by reduced travelers’ imports.
                              by reducing social inhibitions even at low
                              consumption levels, and causing severe         •	Domestic violence has increased in many
                              impairment at higher levels, thus disrupting      places during the pandemic, a problem in
                              preventative strategies, such as social           which alcohol use is often implicated.
                              distancing and hand hygiene.
                                                                             •	Traffic crashes decreased in most countries
                           •	Many complications from heavy alcohol use         due to reduced travel.
                              are themselves risk factors for more serious
                              outcomes from COVID-19 infection (e.g.         •	COVID-19-related isolation, boredom,
                              diabetes, obesity, cardiovascular disease).       stress and depression during the pandemic
                                                                                can be worsened by alcohol consumption;
                           •	Alcohol use, especially heavy use, can            these same factors may also lead to
                              compromise immune system responses                excessive alcohol consumption.
                              and also increase susceptibility to serious
                              respiratory illnesses.                         •	Many governments have exempted
                                                                                off-trade alcohol outlets and alcohol
                           •	Alcohol-related problems consume                  manufacturers from lockdown conditions,
                              substantial health care resources; during         designating these as essential services,
                              COVID-19 strong alcohol control policies          decisions that, in many countries, have
                              could relieve these overstretched services        been influenced by alcohol industry
                              by reducing both alcohol- and COVID-              lobbying.
                              related healthcare demand.
                                                                             •	Major regulatory changes or concessions
                           •	In high income countries, surveys tend            (e.g., liberalizing home delivery of alcohol)
                              to show that more people increased                will be difficult to reverse and are therefore
                              than reduced drinking during the early            likely to persist after the pandemic.
                              COVID-19 lockdowns, while total sales and

4   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

•	The following public health policies are       •	Given the strong inter-relationship
   recommended for pandemics:                        between alcohol and COVID-19, alcohol
                                                     policies should be maintained or strength-
  - suspend alcohol service at sports arenas        ened during the pandemic, not relaxed.
     and large events;
                                                  •	Effective policies, including those to
  - prohibit alcohol consumption in public          reduce physical availability of alcohol
     places such as parks and beaches;               and increase its price through increased
  - restrict drinking at high-risk on-trade
                                                     alcohol taxes and minimum prices, could      Alcohol increases
                                                     help limit viral spread, reduce burden on
     settings such as bars and nightclubs;
                                                     health services and raise much needed
                                                                                                  COVID-19
  - impose limits on home delivery, if              extra government revenue.                    transmission
     permitted at all;                                                                            by reducing
                                                                                                  social inhibitions
  - make clinical and treatment provisions
     for people experiencing all types of                                                         even at low
     alcohol-related problems, including                                                          consumption
     dependence;                                                                                  levels, and
  - increase access to mental health services,                                                   causing severe
     including online services.                                                                   impairment at
•	Health authorities should advise individ-
                                                                                                  higher levels.
   uals at high-risk for infection or serious
   complications to reduce or avoid alcohol
   use (e.g., elderly, overweight, diabetic,
   smokers, people with respiratory disease,
   cancer, or cardiovascular disease).

                                   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   5
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
PHOTO: FUSION MEDICAL ANIMATION / UNSPLASH
Authors
            Sven Andreasson              Tanya Chikritzhs             Frida Dangardt          Harold Holder
            Karolinska                   Curtin University,           Sahlgrenska Academy     Senior Scientist
            Institutet, Depart-          National Drug                and University          Emeritus and former
            ment of Public               Research                     Hospital, The Queen     Director of Prevention
            Health Sciences,             Institute, Perth,            Silvia Children’s       Research Center,
            Stockholm,                   Australia                    Hospital – Paediatric   Pacific Institute
            Sweden                                                    Clinical Physiology,    for Research and
                                                                      Gothenburg, Sweden      Evaluation, Berkely,
                                                                                              CA, USA
            Timothy Naimi                Adam Sherk                   Tim Stockwell
            Canadian Institute           Canadian Institute           Canadian Institute
            for Substance                for Substance                for Substance
            Use Research,                Use Research,                Use Research,
            University of                University of                University of
            Victoria, BC,                Victoria, BC,                Victoria, BC,
            Canada                       Canada                       Canada

6   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
INTRODUCTION

Introduction
The COVID-19 pandemic has had enormous            terms of an individual’s susceptibility to
impacts on societies worldwide, and its           infection and transmission of the virus
impact on alcohol consumption, related            through physiological and cognitive-behav-
harms and alcohol control policies has also       ioral pathways. We provide evidence, in
been significant. In turn, alcohol has played a   particular, for how alcohol’s various effects
central role in the transmission of COVID-19      on behavior have influenced the course of the
between individuals and across populations,       pandemic.
and has negatively influenced medical, social        We then examine the converse, that is, the
and economic effects of the pandemic.             pandemic’s effect on population-level alcohol
   For this report, our aim was to synthesize     consumption and related social harms. These
the emerging and rapidly expanding evidence       effects are mediated through a variety of
for multiple, complex relationships between       forces related to the large-scale disruption
alcohol and COVID-19 that operate across          wrought on social and economic life as well
many aspects of life. Due in large part to the    as policy responses that specifically affect
uniqueness and uncertainties of the present       alcohol availability (e.g. alcohol bans, lifting
state of play, this report has some differences   of off-trade restrictions). We then reflect on
to previous reports in this series. Rather than   how governments have responded to chal-
focusing on critiquing scientific evidence        lenges imposed by the pandemic and how the
(e.g. study methods, design limitations) to       actions of alcohol industry vested interests
improve our understanding of a relatively         have played a major role in shaping policy
established topic, we took a broad scan of        decisions, that if left unchecked, will increase
different information sources in order to         alcohol’s burden on public health and safety
highlight and contextualize areas where           in the longer-term.
concerns may only just now be emerging that          We conclude by summarizing what has
are specific to alcohol use and COVID-19. We      been learned about alcohol consumption,
have also drawn upon decades of research          related outcomes and activities during the
evidence regarding the role of alcohol policies   pandemic, and provide recommendations for
in influencing the consumption of alcohol in      individuals and governments, with a particu-
a population and, in turn, the impacts of this    lar focus on alcohol policies. Alcohol policies
consumption on health and social outcomes.        have a crucial role to play both in reducing
   The report begins by discussing the effects    alcohol-related harms and controlling
of alcohol consumption on COVID-19 in             transmission of the virus.

                                 ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   7
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
PHOTO: ANNIE-SPRATT / UNSPLASH

8   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
1 EFFECTS

1 Implications of physiological
   and cognitive effects of alcohol
   for transmission of COVID-19
Alcohol use, particularly heavy use, may          not always successful at fully combatting
increase an individual’s risk of contracting      new invading pathogens. This is where the
and transmitting infectious disease as well as    acquired (or adaptive) immune system comes
increase symptom severity. Elevated risks of      in, after being activated by chemical cues that
infection and disease progression have been       signal the presence of a pathogen.
established for alcohol for other communica-         The human acquired immune system has
ble diseases such as tuberculosis, pneumonia      evolved to be highly specialist and tar-
and HIV.1 There are many reasons to suspect       get-specific such that it is able to distinguish
that this will also prove to be the case for      between subtly different pathogens. Two key
COVID-19. Pathways by which this may occur        cell types – T cells and B cells – are involved.
include direct effects on immune system           Together these cells directly kill infected cells
and organ-specific functioning (e.g. lungs,       by ‘learning’ to produce specific antibodies to
liver, gut), psychiatric conditions, as well      neutralise the pathogen. These cells even keep
as through alcohol’s psychoactive effects         a ‘memory’ of previously encountered path-
on cognitive functions and behaviors (e.g.        ogens, including viruses, for use when future
inhibition, risk taking) that may also interact   infections strike. It takes time to activate the
with drinking context to influence risk.          acquired immune system, however, and while
                                                  innate immunity occurs within a few hours,
1.1 Immune system                                 acquired immunity takes days to launch.2
Immunity to infection in humans occurs               Aging has a profound effect on the human
through both innate and acquired mecha-           immune system. Generally speaking, innate
nisms. Most humans are born with some             immunity is more active at younger ages
innate immunity to infection, such that our       and acquired immunity builds up over time.
bodies are able to detect common infectious       However, older age is associated with a
agents. Our innate immune system activates        general decline in immune function. The
a first line of defence in the form of mac-       innate and acquired immune systems tend
rophage, dendritic and natural killer (NK)        to respond more slowly and less efficiently to
cells to deal with common threats. But the        pathogens as people age. Low-grade chronic
innate immune system is a generalist and          inflammation is also more common among

                                 ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   9
Alcohol and the coronavirus pandemic: ALCOHOL AND SOCIETY 2021 - individual, societal and policy perspectives
1 EFFECTS

                                      older people and this tends to have a dulling                                ural killer’ (NK) cells known to play a key
                                      effect on the immune system. These common                                    role in COVID-19 infections, as well as its
                                      consequences of ageing make it more likely                                   role in a process known as ‘hyper-inflam-
                                      that an invading pathogen or virus – such                                    mation’ i.e. an overreaction of the immune
                                      as COVID-19 – will gain the upper hand and                                   system.6,7 An episode of heavy alcohol use
                                      cause serious disease.3,4                                                    will initially increase an inflammatory
                                         There are several reasons to be concerned                                 response and, later, reduce the activity of
                                      that alcohol use might compromise both                                       cells involved in immune responses.8 Thus,
Alcohol use may
                                      innate and acquired immune responses to                                      alcohol use may both reduce immunity
both reduce                           coronaviruses:                                                               to an infection and also increase the risk
immunity to an                        •	Alcohol increases the number of receptors                                 of serious complications by triggering an
infection and                            in the lungs, digestive system and heart                                  excessive immune response.
also increase the                        that provide the main entry points for                               •	Alcohol use may also impair a person’s
risk of serious                          coronavirus-type infections such as                                     ability to develop immunity to infection.
                                         SARS.5, 210, 211 This likely results in an                              Alcohol has been shown, for example, to
complications
                                         increased susceptibility to coronavirus                                 interfere with the production of T- and
by triggering an                         infections generally, including COVID-19.                               B-cells and reduce blood concentrations
excessive immune                      •	Alcohol use may increase susceptibility                                 of key antibodies involved in acquired
response.                                to COVID-19 infection and complications                                 immune system responses.6,7,9–11
                                         through its effects on monocytes and ‘nat-

FIG 1 Possible pathways for alcohol’s role in activation and inflammation in COVID-19 disease, modified from Golchin et al.12

                                                                   Alcohol effects

                                               +
                                                                                                         –
     SARS-CoV-2 virus
     particles
                                 Y
                             Y                                               +            –
                                                                                                                                     Alcohol increases the number
                                                                                                                                     of ACE2 receptors to which
                                                                                                                                     the SARS-CoV-2 (”covid”) virus
                                                                                                                                     particles can bind to infect the
                                                                       Cytokines                                                     host cells;

Cellular (e.g., lung                                  Dendritic cell                                                                 may activate the increased
aveolar) lining                      Natural killer cell                                                                             production of cytokines, which
                                                                                                      Antibodies                     can contribute to a dangerous
                                      {

                        Macrophage                                                           B cell                                  excessive inflammatory
                                                                                                                                     reponse characteristic of covid
                                                                                                                                     infection (”cytokine storm”);
                                                                  Y
                                                                       T

                                                   Antigen-presenting cell                                                           interferes with the functioning
                                                                              T cell
                                                                                                   Helper T cell                     of T cells;

                                                                                   Killer T cell                                     weakens the virus-neutralizing
                                                                                                                                     antibody response.
                            Innate immune system                                     Adaptive immune system

10     ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
1 EFFECTS

1.2 Specific organs and body systems

                                                                                                                            PHOTO: MUFID MAJNUN / UNSPLASH
Alcohol use is well established as a signifi-
cant risk factor for many health conditions
associated with worse outcomes and compli-
cations from COVID-19. Alcohol adversely
affects multiple organs and body systems,
including the liver, heart and lungs, and the
more alcohol consumed the worse the effects.
It follows that the combined effects of alcohol
use, particularly heavy use, and COVID-19 on
these systems will increase susceptibility to
serious complications and likelihood of death.

Lungs
Heavy alcohol consumption increases the
risk for lung infections, both viral and bacte-
rial.212, 213 It may also increase the severity of
Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS)
and risk of permanent lung damage5 through
many mechanisms and pathways. For
example, chronic heavy alcohol consumption
both increases ACE2-receptor expression in
the respiratory system (a main pathway for           and altered mucosal immunity, which can
coronavirus-type entry and infection) and            result in systemic inflammation and liver
inflammatory responses. As discussed above,          damage.14–16
heavy alcohol use also compromises both                 Both heavy alcohol use, especially chronic
innate and acquired immunity to infection.           continuous use, and COVID-19 infection are
In combination, these factors may lead to            known to occasionally result in some form
increased susceptibility to infection, severity      of serious liver damage. It follows that the
of infection and subsequent lung damage              combined effects of alcohol use and COVID-
which may be long-lasting.5 In support               19 infection could create a very serious risk
of this, a recent study of permanent lung            for liver dysfunction. A noticeable incidence
damage following COVID-19 infection found            of liver damage accompanied by abnormal
that presence of alcohol use disorder was a          ranges of liver derived enzymes and pro-
significant risk factor for pulmonary fibrosis,      teins has been reported during COVID-19
in addition to older age, co-morbidity and           disease.17,18 Different mechanisms have been
smoking.13                                           suggested for liver injury during COVID-19
                                                     infection including immune-mediated
Liver and digestive system                           hepatitis, direct effects of the virus, drug-in-
When alcohol enters the body, its first              duced liver injury from medications used to
interaction is with the alimentary canal. The        treat COVID-19, infection-induced systemic
process of alcohol metabolism (oxidative and         inflammation, hepatic congestion secondary
non-oxidative) induces gut inflammation              to mechanical ventilation and pre-existing
which impairs mucosal immunity and affects           liver disease.17
the mucus barrier as well as the epithelium,            Patients with liver cirrhosis are also at
which permits virus and other microbes to            increased risk of infections and associated
reach the liver through the portal vein. This        complications due to cirrhosis-associated
initiates bacterial overgrowth, dysbiosis            immune dysfunction, which may add to the

                                  ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   11
1 EFFECTS

                           increased mortality from COVID-19 seen            1.3 P
                                                                                  sychiatric conditions and
                           in people with cirrhosis compared to those            mental health
                           without cirrhosis.19 A study from India found
                                                                             Serious complications from COVID-19 infec-
                           a greater chance of serious complications and
                                                                             tion, as opposed to the other major recent
                           mortality among COVID-19 patients with
                                                                             coronavirus pandemics, SARS and MERS,
                           predominantly alcohol induced liver cirrhosis
                                                                             is primarily (but not exclusively) a problem
                           and liver failure.20
                                                                             for older people, and the majority of hospital
                              However, there is mixed evidence from two
                                                                             admitted patients are above 70 years of
                           studies of non-alcohol induced liver disease
                                                                             age.26–28 People with dementia are at greater
                           in terms of increased risk of complications
                                                                             risk of developing neuropsychiatric symp-
                           after contracting COVID-19. A relatively small
                                                                             toms when infected by COVID-19.29 In this
                           study from China did not find significant
                                                                             context it is important to recall that alcohol is
                           increased risk of complications21, while
                                                                             recognized as a powerful neurotoxin, known
                           another larger study from the US found that
                                                                             to cause or contribute to a wide range of
                           patients with a history of non-alcohol-related
                                                                             neuro­logical disorders including dementia,
                           liver disease were significantly more likely to
                                                                             with risks increasing with age.30 Recent
                           be hospitalised.22
                                                                             research also suggests that regular alcohol
                           Heart and cardiovascular system                   use, even at low levels, diminishes brain
                                                                             volume and increases brain ageing.31
                           There are many pathways for cardiovascular
                                                                                The scientific literature on direct psy-
                           damage by COVID-19 to occur including:
                                                                             chiatric effects of COVID-19, as opposed
                           increased clot formation, vasculitis, vascular
                                                                             to general psychological distress caused by
                           fibrosis, myocarditis and pericarditis.23 These
                                                                             the pandemic and its restrictions, remains
                           may result in heart failure, arrhythmias,
                                                                             limited. Previous studies on MERS and
                           cardiogenic shock, as well as inflammatory
                                                                             SARS, however, have demonstrated a
                           and coronary illnesses. There is a notable
                                                                             range of neuropsychiatric disorders such as
                           correlation between cardiovascular disease
                                                                             encephalopathy, mood changes, psychosis,
                           and COVID-19 severity with hypertension
                                                                             neuromuscular dysfunction, or demyelinating
                           and diabetes, but no studies have looked
                                                                             processes.32
                           at the effect of alcohol consumption in this
                                                                                A recent systematic review and meta-analy-
                           context.24
                                                                             sis published in July 2020, where the indirect
                           Brain                                             effects of coronavirus infections on the
                                                                             mental health of people who are not infected
                           Heavy alcohol consumption is known to
                                                                             were excluded, focused on psychiatric signs
                           change immune response in the brain’s
                                                                             or symptoms and symptom severity, with
                           frontal cortex and increase pro-inflammatory
                                                                             diagnoses based on established diagnostic
                           signaling. Heavy alcohol use can also affect
                                                                             manuals. Common symptoms among hospital
                           the permeability of the blood-brain barrier.
                                                                             admitted patients for SARS or MERS were
                           It is plausible that abnormal alcohol-induced
                                                                             confusion, depression, anxiety, impaired
                           inflammatory cytokine release (innate
                                                                             memory and insomnia. In the post-illness
                           immune response) could increase the like-
                                                                             stage, 32.2% suffered from post-traumatic
                           lihood of excessive inflammatory responses
                                                                             stress disorder.33
                           observed in patients with severe COVID-19.
                                                                                When data for COVID-19 were analyzed,
                           If this is the case, disease severity may be
                                                                             a high proportion of patients treated in
                           enhanced. Disruption of the blood-brain
                                                                             intensive care were found to be confused
                           barrier associated with chronic alcohol use
                                                                             (65%) and agitated (69%).33 One study found
                           may also increase the possibility that invading
                                                                             that 33% had a “dysexecutive syndrome”,
                           pathogens, including COVID-19, infiltrate the
                                                                             which encompasses cognitive, emotional,
                           brain.25

12   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
1 EFFECTS

and behavioral symptoms, at discharge.34 It           by the pandemic, is yet to emerge. It is
should be noted, however, that a prolonged            reasonable to anticipate, nonetheless, that
ICU stay in itself is a risk factor for psychiatric   given alcohol’s known short and long-term
disorders, especially delirium.35 Furthermore,        cognitive effects, there is significant scope for
COVID-19 survivors return to a society in             deleterious impacts, particularly among older
deep crisis, sometimes with enforced social           people, those with dementia and possibly also
isolation. Their countries, neighborhoods and         people with mood disorders.
families may be unable to meet basic needs,
including food and medical supplies, due to           1.4 Epidemiological studies and
supply chain problems or loss of livelihood.               methodological challenges
Other countries may be enforcing strict               A key concern regarding our current under-
lockdowns and physical isolation – condi-             standing of alcohol’s role in COVID-19 infec-
tions that may further increase the risk for          tion, transmission and disease progression,
psychiatric complications. A British survey of        is that most large studies have not addressed
non-infected people, for instance, found that         alcohol use and drinking patters (e.g. levels
almost one in five adults (19.2%) were likely         and frequency of drinking) or the presence of
to be experiencing some form of depression            alcohol use disorders at the time of infection,
during the pandemic in June 2020; this had            as risk factors. Unfortunately, this leaves some
almost doubled from around 1 in 10 (9.7%)             aspects of the relationship between alcohol
before the pandemic (July 2019 to March               and COVID-19 so far relatively unexplored.
2020).36                                              We discuss here on some early, suggestive
   Another study of psychiatric presentations         findings.
to 20 emergency departments (ED) across                  A review of 34 studies found that in patients    A review of 34 studies
the U.S. Midwest during lockdown reported                                                                 found that in patients
                                                      with severe or fatal COVID-19, the most
a large drop (61%) in the proportion of                                                                   with severe or fatal
                                                      prevalent chronic comorbidities were obesity
all behavioral health complaints coded as                                                                 COVID-19, the most
                                                      and hypertension followed by type 2 diabetes,
                                                                                                          prevalent chronic
suicidal ideation. Conversely, the proportion         cardiovascular disease, respiratory disease,        comorbidities were
of all behavioral complaints coded for alcohol        cerebrovascular disease, malignancy, kidney         obesity and hypertension
increased somewhat (28.2% to 33.5%). The              disease and liver disease, but alcohol use was      followed by type 2
authors noted that it was very difficult to           not investigated.38                                 diabetes, cardiovascular
determine the extent to which apparent                   For future studies, a complicating factor        disease, respiratory
declines in ED presentation for suicidal idea-        in determining whether there is a causal            disease, cerebrovascular
tion reflected real declines in the population        pathophysiological pathway between alcohol          disease, malignancy,
or was a result of fewer people seeking – but         and the effect of COVID-19 infection may be         kidney disease and liver
still requiring – emergency mental health                                                                 disease.
                                                      the frequent co-occurrence of other major
assistance due to the stay-at-home order. This        risk factors that have both independent and
will become clearer when presentation rates           inter-related effects. Obesity for instance, is
can be compared against general population            not only a significant risk factor for a severe
suicide rates. Alternatively, it is plausible         course of COVID-19, but also for hypertension
that social distancing might have reduced             and type 2 diabetes; heavy drinking is a risk
stressors related to suicidal thoughts or led         factor for all three of these conditions. Each of
large numbers of sufferers to use on-line or          these conditions are also considered indi-
tele-help services.37                                 vidual risk factors (i.e. without the necessary
   The full extent to which alcohol use has           presence of other risk factors) for a severe
affected individuals with pre-existing or             course of COVID-19. The mechanisms for an
newly acquired mental health conditions,              association between obesity and COVID-19
either as a direct result of infection or a result    remains unresolved, but a possible explana-
of social and economic changes wrought                tion is that the virus not only accumulates in

                                  ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES            13
PHOTO: KELLY SIKKEMA / UNSPLASH
                           adipose tissue, but that adipose tissue is also   42%, although whether this was due to those
                           an origin for the inflammatory response.19        in the ‘ever’ group having a higher frequency
                              In a cohort study of nearly 400,000            of exposure to high-risk settings (e.g. pubs,
                           participants, including 760 hospitalisations      nightclubs, restaurants), as opposed to
                           for COVID-19, heavy alcohol use (assessed         biological factors, was not studied.41
                           several years before) was not associated with        Unexpected reports of apparent protective
                           an increased risk for COVID-19 infection or       effects from regular heavy alcohol consump-
                           hospitalization.39 Notably, it was common for     tion have also emerged. It has been reported
                           participants to have stopped drinking before      that for people with both chronic lung disease
                           the study due to prescribed medication and        and a history of alcohol or substance misuse,
                           underlying health conditions which could          a positive COVID-19 result is less likely.42 This
                           mask increased risk due to alcohol.               finding is contrary to what would be expected
                              A review of substance use disorders            on the basis of many past studies which
                           and COVID-19 found that people with               have demonstrated a relationship between
                           such disorders are at greater risk of worse       chronic lung disease and alcohol including
                           COVID-19 outcomes. Factors that increased         pneumonia, tuberculosis, respiratory syncytial
                           risk included stress, pre-existing cardio-pul-    virus infection, and acute respiratory distress
                           monary conditions, compromised immunity,          syndrome (ARDS).43 It is possible that this
                           factors related to health care, lack of social    apparent protective effect was an artefact
                           distancing and wide relaxation of restrictions    of reduced social circulation and extra
                           on alcohol sales, particularly on-trade.40 A      precautions taken by people with chronic lung
                           US case-control study found that alcohol          disease, since the study only examined the
                           consumption (ever versus never) increased         likelihood of a positive test result rather than
                           the risk of testing positive for COVID-19 by      severity of disease.

14   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
1 EFFECTS

    A UK study also found that red wine            of the virus – relies heavily on individuals
consumption was associated with decreased          consciously curtailing normal every-day social
likelihood of testing positive for COVID-19.44     interactions that involve physical contact (e.g.
However, like many other observational             shaking hands, hugging) or close proximity to
studies involving self-reported alcohol use45,     one another (e.g. shared transportation, office
it is likely that apparent protective effects of   space, social dining, dancing).
red wine are due to other protective factors          Alcohol, one of the world’s most commonly
common among people who regularly                  consumed psychoactive substances, has long
consume red wine (in this case, 52% of the         been known to reduce inhibition even at
adult population) e.g. diet and socioeconomic      low levels and impair judgement starting at
status.                                            moderate levels. These cognitive effects are
                                                   established risk factors for a range of negative
1.5 C
     ognitive-behavioral effects of               social harms including impaired driving,
    alcohol and drinking context                   violence, sexual risk taking and injuries.
Alcohol has a profound impact on trans-            Alcohol intoxication, in particular, increases
mission of COVID-19. At this point, much           sexual risk-taking, aggressive behavior,
of the evidence for increased risk associated      and the risk of motor vehicle accidents.46
with alcohol is around behavioral effects on       Supported by laboratory studies with humans
drinkers, and the characteristics of drinking      and animals, it has been theorized that
settings or contexts (i.e. social factors,         alcohol undermines judgement and inhibitory
entertainment activities), rather than direct      behaviors by narrowing drinker focus onto          Alcohol, one
physiological effects on host susceptibility       provocative or instigatory information at the      of the world’s
                                                   expense of inhibitory cues.47 Several studies of
and transmissibility.
                                                   adolescents and youths exposed to different
                                                                                                      most commonly
Cognitive-behavioral effects                       doses of alcohol (blood alcohol contents           consumed
Most of the behavioral effects of alcohol that     ~0.06–0.09%) for instance, demonstrate             psychoactive
impact COVID-19 transmission relate to its         impaired inhibitory control on a variety of        substances, has
                                                   response inhibition tasks.48,49
acute effects that result in reduced inhibition
                                                      Alcohol exposure also impairs performance
                                                                                                      long been known
and increased relaxation at relatively low
levels of consumption, and moderate to             and cognitive processes such as memory,            to reduce inhibition
severe impairment of executive function at         ability to focus attention, and planning, even     even at low
higher levels of use. As a very contagious         at low levels. While alcohol intoxication has      levels and impair
                                                   been shown to impair judgment, laboratory
virus, COVID-19 is easily transmitted
                                                   studies of perception, motor skills and cog-
                                                                                                      judgement starting
between people by direct physical contact or
through the air, with risk increasing dramat-      nitive performance show that decline begins        at moderate levels.
ically with closer proximity. This means that      with BACs >0.0, that is, even after the first
mindful individual actions are essential to        drink.50–52 This suggests that alcohol can lead
reducing personal exposure to the virus from       to poor decision making well before intoxica-
others, as well as limiting exposure to others.    tion is perceived or the drinker feels ‘drunk’.
Thus, a pandemic creates a situation where         This could lead to behaviors considered
individuals need to be aware of increased          undesirable under pandemic conditions such
personal risk and take effective preventative      as hugging each other or simply standing too
actions, including frequent hand washing,          close to others.
sneezing and coughing hygienically, and
maintaining social distancing. Critically,         Drinking contexts
social distancing – the most effective strategy    Several common drinking contexts interact
currently available for reducing personal          with the acute cognitive and behavioral
risk and containing community transmission         effects of alcohol on drinkers in manner

                                 ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   15
1 EFFECTS

                           that is likely to exacerbate transmission of           These theoretical concerns are reinforced
                           COVID-19. These include going to bars and           by the numerous reports and studies docu-
                           clubs, attending college or university parties,     menting that alcohol-centric social contexts
                           or attending large private functions. Although      have played a crucial role in ‘super-spreader’
                           these drinking contexts may be considered           events, amplification of the outbreak early
                           associated with alcohol consumption, the            in the pandemic, and later resurgence after
                           experience of drinking with others can also         initial control. COVID-19 transmission on
                           be a key motivation for engaging in such            the East Coast of the U.S., for example, was
                           activities. In each of these contexts, alcohol      initially fueled by a large private party in
                           consumption may provide the primary                 Connecticut54 and a biotechnology confer-
                           rationale for attending settings where alcohol      ence in Massachusetts55. The resurgence of
                           is available (i.e., going to a bar to drink) and/   COVID-19 in many countries has been linked
                           or an exacerbating factor tightly linked (i.e.      to the re-opening of bars and nightclubs,
                           readily available) to settings where individu-      music festivals, motorcycle rallies, and cam-
                           als seek out social engagement (e.g., weddings      pus parties with the resumption of college,
                           or large private gatherings).                       among other examples. Conversely, closing or
                              We can consider the act of attending a           restricting access to bars and nightclubs has
                           nightclub as an example of a high risk social       been linked to significant declines in trans-
                           behaviour in which alcohol plays a central          mission and slowed community spread.56–59
                           role in elevating risk of COVID-19 transmis-           Acute behavioral effects from alcohol and
                           sion. Nightclubs involve high concentrations        social contexts involving the use of alcohol
                           of people circulating in an indoor space,           (often to the point of impairment) may
                           ensuring relatively close proximity to a large      be most impactful in terms of COVID-19
                           number of other individuals in a confined           transmission. Nevertheless, heavy alcohol
                           area. Like many other shared indoor spaces          use and alcohol use disorder are also worth
                           (including offices, hospitals, schools), ventila-   considering because behavioral and socio-
                           tion may be poor and the rate of air exchange       economic risk factors for these behaviours/
                           (i.e. swapping stale inside air for fresh outside   conditions also appear to be risk factors for
                           air) may be limited.53 Those who are drinking       COVID-19.60 For example, those with severe
                           cannot wear masks, and the disinhibiting            alcohol use disorder may be more likely to
                           effects of alcohol may further reduce con-          be poor, have chronic medical conditions,
                           scious social distancing behaviours. Further,       smoke, and have unstable housing or live in
                           increasing the risk of transmission, loud noise     crowded conditions such as shelters, all of
                           and loss of inhibition may lead drinkers to         which are risk factors for incident COVID-19
                           move closer to one another, shouting to be          infection and possibly worse outcomes among
                           heard, perhaps also while singing or dancing        those who become infected. In addition, those
                           or engaging in other forms of exertion (poten-      with less severe alcohol use disorders but who
                           tially increasing respiration rate and forced       nevertheless are heavy drinkers (constituting
                           expiration). Furthermore, frequent physical         the majority of people with alcohol use dis-
                           contact with other patrons and touching of          orders), even in the absence of acute use, are
                           surfaces (table tops, bar glasses) may present      more likely to be afflicted with neurodegener-
                           additional risk for transmission. Finally,          ative conditions or mental health problems.
                           because most club patrons are unlikely to be        Executive functioning (decision-making and
                           known to one another, those feeling unwell          judgement) may also be affected to the extent
                           may be less concerned about possible COVID-         that consistent engagement in protective
                           19 transmission than if they were attending         behaviors such as maintaining social dis-
                           a gathering within their own social or family       tancing and proper mask wearing and hand
                           networks.                                           hygiene are more difficult.

16   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
1 EFFECTS

    FIG 2 On a scale of 1 to 10, how risky is…

                                       Opening the mail
                             Getting restaurant takeout

                                                                                               LOW RISK
                                       Pumping gasoline
                                           Playing tennis
                                         Going camping
                                       Grocery shopping
       Going for a walk, run or bike ride with others
                                             Playing golf

                                                                                               LOW – MODERATE
                       Staying at a hotel for two nights
                     Sitting in a doctor’s waiting room
                          Going to a library or museum
                        Eating in a restaurant (outside)
                           Walking in a busy downtown
                    Spending an hour at a playground
              Having dinner at someone else’s house
                                       Going to a beach

                                                                                               MODERATE RISK
                                      Shopping at a mall
                 Working a week in an office building
                             Swimming in a public pool
    Visiting an elderly relative or friend in their home
                  Going to a hair salon or barbershop
                                                                                               MODERATE – HIGH

                          Eating in a restaurant (inside)
                       Attending a wedding or funeral
                                       Traveling by plane
                          Playing basketball or football
   Hugging or shaking hands when greeting a friend
                                       Eating at a buffet
                                    Working out in a gym
                                                                                               HIGH RISK

    Going to a movie theater or an amusement park
                       Attending a large music concert
                              Going to a sports stadium
                                          Going to a bar

SOURCE: Texas Medical Association

                                        ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   17
PHOTO: LOGAN WEAVER / UNSPLASH

18   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
2 ALCOHOL USE

2 Population level alcohol
   use, related social harms
   and the pandemic

At a whole-of-society (i.e., population) level,   alcohol-related harm is expressed (e.g. less
whether or not overall alcohol use stays the      public violence but more domestic violence).
same, decreases or increases during the           Effects of change in availability may also vary
pandemic and into the longer-term, will           across sub-populations (e.g. gender, age,
depend on a wide range of factors that will       socio-economic status) depending on related
vary among drinking cultures, governments         underlying risks (e.g. mental health prob-
and countries. Nevertheless, established          lems) and drinking patterns (e.g. low-level
‘availability’ theory, in combination with        regular use, episodic heavy drinking).
studies of how drinkers have responded to            Also key to determining the pandemic’s              Decades of scientific
major social upheaval or crises in the past,      effect on population-level alcohol con-                research point to policy
provide valuable insights into how drinker        sumption are the strong inter-relationships            and regulation responses
populations are likely to respond.                between alcohol use, particularly heavy                that can influence
   Decades of scientific research point to        use, psychological distress or mental health           alcohol’s ‘availability’
policy and regulation responses that can          problems. Substance use and mental health              during the pandemic as
influence alcohol’s ‘availability’ during the     problems co-occur frequently and it has been           fundamental to deter-
                                                                                                         mining the direction and
pandemic as fundamental to determining            argued that effective treatments and preven-
                                                                                                         magnitude of change
the direction and magnitude of change in          tion strategies need to consider both aspects
                                                                                                         in alcohol consumption
alcohol consumption and related harms at a        of the relationship in order to be effective.e.g. 64   and related harms at a
population level.61–63 There are both economic    It is likely, therefore, that the extent to which      population level.
and physical aspects to alcohol availability.     the pandemic exacerbates pre-existing mental
All else being equal, economic availability is    health problems or leads to newly emerged
higher when retail prices are lower relative      problems, will also have considerable bearing
to disposable income (i.e. alcohol is more        on population alcohol use, although not nec-
affordable). Physical availability is higher      essarily in a manner that is evenly distributed
when ease of access is greater such as when       among sub-populations.
numbers of outlets increase or hours of sale         Two recent studies support the importance
are extended. When availability changes also      of economic and physical alcohol availability
affect where and how alcohol is consumed          as well as mental health concerns in deter-
(e.g. by shifting drinking from bars to homes),   mining the pandemic’s effects on population
then it can also lead to changes in how           level alcohol consumption. De Goeij et al.

                               ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES              19
2 ALCOHOL USE

                           (2015)65 and Rehm et al. ( 2020)66 examined                                    2.1 Population-level alcohol consump-
                           impacts of past economic (e.g. recessions)                                          tion before and after the pandemic
                           and public health (e.g. the SARS outbreak)
                                                                                                          Pre-COVID-19, between 1990 and 2017, per-
                           crises on population level alcohol use. They
                                                                                                          adult global alcohol consumption increased
                           identified psychological distress, level of
                                                                                                          substantially by 10% (5.9 L pure alcohol to
                           income/budgetary constraints, and changes
                                                                                                          6.5 L). Manthey et al (2019)67 predicted that
                           to price and/or physical availability of alcohol
                                                                                                          the upward trend would continue, and that by
                           as key predictors of consumption. In relation
                                                                                                          2030, global consumption would increase by
                           to the COVID-19 pandemic therefore, a range
                                                                                                          a further 17%, reaching 7.6 L. The prevalence
                           of outcomes are possible depending on how
                                                                                                          of current drinkers was also projected to
                           and in what combination, these key ‘mech-
                                                                                                          rise (45% in 1990 to 50% in 2030), while
                           anisms’ are engaged. For instance, elevated
                                                                                                          the prevalence of lifetime abstainers was
                           psychological distress in a community may
                                                                                                          expected to decline (46% to 40%). Prior to the
                           lead to some increasing their alcohol use, but
                                                                                                          pandemic, therefore, it was clear that world-
                           this may be countered by an overall reduction
                                                                                                          wide numbers of drinkers and total alcohol
                           in physical access to alcohol through alcohol
                                                                                                          consumption were on the rise.
                           sales bans or an overall increase in price.
                                                                                                             Alcohol use causes a substantial burden
                           Another scenario might involve shutting
                                                                                                          of global mortality and morbidity68, the true
                           down all on-trade functions of bars and res-
                                                                                                          extent of which may not yet have been fully
                           taurants (i.e. dine-in food and alcohol service)
                                                                                                          realized.45,69 Further increases in total and
                           while, at the same time, lifting their off-trade
                                                                                                          per-capita use will, in all likelihood, present
                           alcohol sales restrictions. This would effec-
                                                                                                          further challenges for public health, safety
                           tively increase the total number of off-trade
                                                                                                          and the burden that alcohol places on society.
                           outlets, as pubs and restaurants are enabled
                                                                                                          Further, as discussed previously in this
                           to sell alcohol via take-away and home
                                                                                                          report, due to its various physiological and
                           delivery services, with or without provision of
                                                                                                          behavioral effects – heavy use and intoxi-
                           food. This might only lead to a slight increase
                                                                                                          cation in particular – alcohol may increase
                           in consumption overall but a large increase in
                                                                                                          vulnerability to COVID-19 infection, severity
                           the amount of alcohol consumed in the home.
                                                                                                          and enhance transmission of the virus.
                                                                                                             At the present time and based on available
                                                                                                          data, it is premature to conclusively deter-
                                                                       FOTO: OSCAR SODERLUND / UNSPLASH

                                                                                                          mine, or to easily characterize, how total
                                                                                                          consumption or patterns of use have changed
                                                                                                          during the pandemic. What is almost certain,
                                                                                                          however, is that there will be substantial
                                                                                                          variability in how populations respond
                                                                                                          depending on the form and magnitude of the
                                                                                                          key mechanisms described above.
                                                                                                             Documentation and analysis of the impacts
                                                                                                          of the pandemic on alcohol consumption
                                                                                                          levels and patterns are complicated by wide
                                                                                                          variations in pre-pandemic consumption
                                                                                                          levels and drinking patterns between regions.
                                                                                                          Interpretation also needs to take account of
                                                                                                          variations within regions by gender, age and
                                                                                                          a raft other factors including the extent to
                                                                                                          which COVID-19 has impacted on social and
                                                                                                          economic functioning. In addition, in any one

20   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
2 ALCOHOL USE

location, consumption may shift over time due      demographic, socio-economic and geographic
to changes in alcohol policies. On a more fun-     differences among respondents, it was the
damental level, capacity to examine COVID-19       presence of psychological distress since the
effects on population level alcohol use will       advent of the pandemic that most strongly
depend heavily on how alcohol consumption          predicted increased alcohol use.77 Recent
is measured (e.g., independently reported alco-    accounts from Scotland concur regarding the
hol sales data vs. self-report survey data), the   association between pandemic-related stress
quality and timeliness of the data and indeed,     and increased alcohol use, particularly among
whether data are available at all.                 vulnerable drinkers, i.e. people who already
                                                   drank at higher levels before the pandemic.78
Self-report surveys                                Commentary from local health and research
The development of consumption varies              sectors also points to increased consumption
in different parts of the world. For some          being facilitated by increased physical
people isolation, boredom and anxiety have         availability of alcohol in the form of heavily
led to increased drinking where alcohol            marketed off-trade sales and unfettered home
has still been available. For others the loss      delivery services.79 A nation-wide survey of
of income and reduced access to alcohol            3,000 U.S. employees working from home
has led to reduced consumption. Alcohol            reported that about one third believed they
consumption surveys during the pandemic            would drink more alcohol during lockdown or
have largely focused on whether respondents        self-isolation than under normal conditions.
have increased or decreased their drinking in      A similar proportion said that when working
recent times. Although these data preclude         from home they were more likely to drink
conclusions regarding quantitative assess-         alcohol during work hours compared to their
ments of population-level alcohol use and          usual work place.80
tend to be from high-income countries, they
are nonetheless informative. Surveys have          Alcohol sales
largely shown a higher percentage of respond-      Beyond surveys, alcohol sales data (where
ents increasing their drinking, as opposed         available), also provide an avenue for
to decreasing. For example, in Canada (20%         identifying potential consumption changes.
increasing v. 10% decreasing), Germany (35%        Official national sales data are typically
v. 19%), the U.S. (39% v. 12%) and the U.K.        reported annually, and are therefore not yet
(43% v. 15%).70–73 The Global Drug Survey74        available for the pandemic period. However,
also reported increased consumption by 36%         some information can be gleaned from
of respondents and decreased consumption           industry documents such as volume-based
by 22%, although available data were scarce        sales reports of two large alcohol companies,
and limited to 20 countries with generally         AB InBev and Diageo. According to interim
high-income. Conversely, an online survey          reports for the six months ending June 2020,
conducted in nine European countries               AB InBev incurred a 13% decrease in alcohol
reported 36% of respondents had decreased          volume sold compared to the same period in
alcohol use and less than 10% had increased.75     the previous year.81 Diageo reported a similar
Similar results were found for Norway.76           decline of 11% in sales volume.82 It is difficult
   In Australia, self-reported changes             to infer changes to total alcohol consumption,
in consumption tended overall towards              as alcohol users may pivot to cheaper or unre-
increased use, and were much larger for            corded forms of alcohol. These sales-based
women than for men. For women, caring for          declines differed substantially by region. AB
dependent children was a major predictor of        InBev, for instance, reported a 3% decline
increased alcohol use, whereas for males, loss     in North America and a 22% decline in Asia
of employment or reduced work hours were           Pacific. Likewise, Diageo’s North American
predictive. However, accounting for a range of     sales indicated the greatest stability, dropping

                                ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES   21
2 ALCOHOL USE

                           only 1% compared to declines of 30% or more        facilitated by rapid emergence of wide-spread
                           in all other global regions.                       home-delivery services. Reports in the UK,89
                              In Sweden, recorded sales from the retail       US and Australia88 indicate online sales
                           monopoly Systembolaget increased by about          increases beyond 200%. For some regions,
                           12% in the January-June period83, however,         these newly emerged modes of sale are
                           there was also a large drop in unrecorded          entirely novel, such as take-away service
                           sales (such as personal imports). Overall          from bars and restaurants in areas where
                           consumption is estimated to have decreased         home delivery was not previously available,
                           by 7% during March and April.84 Both the           e.g. West Bengal in India has begun allowing
                           Norwegian and Finnish alcohol monopolies           alcohol delivery services. In Sweden too, a
                           have reported large off-trade sales increases,     number of municipalities have permitted
                           but in Finland this has been balanced by           licensed outlets to provide take-away alcohol,
                           much less drinking in on-trade locations,          in conflict with current alcohol legislation90;
                           such as bars and restaurants.76,85                 decisions from the courts are pending.
                              Country-specific sales data provide                In summary, as expected, impacts of the
                           snapshots of alcohol purchasing patterns,          pandemic on alcohol consumption across
                           but short time periods undermine their             regions have been variable – in keeping with
                           usefulness as sold alcohol may not be              equally variable responses by government
                           immediately consumed. In many countries            decision makers, pre-pandemic drinking
                           where there was a possibility of liquor stores     patterns and societal norms. There is also
Also central to            being deemed ‘non-essential’ a temporary,          emerging evidence of divergence among
any consideration          large sales peak was observed that likely          drinker groups within regions related
                           represents a stockpiling effect. Reports from      to pre-pandemic drinking patterns and
of the extent to           March 2020 show large increases in weekly          psychological distress. Perhaps of greatest
which alcohol              sales compared to previous years, e.g. +54%        importance, however, will be how these
contributes to             in the UK86, +40% in Canada87, +34% in             changes play out in the longer term. The
the total health           Australia88 and +55% in the U.S.88 However,        most significant long-run changes in alcohol
                           in most cases sales fell back to approximately     consumption and related harms are likely to
burden on society          historical levels after initial panic buying had   be driven by changes to alcohol policy that
is the degree of           ceased.                                            have occurred in response to the pandemic.
burden that these                                                             This will be particularly true in cases where
                           Modes of sale and access to alcohol
outcomes incur                                                                regulatory polices loosened ‘temporarily’
                           As above, at this point in the pandemic, it is     during the pandemic are not swiftly returned
to public health           difficult to definitively discern whether alco-    to pre-pandemic status.
services.                  hol consumption has increased, decreased
                           or perhaps even remained stable in a given         2.2 Alcohol-related social harms
                           population. That said, in many countries           Many harms related to alcohol use extend
                           there have been obvious changes to the ways        well beyond the physical health and wellbeing
                           in which alcohol can be accessed, at least         of the drinker and this is no less true in the
                           temporarily, and the locations where it can be     context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Alcohol-
                           consumed.                                          related social harms are a function both
                              Many lockdowns have included closure of         of the amount of alcohol consumed, and
                           on-trade outlets (bars and restaurants) and        physical and social contexts in which that
                           shifted purchasing towards off-trade outlets       consumption occurs. Alcohol-related harms
                           (take-away shops). This has correspondingly        are typically conceptualized as having a strong
                           shifted drinking away from on-trade venues         social aspect including such outcomes as
                           and into private residences. There have been       interpersonal violence, domestic violence,
                           reports of very large online sales increases       child neglect and abuse, pre-natal alcohol

22   ALCOHOL AND THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC: INDIVIDUAL, SOCIETAL AND POLICY PERSPECTIVES
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