A review of national EV statistics and state-specific travel patterns and transportation electrification metrics - Atlas Public Policy December ...
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A review of national EV statistics and state- specific travel patterns and transportation electrification metrics Atlas Public Policy December 2020
Our Key Focus Areas • Access: Collect and disseminate publicly available information. • Interpret: Create technology • DC-based policy tech firm started to spur insights and conduct in 2015 data-driven analyses. • We equip businesses and policymakers to make strategic, • Empower: Strengthen informed decisions through the policymakers, businesses, greater use of technology that and non-profits’ ability to aggregates publicly available meet emerging challenges information and identify and seize opportunities.
• The EV Hub gives stakeholders from across the EV industry quick access to key data and information on the market, policies and regulations, and activities by the EV community • A one-stop shop for businesses, policy professionals, and the advocacy community to learn more about what’s going on in the EV market • A comprehensive platform for the EV community: www.atlasevhub.com Free access for public agencies and Clean Cities Coordinators!
Data Sources by Category • All national data is collected by National Figures Atlas • Atlas EV Hub Dashboards • State-specific metrics are either statewide or from 1 urban region State Emissions in Nevada (Core Based Statistical • U.S. EPA/EIA Area): • Union of Concerned Scientists • Las Vegas (Las Vegas-Henderson- State Travel Behavior Paradise, NV) • Federal Highway Administration • Caveats • 2017 National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) • National Household Travel Survey State Mass Transit (NHTS) data is a survey (not population-level data) • National Transit Database
• The auto market overall is down 17 percent through September • U.S. passenger EV sales rallied in Q3, only down 2% compared to 2019 • EV market holding steady around 2% of all light-duty vehicle sales and > 5% of passenger car sales • Tesla accounts for 60% of sales since 2018
• Automakers and other stakeholders continue to rollout EV investment as sales recover • $443 billion in global investment • $71 billion destined for U.S. • $14 billion in new investment between July and October • GM leads new investment push with $2 billion commitment in October
EV Funding $48,269,635 (4%) $100,054,575 (8%) • Government programs have $120,532,598 , 10% provided more than $1.25 billion for electric trucks and buses through October 2020 • Almost 60% going to electric transit buses $715,055,429 (59%) • Electric trucks and school buses each claim roughly 20% $228,134,436 (19%) • 20% of funding awarded through the VW Settlement Transit Bus School Bus Delivery Trucks Freight Trucks Other Trucks
• More than 14 new EVs introduced since July 2019 • Luxury brands like BMW, Volvo and Porsche claim the most EV models • Ford, GM, and Fiat-Chrysler only claim 5 out of 52 EVs across all brands
More EV Models are Coming Very Soon • Some new EVs have been delayed by COVID-19 • Rivian and Tesla electric pickups expected in second half of 2021 • Volkswagen ID4 crossover in production in Europe, will be made in U.S. in 2022
• More than 18,800 fast charging ports • More competition for market-leader Tesla • Electrify America nationwide network reaches coast to coast • ChargePoint entered the stock market through a reverse merger * Estimated based on dates stations added to AFDC Station Locator Source: Atlas EV Hub (www.atlasevhub.com)
• Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF) projects EVs to reach 60% of new passenger vehicles sales in the U.S. by 2040. • EVs only expected to account for 4% of new vehicles sales in 2023 • Electric buses and trucks to make up 64% and 15% of global fleets by 2040 Source: BNEF
Analysis of emissions and EV deployment and funding This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND
In-state and regional 75% of VW Announced Plans to partnerships Settlement Funds Join ZEV Program in targeting charging Unspent June 2020 infrastructure rollout
EV Sales (through September 2020) EV Charging Deployment • State Total: 11,194 (23rd in nation) • State Level 2 Total: 691 ports • Change 2019-2020 (Jan - September): +1% • State DCFC Total: 303 ports (20th in nation) • EVs per 1k People: 3.83 (14th in nation) • DCFC per 1k people: 0.10 (6th in nation) • Models Offered: 43 out of 52 Approved Utility Investment Government Funding for EVs • State Approved Total: $4.4 million • State Total since 2018: $10 million • Pending Investment: $0 million • % of Total Awarded in 2020: 0%
’ Mobile Emissions by Mode (tons) • Nevada ranks 39th of 50 On-Road Heavy states in total CO2 emissions Duty Vehicles and 40th in energy Non-Road Equipment 4% 39% Aircraft 4% consumption for all sectors Locomotives per capita 2% • Light-duty vehicles account for 51% of the state’s mobile emissions of criteria air pollutants On-Road Light Duty Vehicles 51% Sources: EIA State Carbon Dioxide Emissions Data, EIA State Profiles
• The state falls in NWPP grid region • Driving an EV charged in NWPP region produces emissions comparable to 102- mpg vehicle • This puts the state above the national average of 88 mpg Source: Union of Concerned Scientists
• 11k EVs sold in Nevada through September 2020 • 23rd out of 50 states • 23.8 EVs per 1,000 people • 14th out of 50 states • Sales up 1% between January and September compared to 2019 • Most Popular EVs since 2019: • Tesla Model 3 (2,461) • Tesla Model X (521) • Tesla Model Y (417)
EV Awards $1,500,000 $10M awarded for EVs 15% and EV charging in $5.4M from VW Nevada through Settlement October 2020 EVs account for 100% 73% of state’s VW Settlement $5,371,880 of awards made allocation 55% through VW Settlement unspent $2,975,000 30% School bus funding Grants for available from NV buses open Energy Airport Support Ground Equipment Transit Bus Charging Station
• In June 2020, Nevada Governor Steve Sisolak announced plans to join the California ZEV program • State would join 12 others requiring automakers to offer a certain percentage of EVs for sale in the state • Nevada is already a part of REV West Plan • Plan establishes interstate coordination between AZ, ID, CO, MT, NM, UT, and WY on corridor charging infrastructure • Nevada Electric Highway agreement between NV Energy and Office of Energy • Target to install DC fast charging along I-95 connecting Reno and Las Vegas throughout 2020
A review of vehicle miles traveled (VMT) statewide and travel choices in Las Vegas using data from 2017 National Household Travel Survey This Photo by Unknown Author is licensed under CC BY-SA
• Trucks, including light-duty, VMT (million of miles) Other Truck account for 22% of VMT in Bus 1,773 6% Motorcycle 128 state 297 1% 0% • Drivers in Las Vegas reported Light Truck 4,412 an average 9,545 annual VMT 16% • Lower than average of 11,620 annual VMT across 52 most populous U.S. metros* Passenger Vehicle 21,708 77% * Combined Statistical Areas with a population of more than 1 million Source: https://www.fhwa.dot.gov/policyinformation/statistics/2018/vm4.cfm
• In urban Nevada, personal vehicles made up 92% of reported annual VMT • Average across 52 major U.S. metro areas* was 90% • Urban drivers in Las Vegas drive more pickups compared to average across major 52 U.S. metro areas Annual VMT in Metro Nevada by Annual VMT in All U.S. Major Metro Vehicle Type Regions by Vehicle Type 11% 9% 9% 8% 53% 54% 28% 28% * Combined Statistical Areas with a population of more than 1 million Source: https://nhts.ornl.gov/
Annual Passenger Miles Per Person by Mode Walk Bike School Bus Transit Bus Train 400 350 Annual Passenger Miles Per Person by Mode 300 • Transit buses are 2nd most 250 popular travel mode after passenger vehicles in urban 200 Nevada • No reported train in metro Nevada 150 100 • Bus travel in Nevada roughly equals national average 50 0 Nevada Metros Top 52 Metros
A review of transit patterns in major urban areas using data from National Transit Database
• Per person transit bus usage double in las Vegas compared to Reno • Only metro rail services in Nevada are in Las Vegas • Vanpool is a popular mode of transit travel in Reno Annual Passenger Transit Miles Per Capita 140 Annual Miles Travelled Per Capita 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Las Vegas Reno Demand Response Rail Bus Van pool Source: https://www.transit.dot.gov/ntd/transit-agency-profiles
2018 Passenger Las Vegas 2018 Passenger Miles Miles by Vehicle Fuel Type by Vehicle Fuel Type 18% • Transit agencies awarded $3 million for 82% electric transit bus procurement since Diesel CNG Gasoline 2018 Reno • Neither Las Vegas nor Reno reported passenger miles on battery electric transit in 2018 • Reno reports 21 electric buses in their fleet as of 2020 42% 40% • Las Vegas has no reported electric transit buses • CNG buses dominate the Las Vegas fleet 18% Source: https://www.transit.dot.gov/ntd/data-product/2018-fuel-and-energy
• CNG busses account for more than 70% of the Las Vegas fleet • Reno has 21 electric transit buses while Vegas has none. • Biodiesel transit buses make up more than 60% of the Reno fleet 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Las Vegas (2020) Reno (2020) CNG 369 0 Diesel Hybrid 0 2 Battery Electric 0 21 Bio Diesel 90 46 Diesel 40 0 Source: https://www.apta.com/research-technical-resources/transit-statistics/vehicle-database
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