2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight

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2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight
2021
     Global
     Trends
     Outlook
     By Aaron Jourden

Image Source: Pret A Manger UK Instagram   ©2020 Technomic, Inc.
2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight
2021 Global Trends Outlook

We can only guess what’s in        on chain menus across the
store for 2021 in the global       world. So, what’s in store for the
restaurant space. 2020 showed      coming year? Here’s Technomic’s
us—among so many things—           2021 global restaurant forecast
that what’s expected and what      as best we see it.
happens don’t always align,
to say the least. That said,
we think our 2020 restaurant
                                   It’s a Plant-Based
trend forecast holds up fairly
                                   World. Now What?
well given the reality of the      With the recent arrival of
marketplace affected so            meatless luncheon meat, there
                                                                        Image Source: OmniPork China Facebook
drastically by the pandemic.       is zero doubt that plant-based
Ghost kitchens certainly moved     foods and drinks are now fully           OmniPork is designed to
mainstream. Vegan fare got         mainstream on the global stage.          be an all-purpose, plant-
more space to stretch and grow.    Brands and products have                based pork analogue that is
Plant-based meats continued        launched at rapid paces from             environmentally friendly
to inform product development,     Latin America to China and from
especially across Asia. Beverage   South Africa to Germany (and            in an increasingly crowded
chains certainly broke out from    all places in between). 2021            marketplace that has seen all
the crowd—again, especially in     poses questions for the suddenly        manner of upstarts, both local
Asia. And halloumi, pinsa pizzas   mature category. Namely, how            and global? Expect plant-based
and sliders had strong showings    do brands create separation             meat players to begin cementing
                                                                           points of differentiation from
                                                                           key competitors to stand out in
                                                                           the crowd. Think local, healthy,
                                         Pinsa pizza, or                   indulgent, sustainable. We’ll
                                                                           begin to see some consolidation
                                      Roman-style pizza,                   as first-movers grab emergent
                                       has a crust which                   brands. More meat alternatives
                                           is less dense                   will roll out in the pork, fish and
                                              and chewy                    lamb categories (maybe even
                                            compared to                    frog and crayfish). Local brands
                                                a regular                  will pose stiffer competition to
                                                    pizza                  global brands. And more chains
                                                                           will develop their own in-house
                                                                           meat and dairy alts.

                                                                           Value Gets a Jolt
                                                                           Changing habits and disrupted
                                                                           lifestyles jumbled consumers’
                                                                           value equation in 2020.
                                                                           Restaurants altered their
                                                                           messaging from low prices

                                                                                                     ©2020 Technomic, Inc.
2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight
2021 Global Trends Outlook

                                             Experience Matters                            virtual meals. We will also see
                                             More Than Ever                                more quirky attempts to create
                                                                                           experiences and environments
                                             Convenience is one end of what
                                                                                           that drive patio, parking lot and
                                             will be the barbell strategy for
                                                                                           street dining.
                                             restaurant operators in 2021
                                             and beyond. The other end will
                                             be experience—an increasingly                 ‘New and Improved’
                                             critical driver for both dine-in              Is the New ‘Limited-
                                             and off-premise traffic. Look                 Time Offer’
                                             for chains to complement the                  The immediate impact of the
Image Source: Pret a Manger UK Facebook      takeaway-focused express shops                crisis put menu development
                                             they’re now developing with
     Pret A Manger is offering                                                             on hold across much of the
                                             large-footprint flagship stores
       a new in-shop coffee                                                                world as operators reacted
       subscription service                  and experimental restaurant labs              to quarantines and all the
                                             that showcase menu innovation                 disruption that followed.
                                             not found in traditional units.               Whether by coincidence or by
   to convenience, health and                Standing out amid the off-                    design, operators turned their
   comfort. The focus away                   premise boom will require                     attention to product upgrades
   from dollar menus and deep                more experiential elements,                   as menu development activity
   discounting will continue into            such as creating videos that                  began to pick up. We saw “new
   2021. Restaurants will find               serve as both entertainment                   and improved” items roll out
   success when they provide                 and instruction to go with a                  across to globe, taking some of
   solutions for today’s needs and           meal kit or setting up an online              the spotlight from innovation as
   demands against the backdrop              branded hub for connecting                    consumers craved the familiar
   of the ongoing pandemic. Chief            far-flung families together for               but also new. Looking ahead, we
   among these is convenience in                                                           will see more chains upgrading
   its many forms. Expect operators                                                        their fried chicken, coffee, burger
   to address convenience through                                                          patties and pizza toppings
   a variety of initiatives, including                                                     with higher-quality ingredients
   multi-occasion solutions such                                                           and enhanced preparation
   as large-format, prepared-                                                              methods. Suppliers will play a
   and-bottled beverages and                                                               critical role in the development
   multi-daypart meal bundles to                                                           of these products. That said,
   drive patronage. Importantly,                                                           LTOs remain important. Expect
   chains looking to tap into                                                              more along the lines of celebrity-
   the increasingly ubiquitous                                                             endorsed meals, mashups
   subscription model or the rapidly                                                       that use ingredients already on
   evolving meal-kit format will                                                           hand and app-only secret menu
   need to add something special—         Image Source: Parrilla Urbana Mexico Instagram
                                                                                           items and exclusives. For all
   like a limited-edition face                Sonora Grill Group’s burger                  menu development, expect a
   covering—to these convenience-              box kit lets guests inject                  strong emphasis on local and
   driven value plays to succeed                 cheese sauce via an                       clean label.
   in 2021.                                        included syringe

                                                                                                           ©2020 Technomic, Inc.
2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight
2021 Global Trends Outlook

                                                 year. Look for chains to develop                 with all manner of food, retail,
                                                 outdoor-friendly foods and                       lifestyle and personality brands
                                                 beverages—functional for active                  on unique menu items and retail
                                                 lifestyles and packaged for                      peripherals intended to stun
                                                 outside consumption.                             diners. Mergers and acquisitions
                                                                                                  are likely to pick up as operators
                                                                                                  look to leverage scale and
                                                 What Else to Expect                              potentially snag a delivery-
                                                 Operators will be a taking a hard                focused brand. Finally, expect
                                                 look at changes to their daypart                 more chains to bring some or
                                                 traffic and realign around new                   all of their delivery business in
Image source: Starbucks South Korea Instagram
                                                 consumer habits expected                         house or join a collective with
 Starbucks tapped into South                     to last beyond the pandemic.                     other brands.
 Korea’s camping craze with a                    Put on hold for a short while,
     line of summer gear                         sustainability will return as a
                                                 crucial aspect to all parts of
                                                 the foodservice supply chain.
   The Great Outdoors                            Expect to see collaborations
   Biking is having a moment in                  get even wilder as restaurants
   Indonesia. Camping kits proved                aim to stand out by partnering
   popular in South Korea over
   the summer. Restaurants are
   catering to streetside dining
                                                    Peter Pane
   and finding ways to make
   picnics a thing in modern life.
                                                     developed
   Consumers the world over have                      in-house
   no doubt started spending more               delivery during
   time outdoors as a result of                   confinement
   the pandemic, and that’s likely                 in Germany
   to stick heading into the new
                                                       Image Source: Peter Pane Germany website

   Since 1966, we’ve produced in-depth research
   focused on the foodservice industry.
   We provide insights into consumer, industry and menu trends in the U.S., Canada and 23 countries
   around the world. Our team of experts helps leaders in the industry make complex business
   decisions, set strategy and stay ahead of the curve.

   Contact us to learn more, info@technomic.com
                                                                                                                  ©2020 Technomic, Inc.
2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight 2021 Global Trends Outlook - By Aaron Jourden - Winsight
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