2019 Finance Trends Report - Microsoft Dynamics 365 - senergy services ag
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Introduction It’s a new era. We’re ten years removed from the peak of the financial crisis, a new generation has transformed the workplace and every business is now a ‘technology’ business. The rules of the game have changed. Organisations that fail to evolve find themselves in a growing graveyard of companies that were out-innovated by young, forward-thinking businesses. And now, the role of finance must evolve, too. Today, the stereotype of suit-wearing, number-crunching finance personnel is being replaced by a new breed of finance professionals. These finance leaders are the ligaments that connect technology across the organisation, the muscle that fights risk, the brains that drive innovation and they are the heart that’s embracing a new generation of workers. To thrive in today’s business environment, in a world with growing complexity, organisations are increasingly relying upon the technological and strategic prowess of their financial leaders. Today’s finance professionals must navigate a range of new challenges and responsibilities, reporting on the past, managing the present and creating the future. The following will explore six emerging trends in finance that we believe will help empower finance professionals to better evaluate and manage risk, build innovative corporate strategies and grow their businesses. Page 2
Trends 4 The role of finance grows Finance leaders take on more responsibility 10 Changing customer demands disrupt industries Empowered customers force companies to evolve 20 Technology makes finance smarter and faster New technologies are revolutionising finance 28 Living in the age of uncertainty Uncertainty puts a strain on businesses 34 Businesses adapt to an evolving workforce A new generation enters the workforce 42 Companies face new risks and challenges Business leaders navigate new challenges Page 3
The role of finance grows • The CFO role continues to grow • Finance’s involvement in IT grows • Finance takes on technology risk management • CFOs lead business transformation • The COO role continues to disappear • Finance leaders become strategy leaders • Expectations from Wall Street evolve Page 4
The role of finance grows The CFO role continues to grow Executive summary The role of the CFO can be summed up in two simple truths: 1) if something Finance and the role of the Chief impacts the bottom line, it’s the CFO’s responsibility, and 2) everything Financial Officer (CFO) have been impacts the bottom line. From staffing and employee engagement to product elevated and broadened in the development and mergers and acquisitions, businesses increasingly rely on past several years, a trend that will the financial and strategic prowess of their most senior financial leaders whose continue moving forward. growing influence can be felt throughout the organisation. Finance’s involvement in IT grows Highlights Over the past decade, one of the most visible additions to the CFO’s • Global IT spending is projected to responsibilities has been the management of technology across the business. reach $3.7 trillion in 2018, a 4.5% This should come as no surprise given the growth of technology in all aspects increase from 2017. of the corporate world. Global IT spending is projected to reach $3.7 trillion in • 64% of CFOs reported being 2018, a 4.5% increase from 2017,1 and this growth is projected to continue into asked to take on broader the foreseeable future.2 Today’s businesses spend an average of 3.28% of their operational leadership roles annual revenue on IT and in some industries, such as banking and securities, beyond finance. this rate can be as high as 7.16%.3 • Nearly 70% of CFOs reported plan to increase investment in digital Due to the financial demands technology has created, both as a major transformation in 2018. expense and as a capital asset, it is more important than ever for CFOs to have a comprehensive view of these large financial line items. But technology is now more than just a number on a balance sheet, it’s the lifeblood of many organisations, presenting new risks and revenue opportunities that will determine the future of the business. As technology becomes a critical component in the financial success of an organisation, finance has taken a more significant role in managing technology, particularly in the areas of risk management and investment. Global IT spend is projected to reach $3.7 trillion in 2018. Page 5
In 2017, the average cost of a data breach was $3.62 million. Finance takes on technology risk management You don’t need to look hard to find examples of companies who have been impacted by technology failures or data breaches. Beyond the many unquantifiable costs to a data breach – from customer trust to employee morale – the direct financial cost of a technology failure is significant. In 2017, the average cost of a data breach was $3.62 million; and with an average cost of $141 per lost or stolen record, this number escalates quickly for large businesses.4 In a recent survey by IBM, 48% of CFOs listed cyber risks as a major rising trend transforming the business landscape.5 As a result, finance leaders are taking on greater responsibility in helping their businesses better manage this large financial risk; 57% of CFOs report that risk management will become a critical part of their role in the future, a number that jumps to 66% among CFOs of companies with over $5 billion in revenue.6 Page 6
64% of CFOs reported being asked to take on broader operational leadership roles beyond finance. 70+30+J CFOs lead business The COO role transformation continues to disappear Today’s industry leaders are Finance leaders are increasingly leveraging technology in exciting involved in operations. In a recent 70% new ways to transform their survey by EY, 64% of CFOs reported business models. This trend has being asked to take on broader been exemplified by the upsurge operational leadership roles beyond in Anything as a Service (XaaS) finance.9 This transition has been offerings and on-demand services, partially driven by the decline of which grew 7.3% in 2017.7 the Chief Operating Officer (COO). Today, only 29% of Fortune 500 and CFOs planning to increase With technology leading this S&P 500 companies still have COOs, investment in digital transformation, their newfound role a decrease of 40% from 2000.10 transformation in 2018. as technology leader has also pushed CFOs into the role of transformation This COO decline can be primarily leader, evaluating technology attributed to the fact that the CEOs investments, overseeing product of many major corporations were development and leading strategic promoted from within and had planning for the organisation. previously served as COO, as is the Accordingly, nearly 70% of CFOs case at 48% of Fortune 500 and S&P reported plans to increase investment 500 companies.11 Subsequent to in digital transformation in 2018, these promotions, many companies with 40% planning an increase of opted to eliminate the COO role more than 10%. And with 56% of and divide these responsibilities senior leadership identifying digital between the CEO and the CFO. While transformation as critical to long- the distribution of tasks between term success, CFOs’ involvement in these two executive leaders varies by this area will continue to grow.8 company, often the CEOs, with their strong operational backgrounds, assume responsibility for manufacturing and the supply chain, while CFOs take over procurement and IT oversight. Page 7
Finance leaders become strategy leaders CFOs increasingly find themselves Technology is ubiquitous in modern serving as strategic advisors within businesses, and while CFOs may not Only 54% of technology their companies. One primary be able to code a website or set up a investments are factor driving this shift has been database, like technology, CFOs have technology’s proliferation across also become ubiquitous throughout actually controlled by IT all aspects of business. Where the organisation. Because CFOs departments. technology spending was once possess a deep understanding of primarily consolidated in the IT both the organisation’s technology department, today’s technology and its operational units, they are a budgets are generally distributed natural fit to drive corporate strategy. across the entire organisation. In And with a background in finance, fact, an early 2018 survey found CFOs possess a unique ability to that only 54% of technology apply a systemic and objective lens investments are actually controlled to business decisions. While CFOs by IT departments.12 With software remain saddled with a reputation for and analytics solutions making up an being penny pinchers and number increasing percentage of technology junkies, the shift to a more quantified spend,13 the average CMO now management approach provides an wields as much technology spending essential counterbalance to the gut power as a CIO.14 instinct style of previous decades. Worldwide IT Spending Growth 5+41312282850518585+413305488+514315792+515325994+416346097+4173563100 $4,000 $3,500 $3,000 $2,500 USD (Billions) $2,000 $1,500 $1,000 Global IT spending is projected to reach $500 $3.7 trillion in 2018, a 4.5% increase from 2017, and this growth is projected to con- $0 tinue into the foreseeable future. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Data Center Systems Software Devices IT Services Communication Services Page 8
Expectations from Wall Street evolve Before the mid-1980s, managing a report by Deloitte,15 today’s CFOs company’s investors was relatively should plan on spending at least 20% easy for CFOs. Shareholders were of their time on investor relations. generally an easily defined group with clear motivations and expectations. But with the growth of sophisticated Of the emerging roles of the CFO, this private equity firms in the mid-1980s, new public persona is frequently one coupled with a transformation of of the largest challenges for many of share registers, CFOs suddenly had to today’s finance leaders, who are often deal with institutionalised investors, known more for their discretion than which comprised the majority of their yearning for the spotlight. This shareholders at large firms by the challenge can be compounded by mid-1990s. While the CFO’s influence the competing interests of different had been growing internally for decades, this shift in stakeholder investors; counter to the quarterly relations pushed many CFOs into the pressures of the past decade, public spotlight for the first time. companies like Amazon and Tesla are now shifting some investor mindsets Since the growth of institutionalised towards accepting short-term losses investing in the mid-1980s, CFOs with the prospect of more substantial have played an important role in long-term gains.16 Thus, it is the job managing relationships with private of the CFO to set the strategy for equity firms. And as demands from Wall Street increase, so will the need the business, both short and long- for CFOs to directly engage with term, and to manage shareholder investors. According to a CFO Insights expectations. Get more done CFOs and finance professionals are moving from number crunchers to strategic leaders. To make this transition, finance teams must work faster and smarter. At Microsoft, we are empowering finance professionals to do more with tools that streamline processes, provide greater visibility into operations and deliver actionable insights. Streamline operations Get greater visibility Be more proactive Transitioning to strategic To effectively guide their To grow their businesses, finance work requires that finance organisations, finance leaders leaders must look beyond the professionals spend less time require visibility into all areas of past and into the future. Microsoft on routine accounting tasks. their business. By combining unified empowers leaders with tools From productivity tools, like data in the cloud with powerful data to help them identify emerging Office 365, to workflow visualisation tools, like Power BI, trends, predict outcomes and automation capabilities in Microsoft provides finance leaders automatically optimise workflows Dynamics 365, Microsoft is with a single source of visibility into so that organisations can become helping finance teams get more their organisation – from a high level less reactive and more proactive done, freeing them up so that down to a transactional level – so they with their business strategies and they can spend more time on can make more informed decisions. operations. high-value strategic work. Page 9
Changing customer demands disrupt industries • Innovation raises customer expectations • Millennials evolve • Gen Z gains influence • Corporate responsibility gains momentum • The new X-economies disrupt industries • A-commerce (anywhere) becomes the new reality • Businesses try to take back margins Page 10
Changing customer demands disrupt industries Innovation raises customer expectations Executive summary Stating that technology is changing customer demands feels like stating Driven by technology and the obvious. Innovation – from the printing press and combustion engine demographic shifts, today’s customers to computers and wireless internet – has always been a driver of demand, are more empowered than ever and unlocking new possibilities and raising expectations. Today, we find ourselves expect more from the businesses with at the intersection of rapid innovation and a new generation of consumers which they interact. who have grown up empowered by technology. Highlights Millennials evolve • Millennials make up roughly a The number and influence of Millennials continue to grow. Today, Millennials quarter of the US population and make up roughly a quarter of the US population,17 and according to the will overtake Baby Boomers as Pew Research Centre, they will overtake Baby Boomers as America’s largest America’s largest population in population in 2019 (73 million versus 72 million).18 On the surface, Millennials 2019 (73 million vs. 72 million). look very different from their predecessors: they are more diverse,19 better • Purchases via contactless educated and more likely to be never married than any other adult generation payments are projected to was at the same age.20 increase to $1.3 trillion globally in 2019 and over $2 trillion by 2021. They are also a generation who entered adulthood facing a strong headwind. They have been crippled by student loans, with over 60% of students taking out loans to pay for college.21 The average student loan debt for Millennials graduating in 2017 was nearly $40,000.22 To compound this, many graduated in the midst of the 2008 recession. As a result, they have been pressured to take lower paying jobs and have lower employment rates compared to workers of the same age in past generations.23 The average student However, despite these challenges, Millennials are smart and savvy. They have loan debt for become a generation that is fiscally responsible, with 63% of Millennials setting savings goals and 59% reporting feeling financially secure, higher rates than Millennials graduating Boomers or Gen X.24 73% of Millennials stick to their budgets every month and in 2017 was nearly 16% have saved over $100,000.25 $40,000. Page 11
While their financial burdens have Gen Z’s purchasing behaviours led to lower rates of home and precisely, but what’s clear is that auto ownership,26 Millennials do they already wield great spending spend in other areas; however, influence. There was $829.5 billion they remain thrifty when they do. spent on Gen Z in 2015, accounting Case in point: Amazon accounts for 6.8% of total consumer spending for the largest volume of online that year.28 Furthermore, over 70% apparel sales for Millennials, nearly of parents said their Gen Z children 17%, more than double that of the influenced their buying decisions on next largest seller, Nordstrom.27 clothes and food.29 This shift to thrift has also played a role in the growth of on-demand Gen Z is even more diverse than services, sharing marketplaces their Millennial predecessors and will and online consignment stores. become the nation’s first majority By 2020, Gen Z will non-white generation.30 With this be the third largest Gen Z gains influence diversity comes a much more generation in the US. As the size and influence of the tolerant and inclusive generation.31 Millennial cohort grow, they Additionally, growing up with the are proving themselves to be a internet gave them much greater generation of tech-savvy individuals. visibility into global issues. As a result, But where Millennials were digital they are a very globally and socially- pioneers, helping make technology minded population. 26% of 16-to- mainstream, Gen Z is the first 19-year-olds currently volunteer and generation of digital natives, never 60% reported that they want their having experienced life before jobs to impact the world.32 computers and pervasive internet. 70+30+J Like Millennials, Gen Z is made up of savvy shoppers. According to a recent report by Interactions, 89% of Gen Z considers themselves price-conscious shoppers and listed price as the top factor in making 70% a purchase.33 According to the report, 72% said they would switch from their favourite brand if they found a similar product at a lower price. Members of Gen Z also value community, with 59% preferring local stores over large retailers and Parents who said their Gen 72% saying they would be more Z children influence their willing to shop at national chains if buying decisions. they had more of a local presence in their community. By 2020, Gen Z will be the third-largest The profile of Gen Z is lengthy and generation in the US, just behind Gen we have much to discover about X and they are already accumulating them as they mature. But for now, significant purchasing power. With one thing is sure: Gen Z will have a their oldest members only in their significant impact on both business early twenties, it is difficult to predict and the world. Page 12
Corporate to share positive opinions about companies doing good (87%), are Should companies responsibility gains more likely to protest to support help address social 8983+87++ momentum a cause they care about (58%) issues? Over the last decade, there has been and are more likely to buy from a substantial buzz about Corporate company which addresses social or Social Responsibility (CSR), yet for environmental issues (90%).35 94% 89% 87% many companies, the financial costs 83% of change initially outweighed the In response, businesses are investing benefits. But as Millennials and Gen more resources in corporate Z become more influential, both as responsibility initiatives. According employees and consumers, they are to PwC’s Global CEO survey, 64% of pushing businesses to behave more CEOs now feel that CSR is central responsibly. to their business, rather than a standalone programme.36 Even While 86% of general consumers feel institutional investors are getting that companies should help address on board, pushing firms to make social issues, 94% of Gen Z believe more responsible decisions.37 And as that companies have a responsibility Millennials and Gen Z assume roles to do so.34 When compared to of power in the corporate world, the members of other generations, impacts of CSR will only become Boomers Gen X Millennials Gen Z members of Gen Z are more likely more pronounced. Page 13
The new X-economies disrupt industries Millennials, burdened by high Sharing economy unemployment, low wages and high The sharing economy – where The sharing economy debt, have rapidly embraced new consumers “share” products and is projected to grow to business models that offer them the services directly instead of purchasing latest products with greater flexibility via a retailer or distributor – is another 86.5 million US users and lower costs. In today’s market, business model that has grown in by 2021, up from 44.8 start-ups have led the way with these popularity over the last several years. million in 2016. new offerings, but large businesses Perhaps the most commonly known – either through acquisitions or example of a sharing economy internal development – are beginning business is Airbnb, where travellers to evolve their business models to can rent rooms and homes directly the needs of the modern consumer. from other individuals. The sharing These models fall into one of a few economy is projected to grow to categories: 86.5 million US users by 2021, up from 44.8 million in 2016. 39 On-demand services Projected to grow to nearly $57 Subscription box services billion in 2018, on-demand services Subscription box services have represent perhaps the largest become incredibly popular due to of these categories.38 A model their highly targeted nature and ease popularised greatly by Uber, on- of use. Companies like Birchbox, Winc, demand businesses are launching Stitch Fix and NatureBox are just the for just about every category tip of the iceberg when it comes to imaginable, from printing and dog the subscription box market, which walkers to babysitters and massages. now provides services for dog owners, coffee lovers, mountain climbers, gold miners and sock enthusiasts. $57 Online consignment When eBay and Craigslist launched in the mid-1990s, they provided individuals with the opportunity to use the internet to sell used goods. billion Nearly two decades later, a new set of online consignment stores has emerged to help streamline this process. Sites like thredUP, Projected size of the on- Swap and TheRealReal allow demand economy in 2018. shoppers to sell and purchase used clothes, jewellery, toys and luxury fashion accessories online. Page 14
XaaS As cloud computing becomes more ubiquitous, Anything as a Service (XaaS) business models are also becoming more popular. The principle behind XaaS is that businesses can provide better, more cost-effective solutions to customers via subscriptions or pay-as-you- go models than via traditional software licensing models. The most commonly known XaaS model is Software as a Service (SaaS), which provides individual software applications and services through the cloud; however, Platform as a Service (PaaS) and Infrastructure as a Service (IaaS) models have also gained traction as a way for technology companies to expand their footprint. While XaaS has historically referred to cloud computing, it is increasingly being used to define all service- based business models, from Transportation as a Service (Uber and Lyft) to Shopping as a Service (Trunk Club and Stitch Fix). Regardless of what you call it, it’s clear that customers’ needs are evolving, and businesses must adapt accordingly. Page 15
A-commerce Today, idea-collection site Pinterest has 175 million users and 93% of products on their posts. When clicked, a tagged product takes the (anywhere) becomes them use the site to plan purchases. user directly to the product page. the new reality More than half of them also use the The programme has since expanded Technology has granted customers site to shop for products.41 Pinterest’s to thousands of businesses and access to a dizzying array of products, ‘Shop the Look’ feature employs the results have been promising.44 and customers expect to be able to computer vision and human curation Industry leader Nike has announced purchase on their terms, whenever to allow users to shop for Pinned that it will sell certain products via and wherever they want. From social products on the web and their Instagram in what they describe buying on Instagram to v-commerce mobile devices. Early tests showed as a ‘seamless’ experience for with Alexa, businesses are no longer that users visit a company’s website customers.45 forcing customers to their websites two to three times more frequently to make a purchase; instead, they when ‘Shop the Look’ Pins are One issue brands face in expanding are turning every platform into a deployed.42 Additionally, Pinterest social media sales is that many purchase platform. for Business offers a ‘Buyable Pins’ customers are not aware that they Social media selling option, which allows customers to can shop directly via social media Social media continues to grow purchase a company’s products sites; in a recent survey, 26.4% of in popularity; globally, 482 million directly on Pinterest with a credit respondents said they had never people became new active users in heard of social commerce.46 However, card or Apple Pay. 2016. Today, a total of 2.789 billion if social media platforms and retailers social media users are spending an can generate better awareness – and Instagram continues to explore ways average of 40 minutes to four hours remove barriers to purchasing with a on social media sites each day.40 While to turn its 700 million users into smoother transition from browsing customers have consulted social regular consumers of its business to buying – social media users will media sites for purchase inspiration partners.43 In 2016, Instagram piloted readily become in-app consumers. or research for years, we are only now its Shopping Tags programme, seeing the potential of these channels allowing companies to upload a to translate into direct sales. product catalogue and tag specific Page 16
20+80+J Voice-first conversational commerce In 2016, nearly half of US smartphone users consulted virtual personal assistants (VPAs) – such as Microsoft’s 20% Cortana, Apple’s Siri, Amazon’s Alexa and Google Assistant – and Gartner predicts that by 2019, 20% of all smartphone interactions will take place via VPAs.47 While the shopping capabilities of voice-enabled VPAs are still nascent, as they evolve, they will offer a powerful new platform Smartphone interactions that through which businesses can reach will take place via VPAs in customers directly. 2019. In addition to living on mobile devices and computers, VPAs now Microsoft’s Cortana, Amazon Alexa exist on household devices like and Google Assistant are working the Harman Kardon Invoke, Apple toward developing better user HomePod, Amazon Echo and experiences for their voice-first Google Home. A VoiceLabs report merchant ecosystems, adding skills estimated that by the end of last and features that make the checkout year, 33 million voice-first devices process easier and more accessible. would be in circulation,48 and these In early 2017, only 28% of US devices are beginning to drive sales: residents indicated that they would Amazon Echo owners make 6% more use a VPA to buy goods and that they purchases on Amazon than they did prior to owning the device.49 were more likely to use their VPAs to Amazon Echo owners Shopping capability on Google play music, give weather information make 6% more or provide search results.51 As users Home launched in February 2016 increasingly rely on their VPAs, the purchases on Amazon and 18 months later, predicting the growth of voice shopping, Walmart trend towards voice interactions will than they did prior to partnered with Google to offer continue alongside the development owning the device. hundreds of thousands of products of other artificially intelligent systems for sale via Google Assistant, with a – based on gestures, biometrics and vision that customers will use Google more – that will make these types of Home devices to reorder frequently interactions easier and more natural purchased items.50 for users. Page 17
Brands go direct-to-consumer Gillette recently initiated its own Globally, $590 billion was spent using In order to pursue bigger profit shaving subscription club, Gillette contactless payments in 2017, and margins and retain control of On Demand. The new service allows purchases via contactless payments the customer experience, some customers to order refills via text.58 are projected to increase to $1.3 brands are bypassing traditional trillion in 2019 and over $2 trillion retail channels and going straight Since the cost of entry is minimal to globally by 2021.65 to the consumer. Cutting out the existing retailers, the marketplace is middleman allows retailers to build already saturated with subscription As mobile wallets become more relationships with customers and services; as of early 2018, broadly adopted, businesses are collect more accurate data. This shift, subscription box aggregator My looking to capture a piece of the in turn, enables brands to develop Subscription Addiction indexed mobile payment market, which is more personalised experiences, roughly 3,000 boxes.59 And now, projected to grow to $112.29 billion something that 75% of customers even major retailers – including by 2021.66 The list of mobile payment prefer.52 Starbucks, Amazon, Macy’s, Walmart providers is growing and now and Nordstrom – are joining in with includes PayPal, Intuit GoPayment, their own subscription box services. Barclaycard bPay, Chase Pay, Visa 75% of customers To succeed in this sector, subscription Checkout, Walmart Pay, CVS Pay, services must feature an offering that Target Wallet, Starbucks, Kohl’s Pay, prefer personalised has the ability to surprise and satisfy Square, Stripe, Venmo, LevelUp, brand experiences. customers on a recurring basis. PayAnywhere, and more. Having achieved a valuation of $1.2 Mobile payments go mainstream Further pushing mobile payments billion, Warby Parker has succeeded Apple Pay launched to great fanfare into the mainstream is the broader with direct-to-consumer (D2C) sales, in October 2014, but the public has adoption of mobile wallets as a initially via e-commerce platforms been slow to adopt this technology. whole. An increasing number of and now with physical locations In 2016, a study by Auriemma businesses, from stadiums to airlines, as well.53 Major multi-channel Consulting Group reported that only are leveraging mobile wallets for retailers Nike and Adidas have 27% of users with an eligible device paperless ticket distribution. As doubled down on their D2C efforts. had used contactless payments.60 adoption increases around the world, Nike announced a new company At the time, 39% said they would it seems clear that mobile wallets are alignment, the Consumer Direct use mobile payments more if stores the way of the future. Offense, that includes the creation of accepted it, but the study found that a Nike Direct organisation, which will even when a store did accept mobile strategise ways to deepen one-to- payments, less than a third (31%) one relationships with customers.54 of users consistently used mobile Number of Apple 1+83211452+1740100 In 2016, Adidas launched Avenue pay, most frequently citing that they A, limited-edition boxes that ship simply forgot.61 Pay, Samsung Pay 150 million curated selections of women’s apparel and Android Pay and footwear to subscribers.55 Despite its slow start, mobile payments may finally be reaching Contactless Direct-to-consumer subscription a tipping point. Apple Pay is now Users services have grown significantly available in 20 markets around in popularity; visits to subscription- the world, works with 4,000 card box websites increased 3,000% from issuers and is available at 50% 2013 to 2016.56 Arguably one of the of US retailers.62 This increased most successful D2C practitioners availability has driven growth in the 20 million is Dollar Shave Club. The men’s market; Apple Pay, Samsung Pay and grooming company disrupted its Google Pay currently have a user sector, retaining nearly half of its base of roughly 150 million and are customers for one year after their expected to exceed 500 million users first subscription, and was purchased by 2021.63 And these numbers don’t for $1 billion by Unilever in 2016.57 To even account for China’s leading compete with Dollar Shave Club and mobile payment provider, Alipay, 2015 2016 2017 online market competitor Harry’s, which boasts 520 million users.64 Android Pay Samsung Pay Apple Pay Page 18
After a decade of downslide, many businesses have cut and optimised as far as they can. Businesses try to take businesses were forced to become lean and mean, cutting costs and back margins streamlining operations wherever Over the past decade, traditional possible. This quickly created a race retailers have seen their profit margins to the bottom, with companies slowly disappear. Online retailers, competing on price while trying namely Amazon, are able to offer to optimise operations enough to a wider variety of products than a stay profitable. After a decade of bricks-and-mortar retailer can, while downslide, many businesses have simultaneously avoiding the overhead cut and optimised as far as they can; costs involved in running a physical now, in a change of strategy, they are store. To stay competitive, retailers looking to increase profit margins, were compelled to slash prices to building value for customers through match those offered on Amazon. improved offerings, superior service and delivering amazing customer This price slashing necessitated some experiences. drastic changes on the back end: Deliver amazing experiences Driven by new technologies and changing demographics, today’s customers demand more from brands than ever before. Businesses must be more responsive to new trends and deliver the seamless experiences customers now expect. At Microsoft, we’re helping companies meet changing customer demands with the tools and technology to better understand customer needs, become more agile and deliver amazing experiences for their customers. Understand customers Improve agility Exceed expectations As customer behaviours and Businesses must work with greater As the baseline for service expectations evolve, businesses precision and agility to meet today’s continues to climb, companies must gain visibility into their users’ rapidly changing customer and must rely on technology to needs to get ahead. Microsoft market demands. By connecting deliver the amazing experiences Dynamics 365 enables companies data from across the value chain, that customers expect, at to track product usage and Microsoft Azure and Dynamics 365 scale. Microsoft is empowering performance so they can predict help organisations improve organisations with the tools and and prevent potential issues and communication between business technology to create innovative, create better, more engaging units, predict and respond more frictionless experiences that experiences for their customers. rapidly to trends and better manage delight customers and exceed changes on the fly. expectations every time. Page 19
Technology makes finance smarter and faster • Finance drives technology advancements • Blockchain becomes more than just a buzzword • Businesses establish a culture of data • AI and ML deliver instant intelligence • Automation streamlines operations Page 20
Technology makes finance smarter and faster Finance drives technology advancements Executive summary Finance professionals have long been technology pioneers, a fact for which Finance professionals have a history of they rarely receive credit. The expansion of the telegraph in the US – from a embracing cutting-edge technology, single 40-mile line connecting Baltimore and Washington, D.C. in 1844 to over leading the charge to adopt the tools 23,000 miles spanning the United States just a decade later – was driven by that have revolutionised the business exchange traders who needed a way to share market information faster. In world. Today’s CFOs proudly follow in 1865, the pantelegraph, an early form of the fax machine, was originally used their footsteps. to verify signatures in banking transactions between Paris and Lyon, France. In 1918, the Fedwire Funds Service – a Morse code system sent via telegraph – was established in the United States to transfer funds between the 12 connected Highlights Federal Reserve Banks, the Federal Reserve Board and the US Treasury. • The global blockchain market is projected to reach a value of $20 In 1958, Bank of America issued the BankAmericard, the first modern credit billion by 2024. card, which would change financial transactions forever. The 1960s brought • 85% of CEOs reported that their the ATM and the first electronic systems that could provide up-to-the- CFO’s ability to gather and analyse minute stock market information through desktop terminals. The 1970s saw data was key to profit growth. the launch of the Nasdaq electronic bulletin board, SWIFT and MIDAS, all of which simplified, standardised and secured the way financial information was • Businesses will generate $2.9 distributed around the world. trillion in business value from AI by 2021. The 1980s gave us electronic trading platforms, cash machine networks and in 1984, Jane Snowball made the world’s first online purchase. Companies like eBay and Amazon pioneered e-commerce in the 1990s, while direct trading, Chip and PIN systems, contactless payment systems and the first version of Bitcoin launched in the 2000s. Finance professionals Finance has long operated on the cusp of technology, and from digital have been pioneering spreadsheets to accounting software, finance professionals have pioneered digital technology in the workplace for decades. Today, finance professionals digital technology are driving the adoption of new analytics tools and techniques to help improve in the workplace for operations, better forecast business performance and help their organisations decades. strategically plan for the future.67 Page 21
Blockchain becomes A recent study from Accenture reported that blockchain could help more than just a cut costs and deliver savings of more buzzword than 30% across the middle and back First described in 1991 by Stuart office. This includes an estimated Haber and W. Scott Stornetta,68 70% saving on central finance 23+77+J blockchains are decentralised, reporting and 50% savings on shared ledgers where all transactions compliance, centralised operations are recorded securely by encryption and business operations.75 Many of in near real-time and are immutable these savings are due to streamlined (incapable of being altered or processes, optimised data quality, deleted). Blockchain technology improved transparency and better 23% sparked a revolution in 2009 when internal controls. Satoshi Nakamoto leveraged blockchain to provide the data While blockchain has become popular structure for a novel peer-to-peer due to its efficiency in processing electronic cash system, Bitcoin.69 financial transactions, companies are already looking to blockchain Despite blockchain being nearly to solve other business problems. three decades old, we are still A number of blockchain solutions in the early adoption phase, but now enable companies to build anti- Businesses currently using blockchain technology is expected counterfeit databases, track stolen blockchain technology. to grow rapidly over the next six products, or track items with specific years,70 with the global blockchain qualities, such as diamonds from market projected to reach a value conflict zones or luxury products of $20 billion by 2024.71 Even today, that rely on product authenticity.76 attitudes are changing fast. In AFP’s One promising application of 2017 MindShift Survey, only 1% of blockchain is with contract and organisations had implemented document management – digitising blockchain, while 51% reported no and moving the governance of plans to do so.72 By their 2018 report, paper certificates, warranties and 23% said they were currently using contracts into a blockchain – which blockchain technology,73 a huge can automatically update the year-over-year leap. documents when a triggering event occurs. And testing has already been Businesses are discovering implemented in the food safety revolutionary applications for industry, where blockchain allows blockchain technology across many food to be granularly tracked, so industries, including a number of when a producer identifies an issue – areas impacting financial operations. like a tainted batch of spinach – they For example, a blockchain can connect can contain the problem by isolating ledgers from across an organisation’s the source and issuing a recall for supply chain (supplier, manufacturer, only the affected products. distributor, shipper, retailer and end consumer) to make tasks like Other potential benefits of employing tracking a product’s journey much blockchain technology include more accurate and efficient. Tracking reduced risk of fraud, reduced time a product’s journey via blockchain to complete transactions, better can turn a manual process that once networked loyalty programmes and took days into an automated process increased customer trust. Today’s that takes only seconds.74 finance leaders must understand blockchain and the possibilities Businesses are poised to see offered by this disruptive technology. significant returns from blockchain. Page 22
Priorities of the future finance function 12% 13% 14% 17% 22% 23% Drive efficiency Refine risk Reduce finance Make significant Meet the need for new skills Improve big data and analytics improvements management function costs changes to the finance by transforming how finance capabilities to transform through capability, through new tech, function skill set. talent is recruited, retained and forecasting, risk management offshoring, including cyber. such as robotics developed. and understanding of value shared services and process drivers. and outsourcing. automation. Businesses establish Beyond data analysis, CFOs face another modern-day data challenge: % of finance leaders that chose category as number one priority a culture of data as they take on larger roles within Big data has been a buzzword for the IT and analytics, CFOs are forced past few years, so it should come as no to tackle the growing issue of data surprise that finance leaders continue management. This includes not only to focus efforts on data and analytics data storage, but also monitoring programs. 85% of CEOs reported and managing data quality. These that their CFO’s ability to gather and critical tasks not only enable CFOs analyse data was key to profit growth,77 to do their job, but they allow other and in a recent study by EY, “improving functions to operate more efficiently. analytics capabilities to transform Without data quality control, CFOs forecasting, risk management and and other business leaders risk understanding of value drivers” was making decisions based on flawed the top priority most commonly cited information. by CFOs (23%).78 11+13+14172223sH As data and analytics play an As finance professionals move increasingly important role in into strategic business leadership business, companies – and their CFOs roles, the importance of having – are working to establish cultures quality data grows, and they must of data across their organisations. increasingly rely on their technology This means that measurement counterparts to help them drive strategies and data collection plans business intelligence. 73% of finance are the starting point and not an leaders said that closer CFO-CIO afterthought, there is a high level of alignment was important to achieving fluency in analytics across teams and financial transformation.79 With business leaders have access to the more intelligent and powerful cloud data they need, whenever they need it, computing, big data is finally moving to make informed strategic decisions. into new areas, helping finance leaders close books faster, deliver more accurate reporting and build more intelligent business strategies. Page 23
AI and ML deliver definitions of AI, it can commonly be understood as a computer that Detection Intelligent systems can be used to instant intelligence performs a function that requires analyse large amounts of data and Not long ago, artificially intelligent some form of cognitive intelligence. detect anomalies. In finance, this machines seemed like a thing of This may include visual perception, may be used to help identify fraud science fiction; even today, when speech recognition or decision by monitoring behavioural patterns, people think of artificial intelligence making. Machine learning is a type of flag when a payment will arrive (AI), many still envision human-like artificial intelligence where computers late or detect changes to market robots. But in practice, artificially leverage new information to improve conditions. These tools are also intelligent machines have been their outputs automatically.82 being used to help mitigate risk by around for decades, making our lives ensuring regulatory compliance $2.9 better, safer and more efficient. So and improving operations, flagging why all the buzz now? abnormal changes or anomalies for further investigation. In short, it’s because these systems are only now getting really good. Classification Correction: really, really good. In Artificially intelligent systems can be trillion 2016, Microsoft’s Artificial Intelligent used to organise and classify data and Research team reported that their categorically. Through classification conversational speech recognition – often referred to as segmentation system had reached human parity, or clustering – businesses can Business value generated i.e. their system made the same leverage AI to reconcile transactions, from AI by 2021. or fewer errors when converting categorise expenses and even speech to text as a professional evaluate interactions between transcriptionist.80 This system, which categories to identify correlations. boasted a word error rate (WER) of The power of these intelligent 5.9% in 2016, has since improved to computers – which are frequently Probability a WER of 5.1%.81 As the processing cloud-based – is in their ability to These AI systems can be used to power and accuracy of these process a large volume of information conduct probability analysis. These intelligent systems improve – from at a speed which humans are not tools give finance teams the ability advancements in neural networks capable of achieving. While reaching to run faster, more accurate data to natural language processing – human parity in WER is excellent, the models. This enables them to quickly the opportunities to leverage these true power of this artificially intelligent test how changes to specific variables technologies increase as well. system is that it can transcribe hours will impact outcomes, such as how of audio in seconds at that same WER. different prices will impact revenue To understand how artificial This proficiency makes artificially or how changes to net payment intelligence and machine learning intelligent computers extremely terms will alter cash flow. will impact finance, it’s first useful to effective in performing four categories understand what these terms mean. of tasks: detection, classification, While there are many types and probability and optimisation. Page 24
Optimisation AI, Gartner predicts that businesses Lastly, these tools can be used to will generate $2.9 trillion in business optimise systems, processes and value from AI by 2021.85 decision making. Through real-time data analysis, intelligent systems The merging of big data with can calculate the probability of intelligent technology has made various outcomes and optimise processing large data sets easier accordingly; analytical models than ever, and from mining big can weigh information and make data to predictive analytics, finance optimisations based on the results. leaders are increasingly relying In finance, this type of optimisation on these new, intelligent tools to can be used to maximise profits by help them succeed. Today, finance dynamically optimising prices at professionals are being asked to different times, reduce shop floor apply their systemic approach injuries by slowing down a machine for numbers to data that reaches when a sensor identifies a potential far beyond the realm of finance, issue or cut costs by automatically including assessing consumer data optimising resource allocation across to forecast sales trends, economic the organisation. indicators to predict market trends and operations metrics to help Artificially intelligent Despite its many benefits, just streamline processes and cut costs. computers are extremely 15% of businesses are currently Beyond dollars and cents, finance effective in performing four leveraging AI, but 31% are planning leaders possess the ability to extract categories of tasks: to implement intelligent systems knowledge from numbers and apply over the next year.83 83% of that knowledge to make strategic detection, classification, companies said that AI is a strategic business decisions, and now, with AI, probability and priority for them.84 As organisations these leaders are becoming smarter optimisation. reap the efficiencies and insights of and more powerful than ever. Page 25
53% of companies outsource tax functions. Main drivers for outsourcing all or part of the compliance function Need for additional assurance on compliance processes Automation Lack of in-house streamlines operations compliance skills As increasing transaction volumes and ever-changing regulations are making finance more complex, Cost businesses are looking to reduce the costs of the many manual tasks required in bookkeeping and accounting. 53% of companies Compliance activities in Deloitte’s most recent Global associated with business function Outsourcing Survey86 reportedly outsourcing outsource tax functions and 42% outsource certain finance functions. For compliance specifically, 41% of companies said the main reason they Other outsourced was due to lack of in- house skills, while 38% cited costs.87 With the rise of AI, businesses are now turning to robotic process automation Lack of in-house language skills 2016 2017 (RPA) to help reduce costs, speed up processing, improve quality controls and free up their employees’ time for 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% more strategic work. 88% of businesses Page 26
projected a moderate to high demand employee expenditures – particularly staff’s time, freeing them up to for RPA in finance and accounting on gifts and entertainment – to help focus on more meaningful work, like in 2018,88 while 66% reported that identify potential areas of conflict or predictive analytics and performance automated AI applications would policy abuse. Furthermore, they can management.93 Before long, today’s become applicable to their finance help businesses manage financial manual financial processes will be and accounting over the next couple risk through tasks like detecting a distant memory, but automation of years.89 changes in risk exposure and alone won’t transform finance; helping to determine the causes successful finance departments will Automation – enhanced by AI and for such movement, as well as in continue to need human oversight machine learning – is streamlining evaluating customer risk and making and a knowledgeable workforce to finance operations in many ways recommendations on credit limits or help drive strategic business growth. and saving money by completing maximum loan amounts. previously manual tasks faster and 40+60+J more efficiently. RPA – artificially Companies are finding that digital intelligent workers90 – can now be assistants are reducing operating used for many tasks, including digital costs by as much as 80%91 and a study invoicing, expense management, by Accenture showed that robots will fixed-asset accounting, conducting be able to automate or eliminate up general ledger account reconciliation, to 40% of transactional accounting 40% evaluating customer risk and auditing work by 2020.92 But this doesn’t expense reports. mean that automation will be the end of the finance professional. To Beyond faster speeds and lower costs, the contrary, automation, AI and RPA automation is playing a larger role in are elevating the finance function, allowing workers to spend less time compliance. Automated, intelligent on tedious manual tasks and more systems can review employee time deriving higher-value strategic Robots will be able to automate disclosures, open accounts and insights for their businesses. These up to 40% of transactional paper statements to flag any trades technologies are estimated to recover accounting work by 2020. or transfers for the appropriate level between 25% and 75% of financial of review. They may also review Work faster and smarter From risk management to strategic planning, finance professionals are taking on new, important challenges in the workplace. To meet these changing demands, they must leverage innovative, intelligent tools to combat new threats while fostering growth. At Microsoft, we’re making finance smarter and safer with unified data that powers intelligent, automated systems. Unify business data Get predictive insights Automate workflows Finance leaders need real- To succeed in today’s competitive As the pace of modern business time visibility into business business environment, business accelerates, finance teams are operations and performance to leaders need better financial looking to streamline processes make informed decisions. From forecasts and foresight into and get more done. With Azure, cloud-based data solutions on emerging market trends. With Dynamics 365 and Microsoft 365, Azure to intelligent analytics artificial intelligence and machine we’re providing businesses with tools in Dynamics 365, we’re learning embedded, Dynamics 365 tools to automate workflows helping businesses turn data into allows companies to be less reactive and simplify communication actionable insights so they can and more proactive and provides so they can improve efficiency, optimise operations and make them with the knowledge to make productivity and compliance. more strategic business decisions. smarter risk and investment choices. Page 27
Living in the age of uncertainty • The age of uncertainty • Regulation changes create uncertainty • Businesses brace for Brexit • Leaders try to navigate a highly politicised environment • Uncertainty takes a toll Page 28
Living in the age of uncertainty The age of uncertainty Executive summary From Brexit negotiations and trade tariffs to immigration reform and In an incredibly polarised political environmental policies, the unpredictability of today’s political and social environment, attitudes can shift on a landscape reigns supreme among the factors concerning finance leaders.94 dime, making it difficult for companies to plan for the future. As the future of various regulations around the globe remains unclear in a highly politicised environment, uncertainty is placing a great amount of pressure on businesses; 49% of finance leaders feel that they are exposed to Highlights more uncertainty today than they were three years ago.95 This uncertainty can • 49% of finance leaders feel be seen in the amount of cash US businesses are accumulating, an amount that they are exposed to more that continued to climb through 201796 despite projections of steady US GDP uncertainty today than they were growth in 2018,97 signalling that finance professionals remain cautious about three years ago. the economy. • 42% of global CEOs reported over-regulation as a top concern. Unfortunately, the waters on the horizon appear no calmer than those of • 66% of consumers felt it was the past year, so finance leaders need to prepare their businesses for more important for brands to take a uncertainty ahead. public stand on social and political issues. Regulation changes create uncertainty Over the last 18 months, a string of major regulatory changes has been initiated and enacted. From GDPR to tariffs, these regulations span across a wide range of disciplines and touch nearly every business. As business leaders adapt to comply with the latest regulations, they remain concerned over the impact of additional pending regulations that could upend their operations. In 2018, 42% of CEOs globally and 50% of CEOs in North America reported 49% of finance leaders over-regulation as a top concern,98 with 54% citing rising risk levels due to feel they are exposed to industry-specific regulation.99 more uncertainty today Finance regulation than three years ago. Finance professionals continue to face an onslaught of changes to financial regulations. Last year, new revenue recognition rules went into effect for most Page 29
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