2018: Trends in the purpose built student accommodation sector - Generating opportunities in a challenging and competitive market - Taylor Wessing
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2018: Trends in the purpose built student accommodation sector Generating opportunities in a challenging and competitive market
Contents 1 Introduction 2 What’s going on in the market? 4 Reputation and demand 6 The chase for viable prime development sites continues 10 Rising construction costs – modular construction: getting the right fit 14 HMO licensing reform – disappointing news for PBSA providers 18 Taxing times ahead for offshore investors, but some positive news for developers 20 Staying ahead of the game 22 Taylor Wessing’s key predictions for 2018 24 Key contacts
Introduction 2017 was another strong year for the UK purpose built student accommodation (PBSA) sector, with the cumulative value of investment totalling £4.07bn, close to £1bn higher than the previous year and climbing back towards the record level seen in 2015. Knight Frank’s student property team estimates that the value of the UK PBSA sector will hit £50bn by 2019. In this year’s trends report, the Taylor Wessing student accommodation team consider the continuing attractiveness of the sector to global investors. We evaluate some of the challenges faced by different stakeholders that may impact on decision making processes and further growth and look at where the future opportunities might be for developers, investors and operators. 1
1 What’s going on in the market? The cumulative value of investment in Two significant portfolio deals that 2017 was £4.07bn, close to £1bn higher completed in December 2017 than the previous year and climbing (iQ Student Accommodation’s back towards the record level seen acquisition of the Regent Portfolio in 2015. This was underpinned by the for £869m and Arlington Property investment strategies of some of the Investors’ acquisition of the Study Inn key players to consolidate and increase Portfolio for £135m) brought to a close market share. another resilient year for the sector. Other significant transactions in 2017 2014 £1.5bn included acquisitions by Brookfield, CPPIB, Unite, GCP Capital, Europa & 2015 £5.1bn Generation Estates and Tristan Capital. 2016 £3.1bn Q1 2018 showed signs of a further year of consolidation in the sector, with 2017 £4.07bn Brookfield completing its acquisition 2018* £4.5bn of the Enigma Portfolio for £520m *Projected and total investment in the quarter estimated to have exceeded £1bn. In Source: Knight Frank (May 2018) June 2018, Property Week reported that Round Hill is understood to be in exclusive talks with Watkin Jones to forward fund seven PBSA developments with a GDV of £250m. 2
Two further large portfolios of (the supply/demand dynamic, stability existing stock are also being marketed and resilience to economic downturns, for sale. A number of new joint ventures relatively low risk of tenant default and funds have been announced and the reputation of UK academic and new global investors are actively institutions, amongst others) remain seeking out opportunities to take a compelling and will continue to drive stake in the sector. All signs point to future growth of the sector. another strong year. We anticipate that there will be fewer Knight Frank’s Student Property Team portfolios changing hands in 2018 but estimates that the cumulative value of a steady stream of high value single investment transactions in 2018 will be asset deals as market leaders continue around £4.5bn and that the value of the to consolidate their portfolios and UK PBSA sector will hit £50bn by 2019. grow their brands. We also envisage further acquisitions of equity stakes in In our view, the fundamental established investment and operating characteristics and drivers that have platforms and greater collaboration with attracted increasing global investment universities to revitalise some of the into the asset class over the last 5 years more tired stock. 3
2 Reputation and demand Whilst we cannot ignore the press 2018 UCAS cycle at the 24 March deadline – coverage on the potentially adverse difference between cycle and 2017 cycle impact that Brexit will have on the 10 quality and demand for UK higher 5 education, is that anything more than -0 political rhetoric? We have yet to see -5 any real evidence of a downturn in -10 per cent global demand. -15 -20 The major UK universities continue to -25 score well in the reputation rankings -30 (the current list of the best universities -35 in the world published by Times Higher -40 Education is led by two UK universities for the first time) and the latest UCAS 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 figures indicate that demand for places UK EU (excluding UK) Not EU All domiciles remains strong. Source: UCAS Analysis and Insights (5 April 2018) World University Rankings 2018 (UK entrants) 1 University of Oxford 36 King’s College London 2 University of Cambridge =54 University of Manchester 8 Imperial College London 76 University of Bristol 16 UCL =80 University of Glasgow =25 London School of Economics and 91 University of Warwick Political Science 97 Durham University =27 University of Edinburgh Source: The Times Higher Education World University Rankings 2018 4
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3 The chase for viable prime development sites continues Against that backdrop of buoyant Mayor in his Annual Monitoring Report investment appetite and strong (AMR). For the 2017-18 academic year demand, developers continue to seek the annual rental cost for affordable out opportunities to bring forward new PBSA must not exceed £6,051 which schemes in the right locations. However, equates to a weekly rent of £159 for a planning policy, high community 38-week contract. The next AMR will be infrastructure levies, rising construction published in July 2018. costs and the impact of competing land uses on the availability of land (amongst However, the 2016 Guidance specifically other constraints on the development excludes from the requirement PBSA pipeline) have created a challenging developments where the provider has environment to navigate. a nominations agreement with one or more academic institutions that The spotlight on affordability continues specifies that the accommodation will to present a challenge to the be occupied by students of the relevant viability of new PBSA schemes. The institutions and where the continuance Supplementary Planning Guidance of the agreements for as long as the issued by the Mayor of London in March local authority considers appropriate 2016 requires new development of is secured by a planning condition or PBSA to include an element of provision agreement. that is affordable for students. We considered the 2016 Guidance in detail in our 2017 Trends Report. It requires the element of affordable PBSA to be the “maximum reasonable amount subject to viability” and the annual rental cost for the affordable PBSA not to exceed a figure published by the 6
The draft new London Plan issued Further, the draft Policy H17 requires by the Mayor in December 2017 35% of student bedrooms in all new and setting out a policy takes the PBSA to be affordable. If that threshold affordability requirements a step is not met, a scheme will be considered further. Draft Policy H17 (see page 8) under the viability tested route in requires that all PBSA “must either be line with part E of Policy H6 and the operated directly by a higher education Mayor’s Affordable Housing and Viability institution or the development must SPG. This application of the affordable have an undertaking in place from housing threshold to all PBSA marks a initial occupation, to provide housing shift in approach to the current London for students at one or more specified Plan which only seeks affordable higher education institutions, for as long housing where there is no nominations as the development is used for student agreement in place. accommodation”. A majority of the bedrooms in the development must be covered by such an undertaking. If the PBSA is not secured for use by students and for occupation by one or more specified higher education institutions, it will not be considered PBSA or meeting a need for PBSA and the development proposal will be considered large-scale purpose- built shared living and assessed by the requirements of Policy H18. 7
H17 In its response to the consultation on the draft new London Plan, the British A. Boroughs should seek to ensure that local and strategic need for purpose-built Property Federation (BPF) has raised student accommodation is addressed, a number of concerns and suggestions provided that: for further review. These include: 1. at the neighbourhood level, the development contributes to a mixed and ff a concern that requiring a link to inclusive neighbourhood a higher education institution will 2. the use of the accommodation is limit access to PBSA for students secured for students of smaller institutions and put 3. the accommodation is secured for more pressure on the conventional occupation by members of one or more residential housing stock specified higher education institutions ff the lack of clarity in the draft policy 4. at least 35 per cent of the as to what constitutes a nominations accommodation is secured as affordable agreement, the length of term student accommodation as defined through the London Plan and associated required and the percentage of guidance beds within a scheme that would 5. the accommodation provides adequate constitute an “undertaking” – higher functional living space and layout. education institutions may be B. Boroughs, student accommodation reluctant to contractually commit providers and higher education institutions early in the design process prior to are encouraged to develop student planning approval being given and accommodation in locations well- will also have concerns at how the connected to local services by walking, requirements can be reconciled with cycling and public transport, but away accounting treatment considerations from existing concentrations in central London as part of mixed-use regeneration and redevelopment schemes. Source: The London Plan: The Spatial Development Strategy for Greater London – Draft for Public Consultation (December 2017) 8
ff concerns that the 35% affordability The consultation closed on 2 March requirement will further constrain 2018. We await the outcome, but the development of private PBSA do not expect to see any significant in London which will apply further amendments to draft Policy H17. pressure on the capital’s wider housing stock Further, we anticipate that local planning authorities across the UK will ff querying the justification for applying follow suit and adopt similar policies to the affordable housing threshold to address the affordability issue. This will all PBSA, even where nominations place a further strain on the financial have been agreed – the BPF believes viability of potential new PBSA projects that schemes in London which can and developers will be working hard to demonstrate that they directly link try to counterbalance the impact by with a higher education provider interrogating other development costs, should have the 35% affordability including the costs of construction. requirement removed and that where 100% of the rooms in the student development meet the affordability criteria, there should be no need for a nominations agreement with a university. The BPF’s concern about the VAT consequences of requiring a link to specified higher education institutions should be alleviated by the outcome of the Summit Electrical case which we consider in the tax update on page 18. 9
4 Rising construction costs – modular construction: getting the right fit The costs of construction continued to structure, up to full apartments, where rise throughout 2017, with both material only the central core is constructed and labour costs on the increase. on site and the rest of the building is AECOM’s cost indices, published in constructed off-site. Building Magazine on 19 March 2018, state that between Q4 2016 and Q4 The benefits of modular construction 2017, the building cost index rose 4.2% mainly derive from cost savings – whilst and the mechanical cost index rose modular construction is often more 4%. Such increases are forecast to expensive than standard construction, continue into 2018 with increases in the shortened construction period on input costs offsetting any predicted site more than compensates. Work deflationary effects. As a consequence, on the ground can be carried out in many developers, in both student parallel with the construction of the accommodation and other sectors, modules and, because the modules are are looking at ways to mitigate the constructed in a factory setting, delays effects of the current market and to due to adverse weather are mitigated. protect margins, and one of the ways In addition, less labour is required on in which developers are seeking to site as the majority of the work can do this is through the use of modular be carried out at the factory utilising construction. local labour. There does need to be a critical mass of construction to make Modular construction (also referred modular construction financially viable to as ‘off-site construction’) can mean given that it is, effectively, a production anything from small prefabricated line that needs to be set up specific elements such as bathroom ‘pods’ or to a particular building or a number façade systems constructed in a factory of buildings to the same specification away from the construction site, and (150+ rooms has been suggested as a delivered to site fully fitted out and tiled guide). ready to be incorporated into the on-site 10
Whilst historically ‘pre-fabs’ have had Interface – there needs to be a bad reputation as being lightweight, clear risk allocation between temporary looking, not durable, the structural engineer depreciating in value and with a high responsible for designing the frame lifecycle cost exposure, quality is or core, the mechanical and electrical improving and with a maturing supply engineer responsible for designing the chain there are now a number of cabling and plumbing and the design of products on the market which have the modules, as there is less scope for changed these perceptions. correcting ‘design clashes’ than when traditional construction methods are However, there are still a number of used. issues specific to modular construction that need to be considered by developers Fixing design – modular and funders, and we have summarised construction requires both the some of the key legal points below. design of the overall project and the detailed design to be fixed at Quality – quality control an early stage, so that the modules can is potentially more difficult go into production. Once that process than traditional construction is underway design changes are very as manufacturing issues are difficult difficult and expensive to implement. to rectify once the module is on site. Developers and their funders need to have a presence at the place of construction to be able to monitor and inspect the modules and identify any issues before they leave the factory. Rights of access and inspection to the factory will be required along with a right to be present for all tests carried out on the modules. 11
Payment – significant advance Insolvency Risk – in the payments are usually required event of insolvency of the to be made to the module module supplier, it will be supplier, due to the bespoke nature of difficult to find another supplier that can the modules. Developers and funders continue to deliver modules to the same therefore need to ensure that there is specification, and it will have a huge sufficient security over the modules impact on programme, certainly more and the components within them at so than finding a contractor to continue all stages of manufacture. This can be to build out a traditional construction achieved (to some extent) by third project. Therefore it is critical to party bonds and vesting agreements. understand the financial covenant We have also seen funders take a strength of the modular supplier and charge over the factory and plant where obtain appropriate performance security the modules are being constructed, but through bonds or guarantees or to look this may not be possible in many cases. to cover off the risk through insurance. Title – there are two title Transit Risk/Insurance – issues which require specific the risk of damage to the consideration when it comes to modules in transit needs to modular construction. One is ensuring be considered and the risk allocated that the developer or funder has title appropriately, backed by suitable over the constructed modules before insurances. their delivery to site. The second issue is that often a developer will provide Modular construction is clearly going certain elements of the modules to to play a key part in the future of the module supplier for the supplier to construction and has the potential to incorporate into the module, such as revolutionise the construction market tiles, or white goods, so any contract but developers and funders must ensure needs to deal with title in the developer’s that these key risk areas are addressed goods to ensure that title is retained. if they are to reap the benefits. 12
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5 HMO licensing reform – disappointing news for PBSA providers The approach to HMO licensing of into the mandatory licensing regime, student accommodation properties although most of these properties will varies greatly between different local not be PBSA schemes as purpose-built authorities. This trend looks set to self-contained flats will be exempt. continue, with the recent government response to a consultation proposing However, as many PBSA providers to extend the scope of mandatory will have experienced first-hand, it is HMO licensing, without taking forward not mandatory licensing that tends to proposed licensing discounts for PBSA. catch PBSA schemes but additional or Indeed, the Licensing of House in selective licensing introduced by the Multiple Occupation (Prescribed relevant local authority. Description) (England) Order 2018 (SI Additional licensing can be used to 2018/221) (“LHMO 2018”) brings into cover HMOs which are not subject to force some of the changes promised mandatory licensing (e.g. HMOs that are by the government as a result of its occupied by less than five people) while consultation. selective licensing can cover properties Most significantly, the extension of which are not HMOs. For example, mandatory licensing in the LHMO 2018 some local authorities have introduced will mean that most HMOs that are selective licensing regimes covering occupied by five or more people who all privately rented properties within a do not form a single household will specified area, including individual flats require an HMO licence,regardless of the and studios within PBSA schemes. number of storeys. Mandatory licensing currently only applies to HMOs of three or more storeys. This change is expected to bring another 160,000 properties 14
The existing licensing exemption for enforcement of licence conditions for student accommodation schemes all purpose built HMOs. This decision that are occupied by full time students will be disappointing for PBSA providers and managed by an educational who are already accredited through institution pursuant to an approved an approved code and may well see code will continue to apply following HMO licensing fees as a duplication of implementation of the reforms. But costs and a means of subsidising local such exemption will not be extended to authority enforcement in relation to PBSA owned and managed by private problem properties. landlords who have similarly adopted an approved code of practice. The extension to the mandatory licensing regime in the LHMO 2018, The government did recognise in its together with the government’s other consultation paper that such licensing reforms (such as obliging the Secretary of PBSA schemes was not necessarily of State to review these provisions appropriate or proportionate, on the at least every 5 years) will come into basis that PBSA tends to be well- force on 1 October 2018. Transitional managed and requires little local measures are included for HMOs that authority intervention. Accordingly, are already licensed under the selective “significant discounts” on HMO licensing licensing provisions, but which will be fees for PBSA were proposed. This subject to the new regime from when proposal was not taken forward in the LHMO comes into force. government’s response, nor in the LHMO 2018, amid concerns that such a discount may be seen as a barrier to local authorities being proactive in their 15
Moreover, although currently in requiring the licence holder to ensure draft form, the Licensing of Houses that minimum floor areas are met in Multiple Occupation (Mandatory and maximum occupancy numbers Conditions of Licences) (England) are not exceeded in relation to rooms Regulations 2018 stipulates certain used as sleeping accommodation. This mandatory conditions to be included in may have an impact on the design of HMO licences granted in England. The PBSA schemes that are caught by draft regulations include requirements the mandatory or additional licensing for HMO licences to impose conditions regimes. 16
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6 Taxing times ahead for offshore investors, but some positive news for developers Changes announced at the Autumn 2015 include a specific carve out for Budget 2017 to the scope of capital purpose built student accommodation gains tax will affect many offshore based on the number of bedrooms in the property owners, including those in building and the number of days they are the student accommodation sector. occupied by students. It is not expected It was announced that, from April that there will be any similar carve out 2019, capital gains tax will be extended for student accommodation with these further to non-residents investing in UK rules – the stated aim is to establish a commercial property. However, there level playing field for taxation of non- will be an automatic “rebasing” to April residents and residents alike investing in 2019, which effectively means that gains UK property. accruing prior to April 2019 will not be subject to tax for non-residents. Also relevant for the student accommodation sector were the The new rules will also apply to in-direct decisions of the First-tier Tribunal and disposals of UK commercial property Upper Tribunal in Summit Electrical (ie exits via the sale of shares or Installations Limited v HMRC. This may comparable interests). result in cash flow savings for many student accommodation contractors This will be a major change in the who may find it more likely that they will nature of taxation for non-residents be able to avoid paying VAT on sub- and will affect owners of student contractor’s charges. accommodation that hold assets through offshore vehicles. The non-resident capital gains tax rules on UK residential property that were introduced in April 18
The Upper Tribunal decision confirmed As set out earlier in this report, this that a planning permission condition decision should also offer some stating that a building has to be used comfort to the concerns around the for students attending a particular VAT risk with the draft new London university does not preclude a building Plan and requirement for nominations from being ‘designed as a dwelling’ agreements. for VAT purposes. The restriction on zero-rating by reference to separate use The First-tier tribunal also determined was concerned with situations where a that if a relevant residential purpose property was in effect legally dependent certificate has been issued by the end on another property, so that it was not user to a contractor (which only allows possible to dispose of the first property a contractor to zero rate supplies) this separately from the second. does not prevent a sub-contractor from being able to treat the building The restriction in this case was based as designed as a dwelling and hence on specified universities at which zero rating its supplies on that basis. the occupants studied, rather than However, unfortunately this point was particular properties. This was not a not confirmed in the Upper Tribunal prohibition on separate use and the (because HMRC did not appeal this building could be a dwelling. Where a point). Therefore, this aspect of the building is designed as a dwelling (or decision should be met with some a number of dwellings) this broadly caution as HMRC’s guidance in the area allows sub-contractors to zero rate their has not yet changed. supplies for VAT purposes. 19
7 Staying ahead of the game Competition for the development pipeline Forward funding perhaps requires a has become fierce and in order to secure greater reliance on the data providers in prime product early, we are now seeing the industry in analysing local markets an increased “willingness” of investors to and getting the pricing models right. engage in forward funding arrangements with developers, often prior to planning These structures inevitably present consent being obtained. Perhaps this their own legal nuances that need to be is more a tacit acceptance by some addressed in negotiating the right deal investors that early commitment to and at the heads of terms stage. funding of schemes is a necessity to stay ahead of the game. A typical forward funding structure MARKET VALUE OF LAND Lease (25 years, rent Conditional linked to net income) LANDOWNER / Sale FUND DEVELOPER Contract OPERATING SPV DEVELOPER’S PROPERTY Forward PROFIT Assured funding shorthold agreement tenancy agreements OCCUPIERS DEVELOPER PROFESSIONAL BUILDING TEAM CONRACTOR SUB-CONTRACTORS 20
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8 Taylor Wessing’s key predictions for 2018 ff Growth of hybrid co-living ff Increased collaboration with schemes – reacting to the Universities – with limited constraints of the planning regime, availability of land for new PBSA we envisage seeing more new and highly competitive land uses, we development schemes offering a mix expect to see greater teaming up of PBSA and co-living targeting the between developers, operators and graduate market. Universities to upgrade or rebuild ff Launch of new operating platforms existing stock. and brands – we expect to see the launch of new operating platforms and existing operators increasing their capex on brand differentiation and focusing on the legal protection of their brands. 22
ff A highly competitive market with ff Innovative operating – we expect potential new entrants to the operators to look at more innovative sector – we expect to see an pricing models and opportunities increase in the number and scale to maximise income outside of of acquisitions of equity stakes in academic semesters. established investment and operating ff Beyond the UK – established platforms and intense competition for investors in PBSA in the UK looking the development pipeline leading to to other European and global more speculative forward funding of opportunities. prime new development schemes. ff A focus on innovation in the delivery of new PBSA – as well as an increase in adoption of modular construction, we envisage an increased uptake of proptech solutions to improve efficiencies in the delivery of PBSA. 23
9 Key contacts Paul Leamy (Real Estate) Natasha Cooper (Corporate) Partner, London Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 4656 +44 20 7300 4871 p.leamy@taylorwessing.com n.cooper@taylorwessing.com Alistair Watson (Planning and Environment) Harriet Revington (Tax) Partner, London Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 4240 +44 20 7300 7109 a.watson@taylorwessing.com h.revington@taylorwessing.com Heather Buttle (Banking and Finance) Charlotte Chambers (Corporate) Partner, London Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 4141 +44 20 7300 4201 h.buttle@taylorwessing.com c.chambers@taylorwessing.com Robert Young (Tax) Daniel Williams (Banking and Finance) Partner, London Associate London +44 20 7300 4201 +44 20 7300 4739 r.young@taylorwessing.com dr.williams@taylorwessing.com Jill Hamilton (Construction) Senior Counsel, London +44 20 7300 4868 j.hamilton@taylorwessing.com We would welcome the opportunity to explore any of the issues Chris Komodromou (Real Estate) identified in this report with you in Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 4269 greater detail. c.komodromou@taylorwessing.com Hanna Ross (Real Estate) Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 7154 h.ross@taylorwessing.com Emma Tait (Planning and Environment) Senior Associate, London +44 20 7300 4952 e.tait@taylorwessing.com 24
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